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ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS SUMMIT

MAY 7TH 2018

Speaker:
Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA (Managing Director, CAIA)

Panel:
Dan Schwartz, CFA (Vice President, AQR)
Eileen Duff (Managing Partner, iCapital)
David Hemming (Senior PM, PowerShares by Invesco)
ABOUT CFA ORLANDO

CFA Society Orlando was founded in 1993


as a chapter of CFA Institute, a nonprofit
member organization of investment
professionals. Today we have over 160+
active members and continue to grow with
in our local community.

MISSION: Our mission is to foster a vibrant


and ethical investment community by
delivering member value, developing
finance professionals, and building market
integrity in central Florida.

CFA Society Orlando 2


STAY CONNECTED!

cfaorlando.org

CFA Society Orlando

@CFASocietyOrlando

@CFAOrlandoFL

CFA Society Orlando 33


ANNUAL SPONSORS

GOLD SILVER

CFA Society Orlando 4


EVENT SPONSORS

GOLD SILVER

CFA Society Orlando 5


The State of Alternative
Investments: A Global View
Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA

Showcase your Knowledge @CAIA_Keith Black


@CAIAAssociation
About CAIA Association

The global leader in alternative investment education


 Non-profit established in 2002, based in Amherst, MA, with
offices in Hong Kong, Singapore, Geneva, and London
 Over 9,000 current charterholders in more than 90 countries
 30 vibrant chapters located in financial centers around the
world
 More than 150 educational and networking events each year
 Excellence in AI education through the CAIA designation and
the Fundamentals of Alternatives certificate program

State of Alternative Investment – 7


Alternative Investment Education

Alternatives currently represent over $14 trillion in assets


under management, while assets in liquid alternatives
have grown substantially.

The CAIA Association Mission:


 Establish the CAIA designation as the benchmark for alternative
investment education worldwide
 Promote professional development through continuing education,
innovative research and thought leadership
 Advocate high standards of professional ethics
 Connect industry professionals globally

State of Alternative Investment – 8


The CAIA Charter Designation

 Globally recognized credential for professionals


managing, analyzing, distributing, or regulating
alternative investments.
 Highest standard of achievement in alternative
investment education.
 Comprehensive program comprised of a two-tier
exam process:
 Level I assesses understanding of various alternative asset classes
and knowledge of the tools and techniques used to evaluate the
risk-return attributes of each one.
 Level II assesses application of the knowledge and analytics
learned in Level I within a portfolio management context.
 Both levels include segments on ethics and professional conduct.

State of Alternative Investment – 9


Fundamentals of Alternative Investments

The Fundamentals of Alternative Investments certificate


program provides a foundation of core concepts in
alternative investments.
 Fundamentals fills a critical education gap for those
who need to understand the evolving landscape of
alternative investments.

 Online, 20-hour, self-paced course


 Earns CE hours for the CIMA®, CIMC®, CPWA®, CPA ®, and CFP®
designations
 Understand the core concepts in alternative investments
 Gain confidence in discussing and positioning alternatives

State of Alternative Investment – 10


Are US Equity Markets Rich?

S&P 500 P/E Ratio


35.00

30.00

25.00
S&P 500 P/E Ratio

20.00

15.00

10.00

5.00

0.00

Source: CAIA and Bloomberg. Data through February 2, 2018.

State of Alternative Investment – 11


Fixed Income 30+ Year Bull Market
18

16

14

12

10
Yield

-2

German Bund 10 Year US 10 Year


Source: CAIA and Bloomberg. Data through February 2, 2018

State of Alternative Investment – 12


Asset Class Performance
Ending
Sept
2017
Draw-
1 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr Ann. Vol down
S&P 500 18.6% 14.2% 7.4% 15.7% -45.8%
Barclays US Aggregate 0.1% 2.1% 4.3% 3.3% -3.0%
US 60/40 10.9% 9.3% 6.6% 9.1% -27.4%

MSCI World 18.2% 11.0% 4.2% 17.1% -49.0%


Barclays Global Aggregate -1.3% 0.5% 3.3% 6.2% -7.2%
Global 60/40 10.1% 6.8% 4.3% 11.0% -30.9%

Bloomberg Commodities -0.3% -10.5% -6.8% 19.7% -65.9%


HFRI Fund Weighted Composite 7.1% 4.7% 3.1% 7.4% -19.0%
NCREIF Timberland 3.3% 7.1% 5.2% 4.7% -5.7%
NCREIF Farmland 6.2% 12.7% 12.6% 5.5% 0.0%
NCREIF Property 6.9% 10.3% 6.2% 5.7% -23.9%
Cambridge Associates US Private Equity 16.8% 13.3% 9.6% 9.0% -25.1%
Cambridge Associates US Venture Capital 8.0% 14.1% 8.9% 8.2% -18.4%

Global Invested Alternative Assets Portfolio 8.3% 9.3% 6.3% 6.9% -21.9%
US 40% Stocks/40% Bonds/20% Portfolio 8.9% 8.4% 6.3% 7.3% -21.9%
Global 40% Stocks/40% Bonds/20% Portfolio 8.2% 6.5% 4.6% 8.8% -25.1%

Source: CAIA and Bloomberg. Quarterly returns. Annualized volatility and max draw-down are from December 2006 – September 2017.

State of Alternative Investment – 13


Public Pension Investment Returns Assumptions

 Nearly three-fourths of
Public Pensions have
reduced their investment
return assumption since
fiscal year 2010, resulting in
a decline in the average
return assumption from 7.9%
to 7.5%.

 Should projected returns


continue to decline,
investment return
assumptions are likely to
also to continue their
downward trend.

State of Alternative Investment – 14


Market Size of Investments

Traditional  Alternative 
Investments Investments
U.S. Equity $21,100  Private Equity $4,200 
Other Developed Market Equity $15,100  Hedge Funds $3,000 
Emerging and Frontier Market Equity $4,100  Real Estate Equity $6,700 
Infrastructure, Farmland, Timberland, 
Emerging Market Debt $3,000  $620 
and Private Energy
High Yield Bonds and Bank Loans $3,200  Commodity swaps, ETPs and MTNs $230 
Dollar Bonds $19,300 
Real Estate Debt $6,000 
Other Bonds $21,100 
Cash $5,100 
Total (in $billions) $98,000  Total $14,750 

Source: 2016 Estimates from Aon Hewitt, HFR, Barclays, Preqin

State of Alternative Investment – 15


Participation In Alternatives

Source: Preqin Investor Outlook: Alternative Assets, H1 2018

State of Alternative Investment – 16


Institutional Investor Allocation

Source: Preqin Investor Outlook: Alternative Assets, H1 2018

State of Alternative Investment – 17


Alternative Investment Allocations

 The largest endowments have average allocations of:


 13% US equity, 19% non-US equity, 11% in fixed income and cash
 24% hedge funds, 19% PE/VC, 14% real assets

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%
Real Estate Hedge Funds Private Equity + Venture Natural Resources
Capital

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2017

Source: NACUBO-Commonfund Study of Endowments, 2017

State of Alternative Investment – 18


Average SWF Asset Allocation

100%

90% 15.4% 16.2%


25.7% 27.5%
80%

70%
35.3%
40.0%
60%
41.0% 37.6%
50%

40%

30%
48.3%
20% 43.8%
33.3% 34.8%
10%

0%
2002 2007 2012 2014
Cash and Fixed Income Equities Private Markets

Source: “How do Sovereign Wealth Funds Invest? A Glance at SWF Asset Allocation,” E. Hentov, State Street Global Advisors, December 2015

State of Alternative Investment – 19


Avg. Asset Allocation by Investor Type
20.0%
19.0%

18.0%

16.0%

14.0%

12.0%
11.0% 11.0%

10.0%
9.0%
8.3%
7.9%
8.0% 7.4%
6.3% 6.2%
5.8% 6.0%
6.0% 5.4%

4.0% 3.5%
3.2%
2.5%
2.0%

N/A
0.0%
Private Equity Hedge Funds Real Estate Infrastructure
Private Pensions Public Pensions Sovereign Wealth Funds Endowments and Foundations

Source: Preqin 2016

State of Alternative Investment – 20


Key Issues Facing Hedge Funds in 2018

Performance 70%

Fees 65%

Perception of Industry by Public 38%

Volatility/Uncertainty in Global Markets 38%


Proportion of Respondents

Governance 21%

Transparency 19%

Regulation 19%

Pricing/Valuations 17%

Portfolio Management 13%

Interest Rates 3%

Notable Investors Exiting Asset Class 3%

Source: Preqin Investor Outlook: Alternative Assets, H1 2018

State of Alternative Investment – 21


Estimated Hedge Fund AUM Growth

$3,500
$3,210.7

$3,000

$2,500

$2,000

$1,500

$1,000

$500

$0

($500)
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Estimated Assets Estimated Asset Flow

Source: HFR® Global Hedge Fund Industry Report – Fourth Quarter 2017 | Copyright 2017. All rights reserved. | www.HedgeFundResearch.com

State of Alternative Investment – 22


Estimated Alternative UCITS AUM Growth

500 €
456.8 €
450 €

400 €

350 €
AUM (MioEur)

300 €

250 €

200 €

150 €

100 €

50 €

0€

Source: LuxHedge Database. Data as of December 31, 2017

State of Alternative Investment – 23


Liquid Alternative Market Growth

$500

$450

$400

$350

$300

$250

$200

$150

$100

$50

$0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Real estate-linked Nontraditional bond Bear Market Commodity Currency
Equity Market Neutral Long/Short Equity Managed Futures Multialternative

Source: CAIA and Morningstar

State of Alternative Investment – 24


Flows from Active Management

State of Alternative Investment – 25


Estimated Assets by Strategy

Alternative Total Hedge Fund


UCITS Industry

Source: HFR® Global Hedge Fund Industry Report – Third Quarter 2017 | Copyright 2017. All rights reserved. | www.HedgeFundResearch.com
State of Alternative Investment – 26
Estimated Number of Funds: HF vs. FoF

9,000

8,000

7,000

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

FoF HF

Source: HFR® Global Hedge Fund Industry Report – Fourth Quarter 2017 | Copyright 2017. All rights reserved. | www.HedgeFundResearch.com

State of Alternative Investment – 27


Funds with Inflows vs. Outflows

Single-Manager Funds Fund of Funds

Inflows
22.00%
Inflows
47.18%

Outflows
52.82%
Outflows
78.00%

Source: HFR® Global Hedge Fund Industry Report – Fourth Quarter 2017 | Copyright 2017. All rights reserved. | www.HedgeFundResearch.com

State of Alternative Investment – 28


Distribution of Industry Assets: Firm AUM Tier

By # of Firms By Firm AUM Size


1.01% 1.76% 2.68%
6.45% 3.64%

13.70%

22.05%
46.11%
7.46%

10.77%
68.86%

15.51%

< $100 Million $100 to $250 Million $250 to $500 Million < $100 Million $100 to $250 Million $250 to $500 Million
$500M to $1 Billion $1to $5 Billion > $5 Billion $500M to $1 Billion $1to $5 Billion > $5 Billion

Source: HFR® Global Hedge Fund Industry Report – Fourth Quarter 2017 | Copyright 2017. All rights reserved. | www.HedgeFundResearch.com

State of Alternative Investment – 29


Rising Sector Dispersion

3 Year Rolling Correlation with S&P 500 Index


1.00 $3.00

0.90

$2.50 0.91 - Technology


0.80
0.91 - Industrials
0.90 - Consumer Discretionary

Growth of $1 with the S&P 500 TR


0.70 0.85 - Financials
$2.00 0.83 - Materials
0.81 - Health Care
0.60
0.79 - Average
Correlation

0.75 - Consumer Staples


0.50 $1.50
0.69 - Energy
0.41 - Utilities
0.40 $2.24 - Growth $1 of SPX

$1.00
0.30

0.20
$0.50

0.10

0.00 $0.00

Source: CAIA and Bloomberg. Data through February 6, 2018

State of Alternative Investment – 30


Private Capital AUM by Asset Class

6,000

5,000 4,925

4,582
4,268
Assets under Management ($bn)

3,944
4,000 3,805

3,288
3,038
3,000
2,758
2,456
2,238 2,258

2,000
1,673

1,215

1,000

0
Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Jun-17
Private Equity Private Debt Real Estate Infrastructure Natural Resources

Source: Preqin Online Products

State of Alternative Investment – 31


Private Capital Dry Powder by Asset Class

2,000

1,800
181

1,600
160

1,400
249
Dry Powder ($bn)

1,200
234

1,000

800

600
1,004
400

200

0
Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Private Equity Private Debt Real Estate Infrastructure Natural Resources

Source: Preqin Online Products

State of Alternative Investment – 32


Private Equity Assets Under Management

3,500

3,000
2,829

2,582
2,500 2,388
Assets under Management ($bn)

2,242
2,189

2,000 1,947
1,807
1,733
1,586
1,477
1,500 1,430

1,162

1,000 888
713
663
582 594 598
500

0
Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Jun-17
Dry Powder ($bn) Unrealized Value ($bn)

Source: Preqin Private Equity Online

State of Alternative Investment – 33


Private Equity Dry Powder by Fund Type

1200

1000
954

838

800
754
Dry Powder ($bn)

682 675 674 689


635 619
599
600 560
528

388
400
325 311
307 291
256

200

0
Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Buyout Venture Capital Growth Other

Source: Preqin Private Equity Online

State of Alternative Investment – 34


Annual Capital Called up and Distributed by
Private Equity Funds

600

500

400

300

200

100

0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 H1 2017

-100

-200
Capital Called up ($bn) Capital Distributed ($bn) Net Cash Flow ($bn)

Source: Preqin Private Equity Online

State of Alternative Investment – 35


Venture Capital Public Market Equivalent

1.40 If PME index value (X) is >1, private


equity has outperformed the public
market

1.30

1.20

1.10
PME Value (X)

1.00
KS PME Using Russell 2000 TR (X)

0.90

0.80

0.70

0.60
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Vintage Year

Source: Preqin Online Products . As of June 2017

State of Alternative Investment – 36


Venture Capital Deals* Completed Globally

14,000 200
13,019
182 180
12,015 11,944
12,000
10,980 11,145
160

9,920 148
10,000 143
140

Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)


8,313
120
8,000
No. of Deals

6,804 100 100

6,000 5,506
5,308 5,431 80

62 60
4,000 58 58
50
45 46
40
37
2,000
20

0 0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
No. of Deals Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)

Source: Preqin Online Products


*Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, secondary stock purchases and venture debt.
State of Alternative Investment – 37
Number of Venture Capital Deals* by Region

14,000

12,000

10,000

8,000
No. of Deals

6,000

4,000

2,000

0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
North America Europe Greater China India Israel Other

Source: Preqin Private Equity Online.


*Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, secondary stock purchases and venture debt.

State of Alternative Investment – 38


Aggregate Value of Venture Capital Deals*
by Region

200

180

160

140

120
No. of Deals

100

80

60

40

20

0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
North America Europe Greater China India Israel Other

Source: Preqin Private Equity Online.


*Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, secondary stock purchases and venture debt.

State of Alternative Investment – 39


Unlisted Natural Resources Dry Powder by
Primary Strategy

250

200
1
5
6
1
4
6
1
5 Water
0 5
150 4
7
1 Timberland
5
8
Metals & Mining

0
4
100 4 163 Energy
1
4 152
2
0
2 0
2 0 135 Diversified
2 1 3
2 123
0
1
2 Natural Resources
111
Agriculture/
91 Farmland
50 0
1 78
63 73 70 70

40

11 11 11 10
8 5 9
7 9 6 8 7 9 8 10 8
0 1 2 3 2 3 3 5 6

Source: Preqin Natural Resources Online

State of Alternative Investment – 40


Unlisted Natural Resources Funds in Market by
Primary Geographic Focus

120
112

100

80

67

60 58
54

40

27
22
20 17

0
North America Europe Asia Rest of World
No. of Funds Raising Aggregate Capital Targeted ($bn)

Source: Preqin Natural Resources Online. As of January 2018

State of Alternative Investment – 41


Natural Resources

Sectors that Investors View as Presenting the Best Opportunities, 2016 vs.
2017
50%

45%

40%

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%
Agriculture/ Conventional Renewable Metals & Timberland Water
Farmland Energy Energy Mining
12/1/2016 12/1/2017

Source: Preqin Online Products

State of Alternative Investment – 42


Natural Resources

Investor Views on the Macroeconomic Factors that Had the Biggest Impact
on Their Natural Resources Portfolios in 2017 vs. Predictions for 2018
37%
Commodity Price Movements
49%
11%
Geopolitical Landscape
10%
11%
Possibility of Interest Rate Rises
7%
9%
Low Interest Rates
10%
7%
Currency Market Movements
8%
7%
Unwinding of Central Bank Balance Sheets
0%
6%
US Trade Policy
5%
6%
US Domestic Policy
7%
4%
Equity Market Movements
3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%


2018 2017

Source: Preqin Investor Interviews, December 2017

State of Alternative Investment – 43


0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60

(0.80)
(0.60)
(0.40)
(0.20)
1/1/1994
7/1/1994
1/1/1995
7/1/1995
1/1/1996
7/1/1996
1/1/1997
7/1/1997

State of Alternative Investment – 44


1/1/1998
7/1/1998
1/1/1999
7/1/1999
1/1/2000
7/1/2000
1/1/2001
7/1/2001
Hedging Inflation

1/1/2002
7/1/2002
1/1/2003
7/1/2003

S&P 500
1/1/2004
7/1/2004
1/1/2005

Source: CAIA and Bloomberg. Data through February 28th 2018


7/1/2005
1/1/2006
7/1/2006
1/1/2007
7/1/2007
1/1/2008
7/1/2008

Bloomberg Commodity
1/1/2009
36 Month Rolling Correlation to CPI

7/1/2009
1/1/2010
7/1/2010
1/1/2011
7/1/2011
1/1/2012
7/1/2012
1/1/2013
7/1/2013
1/1/2014
7/1/2014
1/1/2015
7/1/2015
1/1/2016
7/1/2016
1/1/2017
7/1/2017
1/1/2018
Inflation Betas

Where can institutional investors turn to hedge their inflation


risk?
 Studies have found that a few assets can hedge inflation risk
(positive inflation beta), while the majority of institutional
assets have a risk to rising inflation (negative inflation beta)

20 Year US  S&P 500 3 Month T‐ Farmland Commodity 


Treasuries bills Futures
‐3.1 ‐2.4 0.3 1.7 6.5

 Within equities, smaller cap stocks and less capital intensive


sectors have even greater inflation risk
 In practice, many institutions build a real assets allocation,
investing 5% to 20% of the portfolio in timberland, farmland,
linkers and commodity futures

“Deflating Inflation: Redefining the Inflation-Resistant Portfolio”, Bernstein Global Wealth Mgmt, 2010

State of Alternative Investment – 45


Timing Commodity Investments

 Average Returns by Stage of the Business Cycle,


1959-2004

Stocks Commodities

Early Expansion 16.3% 6.8%

Late Expansion 10.4% 16.7%

Early Recession ‐18.6% 3.7%

Late Recession 19.7% ‐1.6%

Gorton/Rouwenhorst, “Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures”, Financial Analysts Journal, 2006

State of Alternative Investment – 46


Potential Demand: Rebalancing from Equities

 Commodity prices have declined while equity markets


have risen sharply

State of Alternative Investment – 47


Potential Demand: Electric Cars

 France and the UK have


banned the sale of new
gasoline and diesel
vehicles after 2040
 1 million electric vehicles
sold in 2017, half in
China, with estimates of
14 million vehicles per
year by 2025
 Growth in electric
vehicles is bullish for
natural gas, copper,
lithium, and cobalt and
bearish for gasoline and
lead
 Significant deficits of
cobalt expected
Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, and Benchmark Mineral Intelligence
through 2020
State of Alternative Investment – 48
Private Debt Assets under Management
700

600
Assets Under Management ($bn)

500

411
400

300

200

227
100

0
Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Jun-17

Dry Powder ($bn) Unrealized Value ($bn)

Source: Preqin

State of Alternative Investment – 49


Private Debt AUM by Fund Type (As of June 2017)

250

200

150

100

50

0
Direct Lending Distressed Debt Mezzanine Special Situations Venture Debt
Dry Powder ($bn) Unrealized Value ($bn)

Source: Preqin

State of Alternative Investment – 50


Private Debt Funds in Market by Fund Type

Yield Breakdown by Fund Type


100%

• Venture Debt: 20% 90%

Venture Debt

• Private Debt FoF: 10% – 12%


80%

70%
Special Situations

• Special Situation: 10.8% 60%

Fund of Funds

• Mezzanine: 8.8% 50%

40% Mezzanine
• Distressed Debt: 7.3%
30%

Distressed Debt
• Direct Lending: 7.5% 20%

10% Direct Lending

0%
No. of Funds Raising Aggregate Capital Targeted

Source: Preqin. As of January 2018

State of Alternative Investment – 51


Private Debt Geographic Focus

Private Debt Funds in Market by Primary Make-up of Investors in Private Debt


Geographic Focus (As of January 2018) by Location
200 100%
6% 8% 8%
178 6%
180 90%
9% 11%
160 80%
26%
140 70% 25% 24%

120 60%

100 50%
88
82
80 40%

60 30% 62%
58% 57%
42 44
40 31 20%

20 11 10%
8

0 0%
North America Europe Asia Rest of World Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18
No. of Funds Raising Aggregate Capital Targeted ($bn) North America Europe Asia Rest of World

Source: Preqin

State of Alternative Investment – 52


Dry Powder: Private Debt vs. Buyout

Growth of Dry Powder over the past 9 years:

• Private Debt has grown 77% • Buyout has grown 11%

600
535 530
500 476 477 473
447
423 432

400 388
Dry Powder ($bn)

360

300

215
190 196 196
200 176
131 132
111 104 116
100

0
Dec-08

Dec-09

Dec-10

Dec-11

Dec-12

Dec-13

Dec-14

Dec-15

Dec-16

Mar-17
Private Debt Buyout

Source: Preqin

State of Alternative Investment – 53


Key Challenges Facing Unlisted Infrastructure
Managers in 2018

Valuations 59%

Regulation 36%

Deal Flow 33%

Fee Pressure 23%

Performance 20%

Interest Rates 20%

Fundraising 20%

Volatility/Uncertainty in Global Markets 19%

Fulfilling Investor Demand 19%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


Proportion of Respondents

Source: Preqin Fund Manager Survey, November 2017

State of Alternative Investment – 54


Unlisted Infrastructure AUM

450

400

350
Assets under Management ($bn)

300
268
238
250

216
200 190
165

150 125 146

94
100
51 62
34
148 150

50 110 106 109


86 75
65 67 64 68

0
12/31/2007 12/31/2008 12/31/2009 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 12/31/2012 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 6/1/2017
Dry Powder ($bn) Unrealized Value ($bn)

Source: Preqin Online Products

State of Alternative Investment – 55


Investor Preference

Sectors that Investors View as Presenting the Best Opportunities

Energy (Excl. Renewables) 49%


Renewable Energy 46%
Transport 44%
Utilities 37%
Telecommunications 28%
Waste Management 18%
Social 13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Proportion of Respondents

Strategies that Investors View as Presenting the Best Opportunities

Core 47%
Opportunistic 36%
Core-Plus 36%
Value Added 28%
Fund of Funds 14%
Debt 12%
Secondaries 9%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Proportion of Respondents

Source: Preqin Investor Interviews, December 2017

State of Alternative Investment – 56


Open-Ended Infrastructure Fund Launches

60

50

40

30

20

10

0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
No. of Funds Already in Market No. of Funds Launched No. of Funds Liquidated

Source: Preqin Infrastructure Online

State of Alternative Investment – 57


Key Challenges Facing Private Real Estate
Managers in 2018

Valuations 62%

Deal Flow 37%

Interest Rates 33%

Performance 24%

Volatility/Uncertainty in Global Markets 24%

Exit Environment 19%

Fundraising 19%

Regulation 16%

Availability/Pricing of Debt Financing 15%

Fulfilling Investor Demands 11%

Fee Pressure 10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


Proportion of Respondents

Source: Preqin Fund Manager Survey, November 2017

State of Alternative Investment – 58


Index Return
(Rebased to 100 as of 31-Dec-2007

0
100
150
200
250

50
12/1/2007
3/1/2008
6/1/2008
9/1/2008

State of Alternative Investment – 59


12/1/2008
3/1/2009

Source: Preqin Real Estate Online
PrEQIn Real Estate
6/1/2009
9/1/2009
12/1/2009
3/1/2010
6/1/2010
9/1/2010
12/1/2010
3/1/2011

PrEQIn Private Equity


6/1/2011
9/1/2011
12/1/2011
3/1/2012
6/1/2012
9/1/2012
12/1/2012
3/1/2013

PrEQIn Infrastructure
6/1/2013
9/1/2013
12/1/2013
3/1/2014
6/1/2014
9/1/2014
12/1/2014
3/1/2015
PrEQIn Private Debt

6/1/2015
9/1/2015
12/1/2015
3/1/2016
6/1/2016
9/1/2016
MSCI US REIT

12/1/2016
3/1/2017
6/1/2017
Performance: PrEQin Index by Asset Class
Real Estate: Public Market Equivalent (PME)

1.3
If PME value (X) is >1, private
real estate has outperformed
the public market
1.2

1.1
PME Value (X)

0.9

0.8

0.7

0.6
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
KS PME Using MSCI US REIT KS PME Using S&P 500 TR

Source: Preqin Real Estate Online, All Regions

State of Alternative Investment – 60


Yield

0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1/1/2001
5/1/2001
9/1/2001
1/1/2002
5/1/2002
9/1/2002
1/1/2003
5/1/2003
9/1/2003

State of Alternative Investment – 61


1/1/2004
5/1/2004
9/1/2004
1/1/2005
5/1/2005
9/1/2005
1/1/2006
5/1/2006
9/1/2006

Source: CAIA and Bloomberg. Data through December 2017


Spread
1/1/2007
5/1/2007
9/1/2007
1/1/2008
5/1/2008
9/1/2008
1/1/2009
5/1/2009

US Avg. Cap Rate


9/1/2009
1/1/2010
5/1/2010
9/1/2010
1/1/2011
5/1/2011
9/1/2011
1/1/2012

US 10 Year Yield
5/1/2012
9/1/2012
1/1/2013
5/1/2013
9/1/2013
1/1/2014
5/1/2014
9/1/2014
1/1/2015
5/1/2015
9/1/2015
1/1/2016
5/1/2016
9/1/2016
1/1/2017
US Average Cap Rate vs. US 10 Year Yield

5/1/2017
9/1/2017
Closed-End Private Real Estate AUM

900

800

700
Assets under Management ($bn)

600

575 565
500 542
555
504
400
395 456

300 297
243 229 216

200 144

92
228 238 245
100 201 195
68 165 169 176 164
58 130 150 136
42 39 96
43
36 38 38 54
0 20

Dry Powder ($bn) Unrealized Value ($bn)

Source: Preqin Real Estate Online

State of Alternative Investment – 62


Closed-End Private Real Estate Dry Powder by
Strategy

120

100

80

60

40

20

0
12/1/2007 12/1/2008 12/1/2009 12/1/2010 12/1/2011 12/1/2012 12/1/2013 12/1/2014 12/1/2015 12/1/2016 12/1/2017
Debt Core Core-Plus Value Added Opportunistic Distressed

Source: Preqin Real Estate Online

State of Alternative Investment – 63


The CAIA Charter
The Global Benchmark In Alternative
Investment Education

September 2018 Exam


Global Presence
Member Asset Class Focus and Regional Distribution
CAIA Members work across a variety of asset classes globally.

Hedge Funds 65%

Fixed Income Alternatives 50%

Private Equity 45%

Real Estate 41%

Commodities 39%

Managed Futures 32%

Real Assets Infrastructure, Farmland,


Timberland 30%

Structured Products 29%

Venture Capital 18%

0 18 35 53 70

Americas
32%
Asia-Pacific
55%
Europe, Middle-East, Africa
13%

Data: Member Survey, May 2017


Membership Growth

10,000

9,000
8,000

6,000
5,700

4,000

3,265

2,000

561
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*

*2017 Data through May 2017


Level I Curriculum – Third Edition

Core Concepts
 Professional Standards & Ethics
 Introduction to Alternative
Investments
 Real Assets
 Hedge Funds
 Private Equity
 Structured Products
 Risk & Portfolio Management
Level II Curriculum – Third Edition

Advanced Core Concepts


 Professional Standards & Ethics
 Venture Capital & Private Equity
 Hedge Funds & Managed Futures
 Real Estate/Real Assets
 Commodities
 Structured Products Current & Integrated
Topics Available
 Manager Selection, Due Diligence & Free at
caia.org
Regulation
 Research Issues & Current Topics
 Risk & Risk Management
 Asset Allocation & Portfolio
Management
Level I Exam Topics

Approximate Exam
Level I Topic
Weight

Professional Standards and Ethics 15% – 20%

Introduction to Alternative Investments 20% – 25%

Real Assets including Commodities 10% – 20%

Hedge Funds 10% – 20%

Private Equity 5% – 10%

Structured Products 10% – 15%

Risk Management and Portfolio Management 5% – 10%


Level II Exam Topics

Level II Topic Approximate Exam Weight

Multiple Choice Constructed Response

Professional Standards and Ethics 0% 10%

Current and Integrated Topics 0% 10%

Asset Allocation and Institutional Investors 8-12% 0-10%

Private Equity 11-15% 0-10%

Real Assets 13-17% 0-10%

Commodities 5-7% 0-10%

Hedge Funds and Managed Futures 18-22% 0-10%

Structured Products 5-7% 0-10%


Examination Format and Scheduling

Level I Level II

Section 1: 100 questions / 120 minutes Section 1: 100 questions / 120 minutes
Section 2: 100 questions / 120 minutes Section 2: 3 essays / 120 minutes

Once you have purchased your Level I or


Both CAIA exams are administered
Level II exam, you will receive a
internationally in computerized format
confirmation email with a link that will
exclusively at proctored Pearson VUE
allow you to schedule your exam
test centers.
appointment.
Candidate Support & Tools

 Study guides outlining keywords and learning objectives


 Workbooks with sample exercises
 Candidate orientation sessions
 Study calculator to plan your course of study
 Third party preparatory course and programs
 Level I & Level II sample exams

Visit CAIA.org/preparing
Fees

Fees (in USD) Level I Level II Annual Membership (in USD)

Program Enrollment $400 Full $350

Exam Registration $1,250 $1,250 Affiliate $175

TOTAL $1,650 $1,250 Retired $175

Emerging Market* $100

Early Registration Discount -$100 -$100 2-Year Full $650

Retake Fee $450 $450

Curriculum cost (in USD) Level I Level II

Textbook & readings $125 $125

Standards of Practice handbook $0 $0 * Based on MSCI Emerging Market


Indices
Pass Rates

90%

70% Level I
70% 68%
67% 66% 66% 66% 67% 66% Level II
63%
61% 60%
59% 59%
57%

50%
CAIA Charter
Academic Partnerships - Americas
Academic Partnerships - EMEA

A complete list of CAIA’s academic partners globally can be found at caia.org.


Academic Partnerships - APAC

A complete list of CAIA’s academic partners globally can be found at caia.org.


Association Partnerships
Sample Employers

Pension Funds &


Banks Consultants Fund Managers Regulators
Endowments

Cambridge APG
HSBC Blackrock U.S. SEC
Associates
Citi Goldman Sachs MAS Singapore Teacher Retirement
Credit Suisse New England J.P. Morgan SFC Hong Kong System of Texas
Pension Consultants
UBS Morgan Stanley FCA UK Chicago Teachers
Mercer
Barclays Capital State Street CIMA Cayman Ontario Teachers
Willis Towers Watson CalPERS
Deutsche Bank
Harvard
Management Co.
CAIA is Preferred

Top companies seek to hire CAIA Charterholders.


Sample job postings from the CAIA Career Center

Risk Management - Associate International Relationship Senior Quantitative Research


Industry certifications, such as a Manager. CFA, CAIA or working Analyst. CFA, CAIA, CIMA
CFA, CAIA, or FRM, are a plus. toward preferred.

Equity Investment Research - International Trading Manager Senior Credit Specialist


Manager. CIMA, CAIA, and/or MBA, CFA, CAIA or CMT preferred CFA / CAIA / FRM / PRM is
CFA charter holders or candidates considered highly advantageous.
will be looked favorably upon.
Career Value of the CAIA Charter

Why maintain an active CAIA membership? Top 5 reasons from Members:

1 To use the CAIA designation.

To take advantage of CAIA Chapters’


educational and social events.
2
To maintain my knowledge of alternatives and
stay current in the industry through CAIA
3 publications and research.

To position myself for future career opportunities


4 and access the CAIA Career Center.

To access CAIA benefits through


5 Member News and volunteer opportunities.

Data: Member Survey, May, 2017


Member Benefits

 Use of CAIA marks in professional documents


 Chapter educational and networking events
 Global network of more than 9,000 Members
 Globally-recognized designation
 Education and Research at CAIA.org
 Self-evaluation Tool
 Ongoing Education
 CAIA Career Center
Exams September 2018 – Notable Dates

APR MAY JUNE JULY AUG SEPT

Early Regular
Level I Exam
Registration Registration Sept 3 – 14, 2018
Apr 2 – May 14, 2018 May 15 – Aug 6, 2018
Level II Exam
Sept 17 – 28, 2018
Global Business Development Contacts

AMERICAS ASIA-PACIFIC EUROPE, MIDDLE-EAST, AFRICA


Millissa Allen, CAIA Joanne Murphy Laura Merlini, CAIA
Amherst Hong Kong Geneva
Managing Director of Managing Director, APAC Managing Director of Business Development
Business Development direct: +852 3752 0495 direct: +41 796 154 491
direct: +1 413 549 3324 jmurphy@caia.org lmerlini@caia.org
mallen@caia.org
Tammy Johnston
Cody Durant Wendy Leung London
Amherst Hong Kong Global Business Development Associate
Business Development Manager Assistant Director, APAC tjohnston@caia.org
direct: +1 413 549 3313 direct: +852 3752 0495
cdurant@caia.org wleung@caia.org

Peter Douglas, CAIA


Singapore
Principal
direct: +65 6536 4241
pdouglas@caia.org
The CAIA Charter
The Global Benchmark In Alternative
Investment Education

www.caia.org
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS SUMMIT
MAY 7TH 2018

Speaker:
Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA (Managing Director, CAIA)

Panel:
Dan Schwartz, CFA (Vice President, AQR)
Eileen Duff (Managing Partner, iCapital)
David Hemming (Senior PM, PowerShares by Invesco)

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