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179.

1-48 ④ PG -749 ⑦

f-
payout ✗ =

payoff timing .

Stolen loss

¥¥"
P( ✗ =x )
0.0025 0.03

1-
pC✗=x )

=L (X ) = $20000 ✗ 0.0025 + $8000 ✗ 0,03

= $290

124,2m >

A
☒① Eft
event

$290s
Variance
i⇒
- -3 3

c- →

oz=E(xni-#
c→

E×÷-µ
'
a - " "-
+ ✗ +

µ
'

c- c-

Fin __FF
/
-
-
- -
- -
- .
.

1- . -

a-

a
- -
=

Varlxl =

[(KiY→ probability a-

FEE
P④
-4=1×15
'

§pj
-

Varix / = [ (
Kijhl Pi =
-

M
= EL✗4

Elxl = I Kip ;
~,

E( ✗ 4=2 xip ;
- -

=L (2×+1)=2 ( 274+17 Pi

179.753 ⑧
El :X -1=11 = 3=11×1+1

(
!
El # → ←

=p
I 2 3


Is -3s

{
3 9
Elaxtb )= AECX ) + b 6

4<-77%0
Varlaxtb ) =
a- Varlx )

, ,aµ , , ,
,aµ ,

79.755 ⑥
Binomialplswibutim.e.g.IM

(
512 -42EUR .

"

( atb )
✗ = # of sixes

b
"
t
✗ ~B( 5 , :-)
t

outcomes success failure


PK-t-l:/ t.P.si#6ii i .i --i-.--in--
U-E-cmnti.lk?-tu-XXxpcx--xs--(z1p''-Ci-pi-#
>

.

only two

② fixed É .in e.
g.


independent trials .

pwbabiliiyofsucc.es#pP(lEXC-
constant

3) = 0-595

Cumulative
✗ Blu
p )
~

binomcdf
,
179.761

1.
I
✗ # of defective bulbs
'

✗ ~B( 6
,
0.05 )

a) P( ✗ = 2) = 0.0305
e-

b) PLX > 1) = 0.265

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