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FB&AS Fall Semester 2021

Sir Syed University of Engineering & Technology


Department of Software Engineering

COURSE INFORMATION SHEET

Course Code : MS-301


Course Title : Probability and Statistics
Credit Hours : 3+0
Prerequisites : MS-103: Calculus & Analytical Geometry
Instructor Name : Salka Naushad
Email & Contact Info. : Ext:

COURSE OUTLINE :

Descriptive Statistics:
Basic definitions, measures of central tendency and variation, z-scores, frequency distribution,
graphical representation of data, symmetry and skewness, quintiles (percentiles, deciles and
quartiles).Linear regression models and correlation coefficient.
Probability theory: Basic definitions and rules of probability, conditional probability, counting
techniques.
Random variable: Concept of random variable, discrete and continuous random variable.
Discrete and continuous probability distributions: Uniform, binomial, multinomial, negative
binomial, geometric, Poisson, Normal; normal approximation and exponential distributions and
their applications.
Inferential Statistics:
Estimation of parameters such as mean and variance. Sampling distribution of mean, t-distribution
and sampling procedures. z-test, t-test and goodness of fit test.

COURSE LEARNING OUTCOMES (CLOs):


Upon completion of this course, students will be able to:

CLO No. CLO Statement Bloom’s Taxonomy


(Maximum level)
1 Demonstrate an ability to use descriptive techniques to
summarize and graph the statistical data. Also calculate C3
Regression models for prediction. (Apply)

2 Analyze the methods of probability theory and the concepts


of random variables, PDF, CDF. Evaluate discrete and
C4
continuous probability distributions concepts to real life
(Analyze)
problems.

3 Evaluate inferential statistical methods to solve problems


C5
in engineering sciences.
(Evaluate)
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FB&AS Fall Semester 2021

Sir Syed University of Engineering & Technology


Department of Software Engineering

COURSE ASSESSMENT METHOD:

Assessment Tools Percentage (%)


Quizzes/Assignments 20%
Midterm Exam 30%
Final Exam 50%
Total 100 Marks

Text Books:
Ronald E. Walpole, Sharon L. Myers, and Keying Ye, Probability & Statistics for
Engineers & Scientists, 9th Edition. Pearson Higher Education.(2017).
ISBN 9789813131279 9813131276
http://www.elcom-hu.com/Mshtrk/Statstics/9th%20txt%20book.pdf
● Ross, Sheldon M. “Introduction to Probability & Statistics For Engineers and
Scientist”, Academic Press, 6th Edition, 2021, ISBN- 978-0-12-824346-6
https://ssuetkhimy.sharepoint.com/:f:/r/personal/fzamir_ssuet_edu_pk/Documents/Boo
ks?csf=1&web=1&e=cFWrui

REFERENCE BOOKS:
● Vijay K. Rohatgi, A. K. Md. Ehsanes Saleh, An Introduction to Probability and Statistics,
3rd edition. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (2015)
● F. M. Dekking, C. Kraaikamp, H. P. Lopuhaa, L. E. Meester, Modern Introduction to
Probability and Statistics, Springer-Verlag London Ltd. (2005)
● Shahid Jamal, Statistics Problems & Practice for B.Com.

COURSE PLAN

Week Date Course plan Recommended Assessment


# Reading Tools

Introduction to Statistics: Ross: Chp#1


1 Basic definitions, Classification of data, 1.2 & 1.3
frequency distribution.
Construction of frequency distribution
table Ross: Chp# 2
Histogram, Bar chat, Multiple bar chart, 2.2
Polygon, Ogive, Pie chart, Stem and Leaf,
and dot plot
Measures of Central Tendency
2
Mean, Mode, Median (ungroup data) Ross: Chp#2
Mean, Mode, Median (group data) 2.3
Measures of Variation:
Variance, Standard Deviation

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FB&AS Fall Semester 2021

Sir Syed University of Engineering & Technology


Department of Software Engineering

3 Deviation about mean Notes will be Assignment


Deviation about mean Median provided 1
Quintiles

Regression and Correlation:


4 Ross: Chp #9 Quiz 1
Linear Regression and Scatter diagram,
9.4
Regression line.
Correlation coefficient.

5 Counting Techniques:
Walpole: Chp#2
Multiplication rule, factorial, arrangements
2.21-2.47
with and without replacements
Permutation and Combination.

Probability Theory:
Basic definition, axioms, Sample space, Walpole: Chp#2
Events, types of events, relationship 2.21-2.47
6 between events. 2.49-2.69
Rules of Probability: Additive rule, 2.73-2.94
Conditional Probability, Multiplication
rule, Baye’s rule
Random Variable: Walpole: Chp#3
Quiz 2
Concept of random variable, discrete and 3.1-3.4
7
continuous random variable 3.5-3.18
Discrete Probability Distributions functions
8 MID TERM EXAMINATION
Continuous Probability Density
Walpole: Chp#3
functions
9 3.19-3.36
Cumulative probability distribution
3.37-3.60
(discrete and continuous)
Joint Probability Distributions (discrete)

Joint Probability Distributions (continuous) Walpole: Chp#3


10 Assignment
Marginal and Conditional Probability 3.19-3.36
2
Distributions 3.37-3.60
Statistical Independence

Discrete Probability Distributions: Walpole: Chp#5


Uniform Distribution 5.2-5.18
11 Binomial Distribution 5.49-5.55
Negative Binomial Distribution

Walpole: Chp#5
12 Geometric Distributions.
5.19-5.23
Multinomial Distribution Quiz 3
5.56-5.68
Poisson Distribution

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FB&AS Fall Semester 2021

Sir Syed University of Engineering & Technology


Department of Software Engineering

Continuous Probability Distributions: Walpole: Chp#6


13 Assignment
Normal Distribution 6.4-6.17
3

Normal approximation to Binomial and its Walpole: Chp#6


14 applications 6.24-6.30

Sampling Theory:
15 Notes will be
Sampling Distribution, Sampling
provided
Distribution of Mean
t- Distribution

16 Hypothesis Testing: Ross: Chp#8


z-test, t-test and goodness of fit 1-10

FINAL EXAMINATION
Note: Ross= Ross, Sheldon M
Walpole = Ronald E. Walpole

Chairman, Department of Mathematics: Dr. Rashid Kamal Ansari_ __

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