Professional Documents
Culture Documents
IN 2022
Key Insights
About the ASEAN
Energy Landscape
in 2022
ASEAN Energy in 2022 2
Copyright © 2021
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Published by:
ASEAN Centre for Energy
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Jakarta 12950 Indonesia
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aseanenergy.org
Supported by:
ASEAN Climate Change and Energy Project (ACCEPT)
accept.aseanenergy.org
ASEAN Centre
for Energy
ASEAN Energy in 2022 1
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Contact: mpp@aseanenergy.org
February 2022
ASEAN Energy in 2022 2
INSIGHT 1
POST-PANDEMIC RECOVERY
The large drop in total energy consumption across the ASEAN Region in
2020 indicates how the COVID-19 pandemic impacted the economy. 1 To
help cope with the economic difficulties, the governments of the ten ASEAN
Member States (AMS) disbursed various economic recovery packages. Now,
with the coronavirus more and less under control, the economy is expected
to grow along with energy demand, and surpass the pre-pandemic level.
––––––––––––––––
1 This report is based on official 2020 data which was the latest available at the time of writing.
ASEAN Energy in 2022 3
In terms of the primary energy supply By contrast, the renewable energy (RE)
mix, the share of fossil fuels decreased sector was surprisingly resilient during
from 82.6% in 2019 to 81.2% in 2020. the pandemic. The share of total RE
The challenges faced by the fossil fuel increased by almost 1.4% from 2019 to
industries, especially the oil and gas 2020. Due to this resiliency, renewables
industries, are expected to continue have become the centre of attention as
after the pandemic has ended. However, well as the main driver in the government
the analysis shows that these industries stimulus packages [2].
are recovering well, though slowly [1].
INSIGHT 2
PRE- AND POST-COP26
TABLE 1 THE NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTIONS (NDCS) OF EACH ASEAN MEMBER STATE
Target
Country Sectors GHG Coverage Timeframe
Unconditional Conditional
Energy
20% GHG
Brunei IPPU Carbon dioxide (CO2)
emissions
Darussalam N/A Agriculture Methane (CH4) 2021 - 2030
reduction relative
[17] LULUCF Nitrous oxide (N2O)
to BAU by 2030
Waste
Energy
29% GHG
41% GHG emissions IPPU Carbon dioxide (CO2)
Indonesia emissions
reduction relative Agriculture Methane (CH4) 2020 - 2030
[19] reduction relative
to BAU by 2030 LULUCF Nitrous oxide (N2O)
to BAU by 2030
Waste
Energy
244.52 million 414.75 million
Myanmar Transport
tCO2e emissions tCO2e emissions Carbon dioxide (CO2) 2021 - 2030
[22] Agriculture
reduction by 2030 reduction by 2030
LULUCF
Up to 27% Energy
Carbon dioxide (CO2)
9% (unconditional) (conditional) IPPU
Vietnam Methane (CH4)
GHG emissions GHG emissions Agriculture 2021 - 2030
[26] Nitrous oxide (N2O)
reduction by 2030 reduction by 2030 LULUCF
Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)
compared to BAU Waste
––––––––––––––––
2 According to the International Labour Organization, a just transition means “greening the economy in a way that is as fair and inclusive as
possible to everyone concerned, creating decent work opportunities and leaving no one behind.”
See https://www.ilo.org/global/topics/green-jobs/WCMS_824102/lang--en/index.htm.
ASEAN Energy in 2022 9
aspects such as gender equality. It At least five AMS have signed to the
also recognised the contributions Statement, namely, Brunei Darussalam,
of civil society, indigenous peoples, Indonesia, the Philippines, Singapore and
local communities, youth, children, Vietnam. However, not all of the clauses
local and regional governments and in the Statement have been agreed to
other stakeholders, and supported by Indonesia and the Philippines [30].
youth and indigenous communities’ Indonesia partially excluded the third
participation in multilateral, national clause on ceasing issuance of permits
and local decision-making processes. and direct government support for,
and construction of new unabated coal
GLOBAL COAL TO CLEAN POWER:
power plants. However, as part of its
ASEAN’S STANDPOINT promise to attain net zero emissions by
As numerous financial institutions 2060, or sooner with international aid,
declared their intentions to halt their Indonesia will explore accelerating the
funding for new coal plants due to their coal phase-down into the 2040s, subject
major contribution to climate change to extra international financial and
[28], many countries worldwide have technical support.
responded with efforts to transition Meanwhile, the Philippines has
away from the use of coal. These apparently endorsed only the first clause
actions, reflected in the Global Coal to and parts of the second and fourth
Clean Power Transition Statement, are clauses. The Philippines would like
another critical output of COP26. This to reiterate its call for climate justice,
Statement underlined the urgency of noting that the Philippines is not a
accelerating and scaling up the clean major emitter of greenhouse gases but
energy transition efforts while fully is suffering badly from the worsening
moving away from coal-driven activities effects of climate change. It emphasises
[29]. The four main commitments that that energy security is paramount, and
countries agreed upon in the Statement that the energy transition will serve
were: as a means to improve the lives of
1. Rapid development of clean power as Filipinos and contribute to the economic
well as significant increases in energy development of the country.
efficiency measures. Under the conditionality agreement
2. Scaling up the technologies and of the clause, the AMS signatories to
policies needed to transition away the Statement have made a bold move
from coal in the 2030s for major towards transitioning away from coal.
economies, and 2040s globally. Aligned with the Paris Agreement, the
ASEAN Region is “walking its talk” by
3. Ceasing issuance of permits and phasing down coal power plants despite
direct government support for, and being the world’s largest single coal
construction of new unabated coal- market.
fired power plants.
INSIGHT 3
ACCELERATING TOWARDS THE ENERGY TRANSITION
Coal Oil Gas Hydro Geothermal Solar Wind Bioenergy Others TOTAL
89,451 11,925 88,234 59,451 4,058.7 22,942 2,665 5,969 393 285,089
power sector for the short- to medium- plans to install more than 5.5 GW in 2022
term in many countries. Hence, to fuel [31]. Details about the capacity additions
the growing demand, especially for planned for 2022 are given in Table 3.
electricity, the Vietnamese government
Fuel BN KH ID LA MY MM PH SG TH VN ASEAN
Oil 5 5
Biomass and
43 65 100 783 1,091
Others
TOTAL 32 933 4,918 220 -843 1,029 49 300 1,765 5,588 13,991
LONG-AWAITED REGULATIONS
AND WORLD’S LARGEST FREE
TRADE AGREEMENT
The year 2022 is expected to be critical of alternative scenarios for energy
for long overdue regulations such as growth, including a greater emphasis
the passage of Indonesia’s RE bill. on renewables. The year 2022 is also
Currently, the bill is a priority for the significant in that it marks the launching
national legislation programme which of the world’s largest free trade
is expected to be completed in 2022. agreement, the Regional Comprehensive
With the issuance of the New and Economic Partnership (RCEP). Deals
Renewable Energy Law, Indonesia can among the member countries will likely
at least provide business certainty in leverage investment to assist with the
terms of legal stability for RE investors. energy transition.
In addition, ratification of the RE law
will also demonstrate the government’s
commitment to the energy transition.
INSIGHT 4
ASEAN ENERGY COOPERATION MILESTONES IN 2022
Statement. In addition to this, the AMS the regional targets in 2025. Also, 2022
also set their long-term strategies to will see the long-awaited regulations for,
reach net zero emissions, which are and launch of the world’s largest free
beyond their NDCs target. trade agreement, the RCEP. Lastly, under
Cambodia’s chairmanship of ASEAN in
In the power sector, the newest PDPs
2022, the energy transition spirit will
indicate that significant increases in
continue under the theme, “Addressing
renewable power generation are being
Challenges Together”.
planned in the next few years. The year
2022 is expected to be a stepping stone
towards greater RE penetration in the
power sector and towards filling the
remaining gaps necessary to achieving
source: asean2022.mfaic.gov.kh
ASEAN Energy in 2022 20
references
[1] R. Safrina and S. A. Rosalia, “2020 Recap of COVID-19 vs ASEAN Energy
Sector: Oil & Gas.” ASEAN Centre for Energy, Jakarta, pp. 1–5, 2020.
[2] N. Shani and Z. Yurnaidi, “2020 Recap of COVID-19 vs ASEAN Energy Sector:
Renewables.” ASEAN Centre for Energy, Jakarta, pp. 1–3, 2020.
[4] M. E. Wijaya et al., “Leveraging fiscal stimulus to improve energy transition:
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[Accessed: 24-Dec-2021].
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December 2021, p. 100799, 2022, doi: 10.1016/j.esr.2021.100799.
ASEAN Energy in 2022 22
[29] UN Climate Change Conference UK 2021, “Global Coal to Clean Power
Transition Statement,” 2021. [Online]. Available: https://ukcop26.org/global-
coal-to-clean-power-transition-statement/. [Accessed: 23-Dec-2021].
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for Renewable Energy Investment.” ASEAN Centre for Energy, Jakarta, 2020.
[43] R. Vakulchuk et al., “Lao PDR: How to Attract More Investment in Small-Scale
Renewable Energy?” ASEAN Centre for Energy, Jakarta, 2020.
ASEAN Energy in 2022 23
[45] R. Vakulchuk et al., “Myanmar: How to Become an Attractive Destination for
Renewable Energy Investment ?” ASEAN Centre for Energy, Jakarta, 2020.
[47] R. Vakulchuk et al., “Singapore: How to Attract More Investment in Renewable
Energy?” ASEAN Centre for Energy, Jakarta, 2020.
[48] R. Vakulchuk et al., “Thailand : Improving the Business Climate for
Renewable.” ASEAN Centre for Energy, Jakarta, 2020.
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ASEAN Centre for Energy, Jakarta, 2020.
ASEAN Energy in 2022 24
This Report is a product of the ASEAN Climate Change and Energy Project (ACCEPT)
ACCEPT is funded by the Norwegian Government under the Norwegian-ASEAN Regional Integration Programme (NARIP) and is jointly implemented
by the ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE) and the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI). The project includes the active involvement of
key ASEAN stakeholders, and helps enhance modelling, analytical and regional policy planning capacities within ASEAN.
ACE is an intergovernmental organisation within ASEAN structure that represents the 10 ASEAN Member States’ (AMS) interests in the energy
sector.
NUPI carries out research on international issues of importance to Norway and the world.
ASEAN Centre for Energy The views expressed in this policy brief are those of the
Soemantri Brodjonegoro II Building author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of ASEAN Centre
Jl. H.R. Rasuna Said Block X-02, Kav. 07-08, for Energy (ACE) as an institution, any associated ASEAN
Member States/Institutions/Individuals, or partner institutions.
RT.10/RW.4, Kuningan Timur, Kecamatan
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conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
+62 21 527 9332 The material can be used freely, as long as a complete
reference to this policy brief is included.
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