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Corresponding author:
Giovanni Toscani
Università di Pavia
Via Ferrata, 1
toscani@manhattan.unipv.it
1
Key words
Abstract
The outermost, NE-verging fronts of the Northern Apennines (Italy) are overlain by a thick
syntectonic sedimentary wedge filling up the basin beneath the Po Plain. Due to fast
sedimentation rates and comparatively low tectonic rates, the fronts are generally buried.
Evidence for their activity includes scattered historical and instrumental earthquakes and
Mw 5.8, are associated with active compression with a GPS-documented shortening rate
<1 mm/a.
between Bologna and Ferrara, aimed at analyzing whether and how the deformation is
partitioned among the frontal thrusts of the Northern Apennines and identifying the
potential sources of damaging earthquakes. We pointed out active anticlines based on the
Our results (i) confirm that some of the main Quaternary thrusts are still active and (ii)
highlight the partitioning of deformation in the overlap zones. We remark that the extent
and location of some of the active thrusts are compatible with the location and size of the
main historical earthquakes and discuss the hypothesis that they may correspond to their
2
Riassunto esteso in italiano
I fronti di accavallamento più esterni della catena Nord-Appenninica sono sepolti da una
spessa coltre di sedimenti clastici che colma l’intera Pianura Padana e che è stata studiata
In Pianura Padana, in virtù della rapida sedimentazione clastica e dei limitati ratei di
scarse e di difficile lettura. Alcune di queste evidenze, seppur deboli, si riscontrano nelle
anomalie del reticolo idrografico, sotto forma sia di deviazioni fluviali che di repentine
variazioni dell’attività erosiva del corso d’acqua, variazioni che sono risultate essere
controllate in prevalenza dalla crescita delle anticlinali sepolte al di sotto di tali anomalie.
Inoltre, i cataloghi della sismicità storica e strumentale mostrano che la Pianura Padana
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dell’interpretazione di dati di pozzo e linee sismiche a riflessione, abbiamo realizzato una
Per investigare l’attività degli accavallamenti sepolti e/o delle anticlinali di rampa ad essi
la posizione delle anomalie nel reticolo del drenaggio con quella delle strutture sepolte.
alcuni modelli analogici volti a riprodurre l’evoluzione della deformazione lungo il transetto
- hanno ubicazione e geometrie compatibili con i principali terremoti storici dell’area, dei
1. Introduction
The Po Plain is a densely populated region of Northern Italy, hosting significant productive
(PONDRELLI et alii, 2006) with Mw up to 5.8 (CPTI Working Group, 2004) pose a limited
In the decades immediately following World War II, the subsurface geology of the region
was widely investigated for hydrocarbon exploration purposes. It is well established that a
thick clastic sequence fills the Po Plain flexural basin, burying the outermost thrust sheets
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of the Northern Apennines fold-and-thrust belt and the southernmost thrust sheets of the
Southern Alps. The recent-to-current activity of these thrusts and their seismogenic
potential, however, is still not fully appreciated and is hence in need of further
investigations. Due to the combination of fast sedimentation rates and low deformation
rates, the thrusts are buried and the surface evidence of their activity is faint and elusive.
verify the extent of current activity of the thrusts buried beneath the Po Plain and the
historical earthquakes of the area and geomorphological clues of growing buried anticlines
with information on the geometry of thrust sheets obtained by the integrated analysis of
subsurface data, in particular seismic reflection lines and deep well logs. To evaluate the
behavior of the analyzed thrusts through time and the partitioning of deformation among
them, we compared our transect with a parallel cross-section drawn for the same structural
arc by previous investigators. Finally, we simulated the evolution of thrusting through a set
The preliminary results of this approach are discussed in this note. They suggest that the
main thrusts analyzed have been all active during the Quaternary, that some of them are
still active, and that based on their size and location they may have acted as the causative
The tectonic setting of the buried Northern Apennines is characterized by three adjoining
arcs: Monferrato, Emilia and Ferrara-Romagna, respectively from west to east (Fig. 1).
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The Ferrara-Romagna arc is further subdivided into three second order structures:
Our SSW-NNE transect runs from Bologna to Ferrara, crossing the Ferrara structure. It
starts close to the northeastern topographic margin of the Northern Apennines, that
(1985). The PTF separates the uplifted and exposed part of the accretionary wedge from
the part buried under the Po Plain (Figs. 1 and 2). To the NNE our transect runs through
the most external, buried thrust fronts of the Northern Apennines and terminates near
Ferrara, just south of the current location of the Po River. The outermost thrust sheets are
This sequence can be up to 9 km-thick at the core of the synclines (ORI et alii, 1986; BIGI
et alii, 1990; DOGLIONI, 1993; BARTOLINI et alii, 1996; FORD, 2004). As a result, the buried
thrusts and related fault-propagation folds have been studied almost exclusively by means
of seismic reflection lines and deep well logs acquired for hydrocarbon exploration (e.g.
PIERI & GROPPI, 1981; ORI & FRIEND, 1984; MASSOLI et alii, 2006). These data show a
system of NE-verging blind thrusts and folds that controlled the syntectonic deposition of
sedimentary wedges. The Northern Apennines fold-and-thrust belt and the related
MALINVERNO & RYAN, 1986; ROYDEN et alii, 1987; DOGLIONI, 1991; SCROCCA et alii, 2007).
The thrust fronts propagated at rates ~9.0 mm/a (BASILI & BARBA, 2007, and references
therein).
which unveiled its deep structural and stratigraphic setting (e.g. BIGI et alii, 1990), and from
shallow water wells, which describe the architecture of the younger deposits (REGIONE
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EMILIA ROMAGNA & ENI-AGIP, 1998). These large dataset allows several marker surfaces
to be recognized and mapped. These buried surfaces develop over large areas and are
deformed in synclines and anticlines; these latter locate above the ramps of the blind
thrusts. From the deepest (oldest) to the shallowest (youngest), the most continuous
surfaces are: 1 - the bottom of the Pliocene marine deposits, a first order stratigraphic
marker (Fig. 3) overlain by sediments varying in age within the Pliocene succession at the
scale of the entire Po Plain; 2 - the bottom of the Quaternary continental deposits, which
coincides with the bottom of the lower alluvial unit (ca. 650 ka); and 3 - the bottom of the
upper alluvial unit (traditionally dated ca. 350-450 ka). Tighter constraints on the age of
these buried surfaces are available in literature; for instance, MUTTONI et alii (2003) assign
the surface corresponding to the first prominent Pleistocene glacio-eustatic lowstand to the
The overall sedimentary evolution of the Po Plain follows a regressive trend, from an open
environments throughout the Quaternary. The Upper Quaternary sedimentary bodies are
In cross-section, the sedimentary bodies defined by the regional marker surfaces exhibit
growth strata on the limbs of the anticlines, thus testifying the synsedimentary activity of
these folds. Growth strata have been effectively used to quantify deformation rates after
The southern Po Plain is a low relief region. In our study area, the only surface expression
of the growing buried anticlines is the control they exert on the drainage pattern, which
consists of river diversions and channel pattern changes (e.g.: CASTIGLIONI & PELLEGRINI,
2001; BURRATO et alii, 2003). In particular, BURRATO et alii (2003) mapped drainage
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anomalies all over the Po Plain and correlated them to existing buried faults to verify
whether these anomalies may have a tectonic origin. For the study area these
investigators highlighted anomalies in the Po, Idice, Reno and Panaro Rivers (see their
Table 1 and Fig. 5) as induced by the current activity of the Ferrara structure (Fig. 2).
Concerning the subsurface, an analysis of growth strata across the Mirandola anticline, a
few kilometers west of the studied transect, yielded an uplift rate decreasing from ca. 0.5
mm/a to 0.2 mm/a in the past 1.4 Ma (SCROCCA et alii, 2007). Moving to the southwest,
activity of the PTF is testified near Bologna by deformation and faulting of Middle-Upper
Pleistocene deposits, uplifted river terraces correlated with alluvial fan sequences buried in
the plain, and tectonic landforms of the mountain front (AMOROSI et alii, 1996; BOCCALETTI
In agreement with the geological evidence for active compression and shortening,
borehole breakouts show Shmax oriented ca. N-S (MARIUCCI et alii, 1999; MONTONE &
MARIUCCI, 1999; MONTONE et alii, 2004; PONDRELLI et alii, 2006), whereas GPS data
indicate shortening at a rate of less than 1 mm/a roughly in the same direction (SERPELLONI
et alii, 2005; DEVOTI et alii, 2008). Italian earthquake catalogues show that the southern Po
alii, 2006; PONDRELLI et alii, 2006) and that have reached Mw 5.8 in historical times (CPTI
GROUP, 2007; BURRATO et alii, 2008), the Po Plain is bordered by active thrust fronts
belonging to the Northern Apennines and Southern Alps chains, represented in DISS as
discrete individual potential earthquake sources. In the study area, these sources are N-
verging blind thrusts belonging to the PTF and to the outermost buried fronts of the
Northern Apennines (Fig. 2). Available individual sources are only those so far interpreted
as responsible for the largest historical and instrumental events. However, DISS
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hypothesized also the activity and earthquake potential of the remainders of the same
unspecified number of individual sources (see BASILI et alii, 2008, for the meaning of this
definition).
To check whether, where and how tectonic strain is partitioned within the Ferrara-
Romagna arc, and whether tectonic activity variations along the arc are responsible for the
current structural setting, we considered two regional cross sections. Figure 3 shows two
parallel SW-NE sections crossing the Ferrara structure (see Fig. 2 for location). Section A
is the result of an integrated analysis of seismic reflection lines and deep well logs, while
section B, located few kilometers to the east, is redrawn after MASSOLI et alii (2006). Both
sections show clearly the folds and faults that form the architecture of the Ferrara
structure. In the innermost part of both sections (SW) the main thrusts exhibit a complex
section B shows mostly deep-seated detachments (group G1 in Fig. 3). A second group of
ramp anticlines is seen in the middle portion of the Ferrara structure and of the sections
(group G2, Fig. 3). Both sections show a similar structural style and a main deep-seated
thrust with shallower splays, all associated with minor backthrusts. No faults involve the
bottom of the Quaternary deposits, which appear to seal the brittle structures that were
active up to the end of the Pliocene. All the observed structural features join each other to
form a main and wider structural arc, as highlighted also by the third group of ramp
anticlines (group G3, Fig. 3). This group includes the outermost thrusts, which again show
the same structural style on both sections, with a deeper thrust and associated secondary
structures. In this case, however, the bottom of the Quaternary sediments is cut by brittle
9
portions of the arc through time. A comparison of the structural elevation of the buried
anticlines shows considerable differences among the different groups of faults and folds:
the innermost group (G1) is comparable in sections A and B; in the middle part of the
structure (G2), the shallowest and more elevated anticlines are seen in section A; the
shallowest thrust anticlines of G3, i.e. the outermost thrust sheets, are seen in section B
(Fig. 3). These differences in the elevation of anticlines correspond to differences in the
displacements within the same regional structure suggests that the current setting of the
arc originated from a complex series of tectonic events which resulted in partitioning of
4. Analogue models
As stated earlier, this work is mainly devoted to detect and understand the kinematic
evolution of the Ferrara arc, in particular during the Plio-Quaternary. Therefore, we carried
out a set of analogue models aimed at analyzing the deformation through a section
suitable for a comparison with our Bologna-Ferrara transect (Fig. 4). The models were
prepared with quartz sand and glass microbeads layers in a 30 cm-wide and 80 cm-long
We first reproduced the initial natural stratigraphic succession. In the southern Po Plain,
the sedimentary succession starts with Triassic shallow-water and partly evaporitic
carbonate rocks, and goes on with Jurassic and Cretaceous carbonate rocks overlain by
Middle Eocene marly limestone. The latter formation is topped by Tertiary and Quaternary
sediments that can be roughly subdivided into two principal cycles. The first cycle, mainly
turbidite deposits (Langhian-Tortonian). The second cycle starts with Messinian sediments
lying above a major regressive erosional surface detectable all over the Po Plain, and is
10
formed by siliciclastic sediments and evaporite deposits, mainly at the edges of the basin.
Sedimentation of pelite and sand deposits prevailed during the Pliocene and Pleistocene
We reproduced this succession using mainly quartz sand. The basal detachment below
this simplified succession was created by introducing a layer of glass microbeads; the
elevation of this layer from the bottom of the sandbox was changed in each experiment to
allow the lowermost thrust to detach at different depths within the corresponding Paleozoic
strength, was modeled by another layer of microbeads located 2.5 cm above the basal
detachment. Finally, to account for the dip of the foreland monocline during deformation
(Mariotti & Doglioni, 2000), the sandbox baseplate was made to dip 5° towards the mobile
backstop.
The restoration of the geological cross sections of Figure 3 indicates that a number of
tectonic, sedimentary and erosional events followed one another through time, as
suggested by the age of the resulting tectonic structures. A set of sandbox experiments
can hardly model such a complex geological setting. Therefore, we tried to reproduce only
a few major structures in order to highlight the evolution of the most recent tectonic events
that affect Plio-Pleistocene sediments. After the emplacement of the tectonic wedge
(innermost part of the experiment) and the formation of the first thrusts affecting the
depositional event. This event represents the sedimentation of the Upper Messinian,
Pliocene and Pleistocene foredeep deposits, in accordance with evidence from the
geological cross sections. It was reproduced by overlying a 1.5 cm-thick layer of quartz
shortening the models by moving the sliding backstop up to the end of the experiment (i.e.
11
until the sand started to fall outside the unconfined wall of the sandbox). This occurred
The sandbox was provided with a lateral glass wall. This allowed the progress of
deformation through time to be fully appreciated over the entire depth of the models. It also
allowed pictures of sections of the models to be taken while moving the sliding backstop.
The comparison between the regional cross sections and the analogue models shows
interesting similarities in terms of structural style. For instance, the number of the main
structures shown in the model of Figure 4 is the same observed in the geological section.
The innermost structure corresponds to the PTF, whereas the intermediate and outermost
ones correspond to the fronts buried under the Po Plain sediments. The intermediate
structure shows deep-seated thrust faults with associated backthrusts, whereas the
shallower level. In the initial deformation stages, the models kinematics shows that thrusts
incept and develop in-sequence. After sedimentation in the foredeep and due to the
resulting extra-load, however, a strong reactivation of the innermost structure takes place
and the later thrusts affecting the overlying sediments show an increase in wavelength.
Without syn-tectonic sedimentation, the activity of the innermost thrust of the model would
have been limited in time and followed by the inception of a new thrust ahead of it, in the
undeformed parts of the sandbox. This circumstance was verified by carrying out a
thrust formed in the outer parts of the model and the previously active thrust stopped. The
sediments added at this stage of deformation effectively extended the duration of activity
We conclude that structural style and evolution of the models are strongly influenced by
syntectonic sedimentation. The evolutionary pattern of our models also reveals that thrust
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activity can skip backward from the outermost fronts, buried beneath the Po Plain, to the
inner ones (that can be compared to the PTF, currently the most active structure in the
study area), and that it can be partitioned among them depending on the occurrence,
growth strata highlight the ongoing tectonic activity of the Northern Apennines thrust fronts.
Signifcant seismicity can be correlated both with the outer buried fronts and with the inner
The comparison between sections A and B (Fig. 3) shows that both the displacement and
structural elevation of the different groups of thrusts are not constant along strike, i.e. there
is a strain partitioning along the fronts and inside the whole Ferrara structure. The
seismic release. In other words, the largest historical earthquakes apper to have been
generated by those individual thrusts or group of structures that are characterized by the
In Figure 5 we projected the geometry of the seismogenic sources associated with the
largest earthquakes of the study area according to the DISS database (DISS WORKING
GROUP, 2007) and suggested a possible interpretation of the main faults in the light of the
results obtained in the present study. Some of the proposed individual seismogenic
sources segment the PTF to the SSW of our sections (sources 1, 4 and 5 in Fig. 2).
Moving outwards, the source of the 11 April 1688, Bagnacavallo earthquake (Mw 5.9) can
be ascribed to group G1, that shows a comparable structural elevation in both sections. No
earthquakes correspond to any of the thrusts of this group in the zone represented in
section A, probably due to their shallower décollement (whereas in section B thrusts are
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deep-seated). The 3 March 1624, Mw 5.4, 22 October 1796, Mw 5.6, 13 January 1909, Mw
5.5, and 30 December 1967, Mw 5.4 earthquakes can be tentatively associated with group
G2 (A, B, C and D, respectively, in Fig. 2). The long-term displacement of this group of
potential at all in coincidence with section B. If this were the case, the sources of the 1624
and 1967 earthquakes should be located along this group of structures somewhere west of
section B. Group G2 defines a minor arc within the larger Ferrara structure and the
epicenters of the earthquakes discussed above concentrate in its central part, where the
thrusts presumably attained the largest displacement (Fig. 2). Finally, we ascribe the
source of the 17 November 1570, Mw 5.5 Ferrara earthquake to the outermost group of
structures (G3), as shown in section A. Section B indicates that, further east, group G3
exhibits a larger long-term displacement, but the lack of historical and instrumental
earthquakes precludes any inference on the seismogenic potential of this part of the
thrusts.
Acknowledgments. This research has benefited from funding provided by the Italian
Presidenza del Consiglio dei Ministri – Dipartimento della Protezione Civile (DPC) and by
PRIN 2005 grant (University of Pavia). Scientifics papers funded by DPC do not represent
its official opinion and policies. The two referees, Adriano Zanferrari and Sergio Rogledi,
are kindly acknowledge for their suggestions and advices that greatly improved the first
versions of the manuscript. The cross sections, geological and coming from the analogue
models, have been treated with 2DMove© of Midland Valley Exploration Ltd. (Glasgow,
UK).
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Figure captions
Figure 1: Simplified tectonic map of the Po Plain and surrounding regions, showing the
Northern Apennines and Southern Alps main thrusts and faults as red lines. Yellow and
from DISS database (DISS WORKING GROUP, 2007; BASILI et alii, 2008).
Structures: Monferrato Arc, MA; Emilian Arc, EA; Ferrara-Romagna Arc, FRA;
Pedeapenninic Thrust Front, PTF; Western Southern Alps buried thrust, SABT; Schio-
Vicenza line, SV; Thiene-Conegliano thrust front, TC; Cansiglio-Maniago thrust front,
CAM. GPS vectors in the inset are from SERPELLONI et alii (2005).
Figure 2: Simplified map of the study area, showing the buried Northern Apennines thrust
fronts (gray lines), historical and instrumental seismicity from CPTI and CSI catalogues
(black squares and diamonds), drainage anomalies (white circles) from BURRATO et alii
(2003), and Shmin directions (white bars) from MONTONE et alii (2004). Seismogenic
with sources: 1, 3 Jan 1505 Bologna (Mw 5.5); 2, 17 Nov 1570 Ferrara (Mw 5.5); 3, 11 Apr
1688 Romagna (Mw 5.9); 4, 4 Apr 1781 Romagna (Mw 5.8); 5, 20 Apr 1929 Bolognese (Mw
5.6); 6, 14 Sep 2003 Monghidoro (Mw 5.3). Earthquakes discussed in the text: A, 22 Oct
1796 Emilia Orientale (Mw 5.6); B, 13 Jan 1909 Bassa Padana (Mw 5.5); C, 3 Mar 1624
Argenta (Mw 5.4); D, 30 Dec 1967 Bassa Padana (Mw 5.4). Cities: BO, Bologna; FO, Forlì;
RA, Ravenna. Gray lines indicate the trace of the sections of Figure 3.
Figure 3: Schematic structural sections across the study area. Section A (Bologna-
Ferrara, see trace in Fig. 2) has been interpreted and depth-converted from seismic data;
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section B was redrawn after MASSOLI et alii (2006). Labels: Pls=Pleistocene; uPl=Upper
3.
Figure 4: comparison between section A (from Fig. 3) and one of the internal sections of
the analogue models carried out in this work, showing similarities between the main faults
of the intermediate and outermost structures (thick black lines). Model sections can be
found in the lower part of the picture (not to scale), which shows the undeformed stage
and the stage following the deposition of syn-tectonic sediments. The synthetic
Figure 5: seismogenic sources associated with the largest earthquakes of the study area
(DISS WORKING GROUP, 2007) interpreted in the light of the results obtained in the present
study.
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Fig. 1
Fig. 2
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Fig. 3
Fig. 4
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Fig. 5
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