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3. People and firms make optimal forecasts based upon all available information
because:
A. Forecasting error is costly.
B. Optimal forecasting errors are zero.
C. Optimal forecasting errors are small.
D. All forecasting errors are small
8. Technical analysis:
A. is the study of past stock price data in search of patterns.
B. generates buy/sell rules that usually outperform the markets as a whole.
C. exploits the idea that stocks follow a random walk.
D. examines the role of unexpected events in determining stock prices
9. Which of the following is not part of the evidence against market efficiency?
A. Markets overreact to news and announcements.
B. Stocks with high returns now tend to have high returns in the future.
C. The January effect.
D. The small firm effect.
12. Which is not an implication of the stronger version of efficient markets theory?
A. There are unexploited profit opportunities.
B. Any investment is as good as any other.
C. Securities' prices are based on market fundamentals.
D. Securities' prices are correct.
13. The generalized dividend model of determining stock prices hypothesizes that
A. The price you are willing to pay for a stock depends only on the amount of the
dividends you expect to receive from the stock.
B. The price you are willing to pay for a stock today depends on the price you expect
it to be next year.
C. The price you are willing to pay for a stock depends upon both the dividends you
expect to receive and the capital gain you expect to get from owning the stock.
D. The price you are willing to pay for a stock depends on the present value of the
dividends you expect to receive from the stock.
15. “An efficient market is one in which no one ever profits from having better
information than the rest”. Why this statement is false?
A. Acting by better information is not allowed by market regulators and organized
exchange
B. People with better information make the market more efficient by exploiting
profit-making opportunities
C. An efficient market is one where the share prices never change
D. If markets follow a “random walk”, there is never opportunity for making profit
5. Suppose that you are asked to forecast future stock prices of ABC Corporation, so you
proceed to collect all available information. The day you announce your forecast,
competitors of ABC Corporation announce a brand new plan to merge and reshape the
structure of the industry. Would your forecast still be considered optimal?
7. Suppose that you decide to play a game. You buy stock by throwing a dice a few
times, using that method to select which stock to buy. After ten months you calculate the
return on your investment and the return earned by someone who followed “expert”
advice during the same period. If both returns are similar, would this constitute evidence
in favor of or against the efficient market hypothesis?
22. Compute the price of a share of stock that pays a $5 per year dividend and that you
expect to be able to sell in one year for $40, assuming you require a 5% return.
23. After careful analysis, you have determined that a firm’s dividends should grow at
15%, on average, in the foreseeable future. The firm’s last dividend was $1.5.
Compute the current price of this stock, assuming the required return is 20%