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https://www.emerald.com/insight/1030-9616.htm
Corporate
Corporate governance and stock governance
liquidity: evidence from a and stock
liquidity
speculative market
Pallab Kumar Biswas
Department of Accountancy and Finance, University of Otago,
Dunedin, New Zealand Received 9 January 2019
Revised 21 June 2019
23 August 2019
1 September 2019
Accepted 3 September 2019
Abstract
Purpose – Grounded in lemon market theory, this paper aims to examine the influence of corporate
governance (CG) on stock market liquidity in Bangladesh, where stock market manipulation because of
speculative trading is a common concern.
Design/methodology/approach – This study is based on a sample of 2,420 firm-year observations
covering all non-financial firms in Bangladesh from 1996 to 2011.
Findings – This study’s results show a significant relationship between governance and liquidity within
firms over time. In particular, within firms, when governance quality increases, liquidity significantly
improves. For instance, a rise in the governance quality by one standard deviation decreases the illiquidity
ratio by 55.97%. The results are unlikely to be confounded by endogeneity.
Practical implications – The results have important policy implications for security regulators,
investors, traders and managers. The results support the current regulatory trend of strengthening CG
practices in the listed firms in Bangladesh.
Originality/value – This study contributes to the understanding of the role of effective firm-level CG on
stock liquidity in the context of an emerging country. Consistent with prior research mostly conducted in the
advanced economies, it provides further empirical support that higher CG quality reduces the information
asymmetry problem and enhances stock liquidity even in a speculative market.
Keywords Corporate governance, Bangladesh, Stock liquidity, Stock market speculation
Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction
Improvement in corporate governance quality (CGQ) often leads to better protection of
minority shareholders’ interests from possible expropriation by insiders and to increased
corporate transparency and better monitoring and control (Mallin, 2002). In the stock
market, increased corporate transparency reduces the adverse selection problem arising
from information asymmetry between informed and uninformed traders. In turn, the cost of
transacting in the company’s stock is reduced and stock liquidity improves. Consistent with
this notion, a growing literature documents a positive relationship between CGQ and stock
liquidity (Ali et al., 2016; Chen et al., 2007; Chung et al., 2010; Prommin et al., 2014). As
countries differ in terms of institutional characteristics (Bhuiyan and Biswas, 2007), whether
the results from the prior literature can be generalized to Bangladesh, a country with
different institutional characteristics, remains an open question and this study fills the void.
H1. There is no association between the quality of a firm’s governance and its stock
market liquidity in Bangladesh.
trading volume or the price impact of the order flow (Chai et al., 2010). Intuitively, the
illiquidity ratio can be interpreted as the daily stock price response associated with the value
of shares traded, which is consistent with the Kyle’s (1985) concept of liquidity (commonly
known as price impact or Kyle’s l ). The illiquidity ratio is calculated as follows:
1 XDiy
ILLIQiy ¼ jRid j=VOLDidy (1)
Diy d¼1
where ILLIQiy is Amihud’s illiquidity ratio for stock i in year y, |Rid | is the absolute return
on stock i (in percentage) on day d, VOLDidy is the Taka (Bangladesh currency) trading
volume for firm i on day d of year y and Diy is the number of days in which the shares are
traded during the year ending on the balance sheet date.
The LR, also known as the Amivest measure of stock liquidity, captures the extent to
which trading volume is associated with one unit change in share price. In other words, this
measure is based on the idea that markets characterized by resiliency, breadth and depth are
more liquid and are better able to absorb a large trading volume without a substantial price
change (Kluger and Stephan, 1997). Hence, a higher LR implies higher depth or market
liquidity. Following Amihud et al. (1997), LR is measured as follows:
XDiy
VOLidy
LRiy ¼ Xd¼1
Diy
(2)
jR j
d¼1 idy
where VOLDidy is the daily trading volume for firm i on day d of year y, |Ridy is the absolute
return on stock i (in percentage) on day d of year y and Diy is the number of days in which the
shares are traded for firm i in year y.
Stock TR captures trading frequency, that is, the number of times a share changes Corporate
ownership. Bartov and Bodnar (1996) report a significant association between trading governance
volume and information asymmetry. They argue that higher information asymmetry may
reduce trading volume, as uninformed traders may decrease their trades in these shares.
and stock
Consistent with Ahmed and Ali (2017), stock TR is measured as follows: liquidity
TRit ¼ VOLiy =NOSHiy (3)
where VOLiy is the total number of shares traded for firm i in year y and NOSHiy is the
number of shares outstanding for firm i in year y.
4.3 Measuring corporate governance quality
CGQ is measured using a firm-level CG score. It is an unweighted aggregate of scores on 45
CG elements within 3 categories that are likely to affect stock liquidity through their effects
on the firm’s financial and operational transparency:
financial transparency and information disclosure (16 elements);
board and management structure and process (17 elements); and
auditing (12 elements) (Appendix).
5. Results
Data analysis in this study proceeds in two sub-sections: descriptive statistics are presented
first and multivariate analysis is contained in the next sub-section.
ILLIQ Liquidity Natural logarithm of the daily ratio of absolute stock return to
trading volume in Bangladesh taka averaged over a number of
trading days in the financial year ending on the balance sheet date
LR Liquidity Natural logarithm of the sum of daily trading volume to the sum of
absolute stock return in a financial year ending on the balance
sheet date
TR Liquidity Natural logarithm of the sum of daily shares traded to the number
of shares outstanding in the financial year ending on the balance
sheet date
CGQ Governance quality Governance quality measure based on a checklist of governance
items
LNMCAP Firm size Natural log of total market capitalization on the balance sheet date
LEV Leverage Total liabilities divided by total assets
VOLAT Risk Weekly stock return volatility over the 52-week period ending on
the balance sheet date
BM Growth opportunities Book value of equity divided by market value of equity
PPETA Capital intensity Net property, plant and equipment to total assets
LNPRICE Price Natural log of stock price
INSOWN Insider ownership Proportion of ownership by insiders (directors and promoters)
INSTOWN Institutional ownership Proportion of ownership by institutions shareholder
Table II. LNAGE Age Natural log of one plus number of years since listing on the DSE
Definitions of INDUSTRY Industry effect Dummy variable indicating the firm’s industry
variables YEAR Year effect Dummy variable indicating the financial year
Variable N Mean SD Minimum Maximum
Corporate
governance
ILLIQ 2420 1.119 3.111 11.106 5.902 and stock
LR 2420 11.633 2.829 3.261 19.381
TR 2420 1.461 2.010 10.501 4.321 liquidity
CGQ 2420 19.514 10.15 4.000 43.000
LNMCAP 2420 18.924 2.014 14.047 26.528
LEV 2420 0.725 0.644 0.036 4.485
VOLAT 2420 0.07 0.034 0.008 0.186
PPETA 2420 0.467 0.233 0.009 0.948
LNPRICE 2420 4.585 1.579 0.105 9.468
LNAGE 2420 2.322 0.778 0.000 3.584
BM 2420 0.346 3.958 24.732 7.770
INSOWN 2420 0.431 0.190 0.000 0.976
INSTOWN 2420 0.162 0.134 0.000 0.716
Notes: This table presents descriptive statistics for variables used in this study. The variables are defined Table III.
in Table II Descriptive statistics
debt in financing. Return volatility and asset tangibility average 0.07 and 0.47, respectively.
The average log-transformed share price is 4.59. Finally, the insider and institutional
shareholders hold 43 and 16 per cent of the sample firm’s ownership, on average, supporting
the notion that most of the Bangladeshi firms have a concentrated ownership pattern.
Pearson’s product-moment correlations between the continuous variables are presented
in Table IV to validate data consistency as well as to highlight obvious instances of
significant multicollinearity. Table IV shows that the pair-wise correlations among the
liquidity variables are high, as expected. The correlations between CGQ and all liquidity
measures are positive and significant, except for ILLIQ, where the correlation is expected to
be negative by virtue of the definition of illiquidity. These results suggest that higher CGQ
improves liquidity. The correlations between the remaining continuous variables and the
liquidity are generally significant. Variance inflation factors (VIFs) of the independent
variables are computed to further check obvious instances of significant multicollinearity
(results untabulated). None of the VIFs exceeds 5.16 (the rule-of-thumb cut-off number is
considered to be 10 to identify instances of multicollinearity in the multiple regression
models), suggesting that multicollinearity is not a problem.
Table IV.
Correlation matrix
ILLIQ LR TR CGQ LNMCAP LEV VOLAT PPETA LNPRICE LNAGE BM INSOWN
LR 0.83***
TR 0.64*** 0.76***
CGQ 0.51*** 0.37*** 0.26***
LNMCAP 0.81*** 0.59*** 0.23*** 0.47***
LEV 0.31*** 0.22*** 0.19*** 0.10*** 0.31***
VOLAT 0.07*** 0.09*** 0.23*** 0.04* 0.02 0.06***
PPETA 0.16*** 0.05** 0.09*** 0.11*** 0.16*** 0.07*** 0.01
LNPRICE 0.30*** 0.21*** 0.10*** 0.27*** 0.49*** 0.20*** 0.03* 0.22***
LNAGE 0.17*** 0.33*** 0.27*** 0.23*** 0.04* 0.18*** 0.07*** 0.28*** 0.28***
BM 0.15*** 0.09*** 0.10*** 0.05** 0.16*** 0.79*** 0.07*** 0.02 0.13*** 0.11***
INSOWN 0.10*** 0.16*** 0.23*** 0.02 0.03 0.14*** 0.08*** 0.16*** 0.04* 0.09*** 0.10***
INSTOWN 0.06*** 0.05*** 0.04** 0.04** 0.03 0.03 0.06*** 0.01 0.05*** 0.12*** 0.08*** 0.21***
Notes: This table presents pair-wise Pearson correlation coefficients between the variables. *, ** and *** indicate significance at 0.1, 0.05 and 0.01, respectively.
The variables are defined in Table II
First stage Second stage
ILLIQ LR TR GOVQ ILLIQ LR TR
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
Notes: This table presents the results of OLS regressions (Models 1-3) and 2SLS regressions (Models 4-7) of stock liquidity on 1-year lagged CGQ and controls. The definition of
variables is provided in Table II. t-statistics are shown in parentheses and are calculated using robust standard errors that incorporate firm-level clustering. ***, ** and * indicate
significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively. Kleibergen–Paap rk statistics is used for weak identification test. Constant term is omitted for brevity
Table V.
liquidity
CGQ and stock
liquidity
and stock
Corporate
governance
ARJ literature that advocates the importance of governance in improving stock liquidity (Foo
and Zain, 2010; Prommin et al., 2014; Chung et al., 2010; Ali et al., 2016).
We find mixed results for the control variables with respect to their expected signs in
Table V. For example, volatility has a positive (negative) association with the liquidity
(illiquidity) ratios. This is in contrast with the inventory models of liquidity, which predict
that a more volatile stock has a greater bid-ask spread and, hence, lower stock market
liquidity. However, it is consistent with the information-based models of liquidity, which
predict that the relationship can be positive. Barclay and Warner (1993), for instance, show
that truly informed traders among a large group of uninformed liquidity traders tend to
camouflage their information by breaking up their orders into smaller units. Such activities
increase both the number of transactions, a measure of liquidity and the stock price, that is,
stock volatility. Uninformed traders may become overconfident because of illusions of
knowledge and control, and “. . .trade more actively and more speculatively than they
otherwise would, hold under-diversified portfolios, and have lower expected utilities, and
contribute to increased market volatility” (Barber and Odean, 2001). It is also consistent with
Prommin et al. (2016) and Ali et al. (2017).
Similar to Prommin et al. (2016), Ahmed and Ali (2017) and Ali et al. (2017), the tangible
assets ratio also has unexpected sign. A higher tangible assets ratio is expected to reduce
information asymmetry as tangible assets are easier to monitor and harder to
misappropriate. Although the negative coefficient on firm age, a proxy for risk in prior
literature, is not consistent with theoretical prediction and Australian evidences by Ahmed
and Ali (2017) and Ali et al. (2017), it is consistent with Prommin et al. (2016) who also report
a negative association between firm age and stock liquidity in Thailand.
In terms of ownership, higher insider ownership is found to decrease stock liquidity. This
is not unusual in Bangladesh for two reasons. First, as most of the Bangladeshi firms are
family controlled, higher insider ownership in such firms often creates a Type II agency
problem as a result of information asymmetry between controlling shareholders and
minority shareholders. Such information asymmetry leads to higher adverse selection cost,
resulting in lower stock liquidity. Second, insiders in Bangladesh are not allowed to freely
trade their shares without fulfilling some legal requirements of the BSEC and the DSE[6].
Because it is hard to tell whether the negative relationship is an outcome of information
asymmetry or artifactual, regression models are re-estimated with market capitalization
consisting of only the free-float shares. The results (untabulated) show that the coefficient of
insiders’ percentage ownership is negative and statistically significant at the 1 per cent level
when TR is used as the liquidity measure, suggesting a higher information asymmetry
problem in firms with higher insider ownership. In the context of Thailand, Prommin et al.
(2016) also report a statistically significant negative association between ownership
concentration and liquidity measures. Higher institutional ownership is found to be
associated with lower stock liquidity in Model 1, indicating perhaps that the role of
institutional investors in corporate monitoring is comparatively weak in Bangladesh.
6. Sensitivity analysis
We check the robustness of our results in several ways. For example, we estimate separate
regressions for each category of CGQ to understand which specific CGQ categories drive the
results. Untabulated results (available upon request) show that all the governance categories
are significantly associated with three dimensions of stock liquidity. These results suggest
that the relationship between CGQ and stock liquidity is unlikely to be driven by a few
governance categories.
According to the probe committee (2011) report, an unusual jump in market activity at Corporate
the DSE started in October 2009 (monthly average index of 2,800 points) and continued until governance
December 2010 (monthly average index of 8,290 points). Such a steep rise could not be
sustained, and the bubble burst in January 2011. To examine the effect of CGQ during the
and stock
crisis period, a sub-sample analysis was conducted dividing the sample period into the liquidity
normal and unusual period. Untabulated results (available upon request) are qualitatively
similar to those of Table V. The statistically significant coefficient on CGQ at the 5 per cent
level or better in all models indicates that higher CGQ improves stock liquidity irrespective
of the study period chosen. These results confirm that the main results are not sensitive
during the stock market crisis in Bangladesh.
We also use two alternate proxies of stock liquidity as robustness check: number of
trades (natural logarithm of the average number of transactions in a financial year ending
on the balance sheet date) and trading volume (natural logarithm of the average value of
shares traded for a particular stock during the financial year ending on the balance sheet
date). The results (untabulated) indicate that CGQ is significantly and positively related
with these stock liquidity proxies.
Endogeneity is a common concern in governance research and this study is not an
exception. It is possible that CGQ and stock liquidity are endogenously determined; that is,
CGQ and stock liquidity may affect each other simultaneously (Li et al., 2012). In addition to
the lead-lag approach used in Table V, we used instrumental variable approach to deal with
endogeneity. Following Ali et al. (2016) and Prommin et al. (2014), regulation change dummy
(REGC) is included as an instrument which equals to 1 for the years after the introduction of
CG Guidelines 2006 and 0 otherwise. It is assumed that the firm-level CGQ should be higher
in the post-CG reforms period (2006-2011) than that of the pre-CG reforms period (1996-2005)
[7]. This suggests that CG reforms should be highly correlated with the firm-level CGQ.
However, there is no reason to assume that the CG reforms have a direct relationship with
firm-level stock liquidity. Therefore, a dummy variable indicating the CG reform should
function as a valid instrument.
Table V reports the results obtained using the instrumental variable in the framework of a
two-stage least squares (2SLS) regression. Model 4 presents the first-stage regression. The
coefficient of REGC positively and significantly explains firm-level CGQ. The instrument
also passes the relevance test, as the F-test statistic is significant at the 1 per cent level,
indicating that the IV is significant. F-statistic on the excluded instrument in the first-stage
regression of 1013.81 is much larger than the threshold value of 10, which indicates that the
instrument is not weak. As Staiger and Stock (1997) show, the weak instrument problem can
arise even when the first-stage t and F-tests are significant at conventional levels. Therefore,
a robust version of Stock and Yogo’s (2005) test statistics, known as Kleibergen–Paap rk
statistics, is used to see if the instrument is weak. As shown in Model 4, we reject the null
hypothesis that our instrument is weak in our specifications. Models 5-7 of Table V show the
second stage of the 2SLS regressions for each of the three dependent variables. The results
show that, similar to the OLS regressions, CGQ significantly and relatively predicts each of
the liquidity measures. These results confirm that higher CGQ enhances stock liquidity. The
2SLS model is also estimated using the generalized method of moments and the inferences
remain consistent.
7. Conclusions
Prior theoretical and empirical literature suggests that firms with higher-quality CG are
likely to have higher stock market liquidity because of their greater transparency and better
monitoring and control mechanisms. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to
ARJ examine the relationship in Bangladesh. Bangladesh provides an interesting setting for
several reasons, including relatively weak securities laws and their enforcement, less
stringent CG environment, its low litigation risk, its relatively weak market for corporate
control, high ownership concentration and stock market manipulation by syndicate(s) of
politically connected wealthy individuals.
Using a sample of 2,420 firm-year observations of all non-financial companies listed on
the DSE over a 16-year sample period from 1996 to 2011, we examine the relationship
between CG and three measures of firm liquidity. For this study, we construct the CGQ index
based on the CG practices of Bangladeshi firms and disclosure requirements. Our OLS
regressions show a statistically significant positive relationship between CGQ and liquidity.
The association survives even after controlling for an industry effect, a year effect, different
firm characteristics and after addressing endogeneity bias because of reverse causality. The
findings are also robust to alternative proxies of stock liquidity and sub-sample analysis.
The overall findings suggest that CGQ is an important determinant of stock liquidity.
Given that CGQ is instrumental to liquidity in Bangladesh, these findings have important
policy implications. The outcomes of our study are likely to help regulators to design
regulations that enhance stock market liquidity. Further, it may help investors and traders
to devise their share trading strategies by considering CG mechanisms of our study closely.
These findings also have managerial implications, as listed companies may improve their
stock liquidity by adopting best practices of CG that alleviate informational asymmetries
among share traders.
Notes
1. “Syndicate” is often used in the Bangladesh national press to identify these gamblers.
2. However, bank deposits tended to earn negative real interest because of a very high inflation rate
(Islam, 2017).
3. A review of stock market crash in 1996 is provided by Solaiman (2006).
4. We calculated liquidity measures from 1997 to 2012 to estimate the lead-lag regression equation.
5. Because the logarithm of the Amihud (2002) illiquidity measure is used, log (illiquidity) < 0 when
the value of the Amihud measure is less than one.
6. For example, no insider can buy or sell shares from 2 months before the end of its financial year
till the board of directors approves the financial accounts, which is equivalent to at least 6
months in a 12-month period.
7. The validity of the assumption that the CGQ is higher in the post-CG reforms period is checked
using the t-test which confirms that CGQ is indeed higher after the reforms.
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Governance element
Financial transparency and information disclosure (Cronbach’s alpha = 0.81)
Disclosure of the board of directors’ responsibilities regarding financial communication
Disclosure of board’s statement on the fairness of financial statements
Disclosure of board’s statement on maintenance of proper books of accounts
Disclosure of board’s statement on the consistent adaptation of appropriate accounting
policies and estimates
Disclosure of board’s statement on compliance with the Bangladesh Accounting
Standards and disclosure of any departure therefrom
Disclosure of board’s statement on risk and uncertainty in using estimates and
judgments
ARJ Disclosure of board’s statement on the company’s ability to continue as a going concern
Disclosure of board’s statement on significant deviation from last year’s operating
results
Disclosure of financial and operating results for the past three years
The company has not received a qualified audit opinion in the current fiscal year
The auditor signs the audit report within 120 days of the balance sheet date
The annual general meeting takes place within nine months of the balance sheet date
Disclosure on related party transactions
Disclosure that no related party transaction took place during the year
The company has disclosed information on dividend payment
The securities regulator has not issued a warning or imposed a penalty for contravention
of any other securities law against any company or its directors in the current fiscal year
Corresponding author
Pallab Kumar Biswas can be contacted at: pallab.biswas@otago.ac.nz
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