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Timing: Payout
Timing: Payout
1-48 ④ PG -749 ⑦
f-
payout ✗ =
payoff timing .
Stolen loss
¥¥"
P( ✗ =x )
0.0025 0.03
1-
pC✗=x )
= $290
124,2m >
A
☒① Eft
event
$290s
Variance
i⇒
- -3 3
c- →
oz=E(xni-#
c→
E×÷-µ
'
a - " "-
+ ✗ +
µ
'
c- c-
Fin __FF
/
-
-
- -
- -
- .
.
1- . -
a-
a
- -
=
Varlxl =
[(KiY→ probability a-
FEE
P④
-4=1×15
'
§pj
-
Varix / = [ (
Kijhl Pi =
-
M
= EL✗4
Elxl = I Kip ;
~,
E( ✗ 4=2 xip ;
- -
=L (2×+1)=2 ( 274+17 Pi
179.753 ⑧
El :X -1=11 = 3=11×1+1
(
!
El # → ←
=p
I 2 3
✓
Is -3s
{
3 9
Elaxtb )= AECX ) + b 6
4<-77%0
Varlaxtb ) =
a- Varlx )
, ,aµ , , ,
,aµ ,
79.755 ⑥
Binomialplswibutim.e.g.IM
(
512 -42EUR .
"
( atb )
✗ = # of sixes
b
"
t
✗ ~B( 5 , :-)
t
only two
② fixed É .in e.
g.
③
independent trials .
pwbabiliiyofsucc.es#pP(lEXC-
constant
3) = 0-595
Cumulative
✗ Blu
p )
~
binomcdf
,
179.761
1.
I
✗ # of defective bulbs
'
✗ ~B( 6
,
0.05 )
a) P( ✗ = 2) = 0.0305
e-