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Fundamental analysis is one school of investing research. It contrasts with another popular approach, technical
analysis, which focuses not on business fundamentals but on stock-price action as reflected in charts. More live events...
Technical analysts look for recognizable patterns in price charts that will help them estimate the stock’s future
price movement.
Fundamental analysts consider the following in making their decision to invest (or not):
Is the company making a profit consistently? (While this is naturally the most important question for
investors, it’s important to consider the answer in a bigger context. A single profitable quarter for a new
company might be a fluke. In the same regard, a drop in profitability for an established blue-chip
company might just be a temporary setback.)
Is that profit growing or declining over time?
Is the company holding its own relative to the competition? Is it a leader in its sector? Is that sector
growing or declining in importance to the overall economy?
Can the company pay its bills adequately? If you were to dismantle the company’s operations today,
what would be the intrinsic value of its assets versus the value of its debts?
All publicly traded companies in the United States are required t o f ile s tatements of financial c ondition on a
regular basis. These include the 10-Q, a quarterly statement, and the 10-K, an annual statement. Each
statement follows a prescribed form to include certain basic information.
Publicly traded companies are also subject to audits by government agencies that oversee their given industry.
Those audits may be either scheduled or random events. The results of a regulatory audit may also be
published--interesting reading for a would-be investor.
The 10-Q and 10-K are good places to start your fundamental research, but you’ll likely want to dig deeper into
the specifics. For that you’ll need to understand three interrelated types of statements: the balance sheet, the
income statement and the cash flow statement.
You can look up a balance sheet for any publicly traded U.S. stock on the TradeKing website underQuotes +
Research > Quotes + News + Research . Just enter the company’s ticker symbol and you’ll be on your way. In
most cases, balance sheets are presented in left and right side format. You'll find Assets on the left, and on the
right side of the page are the Liabilities and Equity. (Sometimes these items are listed from top to bottom
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instead of left to right.)
Assets include resources the c ompany has that are worth something. Many of these are self-explanatory, like
Cash & Investments. Others are less familiar, like Current Assets, which refers to the value of assets that are
readily converted into cash, such as Inventory or Receivables.
Longer-term assets vary depending on business type, but may include such things as property or equipment
values. Since long-term assets gradually decrease in value over time, Accumulated Depreciation is subtracted
from this. Note that depreciated assets may show up as having little or no value on the balance sheet but may
have a much greater market value if sold.
Items under Liabilities include Accounts Payable, the amount the company may owe suppliers, and Income
Taxes Payable, which is self-explanatory. Note that Current Liabilities, which are short-term, are listed
separately just as Current Assets are. This section may also contain long-term debt obligations: for example, if
the company has taken out bank loans to finance equipment or real estate, or if the company has issued
corporate bonds to investors.
A figure called the Quick Ratio helps investors determine if a c ompany’s ass ets and liabilities are in a healthy
balance. The quick ratio measures a company's ability to meet its short-term obligations with its most liquid
assets. The higher the quick ratio, the better the financial position of the company. It’s calculated as follows:
Note that the Quick Ratio is more conservative than some other liquidity measures, like the Current Ratio,
because it excludes inventory from current assets. If you believe the company might have difficulty turning their
inventory into cash, then the Quick Ratio might give a more accurate picture of the company’s short-term
financial strength.
This brings us to the bottom section of the balance sheet: Shareholders’ Equity. Equity is capital obtained from
sources other than creditors. What are these sources? Paid in Capital refers to money investors paid the
company for the stock during the initial public offering in order to become shareholders. Paid in Capital also
includes capital raised from any subsequent offerings or sale of new stock. Keep in mind this does equal not
the current price of the stock.
However, this does not make the two sides balance. This brings us to the concept of Retained Earnings.
Mathematically speaking, this is the amount that makes the balance sheet’s two sides even. Put another way,
Retained Earnings refers to the income that’s been kept (retained) by the company. It’s not a pile of cash sitting
somewhere; rather it’s the amount of money that “belongs to the shareholders”, the value the company has
generated beyond paid in capital and assets that exceed liabilities. Investors generally like to see Retained
Earnings growing over time.
A company’s balance sheet gives us a high-level picture of a business, but by itself it tells us only s o much.
Balance sheets always balance Assets with Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity. It takes delving into income
and cash-flow statements to learn more about the health of the company and whether growth is trending
upwards or downwards over time.
The income statement starts with Net Sales or Revenues, the so-called “top line”. When analysts refer to “top-
line growth”, what they really mean is: Are total revenues growing or shrinking? This is important because if the
top line isn’t growing, where will sustainable growth come from?
The next two lines cover what it cost the company to produce the products and services sold. Cost of Goods
Sold covers direct costs of materials, labor, et cetera. Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization is an indirect cost
associated with production. For our purposes we’ll lump them together.
Another line item of cost is Selling, General & Administration Expenses. These cos ts pertain to operating t he
company and promoting the product. Analysts watch the so-called “SG&A” costs closely. Problems often show
up here before they are apparent in the bottom line.
For example, if Drite Rite Motors had $100 million in gross revenues and $70 million in costs, gross margin
would be 70/100=0.7. In other words, the company’s cost to produce $100 million in revenue is 70% of that
revenue. Gross Margin refers to the percentage of that amount that’s profit, the remaining 30%.
Is a 30% gross margin good? We’d need to compare this company’s gross margin with its competitors to
benchmark this particular industry. It’s also smart to consider whether a company’s gross margins are going up
or down over time.
Operating Income is calculated by subtracting Selling, General & Administration Expenses (SG&A) from Gross
Income. Financial analysts pay close attention to Operating Margin, which is operating income as a percentage
of revenue. They’re also interested in Profit Margin (as no doubt you are), which is net income expressed as a
percentage of total revenue.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) – this refers to the total amount a company earned in a given timeframe, divided by
the number of outstanding shares. EPS is one of the most-quoted indications of a company’s current health.
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E). Since you’re buying a share of the company to get a share of their earnings, you
should want to know how much you’re paying for that privilege. P/E can be a handy yardstick for whether you’re
paying dearly to tap a company’s earnings stream, or whether you’re getting a bargain.
P/E is calculated as follows: you take the price of the stock and divide it by the EPS. P/E is always quoted
using annual earnings.
What should P/E be? Again, numbers like these are relative to the company’s sector and current market
conditions. You should compare your company’s P/E to that of its chief competitors, and then check out the
average P/E for the S&P 500.
Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG). When you start comparing the P/E ratios of various stocks, you may find it
confusing. XYZ has a P/E of 59; ABC has a P/E of 12. Does that mean XYZ stock is over-priced and ABC’s is
a bargain? Maybe. Why doesn't the market establish what the P/E ratio “should” be and adjust all stock prices
accordingly?
The short answer is that earnings change, and individual stock prices are determined by the expectation of
future earnings. By contrast, P/E and EPS give us only a snapshot in the past. Another problem is in the way
companies report earnings and the way in which the market interprets them. If a company has a "one-time
charge against earnings" for some extraordinary reason, this lowers EPS. However, the market may focus more
on what earnings would have been if the one-time charge were ignored.
So how should we compare these numbers? Enter PEG, an earnings ratio that tries to account for future
growth. It’s calculated by taking the P/E ratio and dividing it by the annual EPS growth rate. PEG is a widely
used measure of valuation. A PEG of one suggests the stock is fairly valued. If it’s greater than one, the stock
may be over-priced. If less than one, the stock may be undervalued. PEG is useful in evaluating high-growth
stocks, because even though their current earnings may be modest, the expectation is that these companies
are poised for potentially explosive growth.
In times of easy credit, companies may be able to patch over cash flow interruptions with interim financing;
during tighter credit markets, though, such financing may not be as readily available. In those situations, steady
cash-flow generated by the company’s operations becomes especially important.
There are three big categories of cash flow to pay attention to here. Word of warning: it’s not always crystal-
clear from just glancing at a cash flow statement which line items represent cash flowing IN versus cash
flowing OUT. Cash generated by and used by the company’s operations is summarized in the Net Cash Flow –
Operating Activities line. That line includes cash flowing in as well as cash-out.
The company’s long-term investing of cash is detailed in the Net Cash Flow – Investing line. That consists of
cash flowing out. The third and last part, the “Net Cash Flow – Financing” line, shows the cash a company
raised through from financing activities. That’s cash that came in.
The very bottom line shows the net change in the company’s cash position. If you add the line to the cash on
the balance sheet from the previous year, you’ll get the current cash position on the current year’s balance
sheet.
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Income, a figure which comes from the income statement. You’ll notice next Depreciation, Depletion &
Amortization is added back in. These cos ts impact the c ompany’s profitability but aren’t, literally speaking,
cash flows out of the company. You could safely call these paper losses.
Depreciation is deducted when determining a company’s net profit, because it’s assumed that the things being
depreciated have lost value. The rest of the top of the statement provides a more detailed explanation as to
where cash came from and was used in operations.
Things like a change in Accounts Payable and Inventory can change the company’s cash position. For
example, this line item would include things like bills the company hasn’t yet paid – that’s cash the company
still technically has on hand. Another item you might note in this section is increases in inventory, which costs
the company some cash. The subtotal for Net Cash Flow – Operating Activities will usually be a positive figure,
indicating cash flowing in.
When we talk about cash flows from financing, keep in mind that “financing” might mean cash is coming in, if
the company takes on new debt, or flowing out, if they choose to pay down debts. The financing section of the
statement may also include cash dividends paid out to common or preferred stockholders, purchases or
conversions of the company buying its own stock on the open market, the effects of foreign currency
fluctuations and other items. Again, the Net Cash Flow – Financing line is either a positive or negative number,
telling you whether net cash flowed out or in due to financing.
A cash flow s tatement may feel lik e a dry record of cash shunting from the plus to the minus columns and back
again. It’s only in closer inspection and comparison of statements over time that interesting discrepancies can
reveal themselves. For example, say while comparing cash flow statements for a company over several years,
you notice a sizeable jump in a company’s Receivables item. This may simply be an accounting change and
not mean much in real terms. However, if that’s not the case, a jump in Accounts Receivables might mean the
company is having a harder time collecting from its customers – an important shift that the company will
naturally not seek to advertise. It’s nuggets like these that reward the patient work of an investor willing to dig
through financial statements to find potential red flags or opportunities unseen by the less-observant eye.
Click on the Financials Tabto access all 3 of the financial statements discussed here: income statement,
balance sheet and cash flow statement. Quotes & Research includes lots of other great data for fundamental
analysts, so be sure to click around and see what else you find.
Don't forget to check out the S&P Stock Reports . Just enter a ticker symbol or company name, and you will be
able to access the most recent stock report on that company. TheS&P Stock Reports provide objective
analysis and opinions on approximately 1,500 companies using Bottom-Up Analytics. Standard & Poor's global
team of equity analysts create a comprehensive corporate overview including S&P STARS recommendations.
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