Professional Documents
Culture Documents
TOOLS OF ANALYSIS:
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1) Dollar and Percentage Changes:
Sales and earnings should increase more than the rate of inflation. This
would mean that sales volume and earnings have improved.
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2) Trend Percentages
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3) Component Percentages (Common size statements)
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Component Percentages Balance Sheet
Among other things the above analysis shows that Seacliff Company chose to
finance its growth through equity rather than through additional
debt.
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4) RATIOS
a)ANALYSIS BY COMMON SHAREHOLDERS
Stockholders look at the profitability and solvency of the company. They want to
assess the likelihood of dividends and price appreciation of the stock.
This group of ratios relate firm’s stock price to its earnings and book value/share.
Ratios mentioned below at serial numbers (ii) and (iii) are market value ratios.
2005 2004
Market price per share $ 132 $ 160
Book value per share 538,000/5,000 = $107.60 416,000/4000 = $104
Market/Book Ratio 132/107.60= 1.23 160/104= 1.54
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𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒
Ii) Price Earning Ratio =
𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑠 𝑃𝑒𝑟 𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒
2005 2004
This ratio shows the investors’ expectations about the company’s future
performance. In Pakistan average P/E ratio is about 8.
2005 2004
This ratio is important for those investors who are more interested in dividend
revenue than in price appreciation of stocks ( like retired persons).
2005 2004
4.80 5.00
X 100 = 3.6 % X 100 = 3.1 %
132 160
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v) Operating Expense Ratio :
Management generally has greater control over operating expenses than over
revenue.
PROFITABILITY RATIOS
These ratios show the combined effect of liquidity, asset management and debt
management on operating results.
Shows how efficiently and effectively the assets are being utilized. Whether the
management has earned a reasonable return using the assets under its control.
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Well managed companies should earn return on assets higher than the cost of
borrowing.
This ratio measures the rate of return on stockholders’ investment in the company.
2005 2004
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When profitability is low, high levels of debt may be
risky for shareholders. However when return on
total assets is higher than the interest rate on
borrowed funds the rate of return to stock-holders
will be higher. In the above example the risk level for
the stock-holders was reduced in 2005.
The yield varies inversely with changes in the market price of the bond.
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ii) Interest Coverage Ratio ( times interest earned)
Bondholders feel that their investments are relatively safe if the issuing company
earns enough income to cover its annual interest obligations by a comfortable
margin.
The above ratio of 5.3 times is considered to be quite high (of great comfort to
the creditors).
From creditor’s point of view lower the debt ratio the better. This means that
stockholders have contributed higher percentage of funds in business which will
act as protection to the creditors against shrinkage of assets or losses.
The above change is good for the creditors as the debt ratio is reducing.
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ANALYSIS BY SHORT-TERM CREDITORS
Bankers and other short-term creditors share the interest of stockholders and
bondholders in the profitability of the and long term stability of the firm.
However, primary interest is in the current position of the business, i.e. its ability
to generate sufficient funds (working capital) to meet current operating needs
and to pay current debts promptly.
It represents cash and near cash assets that provide a cushion of liquidity over the
current needs and obligations maturing in the near future.
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- Quality of the working capital
How liquid are the current assets?
This shows how quickly A/c Receivables are collected or the number of days of
sales blocked in A/C Receivables.
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iv) Operating Cycle =
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v) Current Ratio = Current Assets/ Current Liabilities
(Liquidity Ratio)
vi) Quick Ratio (or Acid Test Ratio) = Quick Assets/ Current Liabilities
(Liquidity Ratio)
Ratio of 1.4: 1 shows a strong favorable liquidity position. Normally, a ratio of 1:1
is considered satisfactory.
These are normally given in the notes to accounts. Short term creditors consider
unused credit lines as cash which the company can borrow to repay current
creditors.
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ASSET MANAGEMENT RATIOS
This ratio shows how effectively the firm uses its plant and equipment to help
generate sales.
2005 2004
The improvement from 1.6 to 1.8 shows that the firm utilized its fixed
assets more effectively in generating sales in 2005 when compared
with the year 2004. When compared with other firms in the industry
the ratio can also indicate whether the firm has made an appropriate
investment in fixed assets or has over invested.
Keep in mind that most firm’s record fixed assets at historical cost.
When comparing an older firm with a newer firm, the older firm may
have acquired fixed assets years ago at lower prices which results in
better fixed assets turnover. So use your judgment accordingly.
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Total Assets Turnover
This ratio shows how effectively the firm is using all its assets in generating sales.
2005 2004
The improvement in ratio from 0.87 to 0.95 shows that asset utilization in 2005
was better in generating sales as compared to 2004.
If this ratio is below the industry average it indicates that the firm is not
generating sufficient sales. To become efficient the firm should either increase
sales or should dispose some assets or a combination of these two steps.
Standards of Comparison
To pass judgment on the performance of a company, ratios etc
should be compared with:
a) Previous year’s ratios etc
b) Average industry ratios etc OR ratios etc of similar
companies in the industry.
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EARNING POWER AND IRREGULAR ITEMS
Earning power means the normal level of income expected in future.
Extraordinary items are events and transaction which are (1) unusual in nature.
(2) infrequent in occurrence. Eg effects of volcanic activity, take-over of some part
of business by Government, effect of some new law like old property
condemnation or relating to pollution
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QUALITY OF EARNINGS
Different accounting methods result in different net profit.
If one company is using LIFO and another company is using FIFO when prices are
rising the one using LIFO has high quality of earnings.
Improper Recognition
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ANALYSIS OF CASH FLOW STATEMENT
We have been stressing the importance of a company being able to generate
sufficient cash flows from operations.
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In 2004, SEACLIFF generated net cash flows of $95,000 from its operating
activities – a relatively “normal” amount, considering that net income for 2004
was $90,000. Cash of $95,000 remained after payment of interest and amounted
to 3 times the dividends paid ($29,000). So in 2004 net cash flows from operating
activities appeared quite sufficient.
In 2005, net cash flows from operating activities declined to $19,000, an amount
far below net income of $ 75,000 and 58% of the amount of dividends paid
($33,000). Shareholders and creditors would view this dramatic decline in cash
flows as a negative and potentially dangerous development.
“Cash Flows from Operating Activities” section shows that main reasons for low
net operating cash flows appear to be the increase in uncollected accounts
receivable and inventories combined with substantial reduction in accrued
liabilities.
Contd…
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Cash Flows from Operations to Current Liabilities RATIO
2005 2004
From the above it will be seen that in 2004 operating cash flows were
slightly more than current liabilities at year end, indicating an ability to
cover current obligations from normal operations (without using the
existing current assets). In 2005, however, operations provided only
17% as much cash as is needed to meet current obligations, implying a
need to rely more heavily on existing current assets.
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TYING THE RATIOS TOGETHER: THE Du PONT
Table 13-2 summarized Micro Drive’s ratios, and now Figure 13-2 shows how the
return on equity is affected by
asset turnover
leverage.
The chart depicted in Figure 13-2 is called the modified Du Pont chart because that
company’s managers developed this approach for evaluating performance.
Working from the bottom up, the left side of the chart develops the profit margin
on sales. The various expense items are listed and then summed to obtain Micro
Drive’s total cost, which is subtracted from sales to obtain the company’s net
income. When we divide net income by sales, we find that 3.8 percent of each
sales dollar is left over for stockholders. If the profit margin is low or trending
down, one can examine the individual expense items to identify and then correct
problems.
The right side of Figure 13-2 lists the various categories of assets, totals them, and
then divides sales by total assets to find the number of times Micro Drive “turns its
assets over” each year. The company’s total assets turnover ratio is 1.5 times.
The profit margin times the total assets turnover is called the Du Pont equation,
and it gives the rate of return on assets (ROA):
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Limitations AFS
4. SEASONAL FACTORS can also distort a ratio analysis. For example, the
inventory turnover ratio for a food processor will be radically different if the
balance sheet figure used for inventory is the one just before versus just after the
close of the canning season. This problem can be minimized by using monthly
averages for inventory (and receivables) when calculating turnover ratios.
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6. DIFFERENT ACCOUNTING PRACTICES can distort comparisons. As
noted earlier, inventory valuation and depreciation methods can affect financial
statements and thus distort comparisons among firms. Also, if one firm leases a
substantial amount of its productive equipment, then its assets may appear low
relative to sales because leased assets often do not appear on the balance sheet. At
the same time, the liability associated with the lease obligation may not be shown
as a debt. Therefore, leasing can artificially improve both the turnover and the debt
ratios.
8. A firm may have some ratios that look “good” and others that look “bad,”
making it difficult to tell whether the company is, on balance, strong or weak.
However, statistical procedures can be used to analyze the net effects of a set of
ratios.
9. Effective use of financial ratios requires that the financial statements upon
which they are based be accurate. Revelations in 2001 and 2002 of accounting
fraud by such industry giants as WorldCom and Enron showed that financial
statements are not always accurate, hence information based on reported data
can be misleading.
Ratio analysis is useful, but analysts should be aware of these problems and make
adjustments as necessary. Ratio analysis conducted in a mechanical, unthinking
manner is dangerous, but used intelligently and with good judgment, it can
provide useful insights into a firm’s operations.
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