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Leadership in a chaotic world
JoseltoYoey) Malar, PMP Folow
The orponee Mean O« Or? @o
"Thave a feeling we're not in Kansas anymore" - Dorothy Gale
2020 might not have turned out to be what most of us were hoping for. The world has
experienced several devastating events one after the other. Bushfires, earthquakes, volcanic
eruptions, and now a global pandemic never before experienced in our lifetimes - we have very
litle knowledge on what is going on, nor do we have the means to assess if our actions will
result to what we think it will result to. Ths is what mast business leaders cll the VUCA World,
and we have been in this situation for quite some time now though we just did not notice
‘To putit simply, what worked before will nat work now Tied and tested approaches to solving
problems and isues may not alvays be as effective as it once was. The game has already
changed and tisis the new normal
In this regard, I would like to offer certain aspects about leadership that our leaders - whether
business people, our government, and more importantly family leaders ~ can take in and try to
develop in order to be more effective in leading inthis chaotic world
You will not have all the information you need - work with what
you have now
The standard problem solving approach of collecting information, hypothesizing, experimenting
and analyzing the results may work only if you have ample information to work on. Today, we
have very lite knowledge about what is going on and whatever litle we know, we are unsure if
i's correct. The before named Novel Coronavirus (now COVID-19) i a perfect example of not
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Complex
Probe
Sense
Respond
Emergent
Complicat
Sense
Analyze
Respond
Good Practi
Disorder
Chaotic
Act
Sense
Respond
Novel
Simple
Sense
Categoriz
Respond
Best Pract
The Cynefin framework is a way of describing how to make decisions (or solve problems) given
‘one's environment. tis a means of "sense-making” or understanding what is going on in order
to have a “sense of place”, Clearly we are no in simple environment hence best practices do no
work Best Practices are founded on repeatable actions that produce predictable results. We are
ina state of chaos and so we need to look for Novel (New) Practices to address this chaos. This
cequires that we do the following in order:
ACT What litle we know of, we act upon. We know the virus spreads through droplets and has
2 typical incubation period of 14 days. Hence we act upon this by staying at home and reducing
ahvysical contact with other people. Ths is why countries the world over are going on lock downs
Of several weeks to prevent further spread
‘SENSE - We see what is happening around us given that we've already done somethings the
lock down helping flaten the curve? What are the unintended consequences of this lock down?
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impacted our environment has definitely helped us make better decisions. For example, upon
lenowing the impact ofthe current lock down period, governments can make an assessment or
whether an extension is needed, whether more/less stringent measures are requited, or what
policies/procedures need to be put in place to address the situation
Command and Control does not work - Be a Servant Leader
Centralized Leadership structures ae based on the goals of uniformity, efficiency, and equal
These are noble goals and there is nothing inherently wrong with them. However, in a chaotic
world, so many different things are happening atthe same time. The experiences of people
encountering issues are all unique and diverse, Command and Control Leadership approaches
are not advisable primarily because
Decisions are made far from the source of the problem - the decision maker has limited
visibility and understanding on what is going in-the-trenches (or in our current situation - limited
visibility in the hospital, barangay halls, public markets, and neighborhoods). The leader who
can best address the situation isthe one who actually sees the situation fist hand
Decisions take a long time to be made - the chain-of-command requires information to flow
from the source to the decision maker. Tis would have been a best practice ina simple
environment. However, withthe rate and speed of changes, once a decision is made, the
environment has already changed and the decision i at best nat as effective as it should have
been
Bottlenecks at the top Ina chaotic world, more decisions need to be made on a daly basis,
hence the tendency is for decisions to queue at the single decision maker atthe top. This futher
increases the time a decision is made and aggravates the situation, Its also unhealthy forthe
decision maker to be expected to make all the decisions al the time
Instead, a more appropriate response forthe Leader isto take on a Servant Leader approach.
This entails empowering everybody to make the appropriate decisions relevant to their
environment while the Servant Leader helps and supports the Emergent Leaders (those who are
‘now called to lead) to remove impediments to the Emergent Leaders success. The posture ofthe
Servant Leader should change from ‘This is what you do." to ‘What isthe help that you need?’
8y taking on this more decentralized approach, we enable those who can best address the
situation to actually addres the situation, we ensure that a decision is made as fast as possible
and we reduce the strain on the decision makers as they have a more limited and manageable
area of responsibilty.
Personally, | believe thatthe inital call ofthe National Government to delegate the Local
Governments to address the COVID-19 situation was the right move t enabled loca
governments to act quicker and more appropriately to meet their needs. There were many
stories of Emergent Leaders rising to the occasion and coming up with solutions that were
innovative and effective
Sadly though, it was not properly backed up by support and assistance that was still badly
needed by the local government. The unintended consequence of this to the national
government (or the Servant Leader) isa feeling of lack of control. Of course this will happen
simply because by not supporting, the national government is essentially abdicatng ther
leadership responsibility whichis not Servant Leadership Since the national government has no
prior experience in this field (remember we are a centralized government and not federal) they
defaulted to back to the command and control structure they have been so used to. This i why
emergency powers were requested, all COVID-19 tests have to go through the Department of
Health, allocation and distribution of supplies have to be centralized, and certain Emergent
Leaders are being scrutinized for their actions.
For Emergent Leaders, we have to remember the earlier point that we will not have all the
information needed. We have to act despite the lack of direction Act. Sense. Respond.
You have the right to fail but are obligated to learn
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at worst, inaction.
Failure is imminent but failure is not permanent, Leaders need to take advantage of the lessons
leamed from each failure and take it as opportunity to develop a better solution. There is no
perfect solution, especially in a chaotic world, All we get is a series of gradual improvements. f@
Leader does not gain knowledge from the mistakes of previous solutions, he has failed the
people he leads. Ths isthe premise of the saying "Fail fast. Fail Often
During the last couple of weeks, the government declared an initial quarantine of Metro Manila,
This did not work primarily because people who work in Metro Manila also live in nearby
provinces. People needed to travel in and out of Metro Manila and were also required tc
distance themselves while on an already congested public transportation system. They learned
that logistical constraints would prevent the implementation of a Metro-wide quarantine. Withir
just a couple of days after learning this lesson, an enhanced community quarantine was
implemented and that did the trick. Of course its not perfect but its more feasible than the
previous idea
Transparency and Openness creates Trust
Leadership isa contract built on trust Leaders are expected to make decisions inthe best
interest of the group in exchange for the support and allegiance of the group. The group is
expected to support and follow the Leader in exchange forthe Leader making decisions that
benefit the group. For this social contract to work, both parties must trust each other. Once this
trusts broken, the Leadership structure ofthe organization fails.
Trust however, is expensive. It requires both parties to be transparent and open to one another.
8y being transparent, you disclose knowledge and information whether good or bad. Ina chaotic
world, knowledge and information is a scarce commodity. Every opportunity to provide suck
enhances this social contract as it builds trust. Both parties need to be open to provide anc
accept citicisms. No one has a monopoly of solutions to problems. Ina chaotic worl, beinc
‘open to such enables us to adjust and improve. It creates a feedback loop for us to know what
we did right - or wrong
Ever since the start of this quarantine / lock down, people have been very anxious about the
situation and rightfully so. Leaders need to be open and transparent about the situation they are
facing. Business Leaders need to inform their employees on what are the current challenges
being faced by their organization. Religious Leaders need to reassure their congregation that
everything wil be allright. Government, both at the National and Local level, need to inform
their constituents what is being done to address the situation. Moms and Dads need to be
transparent and open about how this situation wll impact the family
\What most leaders fear is the fact that giving out bad news reflects on their leadership capability
and loss of control. Tis is far from the truth. In fact, being transparent and open provides the
following benefits
It shows that the Leader is actually doing something - a slow progress is stl progress. very
failure is an opportunity to learn
it invites people to share in the problem solving process - while being transparent wil
defintely bring-in criticisms on the Leaders performance, it wil also usher in people who might
have really good ideas. This speeds up the problem solving process and creates buy-in anc
commitment
it ears the respect of his subordinates - Leaders are humans too, We all make mistakes anc
sometimes do not live up to expectations. Leader who shows humility by being open anc
transparent eamns the respect of his subordinates
There is absolutely no benefit to not being transparent and open. Tiss true for leading at any
situation, but more importantly in a chaotic environment
In summary
Leadership in a chaotic word requires ust be transparent, open quick inclusive, and adaptive
Thisis a stark contrast against tratonal concepts of leadership that mast of our curent leaders
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