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Topic 1- National Income Accounting & BOP Topic 1- National Income Accounting & Topic 4- Price Levels & Exchange Rate in
BOP (cont) LR
National gross Y=C+I+G+CA
Income domestic Credit Entry any transaction exports Purchasing explains movements in the
Identity product is resulting in of goods, Power exchange rate between two
given by receiving services, Parity countries’ currencies by
consumption payments from assets changes in the countries’
expenditures, foreigners price levels
plus Debit Entry any transaction imports Absolute identical E= P/P*
investment resulting in of goods PPP basket of
expenditures, making services, goods
plus payments assets should be
government sold for
Components Current CA+KAn‐
expenditures, same
of BOP Account, on+Cap‐
plus exports, amount of
Accounts Financial italAcc= -
minus imports money in
Account, ORT
National the amount of S= Y-C(Y-T)- Capital Account diff
Savings output that is G or S= countries
Current shows the CA= EX-
not devoted to Sp+Sg or when
Account difference b/w IM+ Net
private S=I+CA expressed
exports and Unilateral
consumption in same
imports of Transfer
and currency
goods and
government Relative % Δ in Ee-E/E= π-π*
services plus
spending PPP exchange
net unilateral
Balance records a *every intern‐ transfer rate
of country's ational between 2
Financial difference b/w KA=
Payments international transaction currencies
Account sales & KAnonr‐
transactions enters the over many
purchases of es+ORT
with the rest BOP period
assets to
of the world in accounts equals to
foreigners
a given time twice, once the inflation
Non-reserve the purchases & sales of
period- as a credit rate differ‐
Portion assets by the private sector
records its and once as entials
payments and debit Reserve the purchases foreign- between 2
recepits from Portion & sales of currency countries
foreigners and foreign assets denomi‐
Monetary shows PPP holds, LR
shows by the country's nated
Approach factors that Model, shocks
demand and monetary assets
to affect MS are permanent
supply of a authority held by
Exchange and MD will
country's central
Rate play a role
currency in banks
in determ‐
FEM ining
exchange
rate
Equilibrium E= (MS/MS )
exchange (L(Y,R)/(L(R,Y)
rate
Topic 4- Price Levels & Exchange Rate in Topic 2- Asset Approach to Exchange Rate Topic 2- Asset Approach to Exchange Rate
LR (cont) (cont) (cont)
Domestic MS Exchange DC Covered agents can lock in the R= Ee-E/E annualized percentage change
Increases rate deprec‐ interest future exchange rate by R*+ in the DC/FC exchange rate
increases iates Rate getting a forward F- R*+E - e
expecting DC return on FC
Foreign MS Exchange DC Parity contract & eliminating E/E E/E deposits
Increases rate apprec‐ uncertainty
Increase R curve shifts Capital
decreases iates Real the rate at which its value in right, invest in inflows & DC
Domestic Exchange DC Rate of expressed in terms of a repres‐ Domestic DC Deposit appreciates
Interest Rate rate deprec‐ Return entative output basket is Interest
increases increases iates expected to rise
Increase R* curve shifts Capital
Foreign Interest Exchange DC Expected the rate at which the value of in right, invest in outflows &
Rate increases rate apprec‐ ate of an investment in the asset is Foreign FC deposit DC deprec‐
decreases iates return expected to rise over time Interest iates
Domestic Output Exchange DC Arbitrage the process of buying a Expected R* curve shifts Capital
increases rate apprec‐ currency cheap and selling it Deprec‐ right, invest in outflows &
decreases iates dear iation of FC deposit DC deprec‐
Foreign Output Exchange DC Asset IPR holds & deals with financial DC iates
Increases rate deprec‐ Approach capitals Forward parties agree to exchange
increases iates Focused on money mkt shocks Trading currencies on some future date
and impacts on exchange rate at a pre-negotiated exchange
Topic 2- Asset Approach to Exchange Rate (SR & LR) rate
Exchange the price of EDC/FC=1/EDC/FC R, return on DC deposits Spot trades are settled immediately
Rate one domestic Trading
currency in interest
terms of rate Generalized Approach (real exchange rate,
another(D‐ q)
C/FC) Real measures shows how
e
Forward the R= R*+E -E/E exchange the many baskets
exchange exchange rate, q purchasing of domestic
rates rate that is power of a goods are
contracted country's needed to
today for currency exchange one
the relative to basket of
exchange another foreign goods
of country's q= E(P/P*)
currencies currency
at a If q real depreciation of DC
specified increases
date in the
If q real appreciation of DC
future
decreases
Interest the condition that the expected
Parity returns on deposits of any two
Condition currencies are equal when
measured in the same
currency
Generalized Approach (real exchange rate, Topic 3- Money, Interest Rate & Exchange Topic 3- Money, Interest Rate & Exchange
q) (cont) Rate (cont) Rate (cont)
q=1 Absolute PPP q= E(P/P*) Y real when income Exchange the immediate depreciation of
q=0 Relative PPP qe-q/q=0 income= increases, Rate a currency to a shock is
real GDP consumption Unders‐ greater than its long run
If AD domestic goods PPP of DC
increases, hooting response
increa‐ are more increases
volume of transa‐
ses-do‐ valuable and real
ction increases
mestic apprec‐
iation of Interest R= r+Π
DC rate-
fisher
If AD* domestic goods PPP of DC
increa‐ are less valuable decreases Money MS/P= R adjusts to
ses-fo‐ and real market L(R,Y) ensure the
reign deprec‐ equili‐ money market is
iation of brium in equilibrium in
DC SR