DASIGNAHIN, GREFEL JOU MAED- MATH ACTIVITY 4 61-80 ED) | ©) Let A be the obeat she chip is goad. 3) B be the event tne chip jg cedared defective, * We want f& CAIB) using conditional probabilily FCA B) =(0-98)(0.08), the probability that a chip is good is 0.95, given Aah ib is good , the probability i} is dedared defective is 4 - 9-47 tho} ig 0.08, We con Find PCB). the event a chip js dedoved tod en happen in two disjoint Ke A\B) = (An 8) Pe (BY wore: © tris good. but decloved bad (2) i} is od ,ond decloved luk. We already saw the probability of () is (@.98) (0.03) .a similor ealeulation sheng Anak Are probability of (2) is (0.08)(0.48) thus FAB) = @,a2)(6.08) + (0.08) (0.08) To find % CAB) use Formula (The an quer woppens to simghty to 2 that is 0. BIS gine He 0.95 (9 S9P and leotben happen 4o caocel ‘Soluhon. P (ANB) plea) = I pCEIAY Sa > (2) Whee A is the event of person living 40 70, ond B ie the event of pecan Wing 40. 80. Wis absewa 4o soy thot ® con ocowr without A cealing becouse if the perron Wes 4p 90 the must Ye crowed 7 . So P (AnB) =P(8)ACTIVITY 4 PROBLEMS 61 - 80 (SELECTED) Te ees oes 8, independent POPIRY = 968) Bowe AY oe indepen PLAN®)_ Lo += P (pA) = 1- PCB) PCAIB) = he) oO P Cotta) - PC) + manne thok we can't condition on | 7 an etert with aero probability if | A 00d B° a independent PCO) =0 Yhen PLAIB) ie undefined | p (Ale) = PCA) for omy even! A. | \-P CAMB) = 1- PCA) | Faap) = 98) | A) Salukow, Two event an osigint or exchasive ,$ tein intersection | in turn wofecs ih to hove aero proboototli | ie imgonscle Hons Ihe mowencr of one eveab cits Ste cawrnee Gf ofan, | | Av= > —-» (M8) -0 | | X8 am empty se, which tY- The intersechon of disjoint evenly |) A wyitem hos on indepndent urits each of which fails with probabilihy p. the | | system foile only FX o more of the unite foil. Wrok is the potabilily that | | the system fails 2 | Weer as: z PCJ units fait) ixACTIVITY 4 Os P is the probowility that a uni} fol , pi is the probability shop Specified unike Sor, Ci-P) is the probability thot a unit Suceued, (=p is tne, probate lity that nj SpEIFied Unis Soil ond shere ore (2) woys of choosicg which J oF F Abe 9 foul so hen combined Jie becomes 3 : 4 This is one minus the a of n3 os Wroomial rartom variable with 4 Oe Gp) pamelor orp 18) Salton: Vek Dy - the event tha the est individual dies of time 4 a) Da - the ewot shot the population is 200 ot time 4 <2 P.UDe = P (Dal Dr) PLOY + PCDe 1p) P (DF) PUPE) =p and PCO) = 1-p the prptation cannot epontancoushy oppeae F (DOI) =1, iF the Sirk inalividual divided a} Hime 4 21 « Yheee are two independent individuals presented with ste option of dividing or dying at | : 7; | Hie $= ~The chance that loeth will die Ceo frat population will We atc) is &yF i 2a PUD = wip) + PY p= Pi ape Solving for the vole of Pp ch thad this pobawiliy 's 0-5 is done | fumetically plotted the funckon using MATLAB ont Foc the root tobe | P= o.5a)| | 90) Seluhione: © possile cases of gerobyees of firot anc second oil They one. : 4 CAA AAT, (Ab Aa), (Ak 00), (hor, AY a, a) (ha,aa)), (0a. ba), Coa.0a (a. AAY 3 wourolde cose of child tard 2 hove same Genolypee am $f, {LAAN Cha, bor), Cao, aa) Fobotilily oF the event A ig PUA) « ueber_of filowtle cove Total pumber of exhaustive caus FA) = ale a1e