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elG.Lumapas
Cour
seTi
tl
e:Engi
neer
ingDat
aAnal
ysi
s
Cour
seOf
fer
ing:Y045
MODULE5.
1ASSESSMENT
1.Afairdi
eist
ossedt
wice.Def
inenumberoft
ossesr
esul
ti
ngi
nanumbergr
eat
er
than4.
a.I
dent
if
yal
lpossi
blev
aluesof.Pr
esentt
heev
entassoci
atedwi
theach.
X Ev
entassoci
atedwi
thX=x
0 (
1,1)
,(1,
2),(1,
3),(
1,4)
,(2,
1),(
2,2)
,(2,
3),(
2,4)
,(3,
1)(
3,2)
,(3,
3),(
3,4)
,(4,
1),
(
4,2)
,(4,
3),(
4,4)
1 (
1,5)
,(1,
6),
(2,
5),
(2,
6),
(3,
5),
(3,
6),
(4,
5),
(4,
6)
2 (
5,5)
,(5,
6),
(6,
5),
(6,
6)
b.Const
ructt
hepr
obabi
l
itymassf
unct
ionofbycompl
eti
ngt
het
abl
ebel
ow.
x 0 1 2
f
(x)
=P(
X-x) 4/
9 4/
9 1/
9
2.Itisusef
ulforFi
reDepar t
mentstohaveamodelf ornumberofdirecti
njur
ies
occurr
inginaf i
rei
ncident.Theycanusethistodet
erminethelevelofmedical
servi
cestomakeavai
lableeachti
me.SupposethePMFofisasfol
lows:
a.Ev
entt
hatt
her
ewi
llbeatl
east1di
recti
njur
y
P(
X>1)
=1-
P(X<1)=1-P(
X=0)
=1.
08-
0.92
b.Ev
entt
hatt
her
ewi
llbemor
ethan2butl
esst
han8di
recti
njur
ies
P(
2<X<8)=P(
X=3,
4,
5,
6,077)
=P(
X=3)+P(
X=4)+P(
X=5)+P(
X=6)+P(
X=7)
=0.
14+0.
18+0.
16+0.
09+0.
06
=0.
63
MODULE5.
2ASSESSMENT
1.Theforcer equir
edtopunctur
eacar dboar
dmai li
ngtubewi t
hasharpobjectis
normal
lydistr
ibutedwithmean14.5kil
osandst andarddevi
ati
on1.8ki
los.Whatis
thepr
obabili
tythatatubewil
lpunct
ureifi
tisstr
uckbya9- ki
loblowwi
ththeobject
?
(Hi
nt:Letbethef
orcerequi
redtopunct
ureacardboardmail
ingtubewi
thashar
p
obj
ect.Wearecomputi
ngforthepr
obabil
it
ythatt
herequi
redfor
cecanbeasmuch
as9kilos.
)
Sol
uti
on:
LetXbet heforcerequi
redtopunctur
eacar dboardmail
i
ngt ubewit
hashar pobj
ect
.
Wear ecomput ingfortheprobabi
l
itythattherequir
edforcecanbeasmuchas9
ki
los.Thi
stranslat
estotheprobabi
li
tyvalueP(X≤9)Thezvaluecor
respondi
ngtox=9
i
s
1.The Wr i
te Right Company manuf actures ball
point pens and has been
experi
encing a 6% r at
e of defect
ive pens.Modi fi
cati
ons are made t othe
manufacturingprocessinanat t
emptt oimprov equal
it
y.Themanagercl ai
msthat
themodi fi
edpr ocedureisbet
terbecauseat estof60pensshowst hatonly1is
defect
ive.(Tri
ola,2010)
a)Assumi
ngthatthe6%rateofdefectshasnotchanged,f
indt
hepr
obabi
li
tyt
hat
among60pens,exact
ly1i
sdefect
ive.
b)Whatcany
ouconcl
udeaboutt
heef
fect
ivenessoft
hemodi
fi
edmanuf
act
uri
ng
process?
Becauseiti
sraretofindonlyonedefecti
vepenoutof60ifp=0. 06,t
hisval
ueofpis
nolongervali
d.Al owerv al
ueofpi ndi
cat
esahi gherli
kel
ihoodofobservingthi
s
occurr
ence.For such an ev ent t
o occur,Ican assume t hat the updat
ed
manufactur
ingprocessappearstobemor eeff
ect
ivethantheoldone.
2.)Al ar
ge i
ndustr
ialplantis being planned i
nar ur
alarea.As a par toft he
envir
onmentalimpactst at
ement ,a t eam ofwi l
dli
fe sci
entistsis surv
eying t
he
numberand t ypesofsmal lmammal si ntheregion.Thenumberoff i
eld mi
ce
capturedinatr
apov era24-hourper i
odi st
hecharacteri
sti
cofi nt
erest
.Itwasfound
thattheaver
agenumberoff i
eldmi cecapturedpertrapis2.3.(OttandLongnecker,
2016)
a)Whati
sthepr
obabi
l
ityoff
indi
ngexact
lyf
ourf
iel
dmi
cei
nar
andoml
ysel
ect
ed
tr
ap?
b)Whati
sthepr
obabi
l
ityoff
indi
ngmor
ethanf
ourf
iel
dmi
cei
nar
andoml
ysel
ect
ed
tr
ap?