Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MALDIVES
Fazeel Najeeb ECONOMIC
REVIEW
Volume 2, Issue 2, December 2020
also…
Price over privilege
Abdul Haleem Abdul Latheef
Post Covid 19- the Haleem's article 'Price over Privilege' is another
road to recovery
well researched in-depth look at the interest rate
Aishath Isra Abdulla
spread and matters surrounding the issue in the
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local economy.
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
currency deposit is much faster than that growth in lending for the tourism sector
of the local currency. Banking sector slowed down, albeit the highest exposure.
assets represent over 61% of the total
Agriculture, fisheries and manufacturing
financial sector assets. The total banking
experienced negative growth in lending
sector assets reached over MVR 60 Billion
with highest decline recorded for the
in 20201. The banks in Maldives provides
manufacturing sector. The most significant
term loans, trade finance and bank growth was achieved by the construction
guarantee as well. Bank of Maldives also sector with 23.30%.
engages in development banking services
During the last seven years, the banking
as an administration agent for government
sector overall exposure to private sector
various funds. The banking sector loans to
grew at 9.10% on compound basis while
private sector is in the order of MVR 24
banking sector’s exposure to public sector
Billion, with highest exposure to tourism
grew at 18.29%. The banking sector hold
sector (36.65%) and then to the
MVR12.3 Billion of the total MVR 32.28
construction and real estate sector, which
Billion domestic public sector debt. There
is in the order of 29.18%. The fisheries
is no secondary market for government
sector exposure is only 1.7%. The rate of
securities except when MMA in its
desertion engages in the sale and
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
Regulators
• Maldives Monetary Authority (acting as the central
bank)
• Capital Market Development Authority (CMDA)
Capital Market
• The Maldives Stock Exchange (MSE is aa
privately held company)
Markets
• Government Securities Market
Forex Market
• Money Exchanges
• VISA/MasterCard/Amex
• SWIFT
• ACH
• Mobile Money
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
During 2017 MMA introduced electronic government, the interest rate on CDs
clearing system with the launch of would be the proxy risk-free interest rate.
Automatic Clearing House (ACH) The interest rate on CDs remained at 8%
until 2003. The interest rate on CDs was
The interest rates observed in the
revised down to 6% in 2003 and to 4% in
Maldives quite peculiar. The risk-free
2004 and remained at that level until
interest rate is several basis points above
2006.
the saving rates from banks. The central
bank intervened interest rate correction is The OLF rate remined high to discourage
not possible because of high level of the commercial bank’s reliance on central
dollarization and currency substitution. bank for the management of short-term
liquidity. With the introduction of Treasury
The interest rate structure observed in the
Bills, MMA introduced repurchase facility
Maldives can be grouped into three broad
(repos) in place of the OLF. Under this
categories: The MMA rates to the banking
facility, MMA was able to engage in open
sector, Government Treasury Bill rates,
market operations to manage the money
Bank local currency Rates, and Bank
supply. The repo rates started at 12% and
foreign currency rates. Within the bank
was raised upwards to 13% subsequently.
rates there are two segments: Public non-
finance corporation, Private sector The repo facility was suspended and OLF
was reintroduced at an interest rate of
MMA Interest Rates
16% in 2010 and remained at that level
MMA is the authority responsible for the
until 2013. OLF rate was further reduced
implementation of monetary policy and
to 10% in 2015 and is currently prevailing
financial stability. Until 2006 MMA used
at that rate. MMA also reintroduced ODF
two policy instruments to manage the
and reverse repurchase facilities as well in
money supply in the economy. Certificate
2015. The reverse repurchase facility has
of Deposits (CDs) is a saving instrument
been suspended in 2015. The ODF rate
for banks, while the Lombard facility (OLF)
and OLF rate prevailing currently is 1.5%
provides financing for the bank when
and 10% respectively. This effectively
faced with short term liquidity issues. Prior
means banks will earn 1.5% (on annual
to the introduction of treasury bills by the
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
basis) by investing cash with the central Authority (MMA) acts as an agent for issue
bank and in case banks resort to MMA to of government securities. The government
borrow money, banks would pay 10% (on securities market was available to financial
annual basis) for borrowing. corporations and SOEs until September
2012. This condition was relaxed in 2012
with the first sale of government securities
Government Securities Interest Rates in October 2012 to a private sector entity
(MVR 139.1 Million). Ministry of Finance
Government introduced two series of has extended the participation to
treasury bills in 2006; 28-days bills and Investment Funds and Private Companies.
91-days bills. Treasury bills were issued on Individual citizens are also allowed to
11th Sep, 2006 replacing CDs. The invest in government securities on private
government introduced 182-days bills as placement basis. Government securities
the Pension Fund started investing in are issued in 100,000 lots (10 bills of MVR
government securities and also 10,000 each.
introduced the 364-day bills 2013 to
Treasury bills are sold on discount basis
provide a longer-term saving instrument.
where investors will buy the bills at a
Since 27th December 2009 the rate discount to the face value, representing
represents the weighted average interest the purchase price. The face value is the
rate accepted by the government.
Treasury bills reverted
to a TAP system from Tenure Rate Face Value Purchase Profit
an auction system in Price
28 3.50% 1,000,000.00 997,322.26 2,677.74
2014. The rates were
revised in 2015 due 91 3.87% 1,000,000.00 989,716.17 10,283.83
to a change in
182 4.23% 1,000,000.00 979,343.63 20,656.37
government policy.
364 4.60% 1,000,000.00 956,138.14 43,861.86
Maldives Monetary
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
value stated on the bill that will be years attracts interest rate of 4.72%. The
received by the investor on maturity of the rates averaged 3.79% for this tenure.
bill. The difference between the face value
The saving rates for foreign currency
and the purchase price is the return
declined overall. The highest return is
earned on these bills. Currently treasury
attracted to 3-to-6-month products which
bills yield interest as follows; 28 days
average 3.29%. The saving decline in
(3.5%), 98 days (3.87%), 182 days
saving rates for foreign currency is a result
(4.23%) and 364 days (4.6%)
of increase in dollar deposits as seen in
The current term structure of interest rate the currency composition of deposits.
is such that longer holding periods result
Experimentation with different policy
in higher returns. The following shows the
instruments to affect the money supply
profit earned by investing MVR 1 Million in
has not resulted in any meaningful change
treasury bills of varying maturities.
on the interest rates in the Maldives.
Banking Sector Saving Rates Overall, the saving rates declined as result
Interest rates on local currency saving of growth in dividends while the lending
products show that long tenures attract rates hardly changed. The interest rate
higher rates. Saving products for 2-3 spread improved the banking sector
profitably and bank’s shareholder equity.
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
The opportunity to
patriciate in the
treasury bill market
should be made
more transparent
and affordable. The
government debt
market should be
further developed
with different
maturity structures.
The peculiarity of
The lending rates
treasury bill interest rate being above that
The lending rates in local currency of deposit rates may be to address
averaged 9.5% and 10.83% for public specific concerns of the banking sector.
sector and private sector respectively. The However, the long-term consequences of
private sector risk premium average 130 such distortions would result arbitrage,
basis points. unequal wealth distribution and also
outflow of savings from the country to
Is cost of borrowing high?
abroad. This peculiarity needs to be
I wish I know the answer to the question. addressed.
What I know is that even with the In Maldives public sale of securities and
expansion of the financial system, the trading are only permitted through the
nature of our financial system remained Maldives Stock Exchange, a privately held
boutique; each institution serving a entity. This limitation is needless because
segment which makes sense in terms of the choice of an exchange should be left
risk, reward and stability. What need to to the issuer of the security. Regulator
change is the design of our financial imposed restrictions on public choice in
system with public interest in mind. Higher favour of a particular private entity is a
borrowing cost is not a bank problem, it’s hinders to the development of the market
a problem of the system as a whole. for securities and thereby widening
Unless we prioritise price over privilege, choices for investors.
the system will remain unchanged. The monetary policy led intervention to
Certainly, there are several reforms that affect interest rates in the Maldivian
would result in narrowing the interest rate context should be secondary to price
spread and make the financial system stability as perused by MMA as a policy
fairer for most people. The financial choice.
system comprises of several components Note:
and they all should work in unison to
make the system efficient and effective. Data for this article is from
The current dual regulator model brings in
• MMA Stats
more harm than good in reforming the
• IYYE Magazine
financial system and making it fairer. A
• Various Regulations
unified regulatory framework would
• Company websites and from public
promote holistic view, reduce regulatory
domain
compliance burden and save costs to the
state.
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
On March 7th, 2020, the Maldivian management, health, social welfare, trade
government announced the first case of and commerce have a tremendous role to
COVID-19 pandemic n the Maldives as play to contain the situation. As such, they
the worst slump since the great must continue to manage, monitor and
depression synchronised around the impose controls to reboot our economy.
world.
Due to the pandemic, crisis management
Due to the small size of the economy and and crisis communication have now
significant reliance on tourism, we were become buzz words of the Maldivian
already facing a unique set of challenges. government. At the same time, from office
At the same time, IMF, World bank and workers to resort workers to taxi drivers,
other economic authorities stated that the pay checks are reducing in the still ‘caged
Maldives would be among the worst hit in situation’. Regardless of whatever looms
the world and our GDP is forecast to in the horizon, the biggest challenge
shrink by 19.5% in 2020. would be to continue to save lives and
crawl towards sustenance for our fragile
This premonition followed the
economy.
implementation of pandemic and
emergency guidelines, closing of The total cost of COVID-19 for the
educational institutions, activating Maldives is estimated to be MVR 2.6
measures of immigration and border billion as of 26th November 2020. MVR
control and imposing national disaster 1.3 billion on health and social spending,
recovery plans on all fronts. Additionally, and a further MVR 1.3 billion on economic
special health care and economic stimulus response spending. Additionally,
packages were announced, and the expenditure on subsidies and financial
Maldives Monetary Authority and other assistance reached MVR 4.3 billion in
administrative authorities geared up to 2020, a 15% increase compared to 2019.
provide financial assistance to both public
In this bleak situation and the dire
and private sector institutions.
economic conditions, the government
However, much has changed since the announced an economic stimulus
first few months. We have gone from a package worth MVR 2.5 billion. As of 30th
complete lockdown to a partial lockdown, November 2020, a total of USD 519.8
and the curfew was eased just a few million has been received from various
weeks ago. countries and agencies which constitutes
a major potion of the incentive package.
On the institutional front we are continuing
work from home, deploying IT resources With all these conundrums, optimistically
and initiating contingency plans. The thinking COVID-19 means change, and it
situation is still evolving, though many of has brought a lot of opportunities for the
us believe the worst is over. However, I Maldives to reform our policies and
believe all government and regulatory embrace the shift towards the betterment
authorities related to national disaster of our economy. I believe COVID-19
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
opened doors for new opportunities and and individuals. Due to COVID-19 the
innovations and put our disaster response poverty rate has increased by 5.6% in
to the test. 2020 and is expected to decline very
slowly in the coming years.
According to Faris. H. Hadad-Zervos, the
World Bank Country Director for Maldives, • Pass a national budget that is geared
Sri Lanka and Nepal, “The Maldives story to grow the economy to recovery. A
has always been one of resilience. Time budget that facilitates increased
and again, we have seen the Maldives development should be passed as a
confront its vulnerabilities and external reduction in economic growth will
shocks, only to emerge stronger,”. affect the credit rating of the country
which may create more extensive
I do hope the positive expectations of the
p ro b l e m s i n t e r m s o f i n v e s t o r
World Bank and other donor agencies will
confidence and cost of financing later.
be achieved post COVID-19. In this
moment of reckoning my view is that we • Implement smarter regulations to
still have a, long way to go and we need facilitate the growth of the private
to take strong measures for better, s e c t o r. F o r t h e u n e m p l o y m e n t
inclusive and sustainable economic challenge to be met, besides giving
growth in the long run. We must learn to direct incentives the government will
make use of all resources effectively. need to address workplace reform to
support employers, particularly small
I do see opportunities for sustainable
business and build skills or introduce a
recovery if all stakeholders work together
tertiary education system that can fill
towards leadership for a profoundly better
skills gaps and assist the unemployed.
future. How resilient we come out of the
crisis depends largely on the choices that • Introduce reforms in independent
the government, businesses and institutions and ensure that all
individuals make over the following decisions made regarding the stimulus
months and years. package given by donors is above
board and carefully monitored. (The
To mention a few things that we can do in
donor assistance comes with many
a ‘daring’ mindset to reboot:
conditions for reform on fiscal and
• Publicly disclose and keep the monetary fronts and may include
government accountable on spending recommendations for prudential
assistance from international measures)
institutions. The IMF provided about
• Pave the way for maximum
US$28.9 million dollars in assistance
involvement of the youth in our
and it should be used to its optimum.
national development, especially since
• Although donor funding has played an approximately 54% of the labour force
integral part in our recovery, it is not is aged 18-34. (We have experienced
wise to become too reliant on it as it a high level of unemployment,
allows foreign parties to dictate how especially youth unemployment during
our economy is run. the pandemic).
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
sector, which is the mainstay of our Having said all the dos and don’ts, the
economy. Due to this our GDP growth, questions I want to pose are: What are
the balance of payments and our the prospects for recovery in 2021 and
overall fiscal position has weakened beyond? What is the best economic
dramatically. development route for the Maldives? My
answer is that whatever path the
• Urge the Maldives Monetary Authority
government chooses at this juncture,
to continue providing targeted liquidity
more than ever before the government
backing to banks and avoiding a credit
needs deeper involvement and
freeze, through short-term and
intervention; such as ensuring that the
targeted financial and prudential
Maldives gets the COVID-19 vaccines as
easing.
soon as possible and set up effective
• Ensure that a plan for retiring guidelines for its distribution starting from
government debt is in place. The the most vulnerable. It is up to the
natural decision of many foreign government to decide what is more
investors would be to exit the host critical. Whether it be a watchdog or
country when faced with economic reformer, the role the government plays
hardships. The Maldives is no will be the key to our future success as we
exception. A debt hangover situation is enter a new era.
looming over us as Maldives credit
ratings downgrade, investor
confidence drops, and the foreign
investors begin exiting. The situation
will worsen as high levels of
government funding will be needed to
support public services which will
result in debt servicing ratios going up.
• Support a shift to e-commerce and e-
services. Workplace flexibility is a new
norm which the government must
support. In terms of regulatory and
incentive mechanisms, the About the author
government should prepare to be
Ms. Aishath Isra Abdulla (holds a bachelor’s
receptive in its adoption of new degree, double major in banking and finance and
technological innovations by international business) is the Research Officer for
businesses and the public. Maldives Capacity Development and Governance
Institute (MCDGI), and an intern at Maldives Islamic
• Prioritise and implement vocational Bank. Ms. Aishath has exposure to the insurance
training as the Maldives needs to and banking sector through her research and
internships and her passion for the banking drives
reskill its existing workforce as we face
her to read and understand about the banking and
a fundamental shift in the skills finance sector in the Maldives. Ms. Aishath is an
required post-pandemic. Enhanced advocate for Human rights, Gender and Youth and
digitisation combined with remote is an active member of the Women & Democracy
NGO.
ways of working means reskilling and
upskilling is needed.
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
www.finance.gov.mv/covid-19/government-
overview> [Accessed 15 December 2020].
finances/financial-assistance> [Accessed 15
• 2020. Weekly COVID-19 Spending Report.
December 2020].
[ebook] Ministry of Finance. Retrieved from:
<https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/
• World Bank. 2020. World Bank Discusses
2020/04/22/pr20185-maldives-imf-executive-
Opportunities For Maldives To Build Back
board-approves-disbursement-to-address-
Better From COVID-19. Retrieved from:
covid-19#:~:text=AddThis%20Sharing%20But
<https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-
tons-,IMF%20Executive%20Board%20Approv
release/2020/12/09/world-bank-discusses-
es%20a%20US%2428.9%20Million%20Disbu
opportunities-for-maldives-to-build-back-
rsement%20to,Address%20the%20COVID%2
better-from-covid19>.
D19%20Pandemic&text=The%20government
en/publications/youth-maldives>.
• Ministry of Finance. 2020. MVR 2.5 Billion
<https://www.finance.gov.mv/media/news/
mvr-25-million-economic-recovery-plan>.
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
Introduction Definition
Developing countries, except some that The System of National Accounts (SNA) of
export oil, often experience chronic the United Nations (UN) defines FDI as
balance of payments deficits, dwindling follows: “Foreign direct investment is the
foreign exchange reserves and declining category of international investment that
national incomes. In turn their ability to reflects the objective of a resident entity in
finance development efforts is adversely one economy to obtain a lasting interest in
affected. To fill such gaps, countries turn an enterprise resident in another
to international financial resources. economy” (UN, 2009). SNA is a statistical
framework that provides a
The flow of inter national financial
comprehensive, consistent and flexible set
resources takes two main forms: public
of macroeconomic accounts for
development assistance, alternatively
policymaking, analysis and research
known as foreign aid; and, private foreign
purposes. It is produced and released
i n v e s t m e n t , m o s t l y f o re i g n d i re c t
under the auspices of the UN, the
investment (FDI) undertaken mainly by
European Commission, the Organisation
multinational corporations (MNCs, also
for Economic Co-operation and
sometimes referred to as MNEs
Development, the International Monetary
(multinational enterprises), TNCs
Fund and the World Bank Group.
(transnational corporations) or TNEs
(transnational enterprises)). According to The SNA clarifies that for the balance of
SNA, “Conglomerates that include payments purposes, all corporations with
corporations resident in different countries foreign holdings of 10 per cent or more
are usually described as multinational are described as foreign direct investment
corporations” (UN, 2009). enterprises and special treatment of their
earnings is applied; and, while all foreign
But FDI is viewed as both bad and good.
controlled corporations are foreign direct
It is presented in some discussions as
investment enterprises, the reverse is not
“tantamount to postcolonial exploitation of
true, for example even a publicly
raw materials and cheap labour” (Moran,
controlled corporation may be a foreign
Görg, Seric, & Krieger-Boden, 2017), and
direct investment enterprise if, in addition
in some others from macroeconomic
to government controlling half of the
perspectives as generators of
equity, a further 10 per cent is owned by a
e m p l o y m e n t , h i g h p r o d u c t i v i t y,
non-resident.
competitiveness, and technology spill-
overs (Denisia, 2010, p. 53). The SNA definition of FDI is based on the
OECD’s Benchmark Definition of Foreign
This article presents an overview
Direct Investment “which sets the world
discussion of FDI theories and empirical
standard for FDI statistics” (OECD, 2008).
evidence cited in literature, followed by an
analysis of the FDI policy and performance
of the Maldives.
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
Theories
FDI does not flow in automatically. Table 1: FDI theories
One could assert that the ability of a
country to attract FDI largely
depends on that country’s structural
Market imperfections are
competitiveness in the world structural and come from
marketplace, and that the desired the deviations from the
level of competitiveness is perfect competition on the
determined not only by relative market of the final product,
Market as a consequence of an
prices and the productivity of factors imperfectio exclusivist and permanent
Hymer
, 1970
of production but also by that ns theory control on the rights of
country’s ability to gain access to property on technology,
and use effectively a range of MNC- access to resources, scale
economies, distribution
related products and services system and product
involving t e c h n o l o g y, differentiation.
telecommunication services,
managerial and accounting
methods, banking services, etc.
International production theories:
There have been a number of
theories (explanations) on why Demand
structure - Investment direction
entrepreneurs invest their money in a theory shows a higher attraction
country other than their own. to the countries with a
similar demand structure to Hicks,
Williams posits that literature on FDI
that in the country of origin, 1939
has traditionally focussed on two in relation to countries with
questions: (a) why firms invest in a different demand
foreign markets; and (b) which structure.
foreign markets to invest in. Location
(Williams, 2016). - What economic activity Phillips
theory
, 1958
needs to be located, where Weber
While the origins of FDI theory has and why? , 1929
roots in the works of Smith (Smith,
Eclectic
1776) and Ricardo (Ricardo, 1817), theory - The reasons for
more explanatory theories have been localisation are linked to
Dunni
developed in the last century. several advantages
ng,
generated by ownership, 1980
Table 1 presents a snapshot of some firm’s location and the
main FDI theories, including the international environment.
m a r k e t i m p e r f e c t i o n s t h e o r y, Internalisat Ronal
international production theories ion theory The development of
d
Coase
(among which are demand structure - transnational companies , 1937
theory, location theory, and electic Transaction allows the manipulation of Buckl
theory), and internationalisation costs the transactions within the ey and
theory firm, so as to minimise Casso
theory – the transaction costs theory. losses. n,
1976,
According to the market 1985
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foreign coutries to capitalise on their & Katsikeas, 1997). This gap, according
competitive advantages over competitors to Morgan and Katsikeas, is addressed
due to market imperfections for products initially by Dunning (1980) who addressed
and factors of production (Hymer, 1970). this issue in their international production
theory (table 2).
The market imperfections theory though,
does not explain why foreign production is According to the international production
considered the most desirable means of theory a firm locates a production facility
harnessing the firm’s advantage (Morgan in a foreign country due to specific
attractions there compared with resource employment … They have addressed the
implications and advantages of locating in issue of how best to pursue domestic
another country. While the theory holds policies to maximise the benefits of foreign
that resource differentials and the presence in the domestic
advantages of the firm play a part in economy” (OECD, 2002).
determining overseas investment
Empirical research abounds with evidence
activities, foreign government policy
of FDI in countries. They come each
including incentives may also significantly
f o c u s s e d o n d e fi n e d a re a s , w i t h
influence foreign investors’ attraction.
comparisons across sectors or countries
The internalisation theory (Table 1 again) and otherwise. For example, a work that
first developed by Coase (Coase, 1937) provided a discussion on the theoretical
and later investigated by Buckley (1982, underpinnings of the FDI-tourism nexus
1988) and Buckley and Casson (1976, concluded that empirical findings
1985) holds that firms develop their suggested that FDI positively impacted on
internal markets in situations where destinations and that the relationship
transaction costs are lower within the firm. between FDI and tourism is also of a bi-
Internalization therefore is a form of directional nature (Nunkoo & Seetanah,
“vertical integration bringing new 2018)
operations and activities, formerly carried
In an empirical research on the impact of
out by intermediate markets, under the
FDI and remittance inflows in developing
ownership and governance of the
Asia found that real effective exchange
firm” (Morgan & Katsikeas, 1997).
rate and economic growth were positively
While discussions and analyses on the influenced by both types of inflows (i.e.,
theory of FDI continues particularly among FDI and remittances) in developing
academic communities the world over, countries of Asia, but that the degree of
there are varying assertions on the matter impact of remittances were found to be
among which that “there is still no greater than FDI inflows; these findings
consensus on any superior or general supported the hypothesis that remittance
theory of FDI (Makoni, 2015). inflows were relatively more stable as
widely documented in other studies
Empirical evidence
(Sinha, Tirtosuharto, & Sengupta, 2019).
Whether there is (or is not) consensus that
In a cross-country sample of 68 countries
FDI does indeed brings net gains to a
over the period 1984-2004, Lautier and
country, governments of an indefinite
Moreaub found that evidence that that
number of countries successively develop
lagged domestic investment has a strong
their own or follow their predecessors’
influence on FDI inflows in the host
policies to attract foreign investment,
economy, which they believed implies that
liberalising FDI policies combined with
domestic investment is a strong catalyst
other policies to attract inward investment.
for FDI in developing countries and that
Indeed, for the OECD, “developing
MNCs do follow economic development.
countries, emerging economies and
This result, they believed, suggests that
countries in transition have come
investment promotion policies directed
increasingly to see FDI as a source of
towards domestic firms will be efficient to
economic development and
attract foreign investors as well (Lautier &
modernisation, income growth and
Moreaub, 2012).
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
system. While these Mauritius 456 216 379 480 372 472
establishments employed
some locals, employed more
imported labour from
neighbouring countries. Thus,
a k e y b e n e fi t t h a t i s
elsewhere attributed to FDI—
creation of jobs to employ
locals—did not appear to
have held entirely true in that
experiment.
Source: compiled by the author
For a comparative analysis, table 1, chart based on UNCTAD, 2020.
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
upward since the turn of the millennium. Academic and policy debate on FDI
However, there was negative growth of continues to thrive. While no one theory
FDI in 2009 (-12.9pc; global financial could capture all FDI across all sectors,
crisis), 2012 (-46.2pc; political instability), these theories do explain to a large
2014 and 2015 (-7.6pc and -10.6pc degree why and where to investors take
their money for production and sale of
respectively; political uncertainties).
goods and services in foreign countries.
The variation between the numbers
The conclusion of numerous empirical
corresponding to the Maldives in charts 1 studies on the relationship between FDI
and 2 may be due to methodological and economic development is that the
differences in compilation of data between effects of FDI are complex. Some others
the two sources, UNCTAD and World conclude that for developing countries in
Bank. particular, the inflow of foreign capital
contributes to improvements in balance of
The recent exponential growth of FDI in payments, leads to transfer of skills and
Maldives may be attributable to technology and creation of employment.
investment in the tourism industry. Here
The experience of the Maldives in FDI has
again, the issue of domestic employment
been short and mixed. Focussed efforts
stands out: more expatriates are
by the government since late 1980s to
employed in the industry than domestic attract foreign investors appear to bear
workers, somewhat negating an important some fruit, particularly in the tourism
benefit of FDI that generally holds true in industry. Whether this can be sustained
countries where foreign workers are far and if FDI can also be attracted to other
fewer than domestic workers. Due to an sectors of the economy remains to be
absence or paucity of data, it is difficult to seen.
ascertain that this is indeed the case in References
the Maldives.
Conclusion
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
The COVID-19 pandemic has been one of As households became their own
the worst disasters we have had to face. It protective bubbles tutors could no longer
has, in many ways, left a devastating mark tutor at homes — but some adapted;
on us. We were blindsided with no starting home based businesses
contingency plans to fall back on to producing delicacies or homemade food
adequately address the challenges that to order. While divers may have been hit
were unfolding day by day. hard by the lack of clients, they too
endured — life hacking their skills to catch
However, the human spirit continues to
lobster and other delicacies.
prevail. In a situation deemed as dire,
inescapable and near hopeless as this, In the last 10 months, despite economic
humankind has again seized the silver hardships, we have been witnessing to an
lining and mined it to the greater unprecedented increase in driven,
advantage. Undeterred individuals have individual, entrepreneurs and small,
faced the challenges head on; albeit with dynamic, businesses. It appears the job
face masks donned and personal market refuses to be shot down.
sanitizer's at hand, because it is largely
As to the quality of the services we have
not in our nature to sit back and let mere
seen from home food businesses alone;
circumstance dictate our lives.
they have been phenomenal, especially
With the onset of COVID-19, and given the circumstances. Products are
subsequent closing of borders, came the hygienically prepared, are mostly of
lockdown — and with it we witnessed exceptional quality and offer even greater
record job loss. Businesses shuttered. choice. They are authentic and Maldivian
Entire sectors, and industries, were in — something that we have been
clear need of almost immediate i n c re a s i n g l y d e n i e d i n c a f é s a n d
government bail-outs — lead restaurants due to operational costs and
breadwinners of families were suddenly, kitchen staff who lack local expertise in
and without warning, left out in the cold. the preparation of local food served to
Maldivian tastes. Also, dining
Many tutors, divers, chefs, instructors,
establishments had previously relied on
and other professionals had to adapt —
the same old menus they deemed were
they had to carve out their own space to
most popular, casting aside the more
survive. Many turned to the skills they had
“niche” products that home grown
seen initially as hobbies or, while carrying
businesses seem to thrive on.
on with their “day job”, took the
opportunity to try their hand at other Variety and quality doesn’t stop with the
things. food alone. Operators have also
embraced attractive, creative and, most
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
importantly, hygiene packaging. Throwing have a keener eye for business and are
a real-world example into the mix; the ever ready to to try their hand at trading.
sour varieties tray (Majaa) we enjoy at the
In our case, we now have in place most of
carts around Malé’s outer periphery have
the elements required for small
now been creatively repackaged and are
businesses to thrive. However, we need
served by home-based entrepreneurs —
encouragement and information so that
these delicacies are not only an
more and more new, and varied, ideas
experience to devour but also an
enter the market. It’s time to enculture an
experience to unravel.
educated, informed and conscientious
The prices? They are definitely on par with environment of entrepreneurship where
what they offer, since products are both everyone can benefit and where no one is
authentic and better packaged. Most of left behind or penalised due to lack of
the products are cheaper than their knowledge or opportunity.
restaurant equivalent. Payment is mostly
Statistics show that small and medium
contactless — through bank transfers.
enterprises constitute the largest
The distribution, logistics and marketing is employment pool in any economy and
another masterstroke that had been with the millennials now set to take the
hiding in plain sight even before the economy by storm the trend is to start
pandemic took hold; direct to the their own business early and make their
customer, marketed, at negligible costs, own way.
via social media — businesses post their
This is an opportune time. A time to come
products as frequently as they want or
up with a plan to engage and uplift small
need to until their limited supply for the
businesses and help them establish a
day is all sold out. This requires, at the
strong foothold.
most, engaging two bodies to track
orders and movement. But to encourage more start-ups within
our business eco system we need, goal
The dynamism of people who ventured
oriented, institutional reforms.
into the “unknown” with their own
businesses, and their entrepreneurial spirit We need to examine regulations, and
is testament that we should encourage policies, through a prism of enabling
and enable more to repeat the same. growth and transformation. While current
To badly* paraphrase, if it is fixing itself
regulations and policies might seem to be
then help it fix more.
“working” for us in this moment we need
It was in the 1980s that Malaysian Prime
to look ahead. In recent years meaningful
Minister, Dr Mahathir, encouraged and
change has been made in business
helped Malaysians to start their own
businesses. The PM fostered a climate of registration — you could register to
ideas, created awareness and deployed operate business easily as a sole
capital. Four decades later Malaysians proprietor or, if you have a friend or
investor, you could register as a
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
partnership. This process, which used to reducing regulations which impede the
take three days, can now be completed in entry, growth and restructuring of new
just a day. Going forward we need to look companies. All things aside, India’s
at ways we can further streamline approach to supercharging start-ups and
processes such as incorporations, businesses is definitely an approach we
bankruptcy, liquidations and other can re-engineer in order to meet our own
processes in a manner that maintains unique requirements, on our own terms.
fluidity and speed — we need to learn
This is the moment to harness our primed
from our past, hold on to the things that
human capital; to significantly move the
work, let go of the stuff that does not and
needle on commerce, and industry, as has
introduce concepts that focus on
never been seen before.
efficiency and forward momentum.
This is an opportunity we cannot pass up.
Currently there is no way to revive a
business once bankruptcy has been
declared. The owners have to wait for the
authorities to decide on the fate of their
company and there is no defined path.
Clearly each and every business will not
flourish and as such there must be a clear
path for investors to exit the business in a About the author
short time. Under the present process it Ali Khalid is the current Managing Director of the
could take at least two weeks for a state broadcaster, Public Service Media (PSM).
Previously, Ali has served State Media Television,
company to be liquidated. as the Chief Operating officer, it was during this
time the organization came in to contact with
I strongly believe institutional reform, modern management practices.
specially in the area of the swift
Later Ali served as the Chief Communications
restructuring of companies, will help start- Officer at the President’s Office Among his many
significant achievements is authoring the book
ups to more easily and efficiently partner
“Vazeefa ah Nukunna Iru”; a young person’s
with capital investors — which will drive initiation guide to joining the workforce. Ali has
spent a decade in media, with the same amount of
growth and in turn create increased
time spent in establishing and running his business
opportunity. interests. Ali has also served the Maldives
Industrial Fisheries Company Ltd and The
One of India’s biggest recent successes is Wataniya Maldives in Leading positions in the area
of Sales and Marketing. Ali holds an MBA and
the nation’s proactiveness when it comes
ambitiously pursue long distance running for
to improving its start-up ecosystem. One fitness and hobby.
of the biggest economies in the world,
India has systematically addressed
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
Maldivian government that Sri Lanka Complex in L. Maandhoo and the Koodoo
would start reducing import of Maldives Fisheries Complex at G.A Koodoo were
fish from 1972 to be totally eliminated in 7 opened during the period 1992 – 1994.
years during which period they would The opening of the Koodoo complex
create and foster their own local dry fish marked the end of the many fisheries
production and would no longer have to
projects implemented by the Government
buy ‘umbalhakada’ from Maldives.
to develop the capacity of the fishery
Export of Maldive fish being the single sector.
foreign currency earner in 1971- tourism
was still a year in the future, the The fish purchase, processing and fishery
government rightly hustled to find development activities of the state were
alternatives. As a result of frantic effort, in undertaken by different state actors at
1972 vessels from Japanese Hoko and different times. These include the Maldives
Marubeni corporation started to buy fish Fisheries Corporation formed in June
directly from fisherfolk and Nippon 1979, the Dhekunuge Mas Ganna Project
Corporation built a small 8 MT cannery in (DMP) under STO, the Export Department
Felivaru in 1977.
of STO, and the Fisheries Projects
In 1982, the world market for tuna Implementation Department of STO. The
crashed prompting the foreign companies Maldives Industrial Fisheries Company
to inform the state that they could no (MIFCO), since 1st November 1993 is the
longer afford to buy the harvest of the l a t e s t g u i s e u n d e r w h i c h fi s h e r y
fisherfolk at the prices the government
development effort were undertaken. All
required. With no successful conclusion,
these different guises, under different
they decided to cease their purchasing
and processing operation and leave the names at different times are but the single
country. The decision of the government manifestation of the state’s decision to
in 1982 was to invest to develop the fishery industry and
to create means to continue to buy and
purchase the assets of the foreign
process the harvest of the fisherfolk.
companies and continue purchasing and
processing fish from the fisherfolk. Impact of the many development
During the same year, in 1982, several projects
government-initiated projects came alive The fishery development projects
to help develop the fishery industry. These propelled the fishery industry onwards and
include the Maldives Fish Wealth helped to grow the harvesting capacity to
Exploitation Project (MFWEP) to build 65 almost 3 times from an average of 50,000
dhonis to be given under long term lease tons in the 80’s to an average of 148,000
to fisherfolk, 3 freezer vessels to transport tons in the first decade of the new
fish, 3 ice plants and 3 fuel tanks. Another millennium. Record harvests were
project to upgrade Felivaru cannery from 8 received in 2006 at 184,000 tons after
to MT to 50 MT which included amongst which fishing had plateaued around
its components an alongside jetty and 120,000 thousand tons annually.
expanded the cold storage capacity was
also begun. The Maandhoo Fisheries
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
reported in official statistics at 2.5m Mrf of Statistics, the entry came in at just 16.8
earnings and listed as Fresh or Chilled mts at a value of 2.5m Mrf, of export
Tuna in 1995. earnings; a modest 0.43% of total
merchandise export earnings for that year.
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
company’s assets in bad repair, incapable losing GDP share. Similarly, in Australia
to keep pace with private investments and and the US too, the primary industry is
unable to meet the expectations of the able to exert influence and attract subsidy
fisherfolk resulting in much discontent that may not be explained by their
evident in the fishery industry. economic significance.
The importance of the primary sector in all And the best way to explain this strength
economies of the primary industry is to examine their
voting power. The strength of their
Countries tend to protect their primary
collective vote in deciding who gets
industries for a variety of reasons. The
elected to decision making bodies
favorite and perennially touted reasons
including the national parliament,
around food security have always been a
especially from rural, farming and coastal
common theme. Covid 19 have laid bare
areas. As long as this power remain, the
the importance of our primary industries
interests of primary industries will be the
while presently accounting for less than
most important issues for members
5% in GDP share. As lockdowns gripped
representing such districts and
the country and borders were closed
consequently onto the larger state
around the world, much of the population
agenda.
were dependent on landings from
fisherfolk and modest harvest of local Therefore, apart from well-meant, and
farmers for nutritional needs. Countries often quickly forgotten statements around
with richer primary industries were able to food security, it is almost inevitable that
offer greater comfort to their people and the fishery industry of this island nation will
were able to endure stricter lockdowns. continue to play a significant role in the
Therefore, the importance of nurturing and national agenda.
growing the primary sector, which of
Whither Mifco?
course in the local context is largely the
fishery industry, has become of additional As stated above, Mifco is only the present
national significance reincarnation of state involvement to
develop the fishery sector and ensure that
Additionally, throughout the world, farmers
the landings of the fisherfolk are
and fisherfolk, are often able to punch
purchased and processed for export. It
above their economic weight when it
had been evident from the dawn of the
comes to political power. While the fishery
new millennium that investments by
industry in UK account for only 0.1% of
fisherfolk had overtaken the infrastructure
GDP, much of the argument about Brexit
that had been developed by the state.
and much of the unhappiness in post
Brexit UK arises from the terms agreed Because fishery is the main primary
regarding the access to UK’s seas. Farm industry of the country and the
subsidies are the largest line item in the importance of the fishery sector as the
EU budget even while agriculture account essential source of food security has been
for only a 1.1% share of GDP. The rice recently highlighted, it is evident that the
farmers in Japan receive ever increasing state will continue to be involved in the
state budgetary support even while their development of the fishery sector. As also
numbers continue to decline all the while discussed above because all Maldivians
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MALDIVES ECONOMIC REVIEW DECEMBER 2020
grow up by the sea and are essentially This is evident with what has happened to
fisherfolk, their clout and importance will the yellowfin fishery. It was started much
not diminish in the political sphere. All as an experiment effort by Mifco in 1990.
governments, regardless of their political Today Mifco exports of fresh yellow fin has
leanings, attempt to keep fisherfolk in their plummeted to negligible volumes and
favor.
private sector dominates the fishery
resulting in private earnings being well
Maldives have been blessed with close to above stated earning for domestic exports
a million cubic kilometers of EEZ with a for the past 5 years.
variety of marine wealth. We are all aware Conclusion
of a variety of other marine species that
can be profitably and sustainably The importance of the fishery industry for
harvested including mahi-mahi, deep sea reasons of food security, the essential
crabs and lobsters. Cuttlefish too, are primary industry, and because of their
regular visitors to our harbors and sea political influence will never cease. The
trials of Diamondback squid has been state will always play an influential role in
s u c c e s s f u l . M a r i c u l t u re , t a r g e t i n g
determining the dynamics of the fishery
snappers and groupers, which have been
industry. Presently much of this effort is
in commercial production in many
countries for more than a decade, are only managed through Mifco.
now being trialed here in the Maldives. Mifco is only the present corporate identity
The wealth of the larger Indian Ocean is of the states’ effort to assist fisherfolk and
also presently not being explored by us.
develop of the industry. The state, might
There’s no doubting that our fishery decide to convert and manage that effort
industry needs to be diversified and that through some other agency and the name
there’s much scope and potential yet to Mifco might be stricken off the corporate
be explored. Yet, understandably private register of the country. Yet, there is no
companies shy away from experimental
doubting that the state will always engage
effort and can only invest in activities that
in the effort to sustain and develop fishery
would assure net returns to their
shareholders. When they are confident of of this country, this island nation of
the returns, they will invest and do it better Maldives.
that their state-run counterparts.