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VTP NO :2809
Department : M.sc Mathematics
Project Review : II
ABSTRACT
In this paper, predator prey model for scientific problem has been formulated. Lion Zebra
predator-prey model for the
differential equations is defined. In order to check the system’s stability, eigenvalues are required
for that a set of equilibriums points are discussed.
INTRODUCTION
MATHEMATICAL MODELING
Models describe our beliefs about how the world functions. In mathematical modelling,we
translate those beliefs into the language of mathematics. This has advantages
Mathematical is a very precise language, this helps us to formulate ideas and identify underlying
assumptions.
Model (Definition):
*A representation of a system that allows for investigation of the properties of the system
and, in some cases, prediction of future outcomes.
* Always requires simplification Mathematical model:
* Uses mathematical equations to describe a system
MATHEMATICAL MODELING
Mathematical Modelling seeks to gain an understanding of science through the use of
mathematical models on HP computers. Mathematical Modelling Complements, but does
not replace, theory and experimentation in scientific research. Is often used in place of
experiments when experiments are too large, too expensive, too dangerous, or too time
consuming.
Mathematical modelling can be used for a number of different reasons. How well any
particular Objective is achieved depends on both the state of knowledge about a system and
how well the modelling is done.
STAGES OF MODELING
It is helpful to divide up the process of modelling into four broad categories of activity, namely
building, studying, testing and use. Although it might be nice to think that modelling
projects progress smoothly
From building through to use, this is hardly ever the case. In general, defects found at the
studying and testing stages are corrected by returning to the building stage. Note that if any
changes are made to the model, then the studying and testing stages must be repeated.
TYPES OF MODEL
APPLICATON OF MATHEMATICAL MODEL
Mathematical modelling has application in almost every field of Engineering and
sciences. Whether it is
To study the crime rate – Sociology
To construct a building – Engineering
To analyse the patterns in planets – Astrophysics,
All areas mentioned have numerous mathematical challenges.
There are an almost endless number of other areas with interesting mathematical
problems.
Indeed, mathematics is simply the language for posing problems precisely and
unambiguously (so that even a stupid, pedantic computer can understand it).
DIFFERENTIAL EQUATION
Mathematic.al equation that relates a function with its derivatives is called differential
equation,
The function usually represents physical quantities,
Derivatives represent its rate of change
Differential equation defines a relationship between the two
Mohammed Yiha Dawed et al (2005) has focused the well-known predator-prey problem.
The classical assumptions are relaxed in that the interaction of a predation leads to little or no
effect on growth of the prey population and the prey’s growth rate parameter is a
positive valued function of time. The authors try to implemented for the two cases that
the prey population follows Logistic and Von Bertalanffy growth models. The
respective predator models5 are derived and analysed.
Carla Rezende Barbosa Bonin, et al (2005) has to explain the New contributions that aim
to accelerate the development or to improve the efficacy and safety of vaccines arise from
many different areas of research and technology. The model is generic enough to represent the
action of other diseases or vaccines in the human immune system, such as dengue and Zika
virus. As a proof of concept, the paper presented the results of a model of the
immune response to vaccination against the YF. The model uses a set of ODES to estimate
the concentration of some cells, molecules and virus levels in the body after an individual has
been vaccinated against YF
J.B. Shukla, Ashish Kumar Mishra, Shyam Sundar, and Ram Naresh, et al this
paper, the authors detailly explained the concept of a nonlinear mathematical model is
proposed and analysed to suggest a mechanism for the removal of carbon dioxide by
spraying external species such as liquid species and particulate matters in the atmosphere
above the source of emissions. In this model they analysis and shows that the concentration of
global warming gas, 2 CO, decreases as the rates of spray of liquid phase and solid particulate
matters increase in the atmosphere. The model analysis has shown that the concentration of
global warming gas can be decreased considerably
B Riyanto, Zulkardi, R I I Putri and Darmawijoyo., The Author purpose in this paper is to
produce Mathematical modelling in Realistic Mathematics Education of Junior High School.
This study used development research consisting of 3 stages, namely analysis, design and
evaluation. Based on the expert validation and students' opinion and answers, they obtained
mathematical modelling problem in Realistic Mathematics Education was valid and practical.
Realistic mathematics education for learning mathematical modelling of material equations and
system of linear equations of two variables.
Augustus Wali and DorianeNtubabare., in this paper the Author focused the
canters on the application of the logistic growth model to model the population growth of
Rwanda using data from the years 1980 to 2008 (inclusive). they have determined
the carrying capacity and the vital coefficients governing the population growth of
Rwanda. In conclusion we found that the predicted carrying capacity for the population of
Rwanda. Population growth of any country depends also on the vital coefficients.
Cory L. Howk Howard A. Levinea., et al They try to explain mathematical model includes
two different mechanisms for stimulation and is based on mass-action kinetics They have
shown that by choosing biologically reasonable values for parameters not recorded in
the literature, a mathematical model describing an IL6 mechanism is sufficient to simulate
these experimental results. The models based on reaction kinetics and is described in Section 2.
Section 3.1 compares simulation results with experimental results.
Sereina A. Herzog ,Stephanie Blaizot and Neil Hens., they used to determine
to what extent mathematical models have been incorporated into the process of planning
studies and hence inform study design for infectious diseases transmitted between
humans and or animals. Despite the fact that mathematical models have been
advocated to be used at the planning stage of studies or surveillance systems, they are used
scarcely. With only one exception, the publications described theoretical studies, hence, not
being utilised in real studies.
Constantinos I. Siettos1, and Lucia Russo., They present and discuss the main approaches
that are used for the surveillance and modelling of infectious disease dynamics. In this
paper, they discussed and presented key modelling methods used for the surveillance
and forecasting of infectious disease outbreaks. Generally speaking, epidemiological
models can be categorized in three classes: statistical, mathematical-mechanistic state space,
and machine-learning based ones.
H. Coşkun Çelik (2016), The author aim is used to the present study was to examine the
The studies were evaluated based on publication year, research model, sampling method,
sampling size, sampling group, data collection tools, number of data analyses methods and
subject areas. In this research, applying mostly quantitative and combined research methods in
mathematical modelling
Peter Frejd(2014) This thesis displays a broad analysis focusing on different aspects of
mathematical modelling in practices at different levels of the didactic transposition,,
modelling is discussed from an expert point of view, but there are other persons at the
workplace that use mathematical modelling in their workplace (i.e. consumers and
operators
Kaiser and Sriraman (2006), mathematical modeling is widely used in scientific and
technological disciplines. They regard mathematical modeling as applied problem-solving,
and oblige real-life criteria for modeling. As a result of their studies on mathematical
modeling for many years,
B Riyanto, Zulkardi, R I I Putri (2017), The validation and one-to-one results produced
valid and practical mathematical modeling problem in realistic mathematics education for
learning mathematical modeling of material equations and system of linear
equations of two variables.
DEFINITIONS
NON- LINEAR DYNAMICAL SYSTEMs
A dynamical system consists of possible states, together with a rule that determines the
present state of the system in terms of the past states. A nonlinear dierential equation
includes a combination dependent variable or its derivatives.
A continuous time t , autonomous first order ordinary dierential equation with variables
can be expressed as
dxi
=¿ fi ( x1 , … … . , x n , ) i=1,2,3 , … … .. n ( 1.1 )
dt
System
dL 2
=α L−L β−γLz
dt
dZ
=−C 2 z+C 2 zL
dt
Initial conditions
L(0)= Lo
Z(0)= Z o
o
L : The initial size of the Zebra population.
o
Z : The initial size of the Lion population.
α : Reproduction rate of Zebra.
L(t) The growth rate of the Zebra population is influenced, according to the first differential
equation, by three different terms.
It is positively influenced by the current Zebra population size, as shown by the term α L , where
a is a constant, nonnegative real number andα L is the birth rate of the Zebra.
It is negatively influenced by the natural death rate of the zebra, as shown by the term, −β L2
where b is a constant, nonnegative real number and β L2 is the natural death rate of the Zebra.
It is also negatively influenced by the death rate of the Zebra due to consumption by Lion as
shown by the term −γ Lz , where K is a constant non-negative real number and γ Lz is the death
rate of the Zebra due to consumption by Zebra.
dL
The Model =α L−L2 β−γ Lz ;
dt
Z(t) the growth rate of the Lion population, is influenced, according to the second differential
equation, by two different terms.
It is negatively influenced by the current Lion population size as shown by the term -C1Z , where
C1 is a constant nonnegative real number and is Z the Lion population.
It is positively influenced by the Lion Fish interactions as shown by the term dZL where C1 is a
constant nonnegative real number, is the Lion population and is the Zebra population.
Equilibrium Points:
• Once the initial equations are understood, the next step is to find the equilibrium points.
• These equilibrium points represent points on the graph of the function which are significant.
• These are shown by the following
computations.
dL
Let X = =L(α −βL−γz)
dt
dZ
And Y = =z (−C 2+C 1 L)
dt
{
Solution: L=
β }
( α −γz ) dZ
, =0
dt
C2
Solution: .{L= }
c1
Solution: Z= { (−C 2 β+ c 1 α )
c1γ }
C 1 (−C 2 β +c 1 α )
Thus, one of our equilibrium points is ( , )
d c 1γ
.
• Our equilibrium points are
α C 2 (−C 2 β +c 1 α )
(0,0) , ( , 0) and ( , )
β c1 c 1γ
• Now, to study the stability of the equilibrium points we first need to find the Jacobian matrix
which is:
| ||
dx dx
J(L,Z) =
dL
dy
dz
dy
¿ α−2 βL−γz
C1z
−γL
−C 2+ C 1 L |
dL dz
J(0,0) = |α−0 λ 0
−C 2−λ |
, Solution: .{λ= α } ,{ λ= -C2 }
Semi-stable since one eigenvalue is negative and one is positive.
C2
To study the stability of : ( , 0)
C1
| |
γα
α−λ
C2 β αc 1
J( , 0 ¿= =(α−λ)(−c 2+ −λ)
C1 αc1 β
0 −c 2+ −λ
β
αc1
Solution: { λ=−α } ,{ λ=−c 2 β + }
β
αc 1
Stable if λ=−c 2 β + <¿ 0 (i.e.αC 1<−C 2 β )
β
αc 1
Semi-stable if λ=−c 2 β + >¿ 0 (i.e.αC 1>−C 2 β )
β
| || |
c 2 γαc 1−c 1 β −γc 2 − βc 2 −γc 2
α−2 β − −λ −λ
J¿)) = c1 γc 1 c1 = c1 c1
αc 1−c 2 β −λ αc1−c 2 β −λ
2 2
¿ λc 2 β +c 1 λ −(C 2 β +C 2 αC 1)γ ¿ /C 1
Solution:
{ −c 2 β+ √ c 2 β +4 c 1 c 2 β−4 c 2 α C 1
} { −c 2 β−√ −c 2 β −4 c 1 c 2 β+ 4 c 2 α C 1
}
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
λ= λ=
2c1 2c1
−c 2 β + √ c 2 β + 4 c 1c 2 β−4 c 2 α C 1 −c 2 β+i √−c 2 β −4 c 1 c 2 β+ 4 c 2 α C 1
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
λ= =
2c1 2c1
Stable since both of the real parts are negative. The imaginary numbers tells us that it will be
periodic.
REFERENCES
7. Sereina A. Herzog, Stephanie Blaizot and Nile Hens2,3 Mathematical models used
to inform study design or surveillance systems in infectious diseases: a systematic
review, Herzog et al. BMC Infectious Diseases (2017) 17:775
8. Michael Margaliot, Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena: A Fuzzy Logic
Approach, Article in Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing · January 2007
13. Ram Naresh, Indian Academy for mathematical modeling and SimulationInternational
e-Journal of Mathematical Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems: Nature
and SocietyISSN 7898 -wxyz
14. Peter Frejd , Modes of Mathematical Modelling ,An analysis of how modelling is used
and interpreted in and out of school settings , Linköping Studies in Behavioural Science
No. 181 , Linköping 2014
15. Sefa Dundara*, Burcin Gokkurtb, Yasin Soylu , Kaiser and Sriraman , Mathematical
Modelling at a Glance: A Theoretical Study Article in Procedia - Social and Behavioral
Sciences · December 2012
18. Mathematical Model for the control of Life cycle of Feminine Anopheles Mosquitoes.
Naresh Kumar Jothi, M.L. Suresh, T N M Malini MaiIAENG International
Journal of Applied Mathematics, 47:3, IJAM_47_3_11 Stabilization
and Complexities of Anopheles Mosquito Dynamics with Stochastic Perturbations