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2/22/2018 NAME ASU ID
Instructions:
There are 100 points possible. I will provide points for correct ideas, even if calculations are in
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error. If in doubt, provide rationale. Each of these problems is similar to those you have done
each week for homework, and they are in kind with those included on the midterm practice test.
You have the knowledge, just relax and show what you know.
1. Define the following terms and state why they are important for testing hypotheses (15
pts, 5 points each (2 for correct definition, 3 for stating importance correctly))
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a. Type I Error Rate
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b. Standard Error of the Mean
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c. Sum of Squares
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2. The number of failures of a ceramic bearing when overloaded and run at high RPM is about
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10 in 10000. If you were to make a racing cart using 4 of these bearings, what is the
probability that 1 or more will fail? (15 points)
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3. A sample of 16 springs gives a mean deflection of 2.62 inches when placed under a load of
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1N, with a sample standard deviation of 0.121 inches. You need springs that show an
average mean deflection of 2.80 inches. Is there less than 5% probability of getting a
sample mean this far away from 2.80 inches purely by chance? Use the confidence interval
method for your answer. (20 pts)
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4. You take two samples of steel (n=36 each) at random from the same population. You
anneal one sample at 800 degrees C for 13 minutes. You subject each sample to a load of
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2,800 KN and measure the resultant strain. Your experimental sample shows a mean
elongation of 3.2850% (s=0.00774). The control sample shows a mean elongation of
3.2580% (s=0.00960).
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a. What type of experimental design does this experiment represent? (5 points)
b. Is there evidence to suggest that your annealing process significantly softened the
steel, using alpha = 0.01? (15 pts)
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5. The observed numbers of days on which accidents occurred in a factory on three
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successive shifts over a total of 300 days are as shown below. Your boss wants to know if
there is a systematic difference in safety that is explained by the different shifts. (20 pts)
Days with Days
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an without an Total
Shift Accident Accident
Morning 4 96 100
Swing Shift 8 92 100
Night Shift 10 90 100
Total 22 278 300
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a. What are the null and alternative hypotheses you are testing?
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b. Determine the appropriate test statistic for these hypotheses, and state its assumptions.
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c. Perform the appropriate test and determine the appropriate conclusion.
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6. For the data gathered below, state the procedure one would use to determine the
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relationship between the independent and dependent variable (10 points).
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EXTRA CREDIT (5 points)
7. Why is it important to always test for both goodness of fit and statistical significance in a
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regression equation?
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