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PRICING IN AUTONOMOUS
MANUFACTURING SYSTEMS
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COST ENGINEERING AND
PRICING IN AUTONOMOUS
MANUFACTURING
SYSTEMS
HAMED FAZLOLLAHTABAR
Department of Industrial Engineering,
School of Engineering, Damghan University, Iran
MOHAMMAD SAIDI-MEHRABAD
Faculty of Industrial Engineering,
Iran University of Science and Technology, Iran
List of Figures ix
List of Tables xi
Preface xiii
Acknowledgments xv
Chapter 1 Introduction 1
1.1. Autonomous Manufacturing System 1
1.2. Costing and Pricing 3
1.2.1. Opportunity Cost 4
1.2.2. Opportunity Costs and Market Prices 6
1.2.3. Price 6
Index 157
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List of Figures
Therefore, this book encompasses variety of topics in cost analysis for autono-
mous systems and pricing models. Different topics such as scheduling costing,
agent-based costing, cost parameters of an advanced manufacturing system and
operations planning with respect to cost management and cost minimization are
considered in the book. Also, due to high competitive market and profit aspects,
pricing concepts and models for autonomous manufacturing systems are devel-
oped. The models are novel and adapted based on autonomous manufacturing
systems. Some of the distinct properties of the book are listed as follows:
This book covers several general and technical concepts involved in optimal
decision making for manufacturing systems and also the use of autonomous sys-
tems as industrial automation for both researchers and executive managers. The
book can be employed as a course book in graduate studies of industrial and
systems engineering, operations management, logistics, etc.
Structure of the book and the materials in each chapter are further explained
here.
In Chapter 1, an overview of the book and significance of the concepts con-
sidered in the book are given. In Chapter 2, the basics of costing and different
cost models are explained within a scheduling problem in advanced manufac-
turing system. In Chapter 3, pricing models are discussed in detail and a case
is investigated. Analytical studies on the performance of the pricing models in
different conditions are also included. In Chapter 4, various cost parameters in
manufacturing systems and costing models are reported and detailed in a case
problem where specific data are extracted and a costing model is implemented.
The impact of each cost parameter is also analyzed. In Chapter 5, cost minimi-
zation is discussed with respect to engineering paradigm in product design and
manufacturing planning. In Chapter 6, cost/price interaction for profit modeling
is handled. Profit maximization is a common goal of manufacturing needing to
consider both cost and price at the same time. In Chapter 7, pricing model for
advanced systems is detailed and implemented for a specific system. In Chapter 8,
price optimization with respect to costs is modeled for an advanced manufactur-
ing system. The model considers a comprehensive set of parameters and provides
a generic framework for other systems.
Acknowledgments
We would like to express our gratitude to the many people who saw us through
this book; to all those who provided support, talked things over, read, wrote,
offered comments, allowed us to quote their remarks and assisted in the editing,
proofreading, and design.
We would like to thank Iran National Elites Foundation and Damghan Uni-
versity for enabling us to publish this book. Above all, we want to thank our
families, who supported and encouraged us in spite of all the time it took us away
from them. It was a long and difficult journey for them.
Our specific thanks to Iman Dadashpour and Ahmadreza Rostami for their
warm and effective cooperation in preparing the materials of the book in differ-
ent stages. Last and not least, We beg forgiveness of all those who have been with
us over the course of the years and whose names we have failed to mention.
Hamed Fazlollahtabar
Mohammad Saidi-Mehrabad
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Chapter 1
Introduction
These perspectives makes evident that the increasing global competition among
companies have adopted new production approaches such as Lean Manufactur-
ing in order to make them more competitive (Ruiz-de-Arbulo-Lopez et al., 2013).
Some industries have been through physical and cultural transformation processes
by adopting the Lean concept (Abuthakeer, Mohanram, & Kumar, 2010). Briefly,
Lean Manufacturing is a model that seeks to increase productivity by reducing
or eliminating waste through activities that do not add value in the production
processes (Ohno, 1997; Shingo & Dillon, 1988; Womack, Jones, & Roos, 1991).
The adoption of Lean by companies implies the need for improvement in the
accounting system. The lean organizations see the traditional accounting systems
as unfavorable for eliminating waste. After all, the traditional costing system is not
conceptually prepared to operate efficiently in the lean production model (Malta &
Cunha, 2011; Pike, Tayles, & Mansor, 2011). In fact, even in normal companies
that has a wide range of products the traditional approach to cost when applied
has a distortion in the cost information (Gunasekaran & Sarhadi, 1998; Kaplan &
Copper, 1998). Given this paradigm, Lean Accounting emerges as a way to adapt
or change the traditional costing methods in order to support businesses and lean
industrial processes (Gracanin et al., 2014; Wang & Yuan, 2009).
Producing quality and reliable products at a realistic cost has always been a
fundamental objective for manufacturers. In recent years, customer expectations
for quality at low cost have only intensified. As manufacturers strive to achieve
these goals, they eventually reach a point where tradeoffs must be made between
increasing quality and lowering costs.
For a specific product type, the product size and the resulting weight also affect
the incremental manufacturing cost of cordless products. The weight is depend-
ent on both the size and the type of material used for the window covering. For
example, faux wood blinds have higher weight than identically sized vinyl blinds.
Increasing the size and the weight may result in design modifications. In some cases,
these modifications may be as simple as adding additional cordless modules to the
product or changing the sizes of components, whereas in other cases, the required
design changes may make the design concept unusable. For example, the use of
constant force springs with friction is appropriate for products where the change
in weight over the travel of the bottom rail is small. However, in large faux wood
blinds where the change in weight is high, the design may not be feasible.
Additionally, any customization of the product (e.g., changes in width and
length, choice of fabric, etc.) requires that the cordless technology be designed to
work for the entire range of customization, thereby increasing the cost.
Reducing the energy consumption of machine tools can significantly improve
the environmental performance of manufacturing systems. To achieve this, moni-
toring of energy consumption patterns in the systems is required. It is vital in
these studies to correlate energy usage with the operations being performed in
the manufacturing system. However, this can be challenging due to complexity of
manufacturing systems and the vast number of data sources.
Manufacturing and the processes involved consume substantial amounts of
energy and other resources and, as a result, have a measurable impact on the envi-
ronment. Reducing the energy consumption of machine tools can significantly
Introduction 3
The opportunity cost of an alternative includes all of the explicit and implicit
costs associated with that alternative. To illustrate, suppose that you own and
manage your own business and that you are contemplating whether you should
continue to operate over the next year or go out of business. If you remain in busi-
ness, you will need to spend $100,000 to hire the services of workers and $80,000
to purchase supplies; if you go out of business, you will not need to incur these
expenses. In addition, the business will require 80 hours of your time every week.
Your best alternative to managing your own business is to work the same number
of hours in a corporation for an income of $75,000 per year. In this example, the
opportunity cost of continuing in business over the next year is $255,000. This
amount includes an explicit cost of $180,000 – the required cash outlays for labor
and materials; it also includes an implicit cost of $75,000 – the income that you
forgo by continuing to manage your own firm as opposed to choosing your best
available alternative.
The concept of opportunity cost is forward looking, in that it measures the
value that the decision-maker sacrifices at the time the decision is made and
beyond. To illustrate this point, consider an automobile firm that has an inven-
tory of sheet steel that it purchased for $1,000,000. It is planning to use the sheet
steel to manufacture automobiles. As an alternative, it can resell the steel to other
firms. Suppose that the price of sheet steel has gone up since the firm made its
purchase, so if it resells its steel the firm would get $1,200,000. The opportunity
cost of using the steel to produce automobiles is thus $1,200,000. In this illustra-
tion, opportunity cost differs from the original expense incurred by the firm.
After reading this last example, students sometimes ask, “Why isn’t the oppor-
tunity cost of the steel $200,000: the difference between the market value of
the steel ($1,200,000) and its original cost ($1,000,000)?” After all, the firm has
already spent $1,000,000 to buy the steel. Why the opportunity doesn’t cost the
amount above and beyond that original cost ($200,000 in this example)? The way
to answer this question is to remember that the notion of opportunity cost is for-
ward looking, not backward looking. To assess opportunity cost we ask: “What
does the decision-maker give up at the time the decision is being made?” In this
case, when the automobile company uses the steel to produce cars, it gives up
more than just $200,000. It forecloses the opportunity to receive a payment of
$1,200,000 from reselling the steel. The opportunity cost of $1,200,000 measures
the full amount the firm sacrifices at the moment it makes the decision to use the
steel to produce cars rather than to resell it in the open market.
Opportunity costs depend on the decision being made. The forward-looking
nature of opportunity costs implies that opportunity costs can change as time
passes and circumstances change. To illustrate this point, let us return to our
example of the automobile firm that purchased $1,000,000 worth of sheet steel.
When the firm first confronted the decision to “buy the steel” or “don’t buy the
steel,” the relevant opportunity cost was the purchase price of $1,000,000. This is
because the firm would save $1,000,000 if it did not buy the steel.
But – moving ahead in time – once the firm purchases the steel and the market
price of steel changes, the firm faces a different decision: “use the steel to produce
cars” or “resell it in the open market.” The opportunity cost of using the steel is
6 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
the $1,200,000 payment that the firm sacrifices by not selling the steel in the open
market.
Same steel, same firm, but different opportunity cost! The opportunity costs
differ because there are different opportunity costs for different decisions under
different circumstances.
1.2.3. Price
Price is one of the most flexible elements of the marketing mix, which inter-
feres directly and in a short term over the profitability and cost effectiveness of
a company (Simon, Bilstein, & Luby, 2008). Despite the importance a price has
on the performance of businesses, it seems that this element has not received
proper attention from many academics and marketing professionals (Avlonitis &
Indounas, 2006). Typically, in marketing, the main focus is placed on the devel-
opment of new products, distribution channels, and communication strategies,
and according to Lancioni (2005) this could lead to precipitated pricing decisions
without properly evaluating market and cost factors.
Thus, pricing is treated as the simplest strategy within marketing, perhaps
because many companies determine their prices based on intuition and the man-
ager’s market experience (Simon, 1992). In addition, only few managers strategi-
cally think about pricing while proactively administrating their prices in order to
create favorable conditions that lead to profits (Nagle & Holden, 2003). Consid-
ering this, Liozu and Hinterhuber (2012) highlight the need for more research
regarding the pricing preferences and practices because, according to the authors,
less than 2% of all published articles in marketing journals are focused on pricing.
Strategic pricing requires a stronger relationship between marketing and the
other sectors of a company. In order to enhance companies’ economic and finan-
cial performance, the pricing policies should be defined by their internal capaci-
ties and on the basic systematical understanding of needs and wishes of their
customers, in addition to market conditions such as economic conditions and
degree of competition (Besanko, Dranove, Shanley, & Schaefer, 2012; De Toni
Introduction 7
& Mazzon, 2013b). In this context, this study’s objective is to propose and test
a theoretical model that indicates the impacts of pricing policies on company’s
profit. In this regard, the theoretical assumptions consider as pricing policies the
definitions that comprise the pricing strategies and the price levels used by com-
panies in their respective markets.
Pricing strategies are based on Nagle and Holden (2003) studies, namely value-
based, competition-based, and cost-based pricing strategies; whereas the pricing
levels are classified as high and low prices (Urdan & Osaku, 2005). Besides identi-
fying the direct effects of these elements over profitability, this research also ana-
lyzed the impacts of moderating effects considering some independent variables
on the business profitability (dependent variable).
According to Monroe (2003), price decisions are one of the most important
decisions of management because it affects profitability and the companies’
return along with their market competitiveness. Thus, the task of developing and
defining prices is complex and challenging because the managers involved in this
process must understand how their customers perceive the prices, how to develop
the perceived value, what are the intrinsic and relevant costs to comply with this
necessity, as well as consider the pricing objectives of the company and their com-
petitive position in the market (De Toni & Mazzon, 2013a, 2013b; Hinterhuber &
Liozu, 2014; Monroe, 2003).
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Chapter 2
2.1. Overview
The system of computing cost of production or of running a business is by allo-
cating expenditure to various stages of production or to different operations of a
firm. Costing may involve only the assignment of variable costs, which are those
costs that vary with some form of activity (such as sales or the number of employ-
ees). This type of costing is called direct costing. For example, the cost of materi-
als varies with the number of units produced, and so is a variable cost.
Costing can also include the assignment of fixed costs, which are those costs
that stay the same, irrespective of the level of activity. This type of costing is called
absorption costing. Examples of fixed costs are rent, insurance, and property taxes.
Costing is used for two purposes:
⦁⦁ Internal reporting. Management uses costing to learn about the cost of opera-
tions so that it can work on refining operations to improve profitability. This
information can also be used as the basis for developing product prices.
⦁⦁ External reporting. The various accounting frameworks require that costs be
allocated to the inventory recorded in a company’s balance sheet at the end of
a reporting period. This calls for the use of a cost allocation system, consist-
ently applied.
Within the areas of both internal and external reporting, costing is most heav-
ily utilized in the area of assigning costs to products. This can be done with job
costing, which requires the detailed assignment of individual costs to production
jobs (which are small product batches). Another alternative is to use process cost-
ing, where costs are aggregated and charged to a large number of uniform prod-
ucts, such as are found on a production line. An efficiency improvement on either
concept is to use standard costing, where costs are estimated in advance and then
assigned to products, followed by variance analysis to determine the differences
between actual and standard costs.
In the contemporary dynamic globalized world economy, manufacturing
organizations are faced with stiff cut-throat competition. The global competition
characterized by the rapid technological innovations and ever-changing market
among the sites. These three variables overlap quite precisely with our dimen-
sions in that N, A, and K point, respectively, to the number of suppliers, the
degree of differentiation, and the level of interrelationships. Furthermore, in
his description of the complexity of social systems, La Porte also proposed
similar dimensions from a sociological perspective. They are the number of
social components in a social system, the role/position differentiation of these
components, and the degree of interdependence of the functional operations
of these components. Therefore, we feel confident that we have captured three
key dimensions of complexity. We further refine these terms below. Based
on our review of the literature, there are four key areas of managerial focus
when it comes to managing an automation supply. They are transaction costs,
supply risk, supplier responsiveness (Carbone, 1999), and supplier innovation
(Miles & Huberman, 1984). Managing transaction costs focuses on minimiz-
ing the costs incurred at the interface between a focal company and its sup-
pliers; managing supply risk refers to minimizing potential negative events
that might occur in procuring the goods and services from the suppliers;
supplier responsiveness addresses the timeliness of the movement of goods
and services such as on-time delivery and suppliers’ ability to meet changing
requirements; and managing supplier innovation entails tapping into suppli-
ers’ creativity for product and process improvements. We propose the follow-
ing relationships between automation supply complexity and each of these
four constructs, as shown in Fig. 2.1. A positive relationship is depicted with
a plus sign, a negative relationship is shown with a minus sign, and a quad-
ratic relationship is symbolized by a U-shape sign. These relationships depict
a general trend between automation supply complexity and each of the four
managerial focuses as dependent measures. However, the focal company can
emphasize any one of the three dimensions of automation supply complexity
and can set up as the strategic thrust any one of the four dependent measures.
In each of the four sections that follow, we will introduce the general proposi-
tion and, whenever possible, follow that with more specific and detailed cor-
ollaries involving each of the automation supply complexity dimensions and
the four dependent measures.
until it reaches its destination. When the PA arrives at its destination, the receiv-
ing SMEA, which is a specialization of the REA, recognizes that the PA wishes to
use the resources therein and issues a confirmation that the PA has arrived at the
required destination. The PA will subsequently handle the execution, mediated
by SMEA, and upon conclusion will retrigger the procedure of selecting the next
execution location. If the final destination of a PA disappears from the system,
the transport procedure must be interrupted. If during the transport process a
REA deems the target destination of a PA unreachable it temporarily stops the
routing procedure and messages the PA with a set of possible alternatives for the
execution of Skill x. In Fig. 2.2, a station, which by inheritance is also a REA,
receives new link state information that reveals that the desired resource is no
longer present. The PA will then reassess its process plan and decide if it can take
one of the alternatives or if it should be removed from the system. If the cost of
the potential alternatives is the same then the PA chooses a random location. This
is particularly important during the setup stage of the system where several sta-
tions may be available at the same cost and the load must be balanced. The inter-
actions between the REAs are to a certain extent governed by the TEAs. In effect,
each TEA continuously computes its transport cost (+computeCost (capacity:
int, contents: Item [0..*], timeStamp : long) : long) using the user-defined class
that implements the CMAI. The CMAI also features a function (+updateCosts()
: boolean) that instructs the TEA whether it should send its cost update to the
associated REA. Only the REA that precedes a TEA receives its traversing cost
information. In this context, it is possible to control the nervousness of the over-
all system by regulating the output of the update costs function. The interaction
between the TEA and the REA is therefore a simple request–reply communica-
tion triggered by the TEA. The same is valid for the interactions between REAs.
Whenever a REA receives information from a TEA it recomputes the routing
tables using the function (+updateRoutes (systemInfo: hashMap): treeMap) in
the user-defined class that implements the PCAI and forwards the neighborhood
changes to all the other REAs in the system. These generic interactions and basic
behaviors constitute the generic core of the architecture that renders it applicable
to a wide range of systems. However, to extract concrete performance figures
and evaluate the architecture the user-defined algorithms need to be instantiated.
Information about recently plugged resources and the associated skills are broad-
casted every time a station is plugged. On the instantiation of the user-defined
algorithms, since the user-defined algorithms make use of the internal variables
of the different transport elements, it is worth detailing their main purpose.
These variables include the maximum capacity of the transport element
(-capacity : int), a flag representing the filling level (-full : boolean), an identifier
detailing the next item to be dispatched by the transport element (-nextToDis-
pactch : Item), a flag stating the status of the item being dispatched (-dispatched :
boolean), and the destination of that item (-nextDestination : Transport Element
Agent), the current contents of the transport element (-content- s : Item [0..*]), a
flag stating the preparedness of the next item to be dispatched (-readyToDispatch :
boolean), the set of neighboring transport elements that are able to dispatch items
to the current transport element (-inputNeighs : Transport Element Agent [0..*]),
Concepts of Costing in Automation 17
the set of neighboring transport elements to where the current transport element
can dispatch items to (-outputNeigh- s : Transport Element Agent [0..*]), an inter-
nal behavior that aggregates all the monitoring and control behaviors of the agent
(-controlLoop : Behaviour), which is overridden by the specialized classes, and
finally a flag that tracks the status of the hardware execution commanded by the
transport element (-executionSta- tus : boolean). The transport element class also
features a set of abstract functions that handle: dispatching (+dispatchItem(item :
Ite- m)) and reception of items (+acceptItem(item : Item)) and the runtime man-
agement of the neighbors (+addInputNeigh(neigh : Transport Element Agent),
+addOutputNeigh(neigh : Trans- port Element Agent), +removeInputNeigh(neigh :
Transport Ele- ment Agent), +removeOutputNeigh(neigh : Transport Element
Agent) ). As mentioned earlier, the CMAI is a central algorithm in controlling the
nervousness of the system. In the present context, the cost computation function
(+computeCost(capacity : int, contents : Item [0..*], timeStamp : long ): long) is
calculated as follows:
where TTi is the transport time of a carrier i whose transport time exceeds the
minimum transport time MTT and N is the total number of carriers exceeding
the MTT value.
twice as long than the span of a lower quality product. Single CNC machine
tools used in the aviation industry for milling of titanium components during
tree-shift operation reached up to 100.000 hours of operation. Machine tools of
a similar structure but of lower quality were not up to nearly the same load after
only 40.000 hours of operation. The relationship between quality and working
life is principally known but not considered by the traditional assessment of costs
and revenues. According to this example, it is obvious that some evident aspects
are not taken into account if traditional resource-models are applied (Redberg
et al., 1996; Zust, Caduff, & Frei, 1996). An increased budget during the design
and construction phase leads to a higher quality of the product and results in
a prolonged working life and a higher benefit of the product. Considering the
product life cycle as a whole and striving the total benefit as the target of the
optimization, not only the life time but also the costs of operation and other
costs can be assessed more effectively. Within this, all ecological factors can be
considered, too.
The optimization of the cost and revenues of a manufacturing system is based
on its life cycle as outlined in Fig. 2.3. The main stages are the “production,”
“usage (market),” and “disposal/deproduction.” The single processes in the dif-
ferent life cycle stages are linked by the product components or their functional-
ity. As an example, the functions and the features of the manufacturing system
have a substantial influence on the expenditures for maintenance and repair, so
that the total effectiveness of the manufacturing system is determined, too (West-
kamper & Friedel, 1997). Hence, cost reductions in the different life cycle stages
are achieved through a product conception directed toward the requirements of
the use phase. The same interdependence applies to subsequent expenditures aris-
ing during the utilization and disposal or deproduction phase (Dowie, Simon,
& Fogg, 1995; Jansen & Krause, 1995). For example, the shares of different
materials used in the manufacturing system have a substantial influence on the
allocation of cost and revenues in the life cycle of the product. In the future,
the additional responsibility for a system’s disposal will mean to calculate up to
5% of the replacement value of the system for recycling and/or waste removal.
Fig. 2.4: The Course of the Cost and Benefit in the Product Life Cycle.
20 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
distribution costs are part of the distributional pre-sale cost, and consist of spare
parts for installation (manufacturer) and training costs (operator). The costs of
the manufacturer mostly cover manufacturing costs including all activities of
product development, design, relevant overhead cost, and special production
costs. Spare and expendable parts are regarded as after sales cost of the opera-
tor to be exchanged as a consequence of warranty contracts or other agreements
between the manufacturer and the buyer or user of the system. Operating cost
for maintenance and repair may arise from repairs carried out by the manufac-
turer and may be resulting, for example, from misoperations of the user or from
maintenance work based on contracts between the manufacturer and customer
(Carannate et al., 1996; Westkamper & Friedel, 1997).
Accompanying payments (cost) and deposits (revenue) during the opera-
tion and utilization phase depends very much on the complexity of the product
and the maintenance strategy. In the worst case, operation and utilization costs
may amount to three or four times the expenditures of product acquisition. The
maintenance costs of plants typically may amount to 4-14’/0 of total produc-
tion costs and often are greater than the plant profit (Carannate et al., 1996).
The prevailing maintenance strategy has a crucial impact on cost and revenue
during the utilization phase. For example, alternatives for maintaining complex
systems are setting up local maintenance branches or establishing maintenance
areas to enable onsite maintenance. Two other maintenance variants relate to
(partly) transportable systems: first, through local branches for interim main-
tenance, where maintenance works include options of upgrading, and second,
through local branches of depot maintenance, exclusively intended to upgrade
at the manufacturer’s site. The revenue of the manufacturer is determined by the
purchase price, whereas the revenue of the operator is determined by the added
value of the manufacturing process. The recycling costs mainly determine the
revenues of the recycler.
traditional approaches in systems that are prone to frequent changes. The results sug-
gest that the proposed architecture can cope well with systems under extreme dynamic
conditions such as runtime topological changes. The results also show that the archi-
tecture and the particular instantiation considered are sensitive to mechatronic con-
straints. Some are directly related to the structure of the system while others have
a more technological background. It is therefore rather difficult to benchmark the
emerging architectures and the proposed work is not an exception. In this context,
the proposed test cases were designed to expose the adaptation capabilities of the
proposed architecture. As detailed, this is an indication that a pre-selection mecha-
nism should be considered. The development of such a mechanism is currently being
considered as a mean to further improve the dynamics of the automation system.
Widespread data integration is an expensive proposition. While much of the
literature focuses on some attractive benefits, we have tried to balance the view
by looking at both positive and negative impacts. The arguments for this new
perspective have been primarily theoretical. Though anecdotal evidence was pre-
sented to bolster the plausibility of the theoretical propositions, future empirical
work will be needed to validate them. The major implication of this analysis is
that in general it will not be cost-effective to integrate all of an organization’s data.
If this is true, organizations will need help in their efforts to “partially integrate”
to achieve the most important benefits and avoid the most burdensome costs. For
the MIS field to provide this help, we need to “unbundle” our concept of data
integration. It is neither an all-or-nothing choice, nor is it the preferred approach.
As researchers and practitioners, we need to change our thinking so that we can
provide guidance to organizations on implementing “partial integration.”
Additional conceptual work and empirical research is needed to suggest which
of these or other partial integration approaches will be most effective, and why.
A second and equally pressing need is for methods that can help an organization
determine which data should be integrated and which should not. Existing automa-
tion information engineering methodologies have overlooked this question because
they assumed that all data should be integrated, though some other IS planning
approaches, such as critical success factors (Rockart, 1979), may be applicable for
the partial integration problem. The choice presumably depends heavily on the
strategic direction of the organization. Firms that attempt to integrate an in appro-
priate subset of the data, or on a wider scope and in more detail than is appropriate
given their organizational situation, will probably face stiff resistance to either the
large cost involved or the loss of local flexibility of heterogeneous subunits.
Though this chapter has pointed out some negative aspects to data integra-
tion, many organizations today are striving for a more global consciousness of
their businesses and a more global response to customers and markets. Huber
(1984) suggests that managers in post-industrial organizations will need to access
more information about more aspects of the business, from even more parts of
the organization, and in shorter time spans. This implies both greater interde-
pendence and greater reliance on computer-based information. These types of
changes in the organizational climate will probably shift the balance toward the
need for greater (but not total) data integration in many firms, heightening the
practical and academic importance of this area of research.
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Chapter 3
3.1. Overview
Pricing is the process whereby a business sets the price at which it will sell its
products and services, and may be part of the business’s marketing plan. In set-
ting prices, the business will take into account the price at which it could acquire
the goods, the manufacturing cost, the market place, competition, market condi-
tion, brand, and quality of product. Pricing is a fundamental aspect of financial
modeling and is one of the four Ps of the marketing mix. (The other three aspects
are product, promotion, and place.) Price is the only revenue-generating element
among the four Ps, the rest being cost centers. However, the other Ps of marketing
will contribute to decreasing price elasticity and so enable price increases to drive
greater revenue and profits. Pricing can be a manual or automatic process of apply-
ing prices to purchase and sales orders, based on factors such as a fixed amount,
quantity break, promotion or sales campaign, specific vendor quote, price prevail-
ing on entry, shipment or invoice date, combination of multiple orders or lines,
and many others. Automated systems require more setup and maintenance but
may prevent pricing errors. The needs of the consumer can be converted into
demand only if the consumer has the willingness and capacity to buy the product.
Thus, pricing is the most important concept in the field of marketing and it is used
as a tactical decision in response to comparing market situations.
Price is influenced by the type of distribution channel used, the type of promo-
tions used, and the quality of the product. Where manufacturing is expensive,
distribution is exclusive, and the product is supported by extensive advertising
and promotional campaigns, then prices are likely to be higher. Price can act as a
substitute for product quality, effective promotions, or an energetic selling effort
by distributors in certain markets.
From the marketer’s point of view, an efficient price is a price that is very close
to the maximum that customers are prepared to pay. In economic terms, it is a
price that shifts most of the consumer economic surplus to the producer. A good
pricing strategy would be the one which could balance between the price floor
(the price below which the organization ends up in losses) and the price ceiling
(the price by which the organization experiences a no-demand situation).
Also, competition in manufacturing industry calls for transformation from
traditional cost reduction in mass production to value proposition in customer-
oriented product development. The driving force is the development of technolo-
gies to enable faster and seamless information sharing between manufacturers
within supply chains as well as customers, government, and other stakeholders.
Information flow becomes a critical element of supply chain in addition to mate-
rials and energy flows. With the support of information infrastructure, manufac-
turers will be able to become more agile in acquiring information, internally (e.g.,
cost of production and inventory) or externally (e.g., customer satisfaction and
market trends). With such information, more intelligent and timely decisions can
be made to ensure success in global competition.
Marketers develop an overall pricing strategy that is consistent with the organiza-
tion’s mission and values. This pricing strategy typically becomes part of the com-
pany’s overall long-term strategic plan. The strategy is designed to provide broad
guidance to price-setters and ensures that the pricing strategy is consistent with
other elements of the marketing plan. While the actual price of goods or services
may vary in response to different conditions, the broad approach to pricing (i.e., the
pricing strategy) remains a constant for the planning outlook period which is typi-
cally 3–5 years, but in some industries may be a longer period of 7–10 years. Broadly,
there are six approaches to pricing strategy mentioned in the marketing literature:
Operations-oriented pricing: The objective is to optimize productive capacity, to
achieve operational efficiencies, or to match supply and demand through varying
prices. In some cases, prices might be set to de-market.
Revenue-oriented pricing: (also known as profit-oriented pricing or cost-based pric-
ing) The marketer seeks to maximize the profits (i.e., the surplus income over
costs) or simply to cover costs and break even. For example, dynamic pricing
(also known as yield management) is a form of revenue-oriented pricing.
Customer-oriented pricing: The objective is to maximize the number of custom-
ers, encourage cross-selling opportunities, or to recognize different levels in the
customer’s ability to pay.
Value-based pricing: (also known as image-based pricing) Occurs where the com-
pany uses prices to signal market value or associates price with the desired value
position in the mind of the buyer. The aim of value-based pricing is to reinforce
the overall positioning strategy, for example, premium pricing posture to pursue
or maintain a luxury image.
Concepts of Pricing in Automation 27
The old association of luxury only being for the kings and queens of the world
is almost nonexistent in today’s world. People have generally become wealthier;
therefore the mass marketing phenomenon of luxury has simply become a part
of everyday life, and no longer reserved for the elite. Since consumers have a
larger source of disposable income, they now have the power to purchase prod-
ucts that meet their aspirational needs. This phenomenon enables premium pric-
ing opportunities for marketers in luxury markets. Luxurification in society can
be seen when middle-class members of society are willing to pay premium prices
Concepts of Pricing in Automation 29
for a service or product of the highest quality when compared with similar goods.
Examples of this can be seen with items such as clothing and electronics. Charg-
ing a premium price for a product also makes it more inaccessible and helps it
gain an exclusive appeal. Luxury brands such as Louis Vuitton and Gucci are
more than just clothing and become more of a status symbol.
Prestige goods are usually sold by companies that have a monopoly on the mar-
ket and hold competitive advantage. Due to a firm having great market power they
are able to charge at a premium for goods, and are able to spend a larger sum on
promotion and advertising. According to Han, Nunes and Dreze (2015) figure on
“signal preference and taxonomy based on wealth and need for status” two social
groups known as “Parvenus” and “Poseurs” are individuals generally more self-
conscious, and base purchases on a need to reach a higher status or gain a social
prestige value. Further market research shows the role of possessions in consumer’s
lives and how people make assumptions about others solely based on their posses-
sions. People associate high-priced items with success. Marketers understand this
concept, and price items at a premium to create the illusion of exclusivity and high
quality. Consumers are likely to purchase a product at a higher price than a similar
product as they crave the status, and feeling of superiority as being part of a minor-
ity that can in fact afford the said product.
A price premium can also be charged to consumers when purchasing eco-
labeled products. Market-based incentives are given in order to encourage people
to practice their business in an eco-friendly way in regard to the environment.
Associations such as the Marine Stewardship Council (MSC)’s fishery certifica-
tion programmer and seafood eco-label reward those who practice sustainable
fishing. Pressure from environmental groups has caused the implementation of
associations such as these, rather than consumers demanding it. The value con-
sumer’s gain from purchasing environmentally conscious products may create a
premium price over noneco-labeled products. This means that producers have
some sort of incentive for supplying goods worthy of eco-labeling standard. Usu-
ally more costs are incurred when practicing sustainable business, and charging
at a premium is a way businesses can recover extra costs. The summary of the
related literature is shown in Table 3.1.
∑x
h = α∂
h
a = Ea 0 (3.2)
Together, constraints (3.2)–(3.4) determine all valid choices for the energy con-
sumption scheduling vectors. Therefore, we can define a feasible scheduling set X
for all possible energy consumption scheduling vectors as
βσ
X =x| ∑x
h = ασ
h
a = Ea , ∀a ∈ A,
by selecting parameters Ea , ασ , βσ , γ amin and γ amax for each device a ∈ Α . Then, the
energy scheduler, with some help form the price predictor if needed, determines
the optimal choice of energy consumption scheduling vector x. The resulting
energy consumption schedule is then applied to all autonomous manufacturing
devices in form of on/off commands with specified power levels over a wired or
wireless manufacturing network among the devices and the smart meter.
(1) Identify the pricing parameters and risk factors of an automation project,
and divide them into two categories. One is pricing parameters, which are
investment will induce an increase in the length of the automation process, there-
fore resulting in a higher operation cost. To compensate for the increase in total
cost, the concession price will need to be amplified. Meanwhile, there is a negative
feedback loop among the concession price, annual automation depreciation and
concession period. An increase in depreciation or concession period will affect
the concession price adversely. In this study, the concession period is assumed to
be fixed. Other critical parameters including loan, tax rate, government subsidy,
and income are also included in this model. Based on this, the total net benefit
and NPV can be determined by the annual total cost and annul total income at
the discount rate of minimum attractive rate of return (MARR). Such circular
cause and effect relationships provide the foundation for building quantitative
concession pricing model via SD. The NPV of an automation project refers to the
sum of the present values of a stream of cash flow. If NPV is above or equal to 0,
the project is deemed as acceptable as it can achieve the target MARR, and vice
versa (Huang, Xu, Tan, & Li, 2004).
Automation concession price can be divided into two parts. Part one is the BP,
which can be calculated through SD model based on actual data extracted from
feasibility study report of an automation project. Part two is the adjustment price
(AP), which is determined based on the value of risk impact on concession price.
The combination of both makes up the FP of the service of automation projects,
which can better guarantee the rationality and validity of the concession price.
Concepts of Pricing in Automation 35
And the final concession price of the automation project can therefore be
determined:
λ2 − λ1
Finalprice = Basicprice * (1+ λ1 − PRS1 )(3.8)
PRS2 − PRS1
BP FP Price Adjustment
Coefficient
Case 1 Determined by Actual price of λ1=FP/BP−1
SD model automation product
or services
Case 2 Determined by Actual price of λ2= FP/BP−1
SD model automation product
or services
Concepts of Pricing in Automation 37
the markets are regulated (Lukoseviciu, 2008). However, the cost-plus method is
usually based on the historical data of real plants and does not cover all of the
costs. Moreover, because the profit allowed is typically derived from total costs,
there is an incentive to inflate costs and thereby increase profits (Poputoaia &
Bouzarovski, 2010). Companies that are efficient and manage to reduce their
costs are punished with lower profits (Korppoo & Korobova, 2012; Meyer &
Kalkum, 2008). Therefore, the cost-plus method offers no incentives for sup-
pliers to lower costs or find faster, cheaper, and more efficient ways of produc-
ing automation products. The cost-plus method may promote investment to a
certain extent but cannot enhance the efficiency of the market simultaneously.
The marginal-cost method is often used in deregulated markets (Difs & Trygg,
2009; Rolfsman & Gustafsson, 2003; Sjödin & Henning, 2004). Marginal cost is
the cost of the last unit produced, which, in this case, is the cost of a one-unit
increase in automation electrical energy consumption. In addition, there is short-
run marginal cost (SRMC) and long-run marginal cost (LRMC). Investment is
fixed for SRMC and variable for LRMC. SRMC and LRMC will be equal if the
suppliers’ installation mix is optimal (Rolfsman & Gustafsson, 2003). Optimal
prices should equal the SRMC of electrical energy generation, from a societal
perspective. These prices reflect the scarcity of resources in society and are the
best means for optimal resource allocation (Sjödin & Henning, 2004). However,
marginal-cost pricing is based on ideal market theory. In reality, because of vari-
ous constraints, marginal-cost pricing is difficult to achieve and its effects are dif-
ficult to guarantee, particularly in natural monopoly markets. The energy market
is a typical natural monopoly market; however, marginal-cost pricing of auto-
mation products may be approximately achieved through unregulated market
bidding. For example, in Sweden and Finland, as shown in Table 3.3, companies
are assumed to work in a businesslike manner and are consequently free to set
prices (Ericsson & Svenningsson, 2009; Hansson, 2009; Kostama, 2011). The
lack of control in market bidding may lead to unintended consequences that
result from emphasizing market efficiency and neglecting investment guidance.
Thus, the opening of the electricity markets in Sweden has led to a lower interest
in investment and maintenance. Furthermore, the 2001 California electricity cri-
sis may also be a lesson for the energy market because there are many similarities
between the electricity and energy markets.
In one single automation project, products from different units can be replaced
by one another in production sequence. The electricity value equivalent (EVE)
pricing method may be applied to automation product pricing directly in one
single company. From the perspective of optimal market allocation, automation
products from different automation companies should be put into the same plat-
form to compete under the same conditions. Although the products of one auto-
mation company may not be replaced by the products of another automation
company in reality, its production and its FP may be effectively controlled by the
guidance of quoted cost and return on investment cost.
For simplicity, we assume that a large company consists of three independent
automation enterprises called RA , RB and RC – with the same characteristics. The
only difference among them is quoted cost. First, the load duration curves (LDCs)
38 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
of the entire company and each single enterprise are drawn, as shown in Fig. 3.4;
the upper curve represents the entire company’s load requirement for the next
period and the lower curves represent each single enterprise. Apparently, the actual
load duration time for each single enterprise, which is 24 h, cannot be replaced.
Next, the average quoted cost of each enterprise is calculated based on the quoted
cost that each automation producer provides.
Assuming that the sequence of costs from low to high is RA < RB <RC , the
virtual durable time of each enterprise may be decided based on the quoted cost
Concepts of Pricing in Automation 39
sequence. As shown in Fig. 3.5, the virtual durable time of RA is determined first
for the average quoted cost that is lowest.
We draw a straight line AB, parallel to the abscissa; it intersects the LDC of
the entire region at B and the area of ABET1O equals Q. The utilized time of RA
is T1 and the utilized time of RB is T2 . In the same way, we draw a line CD to make
the area of CDBA equal to Q and determine the utilized time of RC. Based on
the utilized times and quoted costs, a minimum cost curve (MCC) may be drawn
and moved up to obtain the original shadow capacity cost, compensated shadow
capacity cost and the FP for the automation product. If there is only one unit for
an enterprise, the quoted cost of the unit represents the enterprise’s quoted cost.
If there is more than one unit in an enterprise, then the average quoted cost of
each enterprise may be calculated as follows:
Ni
∑P y
j =1
ij ij
Pi = (3.9)
yi
Each enterprise’s original shadow capacity cost λ 'i is determined by its aver-
age quoted cost and each enterprise’s compensated shadow capacity cost λi may
be obtained following the shift process of the MCC based on the EMCP model.
To prevent pursuing highly compensated shadow capacity costs, the maximum
40 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
compensated shadow capacity cost of the heating capacity cost reference (HCCRλ̂ )
is set as the enterprise’s maximum shadow capacity cost.
Based on the compensated shadow capacity cost of i region λi and the total
exergy required next period yi , the total capacity cost of i enterprise C fi , may be
calculated as follows:
λ
C fi = i yi (3.11)
Ti
The relationship between the total capacity cost of i enterprise and the capac-
ity cost of each device in i enterprise is described in the following equation:
Nj
C fi = ∑ C fij (3.12)
j =1
From the shift process of the MCC, the relationship between the compensated
shadow capacity cost and the original shadow capacity cost of each device j may
be described as follows: Compensated shadow cost of each unit: λij = λij' + λmi
If we obtain the value of the offset λmi , the compensated shadow capacity cost
of each device will be determined. Combining formulas (3.9)–(3.14), we obtain
the following equation:
Nj
The parameters of the correct formulaic (3.12) are known, and λmi can thus
be calculated; the compensated shadow capacity cost of each device also may be
calculated. Up to this point, the FP of each device may be calculated as follows:
λij
Pij = bij + (3.16)
Tij
(1) Identify similar cases from database as reference cases for price adjustment.
(2) Calculate price adjustment coefficient of reference cases based on their
final (i.e., actual) prices and BPs. Reference cases’ BP can be calculated by
using the SD-based model through inputting relevant parameters into the
model. Reference cases’ FP is the actual price during the operation period
of project.
(3) Determine price adjustment coefficient of target automation project.
(4) Lastly, determine FP of target automation project based on the price adjust-
ment coefficient and its BP.
42 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
4.1. Overview
Manufacturing companies are always looking for opportunities to reduce costs at
the manufacturing floor. The limitations on cost reduction on the material, labor,
and maintenance make manufacturing companies look toward other venues to
reduce costs such as energy consumption, emissions, water consumption, and
waste disposal. This has resulted in a greater need for research into techniques
to optimize the operations of the manufacturing floor while taking into account
sustainability metrics. Government and environmental agencies are also enacting
tougher laws and regulations to induce companies to take the sustainable manu-
facturing route. In addition, customers have become more aware of the looming
dangers to the environment. This has resulted in increased customer demand for
greener products. At the same time, manufacturing floors are becoming increas-
ingly complex, dynamic, and automated. There is then a need to turn manu-
facturing floors into self-managed operations so that their performance can be
continuously and automatically optimized as conditions change (e.g., machines
break down and the demand for products changes). We adapt the well-known
autonomic computing paradigm developed for complex computer systems to
smart manufacturing. Here, the cost parameters of such autonomous system are
collected and described. Then cost modeling is conceptualized and developed in
an application study.
best at any point in time. Therefore, computers are needed to make a complex
system self-managing, which implies that complex computer systems should
be self-configuring and self-optimizing. A well-known framework to guide the
design of autonomic computer systems is IBM’s MAPE-K (monitor, analyze,
plan, and execute based on knowledge) model.
⦁⦁ a statement specifying the criteria for distinguishing between direct and i ndirect
costs;
⦁⦁ a statement about the methods of attributing direct costs;
⦁⦁ a statement about the bases for allocating indirect costs; and
⦁⦁ a statement of any changes in cost accounting policies since the date of the last
external financial report or, if there have been no changes, a statement to that effect.
If the changes made materially affect the cost of individual outputs, there
must be full disclosure of:
⦁⦁ satisfy his or her obligations under the State Sector Act 1988 and the Public
Finance Act 1989;
⦁⦁ satisfy the management information requirements of Chief Executives and
manufacturing system managers; and
⦁⦁ achieve the standard required to:
○○ satisfy the scrutiny of the Audit Office; and
○○ enable the Treasury to assure the Minister of Finance that the output cost
information is reliable.
Cost Parameters and Costing Models in Autonomous Manufacturing 47
⦁⦁ A time interval: it may be directly associated with cash flows that are given
(12.9%), or inferred statistically or via Case-based Reasoning (7.9%). Alterna-
tively, it is broken down into given amounts of inputs (17.8%), see, for example,
Hunkeler, Lichtenvort, and Rebitzer (2008), and outputs (4%) used for cost
normalization. For reliability-based TLC models (40.6%), the breakdown con-
sists of the number of occurrences of product-sustaining events over a times-
pan. Finally, a combined assessment is used in 4.9% of cases, none of which is
quantitative;
50 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
assessment. Only one reference applies the genetic causal approach to ser-
vice cost estimation (Early Price, Curran, & Raghunathan, 2012).
Direct materials cost: The materials that go into the final products are called raw
materials. This term is somewhat misleading, since it seems to imply unprocessed
natural resources like wood pulp or iron ore. In fact, raw materials refer to mate-
rials that are used in the final product; and the finished product of one company
can become raw material of another company. For example, plastic produced by
manufacturers of plastic is a finished product for them but is a raw material for
Compaq Computers for its personal computers.
Direct materials are those materials that become an integral part of the fin-
ished product and that can be physically and conveniently traced to it. Examples
include tiny electric motor that Panasonic uses in its CD players to make the CD
spin. According to a study of 37 manufacturing industries material costs averaged
about 55% of sales revenue.
Sometimes it is not worth the effort to trace the costs of relatively insignificant
materials to the end products. Such minor items would include the solder used
to make electrical connection in a Sony TV or the glue used to assemble a chair.
Materials such as solder or glue are called indirect materials and are included as
part of manufacturing overhead.
Direct labor cost: The term direct labor is reserved for those labor costs that can
be essentially traced to individual units of products. Direct labor is sometime
called touch labor, since direct labor workers typically touch the product while
it is being made. The labor cost of assembly line workers, for example, is a direct
labor cost, as would the labor cost of carpenter, bricklayer, and machine operator.
Labor costs that cannot be physically traced to the creation of products, or that
can be traced only at a great cost and inconvenience, are termed indirect labor
and treated as part of manufacturing overhead, along with indirect materials.
Indirect labor includes the labor costs of janitors, supervisors, materials handlers,
and night security guards. Although the efforts of these workers are essential to
production, it would be either impractical or impossible to accurately trace their
costs to specific units of product. Hence, such labor costs are treated as indi-
rect labor. In some industries, major shifts are taking place in the structure of
labor costs. Sophisticated automated equipment, run and maintained by skilled
52 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
For example, total direct materials cost incurred by the company is $4,500 and
direct labor cost is $3,000 then prime cost is $7,500 ($4,500 + $3,000).
Manufacturing overhead cost: Manufacturing overhead, the third element of
manufacturing cost, includes all costs of manufacturing except direct material
and direct labor. Examples of manufacturing overhead include items such as indi-
rect material, indirect labor, maintenance and repairs on production equipment
and heat and light, property taxes, depreciation, and insurance on manufacturing
facilities. Indirect materials are minor items such as solder and glue in manufac-
turing industries. These are not included in direct materials costs.
Indirect labor is a labor cost that cannot be trace to the creation of prod-
ucts or that can be traced only at great cost and inconvenience. Indirect labor
includes the labor cost of janitors, supervisors, materials handlers, and night
security guards. Costs incurred for heat and light, property taxes, insurance,
depreciation, and so forth associated with selling and administrative functions
are not included in manufacturing overhead. Studies have found that manufac-
turing overhead averages about 16% of sales revenue. Manufacturing overhead
is known by various names, such as indirect manufacturing cost, factory over-
head, and factory burden. All of these terms are synonymous with manufactur-
ing overhead. Manufacturing overhead cost combined with direct labor is called
conversion cost.
In equation form:
For example, if total direct labor cost is $3,000 and total manufacturing over-
head cost is $2,000 then conversion cost is $5,000 ($3,000 + $2,000).
Nonmanufacturing costs: Nonmanufacturing costs are those costs that are not
incurred to manufacture a product. Examples of such costs are salary of sales
person and advertising expenses. Generally non-manufacturing costs are further
classified into two categories:
Marketing or selling costs: Marketing or selling costs include all costs necessary to
secure customer orders and get the finished product into the hands of the custom-
ers. These costs are often called order-getting or order-filling costs. Examples of
marketing or selling costs include advertising costs, shipping costs, sales commis-
sion, and sales salary.
Administrative costs: Administrative costs include all executive, organizational,
and clerical costs associated with general management of an organization rather
than with manufacturing, marketing, or selling. Examples of administrative costs
include executive compensation, general accounting, secretarial, public relations,
and similar costs involved in the overall, general administration of the organiza-
tion as a whole.
While methods or techniques for modeling PSS are available in the literature,
scant attention has been given to the qualification of PSS as a “system,” as well as
to capture its dynamic behavior over time (Cavalieri & Pezzotta, 2012). Also, to
invoke a system approach to PSS, for example, via diagrammatic process models,
does not guarantee per se that the system architecture plays an explicit role in
computing the cost of the service delivered (see e.g., Kimita, Hara, Shimomura, &
Arai, 2008). An appropriate way of dealing analytically with service costing,
while preserving the structure of the underpinning delivery system, is through
Input–Output Analysis (IOA). IOA is a method originally developed for mod-
eling the operation of an economic system in an integrated way. The building
blocks can be as aggregated as whole industrial sectors with in national econo-
mies, or as granular as individual processes within an enterprise. Applications of
IOA outside macroeconomics include, for example, production–inventory sys-
tems modeling (Grubbstrom & Tang, 2000), product costing, and environmen-
tal life-cycle costing (Settanni, Tassielli, & Notarnicola, 2011). While the basic
IOA does not explicitly consider the temporal hierarchy of economic activity,
the analytical treatment of timing aspects is critical since time lag in delivery is
typically part of availability-based contracting. To address this short coming,
Settanni, Thenent, and Newnes (2013) suggest modeling a PSS evolving over
time analogously to an input–output production–inventory system to account
for interdependencies.
Cost Parameters and Costing Models in Autonomous Manufacturing 55
are used. The model is based on assumed assembly sequence, materials, and man-
ufacturing process.
The focus of this study is on estimating the manufacturing costs of the design
concepts used in autonomous products. During the analysis, it was observed that
different products were manufactured at different quality levels (e.g., surface finish,
tolerances, etc.). However, for a meaningful comparison across different concepts
and product categories, the quality was assumed to be the same for all the products.
Therefore, the resulting costs correspond to entry-level products in the market.
Finally, the study does not attempt to model the actual cost structure of any
specific manufacturers’ production system, which can vary based on factors
such as where manufacturing is carried out, actual wage rates, specific assembly
sequence used, the structure of the supply chain, the ability to negotiate with sup-
pliers, the actual quantities produced, the efficiency of operations, etc. Much of
this information is specific to the manufacturers, and is proprietary.
The overall cost model, as presented by Ulrich and Pearson (1998), consists
of the cost of assembly, purchased parts, molded plastic parts, sheet metal parts,
tooling, supervision, inventory, facilities, and energy on a per-product basis.
This cost equation is used in this study to estimate the incremental cost of man-
ufacturing and assembling an autonomous unit. The individual cost components
in the equation are calculated using the manufacturing content identified through
product archaeology. In this section, the attributes of manufacturing content from
Ulrich and Pearson, as well as Boothroyd and Dewhurst’s supporting models for
assembly cost and the cost of molded parts are described in greater detail.
Cost model parameters: The model consists of the following parameters. Unless
specified otherwise, the parameters are assumed to be the same as in Ulrich and
Pearson (1998).
Assembly and operator labor cost.
Supervisory labor cost: Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of pro-
duction and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine
setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators.
Tool making cost, shop, and labor: Analyze specifications, layout metal stock,
set up and operate machine tools, and fit and assemble parts to make and repair
dies, cutting tools, jigs, fixtures, gauges, and machinists’ hand tools.
Facility cost: Molding machine base cost.
Cost of molded parts: The cost of molded parts (C mod eledpart) is dependent on the
cost of material (C plastic ) and the cost of molding. The cost of molding operation
is further dependent on mold cost, and the machine operation costs (including
labor). The mold cost for plastic parts is calculated based on the approach devel-
oped by Boothroyd and Dewhurst, detailed in Boothroyd, Dewhurst, and Knight
(2011). A sample worksheet for the amount of time required for mold manufac-
turing and calculating the parameters required for manufacturing time calcula-
tions is presented in Table 4.1.
Cost Parameters and Costing Models in Autonomous Manufacturing 57
The mold cost is composed of two major components: (i) mold base costs
and (ii) cavity and core fabrication costs. The mold base cost depends on the
surface area of the mold base plates and the thickness of cavity and core plates.
The cavity and core manufacturing costs depend on various factors including
the projected part area, the complexity of the part, the number of ejector pins
required, number of cavities, required surface finish and tolerance level, texture
requirements, and the number of side-pulls and internal lifters. The cost of labor
during the molding operation is dependent on the cycle time, and the hourly cost
of the machine is dependent on the clamping force.
C plastic + C molding
CMoldedParts =
molded -part -yield
58 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
where
C plastic = plastics -use × polypropylene - cos t ×(1− plastic -regrind -rate )
C molding = molding -proces sin g -time
× ( base -machine -rate + machine -capacity-rate × molding -
machine -requirements
operator -labor -rate
+ )
molding -machines-per -operator
r(1 + r ) n
base -machine -rate = ×
(1 + r ) n − 1
base -molding -machine - cos t
days-per-year × hours-per-day × equipment -utilization
r (1 + r ) n
machine -capacity-rate = ×
(1 + r ) n − 1
molding -machine -capacity- cos t
days -per -year × hours -per -day × equipment -utilization
where r is the cost of capital, and n is the useful life of the machines.
224
clamp-force = projected -area × mold -cavities × + 172
avg -wall -thickness
where d is the nominal wall thickness in cm, ρ is the density in g/cc, Cp is the
specific heat in J/g/K, and κ is the thermal conductivity.
cycle -time = 1.35×cooling -time + 0.0151×weight ×cavities + 8.87 seconds
Mold cost estimation: The mold manufacturing cost (Boothroyd et al., 2011, p.
357) depends on:
Geometric complexity, X
M x = 5.83( X i + X o )1.27 hours
Cost Parameters and Costing Models in Autonomous Manufacturing 59
where r is the cost of capital, and n is the useful life of the machines.
Tooling and supervisor costs:
Inventory costs:
inventory-level
Cinventory = ×Cvariable ×inventory-holding -costs
days-operation-per-year
where,
Cvariable = Cassembly + C purchased -part + C molded -parts + Csheet -metal -parts + Csuoervision + Cenergy
60 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
Cost of facilities:
base -yearly-hours
C facilities = base -facility-size ×
base-operation-per-year × hours-per -day
1
× space -utilization-factor × facility- cos t ×
production-rate
where
space-utilization-factor =
3
base -inventory
( ass ' y-productivity × ass ' y-yeild + eqpt -utilization × mold -yeild + )
inventory-level
Cost of energy:
insertion time, multiplied by the number of times the operation is carried out
consecutively.
Assembly cost:
assembly -content × assebly-labor- cos t
C Assembly =
assembly -productivity × assembly -yield
where assembly-content = standard hours of assembly content (hours), assembly-
labor-cost = cost per standard hour ($ per h), and assembly-yield = fraction of
products assembled correctly.
The values of the parameters that differentiate the high-cost environment and
the low-cost environment are listed in Table 4.3.
design concept of the autonomous module becomes infeasible from the stand-
point of technical requirements.
The analysis includes only the costs associated in manufacturing content and
the assembly of the product, and focuses on the smaller products available in the
marketplace. It does not account for any costs associated with product develop-
ment, testing, licensing of technology, and training of personnel, which would
further increase the overall costs of implementing autonomous technologies.
However, the main motivation to undertake this research has been to provide
clarity for those seeking to cost availability in a performance-orientated contrac-
tual setting. Too often, “faith” that a candidate product technology alone will
reduce cost is the result of a lack of descriptive and analytical power in the cost
analysis (Davis, Jones, & Warrington, 2003). Avoiding such shortcomings is par-
ticularly important in the context of PSS, since what counts is neither the indi-
vidual asset nor service, but the sociotechnical system delivering results of value
for the customer. The methodological challenges for the prevailing approaches
to TLC within a context where advanced services are offered through a PSS have
been identified and assessed through a systemic review of the public domain
literature. TLC is an enduring concept for which authors’ conclude to assume
is methodologically homogeneous across the literature. This assumption only
becomes obvious when the literature is examined from multiple domains. It is an
opinion that those engaged in through-life cost estimation for PSS will find very
limited guidance in the methods adopted in the reviewed literature on TLC due
to methodological heterogeneities and terminological ambiguities (e.g., for terms
such as cost, cash flows, and expenses; cost drivers and CERs; “system” and PSS;
processes; and lifecycle). Also, the current debate around the estimation of the
through-life cost for providing a service centers on the adaptation of established
autonomous product cost estimation techniques, with a restrictive interpretation
of the concept of lifecycle. As a consequence, cost estimation for a PSS is reduced
to estimating the cost of the in-service phase of a durable autonomous product,
not the cost of delivering advanced services through a sociotechnical system. The
research presented in this chapter provides directions for future research through
the formulation of a methodology of TLC for use in a PSS, which addresses the
main methodological challenges arising from the evidences found in the literature.
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Chapter 5
5.1. Overview
The cost-minimization problem is a constrained optimization in which we try to
minimize the firm’s total costs, subject to the requirement that the firm produces
a given amount of output; subject to a budget constraint (utility maximization)
and the problem of minimizing consumption expenditures, subject to achieving a
minimum level of utility (expenditure minimization). It can be seen that the cost-
minimization problem closely resembles the expenditure-minimization problem
from consumer choice theory. Cost management is one of the most important
issues of company performance and company financial management. Also, the
issues of the costing systems, methods, and techniques are some of the impor-
tant features of cost management and management accounting. We can observe
a continuously growing importance of cost-management systems’ quality that
is caused by dramatic changes in business environment. Ecological, economic,
social, and environmental problems, as well as challenges connected with devel-
oping of the consumers needs, make the companies concerned with existing level
and quality of relationship between them and the society, their employees and
their consumers. On the one hand, new challenges and expectations of the con-
sumers force the companies to develop and introduce policies that foresee their
strategy as for dealing with social, ecological, and other problems. On the other
hand, such actions of the companies positively influence their image, increase
competitiveness and lead to higher market value.
The importance of these problems has significantly increased during the economic
crisis, because many enterprises in the world reduced their performance. Accord-
ing to Belás et al. (2014) average performance of small and medium enterprises
decreased by 15.8% in the Czech Republic and 18.78% in Slovakia.
Changes in business environment in the last century had significant impact
on the structure of the company costs. In the first half of twentieth century,
manufacturing related costs (materials, salaries of employees, and replacement of
the plant) constituted well over 90% of total costs. Majority of those manufac-
turing related costs had the direct character. Portion of the indirect – overhead
costs rarely exceeded the 20% of total company costs. Glad and Becker (1996)
summarizes the major reasons for the changes in structure of the manufactur-
ing industries in the second half of the twentieth century. These reasons were
smaller quantities of cheaper materials used; increased competitive environment
resulting in higher marketing, distribution, and communication costs; many “new
costs” such as market and other research, prototyping, and training occurred;
increased mechanization and automation; increased use of information technolo-
gies. The above-mentioned reasons lead to the situation, when in the 1990s, where
portion of the direct costs of manufacturing concern consume only circa 40%
of the total company costs. This study is also supported by theories of other
authors, for example, Drury (2007) or Cokins (2001). Cokins (2001) explains how
the direct costs such as direct material and direct labor have been displaced by
overhead costs between 1950s and 1990s from 25% to 60% portion. The technol-
ogy, equipment, automation, and computers are briefly considered as the main
reason of change in the cost structure. However, this is only a secondary factor in
the shift in organizational expanse components. The primary cause for the shift is
the gradual proliferation in products and service lines. Over the last few decades,
organizations have been increasingly offering a greater variety of products and
services as well as using more types of distribution and sales channels.
Various types of the product costing systems and methods are defined by the
academics and practitioners. According to traditional management accounting
(Garrison, Noreen, & Brewer, 2010; Vanderbeck, 2013; Weygandt, Kimmel, &
Kieso, 2010) to provide management with the data needed for effective cost con-
trol, two basic types of cos- accounting systems have been developed: the pro-
cess cost system and the job order cost system. Both systems are used to gather
cost data and to allocate costs to goods manufactured. These systems differ in
the object of the cost assignment. While in job order cost system, the company
assigns costs to each job or to batch of goods, in process cost system compa-
nies apply costs to similar products that are mass-produced in similar fashion
(Weygandt et al., 2010). Vanderbeck (2013) continues in these considerations and
states, that however, as useful as they are in providing cost data, these systems
are still limited with regard to cost control. Although they make it possible to
determine what a product actually costs, they provide no means to determine
what the product should have cost. Therefore extends these considerations on the
issue of standard costing, which is not a third system, but may be used with either
a job orders or a process cost system. It is therefore unnecessary to assign costs
to individual units of output (Drury, 2007). Classification of the product costing
Cost Engineering in Autonomous Manufacturing 67
Activity-based costing: The ABC is a costing system that provides relevant infor-
mation for decision-making. The ABC method has become known from the
1980s with the work developed by professors Robert Kaplan and Robin Cooper
(Afonso, 2002), its relevance in the 1980s overlapped the traditional costing
method, which had its design where hand labor and raw materials had prepon-
derance in cost of goods (Afonso, 2002).
The ABC model emerged as a response to the need to better assess costs in
modern production environments and by virtue of dissatisfaction with variable
costing and full costing for not meeting the expectations and needs of managers
(Thyssen, Israelsen, & Jørgensen, 2006). According to Pike, Tayles, and Man-
sor (2011) the modern production environments incorporated the philosophy of
Lean Manufacturing to minimize waste and optimize their production processes.
This process gave rise to the need for improvements in traditional accounting
systems, although these are not prepared to operate efficiently in Lean model.
ABC proposes for organizations an understanding of cause and effect between
the costs and activities needs, in addition to direct costs of these activities to cost
objects (Askarany, Yazdifar, & Askary, 2010). Originally, the ABC is focused on
consumption of activities, providing more accurate information for the prepara-
tion of calculating product costs (Afonso, 2002).
system that demonstrates the costs with base in value stream and is able to pro-
vide more relevant information to Lean companies. This costing system for Lean
companies offer better internal cost management. According to Maskell and Bag-
galey (2004), the VSC is simple enough for anyone to understand the information
of a financial nature and costs. In the method, cost information is presented for
each value stream and not per demand, work, or product produced. VSC pro-
poses to make a costing of production process by mapping the value stream that
is detailed in the activities (in terms of cycle time, shift number, distance, etc.). As
per McVay et al. (2013), to use VSC is necessary to organize resources in value
stream. For this it is necessary to develop an information collection plan and use
the plan to guide the development of implementation of actions.
The following steps are used for a systematic review on the related works of
cost engineering:
First step: defining the subject focus of analysis in the application of costing
methods in manufacturing companies using the template or Lean
production concept.
Second step: to prepare a classification model.
Third step: to apply the created classification model.
Fourth step: organize and present the literature review, based on the established
classification method.
Fifth step: analysis and review of the topic and to propose suggestions for
future research.
ABC x x x x
TDABC x x x x
VSC x x x x
Costing x x
Methods
Activity- x x
Based
Costing
Time- x x
Driven
Activity-
Based
Costing x x
Value
Stream
Costing
The category aims to present the advantages presented by papers regarding the
use of the cost method applied to the object focus of each study.
Table 5.4 presents the application advantages of costing method used in Lean
companies, which are divided into five main levels of benefits.
Unlike the category AD category AE, presents difficulties in the deploy-
ment and use of each method in Lean companies. Category proposes the
72 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
∂Λ ∂ L = w − λ fL = 0
∂Λ ∂ K = v − λ fK = 0
∂Λ ∂λ = qo − f ( K , L ) = 0
constraint TC1. That occurs at point qo, when again the cost minimizing condi-
tion is met.
When the firm’s capital is fixed at K, the short-run cost-minimizing input com-
bination is at point F. If the firm were free to adjust all of its inputs, the cost-
minimizing combination would be at point A.
By contrast, in the long run, when the autonomous system can adjust the
quantities of both inputs, it will operate at point A, where an isocost line is tan-
gent to the isoquant. Fig. 5.3 thus illustrates that cost minimization in the short
run will not, in general, involve the same combination of inputs as cost minimiza-
tion in the long run; in the short run, the firm will typically operate with higher
total costs than it would if it could adjust all of its inputs freely.
∂Λ/∂L = w - λ5(K/L).5 = 0
∂Λ/∂K = v - λ5(L/K).5fK = 0
∂Λ/∂λ = 40 - 10K.5L.5 = 0
With K = L = 4 and MPL = MPK = 5, this implies that the marginal cost of
an extra product is 1/1.25 = $.80, since an extra product can be produced with 1/5
of an hour of either K or L.
Alternatively, taking the inverse,
1/λ = MPL/L = MPK/K
Thus, again using our parameters and extra $1 spent on either K or L would
increase output by 1/.8 = 1.25 products. Intuitively (0.25 of an input unit can be
purchased for $1, and that yields 0.25*5 = 1.25 products).
Finally, notice the expansion path for this production function. Since the
Cobb–Douglas function is homogenous of degree 1 the autonomous system
enjoys constant returns to scale, and the expansion path is linear.
TC = TC(v,w,q)
We often find it useful to characterize costs on a per unit basis. This is called
average costs
AC(v,w,q) = TC(v,w,q)/q
Finally, a characterization of costs optimization will require identification of
marginal costs
MC(v,w,q) = ∂TC(v,w,q)/ ∂q
Total, marginal, and average cost functions exhibit some standard interrelation-
ships. In the general case, marginal costs first diminish (due to gains from speciali-
zation) and then increase (due to crowding, or the law of diminishing returns). On
a totals curve, the marginal cost is illustrated as the slope of the line tangent to
the TC curve. Thus, the TC curve increases first at an increasing rate, and then at
a decreasing rate, as shown in the top panel of Fig. 5.4.
In marginal cost, average cost space, we see the marginal cost curve “driving”
average costs. Thus, the marginal cost curve cuts the average cost curve at its
minimum point.
Observe that some of these relationships disappear for simpler cost functions.
For example, consider these relationships for a linear TC function, say
TC = 20 + 2Q
Similarly, suppose that there is no initial stage of gains from specialization, but
that costs simply increase at an increasing rate (as would be the case, e.g., with a
quadratic function). Consider, for example,
TC = 20 + 2Q2
78 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
Shifts in Cost Curves: The cost function TC (v, w, q) is graphed as a cost curve
(e.g., in a two-dimensional relationship) of costs against quantity. Changes in v or
w will shift this function. In this section, we consider the effects of such changes
on output.
(1) Homogeneity. A first observation pertains to the effects of increasing w and v
together, proportionally. Given an optimal input combination, it is easy to verify
that a cost function is homogenous of degree 1. For example, if given w, and v,
suppose that L1 and K1 represent the optimal combination of inputs to produce
a quantity q1. Then,
TC1 = vK1 + wL1
If both inputs increase by a factor t, the optimal input combination (to pro-
duce the same quantity q1) is unaffected. Thus,
tvK1 + twL1 = t(vK1 + wL1) = tTC1
Similarly, average and marginal costs are homogeneous of degree 1. For aver-
age costs, observe that if
TC’ = tTC,
Cost Engineering in Autonomous Manufacturing 79
then
AC’ = tTC/q = tAC
Similarly,
d(TC’)/dq = d(tTC)/dq = tdTC/dq = tMC
(2) Change in the Price of One Input. Now consider the more interesting problem
of changing a single input price. The issue here is more complicated, because
changing one input price changes the optimal input mix, which in turn will
require construction of a new expansion path.
(a) Direction of effect. Consider first the likely effects qualitatively. Intuitively,
increasing the price of an input raises the total costs of production. More formally
Λ = vK + wL + λ[qo – f(K,L)]
By the envelope theorem
∂TC/∂v = ∂Λ/∂v = K > 0
and
∂TC/∂w = ∂Λ/∂w = L > 0
While input substitution effects may damp this effect, costs would certainly
not fall. Were costs to fall, the autonomous system could not have been opti-
mizing in the first place. For exactly the same reason average costs should also
increase.
Marginal costs will also generally increase as well. A possibility exists that an
input may be inferior, which may, perhaps surprisingly, cause marginal costs to
fall. (That is, the cost of an input increases, and you use so much less of that input
that marginal costs fall.)
MC = ∂TC/∂q = ∂Λ/∂q = λ
Consider the effects on MC of a change in the rental price of capital
∂MC/∂v = ∂2Λ/(∂q∂v) = ∂2Λ/(∂v∂q) = ∂K/(∂q)
This latter term is positive or negative depending on whether capital is inferior
or not.
(b) Input substitution. Consider now more formally, the effects of a change in
relative input prices on the optimal K/L. We examine the derivative
∂(K/L)/∂(w/v)
along a given isoquant. Expressed in proportional terms yields s,
s = [∂(K/L)(w/v)]/[∂(w/v)(K/L)]
which, of course, is the elasticity of substitution (where the input price ratio
substitutes for the RTS).
80 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
In the two input case, s must be nonnegative, and an increase in w/v must
increase the ratio K/L, or (in the case of perfect complements) leave it unchanged.
(c) Partial Elasticity of Substitution. In the more general case (with multiple
inputs) we write, for inputs Xi and Xj
sij = [∂(Xi/Xj)(wj/wi)]/[∂(wj/wi) (Xi/Xj)]
where output and other input prices are held constant. We term above sij as a
partial elasticity of substitution. Nonnegativity may not hold in this case, as the
increase in, say, wj may cause increased use of a third factor, which may result in
decreased used of Xj as well as Xi.
To be concrete, consider a production process consisting of capital, robot,
and, say, energy. An increase in the price of energy may result in decreased use of
capital and increased use of robot. The partial elasticity of substitution is useful
for studying the derived demand for inputs, and can be calculated if the produc-
tion function is known. However, we will not pursue it in detail here.
(d) Quantitative size of shifts in cost curves. From the preceding discussion we
know that increases in an input price will increase total, average, and (in most
instances) marginal costs. Consider briefly the quantitative impact of increasing
input prices. We confine comments to some intuitive observations.
(i) Costs will increase a lot if the input is an important part of production. (e.g.,
a robot cost increase will affect operations at a call center very considerably,
since labor is such a large percentage of the total costs for the firm)
(ii) Costs will increase less if the input has good substitutes. For example, an
increase in copper prices did not affect importantly electricity distribution
costs, since suppliers could easily switch from copper to aluminum. On the
other hand, gold jewelry costs move very closely with the price of gold, since
no substitutes for this critical input exist.
(3) Technical Progress. Costs will also decrease with technical improvements,
since the technical improvements allow the same output to be produced with
fewer inputs. This is easy to illustrate in the case of constant returns to scale.
With CRS
TCo = C0(q,v,w) = qCo(v,w)
Now consider a production function that allows for technical progress,
q = A(t)f(K,L)
where at time t0, A(t0) = 1. Thus, unit costs at time t (in terms of output qo)
become
Ct(v, w) = [C0(v, w)qo]/[A(t)qo] = Co(v, w)/A(t)
Total costs are
TCt (q, v, w) = Ct(v, w)qo = TCo/A(t)
Cost Engineering in Autonomous Manufacturing 81
(1) Define clearly the project scope, problem to be analyzed, and identify the team.
(2) Develop a complete process mapping and identify the quality control points
relevant to the problem identified.
(3) Identification of all elements along the production line of a product and
collection of all relations between them.
82 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
(4) Transfer all data to a design structure matrix (DSM), parsed by manufac-
turing process.
(5) Apply mathematical operations to DSM and evaluate and characterize the
final DSM.
(6) Use the most adequate quality improvement tools to further refine the criti-
cal quality characteristics and areas previously identified.
(7) Improve the manufacturing process according to the results.
(8) Perform CoQ analysis to enable an informed choice.
(9) Evaluate again the relations of elements, deleting the elements that were
eliminated, and update the DSM.
(10) Standardize the results and refine the model over time.
The methodology applied for this research project is based on the define meas-
ure analyze improve control (DMAIC) approach of Six Sigma. However, in the
Define and Measure phase of DMAIC an innovative attempt is made to model
the manufacturing system using a Systems Engineering matrix-based tool called
DSM. In this research, a DSM is applied for a quality improvement problem for
the first time, enabling an easier interpretation of the relations and interactions
between the different system elements.
Cost Engineering in Autonomous Manufacturing 83
The key areas highlighted by DSM are further explored through understand-
ing the physics of the problem by applying systems engineering methodologies
holistically. Analyzing the physics of the problem will provide a closer under-
standing toward determining the root cause of the problem. In order to have a
thorough and systematic root-cause analysis, appropriate quality improvement
tools enable improvement and evaluation of the process.
and the sample size is 125, then the input data given in the model was 1.25% for
the 1st sample. The maximum percentage of units sampled by a single manual
machine is assumed to be 1.5% of the total production.
The total number of first sample taken in a theoretically finite time is Np. The
probability that the second sample is taken from the same batch is pr, with a prob-
ability of being rejected and scrapped is ps. Here, Sn is the sample of units that is
randomly drawn from a batch or lot of size Sb.
Sn = Mn+1 + (Np * ps * sb)
Np = APV/Sb
where Mn+1 is the total number of units produced at the subsequent (post) manu-
facturing process (see Fig. 5.7); APV is the annual production volume, and ps is
the probability of rejecting and scrapping the batch.
The inspection cost (Cinspection) has two components: first is the fixed cost (Cfixed)
that is the cost of the testing equipment (Cequipment) and the second is the variable
cost (Cvariable) that is the cost of testing the sample (Ctesting) plus cost of scrapping
the lot (Cscrap).
86 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
c1
sn !
sn −d 1
pr = 1− ∑ Pdd11
d 1=0 d !( sn − d 1)
( d 1 )
1 − p
c2
sn !
sn −d 2
ps = pr *1− ∑ Pd 2d 2 (1− pd 2 )
c 2=0 d !( sn − d 2)!
Cost Engineering in Autonomous Manufacturing 87
where pd1 is the percent lot defective for the first sample, pd2 is the percent lot
defective for the second sample.
aim of this research was to evaluate the degree of integration of costing methods
(ABC, TDABC, and VSC) in Lean enterprises observing how these methods inte-
grate to the reality of the Lean Manufacturing model.
This chapter, to some extent, contributed to the development of CoQ models
for manufacturing systems where evaluation of inspection strategies is needed.
Innovation is accomplished by developing an intermediate scenario between the
single- and double-sampling strategies to generate a global optimum.
Chapter 6
6.1. Overview
The complexity and dynamics of the manufacturing environment are growing
due to the changes of product types, suppliers, as well as the unexpected dis-
turbances in the machining or assembly systems such as machine breakdown
malfunction of robot or transporter. Currently, the conventional manufactur-
ing systems, such as the flexible manufacturing systems are unable to adapt to
the complexity and dynamics of the manufacturing environment. These sys-
tems activate automatic operations by using the preinstructed programs and
should be stopped to re-program and re-plan in case of disturbances, which
reduce the flexibility of the systems and increase the downtime. In order to
cope with the changes of the manufacturing environment, new methods and
technologies have been proposed in which the distributed manufacturing con-
trol system and the biologically inspired technologies for implementing this
system are remarked. Self-adaptation to disturbances is a crucial issue in the
development of intelligent manufacturing systems (IMS).
⦁⦁ Allowing the control system to take an action when the disturbance happens
and to continue to operate instead of stopping the manufacturing system
completely.
⦁⦁ Equipping the entities in the manufacturing system with the decision-making
and self-controlling abilities.
high-quality services. Hence, new technologies and methods are researched for
the next stage of industrial manufacturing.
Numerous researches in the manufacturing field to achieve an intelligent man-
ufacturing have been reported in the literature. The research area can be classified
as follows:
autonomous operation scope of agent, the cognitive agent is proposed. The agents
use the ant-like pheromone-based negotiation mechanism for handling disturbance.
Industries today seek the reduction and elimination of waste through con-
tinuous improvement projects that enable increased productivity within the
production process, while preserving quality and serving the customer within
(Gracanin, Buchmeister, & Lalic, 2014). These operational improvements pro-
pose to maximize efficiency and effectiveness throughout the production system,
reducing the nonvalue-added activities, costs, and eventually increase net income
(Ruiz-de-Arbulo-Lopez, Fortuny-Santos, & Cuatrecasas-Arbós, 2013).
In view of these perspectives, the increasing global competition among compa-
nies that have adopted new production approaches such as Lean Manufacturing,
in order to make them more competitive, becomes evident (Ruiz-de-Arbulo-Lopez
et al., 2013). Some industries have been through physical and cultural transforma-
tion processes by adopting the Lean concept (Abuthakeer, Mohanram, & Kumar,
2010). Briefly, Lean manufacturing is a model that seeks to increase productivity
by reducing or eliminating waste through activities that do not add value in the
production processes (Ohno, 1997; Shingo & Dillon, 1988; Womack, Jones, &
Roos, 1991).
The adoption of Lean by companies implies the need for improvement in the
accounting system. The Lean organizations see the traditional accounting sys-
tems as unfavorable for eliminating waste. After all, the traditional costing system
is not conceptually prepared to operate efficiently in the Lean production model
(Malta & Cunha, 2011; Pike, Tayles, & Mansor, 2011). In fact, even in usual com-
panies that has a wide range of products the traditional approach to cost when
applied has a distortion in the cost information (Gunasekaran & Sarhadi, 1998;
Kaplan & Copper, 1998). Given this paradigm emerges Lean Accounting, as a
way to adapt or change the traditional costing methods in order to support busi-
nesses and Lean industrial processes (Gracanin et al., 2014; Wang & Yuan, 2009).
In the period that predates the adoption of Lean Accounting, due to the
increasing demand for changes in traditional accounting, appears the activity-
based costing (ABC), a first response to the lack of costing methods for use in
Lean Manufacturing companies (Arbulo-López & Fortuny-Santos, 2010). The
purpose of the ABC method in modern manufacturing is to facilitate the identi-
fication of activities making the connection between the activities and resource
costs (Gunasekaran & Sarhadi, 1998). However, the application of the ABC
method requires continuous efforts of employees in research for its preparation
(Stout & Propri, 2011). Faced with problems encountered in application of ABC
arises the time-driven activity-based costing (TDABC) model that eliminates the
time-consuming need and subjectivity of the interview process and surveys
making it practical to update the information of costs through time equations
(Oker & Adiguzel, 2010).
Lean companies now have these two costing methods (ABC and TDABC). The
actual adoption of Lean Accounting brings the value stream costing (VSC) – a
costing method that pays attention to concentrating the business on the resources
that are being used throughout the value chain, rather than individual products
(Maskell & Baggaley, 2004; Ruiz-de-Arbulo-Lopez et al., 2013). The VSC starts
Cost and Price in Autonomous Manufacturing 93
Fig. 6.1: Decomposition of the Profit (a) and the Total Cost (b).
have provided both new opportunities and new challenges for manufacturing
firms to lower the energy cost. One such technology is electricity demand response
(DR) (Fernandes, Morais, Vale, & Ramos, 2014; Moghadam, Ma, & Zhang, 2014;
Wang, Xue, et al., 2014).
Based on the definition of U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
(2012), DR refers to a collection of mechanisms that encourage consumers to
reduce electric demand during peak periods. A common implementation of the
DR technology is time-varying electricity pricing (Mikhaylidi, Naseraldin, &
Yedidsion, 2015). Unlike the traditional flat-rate pricing, time-varying pricing
divides the day into two or three (on-, mid-, and off-peak) periods and allocate
a different unit price for each time period. In addition to the traditional energy
consumption charge, time-varying pricing also charges the consumer for the peak
power demand during a billing cycle. The underlying objective of time-varying
pricing is to actively engage customers in modifying their electricity use patterns
in response to price signals. Such time-varying rates intend to shift the customer
demand from the on-peak period to the off-peak period.
If a customer reduces demand during peak hours, their electric bills will be
lowered. The utility companies also benefit because they can better balance
demand and supply to improve the reliability and sustainability of the entire grid.
(a) Flat-rate
Season Time of Day Energy Rate ($/kWh) Other Charges
($/month)
Summer (Jun–Sep) All time 0.18015 33.15
Winter (Oct–May) All time 0.16052
(b) TOU Rate
Season Time of Day Energy Rate Demand Other Charges
($/kWh) Rate ($/kW) ($/month)
Summer 7 p.m. to 1 p.m. 0.10551 0 51.32
(Jun–Sep) (Off-peak)
1.p.m. to 7 p.m. 0.18815 19.41
(On-peak)
Winter 9 p.m. to 10 a.m. 0.10551 0
(Oct–May) (Off-peak)
10 a.m. to 9 p.m. 0.13065 8.38
(On-peak)
(Orange and Rockland Utilities, 2013a, 2013b). In this example, both rates group
different months into only two seasons. In addition, both rates involve a monthly
fixed charge (or called other charges). Two major differences exist between the flat
and TOU rates. First, the entire day is divided into on-peak and off-peak periods
in the TOU rate and the electricity price of the on-peak period are much higher
than the off-peak period. Second, the TOU rate also involves a demand charge,
which is measured in $/kW.
Another popular time-varying electric pricing is critical-peak pricing (CPP).
Many utilities offer CPP as an overlay on the TOU pricing. It imposes a much
higher adder to the unit energy price during a period called the critical peak in
event days. The number of CPP events is limited per year. Although the electric
price is much higher during the critical-peak period in event days, the custom-
ers are offered discounted prices or credits during summer days. Therefore, the
customers may still lower their electric bills by restraining electric use during CPP
events. The time and duration of the critical peak period within an event day are
usually predetermined, but the specific dates when the events will occur are not.
Generally, the customers will be informed one day ahead of the event.
A representative base TOU profile is shown in Table 6.2(a), the corresponding
discounted CPP pricing during nonevent days is shown in Table 6.2(b), and the
corresponding price adder during event days is shown in Table 6.2(c) (San Diego
Gas & Electric, 2015). The differences among these three profiles are underlined.
As for time-varying labor pricing, currently there is no federal requirement
of paying shift differentials in the United States. In practice, the use of different
shift work in manufacturing varies greatly from company to company (Rosa &
Colligan, 1997). A representative shift differential profile is that the wages will be
Table 6.2: Typical TOU and CPP Pricing Profiles in California, USA.
Season Time of Day Energy Rate ($/kWh) Demand Rate ($/kW) Other Charges ($/month)
(a) Base TOU Rate (SDGE AL-TOU EECC)
Summer 10 p.m. to 6 a.m. (Off-peak) 0.08777 20.77 87.83
(May–Oct) 6 a.m. to 11 a.m.; 6 p.m. to 10 p.m. (Mid-peak) 0.11807 20.77
11 a.m. to 6 p.m. (On-peak) 0.12849 41.87
Winter 10 p.m. to 6 a.m. (Off-peak) 0.07896 20.77
(Nov–Apr) 6 a.m. to 5. p.m.; 8 p.m. to 10 p.m. (Mid-peak) 0.10184 20.77
5 p.m. to 8 p.m. (On-peak) 0.11845 27.91
(b) CPP Rate and Credit During Nonevent Days (SDGE AL-TOU EECC-CPP-D)
Summer 10 p.m. to 6 a.m. (Off-peak) 0.08777 20.77 87.83
(May–Oct) 6 a.m. to 11 a.m.; 6 p.m. to 10 p.m. (Mid-peak) 0.11807 20.77
11 a.m. to 6 p.m. (On-peak) 0.12849 41.87−11.30
Winter 10 p.m. to 6 a.m. (Off-peak) 0.07896 20.77
(Nov–Apr) 6 a.m. to 5 p.m.; 8 p.m. to 10 p.m. (Mid-peak) 0.10184 20.77
5 p.m. to 8 p.m. (On-peak) 0.11845 27.91
(c) CPP Adder During Event Days (SDGE AL-TOU-CPP-D)
Summer 10 p.m. to 6 a.m. (Off-peak) 0.08777 20.77 87.83
(May–Oct) 6 a.m. to 11 a.m.; 6 p.m. to 10 p.m. (Mid-peak) 0.11807 20.77
11 a.m. to 6 p.m. (On-peak) 0.12849+1.39243 41.87−11.30
Winter 10 p.m. to 6 a.m. (Off-peak) 0.07896 20.77
96 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
100%, 107.5%, and 110% during the first shift (8 a.m. to 4 p.m.), the second shift
(4 p.m. to 12 midnight), and the third shift (12 midnight to 8 a.m.), respectively
(King & Wilmams, 1985; U.S. Office of Personnel Management, 2014). Although
some companies still use the flat-wage profile (i.e., the wage is 100% during any
shift), the three-shift differential profile is not rare in manufacturing industry. It is
sure that no one gets paid “time and a half ” for the overnight shift. That is called
overtime pay (U.S. Department of Labor, 2014), which will not be considered in
this chapter.
ST1(t) =0
The last machine is assumed never blocked. During time slot t, the blockage
probability of machine mN is
BLn(t) = 0
PRi(t) = pi – IDi(t)
The production rate of the system, the same as that of the last machine mN,
PRSYS(t) = PRN(t)
During the planning horizon of T time slots, the system’s cumulative produc-
tion is
T
CPT = ∑ PRSYS (t )
t=1
di(t) = di,2PRi(t)+di,1IDi(t)+di,0DNi(t)
where DNi(t) = 1 – pi is machine mi’s probability of being down for time slot t.
During time slot t, the power demand of the N-machine manufacturing system is
N
dSYS (t ) = ∑ di (t )
i =1
Assume the electricity demand of the building during time slot t is dBLD(t) kW,
which represents the base electricity demand for HVAC, lighting, etc. that support
the base building functionality. Then, the expected electricity demand of the plant
(including the manufacturing system and the building) during time slot t is
The plant’s peak demand determines the “charge for demand.” The peak
demand is the highest average kW measured during the on-peak intervals of
length tD =15 minutes for the entire month (Orange and Rockland Utilities,
2013b). This peak demand is denoted by dT. It can be obtained using a sliding
window search method with a window length of tD, as described in (Wang &
Li, 2014). During the planning horizon, the electricity demand cost of the
system is
CDT =CDdT
ei(t)=ei,2PRi(t)+ei,1IDi(t)(t)+ei,0DNi(t)
ePLANT(t) = eBLD(t)+eSYS(t)
During the planning horizon, the total electricity consumption of the plant is
T
et = ∑ ePLANT (t )
t=1
where CE(t) is the corresponding TOU rate ($/kWh) for time slot t.
The total daily electricity cost can be formulated as
where COT represents other charges during the planning horizon. We consider a
planning horizon of a day (24 hours), then COT equals the monthly other charges
divided by 21 workdays.
Cost and Price in Autonomous Manufacturing 101
ti;end=ti;start + ti;dur
where ti;start∈{1, 2, ..., T} and ti,dur∈{1, 2, ..., T}. The production makespan (i.e.,
the time difference between the start and end of a sequence of production jobs)
during a 24-h period satisfies
where max ti ;end and min ti ;start represent the latest end time and the earliest
i∈{1,2,...,N } i∈{1,2,...,N }
start time, respectively.
Let cL(t) be the labor rate ($/Mh) during time slot t. “Mh” is the abbreviation
for “man hour(s).” The labor rate is the same for all the workers and it varies at
different work shifts. The 100% base labor rate can be estimated based on the
survey of U.S. Department of Labor – Bureau of Labor Statistics (2014). For the
private industry sector, the latest average labor rate (including wages and benefits)
is equivalent to $29.63/Mh. Let w be the number of workers. Different levels of
automation need different numbers of workers (Fasth, Stahre, & Dencker, 2008,
2010). In general, for a specific manufacturing plant, the higher the automation
level, the fewer the workers needed. Theoretically, a manufacturing system with
100% automation needs no worker.
The labor cost is incurred if at least one machine is in operation. The total
labor cost during the makespan is
max
i∈{1,2 ,...,N }ti ;end
cLT = w.
t=
∑ [ cL (t ).tc ]
min t
i∈{1,2 ,...,N } i ,start
During time slot t, we use si(t) to denote the status of the scheduled control
signal for machine mi. It is defined as
1,if ti ,start ≤ t ≤ ti ,end
si (t ) =
0, otherwise
Then, an alternative form of cLT is
T N
cLT = w.∑ cL (t ).tC si (t ) .
t=1
i =1
102 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
CMT = r1.CPT
TC =VC + FC
TR =r2.CPT
Profit =TR−TC
min C ET + CLT
ti ,star ,ti ,dur
subject to CPT ≥ CP0
Cost and Price in Autonomous Manufacturing 103
6.5. Example
We consider a system with N = 8 machines and 7 buffers in this example. The
cycle time of each machine is tC = 15 minutes. The electric power levels of the
eight machines are [20 4 0], [30 8 0], [15 5 0], [35 3 0], [25 3 0], [20 7 0], [23 10 0], and
[32 5 0], respectively, in the form of [di,2 di,1 di,0] kW. The building’s power demand
is dBLD = 30 kW. The system is highly automated and only needs w = 2 workers
to operate. The summer TOU rates are adopted. We consider the cases that the
machines have the identical reliability pi = 0.95 and the buffers have the identical
capacity Ci = 3. It should be mentioned that this is only for the convenience of
displaying the results graphically. The production level CP0 = 30.
We plot the results of this example in Fig. 6.3. The figure can be explained as
follows:
(1) Figs. 6.3(a) and 6.3(b) are the time-varying energy and demand rates of the
TOU summer pricing profile. These two profiles are based on the values in
of Table 6.1(b). Fig. 6.3(c) is the time-varying labor pricing profile. The base
wage is $29.63/Mh.
(2) The horizontal axes of (a), (b), (c), and (h) in Fig. 6.3 represent the time of
day. The horizontal axes of (d)–(g) represent the start time ti,start during
the day.
(3) Fig. 6.3(d) shows how the electricity energy cost CENRGT will change over
the production start time ti,start as the horizontal axis. If the production
starts between 7 p.m. and 4.45 a.m. (next day), it will be completed entirely
within off-peak periods and CENRGT = $186.40. If the production starts after
4.45 a.m., it will partially fall into the on-peak period with higher energy
charge. As the portion that falls in the on-peak period continue to increase,
CENRGT also increases.
(4) Fig. 6.3(e) shows how the demand cost CDT will change over the production
start time in the horizontal axis. Similar to Fig. 6.3(d), the demand cost is
zero if the production starts between 7 p.m. and 4.45 a.m. because the pro-
duction is completed entirely within off-peak periods. The demand cost is
only imposed when the production at least partially falls into the on-peak
period.
(5) Fig. 6.3(f) shows how the labor cost CLT will change over the production
start time. It decreases constantly from 0.00 to 8 a.m. because the produc-
tion happens more and more in the first-shift hours (when labor costs less),
and less and less in the third-shift hours (when labor costs more). The labor
cost will increase after 8 a.m., because the production will have to involve
more second-shift hours. After 4 p.m., it will continue to increase because
more third-shift hours will be needed.
(6) Fig. 6.3(g) is the combined electricity cost and labor cost. Graphically, it is
just the sum of Figs. 6.3(d)–(f). The minimal CET + CLT = $696.99 (CDT = $0,
CENRGT = $186.40, COT = $2.44, and CLT = $508.15) is achieved when
ti,start = 20 (i.e., 4.45 a.m.). The corresponding actual CPT = 30.1014.
(7) Fig. 6.3(h) shows the final control signal for each machine that leads
to the minimal CET + CLT. The duration of the operation ti,dur = 34 (i.e.,
8.25 hours), which is the length of the segment when the signal is on, that is,
Si(t) = 1. Therefore, for the steady-state case, the minimal CET + CLT (and
correspondingly the maximal profit) will be achieved when the production
lasts for 8.25 hours. Longer or shorter production hours will both increase
the minimal CET + CLT and thus reduce profit.
Cost and Price in Autonomous Manufacturing 105
(8) It should be noted that in order to keep ti,end in the range {1, 2, ..., T}, the
value larger than T is wrapped around. For example, for T = 96 time slots,
if the machines start from ti,start = 77 (i.e., 8 p.m.) and the work duration
ti,dur = 32 (i.e., 8 hours), then the end time should be ti,end = ti,start + ti,dur =
77 + 32 = 109. Since it is larger than 96, we need to use the wrap-around
operation to map the value back to the range {1, 2, ..., 96}. After the wrap-
around operation, ti,end = mod(ti,end , 96) = 13 (i.e., 4 a.m. next day). Math-
ematically, ti,end is updated by
This chapter shows that peak electricity demand in building climate control
relative to a given reference load curve can effectively be reduced by incorporating
an appropriately designed variable electricity tariff directly into the cost function
of an MPC setup. This load shifting effort for thermal loads comes at the cost
of higher electricity consumption. Overall electricity costs are however clearly
increased for the given 16 test cases; as thermal loads here do not represent the
majority of electricity consumption. Electricity costs only for the thermal loads,
fall steeply for passive houses and increase slightly for Swiss average houses.
The proposed scheme is well suited to reach the goal of load shifting and
decreasing of peak electricity demand with respect to a given load profile. The
scaling of the tariff needs however to be tuned, such that an average household
is not paying more than before; plus, an economic incentive is given for adhering
to such DR schemes.
Chapter 7
7.1. Overview
Autonomous production needs to be reliable and profitable. Outputs from reli-
able production systems consistently conform to performance requirements. By
contrast, outputs from unreliable production systems often do not conform to
performance requirements. Meanwhile, the profit is within the tradeoff of effec-
tive pricing and reliability of the autonomous production system. Unreliable
production can lead to accidents, rework, scrap, loss of good will, etc. In this
chapter, pricing analyses are provided of work characteristics in the autonomous
manufacturing industries, which affect opportunities for reliable high-level auton-
omous production systems. Analyses indicate that there are strong opportunities
within pricing models for reliable high-level autonomous production systems in
these industries. In the strongest opportunities, there is repeated work certainty;
the composition of work involves few materials/parts that have little variation;
and work is carried out in settings that require no additional engineering to facili-
tate reliable autonomous production pricing.
new kinds of production technologies such as mobile robots used in building con-
struction. Overall, different types of production technologies are being combined
in autonomous production systems. For example, industrial company Komatsu
is working with high-tech firm NVIDIA to introduce autonomous systems for
carrying out raw material extraction at mines, and for ground works at construc-
tion sites (Grayson, 2017). However, the potential for reliable implementation of
high-level autonomous production systems is affected by work characteristics in
the manufacturing and construction industries.
Physical production in the manufacturing industry can be considered in terms
of the following phases: raw materials extraction/harvesting, converting raw
materials into processed materials, manufacturing parts, and assembling goods.
In terms of work settings, sites of raw materials extraction/harvesting can be
highly distributed and have irregular conditions. Hence, the prospects for reliable
autonomous production can depend upon the economic viability of engineer-
ing the effects of irregularities out of work settings to facilitate accurate autono-
mous sensing, which provides the basis for effective autonomous deciding and
acting. The cost of engineering work settings for autonomous materials extrac-
tion is illustrated by the mining corporation Rio Tinto’s plan to spend more than
US$2 billion to develop an “intelligent” iron ore mine, which will incorporate
driverless vehicles and robotics (Regan, 2017). By contrast, much of converting
raw materials, manufacturing parts, and assembling goods are already concen-
trated in factories, where work settings are conducive to sensing and awareness
by autonomous robots and vehicles. For example, automated guided vehicle sys-
tems (AGVS) are used extensively inside factories to move materials, components,
and goods. Factories are well suited to providing “cooperative infrastructure” for
automated guided vehicles (AGVs) to operate in. In particular, factories have
controlled internal environments where markers, wires, etc., can be easily set up
and maintained for AGVs to follow predetermined routes.
Also, factories have controlled internal environments that are well suited to
more sophisticated AGV navigation methods. For example, AGVS laser navi-
gation involves mounting reflective tape on factory fixtures. The AGV carries a
laser transmitter and receiver through which laser information is compared to the
map of the reflector layout stored in the AGV’s memory. This allows the AGVS
to triangulate the current position of the AGV and guide travel to its destina-
tion by constantly updating the position. Thus, “vehicle–infrastructure integra-
tion” is commonplace in factories where the positions of loading bays, storage
spaces, work stations, etc., are fixed for long durations and are always protected
from adverse weather conditions that could be detrimental to AGVS operations
(Schulze & Zhao, 2007).
Industrial engineering seeks to optimize complex production processes. Indus-
trial engineering methods can be used to develop and control production processes
that are designed to generate most value for lowest resource consumption. Meth-
ods to develop production processes include ask analysis, design for manufac-
ture and assembly (DFMA), failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA), and job
design (Boothroyd, Dewhurst, & Knight, 2011; Doray, 1988; Parker & Wall, 1998).
Methods to control production processes include statistical process control (SPC),
Pricing Models in Autonomous Manufacturing 109
which is often implemented with the slogan, Six Sigma (Oakland, 2007; Pande,
Neuman, & Cavanagh, 2000). Thus far, these methods have been applied mostly
to make-to-stock (MTS) and assemble-to-order (ATO) production inside factories,
rather than to engineer-to-order (ETO) production outside of factories.
One reason has been that industrial engineering methods depend upon the
extensive sampling and processing of production data to inform iterations of
assessment–improvement–reassessment during the development of production
processes (Sommerville & Ransom, 2005). Beyond MTS and ATO inside facto-
ries, it has been much more difficult to sample and process production data. Now,
however, data sampling and processing for the development of production pro-
cesses is becoming more possible. This is because of the introduction of Big Data
Analytics technologies into ETO production (Bao, Zheng, Zhang, Ji, & Zhang,
2018; Bilal et al., 2016). For example, video recordings of construction processes
can be analyzed to reveal common features across different operations (Gong,
Caldas, & Gordon, 2011). Also, video recordings can be analyzed to identify
safety issues during construction work (Han, Lee, & Peña-Mora, 2012). In addi-
tion, databases linked to digital building models can be analyzed to assign work
optimally within time constraints (Chen, Feng, Wang, & Wu, 2011), and to reveal
causes of delays in construction work (Kim, Soibelman, & Grobler, 2008).
Furthermore, there is now increased potential for assessment–improvement–
reassessment during production processes through rapid iterations with digital
simulation models, which are being introduced into ETO production (Ben-Alon &
Sacks, 2017; Steinhauer, Sikorra, Haux, Friedewald, & Lödding, 2017). For
example, the alternative pathways for the movement of construction resources
on congested construction sites can be simulated (Kim & Kim, 2010). Also, pro-
ductivity can be simulated as an emergent property of interactions between indi-
vidual workers and groups of workers (Watkins, Mukherjee, Onder, & Mattila,
2009). In addition, digital simulation models can be applied to assess and improve
strategies for dealing with unexpected circumstances during construction opera-
tions (Tang, Mukherjee, & Onder, 2013). Importantly, there are some advances
in automated collection by onsite sensors of direct inputs into digital simulation
models (Akhavian & Behzadan, 2015). Such analyses and simulations are mostly
at the stage of proof-of-concept demonstrations, but indicate that there is increas-
ing potential for production data sampling and processing beyond.
Task analysis, DFMA, FMEA, and job design can be applied to basic motions.
For example, the basic motions of laying bricks, such as picking, orientating, and
placing, can be analyzed and designed for maximum efficiency. Indeed, organiza-
tions that are developing autonomous construction equipment, such as bricklaying
robots, undertake thorough task analysis, job design, and DFMA in order to enable
high-speed picking, orientating, and placing of bricks by robots’ arms. For example,
DFMA design rules and strategies can be applied to develop bricks with shapes that
are easy for robots to handle (Bogue, 2018). The introduction of Big Data Analytics
and simulation modeling into ETO can enable assessment–improvement–reassess-
ment of basic motions such as picking, orientating, and placing.
However, the process of the entire ETO operations, such as building entire
walls, can have too little work certainty, too varying work compositions, and
110 Hamed Fazlollahtabar and Mohammad Saidi-Mehrabad
dt0
pt ≤ .
st
In Fig. 7.1, we illustrate this simple demand curve. Note that for a particular
price pt, there is a subset of customers (represented by the shaded portion of the
diagram) who would have purchased if the price were lower (in other words, if the
price was at or below their reservation price), and who are thus potentially part of
the residual demand in future periods.
Pricing Models in Autonomous Manufacturing 111
Indeed, in Fig. 7.2 we begin to illustrate the concept of residual demand. The
curve on the left represents the current demand curve in period t, as in Fig. 7.1.
The curve on the right represents the current demand curve in period t+1. Assume
that we have set the price in period t+1, pt+1, to be lower than the price in period
t, pt. The shaded region on the left represents residual demand from period t real-
ized in period t+1 – these are customers who found the price too high in period
t, but low enough to make purchases in period t+1. We define potential residual
demand from period t to mean demand arriving at period t that can be realized in
periods after t if prices are far enough below pt.
Now, we consider a three-period example, and suppose that prices are ordered
so that pt+2<pt<pt+1. We illustrate this example in Fig. 7.3. In this example,
no potential residual demand from period t was realized in period t+1 because
pt<pt+1. However, residual demands from periods t and t+1 are realized in period
t+2 and illustrated with shaded regions in Fig. 7.3.
We further generalize this concept of current and residual demand modeling
with two parameters. Potential residual demand from period t does not stay in the
system forever; we define parameter K to represent the number of periods that
potential demand remains in the system, so that K=0 represents the model with
no residual demand, and K is at least 2 in Fig. 7.3. Also, not all of the unmet
potential demand in period t remains in the system for K time units – we define αkt
112 Hamed Fazlollahtabar and Mohammad Saidi-Mehrabad
min{t , K }
Next, we can write demand at period t in terms of rtks as dt = ∑
k=0
rtk . With
s.t.
xt + I t−1 = d t + I t , t = 1, 2, ..., T ; to = 0 (7.2)
xt ≤ Qt , t = 1, 2, ..., T , (7.3)
K
dt = ∑ rtk , t = 1, 2, ..., T , (7.4)
k =0
dt0
0 ≤ pt ≤
st
, t = 1, 2, ..., T , (7.5)
d 0 − s p if k = 0,
t t t
rt = t−k
k
+ (7.6)
α s min p − p if 1 ≤ k ≤ min( K , t −1).
k t−k
i ∈{1,..., k}
t −i t
xt ≥ 0, I t ≥ 0, t = 1,2,...,T . (7.7)
Our objective is to maximize the net profit (7.1) subject to inventory balance
(7.2), production capacity (7.3), and demand realization constraints (7.4)–(7.6).
In addition to the parameters and constraints defined earlier, It, t= 1,2,…, rep-
resents the inventory at the end of period t. To express constraints (7.6) as a set
of linear constraints, we introduce additional variables, mkt to keep track of the
minimum price value observed between periods t−k and t−1 and binary vari-
ables, ytk to indicate whether there is residual demand from period t−k realized
in period t (i.e., ytk=1 if rtk >0 and zero otherwise). Using ytk and mkt, we rewrite
constraints (7.6) as follows:
0 ≤ mtk ≤ pu for u = t − k,..., t −1,
It is easy to see that the objective function of the proposed model is neither
convex nor concave in general. Note that residual demand is materialized only
when past and current prices satisfy a set of conditions, so that the functional
form of the objective function changes depending on the relative order of the
pricing plan (p1, p2, …, pT). To demonstrate the difficulty posed by this, consider
an instance of a two-period problem with identical demand for each period,
α10 = α02 = 1, α11 = α, unlimited capacity, zero holding cost, and zero production
cost. This problem is written as:
114 Hamed Fazlollahtabar and Mohammad Saidi-Mehrabad
s.t.
d1 = do − sp1,
d2=(do−sp2)+(α s[p1−p2]+),
d0
0 ≤ p1 ≤ ,,
s
d0
0 ≤ p2 ≤ ..
s
Substituting expressions for d1 and d2 into the objective function reveals that
the objective function depends on the relative magnitude of p1 and p2:
0 if p1 ≤ p2
R ( p1 , p2 ) = p1 ( d o − sp1 ) + p2 (d o – sp2 ) +
αs( p1 − p2 ) p2 if p1 > p2
In general, in the proposed model the revenue generated from residual
demands depends not only on the current price, but also on the relative order of
prices offered for the last K periods, which makes the objective function noncon-
cave over the feasible region of prices.
sequence depends on the spread of the reservation prices, and the prices within a
sequence are always above (if the proportion of high-type customers is small) or
below (if the proportion of high-type customers is large) the optimal noninterac-
tion price. Finally, we consider both limited and unlimited capacity to investigate
how capacity impacts the efficacy of the dynamic pricing strategies. In addition,
one focus of this chapter was on developing effective techniques for pricing mod-
els to be able to handle them in different intertemporal demands interaction and
dynamic pricing being tested under a variety of conditions.
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Chapter 8
8.1. Overview
Automation is the technology by which a process or procedure is performed with-
out human assistance. Automation or automatic control is the use of various
control systems for operating equipment such as machinery, processes in facto-
ries, boilers and heat-treating ovens, switching on telephone networks, steering
and stabilization of ships, aircraft and other applications and vehicles with mini-
mal or reduced human intervention. Some processes have been completely auto-
mated. Automation covers applications ranging from a household thermostat
controlling a boiler, to a large industrial control system with tens of thousands
of input measurements and output control signals. In control complexity, it can
range from simple on-off control to multivariable high-level algorithms. In the
simplest type of an automatic control loop, a controller compares a measured
value of a process with a desired set value, and processes the resulting error sig-
nal to change some input to the process, in such a way that the process stays at
its set point despite disturbances. This closed-loop control is an application of
negative feedback to a system. The mathematical basis of control theory was
begun in the eighteenth century, and advanced rapidly in the twentieth. Auto-
mation has been achieved by various means including mechanical, hydraulic,
pneumatic, electrical, electronic devices, and computers, usually in combination.
Complicated systems, such as modern factories, airplanes, and ships typically use
all these combined techniques. The benefit of automation includes labor savings,
savings in electricity costs, savings in material costs, and improvements to quality,
accuracy, and precision.
Pros:
Cons:
are offering 8-bit micro-controller applications; for example, found in motor con-
trols, general purpose pumps, fans, and e-bikes to reduce energy consumption
and thus increase efficiency.
Manufacturing systems consist of human workers, automation, and various
material handling technologies, configured in ways that create specific manufac-
turing system typologies. More specifically, a manufacturing system is a collection
of integrated equipment and human resources, whose function is to perform one
or more processing and/or assembly operations on a starting raw material, part,
or set of parts. Our focus in this unit is upon manufacturing systems that are said
to be automated, and so concentration will be put upon the types of integrated
equipment that are used and arranged in a manufacturing cell. This can range
from production machines and tools, material handling and work positioning
devices, to the use of various computer systems that facilitate automation in the
production environment.
Computer systems are an integral part of automated manufacturing, as they
are required to control fully automated and semiautomated equipment and par-
ticipate in overall co-ordination and management of the manufacturing system.
Typical computer functions are outlined in Table 8.1.
As manufacturers automate their factories, they become confused because
productivity measures signal paradoxical results (Skinner, 1986); they also
become frustrated because the billions of dollars invested in the factory auto-
mation turn out to be either misspent or entirely unnecessary. These problems
may result primarily from the deficiency of existing performance measures such
as labor productivity, and decision rules such as payback period. Considerable
efforts, therefore, have been made to develop better performance measures (see,
e.g., Mohanty & Rastogi, 1986; Son & Park, 1987) and justification measures (see,
e.g., Kulatilaka, 1984; Miltenburg & Krinsky, 1987; Moerman, 1988; Son, 1987).
However, no matter how sophisticated and reliable these economic evaluation
measures may be, such problems still remain if a company’s accounting system
fails to provide managers with reliable cost information, which is used for the eco-
nomic analyses. Unfortunately, traditional cost accounting is simply not appro-
priate to “unmanned” factories because it is based on direct labor. Therefore,
the economic evaluation problems of advanced manufacturing systems are attrib-
uted more to the inadequacy of traditional cost systems than to the deficiency
of existing justification techniques. Yet, the research of developing reliable cost
systems is still in an embryonic stage because of difficulty in measuring and pre-
dicting the economic benefits of advanced manufacturing systems. Since Kaplan
(1983) identified new areas of inquiry for management accounting research in
measuring manufacturing performance and evaluating proposals, many authors
have proposed ways of revising traditional cost accounting (see, e.g., Cooper &
Kaplan, 1988; Brimson, 1988). However, being mostly accounting professionals,
these authors have worked on accurate price costing (e.g., finding better ways of
allocating overhead to products) rather than on reliable estimation of economic
benefits expected from factory automation. This is not surprising, as accountants
are interested more in recording the historical financial activities than in predict-
ing or estimating the future outcome of the activities. As a result, the economic
120 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
Function Description
Communicate Operators must receive the appropriate work instructions
instructions to for work units that they are processing at manual
workers workstations
Download work All computer-controlled machines are operated by
part programs programs that are sent to it by the computing system
Control material Workstation availability and material handling system
handling system status must be co-ordinated in order to ensure efficient
processing of work units in transit
Schedule Certain production scheduling functions may be
production accomplished at the site of the manufacturing system
Diagnose failures Diagnostics of equipment, the preparation of
preventative maintenance schedules, and the
maintenance of the spare parts inventory
Monitor safety The maintenance of the system to ensure it only operates
in a safe manner
Maintain quality This involves the detection and rejection of work units
control that are effective in the work system
Manage operations Managing the overall operations of the manufacturing
system, either directly via supervisory control, or
indirectly via the production of periodic reports
analysis has been restricted to “readily available” cash flows, ignoring strategically
important intangibles such as manufacturing quality and flexibility, and assum-
ing that cash flows are usually given.
One of the widely used terms describing the production of tomorrow is smart
manufacturing. The volume of publications on smart manufacturing is rapidly
growing. Many publications focus on in-depth coverage of the topics shaping
smart manufacturing. This chapter defines what the author believes are core con-
cepts of importance to smart manufacturing in the hope of streamlining and
systemizing the growing body of research. Smart manufacturing has attracted
attention of numerous researchers who reported their findings in the literature.
Thoben, Wiesner, and Wuest (2017) discussed the main characteristics of cyber-
physical systems and provided an overview of Germany’s Industry 4.0 initiative
and manufacturing efforts undertaken in other counties. An attempt was made to
identify relevant research issues. Kang et al. (2016) reviewed the literature related
to smart manufacturing and identified technologies of importance to its progress.
In addition, some future trends in smart manufacturing were discussed. Helu,
Libes, Lunell, Lyons, and Moris (2016) defined requirements for data-driven deci-
sion-making in manufacturing. Based on these requirements, main technologies
and barriers facing implementation of data-driven decision-making in industry
Price Optimization in Autonomous Manufacturing 121
were identified. Lu, Morris, and Frechette (2016) reported on the standards that
may impact products, systems, and business aspects of smart manufacturing.
O’Donovan, Bruton, and O’Sullivan (2016) focused on problems facing appli-
cations of data analytics in industry. The authors advocated the use of formal
methodologies to develop analytics capability rather than focusing on prescrip-
tive approaches. The methodology discussed in their article was demonstrated
with a case study. Standards are important in integration of smart manufacturing
technologies facing transformation challenges, some of which were outlined in
Macke, Rulhoff, and Stjepandic (2016). A tool deployed on mobile devices for
initiating queries in support of incoming changes was discussed. Zhang et al.
(2014) overviewed technologies such as cloud computing, internet of things, ser-
vice-oriented solutions, and high-performance computing. It was suggested that
they make a cloud manufacturing platform outlined in their article. Shafiq, Sanin,
Toro, and Szczerbicki (2015) proposed a framework for knowledge representation
of engineering objects incorporating relevant knowledge and experience. It was
demonstrated that the framework was a specialization of a cyber-physical system.
Zhong, Xu, Chen, and Huang (2017) discussed the concept of smart manufactur-
ing objects handled with the internet of things and wireless technologies. Data
analytics was applied to study behavior of smart manufacturing objects. Besides
architectures and concepts of interests to smart manufacturing, research offer-
ing specific models and algorithms has been initiated. Ivanov, Dolgui, Sokolov,
Werner, and Ivanova (2016) addressed the short-term supply chain scheduling in
a smart factory. A scheduling approach involving nonstationary jobs flow and
temporal decomposition was developed. Moon and Park (2014) offered a sched-
uling solution for management of energy consumption in manufacturing. Chun
and Bidanda (2013) reviewed the literature on sustainable manufacturing. They
raised the issue of sustainability in global manufacturing, design for sustainabil-
ity, product life-cycle management, and green supply chain management. Cyber-
security is paramount to the progress in smart manufacturing. Kim and Chang
(2014) discussed information leakage vulnerabilities faced by organizations and
offered some solutions.
been around manufacturing throughout its history. For example, data have been an
integral part of manufacturing. In the era of smart manufacturing it has become
big data. Production planning and forecasting have preceded predictive engineering
versed in data science of today.
Since research on the topic of pricing practices and servicing is sparse, a
qualitative multiple case-based research method was chosen (Yin, 2009). Case
research has proven to be particularly beneficial in the early explorative stages
of theory development, when the phenomena under study are not completely
understood since qualitative cases aid the investigation of constructs, their
relationships, and why these relationships exist (Voss, Tsikriktsis, & Frohlich,
2002). In addition, case research provides in-depth observations of the studied
phenomena in their natural settings, and thus favors addressing why, what, and
how questions (Yin, 2009). A sample of five large manufacturing companies,
supplying high-value capital equipment to industrial customers, was purpo-
sively selected (Miles & Huberman, 1994) to have contexts in which services are
more likely not given for free (Witell & Löfgren, 2013). Small and medium-sized
enterprises (SMEs) were excluded since only large companies are expected to
provide a setting in which the studied phenomena would occur to differenti-
able degrees. In fact, “the manufacturing firms that have served are larger than
traditional manufacturing firms in terms of sales revenues” (Neely, 2009,
p. 103). Furthermore, servicing in small and medium business is still underin-
vestigated and previous research almost “neglects how firms” size may affect
Price Optimization in Autonomous Manufacturing 123
(1) companies operating in different industries (e.g., mass transit vehicles and
infrastructure, oil and gas equipment, and print and document management
solutions);
(2) companies from the same industry, but occupying different positions of the
value chain;
(3) companies facing dissimilar competitive pressures; and
(4) companies having different service offerings in place.
Acquisition and pricing decisions have received less attention in the remanu-
facturing literature, although several assumptions about consumers’ perception
and willingness to pay for remanufactured products have been considered. On
the one hand, some researchers assume that consumers see no difference between
new and remanufactured products, such as Majumder and Groenevelt (2001),
Savaskan, Bhattacharya, and Van Wassenhove (2004), Ferrer and Swaminathan
(2006). In these studies, a remanufactured product is assumed to be a perfect sub-
stitute for a new product. On the other hand, some researchers assume that the
market for remanufactured and new products are fully segmented and there is no
cannibalization. In “the middle,” some researchers assume that there exists partial
cannibalization and remanufactured products competing with new products on
the basis of price; for example, Debo, Toktay, and Van Wassenhove (2005), and
Atasu, Sarvary, and Van Wassenhove (2008). In all of these studies, the consum-
ers’ willingness to pay for a remanufactured product is assumed to be heterogene-
ous, uniformly distributed on a given scale, and lower than that of a new product.
We will take a similar approach.
Automated systems require more setup and maintenance but may prevent pricing
errors. The needs of the consumer can be converted into demand only if the con-
sumer has the willingness and capacity to buy the product. Thus, pricing is the
most important concept in the field of marketing; it is used as a tactical decision
in response to comparing market situations.
The objectives of pricing should consider:
Price is influenced by the type of distribution channel used, the type of pro-
motions used, and the quality of the product. Where manufacturing is expensive,
distribution is exclusive, and the product is supported by extensive advertising
and promotional campaigns, then prices are likely to be higher. Price can act as a
substitute for product quality, effective promotions, or an energetic selling effort
by distributors in certain markets.
From the marketer’s point of view, an efficient price is a price that is very close
to the maximum that customers are prepared to pay. In economic terms, it is a
price that shifts most of the consumer economic surplus to the producer. A good
pricing strategy would be the one which could balance between the price floor
(the price below which the organization ends up in losses) and the price ceiling
(the price by which the organization experiences a no-demand situation).
Marketers develop an overall pricing strategy that is consistent with the organ-
ization’s mission and values. This pricing strategy typically becomes part of the
company’s overall long-term strategic plan. The strategy is designed to provide
broad guidance to price-setters and ensures that the pricing strategy is consist-
ent with other elements of the marketing plan. While the actual price of goods
or services may vary in response to different conditions, the broad approach to
pricing (i.e., the pricing strategy) remains a constant for the planning outlook
period, which is typically 3–5 years, but in some industries may be a longer period
of 7–10 years.
Broadly, there are six approaches to pricing strategy mentioned in the market-
ing literature:
Not too long ago, manufacturing managers walked the floor with little more
than a pencil and clipboard to note needed supplies, lines that were underper-
forming, etc. Fast forward to 2013, and this is considered inefficient at best and
downright archaic at worst. The space has matured to include mobile devices,
advanced analytics software, and more recent innovations like radio-frequency
identification (RFID) tags.
Technology is now spurring a similar evolution on the manufacturing sales
side. The solutions and acronyms may be different but the end result is the same –
a movement away from making decisions based on human observation and man-
ual systems toward one that depends on machine data and analytics.
manufacturers of all sizes with a new way to improve their business and develop
real competitive advantage.
Quality and flexibility costs have not been well recognized by most people. In
particular, accountants have unwillingly explored the costs although some small
groups of special interest in other disciplines have done so: for example, some
quality-control professionals have explored the relationships between prevention
and failure costs; production and inventory-control professionals have investi-
gated the relationships between set-up and inventory costs; and some queuing
theorists have examined the relationships between waiting and idle costs. Unfor-
tunately, however, these various professionals have not yet developed systematic
Price Optimization in Autonomous Manufacturing 127
ways of estimating the RISC. Because ill-defined opportunity costs are involved,
RISC is relatively more difficult and subjective to estimate than RWSC. Even
RWSC is not easy to estimate, not only because manufacturing processes are
complicated to track but because cost estimation is at best guesswork about the
unknown future, based on analysis and judgment of the known present. There-
fore, many different approaches can be applied depending upon each analyst’s
experience, interpretation, and assumptions. The cost equations derived in the
following sections are intended to illustrate a possible way of estimating RWSC
and RISC components.
maintenance personnel, and technical support specialists may increase. The trend
is a shift from direct to indirect labor. Let N be a planning horizon. Then, the
labor cost during a planning horizon (C1) may be
L1 L2
Cl = (direct labor cost) + (indirect labor cost) + (fringes) = ∑Cd Nnd + ∑Ci ni + C fr
d =1 i =1
where L1 is the number of different jobs using direct labor, Cd is the wage of job
d per unit time, nd is the number of direct labor units for job d, L2 is the number
of different jobs using indirect labor, Ci is the salary of job i during a planning
horizon, ni is the number of indirect labor units for job i, and Cr, is the fringes for
direct and indirect labor during a planning horizon.
Material cost: It is the cost of making all materials ready for production. There-
fore, material cost includes costs ordering, purchase, and transportation, if neces-
sary, not only for direct materials but also for indirect materials like lubricants.
Then, the material cost during a planning horizon (CR) is
where J is the number of different parts, Cd(j) is the unit cost of direct material
for part j, nd(j) is the amount of direct materials used for part j, Cid is the indirect
material cost except tools, and Co is the total material ordering cost.
Machine cost: It is the counterpart of labor cost in a machine-paced environment.
Machine cost includes costs of utilities (power and fuel), maintenance, repair, insur-
ance, and property tax for manufacturing equipment such as machine tools (lathe,
drilling machine, etc.), washing machines, inspection machines, material handling sys-
tems, and computers, if any. In conventional manufacturing systems, the machine cost
is an overhead item and its allocation is based on direct labor hours, because collecting
data on machine hours for individual jobs is difficult and involves additional clerical
cost. In the factory automation environment, however, measuring the machine cost
becomes easy since direct linkage of computers with machines allows machine hours
to be tracked quickly and reliably, as in computer numerical control (CNC) and direct
numerical control (DNC) machines, robots, and automatic guided vehicles (AGVs).
Let K be the total number of pieces of manufacturing equipment. Then, the machine
cost during a planning horizon (CM) is
where Cu is the utility cost of machine k per unit time, Tm(k) is the total machine
time of machine k, Cmt(k) is the maintenance cost of machine k per unit time,
Tmt(k) is the total maintenance time of machine k, Cr(k) is the repair cost of
Price Optimization in Autonomous Manufacturing 129
machine k per unit time, 7;(k) is the total repair time of machine k, a is the insur-
ance premium rate, Fk is the first cost (initial investment) of machine k, and b is
the property tax rate.
Tool cost: It is the cost of maintaining cutting tools and includes costs of cut-
ting tools replaced due to wear and breakage. Tool cost does not include tool
change costs because they are part of the labor cost when tools are changed
manually and tool change time is negligible when tools are changed automati-
cally. In conventional systems, tool cost is estimated on the basis of Taylor’s
equation (see Degarmo, Black, & Kosher, 1984), which computes tool life
under deterministic conditions. However, tool failure phenomena are proba-
bilistic in nature, and it is relatively difficult to develop comprehensive analyti-
cal methods of predicting tool failure. A rather conservative and deterministic
approach is to assume useful tool life and regularly change a tool before it
reaches its average tool life (Elmaraphy, 1985). Let M be the number of differ-
ent tools. Using the principles of the regular tool changes, the tool cost (CT)
can be defined as
CT = (unit cost per tool)(total number of tools changed)
M
= ∑Ctl ( m ){nw ( m ) + nb ( m )}
m =1
where Ctl(m) is the unit cost of tool type m, nw(m) is the number of worn tools
of type m, and nb(m) is the number of broken tools of type m.
Floor-space cost: Floor-space cost indicates the cost of utilities, maintenance,
repair, insurance, and property tax associated with manufacturing floor space.
This is the space occupied by machine tools; material-handling equipment and
computers; work-in-process (WIP) inventory; tools and fixtures; pallets; and sup-
porting facilities such as cafeterias, rest areas, and locker rooms. Let Cep be the
space cost per square foot and SM be the manufacturing floor space. Then, the
floor-space cost during a planning horizon (Cs) is
Cs = Cep * SM
Estimating RISC
With techniques such as autonomous inspection devices, accurate and fast online
100% inspection has become possible. Sampling inspection may not be sufficient
for firms that are serious about their product quality. However, 100% inspection
is not always possible, and may not be better than the sampling inspection, espe-
cially in the case of component parts: as a complete check of a component part
may require that the part be removed from its fixture, it is difficult to realign the
part to the same position of the fixture. Therefore, we assume sampling inspec-
tion for component parts (in-process inspection), and 100% inspection for fin-
ished parts (final inspection).
⦁⦁ Prevention cost
⦁⦁ Failure cost
Failure cost is the loss due to failure of finished products to meet quality stand-
ards set by both a company and customers, and combines conventional internal
Price Optimization in Autonomous Manufacturing 131
failure and external failure costs. Failure cost is concerned with final inspection.
The following items define (see Table 8.2)
With assumption of 100% inspection, then five cases can be considered for
estimating the failure cost of a part (Cra), as in Table 8.2. From Table 8.2 we can
easily obtain
Since p is a random variable, the expected value of the failure cost for a part
(Cf) is
If Cg = Cb
Let Cf(i) be the Cf value of part j. Since there are J different parts, the failure
cost during a planning horizon (CF) is
J
C F = ∑C f ( j )Q j
j =1
132 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
Set-up cost (A) is the cost of preparing machines for each production run.
Let Csu(k) be the set-up cost for machine k per unit time and Tsu(k) be the total
set-up time for machine k during a planning horizon. Then,
K
A = ∑Csu ( k )Tsw ( k )
k =1
–Waiting cost
Waiting cost (Cw) is a cost associated with parts that are waiting for service
somewhere in the manufacturing processes, that is, the cost of WIP inventory.
J K j +1 J
= υ ∑∑Tw ( j , k ){n( j , k −1) − n( j , k )}+ ∑Tw ( j , k j + 1) n( j , k j + 1)
j =1 k = 0 j =1
where υ is the opportunity cost per unit time, Kj is the number of processes
which part j visits, Tw (j, k) is the cumulative waiting time of part j up to pro-
cess k, n (j, −1) is the number of raw materials for part j that have entered the
manufacturing area, n (j, k) is the number of part j that completed process
k, {n (j, k−1)−n (j, k)} is the amount of WIP between processes k−1 and k,
and n (j, Kj+ 1) is the total number of finished parts j. Note that n(j,−1)=Wj
and n(j,Kj+1)=Qj.
⦁⦁ Idle cost
⦁⦁ Inventory cost
where SI is the warehouse space, Csm(j) is the cost of carrying a unit of raw mate-
rial of part j, Iom(j) is the initial inventory of raw materials for part j, Uj is the
amount of raw materials obtained from suppliers, Csf(j) is the cost of carrying
a unit of product (or finished good) of part j, Iof(j) is the initial inventory of
finished part j, Dj is the demand rate for part j, Cbm(j) is the shortage cost of a
unit of raw material of part j, and Cbf (j) is the shortage cost of a unit of finished
product of part j.
Many of the parametric values of the cost model developed above are readily
available or estimated at the accounting department or other departments in a
company. Wages (Cd) and salaries (Ci), for instance, are available in the personnel
department; the rate of restoring a defect to a good part (w), in the quality-con-
trol department; amounts of raw materials obtained from suppliers (Uj), in the
purchasing department; the total number of machines (K), in the manufacturing
department; and inventory service and risk costs, Csm(j)and Csf(j), in the plant
warehouse. The planning horizon (N) is chosen by a decision-maker or an ana-
lyst. Parametric values of opportunity costs are neither readily available nor easy
to obtain; however, they are not impossible to estimate. For example, opportunity
cost per unit time (υ) of equipment idle and part waiting can be considered in
two ways depending on market conditions: if there is enough demand, they may
be considered as lost profits because opportunities of making and selling more
products are foregone. If, however, there is not enough demand, they may be
considered as capital tied up in equipment and WIP inventory, respectively. For
lost profits, profit is not known before the total cost and income are calculated,
but it is estimated from accounting records using a regression analysis. For tied-
up capital, profit estimates are based on the internal rate of return. Total set-up
time for each machine during a planning horizon (Tsu(k)) is typically obtained
from the routing sheet. In group-technology-based manufacturing systems, how-
ever, Tsu(k) is not easy to obtain because “random” set-up adjustment for differ-
ent part types within a part family is usually difficult to measure. Complexity in
a manufacturing system and uncertainty in machine and tool breakdown also
make it difficult to measure parametric values such as a machine’s total repair
time (Tr(k)) and equipment utilization (Uk)’ a part’s waiting time (Tw), and so
forth. Although computer-controlled machines such as CNC and DNC machines,
robots and AGV can easily and accurately record these data, these machines are
still expensive and cannot project future data. Computer simulation is a useful
alternative for collecting and projecting those data elements because simulation
134 Cost Engineering and Pricing in Autonomous Manufacturing Systems
can easily trace complicated dynamic manufacturing processes and estimate the
manufacturing system’s operating characteristics (Son & Park, 1990).
The “productivity paradox” (Skinner, 1986) indicates that productivity and prof-
its do not always go hand in hand. This occurs when the increased products due
to improved productivity are not sold because of poor quality of products and
the inflexibility of a manufacturing system to customer whim. As productivity is
the measure of the efficiency of converting tangible inputs (i.e., productivity cost)
into output, it does not consider whether the produced items generate profits
through sales.
The cost model above can help cure the productivity paradox. For instance,
the integrated manufacturing performance measure (IMPM) below (see Son,
1990; Son & Park, 1987; for more details), based on the cost model, indicates
whether the company makes money from the output.
Total output value
IMPM =
Productivity cost + Quality cost + Flexibility cost
In the above equation, the decreasing inventory cost (a flexibility cost element)
indicates sales increases because the inventory amount is the difference between
the production amount and the sales amount; if the inventory cost is zero, it
means that all the products are sold. Furthermore, the decreasing external failure
cost (a quality cost element) signals the decreasing returns of the sold products,
that is, increased customer satisfaction. Therefore, the cost model supports the
IMPM to measure manufacturing “effectiveness” and to remedy the productivity
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Index