Forecasts Using

Exponential Smoothening
Week Demand, Actual (A) at Alpha = 0.01 (F) Error , A-F Absolute BIAS
1 108 108 0 0.00 0.0
2 116 108 8 8.00 8.0
3 118 108.08 9.92 9.92 17.9
4 124 108.18 15.82 15.82 33.7
5 96 108.34 -12.34 12.34 21.4
6 119 108.21 10.79 10.79 32.2
7 96 108.32 -12.32 12.32 19.9
8 102 108.20 -6.20 6.20 13.7
9 112 108.14 3.86 3.86 17.5
10 102 108.18 -6.18 6.18 11.4
11 92 108.11 -16.11 16.11 -4.8
12 91 107.95 -16.95 16.95 -21.7
MAD Percent Error MAPE TS
0.00 0.00 0.00 0
4.00 6.90 3.45 2
5.97 8.41 5.10 3
8.44 12.76 7.02 4
9.22 12.85 8.18 2
9.48 9.06 8.33 3
9.88 12.84 8.97 2
9.42 6.08 8.61 1
8.81 3.45 8.04 2
8.54 6.05 7.84 1
9.23 17.51 8.72 -1
9.87 18.63 9.54 -2