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AMathematical Modelfor Estimatingthe Blood Pressureof Human Beings Using Some Anthropometric Parameter
AMathematical Modelfor Estimatingthe Blood Pressureof Human Beings Using Some Anthropometric Parameter
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Ogwumu Onah David, Ajimoti Adam, Anyanwu Emeka Odinaka, Eguda Felix Yakubu, Okorie Charity Ebelechukwu, Afolabi Oluseun
Ahme, Otti Emeka Emmanuel. A Mathematical Model for Estimating the Blood Pressure of Human Beings Using Some Anthropometric
Parameters. American Journal of Computation, Communication and Control. Vol. 5, No. 2, 2018, pp. 52-59.
Received: October 16, 2017; Accepted: March 5, 2018; Published: May 30, 2018
Abstract: In this study a model for estimating the blood pressure of humans was developed in relation to a person’s age,
weight, pulse rate and body temperature parameters. The model was optimized to determine the nature of the extreme value of
the Blood Pressure model and whether humans could have a maximum or minimum value for blood pressure. However, the
optimization result showed that there is no specific human blood pressure value that could be called a maximum or minimum.
Furthermore, the model’s resulting data was correlated with the measured/gathered data and the outcome of the correlation
analysis showed a very high correlation of about 80% between the two results which therefore recommends as a standard
measure for human’s Blood pressure.
Keywords: Human Bp, Optimization, Anthropometric Measurement, Mathematical Model, Age, Weight,
Pulse Rate Parameter, Body Temperature Parameter
make it grow weaker. The effect can be felt throughout the parameters, and evaluate the resulting model equations’
body constants.
Meanwhile, we need to employ the knowledge of
mathematical modelling for this task in our hands because; 2.1. Formulation of the Model
mathematical modelling is the aspects of mathematics that In similar, this section will also address the following
connects the learning of its principles, concepts and subtopics as they unfold.
procedures to the real world phenomena.
According to [1], mathematical models are useful 2.1.1. Basic Assumptions
experimental tools for building and testing theories,
accessing quantitative conjectures, answering specific (i). Blood Pressure Versus Age
questions, determining sensitivities to changes in parameter Theoretically, a human of 45 years of age is assumed to
values and estimating key parameters from data. But, [2] have a higher BP than a human of 18 years of age, but
advised that the closer mathematical model assumptions are experimentally BP does not always increase as age increases.
to reality of dynamics, the more difficult the mathematical For example, an 18yrs old individual that weighs above
analysis, hence the need to simplify assumptions without 100kg or obese has more HBp than an individual of 45yrs of
losing track of the situation or dynamics at hand. age that is on dietary or weighs less than 70kg. So, for this
research, we were able to conclude that age affects Bp. So
1.1. Relevance of the Study therefore, older individual are prone to high Bp than younger
individuals. And thus, as human age increases, its Bp tends to
The study of Bp of human beings is important to enable increase (in the absence of any control measures).
one know when he is becoming/about to be hypertensive or Hence mathematically,
hypotensive, so as to be able take all necessary dietary and
regular exercise precautions. Bp ∝ A
Secondly, the study is also useful for one to identify
(1)
whether he is or will soon be vulnerable to some
Bp = k1 A
cardiovascular diseases or not.
Also, since mathematical modelling is useful for proper
(ii). Blood Pressure Versus Body
medication dosage [4] then; this mathematical model for BP
Temperature
of people developed in this research work could be
Fluctuation in body temperature is also one ofthe factors that
instrumental for deciding the proper medication dosage and
cause high blood pressure or low blood pressure as the case may
nutritional evaluation for a patient based on estimated BP.
be. So, how exactly does body temperature affect bloodpressure?
This model is especially useful in many of the remote interior
Let us know how. When a person is exposed to heat or
settings in the world, in which a reliable sphygmomanometer,
hightemperature, he sweats profusely, leading todehydration.
a device used for measuring arterial pressure or BP is not
Dehydration reduces the volume ofblood, which also results in
easily available, because of financial or transport issues etc.
falling of the bloodpressure. Secondly, people suffering from
Also, in a war or crisis situation in where which the
anyillness where fever is one of the symptoms, experience rise
wounded soldiers or citizen’s Bp need to be checked but
in blood pressure, i.e., feverincreases the blood pressure. Why
there is no reliable sphygmomanometer, the doctors’ or
does this happen? During fever, the body temperatureincreases
nurses can use this mathematical model with its parameter at
considerably, which in turn increasesthe heart rate. As the heart
hand tocheck the war victims Bp.
rate increases, theblood pressure also rises. Therefore,
1.2. Relevance of the Study over Others peoplesuffering from fever experience rise in bloodpressure. It
suffices to remark that the Bp of a person is directly proportional
The study is peculiar to a certain geographical area in to its body temperature since any increase in one leads to a
Nigeria and can be adopted for use in other areas with similar corresponding increase in the other. Hence mathematically,
characteristics of human beings.
As an addendum, without a sphygmomanometer (which Bp ∝ T
sometimes may be expensive) either in hospital or at home of
(2)
rural areas, if an individual could identify his weight, Bp = k2T
temperature and pulse rate, he could as well estimate his BP
using the model developed in this work. (iii). Blood Pressure Versus Weight
A human being that is obese or weigh above 90kg tends to
2. Methodology have HBp than a man of the same age with the other that
weigh less will have a LBp. Thus this can be postulated that,
Under this section, we shall consider the following Bp of a person is directly proportional to his weight since a
subheadings like: Formulation of the model itself, Basic decrease in one leads to a corresponding decrease in the other
assumptions needed to give us a model that conforms to or vice versa.
reality, establish a relationship between our model Hence mathematically,
54 Ogwumu Onah David et al.: A Mathematical Model for Estimating the Blood Pressure of Human Beings Using
Some Anthropometric Parameters
( ) ( ) (
2Bp = k1' + z1' A + k2' + z2' T + k3' + z3' W + k4' + z4' P + C
) ( )
(11)
∴ Bp = α A + β T + γ W + λ P + δ
∑ ( Bp − α A − β T − γ W + λ P − δ )
2
Z min = min i i i i i i=1, 2, 3… n (12)
∂Z
∂α
= −2 ∑ ( Bp − α A − β T − γ W − λ P − δ )A = 0
i i i i i i (13)
∂Z
∂β
= −2 ∑( Bp − α A − βT − γ W − λ P − δ )T = 0
i i i i i i (14)
∂Z
∂γ
= −2 ∑( Bp − α A − βT − γ W − λ P − δ )W = 0
i i i i i i (15)
∂Z
∂λ
= −2 ∑ ( Bp − α A − β T − γ W − λ P − δ )P = 0
i i i i i i (16)
∂Z
∂δ
= −2 ∑ ( Bp − α A − β T − γ W − λ P − δ )
i i i i i i
=0 (17)
−2 ∑ ( Bp − α A − β T − γ W − λ P − δ )A = 0
i i i i i i
∴α ∑A i
2
+β ∑T A + γ ∑W A + λ ∑ P A + δ ∑ A = ∑ Bp A
i i i i i i i i i
(18)
−2 ∑ ( Bp − α A − β T − γ W − λ P − δ )T = 0
i i i i i i
∴α ∑ AT + β ∑T
i i i
2
+γ ∑W T + λ ∑ PT + δ ∑T = ∑ Bp T
i i i i i i i (19)
−2 ∑ ( Bp − α A − β T − γ W − λ P − δ )W = 0
i i i i i i
∑ AW + β ∑TW + γ ∑W ∑ PW + δ ∑W = ∑ Bp W
2
∴α i i i i +λ i i i i (20)
i i
−2 ∑ ( Bp − α A − β T − γ W − λ P − δ )P = 0
i i i i i i
56 Ogwumu Onah David et al.: A Mathematical Model for Estimating the Blood Pressure of Human Beings Using
Some Anthropometric Parameters
∴α ∑ A P + β ∑ T P + γ ∑W P + λ ∑ P
i i i i i i i
2
+δ ∑ P = ∑ Bp P
i i i
(21)
−2 ∑ ( Bp − α A − β T − γ W − λ P − δ ) = 0
i i i i i
∴α ∑ A + β ∑T + γ ∑W
i i i
+λ ∑ P + 10δ = ∑ Bp
i i (22)
Using the data collected for equations (19), (19), (20), (21) and (22) as evaluated in Table 2 and 3, we have that:
Hence, solving equation (23), (24), (25), (26) and (27) above simultaneously gives
α = 3.94487
β = −9.93656
γ = 0.89813
λ = 0.02314
δ = 337.72129
Also, putting the values in equation (11) yields,
Bp = 3.94487 A − 9.93656T + 0.89813W + 0.02314P + 337.72129 , Bp ≥ 0 (28)
Thus, equation (28) is the developed model for estimating the blood pressure (i.e. High Bp only) of human beings (Nigerians
to be specific).
This approach is a technique for programming/optimizing an objective function or a model in order to know whether a
model conforms to reality or not. Thus, the first part of our optimizing process is the determination of the model’s critical
values as below:
From (9) and (23),
Bp = α A + β T + γ W + λ P + δ
(29)
Bp = 3.94487 A − 9.93656T + 0.89813W + 0.02314P + 337.72129
For ease of analysis, we recall from the collected data in Meanwhile, to optimise and deduce the nature of the
Table 1 and recommendations from literatures that the Body extreme value of our model, we recall generally that, given a
Temperature of humans assumes maximum (of function f(x, y) that obeys the continuity of the partial
approximately 36°C) at turning point and it is 100% for all. derivatives and we
100 ∂2 f
But 100% = = 1 , hence for our model let T=1 and P=1 ∂2 f ∂2 f
100 Let: A = ; B = ; and C = ; then,
∂x 2 ∂x ∂y ∂y 2
(for same reason) then our reduced Bp model gives;
If B2 – AC< 0, then f(x, y) has extreme value at (xo, yo)
Bp = α A + γ W + δ + 0 + 0 (30) and minimum if A > 0 and it is maximum if A < 0
If B2 – AC > 0, or AC < B2 then f(x, y) has no extreme
58 Ogwumu Onah David et al.: A Mathematical Model for Estimating the Blood Pressure of Human Beings Using
Some Anthropometric Parameters
value. That is, it has a saddle point at (xo, yo). uncontrollably to any alarming height or drop drastically to a
If B2 – AC = 0, then no information is derivable about its dreadful value. It also accounts for why there are no such
extreme values. And it means no maximum or minimum awards as world highest/lowest Bp holder unlike the case of
value for the extreme vale. the tallest man in the world, shortest man in the world, world
Similarly, importing the same idea in our reduced model heaviest man etc.
equation variables,
3.2. Correlation Relationship Between the
∂Bp ∂Bp Model Data and the Actual
=α , =γ Questionnaire/Measured Data
∂A ∂W
After the model became ready, the researchers conducted a
But from the above also,
pilot test using some people living in Wukari Local
Government community (the research area) to see whether or
∂ 2 Bp
=0 not the model conforms to reality or not. The test confirms
∂A 2
that the model is suitable for the people since the correlation
∂2 Bp
relationship between the model data generated and the actual
=0 measurement done for the people is a strong relationship
∂W 2
(31) (approximately 0.8 or 80% accurate).
∂2 Bp
∂ ∂B p Meanwhile, the fact that the correlation result is not 100%
And =
∂A∂W ∂A ∂W
confirms the view of [3] that, model parameters relationships
are inexact. The reason being that, the solution is dependent
∂2 Bp
on the parameters decided to be considered by the modeller.
∴ =0
∂A∂W In the same vein, the model is developed and validated in
Taraba State, if considered logical could be used to make a
Since from our general argument above, we have that, universal generalization about the Bp of every other group of
persons in the world.
B 2 − AC = 0 (32) However, the correlation result is given below.
Let X= actual questionnaire and Y= model data
(Then this means that a human Bp has no information of
∑ X = 1310 = 131
maximum or minimum derivable about its extreme values or it
thus has no local extremum or has no specific optimal value) X =
This result in equation (32) showing no n 10
(33)
maximum/minimum value for human’s Blood pressure is
what accounts for why human Bp (if not properly managed) Y=
∑ Y 1310.003774
=
= 131.003774
under the supervision of medical professionals could rise
n 10
X Y − − ( − ) ( − ) ( − )( − )
111 125.576277 -20 -5.4241004 400 29.42086515 108.482008
114 111.278539 -17 -19.7218384 289 388.9509099 335.2712528
117 132.483499 -14 1.4831216 196 2.19964968 -20.7637024
122 116.05544 -9 -14.9449374 81 223.3511539 134.5044366
129 121.339879 -2 -9.6604984 4 93.32522934 19.3209968
130 130.355883 -1 -0.6444944 1 0.415373032 0.6444944
132 135.840095 1 4.8397176 1 23.42286645 4.8397176
139 143.81284 8 12.8124626 64 164.1591979 102.4997008
156 137.982773 25 6.9823956 625 48.75384831 174.55989
160 155.278549 29 24.2781716 841 589.4296162 704.0669764
∑ = 2502 ∑ = 1563.42871 ∑ = 1563.425771
Correlation formula is,
∑( X )( )
10
i − X Yi − Y
i =1 1563.425771 1563.425771 1563.425771
r = = = =
x, y
2502 × 1542871 3911698.632 1977.801464
∑( X ) ∑ (Y − Y )
10 10
−X
2 2
(34)
i i
i =1 i =1
= 0.790486709
r x, y
American Journal of Computation, Communication and Control 2018; 5(2): 52-59 59