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OCEAN REEFER MARKET UPDATE


GLOBAL REEFER COMPETENCY CENTER

November 2021
DHL Global Forwarding – Excellence. Simply delivered.
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Contents
Ocean Freight Reefer Market update – November 2021

1 Topic of the month


Where are all the Reefer’s gone?

2 High level development

3 Market outlook

4 Reefer Capacity

5 Economic outlook & demand development

6 Did you know?


Inside Components and Functionality of a Reefer Container

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Topic of the month – Where are all the Reefers gone?


A lot of people are asking us where all the Reefer
equipment is and a (not so simple) answer is: in Asia!

Then why it is so difficult to ship Reefer from Asia and


why is the Reefer market out of Asia dropping so much
this year?

Actually the answer is straight forward, a lot Supplier


of food can’t afford prices like Retail or Tech clients
and therefore currently Dry cargo is preferred by
shipping lines.

Something to think about for all of us – what does


this do to our lives?

Source: DHL, Drewry

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High level market development


ECONOMIC OUTLOOK GDP GROWTH BY REGION1)
CAGR
2021F 2022F 2023F 2024F 2025F
(2022-25)
AMER 6.0% 4.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%

ASPA 6.1% 4.9% 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3%

EURO 5.1% 4.2% 2.2% 1.8% 1.7% 1.9%

MEA 3.6% 4.4% 4.3% 3.8% 3.5% 3.8%

DGF World 5.7% 4.5% 3.2% 3.0% 3.0% 3.1%

DREWRY Global Reefer Index2) BUNKER PRICES3)

1) Real GDP, Copyright © IHS Markit, Q2 2021 Update 1 Jun ‘21, Venezuela is excluded from aggregates due to hyperinflation. All rights reserved;
2) Drewry, in USD/40ft container, including BAF & THC both ends, routes,
3) Source: DHL

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Major trades – Market outlook October 2021 month-on-month development (1/2)

EUROPE NORTH AMERICA

Import region Capacity Rate Import region Capacity Rate

AMNO = = EURO = +

AMLA & MX = ++ AMLA - ++

ASPA = + ASPA - ++

MENAT - =/+ MENAT - +

SSA = + SSA = +

ASIA PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA


Import region Capacity Rates
Import region Capacity Rates
EURO = ++
EURO - +
AMNO - ++
AMNO - +
ASPA = ++
AAMLA = +
MENAT = +
MENAT - =
SSA = +
OCEANIA - +

Source: DHL
KEY Strong Increase ++ Moderate Increase + No Change = Moderate Decline - Strong Decline --

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Major trades – Market outlook October 2021 month-on-month development (2/2)

TURKEY MEA EAST MED & NORTHWEST AFRICA


Import region Capacity Rate Import region Capacity Rate
AMNO - + AMNO = ++
AMLA & MX -- ++ AMLA & MX = +
ASPA + = ASPA = ++
MENAT + = MENAT - ++
SSA = = SSA = +

Source: DHL
KEY Strong Increase ++ Moderate Increase + No Change = Moderate Decline - Strong Decline --

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Balanced

Market Update, November 2021 - Overview Reefer Equipment Situation Tight


Deficit

> North Europe –Tight


> South Europe – Tight
> HK & CN – Tight at Xiamen, Tianjin, Ningbo and Shenzhen > UK and Nordics – Tight to Deficit
> North Asia (KR & JP) – Overall balanced, > Turkey – 40’ Reefer Balanced, 20’ Reefer Balanced
> South East Asia – Tight at PH
> North America WC (YVR/SEA/TIW/OAK) – Deficit
> India – Tight in India > Southern Africa – Deficit
> North America WC (LAX) - Balanced
> East & West Africa – Tight
> North America EC - Tight
> Morocco – Balanced
> Latin America WC - Deficit
> Egypt– Tight, trending to Deficit
> Latin America EC - Deficit
Source: DHL, Shipping Lines
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Market Update, November 2021 - Europe Exports by Trade

To North America To South America To Asia Pacific


Rates to East-Coast US are stable on high South America is possibly the worst While we have seen a stabilization in
levels. market right know. the last month on rate levels, we rather see
West-Coast congestion is not improving at all. Vessels are shock-a-block full and this leads to slight rate increases again. Especially due to
Developments are hard to foresee. massive increases on both coasts with no very difficult equipment flows, carrier are not to
improvement foreseen in the upcoming interested and we already see a booking stop
For Canada East-Coast, rates are stable with a months, as this is rather supported with the bad towards Asia for Reefer from one big carrier.
tendency to possibly reduce slightly due to equipment situation. Space, meanwhile is not a big issue.
improving water levels in the Saint Laurent.
Oceania remains critical, with full vessels and
limited capacity. Rate level seem to reach their
peak though.

Equipment situation in Europe (North and South) is remaining on “okay” levels.


While we are far away from having sufficient equipment supply and being able to provide something on short notice (especially bigger lots), we also do
not see bigger issues on equipment as long as we keep the proper booking flow etc. in place.

Space situation remains tight!


Space remains overall tight these days, which obviously is very carrier and trade specific. AMLA, USA and Oceania being the worst to be reported in terms
of space. Vessels are running full with also plugs being completely utilized. Therefore we do not get tired of reemphasizing the importance of forecasting.
With no forecast and allocation we still see issues in the process which cause unnecessary problems in the whole supply chain.
Source: DHL, Shipping Lines
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Market Update, November 2021 - Middle East and Africa Exports


From MEA East Med/
From East Africa From Southern Africa From Turkey
Northwest Africa

The main destinations are Europe, The main destinations are Europe, The main destinations are Europe The main destinations are Europe,
Middle East and North America Middle East and North America and Asia. Middle East ,North America and
Market rates remain extremely Russia.
Market rates are currently stable Reefer season from Morocco volatile and changing weekly.
for Reefers with a longer validity started in mid of October, but not Space is extremely tight across all Carriers are not offering CH
period. as expected. Equipment export trade lanes at the moment. haulage for US destinations, high
availability is not an issue but Carrier vessel schedule integrity is demmurage and and storage cost
Bookings need to be placed at space is anticipated to be poor, with multiple port omissions. still a big risk.
least 7 – 10 days before sailing to challenge tor the season. We Carriers are under move count
obtain space. expect serious increases in rate restrictions, and multiple cut & Sealand and Arkas will start the
levels going forward. runs. seasonal reefer Levant-Black Sea
Mombasa port is currently under There is massive overflow of service, which connects Turkey
construction/renovations which is Market rates in Egypt are stable booked / packed cargo waiting for and Israel with Black Sea
affecting the day to day port even though Reefer equipment vessels to load. Vessels are full Russia. 2x 1,300 TEU vessels, will
operations. However, due to availability is a challenge. until end December 2021. cover, Mersin, Ashdod,
sensitive nature of the cargo reefer Bookings need to be placed well in Novorossiysk and back to Mersin
containers are still being given Bookings still need to be placed at advance.
priority. least 10 days before sailing to Please expect further increases in
obtain space. Reefer rates.
Source: DHL, Shipping Lines

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Market Update, November 2021 - North America Exports by Trade


To Europe To Asia Pacific To South America

Market rates remain stable with Market rates continue to increase to Market rates remain stable with available
available plug capacity from North America to cover empty positioning cost of empty RF’s plug capacity to South America
North and South Europe from Asia; rates have increased two-fold over
the past quarter Large Reefer Export volume is creating a deficit
Large Reefer Export volume is creating a deficit of 40’ Reefer equipment in Norfolk, VA,
of 40’ Reefer equipment in Norfolk, VA, Large Reefer Export volume is creating a deficit Oakland, CA, Seattle, WA and Vancouver, BC
Oakland, CA, Seattle, WA and Vancouver, BC of 40’ Reefer equipment in Norfolk, VA,
Oakland, CA, Seattle, WA and Vancouver, BC Port congestion continues in New York, Norfolk,
Port congestion continues in New York, Norfolk, Los Angeles, Oakland and Savannah
Los Angeles, Oakland and Savannah. Port congestion continues in New York, Norfolk,
Los Angeles, Oakland and Savannah Reefer Trucking Capacity in USA continues to
Due to congestion in Savannah carriers have be limited due to large ocean freight volumes
switched port to Charleston/Jacksonville Reefer Trucking Capacity in USA continues to
be limited due to large ocean freight volumes Lack of chassis and GENSET in USA, we need to
Reefer Trucking Capacity in USA continues to ask and make reservation also at origin to
be limited due to large ocean freight volumes Lack of chassis and GENSET in USA, we need to ensure GENSET will be provided at POD
ask and make reservation also at origin to
Lack of chassis and GENSET in USA, we need to ensure GENSET will be provided at POD Shipping Lines promoting NOR especially from
ask and make reservation also at origin to North America East Coast to South America
ensure GENSET will be provided at POD East and West Coast ports
Source: DHL, Shipping Lines

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Market Update, November 2021 - South America Exports by Trade


To Europe To Asia Pacific To North & South America

Market rates remain stable with Market rates are increasing to cover Market rates increasing due to lack of
available plug capacity to Europe the empty positioning costs of Reefers from Reefer equipment in Latin America plus
Asia to Latin America available plugs are fully maximized especially
Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico and Peru face to Florida ports
severe limited inventories of 40’ Reefer Concerns with supply of empty 40’ Reefer
equipment positioning into Latin America; Request lead time of 30 days before sailing to
Request lead time of 30 days before sailing to especially to East Coast South America obtain space and equipment especially from
obtain space and equipment especially from all WCSA ports
WCSA ports Market Reefer volumes remain strong with
strong exports especially to China and Japan Focus to develop much needed NOR from New
Port congestion continues in Colombia, Panama York into Buenos Aires and Santos
and Peru Request lead time of 30 days before sailing to
obtain space and equipment especially from all Continue to review and develop the USA –
Focus to develop much needed Live Reefer WCSA ports Mexico cross border market due to the lack of
cargo from Europe into Buenos Aires and truck capacity both in Mexico and USA
Santos Focus to develop much needed NOR from Asia
into Buenos Aires and Santos

Source: DHL, Shipping Lines

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Market Update, November 2021 - Asia Pacific Exports by Trade


To Europe /Middle East/Africa Intra-Asia/Oceania To North America & LATAM

• Space expected to remain tight to both


The market remains strong and rates are • Several transshipment port including SIN
TPEB and LATAM till end of the year.
expected to maintain at current levels until are reported with 4-6 week rollover and
end of November.. carriers are clearing backlog FI/FO basis
• To LATAM, many carriers are not willing
without much exception.
to offer rates for this sector as they are
fully booked, Rates when offered are only
• China’s power crisis is expected to further
max with 1 week of rate validity.
disrupt supply chains bringing longer lead
times . If the crisis continues, it will reduce
manufacturing output significantly and
lead to lower export cargo volumes and
longer lead times .

DG/Hazardous cargo in reefer


We are seeing increased delays from carriers with regards to acceptance of hazardous cargo; this is compounded by vessel delays and scheduling
amendments, which will impact acceptance from transshipment hubs.

Equipment free time

Carriers are not considering to extend free time owing to acute shortage of equipment in the market .
Source: DHL, Shipping Lines
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Economic outlook & demand evolution – Supply imbalances bring higher


inflation and lower global economic growth November 2021
Western Europe’s mid-2021 growth spurt is fading, and input shortages are constraining production. With the easing of pandemic-related restrictions, real
GDP likely posted another strong growth rate Q3, led by consumer spending. However, the IHS Markit PMI™ surveys indicate that shortages of electronic
components and raw materials are limiting production. Meanwhile, demand is cooling as rising inflation squeezes household real incomes. Eurozones real GDP
EUROPE should increase 5.0% in 2021, 4.0% in 2022, and 2.2% in 2023. While Emerging Europe’s growth prospects are a bit stronger, near-term growth is threatened by
new waves of COVID-19 cases in several economies, including RU,RO, and the Baltic States.
COVID-19 concerns and worsening supply shortages will delay some US growth beyond 2021. The forecast of real GDP growth was lowered 0.3 percentage
point, to 5.4%, in 2021, and 0.2 percentage point, to 4.3%, in 2022. The revisions reflect more cautious consumer spending, fewer light vehicle assemblies, and
weak third-quarter exports. On the positive side, a healthy report on retail sales in September indicates resilience in spending as COVID-19 virus infections decline.
AMERICAS The forecast assumes passage of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, but not the Build Back Better reconciliation bill with substantial increases in social
spending and taxes. With sustained growth in consumer spending on services, business investment, and exports, real GDP is projected to increase 2.8% in 2023
and 2.7% in 2024.
Mainland China faces headwinds from the real estate downturn and power shortages. Industrial production growth subsided to 3.1% y/y in September from
5.3% in August, with energy-intensive goods such as metals, chemicals, and construction materials hit hardest by power restrictions. Coal-based thermal power,
ASIA PACIFIC which accounts for 70% of the country’s electricity generation, has been constrained by Beijing’s decarbonization policies and cessation of coal imports from
Australia in 2021. Meanwhile, the government’s deleveraging campaign targeting property developers is deflating real estate and construction activity.
Asia Pacific economies are rebounding from third-quarter setbacks. With new COVID-19 cases diving from recent peaks, helped by rapidly rising vaccination
rates, Asia Pacific is poised for a strong rebound in late 2021 and early 2022. The recovery of manufacturing production will help to gradually ease global supply-
chain disruptions.
EMERGING &
High inflation in Latin America is prompting central banks to tighten monetary policies. Monetary authorities in BR, PE, CO, MX, and CL have reacted to high
DEVELOPING inflation by increasing their policy rates. While this would be a natural move under normal circumstances, it has created controversy in some countries. Emerging
COUNTRIES economies are still struggling with the pandemic, & some consider today’s high inflation to be a temporary shock that will soon be resolved. This higher inflationary
environment has led IHS Markit analysts to downgrade real GDP growth forecasts because central banks will likely continue to tighten monetary Policy as needed.
DEMAND After three months of deceleration, global economic growth slightly strengthened in September. The JPMorgan Global Composite Output Index (compiled by IHS
DEVELOPMENT Markit) increased 0.5 point to 53.0, led by growth in services.

Source: IHS Markit, IHS Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing, a PMI at 50 is considered neutral, expanding above 50, and business shrinking below 50

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DID YOU KNOW?


INSIDE COMPONENTS AND FUNCTIONALITY OF A REEFER CONTAINER
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Did you know? Reefer Container –


Basic Knowledge

• We are starting a new series within our Reefer


Container Market Update where we will
explain the functionality of a Reefer
Container.

• Furthermore we will share some best


practices and some hints what need to be
considered to achieve good results on even
temperature distribution.

• We hope that you will enjoy the information


over the coming months.

• Today, we start in our first edition with basic


knowledge about the Reefer container.

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Did you know? How does a Reefer Container look like?

Reefer Containers are


always white in color

There are 6 major For specifications on various


components inside a Reefer brands/ models of Reefer
Container (refer to next Container, please check the
slide) DHL Reefer Type
presentation

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Did you know? Inside Components of a Reefer Container

Return-Air (can be on average up to 1,5°C higher than


supply-air)

Condenser, Compressor & Evaporator (behind)

Drain-Holes in each corner

Supply-Air (if lower than -10°C supply-/ return-air switch)

Lash-Points

T-bar Floor to provide good air-flow

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Did you know? Drain holes & lash-points inside a Reefer Container

4 Drains - One in each corner of the container Lash-points on the T-bar floor
Partly automatic drains

Partly with rubber- plug drain

Note: Check that they are clean and functioning Note: Not available in every Reefer Container

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Did you know? Reefer vs. Dry Container – Comparison on Europallet size loading

40‘ Dry HC = 24 Europallets

~ 12,03 m length
~ 2,35 m width
~ 2,65 m height

40‘ Reefer HC = 23 Europallets

~ 11,57 m length
~ 2,29 m width
~ 2,49 m height
~ 2,37 m max. loading height

Note: Depending on Reefer Container construction type, small differences are possible

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THANK YOU!

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