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Technical indicators are used by traders to gain insight into the supply and demand of securities and market psychology.
Together, these indicators form the basis of technical analysis. Metrics, such as trading volume, provide clues as to
whether a price move will continue. In this way, indicators can be used to generate buy and sell signals. In this list, you'll
learn about seven technical indicators to add to your trading toolkit.
You don't need to use all of them, rather pick a few that you find helpful in making better trading decisions.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Technical traders and chartists have a wide variety of indicators, patterns, and oscillators in their toolkit to
generate signals.
Some of these consider price history, others look at trading volume, and yet others are momentum indicators.
Often, these are used in tandem or combination with one another.
Here, we look at seven top tools market technicians employ, and that you should become familiar with if you plan
to trade based on technical analysis.
SELECT A STOCK
$ 2 years ago
If you had
invested $1,000 in TSLA stock 10
years ago, today the $153,857
investment would be worth:
20000%
16000%
12000%
8000%
4000%
0%
LEARN MORE
Overlays: Technical indicators that use the same scale as prices are plotted over the top of the prices on a stock chart.
Examples include moving averages and Bollinger Bands® or Fibonacci lines.
Oscillators: Rather than being overlaid on a price chart, technical indicators that oscillate between a local minimum and
maximum are plotted above or below a price chart. Examples include the stochastic oscillator, MACD, or RSI. It will
mainly be these second kind of technical indicators that we consider in this article.
Traders often use several different technical indicators in tandem when analyzing a security. With literally thousands of
different options, traders must choose the indicators that work best for them and familiarize themselves with how they
work. Traders may also combine technical indicators with more subjective forms of technical analysis, such as looking at
chart patterns, to come up with trade ideas. Technical indicators can also be incorporated into automated trading systems
given their quantitative nature.
1. On-Balance Volume
First up, use the on-balance volume indicator (OBV) to measure the positive and negative flow of volume in a security
over time.
The indicator is a running total of up volume minus down volume. Up volume is how much volume there is on a day when
the price rallied. Down volume is the volume on a day when the price falls. Each day volume is added or subtracted from
the indicator based on whether the price went higher or lower.
When OBV is rising, it shows that buyers are willing to step in and push the price higher. When OBV is falling, the selling
volume is outpacing buying volume, which indicates lower prices. In this way, it acts like a trend confirmation tool. If price
and OBV are rising, that helps indicate a continuation of the trend.
Traders who use OBV also watch for divergence. This occurs when the indicator and price are going in different
directions. If the price is rising but OBV is falling, that could indicate that the trend is not backed by strong buyers and
could soon reverse.
Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020
2. Accumulation/Distribution Line
One of the most commonly used indicators to determine the money flow in and out of a security is
the accumulation/distribution line (A/D line).
It is similar to the on-balance volume indicator (OBV), but instead of considering only the closing price of the security for
the period, it also takes into account the trading range for the period and where the close is in relation to that range. If a
stock finishes near its high, the indicator gives volume more weight than if it closes near the midpoint of its range. The
different calculations mean that OBV will work better in some cases and A/D will work better in others.
If the indicator line is trending up, it shows buying interest, since the stock is closing above the halfway point of the range.
This helps confirm an uptrend. On the other hand, if A/D is falling, that means the price is finishing in the lower portion of
its daily range, and thus volume is considered negative. This helps confirm a downtrend.
Traders using the A/D line also watch for divergence. If the A/D starts falling while the price is rising, this signals that the
trend is in trouble and could reverse. Similarly, if the price is trending lower and A/D starts rising, that could signal higher
prices to come.
When the ADX indicator is below 20, the trend is considered to be weak or non-trending.
The ADX is the main line on the indicator, usually colored black. There are two additional lines that can be optionally
shown. These are DI+ and DI-. These lines are often colored red and green, respectively. All three lines work together to
show the direction of the trend as well as the momentum of the trend.
4. Aroon Indicator
The Aroon oscillator is a technical indicator used to measure whether a security is in a trend, and more specifically if the
price is hitting new highs or lows over the calculation period (typically 25).
The indicator can also be used to identify when a new trend is set to begin. The Aroon indicator comprises two lines: an
Aroon Up line and an Aroon Down line.
When the Aroon Up crosses above the Aroon Down, that is the first sign of a possible trend change. If the Aroon Up hits
100 and stays relatively close to that level while the Aroon Down stays near zero, that is positive confirmation of an
uptrend.
The reverse is also true. If Aroon Down crosses above Aroon Up and stays near 100, this indicates that the downtrend is
in force.
Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020
5. MACD
The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator helps traders see the trend direction, as well as the
momentum of that trend. It also provides a number of trade signals.
When the MACD is above zero, the price is in an upward phase. If the MACD is below zero, it has entered
a bearish period.
The indicator is composed of two lines: the MACD line and a signal line, which moves slower. When MACD crosses below
the signal line, it indicates that the price is falling. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, the price is rising.
Looking at which side of zero the indicator is on aids in determining which signals to follow. For example, if the indicator is
above zero, watch for the MACD to cross above the signal line to buy. If the MACD is below zero, the MACD crossing
below the signal line may provide the signal for a possible short trade.
Divergence is another use of the RSI. When the indicator is moving in a different direction than the price, it shows that the
current price trend is weakening and could soon reverse.
A third use for the RSI is support and resistance levels. During uptrends, a stock will often hold above the 30 level and
frequently reach 70 or above. When a stock is in a downtrend, the RSI will typically hold below 70 and frequently reach 30
or below.
7. Stochastic Oscillator
The stochastic oscillator is an indicator that measures the current price relative to the price range over a number of
periods. Plotted between zero and 100, the idea is that, when the trend is up, the price should be making new highs. In a
downtrend, the price tends to make new lows. The stochastic tracks whether this is happening.
The stochastic moves up and down relatively quickly as it is rare for the price to make continual highs, keeping the
stochastic near 100, or continual lows, keeping the stochastic near zero. Therefore, the stochastic is often used as an
overbought and oversold indicator. Values above 80 are considered overbought, while levels below 20 are considered
oversold.
Consider the overall price trend when using overbought and oversold levels. For example, during an uptrend, when the
indicator drops below 20 and rises back above it, that is a possible buy signal. But rallies above 80 are less consequential
because we expect to see the indicator to move to 80 and above regularly during an uptrend. During a downtrend, look for
the indicator to move above 80 and then drop back below to signal a possible short trade. The 20 level is less significant
in a downtrend.
Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020
Granville believed that volume was the key force behind markets and designed OBV to
project when major moves in the markets would occur based on volume changes. In
his book, he described the predictions generated by OBV as "a spring being wound
tightly." He believed that when volume increases sharply without a significant change in
the stock's price, the price will eventually jump upward or fall downward.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
On-balance volume (OBV) is a technical indicator of momentum, using volume
changes to make price predictions.
OBV shows crowd sentiment that can predict a bullish or bearish outcome.
Comparing relative action between price bars and OBV generates more
actionable signals than the green or red volume histograms commonly found at
the bottom of price charts.
⎪
⎩
−volume, if close < closeprev
where:
OBV = Current on-balance volume level
OBVprev = Previous on-balance volume level
volume = Latest trading volume amount
Calculating OBV
On-balance volume provides a running total of an asset's trading volume and indicates
whether this volume is flowing in or out of a given security or currency pair. The OBV is
a cumulative total of volume (positive and negative). There are three rules implemented
when calculating the OBV. They are:
1. If today's closing price is higher than yesterday's closing price, then: Current OBV =
Previous OBV + today's volume
2. If today's closing price is lower than yesterday's closing price, then: Current OBV =
Previous OBV - today's volume
3. If today's closing price equals yesterday's closing price, then: Current OBV =
Previous OBV
Despite being plotted on a price chart and measured numerically, the actual individual
quantitative value of OBV is not relevant. The indicator itself is cumulative, while the
time interval remains fixed by a dedicated starting point, meaning the real number
value of OBV arbitrarily depends on the start date. Instead, traders and analysts look to
the nature of OBV movements over time; the slope of the OBV line carries all of the
weight of analysis.
Day one: closing price equals $10, volume equals 25,200 shares
Day two: closing price equals $10.15, volume equals 30,000 shares
Day three: closing price equals $10.17, volume equals 25,600 shares
Day four: closing price equals $10.13, volume equals 32,000 shares
Day five: closing price equals $10.11, volume equals 23,000 shares
Day six: closing price equals $10.15, volume equals 40,000 shares
Day seven: closing price equals $10.20, volume equals 36,000 shares
Day eight: closing price equals $10.20, volume equals 20,500 shares
Day nine: closing price equals $10.22, volume equals 23,000 shares
Day 10: closing price equals $10.21, volume equals 27,500 shares
As can be seen, days two, three, six, seven and nine are up days, so these trading
volumes are added to the OBV. Days four, five and 10 are down days, so these trading
volumes are subtracted from the OBV. On day eight, no changes are made to the OBV
since the closing price did not change. Given the days, the OBV for each of the 10 days
is:
The formula used to create the accumulation/distribution (Acc/Dist) line is quite different
than the OBV shown above. The formula for the Acc/Dist, without getting too
complicated, is that it uses the position of the current price relative to its recent trading
range and multiplies it by that period's volume.
Limitations of OBV
One limitation of OBV is that it is a leading indicator, meaning that it may produce
predictions, but there is little it can say about what has actually happened in terms of
the signals it produces. Because of this, it is prone to produce false signals. It can
therefore be balanced by lagging indicators. Add a moving average line to the OBV to
look for OBV line breakouts; you can confirm a breakout in the price if the OBV
indicator makes a concurrent breakout.
Another note of caution in using the OBV is that a large spike in volume on a single day
can throw off the indicator for quite a while. For instance, a surprise earnings
announcement, being added or removed from an index, or massive institutional block
trades can cause the indicator to spike or plummet, but the spike in volume may not be
indicative of a trend.
Accumulation/Distribution Indicator (A/D)
By CORY MITCHELL Updated May 18, 2022
Reviewed by CHARLES POTTERS
Fact checked by SUZANNE KVILHAUG
KEY TAKEWAYS
The accumulation/distribution (A/D) line gauges supply and demand of an asset or
security by looking at where the price closed within the period’s range and then
multiplying that by volume.
The A/D indicator is cumulative, meaning one period’s value is added or subtracted
from the last.
In general, a rising A/D line helps confirm a rising price trend, while a falling A/D line
helps confirm a price downtrend.
where:
MFM = Money Flow Multiplier
Close = Closing price
Low = Low price for the period
High = High price for the period
Start by calculating the multiplier. Note the most recent period’s close, high, and low to
calculate.
Use the multiplier and the current period’s volume to calculate the money flow volume.
Add the money flow volume to the last A/D value. For the first calculation, use money flow
volume as the first value.
Repeat the process as each period ends, adding/subtracting the new money flow volume
to/from the prior total. This is A/D.
The multiplier in the calculation provides a gauge for how strong the buying or selling was
during a particular period. It does this by determining whether the price closed in the upper
or lower portion of its range. This is then multiplied by the volume. Therefore, when a stock
closes near the high of the period’s range and has high volume, it will result in a large A/D
jump. Alternatively, if the price finishes near the high of the range but volume is low, or if the
volume is high but the price finishes more toward the middle of the range, then the A/D will
not move up as much.
The same concepts apply when the price closes in the lower portion of the period’s price
range. Both volume and where the price closes within the period’s range determine how
much the A/D will decline.
The A/D line is used to help assess price trends and potentially spot forthcoming reversals.
If a security’s price is in a downtrend while the A/D line is in an uptrend, then the indicator
shows there may be buying pressure and the security’s price may reverse to the upside.
Conversely, if a security’s price is in an uptrend while the A/D line is in a downtrend, then the
indicator shows there may be selling pressure, or higher distribution. This warns that the
price may be due for a decline.
In both cases, the steepness of the A/D line provides insight into the trend. 1 A strongly
rising A/D line confirms a strongly rising price. Similarly, if the price is falling and the A/D is
also falling, then there is still plenty of distribution and prices are likely to continue to decline.
The A/D indicator doesn’t factor in the prior close and uses a multiplier based on where the
price closed within the period’s range. Therefore, the indicators use different calculations
and may provide different information.
Assume a stock gaps down 20% on huge volume. The price oscillates throughout the day
and finishes in the upper portion of its daily range, but is still down 18% from the prior close.
Such a move would actually cause the A/D to rise. Even though the stock lost a significant
amount of value, it finished in the upper portion of its daily range; therefore, the indicator will
increase, likely dramatically, due to the large volume. Traders need to monitor the price
chart and mark any potential anomalies like these, as they could affect how the indicator is
interpreted.
Also, one of the main uses of the indicator is to monitor for divergences. Divergences can
last a long time and are poor timing signals. When divergence appears between the
indicator and price, it doesn’t mean a reversal is imminent. It may take a long time for the
price to reverse, or it may not reverse at all.
The A/D is just one tool that can be used to assess strength or weakness within a trend, but
it is not without its faults. Use the A/D indicator in conjunction with other forms of analysis,
such as price action analysis, chart patterns, or fundamental analysis, to get a more
complete picture of what is moving the price of a stock.
Average Directional Index (ADX)
By CORY MITCHELL Updated August 18, 2021
Reviewed by GORDON SCOTT
The trend can be either up or down, and this is shown by two accompanying indicators,
the negative directional indicator (-DI) and the positive directional indicator (+DI).
Therefore, the ADX commonly includes three separate lines. These are used to help
assess whether a trade should be taken long or short, or if a trade should be taken at
all.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Designed by Welles Wilder for commodity daily charts, the ADX is now used in
several markets by technical traders to judge the strength of a trend.
The ADX makes use of a positive (+DI) and negative (-DI) directional indicator
in addition to the trendline.
The trend has strength when ADX is above 25; the trend is weak or the price is
trendless when ADX is below 20, according to Wilder.
Non-trending doesn't mean the price isn't moving. It may not be, but the price
could also be making a trend change or is too volatile for a clear direction to be
present.
Smoothed -DM
-DI = ( ) × 100
ATR
∣ +DI − -DI ∣
DX = ( ) × 100
∣ +DI + -DI ∣
where:
+DM (Directional Movement) = Current High − PH
PH = Previous High
-DM = Previous Low − Current Low
14 ∑14
t=1 DM
Smoothed +/-DM = ∑t=1 DM − ( ) + CDM
14
CDM = Current DM
ATR = Average True Range
The ADX identifies a strong trend when the ADX is over 25 and a weak trend when the
ADX is below 20. Crossovers of the -DI and +DI lines can be used to generate trade
signals. For example, if the +DI line crosses above the -DI line and the ADX is above
20, or ideally above 25, then that is a potential signal to buy. On the other hand, if the -
DI crosses above the +DI, and the ADX is above 20 or 25, then that is an opportunity to
enter a potential short trade.
Crosses can also be used to exit current trades. For example, if long, exit when the -DI
crosses above the +DI. Meanwhile, when the ADX is below 20 the indicator is signaling
that the price is trendless and that it might not be an ideal time to enter a trade.
The two indicators are similar in that they both have lines representing positive and
negative movement, which helps to identify trend direction. The Aroon reading/level
also helps determine trend strength, as the ADX does. The calculations are different
though, so crossovers on each of the indicators will occur at different times.
Limitations of Using the Average Directional Index (ADX)
Crossovers can occur frequently, sometimes too frequently, resulting in confusion and
potentially lost money on trades that quickly go the other way. These are called false
signals and are more common when ADX values are below 25. That said, sometimes
the ADX reaches above 25, but is only there temporarily and then reverses along with
the price.
Like any indicator, the ADX should be combined with price analysis and potentially
other indicators to help filter signals and control risk.
Aroon Oscillator
By CORY MITCHELL Updated June 08, 2022
Reviewed by THOMAS J. CATALANO
Fact checked by KIRSTEN ROHRS SCHMITT
KEY TAKEAWAYS
The Aroon Oscillator uses Aroon Up and Aroon Down to create the oscillator.
Aroon Up and Aroon Down measure the number of periods since the last 25-
period high and low.
The Aroon Oscillator crosses above the zero line when Aroon Up moves above
Aroon Down. The oscillator drops below the zero line when the Aroon Down
moves below the Aroon Up.
TradingView.
The Aroon Oscillator was developed by Tushar Chande in 1995 as part of the Aroon
Indicator system. Chande’s intention for the system was to highlight short-term trend
changes. The name Aroon is derived from the Sanskrit language and roughly translates
to “dawn’s early light.”
The Aroon Indicator system includes Aroon Up, Aroon Down, and Aroon Oscillator. The
Aroon Up and Aroon Down lines must be calculated first before drawing the Aroon
Oscillator. This indicator typically uses a timeframe of 25 periods, however, the
timeframe is subjective. Using more periods garners fewer waves and a smoother-
looking indicator. Using fewer periods generates more waves and a quicker turnaround
in the indicator. The oscillator moves between -100 and 100. A high oscillator value is
an indication of an uptrend while a low oscillator value is an indication of a downtrend.
Aroon Up and Aroon Down move between zero and 100. On a scale of zero to 100, the
higher the indicator’s value, the stronger the trend. For example, a price reaching new
highs one day ago would have an Aroon Up value of 96 ((25-1)/25)x100). Similarly, a
price reaching new lows one day ago would have an Aroon Down value of 96 ((25-
1)x100).
The highs and lows used in the Aroon Up and Aroon Down calculations help to create
an inverse relationship between the two indicators. When the Aroon Up value
increases, the Aroon Down value will typically see a decrease and vice versa.
When Aroon Up remains high from consecutive new highs, the oscillator value will be
high, following the uptrend. When a security’s price is on a downtrend with many new
lows, the Aroon Down value will be higher resulting in a lower oscillator value.
The Aroon Oscillator line can be included with or without the Aroon Up and Aroon
Down when viewing a chart. Significant changes in the direction of the Aroon Oscillator
can help to identify a new trend.
(25 − Periods Since 25-Period Low)
Aroon Down = 100 ∗
25
Aroon oscillator differs from the rate of change (ROC) indicator in that the former is
tracking whether a 25-period high or low occurred more recently while the latter tracks
the momentum by looking at highs and lows and how far the current price has moved
relative to a price in the past.
When the oscillator moves above the zero line, the Aroon Up is crossing above the
Aroon Down and the price has made a high more recently than a low, a sign that an
uptrend is beginning.
When the oscillator moves below zero, the Aroon Down is crossing below the Aroon
Up. A low occurred more recently than a high, which could signal that a downtrend is
starting.
During choppy market conditions, the indicator will provide poor trade signals, as the
price and the oscillator whipsaw back and forth.
The indicator may provide trade signals too late to be useful. The price may have
already run a significant course before a trade signal develops. The price may be due
for a retracement when the trade signal is appearing.
The number of periods is also arbitrary and there is no validity that a more recent high
or low within the last 25-periods will guarantee a new and sustained uptrend or
downtrend.
The result of that calculation is the MACD line. A nine-day EMA of the MACD called the
"signal line," is then plotted on top of the MACD line, which can function as a trigger for buy
and sell signals. Traders may buy the security when the MACD crosses above its signal line
and sell—or short—the security when the MACD crosses below the signal line. Moving
average convergence divergence (MACD) indicators can be interpreted in several ways, but
the more common methods are crossovers, divergences, and rapid rises/falls.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is calculated by subtracting the
26-period exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA.
MACD triggers technical signals when it crosses above (to buy) or below (to sell) its
signal line.
The speed of crossovers is also taken as a signal of a market is overbought or
oversold.
MACD helps investors understand whether the bullish or bearish movement in the
price is strengthening or weakening.
MACD Formula
MACD = 12-Period EMA − 26-Period EMA
MACD is calculated by subtracting the long-term EMA (26 periods) from the short-term EMA
(12 periods). An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average (MA) that
places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points.
In the following chart, you can see how the two EMAs applied to the price chart correspond
to the MACD (blue) crossing above or below its baseline (dashed) in the indicator below the
price chart.
MACD is often displayed with a histogram (see the chart below) which graphs the distance
between the MACD and its signal line. If the MACD is above the signal line, the histogram
will be above the MACD’s baseline. If the MACD is below its signal line, the histogram will
be below the MACD’s baseline. Traders use the MACD’s histogram to identify when bullish
or bearish momentum is high.
Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020
MACD measures the relationship between two EMAs, while the RSI measures price change
in relation to recent price highs and lows. These two indicators are often used together to
provide analysts a more complete technical picture of a market.
These indicators both measure momentum in a market, but, because they measure different
factors, they sometimes give contrary indications. For example, the RSI may show a reading
above 70 for a sustained period of time, indicating a market is overextended to the buy-side
in relation to recent prices, while the MACD indicates the market is still increasing in buying
momentum. Either indicator may signal an upcoming trend change by showing divergence
from price (price continues higher while the indicator turns lower, or vice versa).
Limitations of MACD
One of the main problems with divergence is that it can often signal a possible reversal but
then no actual reversal actually happens—it produces a false positive. The other problem is
that divergence doesn't forecast all reversals. In other words, it predicts too many reversals
that don't occur and not enough real price reversals.
"False positive" divergence often occurs when the price of an asset moves sideways, such
as in a range or triangle pattern following a trend. A slowdown in the momentum—sideways
movement or slow trending movement—of the price will cause the MACD to pull away from
its prior extremes and gravitate toward the zero lines even in the absence of a true reversal.
Example of MACD Crossovers
As shown on the following chart, when the MACD falls below the signal line, it is a bearish
signal that indicates that it may be time to sell. Conversely, when the MACD rises above the
signal line, the indicator gives a bullish signal, which suggests that the price of the asset is
likely to experience upward momentum. Some traders wait for a confirmed cross above the
signal line before entering a position to reduce the chances of being "faked out" and
entering a position too early.
Crossovers are more reliable when they conform to the prevailing trend. If the MACD
crosses above its signal line following a brief correction within a longer-term uptrend, it
qualifies as bullish confirmation.
If the MACD crosses below its signal line following a brief move higher within a longer-term
downtrend, traders would consider that a bearish confirmation.
Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020
Example of Divergence
When the MACD forms highs or lows that diverge from the corresponding highs and lows on
the price, it is called a divergence. A bullish divergence appears when the MACD forms two
rising lows that correspond with two falling lows on the price. This is a valid bullish signal
when the long-term trend is still positive.
Some traders will look for bullish divergences even when the long-term trend is negative
because they can signal a change in the trend, although this technique is less reliable.
Some traders will watch for bearish divergences during long-term bullish trends because
they can signal weakness in the trend. However, it is not as reliable as a bearish divergence
during a bearish trend.
It is not uncommon for investors to use the MACD’s histogram the same way they may use
the MACD itself. Positive or negative crossovers, divergences, and rapid rises or falls can
be identified on the histogram as well. Some experience is needed before deciding which is
best in any given situation because there are timing differences between signals on the
MACD and its histogram.
The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100. The
indicator was developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. and introduced in his seminal 1978
book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. 1
The RSI can do more than point to overbought and oversold securities. It can also
indicate securities that may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in
price. It can signal when to buy and sell. Traditionally, an RSI reading of 70 or above
indicates an overbought situation. A reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold
condition.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
The relative strength index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator introduced
in 1978.
The RSI provides technical traders with signals about bullish and bearish price
momentum, and it is often plotted beneath the graph of an asset’s price.
An asset is usually considered overbought when the RSI is above 70 and
oversold when it is below 30.
The RSI line crossing below the overbought line or above oversold line is often
seen by traders as a signal to buy or sell.
The RSI works best in trading ranges rather than trending markets.
Calculating RSI
The RSI uses a two-part calculation that starts with the following formula:
100
RSIstep one = 100 − [ 1+ Average gain
]
Average loss
The average gain or loss used in this calculation is the average percentage gain or loss
during a look-back period. The formula uses a positive value for the average loss.
Periods with price losses are counted as zero in the calculations of average gain.
Periods with price increases are counted as zero in the calculations of average loss.
The standard number of periods used to calculate the initial RSI value is 14. For
example, imagine the market closed higher seven out of the past 14 days with an
average gain of 1%. The remaining seven days all closed lower with an average loss of
−0.8%.
The first calculation for the RSI would look like the following expanded calculation:
⎡ ⎤
55.55 = 100 − ⎢ 1001% ⎥
( 14 )
⎣ 1+ 0.8% ⎦
( 14 )
Once there are 14 periods of data available, the second calculation can be done. Its
purpose is to smooth the results so that the RSI only nears 100 or zero in a
strongly trending market.
100
RSIstep two = 100 − [ (Previous Average Gain×13) + Current Gain ]
1+
((Previous Average Loss×13) + Current Loss)
Plotting RSI
After the RSI is calculated, the RSI indicator can be plotted beneath an asset’s price
chart, as shown below. The RSI will rise as the number and size of up days increase. It
will fall as the number and size of down days increase.
Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021
As you can see in the above chart, the RSI indicator can stay in the overbought region
for extended periods while the stock is in an uptrend. The indicator may also remain in
oversold territory for a long time when the stock is in a downtrend. This can be
confusing for new analysts, but learning to use the indicator within the context of the
prevailing trend will clarify these issues.
SELECT A STOCK
$ 2 years ago
CALCULATE
As you can see in the following chart, during a downtrend, the RSI peaks near 50
rather than 70. This could be seen by traders as more reliably signaling bearish
conditions.
On the other hand, modifying overbought or oversold RSI levels when the price of a
stock or asset is in a long-term horizontal channel or trading range (rather than a strong
upward or downward trend) is usually unnecessary.
Overbought or Oversold
Generally, when the RSI indicator crosses 30 on the RSI chart, it is a bullish sign and
when it crosses 70, it is a bearish sign. Put another way, one can interpret that RSI
values of 70 or above indicate that a security is becoming overbought or overvalued. It
may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective price pullback. An RSI reading of 30 or
below indicates an oversold or undervalued condition.
Overbought refers to a security that trades at a price level above its true (or intrinsic)
value. That means that it's priced above where it should be, according to practitioners
of either technical analysis or fundamental analysis. Traders who see indications that a
security is overbought may expect a price correction or trend reversal. Therefore, they
may sell the security.
The same idea applies to a security that technical indicators such as the relative
strength index highlight as oversold. It can be seen as trading at a lower price than it
should. Traders watching for just such an indication might expect a price correction or
trend reversal and buy the security.
The opposite is true for a downtrend. If the downtrend is unable to reach 30 or below
and then rallies above 70, that downtrend has weakened and could be reversing to the
upside. Trend lines and moving averages are helpful technical tools to include when
using the RSI in this way.
Be sure not to confuse RSI and relative strength. The first refers to changes
in the the price momentum of one security. The second compares the price
performance of two or more securities.
A bearish divergence occurs when the RSI creates an overbought reading followed by
a lower high that appears with higher highs on the price.
As you can see in the following chart, a bullish divergence was identified when the RSI
formed higher lows as the price formed lower lows. This was a valid signal, but
divergences can be rare when a stock is in a stable long-term trend. Using flexible
oversold or overbought readings will help identify more potential signals.
Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021
Conversely, a negative RSI reversal may take place once the RSI reaches a high that
is higher that its previous high at the same time that a security's price reaches a lower
high. This formation would be a bearish sign and a sell signal.
There is a bearish version of the swing rejection signal that is a mirror image of the
bullish version. A bearish swing rejection also has four parts:
The following chart illustrates the bearish swing rejection signal. As with most trading
techniques, this signal will be most reliable when it conforms to the prevailing long-term
trend. Bearish signals during downward trends are less likely to generate false alarms.
Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021
A nine-day EMA of the MACD, called the signal line, is then plotted on top of the MACD
line. It can function as a trigger for buy and sell signals. Traders may buy the security
when the MACD crosses above its signal line and sell, or short, the security when the
MACD crosses below the signal line.
The MACD measures the relationship between two EMAs, while the RSI measures
price change momentum in relation to recent price highs and lows. These two
indicators are often used together to provide analysts with a more complete technical
picture of a market.
These indicators both measure the momentum of an asset. However, they measure
different factors, so they sometimes give contradictory indications. For example, the
RSI may show a reading above 70 for a sustained period of time, indicating a security
is overextended on the buy side.
At the same time, the MACD could indicate that buying momentum is still increasing for
the security. Either indicator may signal an upcoming trend change by showing
divergence from price (the price continues higher while the indicator turns lower, or vice
versa).
True reversal signals are rare and can be difficult to separate from false alarms. A false
positive, for example, would be a bullish crossover followed by a sudden decline in a
stock. A false negative would be a situation where there is a bearish crossover, yet the
stock suddenly accelerated upward.
Since the indicator displays momentum, it can stay overbought or oversold for a long
time when an asset has significant momentum in either direction. Therefore, the RSI is
most useful in an oscillating market (a trading range) where the asset price is
alternating between bullish and bearish movements.
Readings below 30 generally indicate that the stock is oversold, while readings above
70 indicate that it is overbought. Traders will often place this RSI chart below the price
chart for the security, so they can compare its recent momentum against its market
price.
In essence, the MACD works by smoothing out the security’s recent price movements
and comparing that medium-term trend line to a short-term trend line showing its more
recent price changes. Traders can then base their buy and sell decisions on whether
the short-term trend line rises above or below the medium-term trend line.
Stochastic Oscillator Definition
By ADAM HAYES Updated June 25, 2021
Reviewed by CHARLES POTTERS
Fact checked by AMANDA BELLUCCO-CHATHAM
KEY TAKEAWAYS
A stochastic oscillator is a popular technical indicator for generating overbought
and oversold signals.
It is a popular momentum indicator, first developed in the 1950s.
Stochastic oscillators tend to vary around some mean price level since they
rely on an asset's price history.
Stochastic oscillators measure the momentum of an asset's price to determine
trends and predict reversals.
Stochastic oscillators measure recent prices on a scale of 0 to 100, with
measurements above 80 indicating that an asset is overbought and
measurements below 20 indicating that it is oversold.
Stochastic Oscillator
Traditionally, readings over 80 are considered in the overbought range, and readings
under 20 are considered oversold. However, these are not always indicative of
impending reversal; very strong trends can maintain overbought or oversold conditions
for an extended period. Instead, traders should look to changes in the stochastic
oscillator for clues about future trend shifts.
Stochastic oscillator charting generally consists of two lines: one reflecting the actual
value of the oscillator for each session, and one reflecting its three-day simple moving
average. Because price is thought to follow momentum, the intersection of these two
lines is considered to be a signal that a reversal may be in the works, as it indicates a
large shift in momentum from day to day.
Divergence between the stochastic oscillator and trending price action is also seen as
an important reversal signal. For example, when a bearish trend reaches a new lower
low, but the oscillator prints a higher low, it may be an indicator that bears are
exhausting their momentum and a bullish reversal is brewing.
where:
C = The most recent closing price
L14 = The lowest price traded of the 14 previous
trading sessions
H14 = The highest price traded during the same
14-day period
%K = The current value of the stochastic indicator
Notably, %K is referred to sometimes as the fast stochastic indicator. The "slow"
stochastic indicator is taken as %D = 3-period moving average of %K.
The general theory serving as the foundation for this indicator is that in a market
trending upward, prices will close near the high, and in a market trending downward,
prices close near the low. Transaction signals are created when the %K crosses
through a three-period moving average, which is called the %D.
The difference between the slow and fast Stochastic Oscillator is the Slow %K
incorporates a %K slowing period of 3 that controls the internal smoothing of %K.
Setting the smoothing period to 1 is equivalent to plotting the Fast Stochastic Oscillator.
1
Lane, over the course of numerous interviews, has said that the stochastic oscillator
does not follow price, volume, or anything similar. He indicates that the oscillator
follows the speed or momentum of price.
Lane also reveals that, as a rule, the momentum or speed of a stock's price movements
changes before the price changes direction. 2 In this way, the stochastic oscillator can
foreshadow reversals when the indicator reveals bullish or bearish divergences. This
signal is the first, and arguably the most important, trading signal Lane identified.
As a hypothetical example, if the 14-day high is $150, the low is $125 and the current
close is $145, then the reading for the current session would be: (145-125) / (150 - 125)
* 100, or 80.
By comparing the current price to the range over time, the stochastic oscillator reflects
the consistency with which the price closes near its recent high or low. A reading of 80
would indicate that the asset is on the verge of being overbought.
In general, the RSI is more useful during trending markets, and stochastics more so in
sideways or range-bound markets. 3
Bollinger Bands® were developed and copyrighted by famous technical trader John
Bollinger, designed to discover opportunities that give investors a higher probability of
properly identifying when an asset is oversold or overbought.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Bollinger Bands® are a technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger for
generating oversold or overbought signals.
There are three lines that compose Bollinger Bands: A simple moving average
(middle band) and an upper and lower band.
The upper and lower bands are typically 2 standard deviations +/- from a 20-day
simple moving average (which is the center line), but they can be modified.
When the price continually touches the upper Bollinger Band, it can indicate an
overbought signal while continually touching the lower band indicates an oversold
signal.
1:59
Understanding Bollinger Bands
For a given data set, the standard deviation measures how spread out numbers are from an
average value. Standard deviation can be calculated by taking the square root of the
variance, which itself is the average of the squared differences of the mean. Next, multiply
that standard deviation value by two and both add and subtract that amount from each point
along the SMA. Those produce the upper and lower bands.
In the chart depicted below, Bollinger Bands® bracket the 20-day SMA of the stock with an
upper and lower band along with the daily movements of the stock's price. Because
standard deviation is a measure of volatility, when the markets become more volatile the
bands widen; during less volatile periods, the bands contract.
Conversely, the wider apart the bands move, the more likely the chance of a decrease in
volatility and the greater the possibility of exiting a trade. However, these conditions are not
trading signals. The bands give no indication when the change may take place or in which
direction the price could move.
Breakouts
Approximately 90% of price action occurs between the two bands. 1 Any breakout above or
below the bands is a major event. The breakout is not a trading signal. The mistake most
people make is believing that that price hitting or exceeding one of the bands is a signal to
buy or sell. Breakouts provide no clue as to the direction and extent of future price
movement.
Because they are computed from a simple moving average, they weigh older price data the
same as the most recent, meaning that new information may be diluted by outdated data.
Also, the use of 20-day SMA and 2 standard deviations is a bit arbitrary and may not work
for everyone in every situation. Traders should adjust their SMA and standard deviation
assumptions accordingly and monitor them.
Some traders believe that the Fibonacci numbers and ratios created by the sequence play
an important role in finance that traders can apply using technical analysis.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
The Fibonacci sequence is a set of steadily increasing numbers where each number
is equal to the sum of the preceding two numbers.
The golden ratio of 1.618 is derived from the Fibonacci sequence.
Many things in nature have dimensional properties that adhere to the golden ratio of
1.618.
The Fibonacci sequence can be applied to finance by using four techniques
including retracements, arcs, fans, and time zones.
where:
Golden Ratio
The golden ratio is derived by dividing each number of the Fibonacci series by
its immediate predecessor. Where F(n) is the nth Fibonacci number, the
quotient F(n)/ F(n-1) will approach the limit 1.618, known as the golden ratio.
Many things in nature have dimensional properties that adhere to the ratio of 1.618, like the
honeybee. If you divide the female bees by the male bees in any given hive, you will get a
number near 1.618. The golden ratio also appears in the arts and rectangles whose
dimensions are based on the golden ratio appear at the Parthenon in Athens and the Great
Pyramid in Giza. 1
Fibonacci retracements require two price points chosen on a chart, usually a swing high and
a swing low. Once two points are chosen, the Fibonacci numbers and lines are drawn at
percentages of that move. If a stock rises from $15 to $20, then the 23.6% level is $18.82,
or $20 - ($5 x 0.236) = $18.82. The 50% level is $17.50, or $15 - ($5 x 0.5) = $17.50.
Arcs, fans, and time zones are similar concepts but are applied to charts in different ways.
Each one shows potential areas of support or resistance, based on Fibonacci numbers
applied to prior price moves. These supportive or resistance levels can be used to forecast
where prices may fall or rise in the future.
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