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aper
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an
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thie time
sta ploning
nces betwen
th
time distane
aenge

gap time distances would

original
dala on a
peaks
The averago
or
ese

give the
various
of the
ycle,
for the followine
d u r a t i o n

aveage
average
ng series.
GiveJyearly
moving 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
E4 1994 1995 200
T8,9 19.2 19.1
Vear 17,.2
17) 17,7
18.1 202
Production (akh
tons) 2006 2007
2004 2005 2008
2002 2003
23.2 24.3 25,2 26.3 27.3
25.3 24.9

3 Yearly 3 Yearly
Production
Year moving total moving avermge
1994 17.2
52.2 17.40
1995 17.3
53.9 17.97
1996 177
55.8 18.60
1997 18.9
57.4 19.13
1998 9.
93 56.6 18.87
197
8.1 $7.6 19.20
2000
63.6 20
2001 20.2
2002 25.3 70.4 23.47
24.9 73.4 2447
2003
23.2 72.4 241.13
2004
2005 24.3 72.7 24.23
2006 25.2 75.8 25.27
2007 6.3 78.8 26.27
2008 27.3
Hint: Each valucofcolumn (3) is the sum of three values taken from column 4
startingwithfirst, starting with the second, the third etc, For example: 322
(172+173 17.7),53.9 (17.3+ 17.7+ 18.9) and so on. The sum is pl
eiore the middle year. Column (4) is obtained by dividing each figure m cou
0)ty 3. We have no moving average figures for first year and last ycal

Calkulate 7yearly moving average for the following data om 199

erof commercial and industrial failures in a country durm
2007
Vear 2000
19921993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
No, of families: 23 26 28 32 20 12 12 10
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
AR 13 11 14 12 9 3
 K.13

Values yearly movIng total |Uyearly moving average

3

53
21.19
20.0
17.6
08
154
12.4
I1.6
11.6
8 11.1
10.1
3
9.0

2006

wWork out the trend values by centred 4 yearly moving average

method for the following diata and plot the given values and trend values

on agraph.
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Thanage of cargo cleared : 102 1250 1180 1340 1212 1317 1452
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1549 1586 1476 1614 1586
Total o yearly 4 yearly
Year Valucs years moving moving average
average centred
IV
1997 I102
1998 1250
4872 1218
1999 1180 1231.75
4982 1245.5
2000 1540 1253.88
5049 1262.25
2001 1212
1296.25
5321 1330.35
2002 1317 1356.37
5530 1382.5
2003 1452 1429.25
5904 1476
2004 1549
6063 1515.75
1495.88
2005 S86 1536
2006 1476 6225 1556.25 1560.88
2007 62 1565.5
1614
2008 S85
Cachvalue of column Iilis the sumof fourvalues taken irOmo
Columan
 Forexanpe872-15o
from etc.
first, second, third the
ustarting at centre of
t s e flonr val

S01340.The sum is placed

and 1999 vae e oh
s placed between 1998 teo a d c s
column 111 by
4.
verage o1
ding cach figure of coun
VFe
fogare i

olumn IVis found out and shown in

Sshown against 1999.
We have no moving figunes
average figanes
fo
1998, 2007 and 2008
1620
1540
1460
138
1220
1140
1080
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2D07

EL 7: Find the trend for the following series using a three year weighte
1,2,1
movingaverage with weights
Year 5
Value 2 4 5 10 13
AnS
Year Values 3-yearly weighted S-yearty weighied
moving totals moving average
6)
' x2)+2x4)+(lx 5)-15 3.75
1x 4)+(2x 5)+(lx)-21 SS

(lx5)+(2x )+(l 8)-27

lx7)+2x 8)+(lx 10)-33 S
dx8)+x 10)+(lx 13)-41 05

Note: Column (3) is obtained by adding three eonsevue alees

column (2)after multiplying with weighs ,2 I respectiveb Co

5 obtained by dividing all values of cokuma (3) by toal weg