Republic of the Philippines

Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao

PHILIPPINE ENGINEERING AND AGRO-INDUSTRIAL COLLEGE, INC.
Marawi City

ModuleNo.1:
Module No.3:Introduction
Trip Generation
to Highway Engineering and Traffic Analysis

TIME FRAME: 1 Week Lecture

TRIP GENERATION

 The objective of Trip Generation Model is to forecast the number of person-trips or tripmakers
that will begin (Origin) or end ( Destination) in each travel analysis zone within the area for a
typical day of the target year.

 Prior to its application it must be calibrated using observations during the base year.

 The total number of person-trips generated constitute the dependent variable Q I of the model.

 The independent or explanatory variables include land use and socioeconomic factors that have
been shown to bear a relationship with trip making.

 The numerical values must be supplied during calibration base on the land use and socioeconomic
projection phase

 Typical trip generation study involves a residential trip production and a non-residential trip
attraction models.
TRIP GENERATION FLOW CHART ( procedure inputs and outputs flow)

land use a & socioeconomic target year

allocation by Zone

Calibrated Trip Generation Model

Trip-ends /person-trips Q I
Or
P I and A I

THREE MOST COMMON MATHEMATICAL FORMULATIONS OF TRIP GENERATION

MODELLING

 Regression Models

 Trip-Rate Analysis

 Cross-Classification Analysis

REGRESSION MODELS

- using the theory of least squares regression or the classified regression models as linear or
nonlinear on one hand and as simple or multiple regression on the other hand. The choice of these
depends on the experience and preliminary investigations of the matter.

- Correlation Ratio R or Coefficient of Determination R2

is the measure and basis.

EXAMPLE

 Linear Multiple Regression Model Form

Y = AO + A1X1 + A2X2 + A3X3 + A4X4 +…..+ AnXn

 Linear Simple Regression Model Form

 Y = a + bx

 Non-linear Multiple Regression Model Form

y = a + bx + cx2

 Non-linear Simple Regression Model Form

y = ae-bx or y = aebx

CATEGORY ANALYSIS
Trip Rate Analysis – Aggregate
Cross- classification Analysis = Disaggregate

HH Size Number of Cars/Households

1 2

No. of HH No. of Trips No. of HH No. of

Trips

1 100 200 50 150

2 200 500 100 350

3 150 450 50 200

>3 50 200 10 70
From the data, the average trip generation rate per category can be estimated by dividing the number of
trips by the number of households in each category

HH Size Number 0f Cars/ HH

1 2

1 2.0 3.0

2 2.5 3.5

3 3.0 4.0

>3 5.0 7.0

The trip generation rates are then applied to the forecasted number of households per category to obtain
the future trip generation.

HH Size Number of Cars/ HH

1 2

Estimated no. of HH in Estimated no. of Estimated no. of HH in Estimated no. of

the future Trips/Trip generation the future Trips/Trip Gene
in the future in the future

1 200 400 400 1200

2 250 625 625 2188

3 100 300 300 1200

>3 50 250 250 1750