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I did these calculations for fun cuz I like playing with numbers.

If you like statistics, then you


might enjoy this.

Grealish's points so far are: 3, 8 ,24, 3, 1 for a total of 39 and a mean of 7.8 point per GW
(that's 39/5).
Zaha's points so far are: 8, 15, 1, 2, 9, 13 for a total of 48 and a mean of 8 points per GW
(that's 48/6).

Looks pretty close. Of course this doesn't take into account how attacking their teams are, or
how strong/weak the opponents they faced were. But let's forget this for now and just take
another look at their numbers. Well, another way to look at it is to look at the 'median' instead
of the 'mean'. The median is basically the middle amount in an ordered dataset. So let's do
that for both.

Grealish's points will be 1, 3, 3, 8, 24 with a median of 3 as it's the middle number.


Zaha's points will be 1, 2, 8, 9, 13, 15 with a median of 8.5 which is the 2 middle numbers
(8+9) divided by 2.

Zaha clearly has a much better median, but let's face it, this just doesn't look right. Certainly
Zaha is not about three times better than Grealish. Well, let's play with the numbers a little
and take a closer look using the 'Quartiles'. Quartiles simply put is dividing a dataset into 4
segments to get a clearer look at the data probability distribution. It's done by inserting three
cut points which represent the medians to those segments. Let's use the numbers to get a
better understanding of what the hell am I talking about.

Grealish's points will look like this: 1, 3, 3 and 3, 8, 24. Since it's odd numbered, we are using
the median twice. Now we also look at the median of the 2 subsets. They are the middle
number in each subset, so they are 3 and 8.
Zaha's points will look like this: 1, 2, 8 and 9, 13, 15. The median of the 2 subsets are 2 and
13.

Quartiles are great in detecting outliers. Without going into mathematical details, we use the
medians of the subsets in a formula to establish a 'lower fence' and a 'higher fence'. Any value
outside this lower and higher values is regarded as an outlier. So let's use those formulas and
do the calculations.

The formula for the 'lower fence' is: (the median of the first subset) - 1.5 (the difference
between both medians of the subsets). The 'higher fence' formula is the opposite so it's: (the
median of the last subset) + 1.5 (the difference between both medians of the subsets).

Grealish's lower fence will be 3 - 1.5 (8 - 3) = -4.5 and his higher fence will be 8 + 1.5 (8 - 3)
= 15.5
Zaha's lower fence will be 2 - 1.5 (13 - 2) = -14.5 and his higher fence will be 13 + 1.5 (13 -
2) = 29.5

Since anything outside this range is considered an outlier, we can clearly see that Grealish's
24 points in GW4 is in fact an outlier, while Zaha's points all fall within his numbers range.

So for a bit of fun, let's deal with Grealish's outlier and drag it back to his upper limit 'high
fence' of 15.5
Grealish's points in that case will be 3, 8, 15.5, 3, 1 for a total of 30.5 and a mean of 6.1
(that's 30.5/5). Grealish's mean drops from the unadjusted original of 7.8 to only 6.1 points
per game when accounting for his outlier performance against Liverpool. Zaha's mean on the
other hand doesn't change and stays at 8 points per game. And since both players are
currently valued at 7.3 million, we can now say that Zaha provides more value for money
than Grealish.

Having said all that, I think I'm gonna hold on to Grealish until GW15 when he faces Zaha in
the ultimate Zaha vs Grealish face off :)))

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