You are on page 1of 11

Tisco Financial Group

Mark-to-actual revision of lower provision,


but headwind trend remains

3Q22 earnings review 17 October 2022

TISCO reported 3Q22 net profit of Bt1.77bn, up 13.5% YoY and down 4.2% QoQ, which Equity
is in line with our forecast. Loan growth of 4.2% YoY is primarily from corporate (project
financing for utility and property firms) and small and medium-sized enterprise (SME)
Key Changes
loans (primarily for car inventory). A decrease in the provision ratio is the main reason
for the earnings increase YoY. Net profit fell QoQ due to a loss on investment of (Bt) Previous Current
Bt107mn (vs. 2Q22 gain of Bt176mn) and higher operating expenses. 2022E EPS 7.89 8.73
2023E EPS 7.61 7.65
Funding cost and credit costs have begun to rise 2024E EPS 8.14 8.12
Funding costs have risen for the second time in two quarters after falling in the previous
ten quarters. With the high interest rate environment, management expects funding Therapong Vachirapong ^^^
costs to rise gradually over the next few years, so it is shifting its focus to high-yield Research Analyst
Kiatnakin Phatra Securities
loans to mitigate the spread decline. It believes the spread will gradually decrease over +66 2 305 9207
therapong.vach@kkpfg.com
the next two years but will rise in the third year as high-yield loans improve the spread.
Bay Tuntisrisuk, CFA ^^^
We believe that this strategy will increase credit costs and non-performing loans (NPL) Research Analyst
which will offset future spread increases. Kiatnakin Phatra Securities
+66 2 305 9203
bay.tunt@kkpfg.com
Raising 2022E earnings while maintaining 2023E-24E
We are raising our earnings forecasts by 11% for 2022 but maintaining 2023E-24E due
to a lower provision mark-to-actual revision, but the headwind trend remains unchanged.
We expect 2022E net interest margin (NIM) to be 4.98%, down from 5.12% in 3Q22, but Stock Data
flat from 4.97% in 9M22, due to TISCO’s high proportion of retail loans (72% of total Price 93.75 THB
loans and mostly fixed rate), so a deposit rate increase of 20bps on 4 October will have Price Objective 74.00 THB
a negative impact on TISCO. We believe TISCO will face headwinds in the coming years Date Established 19-Jan-2022
as credit costs rise because of its high-yield loan strategy and negative re-pricing Investment Opinion A-3-8
effects as interest rates rise. We reiterate our Underperform rating. 52-Week Range 86.00 THB-101.50 THB
Mrkt Val / Shares Out (mn) 1,963 USD / 800.7
Estimates (Dec) (Bt) 2020A 2021A 2022E 2023E 2024E Market Value (mn) 75,061 THB
Net Income (Adjusted - mn) 6,063 6,785 6,989 6,123 6,505
Average Daily Value (mn) 7.94 USD
EPS 7.57 8.47 8.73 7.65 8.12
EPS Change (YoY) -16.6% 11.9% 3.0% -12.4% 6.2% Free Float 79.1%
Dividend / Share 6.30 7.15 6.11 4.59 4.87 BofA Ticker / Exchange THVSF / SET
Pre-exceptional EPS 7.57 8.47 8.73 7.65 8.12 Bloomberg / Reuters TISCO TB / TISCO.BK
Pre-exceptional EPS Change (YoY) -16.6% 11.9% 3.0% -12.4% 6.2% ROE (2022E) 16.5%
Book Value / Share 49.29 51.46 54.07 57.13 60.38
Valuation (Dec)
P/E 12.4x 11.1x 10.7x 12.3x 11.5x
Dividend Yield 6.72% 7.63% 6.52% 4.89% 5.20%
Pre-exceptional PE 12.38x 11.06x 10.74x 12.26x 11.54x
Price / Book 1.90x 1.82x 1.73x 1.64x 1.55x
RoE / PB 8.11x 9.23x 9.54x 8.38x 8.91x
Price / Pre-Provision Profit 6.89x 7.11x 8.05x 8.31x 7.86x

Issued by Kiatnakin Phatra Securities Public Company Limited ("KKPS") and distributed locally by
Kiatnakin Phatra Securities, under a Research Co-Operation Agreement with Merrill Lynch.

Kiatnakin Phatra Securities does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its
research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conf lict of
interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report
as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
Analyst Certification on page 6. Price Objective Basis/Risk on page 6. 12471161
SM
iQprofile
Key Income Statement Data (Dec) 2020A 2021A 2022E 2023E 2024E Company Sector
(Bt Millions) Financial Services-Consumer/Commercial
Net Interest Income 13,098 12,460 12,461 10,978 11,091
Net Fee Income 5,460 6,130 5,517 6,676 7,010
Securities Gains / (Losses) 269.86 410.11 53.21 0 0
Company Description
Other Income 331.44 281.01 283.82 286.65 289.52
Total Non-Interest Income 6,061 6,821 5,854 6,963 7,299 TISCO Bank (formerly TISCO Finance) provides a full range
Total Operating Income 19,159 19,281 18,315 17,940 18,390 of financial services including corporate loans, housing
Operating Expenses (8,325) (8,794) (9,063) (8,987) (8,919) loans, auto loans, financial advisory, and funding. TISCO's
Pre-Provision Profit 10,833 10,487 9,252 8,954 9,471 four key markets are: securities, hire-purchase (HP) loans,
Provisions Expense (3,331) (2,064) (623.46) (1,403) (1,445)
asset management/debt services, & corporate/retail
Operating Profit 7,503 8,423 8,628 7,550 8,026
Non-Operating Income NA NA NA NA NA finance. Concerns: TISCO may face a difficult operating
Pre-Tax Income 7,562 8,493 8,705 7,627 8,103 environment, including narrowing interest spread and
Net Income to Comm S/Hold. 6,063 6,785 6,989 6,123 6,505 slower HP loan growth. No ADRs.
Adjusted Net Income (Operating) 6,063 6,785 6,989 6,123 6,505
Key Balance Sheet Data
Total Assets 275,443 243,622 256,850 266,024 275,363 Investment Rationale
Average Interest Earning Assets 287,549 260,518 250,257 259,781 267,745 TISCO's consumer loan portfolio should be significantly hit
Weighted Risk Assets 167,948 163,661 173,816 179,197 184,745 by rising unemployment. The expected revenue losses and
Total Gross Customer Loans 226,714 204,662 214,486 220,921 227,548
higher credit cost would lower dividend yield on the stock,
Total Customer Deposits 203,473 166,542 176,534 182,007 187,467
Tier 1 Capital 30,399 30,488 32,037 33,850 35,775 which had been the key support for the share price
Tangible Equity 39,459 41,197 43,294 45,743 48,345 performance against a negative growth.
Common Shareholders' Equity 39,459 41,197 43,294 45,743 48,345
Key Metrics
Net Interest Margin 4.55% 4.78% 4.98% 4.23% 4.14%
Tier 1 Ratio 18.1% 18.6% 18.4% 18.9% 19.4%
Effective Tax Rate 19.8% 20.1% 19.7% 19.7% 19.7%
Loan / Assets Ratio 78.0% 79.2% 79.5% 79.5% 79.5% Stock Data
Loan / Deposit Ratio 105.6% 115.8% 115.7% 116.2% 116.8%
Price to Book Value 1.7x
Oper Leverage (Inc Growth - Cost Growth) 12.5% -5.0% -8.1% -1.2% 3.3%
Gearing (Assets / Equity) 7.0x 5.9x 5.9x 5.8x 5.7x
Tangible Common Equity / Assets 14.3% 16.9% 16.9% 17.2% 17.6%
Tangible Common Equity / WRAs 23.5% 25.2% 24.9% 25.5% 26.2%
Revenue Growth -0.7% 0.6% -5.0% -2.0% 2.5%
Operating Expense Growth -13.2% 5.6% 3.1% -0.8% -0.8%
Provisions Expense Growth 371.8% -38.0% -69.8% 125.1% 3.0%
Operating Revenue / Average Assets 6.7% 7.4% 7.3% 6.9% 6.8%
Operating Expenses / Average Assets 2.9% 3.4% 3.6% 3.4% 3.3%
Pre-Provision ROA 3.8% 4.0% 3.7% 3.4% 3.5%
ROA 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 2.3% 2.4%
Pre-Provision ROE 27.5% 26.0% 21.9% 20.1% 20.1%
ROE 15.4% 16.8% 16.5% 13.8% 13.8%
RoTE 15.4% 16.5% 16.1% 13.4% 13.5%
RoWRAs 3.6% 4.1% 4.0% 3.4% 3.5%
Dividend Payout Ratio 83.2% 84.4% 70.0% 60.0% 60.0%
Efficiency Ratio 44.1% 46.6% 49.6% 50.1% 48.5%
Headline Cost/Income Ratio 43.5% 45.6% 49.5% 50.1% 48.5%
Total Non-Interest Inc / Operating Inc 32% 35% 32% 39% 40%
Market-Related Revenue / Total Revenues 1.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0% 0%
Provisioning Burden as % of PPP 30.7% 19.7% 6.7% 15.7% 15.3%
NPLs plus Foreclosed Real Estate / Loans 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4%
Loan Loss Reserves / NPLs 210.5% 236.8% 202.1% 180.7% 160.0%
Loan Loss Reserves / Total Loans 5.5% 6.1% 5.0% 4.5% 3.9%
Provisions Expense / Average Loans 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7%

Other Metrics
Income / Employee 3.40 3.06 2.59 2.27 NA
(Operating Expenses) / Employee 3.40 3.06 2.59 2.27 NA
Pre-Provision Profit / Employee 1.92 1.66 1.31 1.13 NA
Net Profit / Employee 1.08 1.08 0.989 0.774 NA
iQprofile is a proprietary set of measures definitions of Merrill Lynch, which Phatra is permitted to use in this report purs uant to a Research
Co-Operation Agreement with Merrill Lynch.

Tisco Financial Group | 17 October 2022 2


Exhibit 1:
3Q22 slightly lowered QoQ
(Bt mn) 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 % QoQ % YoY
Total interest and dividend income 3,644 3,617 3,556 3,616 3,755 3.8% 3.0%
Total expenses on borrowings 551 510 495 510 533 4.6% -3.3%
Net interest income 3,093 3,108 3,061 3,107 3,221 3.7% 4.2%
Total provisioning expenses (254) (412) (85) (140) (119) -15.2% -53.4%
Net interest income after provision 2,839 2,696 2,976 2,967 3,103 4.6% 9.3%
Total non-Interest Income 1,085 1,735 1,358 1,457 1,257 -13.8% 15.9%
Gross income 4,178 4,842 4,419 4,564 4,478 -1.9% 7.2%
Personnel expenses 1,354 1,509 1,515 1,543 1,518 -1.6% 12.1%
Operating expenses 1,968 2,176 2,099 2,125 2,155 1.5% 9.5%
Profit before tax 1,955 2,255 2,235 2,300 2,204 -4.2% 12.7%
Tax expenses 395 460 439 451 433 -4.1% 9.7%
Profit after tax 1,561 1,795 1,796 1,849 1,771 -4.2% 13.5%
Minority interest (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) 4.4% 9.7%
Net profit 1,560 1,794 1,795 1,848 1,771 -4.2% 13.5%
Pre-provision profit 2,209 2,666 2,320 2,439 2,323 -4.8% 5.1%
EPS (Bt) 1.95 2.24 2.24 2.31 2.21 -4.2% 13.5%
Source: TISCO
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Exhibit 2:
Strong loan growth YoY
(Bt mn) 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 % QoQ % YoY
Assets 244,635 243,622 246,449 244,722 255,939
Investment in securities 13,143 10,124 10,527 9,246 8,322
Liquid assets 42,083 42,526 44,960 43,669 44,498
Hire purchase loans 114,511 112,400 111,432 109,173 109,076 -0.1% -4.7%
Loans 206,228 204,662 205,211 204,975 214,886 4.8% 4.2%
Total allowance (11,975) (11,740) (11,497) (11,298) (11,015) -2.5% -8.0%
Net loan and accrued interest 194,253 192,922 193,713 193,677 203,872 5.3% 5.0%
Non-earning assets 8,299 8,174 7,776 7,377 7,569 2.6% -8.8%
Total liabilities 205,224 202,422 203,450 205,472 214,915 4.6% 4.7%
Borrowings from public 168,813 166,542 171,435 168,879 182,540 8.1% 8.1%
Total borrowings 192,291 189,859 190,703 193,135 202,403 4.8% 5.3%
Equity 39,410 41,200 42,999 39,251 41,023 4.5% 4.1%
BV/S (Bt) 49.22 51.46 53.70 49.02 51.24
Source: TISCO
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Exhibit 3: s
Provision ratio remains low
3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 QoQ (bps) YoY (bps)
HP yield 6.18% 6.41% 6.45% 6.45% 6.45% -1bps +27bps
Loan yield 7.72% 7.75% 7.43% 7.64% 7.83% +19bps +10bps
Asset yield 5.78% 5.88% 5.76% 5.84% 5.97% +13bps +19bps
Deposit cost 1.11% 1.07% 1.04% 1.06% 1.09% +2bps -3bps
NIM 4.90% 4.82% 4.96% 5.02% 5.12% +11bps +22bps
Cost-to-income ratio 47.11% 44.94% 47.50% 46.55% 48.13%
RoA 2.43% 2.94% 2.93% 3.03% 2.84%
RoE 15.48% 17.81% 17.06% 18.38% 17.23%
NPL ratio 2.98% 2.44% 2.15% 2.20% 2.08%
Coverage ratio 196.5% 236.8% 262.1% 253.1% 248.0%
Tier-1 ratio 18.3% 18.3% 18.4% 18.3% 17.6%
CAR ratio 22.9% 22.9% 22.4% 22.2% 21.4%
Loan/deposit 106.3% 106.9% 106.7% 105.3% 105.3%
Liquid asset/asset 17.20% 17.46% 18.24% 17.84% 17.39%
Liquid asset/deposit 25% 26% 26% 26% 24%
Provisioning ratio 0.51% 0.82% 0.17% 0.28% 0.23%
Source: TISCO
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Tisco Financial Group | 17 October 2022 3


Exhibit 4: Forecast change October 2022
Raising 2022E earnings while maintaining 2023E-24E
Previous New Change
(Bt mn) 2022E 2023E 2024E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2022E 2023E 2024E
Net interest income 11,718 10,776 10,941 12,461 10,978 11,091 6% 2% 1%
Provision for bad debts (1,545) (1,379) (1,421) (623) (1,403) (1,445)
Net interest income after provisions 10,173 9,396 9,521 11,837 9,574 9,646 16% 2% 1%
Non-interest income 6,162 6,579 6,909 5,473 6,572 6,899 -11% 0% 0%
Gross income 17,880 17,355 17,851 17,933 17,549 17,990 0% 1% 1%
Operating expenses 8,472 8,386 8,309 8,605 8,519 8,442 2% 2% 2%
Profit before tax 7,864 7,590 8,121 8,705 7,627 8,103 11% 0% 0%
Taxes 1,548 1,494 1,599 1,714 1,501 1,595 11% 0% 0%
Net profit 6,313 6,093 6,520 6,989 6,123 6,505 11% 0% 0%
Pre-provision profit 9,409 8,969 9,542 9,328 9,030 9,548 -1% 1% 0%
Source: TISCO, Kiatnakin Phatra Securities estimates
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Exhibit 5: Key assumptions October 2022


Raising loan growth while lowering provision ratio
Previous New Change
(Bt mn) 2022E 2023E 2024E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2022E 2023E 2024E
Gross loan 209,038 215,309 221,769 212,692 219,072 225,644 2% 2% 2%
Borrowing 193,357 198,709 204,221 200,802 207,165 213,540 4% 4% 5%
Loan yield .85% 7.14% 7.28% 6.90% 7.15% 7.28%
Funding cost 1.38% 2.38% 2.63% 1.09% 2.34% 2.59%
NIM 4.74% 4.26% 4.20% 4.98% 4.23% 4.14%
Cost to income 47.4% 48.3% 46.5% 48.0% 48.5% 46.9%
Provision ratio (bps) 75 65 65 30 65 65
NPL coverage ratio 219% 197% 177% 202% 181% 160%
RoE 15.0% 13.8% 13.9% 16.5% 13.8% 13.8%
RoA 2.6% 2.4% 2.5% 2.8% 2.3% 2.4%
EPS (Bt) 7.89 7.61 8.14 8.73 7.65 8.12 11% 0% 0%
BVPS (Bt) 53.82 56.86 60.12 54.07 57.13 60.38 0% 0% 0%
Source: TISCO, Kiatnakin Phatra Securities estimates
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Exhibit 6: TISCO Hire purchase (HP) loan growth Exhibit 7: TISCO Cost to income
HP loans are still declining Cost to income is rising

55%
40%

30% 50%

20%
45%
10%
40%
0%

-10% 35%

-20% 30%
1Q10 2Q11 3Q12 4Q13 1Q15 2Q16 3Q17 4Q18 1Q20 2Q21 3Q22 1Q10 2Q11 3Q12 4Q13 1Q15 2Q16 3Q17 4Q18 1Q20 2Q21 3Q22

Source: TISCO, Kiatnakin Phatra Securities Source: TISCO, Kiatnakin Phatra Securities
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Tisco Financial Group | 17 October 2022 4


Exhibit 8: TISCO Funding cost Exhibit 9: TISCO NIM vs. policy rate
Funding cost has begun to rise When policy rate rises, NIM falls
4.5%
6% 0%
4.0%
NIM Policy rate
3.5% 1%

Policy rate (reversed scale)


5%
3.0% 2%
2.5%
4% 3%

NIM
2.0%
1.5% 4%
3%
1.0% 5%
0.5%
2% 6%
0.0%

1Q02
2Q03
3Q04
4Q05
1Q07
2Q08
3Q09
4Q10
1Q12
2Q13
3Q14
4Q15
1Q17
2Q18
3Q19
4Q20
1Q22
1Q10 2Q11 3Q12 4Q13 1Q15 2Q16 3Q17 4Q18 1Q20 2Q21 3Q22

Source: TISCO, Kiatnakin Phatra Securities Source: TISCO, BoT, Kiatnakin Phatra Securities
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Exhibit 10: TISCO Provisioning ratio Exhibit 11: TISCO - Pre-provision profit RoE
Provisioning ratio is low Pre-provision profit RoE continues to fall

3.0%

2.5% 50%

2.0%

1.5%
30%
1.0%

0.5%

0.0% 10%
2Q02 2Q05 2Q08 2Q11 2Q14 2Q17 2Q20 1Q10 2Q11 3Q12 4Q13 1Q15 2Q16 3Q17 4Q18 1Q20 2Q21 3Q22
Source: TISCO, Kiatnakin Phatra Securities Source: TISCO, Kiatnakin Phatra Securities
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Tisco Financial Group | 17 October 2022 5


Price objective basis & risk
Tisco Financial Group (THVSF)
Our 12-month PO for TISCO is Bt74, based on a DDM, with an 9% discount rate and
3.7% long-term growth rate. This is equivalent to 1.4x 2022E PBV and 9.5x 2022E PER.

Upside risks are : 1) lower and longer low interest rates and 2) unexpected renewed
credit growth.

Downside risks are higher interest rates and higher-than-expected credit cost from the
new asset financing business.

Analyst Certification
I, Therapong Vachirapong, hereby certify that the views expressed in this research report
accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities and issuers. I also
certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related
to the specific recommendations or view expressed in this research report.

Special Disclosures
Kiatnakin Phatra Securities does and seeks to do business with issuers covered in its
research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict
of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report.

Kiatnakin Phatra Securities Public Company Limited ("KKPS") under its proprietary
trading desk, may, from time to time, issue derivative warrants that have underlying
securities contained or mentioned in this research report. Should KKPS be the issuer of
the derivative warrants, KKPS may act as the market maker for such derivative warrants.
As a result, investors should be aware that KKPS may have a conflict of interest that
could affect the objectivity of this research report.

South Asia Financials Coverage Cluster


Investment rating Company BofA Ticker Bloomberg symbol Analyst
BUY
Aditya Birla Capital XADIF ABCAP IN Anuj Singla
Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC XABSF ABSLAMC IN Anuj Singla
AU Small Finance Bank XAIIF AUBANK IN Anand Swaminathan
Axis Bank XLIRF AXSB IN Anand Swaminathan
Bajaj Finance XECVF BAF IN Anuj Singla
Bandhan Bank XBNDF BANDHAN IN Anand Swaminathan
Bangkok Bank BKKLF BBL TB Therapong Vachirapong
Bangkok Bank -F BKKPF BBL/F TB Therapong Vachirapong
Bank Mandiri PPERF BMRI IJ Anand Swaminathan
Bank Negara Indonesia PBNNF BBNI IJ Anand Swaminathan
Bank of Baroda XZYRF BOB IN Anand Swaminathan
Bank of the Philippine Islands BPHLF BPI PM Joahnna See-Soriano
BDO Unibank BDOUF BDO PM Joahnna See-Soriano
CIMB Group CIMDF CIMB MK Anand Swaminathan
Federal Bank XMTRF FB IN Anand Swaminathan
HDFC Asset Management Company Limited XJARF HDFCAMC IN Anuj Singla
HDFC Bank HDFBF HDFCB IN Anand Swaminathan
HDFC Bank HDB HDB US Anand Swaminathan
HDFC Life XETUF HDFCLIFE IN Anuj Singla
ICICI Bank XLORF ICICIBC IN Anand Swaminathan
ICICI Bank IBN IBN US Anand Swaminathan
ICICI Pru Life XIIIF IPRU IN Anuj Singla
Indusind Bank IDUBF IIB IN Anand Swaminathan
JMT Network Services XQXRF JMT TB Narumon Ekasamut
LICHF XLIIF LICHF IN Anuj Singla
Life Insurance Corporation of India XVRYF LICI IN Anuj Singla

Tisco Financial Group | 17 October 2022 6


South Asia Financials Coverage Cluster
Investment rating Company BofA Ticker Bloomberg symbol Analyst
Mahindra Finance XGDAF MMFS IN Anuj Singla
Manappuram Finance XMGPF MGFL IN Anuj Singla
Muthoot Finance XMFLF MUTH IN Anuj Singla
Public Bank PBLOF PBK MK Anand Swaminathan
SBI Cards XLJGF SBICARD IN Anuj Singla
SBI Life XETAF SBILIFE IN Anuj Singla
Security Bank SYBJF SECB PM Joahnna See-Soriano
Shriram Transport Finance SHTFF SHTF IN Anuj Singla
Star Health Insurance XRXUF STARHEAL IN Anuj Singla
State Bank of India XDWRF SBIN IN Anand Swaminathan
Techcombank XCWFF TCB VN Ryan Foo
VPBank XKOSF VPB VN Ryan Foo
NEUTRAL
Bank Central Asia PBCRF BBCA IJ Anand Swaminathan
DBS Group DBSDF DBS SP Anand Swaminathan
DBS Group DBSDY DBSDY US Anand Swaminathan
KASIKORNBANK KPCKF KBANK TB Therapong Vachirapong
KASIKORNBANK - F KPCPF KBANK/F TB Therapong Vachirapong
Kotak Mahindra Bank XWIUF KMB IN Anand Swaminathan
Metrobank MTPOF MBT PM Joahnna See-Soriano
SCB X PCL XUVNF SCB TB Therapong Vachirapong
Singapore Exchange SPXCF SGX SP Ryan Foo
Thai Life Insurance XDQJF TLI TB Therapong Vachirapong
UTI Asset Management Company XUTTF UTIAM IN Anuj Singla
Vietcombank XWRHF VCB VN Ryan Foo
UNDERPERFORM
Bank Rakyat Indonesia BKRKF BBRI IJ Anand Swaminathan
IDFC First Bank XQUFF IDFCFB IN Anand Swaminathan
Krung Thai Bk KGTLF KTB TB Therapong Vachirapong
Maybank MLYNF MAY MK Anand Swaminathan
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp OVCHF OCBC SP Anand Swaminathan
PNBHF XMWKF PNBHOUSI IN Anuj Singla
RBL Bank XKITF RBK IN Anand Swaminathan
Tisco Financial Group THVSF TISCO TB Therapong Vachirapong
United Overseas Bank UOVEF UOB SP Anand Swaminathan
United Overseas Bank UOVEY UOVEY US Anand Swaminathan
RSTR
HDFC XHDFF HDFC IN Anuj Singla

Tisco Financial Group | 17 October 2022 7


iQ method SM Measures Definitions
Business Performance Numerator Denominator
Return On Capital Employed NOPAT = (EBIT + Interest Income) × (1 − Tax Rate) + Goodwill Amortization Total Assets − Current Liabilities + ST Debt + Accumulated Goodwill
Amortization
Return On Equity Net Income
Operating Margin Operating Profit Sales
Earnings Growth Expected 5 Year CAGR From Latest Actual N/A
Free Cash Flow Cash Flow From Operations − Total Capex N/A
Quality of Earnings Numerator Denominator
Cash Realization Ratio Cash Flow From Operations Net Income
Asset Replacement Ratio Capex Depreciation
Tax Rate Tax Charge Pre-Tax Income
Net Debt-To-Equity Ratio Net Debt = Total Debt − Cash & Equivalents Total Equity
Interest Cover EBIT Interest Expense
Valuation Toolkit Numerator Denominator
Price / Earnings Ratio Current Share Price Diluted Earnings Per Share (Basis As Specified)
Price / Book Value Current Share Price
Dividend Yield Annualised Declared Cash Dividend Current Share Price
Free Cash Flow Yield Cash Flow From Operations − Total Capex Market Cap = Current Share Price × Current Basic Shares
Enterprise Value / Sales EV = Current Share Price × Current Shares + Minority Equity + Net Debt + Sales
Other LT Liabilities
EV / EBITDA Enterprise Value Basic EBIT + Depreciation + Amortization
iQmethod SMis the set of BofA Global Research standard measures that serve to maintain global consistency under three broad headings: Business Performance, Quality of Earnings, and validations. The key features of
iQmethod are: A consistently structured, detailed, and transparent methodology. Guidelines to maximize the effectiveness of the comparative valuation process, and to identify some common pitfalls.
iQdatabase ® is our real- ell as historical data for income statements, balance sheets, and cash
flow statements for companies covered by BofA Global Research.
iQprofile SM, iQmethod SM are service marks of Bank of America Corporation. iQdatabase ® is a registered service mark of Bank of America Corporation.

Tisco Financial Group | 17 October 2022 8


Disclosures
Important Disclosures
Tisco Financial (THVSF) Price Chart

The Investment Opinion System is contained at the end of the report under the heading "Fundamental Equity Opinion Key". Dark grey shading indicates the security is restricted with the opinion suspended. Medium grey
shading indicates the security is under review with the opinion withdrawn. Light grey shading indicates the security is not covered. Chart is current as of a date no more than one trading day prior to the date of the
report.

Equity Investment Rating Distribution: Financial Services Group (as of 30 Sep 2022)
Coverage Universe Count Percent Inv. Banking Relationships R1 Count Percent
Buy 158 57.25% Buy 104 65.82%
Hold 63 22.83% Hold 42 66.67%
Sell 55 19.93% Sell 35 63.64%
Equity Investment Rating Distribution: Global Group (as of 30 Sep 2022)
Coverage Universe Count Percent Inv. Banking Relationships R1 Count Percent
Buy 1839 53.46% Buy 1071 58.24%
Hold 800 23.26% Hold 498 62.25%
Sell 801 23.28% Sell 379 47.32%
R1
Issuers that were investment banking clients of BofA Securities or one of its affiliates within the past 12 months. For purposes of this Investment Rating Distribution, the coverage universe includes only stocks. A stock
rated Neutral is included as a Hold, and a stock rated Underperform is included as a Sell.

FUNDAMENTAL EQUITY OPINION KEY: Opinions include a Volatility Risk Rating, an Investment Rating and an Income Rating. VOLATILITY RISK RATINGS, indicators
of potential price fluctuation, are: A - Low, B - Medium and C - High. INVESTMENT RATINGS reflect the analyst’s assessment of both a stock’s: absolute total return
potential as well as its attractiveness for investment relative to other stocks within its Coverage Cluster (defined below). There are three investment ratings: 1 - Buy
stocks are expected to have a total return of at least 10% and are the most attractive stocks in the coverage cluster; 2 - Neutral stocks are expected to remain flat
or increase in value and are less attractive than Buy rated stocks and 3 - Underperform stocks are the least attractive stocks in a coverage cluster. Analysts assign
investment ratings considering, among other things, the 0-12 month total return expectation for a stock and the firm’s guidelines for ratings dispersions (shown in
the table below). The current price objective for a stock should be referenced to better understand the total return expectation at any given time. The price objective
reflects the analyst’s view of the potential price appreciation (depreciation).
Investment rating Total return expectation (within 12-month period of date of initial Ratings dispersion guidelines for coverage clusterR2
rating)
Buy ≥ 10% ≤ 70%
Neutral ≥ 0% ≤ 30%
Underperform N/A ≥ 20%
R2
Ratings dispersions may vary from time to time where BofA Global Research believes it better reflects the investment prospects of stocks in a Coverage Cluster.
INCOME RATINGS, indicators of potential cash dividends, are: 7 - same/higher (dividend considered to be secure), 8 - same/lower (dividend not considered to be
secure) and 9 - pays no cash dividend. Coverage Cluster is comprised of stocks covered by a single analyst or two or more analysts sharing a common industry,
sector, region or other classification(s). A stock’s coverage cluster is included in the most recent BofA Global Research report referencing the stock.

Tisco Financial Group | 17 October 2022 9


For the report jointly responsible for covering the securities by ML analyst, ML analyst receives compensation based upon, among other factors, the overall profitability of Merrill
Lynch, including profits derived from investment banking revenues.
Copyright 2022 Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated (MLPF&S). All rights reserved. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohi bited. This report has been prepared and issued
o-Operation Agreement with Merrill Lynch. The information herein was obtained from various sources; we do
not guarantee its accuracy or completeness.
Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or any options, futures or other derivatives related to
such securities ("related investments"). Officers of KKPS or one of its affiliates may have a financial interest in securitie s of the issuer(s) or in related investments.
This research report is prepared for general circulation and is circulated for general information only. It does not have reg ard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and
the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment
strategies discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not b e realized. Investors should note that income from such
securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security's price or value may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receiv e back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily
a guide to future performance.
Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investment mentioned in this report. In addition, investors in securities such
as ADRs, whose values are influenced by the currency of the underlying security, effectively assume currency risk.

Tisco Financial Group | 17 October 2022 10


Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies 2021
Disclaimer
The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors Association (“IOD”) regarding corporate governance is made pursuant to the policy
of the Office of the Securities and Exchange Commission. The survey of the IOD is based on the information of a company listed on the Stock Exchange
of Thailand and the Market of Alternative Investment disclosed to the public and able to be accessed by a general public investor. The result, therefore,
is from the perspective of a third party. It is not an evaluation of operation and is not based on inside information.
The survey result is as of the data appearing in the Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies. As a result, the survey result may be
changed after that date. Kiatnakin Phatra Securities Public Company Limited ("KKPS") does not confirm nor certify the accuracy of such survey result. In
addition, the list only includes companies under KKPS's coverage’s coverage except those specified.

Companies with Excellent CG Scoring Companies with Very Good CG Scoring


ADVANC ANAN AOT AP AWC BANPU BBL BDMS BCH BEC BJC CBG CHG DOHOME ERW ESSO
BGRIM CENTEL CPALL CPF CPN CRC DTAC EGCO M MEGA TFG VNT
EPG GFPT GLOBAL GPSC HMPRO INTUCH IRPC IVL
KBANK KTB LH LPN MAJOR MINT OR OSP
PLANB PR9 PSH PTG PTT PTTEP PTTGC QH
RATCH SC SCB SCC SCCC SCGP SIRI SPALI
SPRC TISCO TOP TRUE TTB TU VGI Companies with Good CG Scoring
AU BH
N/A - Companies without survey result available * By alphabetical order under KKPS's Coverage
CPNREIT DIF LPF ONEE TFFIF THBEV

DW Disclosure:
Kiatnakin Phatra Securities Public Company Limited ("KKPS") under its proprietary trading desk, may, from time to time, issue derivative warrants that
have underlying securities contained in the table below. Should KKPS be the issuer of the derivative warrants, KKPS may act as the market maker for
such derivative warrants. As a result, investors should be aware that KKPS may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this
research report.
ACE ADVANC AOT BAM BANPU BBL BCH BCPG BDMS BEC BGRIM BH BJC
BLA CBG CENTEL CHG CK COM7 CPALL CPF CPN CRC DELTA DOHOME DTAC
EPG ESSO GLOBAL GPSC GULF GUNKUL HANA INTUCH IRPC IVL JAS JMART JMT
KBANK KCE KTC MEGA MINT OR OSP PLANB PRM PTG PTT PTTEP PTTGC
RBF RS SET50 SAWAD SCB SCC SCGP SPALI SPRC STA STEC STGT TASCO
THANI TOP TRUE TTB TU VGI WHA

Anti-Corruption Progress Indicator of Thai Listed Companies


Disclosure
The disclosure of evaluation of Thai Listed Companies with respect to anti-corruption, Thailand’s Private Sector Collective Action Coalition Against
Corruption (“CAC”), is an initiative under the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)’s Sustainability Development Roadmap for Listed Companies
which emphasizing good corporate governance, corporate social responsibility and firm commitment to fighting graft. The Indicator, comprising three
level assessment of Certified, Declared and N/A, is a result which demonstrate the commitment at management and organizational levels that adopted
the policy to refrain from corruption. Certified: The company is certified, Declared: The company has participated, and N/A: Declaration expired or not
participate.
The survey result is as of the data appearing in the website of the SEC. As a result, the survey result may change thereafter. Kiatnakin Phatra Securities
Public Company Limited ("KKPS") does not confirm nor certify the accuracy of such survey result. In addition, the list only includes companies under
KKPS's coverage except those specified.
List of Companies (under KKPS's coverage)
Certified
ADVANC AP AWC BANPU BBL BCH BGRIM CENTEL CPALL CPF CPN DTAC EGCO EPG ERW GFPT
GPSC HMPRO INTUCH IRPC IVL KBANK KTB LH LPN M MINT PLANB PSH PTG PTT PTTEP
PTTGC QH RATCH SC SCB SCC SCCC SIRI SPALI SPRC TFG TISCO TOP TRUE TTB TU
VGI VNT
Declared
BEC CBG CHG CRC DOHOME MAJOR PR9 SCGP
N/A
ANAN AOT AU BDMS BH BJC CPNREIT DIF ESSO GLOBAL LPF MEGA ONEE OR OSP TFFIF
THBEV

You might also like