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Freeport

Indonesia
Syndicate Group 5

Bianda Puspita Sari (29319355)


Faisal Angga Perdana (29319305)
Ibnu Utomo Priyambodo (29319350)
Lauren Angelina (29319486)
Rafdy Dzil Ikram (29319516)
Decision
Analysis (DA)

SMART
Stages

Potential
Problem
Analysis (PPA)

OUTLINE
Notes
01 03 05

Tailing disposition on Akjwa river transported the The levee system was designed to contain
freshwater swamps (more tailings to the sea. Akjwa river flow with the present sheetflow
serious problem) Many trees were washed and nearby areas.
Worsen when the output down due to storm, causing Prevent sands and fine particles from
increased. massive logjam. entering Kopi/Minarjewi.
Levees were constructed to
divert the flood.
02 06
But this caused
sheetflow due to east. Akjwa to be rerouted to its old natural
Planned mine expansion: path.
115,000 tonnes/day 04 Deposition area specs:
May be expanded to 3.5 km wide, 135,000 ha
176,000 tonnes/day Recommended plan: levee containment
Ore reserve of 1.5 billion system to be built on both sides of the
tonnes. river.
Mine life of 23.5 years Construction of second levee system
on western banks of Kopi and
Minajerwi River.
Prevent tailings and sediments of
Akjwa
Notes The major criteria for prefeasibility design were:
07
That there will be no impact to the Mawati River and
Vegetation along the tailings
will die, about 133 square km
hence to the Lorentz Nature Reserve
But it is believed the area Minimizing the potential impacts to the Minajerwi and
can be revegetated. Ajkwa estuaries
Allow natural growth of
The desire to perform concurrent reclamation of areas
vegetation.
Others will be strategically affected by previous, current, and future deposition
replanted The desire to limit the use of additional forested land
Provide a flexible system to handle potential future
increase in orebody size and production throughput
Provide a system which could be implemented with
technology and techniques proven to withstand the
working and construction environment of IJ
Provide a system which is capital and operations cost
effective
What should we do? / How to correct the
fault?

Which Course of Action?

Based on the choice-making thinking


Decision
Analysis
Methodical means to examine:

The purpose of decision


The available options
The risk of each alternative
SMART Stages
01 The decision maker for
dealing with a public issue
Jim Bob

The alternative courses of


02
actions There are 8
options in Tailing It was decided to take
option 3, because of the cost
to manage this problem was

Deposition spend the least amount


compared to the other 7
option.
The attributes which decision
03
maker consider to be relevant
with the problem
Value tree above
04 Measured
the performance of each options
of the alternatives
A. DIRECT RATING (ABSTRACT VALUE)
VEGETATION
(ABSTRACT VALUE)

0-100 scale
FORESTED LAND USAGE
(ABSTRACT VALUE)

0-100 scale
RIVER FLOW DIVERSION
(ABSTRACT VALUE)

0-100 scale
DEPOSITION AREA
(ABSTRACT VALUE)

0-100 scale
DESIGN FLEXIBILITY
(ABSTRACT VALUE)

0-100 scale
WORKING ENVIRONMENT COMPATIBILITY
(ABSTRACT VALUE)

0-100 scale
B. VALUE FUNCTION
(TRANSFERRING ACTUAL VALUE)
B. VALUE FUNCTION
(TRANSFERRING ACTUAL VALUE)
05
Determining
weight of the attributes

1.Environmental 2. Engineering
Feasibility Feasibility
06 Calculating aggregate of weighted value 

VEGETATION
FORESTED
LAND USAGE

06 Calculating aggregate of weighted value 


RIVER FLOW DIVERSION

06 Calculating aggregate of weighted value 


06 Calculating aggregate of weighted value 

DEPOSITION AREA
06 Calculating aggregate of weighted value 

DESIGN FLEXIBILITY
WORKING ENVIRONMENT COMPATIBILITY
07 Provisional Decision: Trading Benefit vs Cost

If the owner has difficulty in comparing the weight for both benefit & cost
07 Provisional Decision: Trading Benefit vs Cost

If the decision makers compare


Option 3 & 4
Extra value point < $2,47 (mil.) =
Option 4
Extra value point $2,47 (mil.)
= Option 3

If the decision makers compare


Option 4 & 5
Extra value point < $4,02 (mil.) =
Option 5
Extra value point $4,02 (mil.) =
Option 4

If the owner has difficulty inchoosing the most preferred efficient frontier point
SENSITIFITY ANALYSIS
DEPOSISITION AREA = 0
DEPOSISITION AREA = 0
WORKING CONDITION = 0
WORKING CONDITION = 0
POTENTIAL PROBLEM ANALYSIS

How to prevent future faults?

What lies ahead?


Based on the anticipating the future thinking pattern

Methodical means to:


Avoid possible negative consequences
Turns situations to our advantage
POTENTIAL PROBLEM ANALYSIS

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