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VOLUME IX NUMBER 14 l 16 pages in 1 section
WORLD P8 WORLD P8
PFIZER DEVELOPS COVID PILL THAT JACK MA'S MEET WITH TRUMP
CUTS SEVERE ILLNESS BY 89% TURNING POINT FOR HIS CHINA TIES
P U B LISHED SIMULT ANEOUS LY FROM AH ME DA B A D, B E N G A L U RU , B HU B A N E S WA R, C HA N D I G AR H , CH E NNAI , H Y D E R AB AD , K O CH I , K O L K AT A, L UCK NO W , M UM B A I ( AL SO PR I NT E D I N B H OP AL ), N E W DE L HI AN D P UN E www.business-standard.com
RECOVERY
VIRUS
TRACKER RATE HIGHEST
SINCE MAR ‘20 Govt may ban non-audit Fuel pump dealers
Total 34,333,754
INDIA
é12,729
services to audit clients bleed on sudden
Active cases Recovered
148,922 33,724,959 459,873
é343 é12,165
Deaths
é221
Move will improve corporate governance, address conflict of interest concerns cut in excise duty
RUCHIKA CHITRAVANSHI WHAT ARE NON-AUDIT | Accounting and book-keeping
services
TWESH MISHRA
Vaccination
1,079,396,641 New Delhi, 5 November
SERVICES
New Delhi, 5 November
F
irms auditing the accounts of The excise duty cut on petrol and diesel
“public-interest entities” such as | Design and implementation of any has not come as a festive bonanza for all.
WORLD Total Note: Total cases
include 1 migration;
financial information system
listed or large unlisted companies Having stocked up on fuel ahead of
248,813,323 arrow shows 1-day
change; figures as
of 9 pm IST; sources: could be debarred from providing | Actuarial services Diwali expecting higher sales, petroleum
Ministry of Health
non-audit services to them. dealers are now staring at significant
Deaths and Family Welfare;
| Investment advisory services
CoWin.gov.in; Johns Government sources said they were losses because of the sudden duty cut.
5,033,576 Hopkins Coronavirus
Resource Center considering this move, which would | Investment banking services Ajay Bansal, president of the All India
improve corporate governance and Petroleum Dealers Association, told
address conflicts of interest that arose
| Rendering of outsourced financial
services
Business Standard that pump owners FUEL ECONOMICS
when the same firm provided audit and bought fuel from oil companies at a rate Excise duty continues to be a
LENDERS TO AIRCEL non-audit services to a company. | Management services that included central and state levies. significant component of fuel price in
This will, however, require a change “This makes us vulnerable to knee-
AND RCOM HOPE FOR in the Companies Act. The corporate
Source: Section 144 of Companies Act 2013
jerk changes in excise rates. The state
Delhi (~ per litre)
Component Diesel Petrol
FASTER RESOLUTION affairs ministry could push for this
change in the next round of amend-
for them,” a senior company lawyer said.
In February last year,
audit firm that took the same call.
Experts have said there was pressure
government-levied value added tax
(VAT) can be claimed and additional Price charged by oil 49.33 47.93
Lenders to bankrupt wireless telephone ments to company law, according to a PriceWaterhouse India and Deloitte from stakeholders to keep audit and non- payments made by dealers are reim- companies to dealers
companies Aircel and Reliance senior official. Haskin and Sells and its network firms audit at arm’s length. bursed quarterly. But there is no mech-
Communications are pinning their hopes on “While providing audit services, the had decided to give up offering non- With the auditing profession under anism to claim the additional excise Freight 0.28 0.3
a recent report by a Reserve Bank of India same firm should not also be involved in audit services to public interest entities the scanner and two of the big four firms duty component which is levied by the Excise duty 21.8 27.9
panel recommending asset resolution management consultancy or fundraising they audit here. (the other two being KPMG and Ernst & Centre and has been paid by the Value Added Tax 12.68 23.99
companies to bid for firms undergoing activities,” the official added. Deloitte had said it would not provide Young) stopping non-audit services for dealers,” he said.
bankruptcy process. With the next hearing of The Companies Act gives a list of non- non-audit services to listed companies audit clients, there is pressure on the way The Centre on Wednesday Dealer margin* 2.58 3.85
the Aircel debt resolution in the Delhi High audit services, which include account- and other entities where public money audit companies function. announced a reduction in excise duty Fuel price 86.67 103.97
Court set to take place in November, lenders ing, book-keeping, internal audit, and was involved, such as banks and insurance A recent consultation paper by the cor- on petrol by ~5 a litre and on diesel by
* Average Source: IndianOil
are hoping the dispute will end soon. 2> actuarial and management services. companies, if they were its audit clients. porate affairs ministry has raised concern ~10 a litre. The move came into effect
“These services are vague. One inter- The PwC network of firms had stopped over the issue of remuneration, which is from Thursday, bringing down the
prets them suiting one’s own purpose. For providing non-audit services to Indian decided by the management of the firm. retail price of petrol in Delhi to ~103.97 Inflation could rescue
POLITICS & PUBLIC AFFAIRS P15 instance, what are management services? audit clients governed by the National “Reliance on clients’ fees may affect a litre and diesel to ~86.67 a litre.
fiscal deficit in FY22
Ahead of polls, PM says this They are not defined and audit firms can
use the term to mean what works out best
Financial Reporting Authority (NFRA).
Grant Thornton India LLP is another
the independence of an auditor,” the
paper said.
“On average, every dealer across the
country has faced a loss of ~1.5 lakh per The surging inflation is
decade belongs to U’khand pump because of the Centre’s decision welcome news for the Centre
This decade belongs to Uttarakhand, there will to suddenly lower excise duty. Most as it seeks to meet the fiscal
be unprecedented boost to connectivity in the dealers had bought additional petrol deficit target. SUBHOMOY
SHADES OF
region in the coming years and migration of
people from the hills will stop, Prime Minister
Narendra Modi said on Friday. He inaugurated
and laid the foundation stone of reconstruction
Diwali retail sales at and diesel stock because of Diwali,”
Bansal added.
Dealers earn a commission of ~2.58
a litre on diesel and ~3.85 a litre on
BHATTACHARJEE
writes
+
projects worth over ~400 crore in the state
where elections are just a few months away. 10-yr high of ~1.3 trn petrol. The excise duty cut has wiped
out these gains for the fuel stocks
already purchased by the dealers since
rates on petrol, diesel
Twenty three states have cut value-
PEERZADA ABRAR the sale of these products will have to added tax (VAT) on petrol and diesel
COMPANIES P3 Bengaluru, 5 November be made at the reduced price. A dealer after the Centre lowered excise duty
Airtel eyes big growth generally stocks up on petrol and diesel on fuels. Karnataka reduced prices the
SPECIALS which is a record figure in the last dec- New Delhi, 5 November
ade,” said CAIT National President B C
72,000
Bhartia and Secretary General Praveen The government is banking on its Production
60,000
WEEKEND RUMINATIONS
Khandelwal. “In Delhi alone, this busi- Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme to kick off substan-
50,000
ness was about ~25,000 crore.” tial fresh investments to make up for the rock bot-
35,000
Company accounts are in the red (loss) Bhartia and Khandelwal said con- tom levels seen during the pandemic.
or black (profit). Increasingly, though, sumers preferred Indian goods this time, Thirteen PLI schemes are already off the
they may be going green — to track leading to a direct loss of over ~50,000 ground based on commitments made by eligible
the impact of the firm’s activities on crore of business to Chinese exporters. players. The government expects them to bring
the environment.
T N NINAN writes 9>
In demand were items such as
earthen lamps, candles and paper
THE FUTURE OF in incremental investments of around $30 billion
by financial year 2024-25 (FY25).
DEEP POCKETS
Incremental capex
mache lamps, which helped small
potters, craftsmen, and handicrafts-
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Source: CAIT
DIGITAL-ONLY SITES Jefferies, which has undertaken a yearly
breakup of the investment based on Commerce
expected by companies
men rake in substantial profits. Sweets, Ministry data, says that in the first two years of ($ bn) 12+ 10+
> RESULTS RECKONER The number of Indians accessing news
dry fruits, footwear, watches, toys, The first week of online festival sales online has risen from 150 million in 2016 FY22 and FY23, the PLI scheme will bring in
home décor, and fashion clothing also in October, where various e-commerce to over 461 million in July 2021. around $10 billion of fresh investments. 7+
Quarter ended Sep 30, 2021; common sample saw huge demand. firms participated, saw 23 per cent year- “The sheer time spent online and In the first year (FY22), the flow will be mini-
of 1,091 cos (results available of 1,289) Consumers spent over ~9,000 crore on-year sales growth in 2021. This means competition have increased,” says Neha mal, around $2 billion. Experts say this is because
SALES on gold jewellery and silverware, they goods worth $4.6 billion (~32,000 crore) Singh, sales director, Comscore India. “But most of the big PLI schemes where eligible players 2*
Sep 30, 2020 -5.6% ~13.94 trn î said, while traders selling packaging were sold online, according to a recent how do you monetise?” she asks. Ad rates have been selected or are in the process of being
items saw sales of ~15,000 crore. report released by homegrown firm for digital news remain woefully low. To this, finalised, have already lost a large part of their
Sep 30, 2021 30.6% ~18.21 trn ì Before this, online players had also RedSeer Consulting. add the pandemic. first financial year (FY22) due to the second wave FY 22 FY23 FY 24 FY 25
NET PROFIT seen encouraging sales. Turn to Page 15 > VANITA KOHLI-KHANDEKAR writes 7> and fear of another wave. Turn to Page 15 > * approx fig. Source: Government & Jefferies
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2 COMPANIES
.>
NEW DELHI | 6 NOVEMBER 2021
<
IN BRIEF
NCLT approves GAIL buying Lenders to Aircel & RCom AM/NS raises
IL&FS’s 26% stake in OTPC
The National Company Law Tribunal has
approved state-owned gas utility GAIL
hope for faster resolution prices by 8%
in Sept auto
(India) Ltd's acquisition of bankrupt
Infrastructure Leasing and Financial
Services' 26 per cent stake in ONGC
Tripura Power Company (OTPC), GAIL said
RBI panel recommends that ARCs be allowed to bid for bankrupt firms
contracts
on Friday. OTPC is a special purpose DEV CHATTERJEE agement) by the ARC acquired
vehicle between Oil and Natural Gas Mumbai, 5 November through AIF and IBC should
Corporation (ONGC), IL&FS Group and Government of Tripura (GoT) not together exceed the AUM
L
for setting up of a 726.6 MW combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) enders to bankrupt acquired via SR issuance at
thermal power plant at Palatana, Tripura. ONGC holds 50 per cent wireless telephone any time, the panel said.
interest in the company in the project that supplies electricity to the companies, Aircel and As of now, the ARCs as
northeastern states. Tripura government holds 0.5 per cent while Reliance Communications, secured creditors are allowed
India Infrastructure Fund II holds the balance 23.5 per cent stake. are pinning their hopes on the to resolve their financial
"NCLT has granted approval for the acquisition of 26 per cent equity Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) assets through the IBC pro-
stake of Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services (IL&FS) Group by panel report recommending cess, but the current regu-
GAIL (India) Ltd in OTPC," GAIL said in a stock exchange filing. PTI asset resolution companies latory framework does not
(ARCs) to bid for companies allow them to bid as resolu-
undergoing bankruptcy pro- tion applicants or bidders
Sun TV Networks Happiest Minds aims cess. under the IBC.
reports Q2 PAT to lower revenue With the next hearing of The main rationale was
the Aircel debt resolution in With the next hearing of the Aircel debt resolution in Delhi that the legal and regulatory
at ~395.55 crore dependency on US Delhi High Court set for the High Court set for the third week in November, lenders are design of ARCs is focused on ISHITA AYAN DUTT forced to raise rates as prices
Sun TV Networks on Friday Happiest Minds Technologies, third week in November, hoping the dispute will end soon recovery of debt from the bor- Kolkata, 5 November have been rising globally since
reported a consolidated profit which last week reported a 30 lenders are hoping the dispute rower and not on resolution of restrictions were eased.
after tax (PAT) of ~395.55 crore per cent jump in net income at will end soon. allowed to go ahead as the RBI (NCLAT) on the dispute over the borrower’s insolvency. At ArcelorMittal Nippon Steel Sample this, domestic flat steel
for the second quarter ended over ~44 crore for the September The RBI panel report had earlier objected to the spectrum dues payable to the the same time, the Act does India (AM/NS India) has set- prices nearly doubled to
September 30. The company quarter, wants to bring down its released on November 2 has Aircel acquisition saying the government. provide tools to ARCs which tled contracts with major auto ~72,000 a tonne in June from
had reported a PAT of ~335.02 dependency on the world's recommended that ARCs ARCs cannot acquire bank- Lenders have ~45,000 could be used for insolvency companies for the July- ~38,000 a tonne a year ago,
crore in the July-September largest software market US to should be allowed to bid for rupt companies under the IBC crore exposure to Reliance resolution (example, change September period with an 8-9 while long steel prices rose 1.4
period a year ago, Sun TV Net- under-65 per cent on a sustain- bankruptcy cases under the laws. UV ARC had moved the Communications and the in/takeover of management, per cent hike in prices, passing times to ~57,900 a tonne.
work said in a BSE filing. Its able basis. The US is the single Insolvency and Bankruptcy Delhi HC in November last company has to also pay debt to equity conversion, on a part of the runaway steel Contract prices for auto com-
revenue from operations was largest revenue head for all Code (IBC) 2016 via securities year against the RBI’s notice ~30,837 crore as AGR dues till etc). However, ARCs in gen- prices to the end-user. panies were, however, lower.
~848.67 crore during the peri- domestic software firms prima- trusts or Alternate Investment warning of possible cancella- and March 2020 and has pro- eral, have not been using “We have settled for the The second wave of Covid-
od. It was ~768.69 crore in the rily because the country is the Fund structures. tion of the ARC’s registration vided for an additional charge these tools. July-September quarter with 19, however, weakened the
corresponding quarter of the most tech-savvy market with “The RBI has to file its over its move to acquire of ~4,713 crore for the year The panel said the regula- most of the auto OEMs (origi- domestic market and prices
previous fiscal. Sun TV Networks the highest adoption levels and reply to the Delhi HC by Aircel. Since then, the matter ended March 31 this year, tions should allow ARCs to nal equipment cooled during
total expenses were ~385.20 also the largest investor in tech- November third week and the was pending in court. according to its annual report. also use the IBC framework. manufacturers) July-September.
crore in Q2 of FY21-22. PTI nology and automation. PTI panel report will be brought Lenders have ~20,000 The RBI panel, which had The report said expertise and are also rev- STEEL CONTRACTS However, they
to the court’s attention by the crore exposure to Aircel and reviewed the role of ARCs in acquired through IBC in erting to six-mo- FOR AUTO SECTOR began rising
parties,” said a bank official. the company also owes an resolution of stressed assets, resolving borrower insolvency nthly contracts. n AM/NS India settles again from
Ola begins pilot of grocery Under the present regulatory additional ~14,000 crore to the has said ARCs may be allowed will help ARCs in maximising So, we have also contracts with major October, on the
exclusive rights
Mumbai, 5 November dinated debt. insurance company had years in the insurance busi- be negotiating contracts. cause an immediate impact on
The negative outlook fac- shown steady growth in over- ness and a 4.67 per cent mar- Sources indicated that JSW our auto clients, who are cur-
Uncertainty in getting a tors in its maintaining a cush- all financial performance. ket share in the sector as on Steel is in discussion to close rently facing headwinds due
strategic investor is casting a ion on the solvency ratio RGICL reported an income September 30, 2021. The com- the contract, but for the to the chip shortage. We have
+
to Cairn brand shadow on the profile of
Reliance General Insurance
Company Ltd (RGICL), a sub-
higher than the minimum
regulatory norm as the cur-
rent parent is not in a position
of ~727 crore in FY21 (~559
crore in FY20) and profit after
tax of ~208 crore in FY21 (~259
pany has a diversified distri-
bution network with 129
branches across India, with
September quarter, which normalised the increase over
would be finalised soon. two periods for ease of auto
The status of Tata Steel’s companies,” said Dhar. “AM/-
TWESH MISHRA After being taken over by sidiary of Anil Ambani-con- to provide it financial support, crore in FY20). The insurance the support of around 30,000 contracts is not known. But NS India firmly believes in a
New Delhi, 5 November Vedanta Group, the domestic trolled Reliance Capital. if needed. firm has adequate liquidity. Its agents. Tata Steel, JSW Steel, and symbiotic relationship with all
company, Cairn India, disas- While its track record, According to Brickwork, cash and bank balance was Intense competition is one AM/NS India supply about 90 our customers as the relation-
Cairn Energy, the Scottish oil sociated itself from Cairn experienced management Reliance Capital carries a “D” ~169.97 crore at the end of of the credit risks for the com- per cent of the steel require- ship is not spot but very long
and gas exploration company, Energy. They companies are team, and diversified product rating. The solvency ratio is a September 2021. The nearest pany because it has to con- ments of auto companies. term in nature,” he added.
will change its name to Capri- separate legal entities with dif- offers work as strengths, the measure of the risk an insurer debt repayment is the coupon tinuously come up with dif- Discussions for auto con- Typically, auto contracts
corn Energy on December 13. ferent promoters and share- weak credit profile of its par- faces of claims that it cannot payment of ~21 crore towards ferent products. Acquiring tracts are protracted. For are settled for a period of six
The LSE stock ticker of the holders. Cairn India was later ent and intense competition absorb. The ratio gives an the subordinate debt pro- new businesses with a lower instance, the June quarter months. But the volatility in
company will remain CNE. merged into Vedanta Ltd in act as constraints. insight into the ability of an gramme, falling due on premium ticket size is com- contracts were closed by most prices witnessed last year
“This follows an agreement 2017 and renamed as Cairn Oil Brickworks Rating, which organisation to meet its finan- August 16, 2022. The subordi- petitive. RGICL faces compe- companies towards the end of prompted companies to move
at the time of the Cairn India and Gas. had placed the debt of the cial obligations. Its solvency nated debt repayment of ~230 tition from the private as well June with a 10-12 per cent to quarterly contracts. Now,
Initial Public Offering that the Prachur Sah, deputy CEO, company on watch since ratio was 1.65 times in FY21, crore is due on August 17, as public sector general insur- escalation in prices. AM/NS India is switching back
name would ulti- Cairn Oil & Gas, said: November 2020, has assigned up from 1.52 per cent in FY20. 2026. ance companies in India. Steel firms have been to half-year contracts.
mately be changed,” Cairn Energy will “The disassociation
a statement on the be Capricorn of Cairn Oil & Gas
Cairn Energy web- Energy from from Scottish com-
site said.
“Cairn Energy
December 13 pany Cairn Energy
was always a matter
will discontinue the use of the of fact. This clarity will help us
Lenders to McLeod Russel sign ICA for debt resolution
brand name ‘Cairn’ as part of disengage from issues involv- signed/executed an ICA to ating corporate insolvency res-
its corporate identity by ing Cairn Energy.”
ISHITA AYAN DUTT
Kolkata, 5 November provide for ground rules for
HOW IT UNFOLDED olution process (CIRP) against
December 2021,” Vedanta said Cairn Energy was in a dis- finalization and implementa- August 6: NCLT, New Delhi, admits the company.
in a statement. “The brand pute with the government on Banking lenders to McLeod tion of resolution plan in application filed by Techno for The application was
‘Cairn’ is exclusively owned by retrospective tax. The Centre Russel India have signed an respect of borrower/company, initiating CIRP against admitted, but McLeod reached
Vedanta,” the statement eventually gave in and agreed inter creditor agreement (ICA) the notice read. Sources said, McLeod Russel a settlement with the creditor
added. to a settlement with Cairn as part of debt resolution “Banks are working on the res- August 29: McLeod files application and the NCLT accepted an
The word ‘cairn’ in Scottish Energy. efforts. olution and it will get com- application for withdrawal
for withdrawal from CIRP
Gaelic means a pile of stones. “Given the recent legis- Disclosing the signing of pleted very soon.” under Section 12A on
Commenting on the lative change in India and our ICA with its consortium of Broadly, the plan will September 3: NCLT, New Delhi, September 3.
change, Vedanta Chief Exec- participation in the related tax lenders, the company said in a include a combination of cap- allows application for withdrawal The debt resolution discus-
utive Officer (CEO) Sunil refund process, we are now stock exchange filing on Friday ital infusion by promoters and November 5: McLeod informs stock sion with banks resumed there-
Duggal said: “When Cairn putting in place the planned that the Reserve Bank of India restructuring of balance debt. exchanges about inter-creditor after. Some lenders were
Energy exited its Indian oper- name change,” Cairn Energy (RBI) issued directions for McLeod owes banks about deal with consortium of lenders already on board. The compa-
ations in 2011 after selling its said. “The majority of Cairn’s ‘Prudential Framework for ~1,800 crore and with unpaid ny’s notes to first quarter resu-
stake to Vedanta Group, it con- subsidiaries have been known Resolution of Stressed Assets’ interest, the total amount is lts had mentioned that the ICA
tinued to use the brand name as Capricorn for some time. It which came into immediate said to be around ~2,300 crore. ceedings filed against the com- a comprehensive debt restruc- process was paused when for arriving at and implement-
‘Cairn’ though the brand is an established name across effect i.e. June 7, 2019. The filing to the exchanges pany by Techno Electric & turing under June 7, 2019 cir- Techno filed an application ing the resolution plan had
‘Cairn’ is owned by Vedanta our global operations,” the Pursuant to the provisions, comes about two months after Engineering, a financial cred- cular of the RBI had been in the before the National Company already been confirmed and
(erstwhile Cairn India).” company added. all banking lenders have the withdrawal insolvency pro- itor. Discussions with banks for works for a while. However, the Law Tribunal (NCLT) for initi- signed by certain lenders.
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X
.
NEW DELHI | 6 NOVEMBER 2021 COMPANIES 3 <
B
harti Airtel aims at leveraging its 338 position than it was a month ago. While Meanwhile, the NCLT will start to see
180 million-plus digital service cus- this should help in clearing the backlog attrition from June with several
tomers and wide presence in rural 254 of cases in the short term, experts feel members retiring. Many have
areas to grow its payment bank business. the authority needs to be strength- just one year of service left.
“We are well placed as we can leverage ened with adequate training, infrastruc- For the judges recently
the over 180 million customers we have ture and mechanisms to ensure independ- appointed, the NCLT held a
across our digital assets. We offer a pleth- ence from the government. was to colloquium on IBC, company law
ora of services, such as lucrative interest 2019 2020 2021 Earlier this month, the government deal with cases under the company law. among other subjects.
rates, gift cards, FASTags, telecom Financial year appointed eight judicial and ten techni- However, these days the adjudicating Judges play a critical role in insol-
recharges, payments and debit cards. Our cal members at the NCLT Benches after authority is mostly dealing with cases vency proceedings and must be inde-
large merchant base of more than 8 mil- the Supreme Court (SC) directed the related to the Insolvency and Bankruptcy pendent and competent in today’s soci-
lion allows us to drive both engagement posts be filled immediately. Of the 63 Code (IBC). ety. We need trained and skilled judges
and monetisation. This is one area that sanctioned posts, 43 are now occupied. “The strength sanctioned does not to conduct such adjudications success-
is now seeing solid traction,” Bharti will be a significant growth driver along stack digital account. It is this advantage The government recently advertised for take into account the added workload of fully and quickly,” said Sonam
Airtel’s chief executive officer (CEO) with its enterprise and digital businesses. that has enabled us to get into leadership 15 more posts for six technical and nine NCLT. IBC has become primary work. Chandwani, managing partner, KS Legal
Gopal Vittal had said in a post results’ A surge in digital transactions across in the remittance market. A second big judicial members. There will be a shortage of members till and Associates.
conference call. the country over the past few years and opportunity is Aadhaar-enabled payment “Most new members have resumed this is addressed,” a senior NCLT official IBC and company law practitioners
Airtel’s payment bank began opera- wider adoption of 4G-enabled smart- systems. This segment is expected to grow office recently. In the next two to three said. have raised the issue of lack of domain
tions in 2016 – first among the seven pay- phones are expected to drive digital trans- over 45 per cent CAGR (compound annual months we should see some difference As of August 2021, nearly 21,000 cases expertise among NCLT members as one
ment banks that are currently opera- actions further. Airtel’s presence in tier 3 growth rate) over the next four years. We in the pendency of cases,” a senior official were pending at the NCLT. Of these, of the big challenges in the judicial pro-
tional in the country. Airtel Payments cities also gives it an edge over competi- are also driving financial inclusion by said. Two of the most important appoint- 13,000 related to IBC and the remaining cess.
Bank has a customer base of around 115 tors, Vittal added. being a key player in the distribution of ments happened on October 29. Justice dealt with company law. A senior lawyer also said the NCLT
million with a monthly transacting user “With 0.5 million business correspon- various government-sponsored schemes,” Ashok Bhushan, a former SC judge, was To make best use of the available has to stay independent of the govern-
base of 31 million. dents (retail agents engaged by banks), we Vittal said. appointed chairperson of the NCLT and resources, some members are doubling ment in matters where the government
Vittal said the payment bank’s revenue are well ahead of anyone else in the mar- The payment bank’s take rate (rate of Justice Ramalingam Sudhakar, former up for other Benches as well. For is one of the litigants.
is close to ~1,000 crore on an annual basis ket. To put this in context, our total pay- conversion of gross merchandise volume chief justice of Manipur High Court, was instance, in the absence of any judicial “While the increase in strength is
and the bank made profit at both operating ments bank distribution is two times that into revenue) is 0.74 per cent. This is named president. member at the Allahabad Bench, a great news for NCLT, will it improve juris-
and net basis in the second quarter. of the total ATMs and bank branches in among the highest in the industry, he Some NCLT members also point out member of the Kochi Bench has stepped prudence or quality of judgments?” he
Airtel believes that payments banks the country. This allows us to offer a full added. that the original mandate of the NCLT in. asked.
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4 ECONOMY & PUBLIC AFFAIRS
.>
NEW DELHI | 6 NOVEMBER 2021
<
T
he Centre’s move to cut Yuvika Singhal, economist
excise duty on petrol by at QuantEco Research, said the for tax revenue, net
~5 a litre and on diesel direct and indirect impact of to Centre (~ trillion)
by ~10 a litre could reduce the the Centre's steps would be 0.13
consumer price index (CPI) percentage points on the CPI
Budget estimate
inflation rate by up to 0.30 per- inflation rate each. “The com- 15.45
centage points. bined impact would be in the ICRA’s estimate after
However, not all of it will be range of 0.25-0.30 percentage six months*
visible in the November infla- points,” she said.
tion data, which will be The CPI cooled to a five- 16.85
released in December, as the month low of 4.35 per cent in Estimate after revenue
second round impact takes September from 5.59 per cent loss due to fuel tax cut
time to take effect.
Meanwhile, petrol prices
in the previous month.
Petrol has a weighting of
16.5
Source: Union Budget, ICRA,
were down by ~5.26 to ~6.77 a 2.19 per cent, while it is 0.15 per BS calculations
litre and diesel rates were lower cent for diesel in the CPI. * ICRA estimates that
Centre’s net tax revenue
by ~11.16 to ~12.48 per litre in Petrol’s price rise remained will be ~1.4 trillion higher
the four major metros — Delhi, elevated even as it moderated
Mumbai, Chennai, and Kolkata
TRACKING THE INDEX DROP IN FUEL PRICES to 22.26 per cent in September
than budgeted
— as on November 4, when the Month CPI (In % YoY) Petrol Diesel Prices in four metros in ~/litre from 24.01 per cent in the pre-
cuts were enforced, over those Jan-21 4.06 12.53 10.61 vious month. The diesel infla- ABHISHEK WAGHMARE Some research agencies have put a higher
Before excise After excise Change in
on November 3 and held on to Feb-21 5.03 20.67 20.69 duty cut* duty cut** prices# tion rate rose to 22.44 per cent Pune, 5 November number on the revenue loss. Nomura, for
those rates on November 5. Mar-21 5.52 NA NA from 22.06 per cent during this instance, finds that the revenue loss for the
However, petrol prices ruled Petrol Diesel Petrol Diesel Petrol Diesel period. The inflation rate in After nearly 18 months, the Union govern- remaining part of FY22 will be ~45,000 crore.
over ~100 a litre in all these four
Apr-21 4.23 NA NA these two items of fuels ment cut a slice from the exorbitant rates of “We revise our estimate of the fiscal deficit to
Delhi 110.04 98.42 103.97 86.67 6.07 11.75
metros, while diesel rates came May-21 6.3 NA NA remained over 20 per cent tax on petrol and diesel. The cut of ~5 per litre 6.5 per cent of GDP (previously 6.2 per cent)
down below ~100. Before the Jun-21 6.26 NA NA Mumbai 115.85 106.62 109.98 94.14 6.77 12.48 since February this year. on petrol and ~10 per litre on diesel will pro- versus the budget target of 6.8 per cent,” it said.
duty cut, diesel prices were Jul-21 5.59 23.7 24.27 Chennai 106.66 102.59 101.4 91.43 5.26 11.16
ICRA Chief Economist Aditi vide relief to millions of consumers. But, as Reduction in fuel prices at retail level will
below ~100 a litre in Delhi. Aug-21 5.3 24.01 23.61 Nayar said the first order with any tax cut, this will hit the govern- also ease inflation to some extent. After all,
Several NDA-ruled states Sep-21 4.35 22.26 23.21 Kolkata 110.49 101.56 104.67 89.79 5.82 11.77 impact of the Centre's meas- ment’s treasury. How much? transportation is a cost borne by the masses,
such as Uttar Pradesh, ures would be visible in the A Business Standard analysis shows the and inflation in that segment has been the
Note: Detail CPI inflation is not available from March * On November 3; **on November 4
Himachal Pradesh, Bihar, to June Source: MoSPI, PPAC #After duty cuts from pre-duty cuts in ~/litre November CPI data, which Centre will lose close to ~35,000 crore owing highest in a decade. “The tax cuts should
Gujarat, Goa, Karnataka, should now range between 3.5 to the decision. Sounds like a big loss to the lower headline CPI inflation by 0.14 percent-
Uttarakhand, Assam, Manipur, per cent and 4 per cent, allow- exchequer, but this amount will remain in the age points due to direct effects, and up to 0.3
and Tripura have reduced months this fiscal year, official impact and hence could be reduction in fuel cost passed on ing a breather ahead of the next consumers’ pockets for consumption in the percentage points, if indirect effects are
value-added tax on these two sources said. However, an around 0.1 percentage point, he to consumers by producers. It review by the RBI’s monetary remaining part of the financial year. included,” it added.
fuels, which has further low- increase in demand for fuels said. “We expect around 0.3 may start reflecting on prices policy committee. In other words, an amount worth nearly 0.15 This is how the calculation on the poten-
ered the retail prices in these due to reduction in prices percentage point reduction from next month or whenever CRISIL Chief Economist D per cent of gross domestic product will be tial loss to the exchequer has been done. The
states. Uttarakhand saw an could somewhat alter the from the point of view of CPI truckers decide on revision in K Joshi said the move was pos- available to Indians for private consumption Centre has earned revenue at the older
~11.69 a litre decline in petrol numbers given above. inflation,” he said. freight rates,” he said. itive for the growth-inflation for five months. This is nothing less than a (higher) rates for seven months of this finan-
prices and Shimla witnessed Madan Sabnavis, chief Devendra Pant, chief econ- Rahul Bajoria, chief India mix and would help curb fuel stimulus to spend. cial year. As regards petrol and diesel, 40-42
~17.33 per litre lower diesel economist at CARE Ratings, omist at India Ratings, said the economist at Barclays, said inflation and support growth. And the Centre need not worry because of per cent is consumed in the past five months,
prices as on November 5 com- said the direct impact of the direct impact of the cut would overall, the direct impact of “Its impact will be visible in robust revenues from personal and corporate on average, a look at their consumption in
pared to November 3. Centre's measures would be lead to a 0.15 percentage point this tax reduction would be the November CPI data, to be income taxes. The Centre has garnered 55 per previous years tells us.
On the other hand, the 0.18-0.2 percentage points on decline in the retail headline 0.12 percentage points on the released by December 12. The cent of its annual receipts in the first six The government expected ~3.2 trillion this
measures could cost the Union CPI inflation. However, the sec- inflation rate. CPI in November, and it would second round effects will be months of 2021-22 against the usual average year from the two fuels in the full financial
government around ~60,000 ondary impact would be “The second round impact lead to an indirect impact of visible over the next few of 40 per cent in the first half. Further, growth year at the older tax rates, according to the
crore in the remaining five around 50 per cent of the direct will depend on the extent of 0.12 percentage point reduc- months,” he said. over FY20 (two years) has been strong at Union Budget 2021-22. Probable revenue from
31 per cent, falling in line with the average the last five months has been calculated using
annual revenue increase of 14 per cent in nor- the share mentioned above. Further, petrol
mal times. accounts for nearly 30 per cent in the retail
Inflation holds key to rein in govt’s fiscal deficit casual labourers. It was signed last
week. A very small one was the waiver of
a ~300 per month charge on senior
management grade officers for the
The first of a three-part series looks at the despite the Finance Commission’s
forbearance. So meeting the fiscal deficit
laptops given to them for official use. In
fact, the government-run marketplace,
relationship between inflation, govt finances targets could come at a cost.
Borrowing maths: Finance ministry
e-GEM, has suddenly found a huge
bump-up in its order books as
SUBHOMOY BHATTACHARJEE deficit of 6.8 per cent for FY22 looks officials have discovered the government departments have begun to
New Delhi, 5 November likely to be achieved. The Department of expenditure of the Centre in FY22 is place invoices for all sorts of expenses —
Investment and Public Asset running behind the rate for FY21. from laptops to sundry office
The surging inflation is welcome news Management in the finance ministry has According to the updated monthly data equipment. More orders to stimulate
for the finance ministry as it seeks to said that the sale of Bharat Petroleum of the Controller General of expenditure in government
come close to achieving the fiscal deficit Corporation and the listing of Life Accounts, the expenditure of ministries are expected in the
target for FY22. Insurance Corporation will happen in the Centre is at 46.7 per cent HIGH INFLATION, next few weeks.
The good news will stay even though FY22, bringing in the projected ~1.75 of the Budget Estimates for IF IT PERSISTS IN While the finance ministry
the rising rates have begun to push up trillion to government receipts. the first six months of the THE NEXT FISCAL has been liberal with the
the cost of government borrowing. The reason why higher inflation year, against 48.6 per cent YEAR, COULD spending plans of key
“The average cost of borrowing by (consumer price index [CPI] or last year. This includes both CREATE DIFFICULT ministries from the
the Centre will not move much this wholesale price index [WPI]) helps in capital and revenue POLICY CHOICES beginning of the year, it will
financial year,” said Pinaki Chakraborty, lowering the estimated fiscal deficit is expenditure. FOR FINANCE be a tough task to spend their
director, National Institute of Public simple. The fiscal deficit, which is the A major item of additional MINISTER entire budget. In FY20, the
Finance and Policy. difference between the revenue expenditure could SITHARAMAN year before Covid, these
The weighted average expenditure of the be the proposed extension of FOR THE NEXT ministries — health,
borrowing cost in FY21 was government by way of the scheme for supplying an FISCAL YEAR education, rural
5.79 per cent, which was the revenue, capital, and loans net ILLUSTRATION: BINAY SINHA additional 5 kg of food grains development, and drinking
lowest in the past 17 years, of repayments, on the one however, the numbers as of now show whom the ministry plans to tap per person per month, as a water and sanitation, with
and the weighted average hand, and revenue receipts the effect of higher inflation will aggressively in FY23, by pushing for Covid help measure. The PM Garib budgets of about ~1 trillion and more for
maturity was 14.49 years, plus capital receipts (net of overwhelm the higher subsidy. inclusion in the global bond indices. But Kalyan Anna Yojana ends this month. each — had an unspent balance of
according to the finance borrowing) is calculated as a High inflation, if it persists in the next it might need the government to cut its However, officials have factored in an ~47,808 crore at the end of the year.
ministry data. percentage of nominal GDP — fiscal year, could create difficult policy capital expenditure as it is the only space extension till the end of this fiscal year, This year, because the relaxation in
The combined deficit of nominal GDP because the way choices for Finance Minister Nirmala where there is scope for a cut. which will cost the government another spending orders has come close to the
the Central government SHADES OF it is calculated on current Sitharaman for FY23. Government capital expenditure is ~53,000 crore. firming up of the Budget numbers, the
and the states is expected to
moderate. An India Ratings
INFLATION prices includes the inflation
component.
“High inflation, like steroids, helps
government estimates look good
budgeted to grow to 2.49 per cent of GDP
in FY22, consistently raising its share
Overall, while the food and fertiliser
subsidies will exceed the budget targets,
expectations of a shortfall in
expenditure are similar. This is the
report issued last week
shows the states have in
PART-I To estimate the real rate of
GDP growth, statisticians net
initially but in subsequent years makes
it difficult to project any of the numbers
since FY19.
The Central government accounts
the trends in others are not so certain.
To expedite expenditure, the finance
reason the Department of Economic
Affairs has projected no increase in
aggregate borrowed 10 per out inflation using a GDP accurately,” said Deep N Mukherjee, for about one-third of the public capital ministry has begun to relax austerity- borrowing programmes for the year
cent less than what they deflator, a weighted average of visiting professor of finance at the spend. The states will find it difficult to linked circulars given to central from the markets. The higher interest
had announced at the beginning of the the CPI and WPI. In September, the Indian Institute of Management meet their two- share of two-thirds. ministries to bring their expenditure to rates, as Chakraborty says, will not skew
financial year. former was currently running at 4.35 per Calcutta. The minister has to take a call According to the CARE Ratings data, a dead halt from April 2020. the bill for interest on borrowings,
Balancing maths: This is also the cent and the latter at 10.66 per cent. on whether to keep the fiscal deficit for eight of the largest states are running a The big relaxations of late include projected at ~8.09 trillion for FY22.
sense within the finance ministry as Higher inflation would therefore shrink FY23 unchanged or assume more fiscal revenue deficit in the first five months of the grant of a bonus equivalent to 30 Higher inflation and the consequent
discussions with the line ministries are the deficit just as a higher subsidy consolidation. Fiscal consolidation will FY22. It means they will have to cut back days’ pay to non-executive employees of rise in the interest rates will begin to bite
about to be wrapped up. The fiscal reduces nominal GDP. On balance, be rewarded by foreign borrowers, on capex to meet their deficit targets the Central government, including into government finances in FY23.
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6 ECONOMY & PUBLIC AFFAIRS
>
NEW DELHI | 6 NOVEMBER 2021 1
T
he Union government India is currently negotia- fessor of Indian Council for
on Friday said there was ting free trade agreements Australia: Comprehensive Research on International Eco-
no proposal at present (FTAs) with the UK, the Economic Cooperation nomic Relations’ trade policy
An anti-smog gun being used to spray water droplets to curb to extend the distribution of European Union, the United Agreement by end-2022; and WTO research progra-
air pollution, as a thick layer of smog engulfs Delhi following free ration as part of the Arab Emirates, and Australia. early-harvest agreement to mme, said India should be
Diwali celebrations, on Friday PHOTO: PTI Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan In most cases, India is be signed by December 25 mindful of the past experience
Yojana (PMGKAY-3) beyond approaching a strategy to first of FTAs, especially concerning
Delhi recorded its poorest post- after residents flouted the ban November 30. ink a mini trade or early-har- EU: Talks expected to start EHAs, since they have resulted
Diwali air quality in five years on firecrackers to celebrate It’s because the economy is vest deal, which will be a pre- by year end in adverse developments for
on Friday with a deadly cocktail Diwali and emissions from reviving and the open market cursor to an FTA that will be India. “EHAs have to be
of noxious fumes from farm fires in the region peaked sale scheme disposal of food- signed eventually. drafted carefully. Earlier, we
firecrackers and stubble
burning pushing the 24-
at 36 per cent. Residents in
many parts of Delhi-NCR
grains has been exceptionally
good this year, Food Secretary Retail edible oil prices Without disclosing names,
Union Commerce and
While industry and govern-
ment officials have said signing
had signed an FTA with
Thailand, which also had an
average AQI to 462, according complained of an itchy throat Sudhanshu Pandey said on Industry Minister Piyush Goyal early-harvest agreements EHA component. It only
to data from the Central
Pollution Control Board (CPCB).
and watery eyes on Friday.
The neighbouring cities of
Friday. The PMGKAY was
announced in March 2020 to
drop by ~5-20 per kg had said two more countries
and a group of nations have
(EHAs) can be a good strategy
since it signals commitment
resulted in an inverted duty
structure and India suffered
The 24-hour average air Faridabad (469), Greater Noida address the Covid distress. Edible oil prices in the major in Indonesia, Brazil and other evinced an interest to start FTA from both nations and kicks off quite a bit. One has to ensure
quality index (AQI) the day after (464), Ghaziabad (470), Initially, the scheme was retail markets across the countries. “The government talks with India — a harbinger trade in a small (albeit limited) that there is no adverse effect
Diwali was 435 last year, 368 in Gurgaon (472) and Noida (475) launched for the April-June country have declined by ~5- has taken a number of steps to of the world wanting to do way, some believe the targets through an inverted duty
2019; 390 in 2018; 403 in 2017 also recorded ‘severe’ air 2020 period but was further 20 per kg after various ensure consumers get relief business with India. are too grandiose right now. structure,” said Hoda.
and 445 in 2016. The AQI was pollution levels. The Delhi extended till November 30. measures, including an import from high prices. We are happy
382 on Diwali day this year, 414 government had announced a Under the PMGKAY, the duty cut, by the government, to share the trend from 167
Congress leader Navjot Singh Sidhu on Friday said he has culated using compounding the tonnes each year. This would cut
withdrawn his resignation as Punjab Congress chief, over a month growth rate from 2022 to 2030. India’s annual emissions by 2.5-3 per
after he took the decision to step down from the post. “I have cent by 2030.
taken back my resignation,” he said. Making the announcement, #Mission2030 Target 2: Meet 50% envisaged that the emission intensity of its economy agreement, India planned to reduce the intensity
Sidhu, however, said he will assume charge the day Punjab will of energy requirement from #Mission2030 Target 4: Reduce would reduce by 25 per cent from the 2005 levels by by 35 per cent (from 2005 levels) by 2030. In Glasgow
get a new Advocate General. He had earlier expressed his renewable energy carbon intensity of its economy the year 2020. In its assessment, India found and 2021, the prime minister made the target further
reservations over the appointment of senior advocate A P S Deol as Today, India produces 24 per cent of the by less than 45% reported that intensity was cut by 24 per cent in ambitious by announcing that India will cut the car-
the state's advocate general. PTI electricity generation from renewable In its voluntary pledge in 2010, India had 2016 itself, way ahead of the target. In the 2016 Paris bon intensity by 45 per cent of 2005 levels by 2030.
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NEW DELHI | 6 NOVEMBER 2021 TAKE TWO 7 <
Satellites can
The future of digital-only news
fourths of the ~23,500-crore adver- standing who is likely to pay or not.
tising money spent on digital. This If I push the wrong user to a pay-
leaves just about 20-30 per cent for
thousands of digital brands. To this,
wall, I will lose him. Algorithms on
who needs to be shown the paywall track carbon
The first lot of these online entities is finally
add the pandemic. “During both
these (Covid) waves, users and inven-
are critical,” reckons Gupt. This
requires investing in artificial intel- pledges made
PRINT - THE ONLINE READERSHIP STORY tory increased but revenue fell,” says ligence (AI), key to Google and
by nations
making money. But regulation and the > DEC-17
Puneet Gupt, COO, Times Internet. Facebook’s dominance.
That’s the second question:
Total unique visitors/ % reach Average minutes
availability of capital will determine viewers (in million) per visitor
The push for pay where is the capital? HENRY FOUNTAIN
The Morning Context was set up in “Raising money is a challenge,” 5 November
their future Total internet audience 273 100.0 2,933.4 late 2020 with funds from friends says Vellore. “In the short-term, rev-
News/information category 222 81.1 95.9 and family. The idea behind the sub- enue models are not defined. Three Under the 2015 Paris
scription-based business site was to years back it was possible to build Agreement to limit global
News media firm do “long form quality journalism,” a business on the back of advertis- warming, nations must
The Times Of India sites 85 31.2 41.6 says Ashish K Mishra, editor-in- ing. Now, that may be true only for measure and report progress
chief. It claims to have a renewal rate the bigger guys. The future of inde- toward their pledged reduc-
India Today Group 61 22.2 14.4
of 60 per cent on its small base. pendent media in India will involve tions in emissions. They reg-
“Annual subscribers are in sync with some element of reader revenue.” ularly submit greenhouse gas
THE TOP INDIAN NEWS PROVIDERS ONLINE the product. They hang out longer Mishra adds, “To build a sustain- inventories, detailing emis-
> JUL-21 and their renewal rates are higher, able business you need capital for sion sources as well as
Total unique visitors/ % reach Average minutes too,” says Mishra. three years. However, to raise even removals, or sinks, of the gas-
viewers (in million) per visitor Many of the early movers and a million dollars (~7.5 crore), we es. These are then reviewed
legacy brands are learning what The need permissions. No Venture cap- by technical experts.
Total internet audience 468 100 3,991.10 Morning Context has within the first italist (VC) or benefactor wants to One new project, Climate
News/information category 461 98.5 153.6 few months. “It is important for us go through that. The Wire is a Trace, which former US Vice
News media firm not to chase reach. What really helps Section 25 (non-profit) company; President Al Gore described
us is deeper investment in our stories for-profit firms need to build some at an event alongside the
Times Internet Limited 395 84.4 83.9
and video to get subscribers,” says proof of concept.” COP26 summit in Glasgow,
Zee Digital 244 52.1 14.6 Ritu Kapur, co-founder and manag- Bahl agrees, “VCs are not invest- uses artificial intelligence and
VANITA KOHLI-KHANDEKAR investor in the site. Its flagship, The Network 18 229 49.0 18.1 ing director, The Quint. ing in media; they prefer e-com- machine learning to analyse
Pune, 5 November Quint, shut the year with ~22 crore HT Media Group 191 40.7 7.7 As the focus shifts, “it (the busi- merce or ed-tech. They will not satellite imagery and sensor
in revenues. “It has been profitable ness) becomes a mix of advertising fund your path to profitability, but data to come up with what it
“Unmasking the killer behind the for the last four quarters and in the
The Indian Express Group 173 36.9 6.0 and subscription, and both have may come in if you are profitable.” says are accurate emissions
Cobra: How Kerala cops cracked current one it generated free cash India Today Group 167 35.8 6.8 different compulsions,” says Gupt. The Information Technology estimates in near-real time.
the case.” flow,” he adds. Dailyhunt 156 33.3 58.8 While immediacy of news is impor- (Intermediary Guidelines and But Nasa researchers and
“Tiger T-23 captured alive in the Six years after its launch, NDTV 133 28.5 5.2 tant for the ad-driven audience, Digital Media Ethics Code) Rules, colleagues Wednesday
Nilgiris after 21-day hunt.” Inshorts, which offers news stories depth is more important for sub- 2021, notified by the Indian govern- reported what they called a
from different newspapers, agen- Jagran New Media 107 22.8 7.0 scribers. It is, however, the adver- ment in February this year, have milestone toward a different
T
hese were some headlines on cies and websites crunched to 60 TV9 Network 103 22.0 7.1 tising part that is the “mainstay for posed another challenge. The code goal: measuring the actual
The News Minute (TNM) on a words each, is one of India’s largest Source - Comscore MMX Multi-platform Reports, India, June 2021 building subscriptions. Though has a grievance redressal mecha- changes in carbon dioxide
typical morning this October. news aggregators. In 2019, it ARPU (average revenue per user) nism with a heavy regulatory hand. concentrations in the atmos-
The news launched Public, an open news plat- 2022,” says co-founder and CEO, Comscore India (see chart). “But on subscription is 20 to 30 times While it has been taken to court, phere. The researchers said
site founded by Dhanya Rajendran, form a la YouTube. Till early this Azhar Iqubal. how do you monetise?” she asks. that of advertising, it will start the fact remains that setting up and that by plugging satellite
Chitra Subramaniam and Vignesh year, it had 60,000 “creators”, The Quint, TNM and Inshorts are That’s the first big question. showing only when there are tens running an independent news measurements of CO2 into an
Vellore remains resolutely focused including ward members, MPs, the happy green shoots of some- Ad rates for digital news remain of millions of users,” Gupt adds. organisation has got tougher. Earth-systems model, they
on India’s five southern MLAs, among local residents, in thing that began in 2014 – the rise woefully low at ~50 to ~250 for every Currently, India has less than a mil- What drives traffic in the were able to detect small
states. “We don’t touch on other hundreds of small towns who use of journalism-driven websites offer- thousand unique visitors, according lion subscribers to news sites. cacophony of thousands of sources reductions in atmospheric
states. Our niche is here,” says it to upload short videos on local ing or aggregating news. The num- to data from media buying agency Entertainment OTTs, by compari- is credibility. “The source of news concentration of the gas over
Vellore, CEO, TNM. happenings. Public brings in about ber of Indians accessing news Lodestar UM. Print gets six times and son, have over 60 million. online has become important,” says the United States and other
This, along with its on-ground 80 per cent of Inshorts’ 75 million online has risen from 150 million TV three times that. Google Reaching, say, 10-20 million pay- Shrikant Shenoy, general manager, areas that were a result of
journalism, has meant that six years unique users. In March 2021, in 2016 to over 461 million in July and Facebook, by virtue of being the ing subscribers is tough even for the Lodestar UM. The trickle of rev- coronavirus lockdowns in
later, “TNM is very close to prof- Inshorts got over ~102 crore in rev- 2021. “The sheer time spent online biggest gateways into the internet, ~1,625-crore Times Internet, which enues into the digital news ecosys- early 2020.
itability,” says Raghav Bahl, co- enue. “If everything goes well, we and competition have increased,” have the largest audience. In 2020, has 395 million unique visitors. “Lot tem then is the proof of concept that
founder Quint Media and an should hit ~150-160 crore in FY says Neha Singh, sales director, they walked away with roughly three- of data science goes into under- investors need. @2021 The New York Times
> PART-7 N N N
academic’s journey
because payments being
dead outside Berlin embassy of the disease. Last month, Merck &
and partner Ridgeback Biotherap-
able. A Pfizer spokesperson said sub-
missions to other regulatory agencies
virus from replicating itself. Some
drugs for HIV work in a similar way.
the global stage with a low-key
trip to Europe where he's culti-
low-key trip to Europe
A Russian diplomat was found dead last month outside eutics LP submitted their experimen- will occur shortly after the US filing. BLOOMBERG vating like horticulture. It’s a far knowledge of the matter and one
the country's embassy in the German capital, it has cry from the height of Ma's Beijing government source.
emerged. According to BBC, the man's body was statesman-like powers in 2017 Alibaba’s government rela-
discovered on the pavement on 19 October by police when he travelled to New York tions team was subsequently told
To build metaverse, Meta first wants to build stores many of their bond investors
didn’t know were there in the
first place. Missed payments on
off-balance sheet IOUs such as
separate entity. The repeated sh-
ocks have only worsened inve-
stor sentiment. An index track-
ing developer shares slumped as
The company has discussed opening physical stores to showcase its virtual reality and augmented reality devices high-yield consumer products,
secretive loans and private bond
much as 3.3 per cent on Friday
to its lowest level since March
MIKE ISAAC like “curiosity, closeness,” as well as Labs division has had modest past guarantees have rocked China’s 2017. China Aoyuan tumbled ov-
5 November a sense of feeling “welcomed” while success with the Oculus Quest 2, a credit market in recent weeks. er 15 per cent. Shimao Group dol-
experimenting with headsets in a low-priced headset that was pop- Dollar bondholders are lar bond due 2026 sank about 10
One of Mark Zuckerberg’s first steps “judgment free journey,” according ular last year, virtual reality remai- struggling to know their place cents to 71 cents on the dollar.
toward building the metaverse may to the documents. ns a niche market for hobbyists and in the repayment queue in the The rout has sent junk dollar
be physical instead of virtual. Discussions about physical enthusiasts. “We are, at best guess, event of a default, forcing a dra- bond yields toward 22 per cent.
Meta, the social media stores predated Facebook’s at least five to 10 years out from a matic repricing of risk that’s all That makes it prohibitively
company formerly known as rebranding by many months, with fully fleshed out Meta product or but frozen the primary market expensive for firms to tap the off-
Facebook, has discussed opening serious work on the initiative service,” said Tim Derdenger, a for developers. shore market to repay debt as
retail stores that will eventually having started last year, the people professor at Carnegie Mellon Univ- Kaisa Group said it failed to they did in the past. Other ave-
span the world, said people with said. And the project, which is still ersity’s Tepper School of Business. meet payments on wealth pro- nues for cash-raising are narrow-
knowledge of the project and in development, may not proceed, Early designs for Meta’s stores ducts, triggering a plunge in its ing rapidly.
company documents viewed by they said. But if Meta moves forw- appeared modern, with a flat, mini- bonds and shares. Plunging home sales have
The New York Times. The stores An attendee at Facebook’s developer conference in 2018 using an ard with stores, it would be a first malist aesthetic to the building Fantasia Holdings Group curbed revenue, while finding
would be used to introduce people Oculus Quest VR headset PHOTO: AP VIA NYT for a tech giant that has existed exteriors and subtle placement of defaulted on a dollar bond last buyers for asset disposals is
to devices made by the company’s largely digitally, with more than 3.5 the Facebook brand. month only weeks after assuring proving challenging. Evergr-
Reality Labs division, such as world where people move from exciting, exactly the way Zucker- billion people using its apps such as The flagship Facebook Store it had sufficient working capital ande last month ended discus-
virtual reality headsets and, virtual to augmented versions of berg sees it. The aim of the stores is Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp had been planned for Burlingame, and no liquidity problems. Its sions to sell a controlling stake
eventually, augmented reality reality almost seamlessly. to make the world “more open and and Messenger. A Meta spokeswo- Calif, where Meta has an office for failure to pay undermined the in its property-management
glasses, they said. The stores would help show connected,” according to the docu- man declined to comment. its Reality Labs employees. It was credibility of Chinese issuers just business that would have raised
These devices are gateways to people that virtual reality and au- ments viewed by The Times. They Skepticism about the metaverse also unclear whether those plans after Bloomberg reported China about $2.6 billion. BLOOMBERG
the metaverse, a futuristic digital gmented reality can be fun and are also intended to spark emotions also abounds. While Meta’s Reality would continue. NYT
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>
OPINION 9
Volume IX Number 14
ILLUSTRATION: BINAY SINHA
NEW DELHI | 6 NOVEMBER 2021
WEEKEND RUMINATIONS
T N NINAN in Germany, burn forests in Australia, starve people
in Africa and submerge islands in the Pacific. All
Red, black — and green the world’s people, therefore, have a legitimate
interest in the greenhouse gases emitted in any
given jurisdiction.
An early and tragicomic demonstration of this
C
ompany accounts are in the red (loss) or black (profit). Increasingly, though, shift in international relations was the dust-up in
they may be going green — to track the impact of the firm’s activities on 2019 between Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro
the environment. The back story is that a bunch of global investors issued and his French counterpart, Emmanuel Macron.
a warning this week to the big four accounting firms that dominate global Mr Bolsonaro, a populist firebrand, was at that time
corporate audit work: Get your act together on the issue, or face investor activism allowing fires to burn wide swathes of the Amazon
to stop you from doing auditing work at the companies they invest in. rainforest. It happens to be the world’s primary
Meanwhile, economists like Cambridge University’s Partha Dasgupta have “lung” or “carbon sink,” pulling greenhouse gases
gained traction on integrating national accounts (which track GDP) with the dam- out of the atmosphere and storing them in trees.
age that economic activity causes to Earth’s natural capital — the sustainability Except now the Amazon was belching carbon back
into the air.
question. Dr Dasgupta did a “review” in February for the UK Treasury, on bio-
Speaking for many, the French president
diversity. He said that nearly 40 per cent of Earth’s natural capital (forests, rivers,
accused his Brazilian counterpart of abetting “eco-
etc) had been destroyed by human activity between 1992 and 2014, and you would cide.” Sounds like the new genocide, doesn’t it?
need 1.6 Earths to sustain the current level and pattern of economic consumption.
sovereignty as we know it
abstain from investing in the shares of companies that don’t meet ESG forest located in Brazil the business of Brazil or of
(Environment, Society and Governance) norms. This past week, institutional the world? Would, in a hypothetical future scenario,
investors with $130 trillion at their disposal (reportedly 40 per cent of the world’s an alliance led by France be within its rights to
capital) pledged on the sidelines of the environment summit in Glasgow to put declare war on Brazil to prevent ecocide, and
limiting climate change, and weaning off fossil fuels, at the centre of their work. thereby humanity’s suicide? (Fortunately, 100 coun-
tries including Brazil this week pledged instead to
One has to be careful about taking such commitments seriously. Green A concept that came out of the Thirty Years War could become cooperate in phasing out deforestation).
accounting and ESG investing initiatives have been around for some time, but
made little headway — partly because there are no uniform standards for such obsolete in the age of ecological apocalypse This opens a new line of thinking about world
affairs. Policymakers are already steeped in analy-
accounting in companies, and because mainstream economists have largely ses of the new types of conflict that global warming
ignored the issue. But both may be about to change.
A
s we collectively hurtle into the era of climate least the new consensus offered the chance of pre- will cause within and between countries. Those
So these efforts must be viewed against the failure so far of governments to change, international relations as we’ve venting another indiscriminate bloodletting. include wars over access to freshwater, the disap-
achieve meaningful progress towards the goal of limiting the increase in global known them for almost four centuries will Even then, the principle of sovereignty was pearance of arable land or mass migrations.
temperature, caused by carbon emissions, to 2 degrees Celsius. William Nordhaus, change beyond recognition. This shift is probably never absolute or uncontroversial. For a long time, But the creeping obsolescence of Westphalian
who won the economics Nobel three years ago, has worked out the striking con- inevitable, and possibly even necessary. But it will the best idealist counterargument was humanitar- sovereignty as the operating system of international
clusion that despite all the global conferences on the environment over the last also cause new conflicts, and there- ian — that countries have not just relations would cause even more upheaval. And
30 years, the rate of decline in carbon emissions per unit of GDP has remained fore war and suffering. the right but the duty to inter- this looks inevitable. Some powers or alliances will
more or less unchanged at 1.8 per cent per annum. One might as well have not Since the Peace of Westphalia in vene in other states if, say, those in the future contemplate military interventions in
1648, diplomats have — in peace- are committing atrocities such as other states to end what they will define as ecocide.
held those conferences.
time and war alike — for the most genocide. Others may even go to war if they believe rival coun-
That governments will continue to fail is clear from some other numbers. For part subscribed to the principle of Now, however, there’s an even tries are taking unilateral measures against climate
instance, the average price of carbon (a carbon tax) was estimated by the World national sovereignty. This is the more powerful case against sov- change that threaten their own interests.
Bank at $2 per tonne in 2019. Dr Nordhaus estimates that even a $50 price (which idea, enshrined in the Charter of the ereignty, put forth by thinkers America’s National Intelligence Council, for
he says would double the price of coal-fired electricity) would not do the trick — United Nations, that foreign coun- such as Stewart Patrick at the example, has thought about what would happen if
and of course such a uniform tax makes no provision for climate justice. Montek tries have no right “to intervene in Council on Foreign Relations. It’s some country were to spray huge quantities of aero-
Singh Ahluwalia and Utkarsh Patel, in a comprehensive paper for the Centre for matters which are essentially within that in a world where all coun- sols into the stratosphere. Such geoengineering
Social and Economic Progress, cite a differential pricing approach from the the domestic jurisdiction of tries collectively face the plan- might reflect sunlight and cool the planet, as ash
International Monetary Fund: A $25 carbon tax for India that would be a third of any state.” ANDREAS KLUTH etary emergency of global warm- does after a big volcanic eruption. But it could also
the tax for the wealthiest countries. Even this would mean a 27-43 per cent increase The concept was born, along with ing, sovereignty is simply no change weather patterns and rob other countries
in the cost of coal-fired electricity. Since electricity is already subsidised in India, the entire system of modern states, longer a tenable concept. of their livelihood. Who in this scenario would be
in the physical and psychological rubble of the That insight has probably also dawned on many sovereign over what?
forget about betting on such price increases.
Thirty Years War. Starting in 1618, the European delegates to COP26, the United Nations climate The time to think about the demise of sover-
Against this daunting backdrop, the question is: Can investor activism, sup-
powers intervened in one another’s territories summit now underway in Glasgow. What’s at stake eignty is now. Maybe we’ll need an ecological equiv-
ported by new financial and economic accounting practices, deliver better results almost willy-nilly. Round after round of war left in those negotiations is not any country’s “national” alent to what the World Trade Organization is to
than governments have? Especially since the experience, and awareness, of the about one in three central Europeans dead. It was interest as such, except insofar as it’s part of the commerce: A new international body that makes
damage potential of climate change has grown sharply in recent years, particularly in that continental graveyard that statesmen (they collective interest of our species in preserving the the conundrum explicit and attempts to maintain
among the wealthy. If you fear that your home might burn down in a wildfire, were all men) stipulated that it was best if every global commons: The atmosphere and biosphere. order. Even then, the world is likely to become more
you might be more willing to put your money into an ESG fund than in an alter- state henceforth minded only its own business. And although aviation regulators might disagree, unstable and dangerous, not only ecologically but
native. And if your thermal power project finds it difficult to attract the capital Nobody at the Peace of Westphalia was deluded the borders around our territorial jurisdictions just also geopolitically. We all dread environmental
required, you might just drop the idea. For all one knows, therefore, the moves enough to think that this realist notion would end don’t extend up into the air. Armageddon. But we don’t want another Thirty
by investors and accounting innovations by economists and auditors could make war as such. After all, by acknowledging sover- A carbon dioxide molecule emitted in China, the Years War either.
a critical difference on the margin. Call it Plan B. There is no Plan C. eignty, the system accepted that countries pursue US or India will waft who-knows-where and accel-
their national interests, which tend to clash. But at erate climate change everywhere. It will flood cities ©Bloomberg
+
W
orldwide, narcotics laws vary. But ignores possession of up to 6 grams. The an obvious way to hike revenues. One is, lem for addicts is that an addict needs pro- coach or manager of a cricket team Sachin Tendulkar to decide when
India’s are among the most con- Austrians refer users to healthcare servic- the individuals running the ban machin- gressively more of the drug to trigger has less influence than one of a foot- he was going to retire. The same
fusing. An individual can be es, rather than terming it a criminal ery stand to lose if the drug is legalised; dopamine release. ball team. The coach or manager of attitude was evident in the case of
arrested and refused bail because someone offence. The UK issues a warning for first the exchequer would gain but officials run- This is just as true for addictive political a football team is the person in con- Kapil Dev. This is not to suggest
else was carrying a prohibited substance, offence of possession, and fines for sub- ning the prohibition machinery would messaging. If a political party offers vikas, trol. In cricket, the coach shares that they did not make epochal
cannabis. sequent offences. lose. Hence, there’s always internal push- it may trigger enough political dopamine power with the captain. The captain contributions to Indian cricket.
Mind you, cannabis is recommended This indicates variations and contra- back against lifting prohibitions. to win an election. But next time round, of a football team has a relatively They did. The point is that the
for consumption in multiple religious dictions in worldwide laws. But nowhere This is generically true everywhere for simply vikas may not be enough. If outrage smaller role in the entire set-up. BCCI, like boards elsewhere, has to
texts, starting with the Vedas, and variants else in the world is anybody arrested for all goods and services, which are in is the preferred trigger for releasing more This is obviously because the cap- take hard decisions in an inde-
are sold from government-run shops in not carrying cannabis. To add to the con- demand but prohibited. It could be sex- political dopamine, it’s necessary to keep tain of a cricket team makes inde- pendent, unbiased manner.
several states. Millions of Indians consume fusion, bhang is ritually consumed by hun- work, alcohol, porn, or gold. Once some- offering more cause for outrage, or more pendent, on-the-spot decisions all India’s performance in the ongo-
it openly on a regular basis, for reasons dreds of millions on Holi. The government thing is banned, the state ceases to make creative variations of outrage. Cannabis, the time: Field placings and bowling ing T20 World Cup showcases the
ranging from religious, to recreational and tom-toms the organisation of out-of-turn revenues and instead spends to enforce which has been lauded as an aid to creative changes, for instance. need for hard decisions at the top.
medical. Kumbh Melas, where thousands smoke it the ban. But since demand exists, those thought for millennia, triggers the release Even off the field, the captain The team was comfortably outpaced
Civilised countries everywhere have openly. The prime minister offers public who provide it mark up the price and pay of physical dopamine. It’s truly creative to has a big say in deciding the batting by Pakistan and New Zealand. The
started to decriminalise recreational use. prayers at Kedarnath, whose presiding off the officials tasked to enforce the ban. use its absence to trigger political dopa- line-up and when to rejig it in fact that the team lost is not a matter
You can call it ganja, bhang, hasheesh, cha- deity, Shiva, is seen by devotees as the The other reason, more specific to mine instead. accordance with circumstances on of concern. You can put in a decent
the ground. This could happen in shift and still lose. What is a matter
consultation with the coach, but of great concern, however, is that
India’s approaching democratic crisis the captain has a say, unlike in foot-
ball where typically the captain is
not consulted when substitutions
are made.
the Indian team as a whole looks
jaded and singularly lacking in
motivation. These are obviously
matters connected to squad rotation
Donald Trump handily in 2020 by margins another few years the question of inde- time. This divergence can be explained both There is a point behind keeping and leadership.
of 10 or more percentage points. pendence for Scotland will recur. This is by economic factors — more urban and this idea in the forefront. It means The appointment of Dravid as
The US Democratic Party is grappling not just because sub-nationalism and richer areas tend to have lower fertility — that in cricket, once appointed, the the coach could be an opportunity
with a specific problem that will not go Scottish identity politics have grown in and by cultural ones — areas where women coach and the captain have to work to make fundamental changes in
away, and is symptomatic of the broader recent decades, but also because the elec- are more empowered and educated simi- in concert. Mutual respect and a the way things work. To begin with,
problem that faces small-d democratic pol- torate in Scotland is considerably to the larly have lower fertility. spirit of accommodation on both the coach should have a greater and
ities the world over. How can constitu- left of the national electorate — and faces Yet the point remains that, over time, sides are essential. There is no rea- more important say over a wide
tional and democratic institutions survive the prospect of going from being king- the electoral power associated with the son to think that Dravid and India’s range of issues. First, he should be
this new era of partisanship when some makers in the Westminster Parliament, as states with continually rising populations current captain, Virat Kohli, will not able to pick his managerial team:
geographical areas find themselves per- they were for decades and especially dur- will further eclipse that wielded by the get along, but the men who make Bowling, fielding and batting
TICKER manently under-represented in national ing the Blairite hegemony of the early states where populations are declining. the important decisions have to take coaches, and others.
MIHIR S SHARMA politics? For the Democrats, the impor- 2000s, to a permanent minority as the Echoes of this basic problem have already a few difficult calls. Second, Dravid’s opinion should
tance of the West Virginian senator, Joe English electorate moves to the right. been noted in the debate over whether the Before the T20 World Cup, Kohli be sought on future leadership
O
ver in the United States, the Manchin, is that he is one of the few The lesson: When different parts of a Finance Commission should split reve- had announced that he would be issues. It is true that whereas Rohit
Democratic Party has had a very members of that party representing a state single country find themselves sorted per- nues between states on the basis of the 1971 stepping down from the role as cap- Sharma picks himself as T20
bad week. President Joe Biden, with a demographic profile — white, rural, manently into different wings of the ideo- Census or more recent ones where the tain in the shortest format. Some see skipper, there are no obvious choic-
speaking at the COP26 climate change con- post-industrial, low-education — that is logical, fiscal and policy spectrum, the northern states have a greater numbers this as a preemptive move to es in the ODIs and in Tests. That is
ference in Glasgow, went through the natural fodder for the Republican Party pressure it puts on national integrity and advantage. retain the captaincy in Tests and where Dravid’s experience and
motions of noting that countries like and that also receives disproportionate the functioning of political institutions can Going forward, India will face a choice One-day Internationals (ODIs). savvy would come into play. Of
China, Russia and others had not com- power within the national electoral sys- become unbearable. between dealing with the UK problem or Notwithstanding Kohli’s move, it is course, Kohli could remain captain
mitted sufficiently to, among other things, tem. Many Democratic Party operatives In India, we will soon face a variation of the US problem. It will either have to create time for the Board of Control for in ODIs, in which his performances
phasing out coal-fired power on time. Yet are struggling with the fact that, even with this problem, created by the differing a system in which certain geographical Cricket in India (BCCI) to think are still top drawer, but another
most of those watching knew that a 4-6 per cent lead over the Republicans demographic, cultural and economic tra- areas will wind up being permanent polit- about the captaincy issue. Test captain could help him
Mr Biden himself could not credibly com- in national polls, they would wind up los- jectories of various parts of the country. ical outsiders at the Union level — the There are good reasons to believe recover form.
mit the United States to action, given that ing both houses of the US Congress and Demographically, the latest round of the Scotland issue — or it will have to create a that the pressure of leading has Third, Dravid should have a
he is largely unable to get his own agenda even presidential races. This is thanks to National Family Health Survey showed system in which certain votes are weighted been telling on Kohli’s form with the greater say in squad selection. That
through a Washington that his party nomi- the structure of American democracy, in that, by 2019-20, the only large states in more heavily than others — the US bat, especially in Test cricket. It could give a hands-on and balanced
nally controls, thanks in part to firm objec- which voters in small, rural states have which the number of children per woman— Democrats’ disadvantage. This is not an might not be a bad idea to make a feel to the selection process.
tions from a pivotal US senator represent- greater power in Washington than those the “total fertility rate” or TFR — exceeded easy choice, and there are no good leadership change all round and opt These might sound like quib-
ing the coal-mining state of West Virginia. in the multi-ethnic coastal states where the “replacement rate” were Bihar, Uttar answers. But it is a choice that is unavoid- for three separate captains for the bling in the face of an unexpectedly
And, to make things worse, the Republican Democrats dominate. Pradesh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, and able. Which one we choose will determine three different formats. This will poor performance. But structural
Party did unexpectedly well in local and Other electoral democracies have their Jharkhand. Everywhere else, the TFR was the effectiveness of our institutions, the almost automatically mean that the issues must be addressed to ensure
state-wide elections over the past few days, own version of this problem. In the United below the replacement rate: A sign that nature of our politics, and indeed the inte- squads will change for different for- that performances remain at the
even in areas where Mr Biden had defeated Kingdom, for example, it is likely that in their populations will start shrinking in grity of our Union, going forward. mats as different captains will bring highest level across formats.
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14 THE SMART INVESTOR: SAMVAT SPECIAL
>
NEW DELHI | 6 NOVEMBER 2021 1
STOCKS FOR SAMVAT 2078 As on Nov 03, 2021 As on Nov 03, 2021
Target Upside Target Upside
Company Price 1-Yr chg price (%) Company Price 1-Yr chg price (%)
(~) (%) (~) (~) (%) (~)
ANAND RATHI ICICI Bank 786 76.9 900 14.5
Indo Count Industries 242 53.7 334 37.9 Reliance Industries 2,484 34.3 2,800 12.7
Rossari Biotech 1,352 73.8 1,840 36.1 Larsen & Toubro 1,889 103.1 2,100 11.2
Vardhman Special Steels 274 280.2 350 27.9 ACC 2,421 45.7 2,550 5.4
Coforge 5,066 138.0 6,465 27.6 State Bank of India 528 157.7 550 4.2
Hindalco Industries 478 165.9 578 20.9
Infosys 1,703 60.3 2,000 17.5
MOTILAL OSWAL SECURITIES
APL Apollo Tubes 845 164.8 1,032 22.2
AXIS SECURITIES SBI Life Insurance 1,178 49.4 1,431 21.4
ICICI Securities 744 65.8 940 26.3 Infosys 1,703 60.3 2,001 17.6
Can Fin Homes 646 39.3 800 23.9 Indian Hotels 204 111.7 231 13.3
Cyient 1,105 169.8 1,300 17.7 Trident Ltd 39 398.1 44 12.7
SBI Life Insurance Co 1,178 49.4 1,350 14.6 Varun Beverages 938 109.4 1,047 11.6
APL Apollo Tubes 845 164.8 960 13.7 Jubilant FoodWorks 3,725 72.8 4,091 9.8
Cholamandalam Investment 612 106.4 690 12.7 Orient Electric 376 74.9 409 8.7
KNR Constructions 292 138.1 325 11.3 Tata Motors 485 261.7 521 7.5
Mindtree 4,627 251.3 5,100 10.2 UltraTech Cement 7,891 73.4 8,411 6.6
Safari Industries India 868 101.9 930 7.2 OTHER STOCK PICKS: STATE BANK OF INDIA, VIP INDUSTRIES,
ACC 2,421 45.7 2,570 6.2 MACROTECH DEVELOPERS, UNITED SPIRITS, TATA POWER CO
D
espite unprecedented levels of market in Samvat 2077, some of the growth. Brokerages expect the Nifty Reliance Industries 2,484 34.3 2,986 20.2 Navin Fluorine International 3,418 46.9 4,131 20.9
uncertainty in Samvat 2077, themes could do well in the future. earnings growth to be upwards of mid-
investors have little to com- Kotak Research believes banks teens in 2021-22.
Mahindra & Mahindra Fin. 195 55.4 227 16.2 Bharti Airtel 699 56.7 838 19.9
plain about on the returns front. The could be in focus, led by demand But the year is not without risks. OTHER STOCK PICKS: BHARTI AIRTEL, BANK OF BARODA, LARSEN & TOUBRO
BSE Sensex delivered returns of 38 per revival in the retail sector, such as Reliance Securities believes that RELIANCE SECURITIES
cent in this period, while the Nifty housing, automobile, and unsecured the key risks for global equities would ICICI DIRECT Kalpataru Power Transmission 411 62.6 678 64.9
registered a return of over 40 per cent. loans. The pharmaceutical sector also be a sharp rise in bond yields in the Vardhman Special Steels 274 280.2 340 24.3
As is the case in bull markets, looks promising, with the speedy US, the likelihood of reversal of the US Ramkrishna Forgings 1,051 181.7 1,700 61.7
Bank of Baroda 101 124.0 120 18.9 Gujarat Gas 632 113.9 967 53.0
companies in the small- introduction of generic Federal Reserve’s soft monetary pol-
and mid-capitalisation drugs, rural health pro- icies, and elevated energy prices. This, Action Construction Equipment 254 253.8 300 18.3 HCL Technologies 1,177 46.2 1,480 25.8
basket outperformed the grammes, life-saving together with high valuations at 22x Gateway Distriparks 296 217.1 350 18.2
benchmarks, with BROKERAGES drugs, preventive vac- the 2022-23 earnings for the Nifty, Nippon Life India Asset Mngt. 422 53.8 526 24.5
POINT OUT THAT Bata India 2,036 56.8 2,380 16.9
+ returns almost twice cines, and US Food and could result in periodic corrections. Infosys 1,703 60.3 2,120 24.5
those of frontliners. INVESTORS MUST Drug Administration Says an analyst at Kotak Research, Mahindra Lifespace Developers 283 216.6 325 14.8 Larsen & Toubro 1,889 103.1 2,303 21.9
What dominated the approvals, they add. “The rich valuations of the Indian TCNS Clothing Co 781 102.0 860 10.1
returns charts over the BE SELECTIVE The July-September market and of most sectors after the Varun Beverages 938 109.4 1,141 21.7
past year were realty, IN THEIR quarter results indicate sharp rerating in the multiples of most JM FINANCIAL UltraTech Cement 7,891 73.4 9,400 19.1
metal, and public sector that consumption stocks from their pre-pandemic levels
undertaking (PSU) bank
STOCK PICKS, demand is now close to raise the prospects of a pull-back in Jindal Steel & Power 423 109.8 533 26.0 Ashok Leyland 143 70.5 170 18.9
indices which doubled ESPECIALLY pre-pandemic levels. the market and/or modest returns for JB Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals 1,649 68.0 1,988 20.5 YES SECURITIES
shareholder value.
Brokerages believe some
IN THE This should help com-
panies in the multiplex,
a ‘longish’ period of time.”
In this context, brokerages point
Prism Johnson 122 61.3 145 19.2 CRISIL 2,821 40.4 4,460 58.1
of these themes — such MID-CAP SPACE quick service restau- out that investors must be selective in GAIL India 150 79.1 178 18.0 SBI Cards & Payment Services 1,105 35.9 1,625 47.0
as realty and banks — rant, amusement park, their stock picks, especially in the HCL Technologies 1,177 46.2 1,375 16.9
will continue into automobile, and avia- mid-capitalisation space, given that Prince Pipes & Fittings 754 222.7 1,091 44.6
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance 623 52.2 725 16.3 ICICI Bank 786 76.9 1,112 41.5
Samvat 2078. tion sectors. they tend to fall more sharply than
Say analysts at Motilal Oswal The rise in consumption is also their larger peers when selling Finolex Cables 488 78.8 565 15.9 Polycab India 2,338 151.7 3,300 41.2
Research, “We believe that real estate expected to help in the revival of the pressures intensify. Max Financial Services 980 62.7 1,135 15.8
is on the cusp of an upcycle with sev- capital expenditure cycle which, cou- While brokerages are bullish on IndiaMart InterMesh 7,325 55.0 10,200 39.3
eral macro factors supporting low pled with the government’s thrust on multiple themes, there are two stocks
Steel Authority of India 122 252.1 139 13.5 PNC Infratech 335 96.6 460 37.4
interest rates, benign prices, and ris- the infrastructure sector, will aid com- which find mention in the top Diwali Macrotech Developers 1,181 NA 1,165 (1.3) Gland Pharma 3,698 NA 4,925 33.2
ing affordability, coupled with low panies in the construction/infrastruc- picks of most brokerages: Infosys and
home ownership in India.” ture and capital goods space. Larsen and Toubro (L&T). KOTAK SECURITIES Acrysil 749 426.4 995 32.9
In addition to direct realty plays, There are multiple positives which While L&T’s value doubled over the Bharat Petroleum Corp 415 27.8 550 32.5 Dalmia Bharat 2,013 138.9 2,640 31.2
brokerages believe home improve- should sustain the earnings growth of past year, Infosys gained 60 per cent
ITC 223 30.8 275 23.6 OTHER STOCK PICKS: APOLLO PIPES, GREENPANEL INDUSTRIES
ment companies across sectors, such Corporate India. While key macroeco- during this period. PSU banks, infor-
as cement, pipes, tiles, consumer nomic indicators are showing a posi- mation technology companies, Hindustan Unilever 2,411 17.1 2,950 22.4 Current & target prices rounded off; top picks (max 10) of each brokerage
electricals, paints, and plywood, will tive trend and should help sustain cement makers, and consumption sorted on upside; companies mentioned below the table are additional picks
Hindalco Industries 478 165.9 565 18.2 (in excess of the top 10); NA: Not applicable as the company has listed in the
benefit from higher consumer spends. demand and revenue growth, delever- plays stand out as clear favourites last one year Compiled by BS Research Bureau
While defensives (pharmaceutical, aging of the corporate balance sheet among the picks for Samvat 2078. Infosys 1,703 60.3 2,000 17.5 Source: Brokerage reports
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NEW DELHI | 6 NOVEMBER 2021 POLITICS & PUBLIC AFFAIRS 15 <
Bank of Baroda
‘DECADE BELONGS TO UTTARAKHAND’ Jasola Branch, New Delhi
BO: GF-3 Sushant Lok Phase 1 POSSESSION NOTICE (For Immovable property only)
PM promises development,
Vipul Square, Gurgaon Haryana-122009 (As per appendix IV read with rule 8(1) of the security interest (Enforcement) Rules, 2002)
Email: sushantlok@indianbank.co.in
Whereas, The undersigned being the Authorized Officer of The BANK OF BARODA under
CORRIGENDUM the Securitization And Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security
Please refer to our E-auction Sale Interest Act 2002 and in exercise of power conferred under section -13(12) read with rule - 3
Notices, published in this newspaper of the Security Interest (Enforcement) rules, 2002, issued a demand notice dated
01.07.2021 calling upon the Borrower Mrs Parveen W/o Mr Rasid Ali & Mr Rasid Ali S/o
P
rime Minister Narendra Modi on The Borrower/Guarantors/Mortgagors in particular and the public in general is hereby
Friday predicted a decade of devel- cautioned not to deal with the property and any dealings with the property/ies will be
opment for Uttarakhand and an subject to the charge of the BANK OF BARODA for an amount of Rs. 9,56,769.16/-
end to migration from the hills, as he (Rupees Nine Lakhs Fifty Six Thousand Seven Hundred Sixty Nine and paise
Sixteen only) as on 31.05.2021 together with further Int. and charges w.e.f
inaugurated a rebuilt samadhi of Adi 01.06.2021 at the contracted rate plus costs, charges and expenses till date of
Shankaracharya in Kedarnath. Payment.
Addressing a gathering of priests and The borrower's attention is invited to provision of sub-section (8) of section 13 of the Act, in
devotees, he said the redevelopment of respect of time, available, to redeem the secured assets.
centres of faith in India shows the coun- DESCRIPTION OF THE IMMOVABLE PROPERTY:
All that part and parcel of the property one Industrial Property Built up property at plot no. F-
try’s growing pride in its ancient saints 25/1, admeasuring 215 sq. ft, situated in the layout plan of C-580 Third Floor, Pocket-11,
and philosophers like Adi Guru Jasola Vihar at New Delhi bounded as under:
Shankaracharya and Swami East : Flat No. C-824 West: Flat No. C-584 South: Open (below) North: Entry/Open (below)
Vivekananda. Date: 30.10.2021 Authorised Officer
A grand Ram temple is being built in Place: New Delhi Bank of Baroda
Ayodhya to restore its glory after cen-
turies while the work on the Vishwanath
Dham project in Kashi is nearing com- Prime Minister Narendra Modi at Kedarnath Temple, in Uttarakhand PHOTO: PTI
pletion, the prime minister said.
Modi also inaugurated and laid the “Problems related to the armed forces are being resolved on priority. I
foundation stone of reconstruction proj- had the fortune of fulfilling their demand for One Rank One Pension
ects worth over ~400 crore at Kedarnath which was pending for four decades”
in Uttarakhand where the Assembly elec-
tions are just a few months away.
NARENDRA MODI, Prime Minister
Mentioning the under-construction
Chardham all-weather road and the don’t hesitate to lay down their lives to Talking about the extensive damage
Rishikesh-Karnaprayag rail link projects, protect India’s frontiers, the prime min- caused to Kedarnath by the 2013 deluge,
he said the pace at which infrastructure ister said the modernisation of the he said the devastation was so huge it
projects are being carried out in defence sector had boosted the morale of was almost impossible to think of
Uttarakhand more pilgrims will visit the the forces and increased their valour. rebuilding things.
state over the next 10 years than in the “Problems related to the armed forces “But my gut and also my experience
last 100 years. “The third decade of the are being resolved on priority. I had the in reconstructing the earthquake-hit
century belongs to Uttarakhand. Take it fortune of fulfilling their demand for One Kuchch always told me that Kedarnath
from me. I am saying this from a holy Rank One Pension which was pending for will get back on its feet even stronger
land,” Modi said. four decades,” the prime minister said. than before."
The growing network of homestays Modi, who began his visit to Kedarnath However, the credit for the recon-
will create livelihood opportunities for by offering prayers at the Himalayan tem- struction works in Kedarnath should go
locals at their homes and stop migration ple, said visiting the place has always been to Baba Kedar without whose blessings
from the hills by the youth in search of an overwhelming experience for him. nothing could have been done, he said.
employment, he said. “Every time I come to bow at the feet Modi also thanked Uttarakhand Chief
“I have reversed the old saying that of Baba Kedar, the glowing peaks that sur- Minister Pushkar Singh Dhami for the
Pahad ka Pani aur jawani kabhi pahad round the temple and the winds that blow urgency with which took up the comple-
ke kam nahin aate (hills never benefit here take me to a different world. The tion of projects and the labourers who
from its water and youth).” Describing experience is so overwhelming that I can- worked in sub-zero temperatures to
Uttarakhand as a land of bravehearts who not describe it in words," he said. implement them.
T
wo years ago, a Pune-based UGC-CARE List now has two sometimes unable to distinguish
PhD student who is groups: between genuine and false impact
enrolled at a university in I. Journals found qualified factors created by fake agencies.
Madhya Pradesh submitted a through UGC-CARE protocols Because of these problems, we
paper to a social science journal II. Journals indexed in globally have seen a lot of predatory jour-
that promised to upload it online. recognised databases nals flourish.”
She only had to pay ~5,000 to pub- The list is updated quarterly Emerald signs up journals for
lish the paper, and immediately and includes the corresponding open access and conducts work-
received a PDF file of her paper cloned journals that mirror the au- shops on it. It calls itself a digital-
and a certificate via mail.
“But later when I searched
online, I could neither find the
thentic ones. The latest list shows
36 journals in Group I and 40 in
Group II.
first publisher with open access
and doesn’t put the onus of mak-
ing payments on researchers. It is
Audi serves up treat
paper nor the journal’s website,” sponsored by institutes.
says the 32-year-old who does not
want to be identified.
It’s one of thousands of exam-
to 5,000 in a year. Narula, who
heads the Amity School of Com-
munication at Amity University,
the title and ISSN (International
Serial Standard Number) of
authentic journals; some cloned
Misguided or misinformed
The problem of fraud journals per-
sisted earlier but it became bigger
“Around 2010-11 publishers
found themselves in a position
where they had to go open access
for off-roading
ples of researchers falling prey to Gwalior, was also cheated by a journals actively chase authors since publishers went digital, says (which offers unrestricted access
fake, cloned or predatory journals
— a practice that has become
more rampant in a digital age and
especially in a post-pandemic sce-
predatory journal in March 2020.
Since then, he has been tracking
fraud journals and conducting
workshops to help students and
who may be duped into paying
an open-access publication fee,
explains Narula.
He flags suspect cases to lead-
Sangeeta Menon, who heads
South Asia publishing for aca-
demic publisher Emerald. Among
the highest number of victims of
online to research). When we are
working with a fairly misguided
or misinformed market about
open access (that it’s all free or
aficionados
nario where academia has shifted researchers identify them. ing citation databases such as predatory journals comes from predatory), we as publishers are
from the real to the virtual world.
Although there are no esti-
Predatory publishing is one
that charges publication fees from
Scopus (owned by Dutch publish-
er Elsevier) and Web of Science
South Asian countries, mainly
India, she adds.
struggling because researchers are
asking for open access from us,”
Q5, its latest SUV with a facelift, is a ‘luxury
mates available, the financial loss- authors without vetting articles (owned by analytics firm There are multiple reasons for Menon says. crossover’ and jack of all trades
es are immense. Researchers for quality and legitimacy. Clarivate), which identify and dis- this. First, there is a lack of under- She points out that India is
often end up paying upwards of Researchers are tricked into pub- continue predatory journals. standing of open/paid access among the top five nations in PAVAN LALL than before and that may have something
~20,000 for an article, says Sumit lishing with them, even though In November 2018, the research and predatory publish- terms of the output of scholarly Mumbai, 5 November to do with the fact that the wheel size has
Narula, a whistle-blower, adding some authors may be aware that University Grants Commission ing among researchers. “There is publications, but its citation share been increased from 18 to 19 inches.
that in India the number of res- the journals are of poor quality or (UGC) announced the setting up a lot of focus from the Indian gov- is barely above 3 per cent. Think of any top-ranking luxury carmak- While the Q5 is a light driving car that
earch papers published in fraud fraudulent. Cloned journals are a of a Consortium for Academic and ernment to have quality research er and it’s almost always defined by a few feels like you can easily fling it over and
journals could be as high as 3,000 counterfeit mirror of and exploit Research Ethics (CARE) to pro- output. So there is pressure that More on business-standard.com star products that serve as their best- around brooks and brushes and hills and
sellers. It’s the S Class and sedans for plains, it’s also versatile in that its rear
Mercedes-Benz, the 3 Series and other seat is as comfy and spacious as you’d
sporty saloons for BMW, and the Q range expect. This makes it a car that can be
LUNCH WITH BS > VIKRAM CHOPRA | CO-FOUNDER & CEO, CARS24 “My friends in Delhi had some books different things, regardless of whether you worked at Housing.com.
from Vidyamandir (a prominent coaching succeed or not. Post-Warton, Chopra launched Fab-
institute for IIT-JEE, NEET and so on). “My mom was a homemaker. We were Furnish, an online shopping destination
F
or a tech entrepreneur who’s steered over ~13,757 crore ($1.84 billion). And now mains, all the while aware that there was hospitalised. The factory world to that. The company, he says, is
a startup idea into a billion-dollar it plans to set up seven giant service little difference between the 10,000-odd wasn’t for him, he concluded. “What I learnt eventually going to be gunning
venture, Vikram Chopra lacks the centres, or Mega Refurbishment Labs applicants in terms of intellect. He got into Besides, his peers were joining was that the for an IPO. “The key to this
trademark arrogance and attitude that (MRLs) as it calls them, in top metros IIT Bombay where he studied metallurgy consulting firms, private equity challenge was business is speed,” he adds,
ILLUSTRATION: BINAY SINHA
accompany most CEOs who’ve seen such — all before the end of this year. The and materials science. The mindset in his players and venture capital not demand, since customers change their
success in such a short span of time. On e-commerce platform for pre-owned family was always academics, academics outfits — that is, if they weren’t but supply — minds fast and can move on if
the contrary, he seems more like the cars, which became one of the earliest and academics; everything else pursuing MBAs abroad. He a reality that you don’t catch them.
quintessential kid-next-door who’s all set unicorns in the auto space bang in the was secondary. joined McKinsey and later can be applied As Chopra and his partners
to go to the Indian Institute of Technology middle of the pandemic last year, needs But the inspiration to think and act out venture capital firm Sequoia, to a lot of pursue the twists and turns that
(IIT) — except, of course, he’s not. these mega centres to spruce up for sale of the box came in part from his father, enjoying the investing process businesses in accompany the journey of every
We are meeting for lunch, although the 20,000-odd cars it buys a month. who Chopra describes as a “real engi- that also involved an India,” he says growing concern, I ask him
virtually. While I am in Mumbai digging At 38, Chopra is a young entrepreneur neer”. His father, an electrical engi- exploration of the Indian which of these three prepared
into a bowl of rice, chicken curry and green — but old enough, he says, to have seen the neer, spent his life working for business landscape. him the most for this entrepre-
vegetables, Chopra is in Dubai, partaking pre-internet time. Born in Raebareli, the Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL). Later, he went off to Wharton for a neurial adventure: McKinsey, Wharton,
of a selection of mixed grapes. He’s there politically significant Uttar Pradesh Later, he also started a movie rental business degree, but six months down Sequoia? “Honestly, you don’t learn that
on a “bleisure trip” — part business, constituency, he says there was no internet business. “It was a matter of pride realised it wasn’t for him and returned. much about running a business unless
part leisure. in his town until he was in Class 9. This is for me to be able to get my friends “I had gone there half-heartedly,” he you do it yourself,” he replies, pensively.
Chopra’s life has been in the fast lane part of the reason he headed out of his the latest flicks,” he says. But that says, adding that he did, however, get “Poker has taught me much more about
for a while now. Launched in 2015, barely hometown and after college in Lucknow, business was short-lived and was something valuable out of that trip. It’s how humans behave and, of course, I am
six years ago, his company, Cars24, raised turned his gaze IIT-ward. The decision to hit hard by piracy. Eventually, his here that he met his future wife, who aware that if losing can be because of bad
over ~3,300 crore ($450 million) in fund- go to one of India’s foremost engineering father moved to Hyderabad to work for a was working at Bessemer Venture luck, then many a time winning, too, is
ing from DST Global, Falcon Edge, Soft- schools, he says, came about as a result polyester company whilst also trying his Partners and was a year senior to him at simply a result of good luck.” Given the
Bank Vision Fund 2 and others in Sept- of friends sharing coursework hand at a printing press in between. All Wharton. Later, she ran a jewellery track record of the last six years, he and his
ember — almost doubling its valuation to coaching brochures. that showed Chopra that it’s okay to try startup called 21Diamonds and also mates are clearly in the lucky lane.
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