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ASEAN ENERGY

IN 2022

Key Insights
About the ASEAN
Energy Landscape
in 2022
ASEAN Energy in 2022 2

Copyright © 2021
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored
in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form by any means electronic or
mechanical without prior written notice to and permission from ACE.

Published by:
ASEAN Centre for Energy
Soemantri Brodjonegoro II Building, 6th fl.,
Directorate General of Electricity,
Jl. HR. Rasuna Said Block X-2, Kav. 07-08
Jakarta 12950 Indonesia
Tel: (62-21) 527 9332 | Fax: (62-21) 527 9350
aseanenergy.org

Supported by:
ASEAN Climate Change and Energy Project (ACCEPT)
accept.aseanenergy.org

ASEAN Centre
for Energy
ASEAN Energy in 2022 1

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

“ASEAN Energy in 2022” is a study that


provides key insights into Southeast
Asia’s energy situation in 2022. The
report was written by internal staff at the
ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE).

The analysis was based on data and


information collected from various
reliable sources: official reports from
the governments of the ten ASEAN
Member States, the private sector and
international organisations, as well as
from discussions held during the annual
ASEAN Energy Outlook Forum. These
are all available from the ASEAN Energy
Database System (AEDS).

The key authors were Muhammad Rizki


Kresnawan and Beni Suryadi, supported
by Rika Safrina, Rizky Aditya Putra,
Silvira Ayu Rosalia and Dr. Zulfikar
Yurnaidi. Significant assistance was
provided by the interns at ACE, namely
Crescencia Valentina, Helena Aurellia
and Yuen Khiong Choo. Overall guidance
was provided by Dr. Nuki Agya Utama,
Executive Director of ACE.

This edition was supported by the


ASEAN Climate Change and Energy
Project (ACCEPT).

Contact: mpp@aseanenergy.org

February 2022
ASEAN Energy in 2022 2

INSIGHT 1
POST-PANDEMIC RECOVERY

The large drop in total energy consumption across the ASEAN Region in
2020 indicates how the COVID-19 pandemic impacted the economy. 1 To
help cope with the economic difficulties, the governments of the ten ASEAN
Member States (AMS) disbursed various economic recovery packages. Now,
with the coronavirus more and less under control, the economy is expected
to grow along with energy demand, and surpass the pre-pandemic level.

THE PANDEMIC INTRODUCED The significant drop in energy


ENORMOUS UNCERTAINTIES INTO consumption by both sectors was mainly
THE REGION’S ENERGY SYSTEMS, due to the mobility restrictions imposed
ON BOTH THE SUPPLY AND by the AMS governments. Energy
DEMAND SIDES consumption in the commercial and
agriculture sectors also dropped, but not
The pandemic caused a contraction as significantly. In contrast, residential
and slowdown in the economy in 2020. energy demand increased 0.8% in 2020
Energy demand from the transport and compared to 2019.
industrial sectors dropped 13 Mtoe
(8.8%) and 11 Mtoe (6.8%), respectively,
in 2020 compared with 2019.

FIGURE 1 ASEAN ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR, 2019 VS 2020


SOURCE: AUTHORS’ CALCULATIONS BASED ON DATA SUBMITTED BY THE AMS

––––––––––––––––
1 This report is based on official 2020 data which was the latest available at the time of writing.
ASEAN Energy in 2022 3

In terms of the primary energy supply By contrast, the renewable energy (RE)
mix, the share of fossil fuels decreased sector was surprisingly resilient during
from 82.6% in 2019 to 81.2% in 2020. the pandemic. The share of total RE
The challenges faced by the fossil fuel increased by almost 1.4% from 2019 to
industries, especially the oil and gas 2020. Due to this resiliency, renewables
industries, are expected to continue have become the centre of attention as
after the pandemic has ended. However, well as the main driver in the government
the analysis shows that these industries stimulus packages [2].
are recovering well, though slowly [1].

FIGURE 2 ASEAN PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLY BY TYPE OF FUEL, 2019 VS 2020


SOURCE: AUTHORS’ CALCULATIONS BASED ON DATA SUBMITTED BY THE AMS

THE ECONOMIC RECOVERY In addition to the electricity relief,


PACKAGES, INCLUDING SOME the AMS governments also provided
DEVOTED TO THE ENERGY SECTOR different types of economic assistance
HELPED STABILISE ECONOMIC as part of the recovery packages. These
GROWTH packages were intended to ease the
burden of the post-pandemic recovery
Several fiscal recovery packages were as well as accelerate the energy
provided by the AMS governments transition in some AMS. Indonesia, for
during the pandemic. They included example, drew up a National Economic
tariff relief, investment stimuli, loans Recovery Plan in June 2020, which
and liquidity supports, as well as allocated USD 49 billion to help the
tax exemptions and fee waivers. As economy recover from the financial
discussed by the ASEAN Centre for damage caused by the pandemic.
Energy [3], various types of electricity However, the allocations related to
tariff relief and adjustments were the transition to RE were only 0.9% of
provided by the governments throughout the total stimulus recovery plan [4].
2020, especially for the most affected Considering the importance of biofuels in
community groups. Among the various the country as the main alternative to oil,
beneficiaries of these support measures, the policymakers also allocated around
the household sector received the most USD 2 billion in the form of biodiesel
economic assistance. incentives which were disbursed to
ASEAN Energy in 2022 4

biofuel companies [5]. The government frameworks in order to make such


also provided capital injections to state- financing more available to small and
owned enterprises in the energy sector, medium-sized businesses (SMEs).
including Pertamina (oil and natural
In July 2020, energy policymakers in
gas) and PLN (electricity), of around
Thailand allocated a budget of around
USD 149 million [6] and USD 352 million
USD 915 million to the Energy for All
[7], respectively. In addition, these two
Programme, which aims to promote
companies also received loans worth
power plants that generate electricity
a total of USD 127 million in 2020 to
from RE [12].
support the shift to RE [8].
THE PANDEMIC’S IMPACT ON
In Malaysia, the government allocated
USD 2.9 billion to energy projects in THE ENERGY SECTOR: CURRENT
2021, including energy efficient street SITUATION
lighting and the installation of rooftop As the vaccines were rolled out
solar panels, as part of its Covid-19 worldwide in 2020, the vaccination rate
stimulus package [9]. The government in the ASEAN Region also increased
also extended the Green Investment Tax significantly. The mobility restrictions
Allowance (GITA) and Green Income Tax were loosened, especially for domestic
Exemption (GITE) programmes until 2023 travel, and “new normal” protocols
[10]. Similarly, the Monetary Authority of became more common. As of 8 January
Singapore (MAS) launched its Green and 2022, about 50% of the population in
Sustainability-Linked Loan Grant Scheme almost all of the AMS had had the first
(GSLS) in November 2020 which is vaccine dose. However, it is expected
geared to accelerating more funding for that the coronavirus will remain a risk for
projects related to the energy transition some time yet.
[11]. The funding also encourages banks
to create green and sustainable lending

FIGURE 3 VACCINATION RATE AMONG THE AMS [13]


ASEAN Energy in 2022 5

According to the International Monetary Industrial sectors were hit hardest by


Fund (IMF) [14], the Region’s economic the pandemic and are slowly recovering.
growth will rebound to around 2.1% However, the energy rebound should be
in 2022, and is expected to steadily handled wisely if the AMS do not want to
increase in the following years. The become even more dependent on fossil
International Energy Agency’s [15], fuels in the coming years and decades.
Global Energy Review 2021 similarly
estimated that regional energy demand
will grow about 2% from the pre-
pandemic level. The transport and

FIGURE 4 ASEAN’S PREDICTED ENERGY DEMAND, PRE- AND POST-PANDEMIC


SOURCE: AUTHORS’ CALCULATIONS BASED ON DATA SUBMITTED BY THE AMS
ASEAN Energy in 2022 6

INSIGHT 2
PRE- AND POST-COP26

The agenda of the 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference of


the Parties (COP26) held in Glasgow in late 2021 necessitated significant
actions on the part of governments around the world. The updated
Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), signatories to the Glasgow
Climate Pact and the Global Coal to Clean Power statement became the
major outputs from the meeting and could become critical in attaining the
climate goals. The long-term strategies from all of the countries are intended
to delineate concrete actions that will increase the desire to go beyond the
NDC targets.

FROM COP26: UPDATED NDCS OF Apart from conditionality status and


THE AMS sectoral coverage, the NDCs also
set detailed coverage of greenhouse
Five AMS submitted their updated NDCs gas (GHG) emissions. Malaysia and
before COP26 convened in 2020, while Singapore have the most GHG coverage
the remainder completed theirs in 2021. in their submitted NDCs, namely,
In this latest submission, nine AMS carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4),
set unconditional targets for reducing nitrous oxide (N2O), hydrofluorocarbons
the emissions. Cambodia has only a (HFCs), perfluorocarbon (PFCs),
conditional target [16]. sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) and nitrogen
In terms of the coverage of the sectors, trifluoride (NF3), in contrast with
all of the AMS designated the energy Myanmar’s NDC that covers only CO2.
and agriculture sectors as the main Aside from CO2 which was included in
ones contributing to the emissions all of the AMS’ NDCs, CH4 and N2O were
reduction target. In addition, all of the noted by nine AMS. Table 1 summarises
AMS, except Myanmar, designated the NDC information submitted by the
industrial processes and product use AMS.
(IPPU) and waste as other contributors.
For land use, land-use change and
forestry (LULUCF), only the Philippines
and Thailand did not designate it as an
emissions reduction contributor.
ASEAN Energy in 2022 7

TABLE 1 THE NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTIONS (NDCS) OF EACH ASEAN MEMBER STATE

Target
Country Sectors GHG Coverage Timeframe
Unconditional Conditional

Energy
20% GHG
Brunei IPPU Carbon dioxide (CO2)
emissions
Darussalam N/A Agriculture Methane (CH4) 2021 - 2030
reduction relative
[17] LULUCF Nitrous oxide (N2O)
to BAU by 2030
Waste

41.7% emissions Energy


reduction (of which IPPU Carbon dioxide (CO2)
Cambodia
N/A 59.1% is from Agriculture Methane (CH4) 2020 - 2030
[18]
FOLU) by 2030 LULUCF Nitrous oxide (N2O)
compared to BAU Waste

Energy
29% GHG
41% GHG emissions IPPU Carbon dioxide (CO2)
Indonesia emissions
reduction relative Agriculture Methane (CH4) 2020 - 2030
[19] reduction relative
to BAU by 2030 LULUCF Nitrous oxide (N2O)
to BAU by 2030
Waste

60% GHG Energy


emissions IPPU Carbon dioxide (CO2)
Lao PDR
reduction N/A Agriculture Methane (CH4) 2020 - 2030
[20]
compared to LULUCF Nitrous oxide (N2O)
baseline scenario Waste

Carbon dioxide (CO2)


Economy-wide Energy Methane (CH4)
carbon intensity IPPU Nitrous oxide (N2O)
Malaysia
(against GDP) N/A Agriculture Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) 2021 - 2030
[21]
reduction of 45% in LULUCF Perfluorocarbon (PFCs)
2030 Waste Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6)
Nitrogen trifluoride (NF3)

Energy
244.52 million 414.75 million
Myanmar Transport
tCO2e emissions tCO2e emissions Carbon dioxide (CO2) 2021 - 2030
[22] Agriculture
reduction by 2030 reduction by 2030
LULUCF

Carbon dioxide (CO2)


2.71% GHG 72.29% GHG Energy
Methane (CH4)
Philippines emissions emissions Transport
Nitrous oxide (N2O) 2020 - 2030
[23] reduction by 2030 reduction by 2030 Agriculture
Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)
compared to BAU compared to BAU Waste
Perfluorocarbon (PFCs)

Carbon dioxide (CO2)


Peak emissions at
Energy Methane (CH4)
65 MtCO2e around
IPPU Nitrous oxide (N2O)
Singapore 2030, to achieve
N/A Agriculture Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) 2021 - 2030
[24] a 36% reduction
LULUCF Perfluorocarbon (PFCs)
in energy intensity
Waste Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6)
from 2005 levels
Nitrogen trifluoride (NF3)

Energy Carbon dioxide (CO2)


20%
20% (conditional) Transport Methane (CH4)
(unconditional)
Thailand GHG emissions IPPU Nitrous oxide (N2O)
GHG emissions 2021 - 2030
[25] reduction by 2030 Agriculture Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)
reduction by 2030
compared to BAU LULUCF Perfluorocarbon (PFCs)
compared to BAU
Waste Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6)

Up to 27% Energy
Carbon dioxide (CO2)
9% (unconditional) (conditional) IPPU
Vietnam Methane (CH4)
GHG emissions GHG emissions Agriculture 2021 - 2030
[26] Nitrous oxide (N2O)
reduction by 2030 reduction by 2030 LULUCF
Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)
compared to BAU Waste

Note: FOLU is Forestry and Other Land Use.


Source: Authors’ compilation.
ASEAN Energy in 2022 8

GLASGOW CLIMATE PACT: WHAT


IS IT ALL ABOUT?
The COP26 agenda tried to highlight up of clean power generation efforts,
the target to limit global warming to phasing out of fossil fuel subsidies and
1.5 degrees. However, there were so phasing down of unabated coal power
many other urgent topics to cover. will be crucial.
Nearly 200 nations signed the Glasgow
5. Developed countries are urged to
Climate Pact [27] which agreed to
provide enhanced support, including
strong commitments in tackling climate
financial, technological and knowledge
change. This accord became the first
transfers to developing countries
climate agreement to specifically state
in order to help them achieve their
that unabated coal consumption should
mitigation and adaptation goals. An
be reduced. Some of the key messages
annual USD 100 billion climate finance
from the various thematic chapters were
fund is requested starting in 2025,
as follows:
along with measures to simplify the
1. Science-based decision-making that steps that developing countries to
expands into large-scale policy making need to take to access it.
is a key focus area.
6. With climate change already causing
2. With climate extremes being severe damage and losses around the
experienced all over the world, world, it was noted that a broad range
governments are urged to make of stakeholders, from the local to
adaptation plans that are integrated the regional level must have a means
into local, national and regional for working together to minimise the
planning, coupled with a scaling up predicted onset of worsening damage
of actions and support for finance, and losses in the coming years.
capacity building and technology
7. The parties were urged to meet their
transfer.
respective pledges and national
3. The Pact urges developed countries targets under the Convention. They
to strengthen climate adaptation were also encouraged to take an
finance through the Adaptation Fund integrated approach when addressing
and Least Developed Countries Fund national and local policy issues, and
in order to propel adaptation-based when making planning decisions
initiatives in developing countries. so as to ensure that just transitions
occur. 2 This can be done by providing
4. In order to prevent global warming
financial support to reduce GHG
from exceeding 1.5 degrees, rapid,
emissions and ensure climate-resilient
deep and sustained reductions in
development.
global GHG emissions must be made
through the acceleration of technology 8. COP26 recognised the importance
deployment and dissemination, of international collaboration and
as well as policy adoption. While cooperation in innovative climate
acknowledging each country’s action, including technological
particular circumstances, the scaling advancement while considering social

––––––––––––––––
2 According to the International Labour Organization, a just transition means “greening the economy in a way that is as fair and inclusive as
possible to everyone concerned, creating decent work opportunities and leaving no one behind.”
See https://www.ilo.org/global/topics/green-jobs/WCMS_824102/lang--en/index.htm.
ASEAN Energy in 2022 9

aspects such as gender equality. It At least five AMS have signed to the
also recognised the contributions Statement, namely, Brunei Darussalam,
of civil society, indigenous peoples, Indonesia, the Philippines, Singapore and
local communities, youth, children, Vietnam. However, not all of the clauses
local and regional governments and in the Statement have been agreed to
other stakeholders, and supported by Indonesia and the Philippines [30].
youth and indigenous communities’ Indonesia partially excluded the third
participation in multilateral, national clause on ceasing issuance of permits
and local decision-making processes. and direct government support for,
and construction of new unabated coal
GLOBAL COAL TO CLEAN POWER:
power plants. However, as part of its
ASEAN’S STANDPOINT promise to attain net zero emissions by
As numerous financial institutions 2060, or sooner with international aid,
declared their intentions to halt their Indonesia will explore accelerating the
funding for new coal plants due to their coal phase-down into the 2040s, subject
major contribution to climate change to extra international financial and
[28], many countries worldwide have technical support.
responded with efforts to transition Meanwhile, the Philippines has
away from the use of coal. These apparently endorsed only the first clause
actions, reflected in the Global Coal to and parts of the second and fourth
Clean Power Transition Statement, are clauses. The Philippines would like
another critical output of COP26. This to reiterate its call for climate justice,
Statement underlined the urgency of noting that the Philippines is not a
accelerating and scaling up the clean major emitter of greenhouse gases but
energy transition efforts while fully is suffering badly from the worsening
moving away from coal-driven activities effects of climate change. It emphasises
[29]. The four main commitments that that energy security is paramount, and
countries agreed upon in the Statement that the energy transition will serve
were: as a means to improve the lives of
1. Rapid development of clean power as Filipinos and contribute to the economic
well as significant increases in energy development of the country.
efficiency measures. Under the conditionality agreement
2. Scaling up the technologies and of the clause, the AMS signatories to
policies needed to transition away the Statement have made a bold move
from coal in the 2030s for major towards transitioning away from coal.
economies, and 2040s globally. Aligned with the Paris Agreement, the
ASEAN Region is “walking its talk” by
3. Ceasing issuance of permits and phasing down coal power plants despite
direct government support for, and being the world’s largest single coal
construction of new unabated coal- market.
fired power plants.

4. Strengthening efforts to provide


robust technical and financial
frameworks, as well as social support
to make a just and inclusive transition
away from coal.
ASEAN Energy in 2022 10

BEYOND NDCS: THE AMS’ LONG-


TERM STRATEGIES
Since the AMS’ NDC targets cover only a As countries move towards more
certain implementation period, planning ambitious long-term goals, rapid
beyond the NDC targets is important developments in technological innovation
in demonstrating the Region’s desire to are expected. These innovations will
address global climate goals. Nine of the undoubtedly require considerable
ten AMS have committed to reaching the investment in the future. Thus, the
net zero target as listed in the various involvement of numerous stakeholders
long-term strategy documents submitted will likely accelerate the achievement of
to the UNFCCC. these long-term goals.

FIGURE 5 AMS’ NET ZERO TARGET YEAR


ASEAN Energy in 2022 11

INSIGHT 3
ACCELERATING TOWARDS THE ENERGY TRANSITION

After planning, the next step is implementation. Accelerating the energy


transition will require concrete efforts from each of the AMS. Indeed, more
countries are compiling new power development plans (PDPs) which make
way for more renewables starting in 2022. Efforts by the power sector are
crucial as ASEAN now has only three years to reach its regional targets
for the RE share in Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES) and for energy
intensity reduction. In 2022 the regulations for the world’s largest free trade
agreement, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), are
also expected to be promulgated.

THE POWER SECTOR IN 2022


The power sector is expected to play a of power capacity were installed by
key role in the energy transition era. As the AMS, with approximately 22 GW of
reported in the ASEAN Power Updates capacity added in 2020 alone.
in 2021 [31], around 285 gigawatts (GW)

TABLE 2 ASEAN INSTALLED POWER CAPACITY IN 2020 (MW) [31]

Coal Oil Gas Hydro Geothermal Solar Wind Bioenergy Others TOTAL

89,451 11,925 88,234 59,451 4,058.7 22,942 2,665 5,969 393 285,089

Coal and gas contributed around capacity mix, followed by geothermal,


31.4% and 30.9%, respectively, while solar, wind, bioenergy and other RE
oil contributed around 4.2%. Of the RE sources together accounting for 12.5%.
categories, hydro became the largest,
accounting for almost 21% in the power
ASEAN Energy in 2022 12

FIGURE 6 SHARES OF INSTALLED POWER CAPACITY IN ASEAN IN 2020 [31]

According to the Cambodia Power According to the Singapore Electricity


Development Plan 2021-2030 [32], Market Outlook 2021 [37] new projects
about 86% of the total capacity addition there will result in an additional 300 MW
in 2022 will come from renewable of capacity to handle the island-state’s
sources. Indonesia’s recent PDP, the growing demand. The government
Rencana Usaha Penyediaan Tenaga foresees that solar power will increase
Listrik (RUPTL) 2021-2030 [33], states gradually to reach 1.5 GWp by 2025. At
that the overall capacity additions of the same time, the remaining electricity
RE throughout the period will result in needs will be imported from the Lao
a 51% share, or slightly more than the PDR-Thailand-Malaysia-Singapore Power
fossil fuel share at 49%. For 2022 alone, Integration Project (LTMS-PIP). Thailand
it is expected that there will be about [38] plans to increase its power capacity
647 MW of RE capacity plant actually by 1,765 MW, mostly from renewable
running. sources. This additional capacity
includes the decommissioning of a
Interestingly, according to the Report
270 MW coal power plant in 2022.
on Peninsular Malaysia Generation
Development Plan 2020 [34], Malaysia Vietnam, which is finalising the draft of
is planning to retire about 915 MW of its 8th Power Development Plan (PDP8)
gas power plant while increasing the is also planning for large capacity
capacity of RE to 72 MW [35]. Meanwhile additions. The PDP8 is expected to
the Philippines [36] plans to install include a target for an RE share of
28 MW and 21 MW of hydro and solar 53% by 2025. However, fossil fuels will
power, respectively. continue to be the backbone of the
ASEAN Energy in 2022 13

power sector for the short- to medium- plans to install more than 5.5 GW in 2022
term in many countries. Hence, to fuel [31]. Details about the capacity additions
the growing demand, especially for planned for 2022 are given in Table 3.
electricity, the Vietnamese government

TABLE 3 CAPACITY ADDITIONS IN THE AMS IN 2022 (MW)

Fuel BN KH ID LA MY MM PH SG TH VN ASEAN

Coal 133 2,444 220 -270 1,800 4,327

Oil 5 5

Gas 1,822 -915 443 738 3,300 5,388

Hydro 350 207 7 486 28 514 1,592

Solar 32 450 287 21 200 990

Wind 2 488 490

Geothermal 108 108

Biomass and
43 65 100 783 1,091
Others

TOTAL 32 933 4,918 220 -843 1,029 49 300 1,765 5,588 13,991

WITH ONLY THREE YEARS TO GO,


THERE IS PRESSURE TO ACHIEVE
THE REGIONAL TARGETS
The year 2022 could be a turning point to rise towards the 23% target for 2025.
in terms of the ASEAN Region’s energy In the power sector, the share of RE
transition efforts. More of the AMS are installed capacity has already reached
aligning their national energy targets 28.7%, not far from the 35% target for
with their submitted NDCs. The share of 2025 [39].
RE in TPES is reportedly progressing. In
2019 it reached 13.94% and continues
ASEAN Energy in 2022 14

FIGURE 7 ACHIEVEMENT OF RE SHARE IN TPES


Note: AEDS is ASEAN Energy Database System, ATS is ASEAN Target Scenario and APS is APAEC Target Scenario

FIGURE 8 ACHIEVEMENT OF RE SHARE IN INSTALLED CAPACITY [31]


ASEAN Energy in 2022 15

ASEAN successfully achieved a 21.8% measures, notably in the building,


energy intensity reduction in 2019 transportation and industrial sectors,
relative to the 2005 level [39]. There is can assist in reducing energy usage and
still an approximate 10% gap that must emissions while boosting energy security
be handled by the Region. However, and overall economic productivity in a
as apparent from the more ambitious cost-effective way. Hence it is expected
energy transition plans of some AMS, that more and more innovations are
the Region is “walking its talk” towards needed to achieve the regional target.
attaining the regional target.

As mentioned in the Joint Ministerial


Statement of the 39th ASEAN Ministers
on Energy Meeting (AMEM), adoption
and extension of energy efficiency

FIGURE 9 ENERGY INTENSITY REDUCTION IN TPES RELATIVE TO THE 2005 LEVEL


Note: AEDS is ASEAN Energy Database System, ATS is ASEAN Target Scenario and APS is APAEC Target Scenario.
ASEAN Energy in 2022 16

LONG-AWAITED REGULATIONS
AND WORLD’S LARGEST FREE
TRADE AGREEMENT
The year 2022 is expected to be critical of alternative scenarios for energy
for long overdue regulations such as growth, including a greater emphasis
the passage of Indonesia’s RE bill. on renewables. The year 2022 is also
Currently, the bill is a priority for the significant in that it marks the launching
national legislation programme which of the world’s largest free trade
is expected to be completed in 2022. agreement, the Regional Comprehensive
With the issuance of the New and Economic Partnership (RCEP). Deals
Renewable Energy Law, Indonesia can among the member countries will likely
at least provide business certainty in leverage investment to assist with the
terms of legal stability for RE investors. energy transition.
In addition, ratification of the RE law
will also demonstrate the government’s
commitment to the energy transition.

Similar to Indonesia’s RE bill, Vietnam’s


new PDP regulation is expected to be
published in 2022. In order to gather
inputs and comments from the public,
a draft of the PDP8 regulation was
disseminated in February 2021 by
Vietnam’s Ministry of Industry and Trade
(MOIT). The plan contains a number

FIGURE 10 MEMBERS OF RCEP


ASEAN Energy in 2022 17

Photo by Jason Blackeye on Unsplash


ASEAN Energy in 2022 18

INSIGHT 4
ASEAN ENERGY COOPERATION MILESTONES IN 2022

EYES ON THE CAMBODIA


CHAIRMANSHIP IN 2022
The ASEAN Chairmanship was very economy-wide energy efficiency (see
ably handled by Brunei Darussalam in Chapter 3 therein). Renewable energy
2021. Cambodia is now at the helm, and efforts and energy efficiency measures
in the spirit of “Addressing Challenges will continue to be the main priority for
Together”, it intends to strengthen the the Region. The setting of clear targets
essence of togetherness and encourage is seen as beneficial in that they can
action-oriented collaboration to provide serve as guideposts for potential energy
real results within the three pillars of investors. Moreover, the clear targets
the ASEAN community, namely political make it imperative that the best possible
and security cooperation, economic regulatory environment be in place to
cooperation and socio-cultural enable investors to collaborate with the
cooperation. AMS easily [40]–[49].

ASEAN energy cooperation, which MOVING FORWARD TOGETHER


comes under the ASEAN economic
The COVID pandemic undoubtedly
cooperation pillar, will enter the second
caused painful declines in ASEAN’s
year of the ASEAN Plan of Action for
economic growth and the demand for
Energy Cooperation (APAEC) 2016-
energy in certain sectors. However, on
2025: Phase II 2021-2025. This Plan of
the positive side, renewable energy
Action will drive ASEAN’s energy sector
proved its resilience amid the bleak
strategies which are divided into seven
period. As the AMS slowly recover from
programme areas, namely, the ASEAN
the pandemic, strong fiscal mechanisms
Power Grid, Trans-ASEAN Gas Pipeline,
for providing green recovery packages
Coal and Clean Coal Utilisation, Energy
are expected to be pivotal in helping
Efficiency and Conservation, Renewable
the economy and energy sector bounce
Energy, Regional Energy Policy and
back while still aligning with climate
Planning and Civilian Nuclear Energy.
goals.
All eyes are on Cambodia right now,
The year 2022 is expected to be a
watching how its leadership will drive
turning point for the ASEAN Region
the prioritisation of the transition to
in terms of its energy transition. The
cleaner energy use. The biannual
AMS’ updated NDCs are expected to
flagship publication of the ASEAN Energy
bring more ambitious strategies. This
Outlook (AEO) is expected to carve the
is evident by the statement under
pathway for ASEAN’s long-term energy
the Glasgow Climate Pact and the
transition through enhanced efforts to
Global Coal to Clean Power Transition
increase the share of RE and improve
ASEAN Energy in 2022 19

Statement. In addition to this, the AMS the regional targets in 2025. Also, 2022
also set their long-term strategies to will see the long-awaited regulations for,
reach net zero emissions, which are and launch of the world’s largest free
beyond their NDCs target. trade agreement, the RCEP. Lastly, under
Cambodia’s chairmanship of ASEAN in
In the power sector, the newest PDPs
2022, the energy transition spirit will
indicate that significant increases in
continue under the theme, “Addressing
renewable power generation are being
Challenges Together”.
planned in the next few years. The year
2022 is expected to be a stepping stone
towards greater RE penetration in the
power sector and towards filling the
remaining gaps necessary to achieving

source: asean2022.mfaic.gov.kh
ASEAN Energy in 2022 20

references

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ASEAN Energy in 2022 23

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ASEAN Energy in 2022 24

This Report is a product of the ASEAN Climate Change and Energy Project (ACCEPT)

ACCEPT is funded by the Norwegian Government under the Norwegian-ASEAN Regional Integration Programme (NARIP) and is jointly implemented
by the ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE) and the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI). The project includes the active involvement of
key ASEAN stakeholders, and helps enhance modelling, analytical and regional policy planning capacities within ASEAN.

ACE is an intergovernmental organisation within ASEAN structure that represents the 10 ASEAN Member States’ (AMS) interests in the energy
sector.

NUPI carries out research on international issues of importance to Norway and the world.

accept.aseanenergy.org @ASEAN_EnergyCC @asean_energycc

ASEAN Centre for Energy The views expressed in this policy brief are those of the
Soemantri Brodjonegoro II Building author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of ASEAN Centre
Jl. H.R. Rasuna Said Block X-02, Kav. 07-08, for Energy (ACE) as an institution, any associated ASEAN
Member States/Institutions/Individuals, or partner institutions.
RT.10/RW.4, Kuningan Timur, Kecamatan
Setiabudi, Daerah Khusus Ibukota Jakarta 12950 This is an open access publication under the terms and
conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
+62 21 527 9332 The material can be used freely, as long as a complete
reference to this policy brief is included.

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