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Cholera Rapid Test with Enrichment Step Has Diagnostic Performance


Equivalent to Culture

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DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0168257

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RESEARCH ARTICLE

Cholera Rapid Test with Enrichment Step Has


Diagnostic Performance Equivalent to Culture
Lameck N. Ontweka1,2, Lul O. Deng3, Jean Rauzier4, Amanda K. Debes5,
Fisseha Tadesse6, Lucy A. Parker1, Joseph F. Wamala7, Bior K. Bior3, Michael Lasuba3,
Abiem Bona But3, Francesco Grandesso6, Christine Jamet1, Sandra Cohuet6,
Iza Ciglenecki1, Micaela Serafini1, David A. Sack5, Marie-Laure Quilici4, Andrew
S. Azman8,1, Francisco J. Luquero5,6, Anne-Laure Page6*
1 Médecins Sans Frontières Operational Center Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland, 2 Amref Health Africa
Headquarters, Nairobi, Kenya, 3 National Public Health Laboratory, Ministry of Health, Juba, South Sudan,
4 Enteric Bacterial Pathogens Unit, National Reference Centre for Vibrios and Cholera, Institut Pasteur,
Paris, France, 5 Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, United States of
America, 6 Field epidemiology, Epicentre, Paris, France, 7 World Health Organization, Juba, South Sudan,
a11111 8 Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, United States of America

* anne-laure.page@epicentre.msf.org

Abstract
OPEN ACCESS Cholera rapid diagnostic tests (RDT) could play a central role in outbreak detection and sur-
Citation: Ontweka LN, Deng LO, Rauzier J, Debes veillance in low-resource settings, but their modest performance has hindered their broad
AK, Tadesse F, Parker LA, et al. (2016) Cholera adoption. The addition of an enrichment step may improve test specificity. We describe the
Rapid Test with Enrichment Step Has Diagnostic
results of a prospective diagnostic evaluation of the Crystal VC RDT (Span Diagnostics,
Performance Equivalent to Culture. PLoS ONE 11
(12): e0168257. doi:10.1371/journal. India) with enrichment step and of culture, each compared to polymerase chain reaction
pone.0168257 (PCR), during a cholera outbreak in South Sudan. RDTs were performed on alkaline pep-
Editor: Vishnu Chaturvedi, Wadsworth Center, tone water inoculated with stool and incubated for 4–6 hours at ambient temperature. Chol-
UNITED STATES era culture was performed from wet filter paper inoculated with stool. Molecular detection of
Received: October 27, 2016 Vibrio cholerae O1 by PCR was done from dry Whatman 903 filter papers inoculated with
stool, and from wet filter paper supernatant. In August and September 2015, 101 consecu-
Accepted: November 28, 2016
tive suspected cholera cases were enrolled, of which 36 were confirmed by PCR. The
Published: December 19, 2016
enriched RDT had 86.1% (95% CI: 70.5–95.3) sensitivity and 100% (95% CI: 94.4–100)
Copyright: © 2016 Ontweka et al. This is an open specificity compared to PCR as the reference standard. The sensitivity of culture versus
access article distributed under the terms of the
PCR was 83.3% (95% CI: 67.2–93.6) for culture performed on site and 72.2% (95% CI:
Creative Commons Attribution License, which
permits unrestricted use, distribution, and 54.8–85.8) at the international reference laboratory, where samples were tested after an
reproduction in any medium, provided the original average delay of two months after sample collection, and specificity was 98.5% (95% CI:
author and source are credited. 91.7–100) and 100% (95% CI: 94.5–100), respectively. The RDT with enrichment showed
Data Availability Statement: All relevant data are performance comparable to that of culture and could be a sustainable alternative to culture
available in the Supporting Information files. confirmation where laboratory capacity is limited.
Funding: This study was funded by Médecins Sans
Frontières Operational Center Geneva. The funders
had staff (co-authors of this manuscript) who
played a role in study design, data collection and
analysis, and preparation of the manuscript. The
corresponding author had full access to all data
and had final responsibility for the decision to
submit for publication.

PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0168257 December 19, 2016 1/8


Evaluation of Cholera Rapid Test with Enrichment Step

Competing Interests: The authors have declared Introduction


that no competing interests exist.
Cholera continues to be a major public health problem for developing countries with an esti-
mated 2.8 million cholera cases and around 100,000 deaths each year worldwide [1]. Countries
with the highest incidence rates are in Africa, Southern Asia and the Caribbean, where surveil-
lance systems are often insensitive and unable to rapidly detect the transmission of epidemic
pathogens [2].
Rapid identification and confirmation of initial cases in the early phase of cholera epidemics
is critical for timely public health responses to control outbreaks. Diagnostic delays may result
in higher case numbers and case fatality rates, leading to an enormous health and economic
burden to affected countries. Currently, isolation of Vibrio cholerae O1 by stool culture is nec-
essary for cholera outbreak confirmation and remains the gold standard for diagnosis [2].
However, this procedure requires laboratory infrastructure, adequate transport procedures
and well trained staff. Moreover, the delay in obtaining results includes the 2 to 3-day duration
of the microbiological procedure, in addition to the time for transportation of the sample to
the closest laboratory. Culture sensitivity is also imperfect and can be affected by the delays in
transport to the laboratory, as well as prior consumption of antibiotics [3]. Polymerase chain
reaction (PCR) is becoming more commonly used to detect V. cholerae, with the advantages of
being faster and generally more sensitive than culture [3–5]. However, like culture, PCR
requires laboratory infrastructure and well trained staff, which are often not available at sites
where cholera outbreaks occur.
A rapid diagnostic test (RDT) that is accurate, simple, easy to use and interpret, and stored
at ambient temperature would be a useful tool for the early detection and confirmation of chol-
era outbreaks. Several rapid tests for cholera have been developed, based mostly on lateral flow
immunochromatographic techniques [6]. One of the most widely used RDTs for cholera,
Crystal VCTM (Span Diagnostics, Surat, India) or its prototype developed by Institut Pasteur
(IP), have been studied in different contexts, and have consistently shown high sensitivities
(92–97%), but moderate specificities (49–80%) when used directly on bulk stools and com-
pared to culture as the gold standard [6–11]. While the moderate specificity may be partly
explained by the imperfect nature of culture as the gold-standard, analyses including PCR or
using statistical models taking into account this bias only increased the specificity to 85% [4].
Alkaline peptone water (APW) is a commonly used enrichment medium for V. cholerae. In
initial assessments of the prototype developed by IP, the test was also evaluated on rectal swabs
inoculated in APW and incubated at room temperature for 4 hours [7,12]. This latter method
gave a much higher specificity, up to 97%, compared to using the RDT directly on bulk stool.
Both methods are now included in the package insert of Crystal VC: the “initial screening”
method on direct stool diluted in a sample processing reagent, and the “confirmation” method
on stool incubated in APW for 4 hours. So far, only one study conducted in Bangladesh has
evaluated the performance of both methods with the current version of the Crystal VC test,
and showed that the enriched “confirmation” method had both higher sensitivity and higher
specificity compared to the direct screening method [13]. However, in this study, the perfor-
mance of the direct test was not consistent with previously published studies, with low sensitiv-
ity (65%) and high specificity (92%); the reasons for these discrepancies were not discussed,
but could be due to the addition of a step of dilution of the stools in a sample preparation vial.
Another study confirmed the high specificity of RDT after enrichment in APW but sensitivity
could not be reliably estimated due to the low number of confirmed cholera cases [14].
In this study we evaluated the performance of Crystal VC used after a 4–6 hour enrichment
in APW compared to PCR as the gold standard method during a cholera outbreak in Juba,
South Sudan.

PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0168257 December 19, 2016 2/8


Evaluation of Cholera Rapid Test with Enrichment Step

Materials and Methods


Ethics
Ethical approval for this study was obtained from the John Hopkins Bloomberg School of Pub-
lic Health Institutional Review Board and the South Sudan Ministry of Health, Directorate of
Monitoring, Evaluation and Research. Written informed consent was obtained from all partic-
ipants enrolled in the study with parental or guardian consent for participants under 18 years
of age.

Study population
This study was conducted in Juba, the capital of South Sudan, during a cholera outbreak that
lasted for five months from May to September 2015. This study was nested in a vaccine effec-
tiveness study following a large oral cholera vaccination campaign [15]. The study population
consisted of all individuals aged one year and older presenting with three or more loose stools
in the preceding 24 hours at participating cholera treatment centres (CTCs) and oral rehydra-
tion posts around the city in August and September 2015.
Written informed consent to participate in the study was obtained once the patient was in
stable condition. If no consent was provided, the stool sample was tested for local surveillance
purposes, but the results were not used in the study.
We subsequently excluded all patients who reported to have taken the vaccine within 7 days
prior to sample collection, since rapid test can become positive in vaccine recipients for up to 6
days after vaccination [16].

Sample collection and processing


Upon admission, a stool sample was collected in a clean (non-disinfected), unused container.
Two drops of watery stool were transferred to a vial containing 3 ml of APW broth and kept at
ambient temperature for 4 to 6 hours.
Study staff soaked two 6-mm filter paper disks in each fresh watery stool sample and then
placed each filter paper into separate microtubes with two drops of normal saline. One micro-
tube was sent immediately to the National Public Health Laboratory (NPHL) in Juba, and the
other was stored at ambient temperature until the end of the study and sent to Institut Pasteur
(IP), Paris, France.
Using a Pasteur pipette, one to two drops of direct stool or enriched APW medium were
spotted onto a Whatman 903 Protein Saver Card (GE Healthcare Ltd., Forest Farm, Cardiff,
UK) and allowed to air-dry. Dry filter papers were packed individually with a desiccant bag
and stored at ambient temperature until processing. Dried filter papers were sent to Johns
Hopkins University (JHU) to be tested for V. cholerae using molecular methods.

Rapid test procedure


Rapid tests were performed at the CTC by three nurses, who were trained on the study proce-
dures (including rapid tests) for two days prior to the study start. RDT kits were stored at
ambient temperature.
For the enriched method, after the 4–6 hour incubation of APW at ambient temperature,
two drops of enriched medium were placed in the test tube and the dipstick was inserted. The
result was read after 15 minutes by trained study staff, and interpreted following the manufac-
turer’s recommendation. The test was considered positive if the control line and either line T2
(O1) or T1 (O139) or both (O1 and O139) showed pinkish red lines, negative if the control
line only showed a pinkish red line and invalid if the control line did not show any coloration.

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Evaluation of Cholera Rapid Test with Enrichment Step

The staff reading the enriched test were not blinded to the results of the direct test, but were
blinded to the results of culture and PCR. A picture of each test was taken and results were re-
confirmed by the study co-investigators.
Rapid tests were also performed using two drops of direct stool. Since this procedure did
not strictly follow the manufacturer’s recommendations, which includes dilution in a sample
diluent buffer, we did not include the results in the main analysis and provide the correspond-
ing data in S1 Appendix.

Stool culture
Upon arrival in both laboratories, culture was performed from the wet filter papers by trained
laboratory technicians using standard methods including enrichment in APW [17]. Briefly, a
loopful of supernatant from the wet filter papers was cultured on thiosulfate-citrate-bile salt-
sucrose (TCBS) agar and, at NPHL, on MacConkey agar, as selective plating media, and on
blood agar or alkaline nutrient agar as nonselective plating media. In addition, the wet filter
papers were placed in APW solution and incubated for 6–8 hours at 37˚ C. After incubation,
one loopful of APW from the topmost portion of the broth, where V. cholerae preferentially
grows, was sub-cultured on selective and nonselective media as described above. Culture plates
were incubated overnight at a temperature of 35–37˚C. Screening of isolates was based on
morphological appearance on selective and nonselective media, Gram staining, motility and
oxydase testing. Identification was confirmed by serological testing performed using polyva-
lent O1- and O139-specific antisera (Bio-Rad, USA and Denka Seiken Co, Japan, respectively)
and serotype determination by monovalent Inaba and Ogawa antisera (Denka Seiken Co,
Japan), all performed on colonies grown on nonselective media.
The median delay between sample collection and culture was 1 day in Juba and 73 days
(range: 26 to 82 days) in Paris.

Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) analysis


In the absence of an internationally recognized standard method for molecular detection of V.
cholerae O1, PCR was performed in parallel in two laboratories both on different matrices and
different target genes.
At JHU, DNA from each dried filter paper specimen was extracted using chelex-100 (Bio-
Rad) and subsequent PCR amplification was performed for the detection of the outer mem-
brane protein of V. cholerae, ompW, for species confirmation; the cholera toxin A gene, ctxA,
to assess the toxigenic potential of the strains [18]; and the rfb gene for the identification of the
O1 or O139 serogroups [19]. All negative samples were further tested for the presence of 16S
rDNA to confirm DNA preservation techniques as described by Hasan et al. [20]. PCR was
performed according to methods previously described [14].
At IP, DNA was extracted from the wet paper supernatant and from the enrichment in
APW by boiling the samples for 10 minutes at 100˚C. PCR was performed to detect an inter-
genic spacer region specific of V. cholerae species (ISR gene) [21]. On samples positive for V.
cholerae, the rfb gene was amplified for the identification of V. cholerae serogroup O1 and
O139 as described by Hoshino [19]. On negative samples, PCR was performed on a 1/10 dilu-
tion of the target DNA to check for the presence of inhibitors.

Data analysis
The reference standard was considered as positive if the PCR result was positive for V. cholerae
O1 either at JHU or at IP. For the main analysis, the RDT was considered positive if the O1
line was positive and negative if the O1 line was negative, irrespective of the result of the O139

PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0168257 December 19, 2016 4/8


Evaluation of Cholera Rapid Test with Enrichment Step

line. Additional analysis was performed considering the RDT as positive if either the O1 or the
O139 line was positive, and negative if both lines were negative. Culture was considered posi-
tive if V. cholerae O1 was isolated from stool and negative if no V. cholerae was found, or if
non-O1 non-O139 V. cholerae was isolated.
Data analysis was performed using Stata 13 (Stata Corporation, College Station, Texas,
USA), with the estimates of diagnostic performance produced using the diagt command,
which displays summary statistics for diagnostic tests and provides exact binomial confidence
intervals for sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values.
For the comparison between rapid test and culture performance, we used McNemar’s chi-2
test and applied it globally, as well as separately on samples that were positive and negative by
the reference standard to assess for possible statistical differences in sensitivity and specificity.
We also used the Cohen’s kappa coefficient to assess global agreement between the assays.

Results
From August 9 to September 29, 2015, 110 patients attending the study health facilities were
screened for inclusion in the study. One patient was excluded because the stool sample was not
collected and five did not provide informed consent. In addition, three patients who reported
to have received a single dose of oral cholera vaccine within 7 days prior to consultation were
excluded. In total, 101 patients were included in these analyses, with a majority of males
(n = 59/99, 59.6%) and a median age of 26 years (interquartile range: 8–35). Of 83 patients
with clinical information available, most had severe dehydration (n = 51, 61.5%), 11 (13.3%)
reported having received antibiotics prior to admission and 16 (19.3%) received antibiotics at
the CTC before sample collection. Twelve (12.0%) reported to have taken a single dose of oral
cholera vaccine more than one week (range 8–35 days) prior to the consultation.
The RDT with enrichment was positive for O1 in 31, with a weak line in 2 of them (6.5%).
None of the enriched RDTs had a positive O139 reading. Culture was positive for V. cholerae
O1 in 31 patients at the Juba NPHL and in 26 at IP (Table 1). PCR was positive for V. cholerae
O1 from 31 wet filter papers at IP and from 35 dry filter papers at the JHU laboratory, resulting
in a PCR-positive result in 36 (35.6%) of the 101 specimens.
When compared to PCR as the reference standard, the enriched test showed moderate sen-
sitivity (86.1%) but very high specificity (100%), which resulted in a 100% positive predictive
value (Table 2). While on-site culture showed similar performance to the enriched rapid test

Table 1. Results of the enriched RDT and of culture at National Public Health Laboratory, Juba, and at
Institut Pasteur, Paris, compared to PCR results.
PCR V. cholerae O1 (reference standard)
Positive Negative Total
Enriched rapid test
Positive O1 31 0 31
Negative 5 64 69
Not done 0 1 1
Culture—NPHL
Positive 30 1 31
Negative 6 64 70
Culture—IP
Positive 26 0 26
Negative 10 65 75
Total 36 65 101
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0168257.t001

PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0168257 December 19, 2016 5/8


Evaluation of Cholera Rapid Test with Enrichment Step

Table 2. Diagnostic performance of direct and enriched RDT, and of culture at National Public Health Laboratory, Juba, and at Institut Pasteur,
Paris, using PCR as the reference standard in all (N = 101) or patients without prior antibiotics (N = 80).
Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV
% (95% CI) % (95% CI) % (95% CI) % (95% CI)
All
Enriched RDT 86.1 (70.5–95.3) 100 (94.4–100) 100 (88.8–100) 92.8 (83.9–97.6)
Culture NPHL 83.3 (67.2–93.6) 98.5 (91.7–100) 96.8 (83.3–99.9) 91.4 (82.3–96.8)
Culture IP 72.2 (54.8–85.8) 100 (94.5–100) 100 (86.8–100) 86.7 (76.8–93.4)
No prior antibiotics
Enriched RDT 87.5 (67.6–97.3) 100 (93.6–100) 100 (83.9–100) 94.9 (85.9–98.9)
Culture NPHL 87.5 (67.6–97.3) 98.2 (90.4–100) 95.5 (77.2–99.9) 94.8 (85.6–98.9)
Culture IP 70.8 (48.9–87.4) 100 (93.6–100) 100 (80.5–100) 88.9 (78.4–95.4)
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0168257.t002

(exact McNemar chi-2 test p = 1 globally and for PCR-positive and negative samples sepa-
rately, kappa = 81.3%), delayed culture at IP showed a lower sensitivity of 72.2% (exact McNe-
mar chi-2 test p = 0.27 globally and for PCR-positive samples, p = 1 for PCR-negative samples,
kappa = 68.2%). Excluding patients with self-reported antibiotic intake either before or at the
CTC did not change the performance significantly (Table 2).

Discussion
This field evaluation of the enriched rapid test for diagnosis of cholera confirmed initial
reports suggesting that the APW incubation step ensures high specificity, which improves con-
fidence in the test results and could diminish the risk of false cholera outbreak alerts [13,14].
Incubation in APW for 4–6 hours is also the first step in laboratory methods used for the diag-
nosis of V. cholerae from faecal specimens by culture. The subsequent steps of sub-culture and
classical bacteriological identification are replaced here by the RDT for detection of V. cholerae
O1 or O139. When used on enriched specimens, the RDT proved that it was sufficiently sensi-
tive and specific for rapid and accurate detection and identification of V. cholerae, making this
method comparable to a simplified and rapid version of culture-based identification of V. cho-
lerae. This is confirmed by the fact that the test had similar performance as culture when per-
formed within 1 or 2 days of stool collection, as at the Juba NPHL laboratory, and even better
performance than culture in case of long delay between sampling and testing, as in the IP labo-
ratory, where culture was performed more than 2 months after sampling.
One possible disadvantage of the enriched method is that, like culture, it depends on the
presence of culturable organisms, while the direct test could also detect non-viable and non-
culturable organisms. Although it is reasonable to assume that under normal conditions of use
of the tests in the field, the absence of viable organisms in the stools of cholera patients is
unlikely, it is important to highlight that enrichment could be affected by problems linked to
sample collection and storage, such as containers with disinfectants, poor sampling or han-
dling practices with long delays or inappropriate temperature, or to prior antibiotic consump-
tion. Here, exclusion of patients with self-reported previous antibiotic consumption did not
significantly change the test performance, but numbers were too limited for a formal stratified
analysis, and the class of antibiotics and delay between intake and testing were not known.
There were several limitations to this study. First, the sample size was low, due to the fact
that the study was undertaken when the epidemic was already declining and after an OCV vac-
cination campaign. Second, although the RDT was also performed without enrichment, the
fact that we did not strictly follow the current manufacturer’s recommendations and did not
use the sample diluent buffer for the direct method prevented us from doing a formal

PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0168257 December 19, 2016 6/8


Evaluation of Cholera Rapid Test with Enrichment Step

comparison between these methods. The reasons for not strictly following the recommended
procedure was due to fear of a decreased sensitivity with the dilution of ~200 μL of stool in 1
mL diluent buffer and to habits with previous versions of the test. Indeed, it should be noted
that the initial version of Crystal VC recommended that the test be performed directly on liq-
uid stool, with no diluent, and all but one of the evaluations of Crystal VC published until now
used this previous method. Only one study published so far was done with the current version
of Crystal VC using the sample diluent buffer and showed the lowest sensitivity reported so far
(66%) and high specificity of 92% [13]. Thus, we cannot exclude the possibility that the dilu-
tion itself, rather than enrichment in APW, might increase the specificity. However, it seems
that dilution alone does not eliminate the problem with false positive O139 results with the
direct RDT method, as encountered here (see S1 Appendix), since this issue was also reported
after dilution in the sample diluent [13]. In addition, the results from the study in Bangladesh
suggests that the use of the sample diluent could reduce the RDT sensitivity to unacceptably
low levels.
In conclusion, our results show that the RDT used with a simple step of enrichment in
APW has performance similar to that of culture. This method could be a sustainable alterna-
tive to culture confirmation of cases in places where laboratory capacity is limited. Culture will
remain needed for phenotypic analysis, including antibiotic susceptibility testing, and further
molecular characterization, which is essential for worldwide disease surveillance.

Supporting Information
S1 Appendix. Results and performance of the RDT performed directly on stool.
(DOCX)
S1 Dataset. Study dataset.
(XLSX)

Acknowledgments
We would like to thank all the study staff who performed the field work at the participating
cholera treatment centres in Juba and other MSF staff who supported the logistics of this
study. We thank Andrew Nicholson for the laboratory work. We are also grateful to all study
participants.

Author Contributions
Conceptualization: IC ASA FJL ALP.
Formal analysis: LNO ASA FJL ALP.
Funding acquisition: CJ IC MS.
Investigation: LNO LOD JR AKD FT LAP BKB ML ABB.
Project administration: JFW FG CJ SC IC MS DAS MLQ.
Supervision: LAP DAS MLQ ASA FJL ALP.
Writing – original draft: LNO AKD MLQ ALP.
Writing – review & editing: ASA FJL IC SC DAS.

PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0168257 December 19, 2016 7/8


Evaluation of Cholera Rapid Test with Enrichment Step

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cific identification of Vibrio cholerae using primers targeted to the gene of outer membrane protein
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PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0168257 December 19, 2016 8/8

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Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg., 94(3), 2016, pp. 537–543
doi:10.4269/ajtmh.15-0496
Copyright © 2016 by The American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene

Clinical and Environmental Surveillance for Vibrio cholerae in Resource Constrained Areas:
Application during a 1-Year Surveillance in the Far North Region of Cameroon
Amanda K. Debes,* Jerome Ateudjieu, Etienne Guenou, Walter Ebile, Isaac Tadzong Sonkoua, Anthony Chebe Njimbia,
Peter Steinwald, Malathi Ram, and David A. Sack
Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland; Department of Biomedical Sciences,
University of Dschang, Dschang, Cameroon; Meilleur Accès aux Soins de Santé (M.A. SANTE), Yaoundé, Cameroon;
Clinical Research Unit, Division of Health Operations Research, Ministry of Public Health, Yaoundé, Cameroon

Abstract. Biological confirmation of the presence of Vibrio cholerae in clinical and environmental samples is often
constrained due to resource- and labor-intensive gold standard methods. To develop low-cost, simple, and sustainable sur-
veillance techniques, we modified previously published specimen sampling and culture techniques and applied the use of
enriched dipstick testing in conjunction with the use of filter paper for DNA specimen preservation during clinical and
environmental surveillance in the Far North of Cameroon from August 2013 to October 2014. The enriched dipstick
methodology during routine use in a remote setting demonstrated a specificity of 99.8% compared with polymerase chain
reaction (PCR). The novel application of filter paper as a preservation method for cholera DNA specimens reduced the
need for cold chain storage and allowed for PCR characterization and confirmation of V. cholerae. The application of
basic technologies such as the enriched dipstick, the use of simplified gauze filtration for environmental sample collection,
and the use of filter paper for sample preservation enabled early case identification with reduced logistics and supply cost
while reporting minimal false-positive results. Simplified laboratory and epidemiological methodologies can improve the
feasibility of cholera surveillance in rural and resource-constrained areas, facilitating early case detection and rapid
response implementation.

INTRODUCTION Despite its comparative economic advantages over popula-


tion-based surveillance, sentinel surveillance can also be diffi-
Accurate and reliable infectious disease burden data are cult to sustain in low-resource settings given other health and
often minimally available or nonexistent in developing coun- political priorities and the lack of funding to support a con-
tries. Cholera disease burden data are similarly deficient due certed effort to track a single disease.
to lack of surveillance in endemic areas as well as a fear of A modified approach to sentinel surveillance has been suc-
economic repercussions from reporting outbreaks, ultimately cessfully implemented in Bangladesh where cholera has a more
resulting in reduced reporting at district and national levels.1 consistent seasonal pattern. Since 1997, environmental and
Reporting is also constrained by logistics and costs associated clinical surveillance has been conducted in different locations
with transport of samples to a reliable microbiology labora- in Bangladesh on a reduced schedule of surveillance for three
tory. Of the 47 countries that reported cholera cases and successive days every 15 days. This strategy has shown that a
deaths to the World Health Organization (WHO) in 2013, 22 simplified surveillance methodology can aide in documenting
were in Africa.2 In spite of reporting the largest cholera dis- disease burden with reduced operational costs, while providing
ease burden in the world, there continues to be a poor under- data to better understand the seasonality and transmission pat-
standing of the disease patterns in much of Africa because of terns of the disease.4
constraints in detecting and confirming cholera cases. In fact, Diagnostic confirmation of Vibrio cholerae infection is chal-
most cases that are reported are based on clinical case defi- lenging in rural and resource-limited settings. The accepted
nitions without laboratory confirmation; significantly more method of V. cholerae diagnosis is through culture confirma-
cases remain undetected and unreported every year because tion, requiring well-equipped laboratories and trained labora-
of the inability to confirm a case. This presents a challenge tory personnel. This method is time consuming, resource
for proper disease surveillance and laboratory capacity require- intensive, and prohibitively expensive for these settings. As a
ments, especially in remote, rural areas and contributes to a result, cholera is often only diagnosed using a clinical defini-
lack of understanding of cholera disease burden. tion recommended by the WHO, which classifies cholera case
Although population-based surveillance provides the most as a patient aged 5 years or more who develops severe dehy-
accurate information for disease burden, it is too resource dration or dies from acute watery diarrhea.5,6 More often,
intensive for most cholera settings. Another option, sentinel cholera is not diagnosed, and the patient is treated without
surveillance, may be used in resource-limited settings to moni- identifying the etiologic agent. Commercially available dipstick
tor a disease of interest at a specific site. This method requires tests, such as Crystal VC™ (Arkray Healthcare Pvt Ltd.,
fewer resources than population-based surveillance to identify Surat, India), allow for rapid diagnosis. Unfortunately, previous
the disease if the disease of interest is present.3 However, since studies have reported low specificity when using the kits with
cholera tends to be sporadic, sentinel surveillance may not direct testing of stool samples per recommendation by the
provide representative data of the complete disease burden. package insert.7–9 We have applied a modified approach to
using the dipstick in both stool10–12 and environmental speci-
mens13 that has previously demonstrated improved specificity
of the dipstick.
*Address correspondence to Amanda K. Debes, Department of
International Health, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School In this study, we demonstrate the successful implementation
of Public Health, 615 N Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD 21205. E-mail: of sentinel surveillance using low-cost and rapid laboratory diag-
adebes1@jhu.edu nostics in a low-resource setting. The simplified methodology
537
538 DEBES AND OTHERS

facilitates concurrent environmental and clinical surveillance


to provide crucial disease burden information, determine hot
spots for cholera activity, improve understanding of cholera
transmission patterns, and provide tools for early disease detec-
tion. Further, we report the novel use of filter paper technology
for preservation of specimens for DNA extraction and molecular
processing. Although culture methods are often considered to
be the gold standard, they are not 100% sensitive, particularly
if the patient has self-medicated with antibiotics before seeking
treatment at a health facility. Therefore, for our study, we con-
sidered a positive polymerase chain reaction (PCR) to be the
model gold standard of detection.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Study design. Cameroon has a population of approximately


20 million people, divided into 10 regions with varied geogra-
phies and diverse climate zones (25). The Far North region
of Cameroon (FNC) is located in the Sahel desert and is
composed of a predominantly rural population, of which less
than half have access to improved drinking water.14 The inci-
dence of cholera disease is becoming increasingly common
in Cameroon, particularly in the FNC where 10 outbreaks
occurred from 1996 to 2014. Of all of these, the outbreak in
2010 was the most severe with almost 10,000 cases and
599 deaths (a 6.37% case fatality rate).15 These numbers FIGURE 1. Crystal VC kit. (A) 1) The dipstick is provided in an
likely underestimate the true burden of disease due to lack of individualized, humidity controlled package; 2) a clean test tube is
surveillance and laboratory capacity. provided in the kit for each dipstick tested; 3) a Pasteur pipette is pro-
Diarrhea surveillance was established at seven local health vided in the kit for each specimen to be transferred; and 4) a speci-
facilities in the FNC, in and around Lake Chad, including men processing vial containing enrichment media. (B) 1) A clean
dipstick; 2) a negative dipstick showing clearly the control line only;
Kousseri Regional Hospital (Kousseri Health District), Mada 3) a Vibrio cholerae O1–positive dipstick showing both the control line
District Hospital (Mada Health District), Ngouma Integrated and the O1-positive line. (C) A V. cholerae O1–positive dipstick as
Health Center (Makary Health District), Maltam Integrated it appears when testing in the kit-provided test tube; note that only
Health Center (Goulfey Health District), Blangoua Sub- ∼200 μL of specimen should be added to the tube as indicated by
the arrow.
divisional Medical Center (SMC) (Mada Health District),
Darak SMC (Mada Health District), and Naga Integrated
Health Center (Mada Health District). These sites were selected
as being geographically representative of the Cameroonian the Kousseri health facility for microbiological confirmation.
health facilities near Lake Chad. The selected sentinel sites Using a Pasteur pipette, one to two drops of the enriched
implemented a simplified sampling methodology in which each APW specimen were spotted onto a Whatman 903 211 Protein
of the seven sentinel site district health facilities enrolled Saver Card (GE Healthcare Ltd., Forest Farm, Cardiff, UK)
consenting diarrheal cases of any age into the study for a 3-day and allowed to air-dry. Filter paper was evaluated for viable
period every 15 days. During the intervening days, any sus- vibrios after overnight drying at room temperature, and all filter
pected cholera patient meeting the WHO definition of cholera paper specimens tested were culture negative. Filter paper
was also requested to be enrolled in the study. Concurrently, specimens were stored in individual plastic bags at room
environmental sampling was conducted 1 day of every 15 days. temperature until DNA extraction and PCR processing
Study enrollment began in August 2013. Subjects with bloody were implemented at a later date. The dipsticks and the
diarrhea and diarrhea lasting more than 7 days were excluded. preparation of the Protein Saver Cards were carried out
Clinical surveillance. Fecal specimens were collected from in the individual hospitals by nurses, and the filter paper
consenting diarrhea subjects and screened for V. cholerae O1 samples were then sent to the central laboratory in
and O139 using an enhanced dipstick method (Figure 1A; Kousseri for preservation. Dipsticks, conical tubes containing
Crystal VC) in which the specimen is tested via dipstick after APW-enriched specimens, and test tubes were treated as
incubation for 6–8 hours in alkaline peptone water (APW; biohazardous material and disinfected before disposal. A
in grams per liter: peptone, 10 g; sodium chloride, 10 g, pH detailed training manual for the detection of V. cholerae
9.0–9.2). A positive result appears as two pink lines on the O1 was created by several of the collaborating authors
dipstick; the upper line being the control band and the lower during the study period, available at stopcholera.org.16
band being the lipopolysaccharide specific to serogroup O1 Environmental surveillance. Surface water samples were
positive band (Figure 1B and C). APW-enriched samples collected once every 15 days from six sites near each of the
that tested positive, as well as a minimum of 10% of negative sentinel health facilities (total of 42 sites) to be tested for the
clinical samples, were inoculated into Cary-Blair transport presence of V. cholerae O1 and O139. In a plastic jar, 3 L of
media (Becton Dickinson and Co., Franklin Lakes, NJ) for the surface water was collected and then filtered through sterile
storage and transport to the central reference laboratory in gauze. The gauze (∼20 mL) was then combined with
SIMPLIFIED CHOLERA SURVEILLANCE METHODS IN CAMEROON 539

equivalent volume (in mL) 2× APW (final concentration of 1× were decontaminated following the protocol for biohazardous
APW) and incubated for 24 hours (±2 hours). The overnight material; dipsticks, conical tubes containing APW-enriched
enriched solution was tested using the dipstick. All positive specimens, and test tubes were treated as biohazardous mate-
and selected negative environmental samples were inoculated rial and disinfected before disposal.
into Cary-Blair transport media for storage until transported to Microbiological testing at the central laboratory. All posi-
the central reference laboratory for microbiological confirma- tive clinical and environmental specimens and selected nega-
tion (Figure 2). Using a Pasteur pipette, one to two drops of tive specimens were sent at routine (biweekly) intervals to the
the APW-enriched specimens were preserved on a Whatman central laboratory in Kousseri for confirmation. The specimens
903 Protein Saver Cards and allowed to air-dry. As with the were streaked directly onto thiosulfate citrate bile salt sucrose
clinical specimens, filter paper specimens were stored in indi- (TCBS; Becton Dickinson and Co., Franklin Lakes, NJ) agar
vidual plastic bags at room temperature until DNA extraction. and incubated for 24 hours at 37°C. Immediately after inocu-
The processing of the environmental samples was carried out lating, the first TCBS plate, a pre-labeled APW vial was inocu-
by technicians at the individual hospitals. Enriched specimens lated with the specimen and incubated for 6 hours at room
temperature. After 6-hour incubation, a second TCBS plate
was inoculated with the enriched specimen and incubated for
24 hours at 37°C. After 24-hour incubation, any cholera-like
colonies were selected with a sterile loop, resuspended in one
to two drops of phosphate-buffered saline (PBS), and tested
via dipstick. All dipstick-positive cultures, as well as any cultures
considered cholera suspect (demonstrating the morphology
of a cholera colony), were preserved in T1N1 agar (1% tryptone
and 1% NaCl) for further testing.
DNA extraction. The dried filter paper samples were sent
to Baltimore, MD, for PCR analysis. DNA extractions were
performed using methods similar to those previously pub-
lished.17 Each dried filter paper specimen was excised using
sterile scissors and placed into a pre-labeled tube. Of sterile
1× PBS, 1 mL was added to each sample tube and incubated
for 10 minutes at room temperature. One mL of sterile 1×
PBS was then added to each sample, and immediately
centrifuged (14,000 × g for 2 min) and the supernatant
discarded. To each sample, 1 mL sterile 1× PBS was added,
and then the sample was immediately centrifuged (14,000 × g
for 2 minutes) and the supernatant was discarded. Subsequently,
150 μL of a 2% (w/v) Chelex-100 solution (Bio-Rad, Hercules,
CA; catalog no. 1422832) followed by 50 μL of sterile
water was added to each sample. The samples were
placed in a heating block at 100°C for 8 minutes and then
centrifuged (14,000 × g for 2 minutes). The supernatant
was transferred to a new microcentrifuge tube and either
stored at −20°C or used in a PCR amplification reaction.
FIGURE 2. Procedure for detecting Vibrio cholerae O1 from envi-
ronmental source using enriched dipstick method. Figure 2 is a pic-
The quantity and quality of extracted DNA was determined
torial of the steps used to collect and assess V. cholerae O1 from using an ultraviolet (UV) spectrophotometer (NanoDrop
environmental samples. Step 1 is to collect 2–3 L water from envi- 2000, Thermo Scientific, Waltham, MA).
ronmental sampling site. Step 2 shows that one should take medical Polymerase chain reaction. As an initial screening step, a
gauze and fold it, then roll it into a tube to be placed into the mouth multiplex PCR amplification was performed to determine
of the funnel device, ensuring that the gauze fits snug into the mouth
of the funnel so that it will not be displaced when funneling water. the presence of three Vibrio species in the DNA sample by
The funnel can be a plastic bottle with the base cutoff or, if avail- targeting the toxR genes of Vibrio vulnificus, Vibrio para-
able, a funnel. Once the gauze filter is in place in the mouth of the haemolyticus, and V. cholerae. Following the previously
funnel, then 2–3 L water is filtered through the funnel. Step 3 is once described PCR conditions, the universal forward primer
the water has all been filtered through the funnel, remove the gauze
filter and place into a 50-mL conical tube containing 20 mL of 2×
UtoxF was used in combination with species-specific primers
alkaline peptone water (APW). The APW is 2× to offset any water (Table 1) VvtoxR, VptoxR, and VctoxR to amplify products
retained in the filter, which would reduce the concentration of the of 297, 640, and 435 bp, respectively.18 If V. cholerae was
APW. Step 4 is to incubate the gauze in the 2× APW solution for identified in the sample, a second multiplex PCR was then
∼24 hours at ∼37°C (or between 25°C and 40°C room temperature performed to differentiate nontoxigenic and toxigenic V.
[RT] if incubator is not available). Step 5 is to use the Pasteur
pipette included in the Crystal VC dipstick kit and transfer ∼200 μL cholerae. The multiplex was performed as described by
of the enriched media to the test tube provided with the kit. Then Nandi and others with 15 pmol of primers targeting an outer
insert a new dipstick into the solution and allow to incubate at RT membrane protein gene, OmpW, which is a unique gene
for 15 minutes. Read the dipstick at 15 minutes to determine if it is conserved in the V. cholerae genome, in combination with
positive or negative (see Figure 1B above). Step 6 is to preserve the
specimen in Cary Blair and on precut individual Whatman filter primers targeting cholera toxin A (ctxA) gene (Table 1) at
paper cards; all positives and a 10% sample of negatives were pre- a concentration of 6.2 pmol.19 The amplified PCR products
served on Cary Blair and filter paper for culture confirmation. for OmpW and ctxA were 588 and 301 bp, respectively.
540 DEBES AND OTHERS

TABLE 1
Primers for PCR assays
Primer name Sequence Amplicon (bp) Reference

UtoxF GASTTTGTTTGGCGYGARCAAGGTT – 18

VptoxR GGTTCAACGATTGCGTCAGAAG 297


18
VctoxR GGTTAGCAACGATGCGTAAG 640
VvtoxR AACGGAACTTAGACTCCGAC 435
19
CtxA-F CTCAGACGGGATTTGTTAGGCACG 302
CtxA-R TCTATCTCTGTAGCCCCTATTACG
19
OmpW-F CACCAAGAAGGTGACTTTATTGTG 588
OmpW-R GAACTTATAACCACCCGCG
20
O1F2-1 GTTTCACTGAACAGATGGG 192
O1R2-2 GGTCATCTGTAAGTACAAC
20
O139F2 AGCCTCTTTATTACGGGTGG 449
O139R2 GTCAAACCCGATCGTAAAGG
21
6968 GC (V6/V8) 5′–AACGCGAACCTTAC–3′ 457
L1401 3′–GCGTGTGTACAAGACCC–5′
PCR = polymerase chain reaction.

Subsequently, all V. cholerae-positive specimens were tested the first year of the study. The environmental surveillance
to determine if they belonged to serogroup O1 or O139, data included the type of water source (pond, river, ditch,
regardless of their toxigenic nature. This multiplex targets well, sewage drain, or lake) and the date of collection. The
unique regions in the rfb gene specific for the O1 and O139 occurrence of vibrios in the environment was compared over
serogroups. PCRs were conducted following methods described time by date, facility, and water source. We estimated the sig-
by Hoshino and others20 with PCR optimization including an nificance of V. cholerae non-O1 detection over the first year
increase in primer concentration to 2 μM for both O1- and of the study, taking into account the differing water sources,
O139-specific primers (Table 1). On any negative samples, follow-up visits, and within-facility clustering of detection.
16S rDNA PCR was performed to confirm DNA preservation We used generalized estimating equations with a log link
and extraction techniques by applying methods described function and an ar1 correlation matrix to account for cluster-
by Hasan and others.21 The primers, 6968-GC (V6/V8) and ing at the facility level. Statistical analyses were conducted
L1401 (Table 1) selectively amplify the variable regions V6, with Stata 13 (StataCorp LP, College Station, TX).22
V7, and V8 of 16S rDNA genes from most bacteria producing
a 457-bp amplicon. The presence of PCR products was deter- RESULTS
mined using standard 2% agarose gel electrophoresis con-
taining the intercalating agent ethidium bromide and visualized From August 2013 through October 2014, a total of 1,042
under UV light. patients were enrolled in the study among all seven study
Statistical methods. Clinical and environmental samples sites. Of these patients, 619 were enrolled in the study during
collected between August 2013 and October 2014 were used intensive surveillance days, 423 were enrolled during routine
for these analyses. Descriptive statistics were used to plot the surveillance days (Figure 3). Figure 3 demonstrates that most
number of confirmed cholera and diarrhea cases comparing cases of acute diarrhea presenting both during the intensive
intensive versus routine surveillance for each study area over surveillance every 15 days and the routine surveillance were

FIGURE 3. Monthly enrollments of diarrhea and cholera cases. The graph above shows the enrollment of diarrheal cases by month, stratified
by surveillance type and cholera outcome.
SIMPLIFIED CHOLERA SURVEILLANCE METHODS IN CAMEROON 541

TABLE 3
GEE results: Vibrio non-O1 detection
Factors OR (95% CI) P value

Month (January) Ref –


March 2.5 (1.9, 15.6) 0.001
April 4.8 (1.5, 14.7) 0.007
May 2.6 (0.9, 7.6) 0.091
June 1.9 (0.6, 6.2) 0.307
July 3.9 (1.2, 12.1) 0.021
Water source (river) Ref –
Well 3.0 (1.2, 7.3) 0.016
Sewage drain 10.4 (2.8, 38.1) < 0.001
Lake Chad 0.4 (0.1, 2.5) 0.298
Facility (Kousseri) Ref –
Blangoua 1.2 (0.3, 5.4) 0.837
Darak 9.7 (2.4, 38.3) 0.001
Naga 14.7 (3.8, 57.6) < 0.001
CI = confidence interval; GEE = generalized estimating equation; OR = odds ratio.

FIGURE 4. Percentage of diarrhea cases with severe dehydration


stratified by age group across health facilities. The graph demon- The sensitivity and specificity of the modified protocol for
strates the percentage of severe diarrheal cases enrolled at each the Crystal VC dipstick was confirmed by PCR confirmation
health facility participating in the surveillance efforts. Blangoua had of 1,681 specimens; 673 clinical specimens were confirmed
the highest numbers among all age groups. via PCR. Of the 641 clinical specimens that were PCR nega-
tive, 638 were dipstick negative, representing a Crystal VC
dipstick specificity of 99.5% using the enriched methods
not caused by V. cholerae. Though cholera was not common, (Table 4). All 1,011 environmental samples tested within the
severe non-cholera diarrheal disease was prevalent in Blangoua study time frame were both dipstick and PCR negative
health facilities (Figure 4). Cholera was not detected in these (100% specificity). There were an insufficient number of posi-
health facilities until October 2014 when an outbreak was iden- tive environmental samples to confirm sensitivity. The sen-
tified in Darak, Cameroon. The outbreak continued through sitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative
October, with additional cases being detected in nearby predictive value of PCR as compared with culture confir-
Blangoua. In total, 32 PCR-confirmed cholera cases were mation of the 507 clinical specimens confirmed using both
enrolled: 30 patients had O1 V. cholerae and two had non-O1 methods was 90.9%, 99.3%, 95.2%, and 98.6%, respectively.
cholera. Of these, 11 (34%) were children under 5 years of age
and 21 (66%) were males (Table 2). DISCUSSION
Of the 1,011 water samples obtained from the environ-
mental sites for the seven health facilities during the study The use of simplified laboratory and epidemiological sur-
period, 244 were V. cholerae non-O1 and non-O139 positive, veillance methodologies in this study enabled rapid identifica-
while none were V. cholerae O1 positive. (After this defined tion of cases during an outbreak while significantly reducing
period of surveillance, in November 2014, one environmental any false-positive test results. This study is also the first to
sample was positive for V. cholerae O1 by dipstick.) The four demonstrate the use of the enriched Crystal VC dipstick
types of water sources sampled included rivers, wells, sewage method in a remote setting. The results of the dipstick test
drains, and Lake Chad. Binomial regression analysis showed were confirmed by a combination of culture and PCR for 673
an increased risk of Vibrio in April, May, and July as com- clinical and 1,011 environmental samples, demonstrating a
pared with the risk in January (Table 3). At the facility specificity of 99.5% and 100%, respectively. This is signifi-
level, there was a significantly increased likelihood of Vibrio cantly higher than the specificity levels reported for direct
detection at sites near Naga and Darak as compared with use of the dipstick in stool samples (49–79%).7–9 These data
Kousseri. Finally, as compared with Vibrio detection in validate the use of the enriched dipstick method to improve
rivers, there is no significant increase of detection at sites
along Lake Chad. However, a significant increase of Vibrio
TABLE 4
detection was seen in wells and sewage drains.
PPV and NPV, sensitivity and specificity of enriched Crystal VC dip-
stick as compared with the gold standard of PCR
Clinical samples

Enriched dipstick method PCR positive PCR negative Total


TABLE 2
Clinical surveillance PCR results Dipstick positive 25 3 28
Dipstick negative 7 638 645
No cholera (%) Cholera (%)
Total 32 641 673
Age group Male Female Total Male Female Total Estimate (%) 95% CI
Sensitivity 89.3 71.8–97.7
<5 116 (34) 95 (32) 211 (33) 8 (28) 3 (27) 11 (34) Specificity 98.9 97.8–99.6
5–15 67 (20) 54 (18) 121 (19) 10 (48) 2 (18) 12 (38) PPV 78.1 60.0–90.7
> 15 158 (46) 151 (50) 309 (48) 3 (14) 6 (55) 9 (28) NPV 99.5 98.6–99.9
Total 341 (53) 300 (47) 641 21 (66) 11 (34) 32
CI = confidence interval; NPV = negative predictive value; PCR = polymerase chain
PCR = polymerase chain reaction. reaction; PPV = positive predictive value.
542 DEBES AND OTHERS

specificity as initially demonstrated in the hospital setting in care workers at the site had fled the area before the out-
Bangladesh10,12,13 and Mozambique.11 This is the first study to break because of mounting insecurity in the area. Although
demonstrate the use of this enriched method in remote and culture was completed at the central reference laboratory,
rural settings with limited laboratory capacity. the initial dipstick testing and filter paper preservation were
This study presents the novel use of filter paper for environ- completed at the site on case presentation. This highlights
mental and stool sample preservation for molecular screening. the simplicity of the techniques and ease of implementation
This method proved to be a low-cost and low-maintenance in even the most challenging setting. There were no clinical
diagnostic for the field setting, eliminating the need for culture cases identified in our study area before October 2014. This
confirmation and laboratory reagents. Although extensive insufficient amount of positive results prevented us from
training of laboratory personnel was previously required to establishing an accurate sensitivity calculation for the enriched
conduct microbiological testing, this method enables non- dipstick methodology. Finally, only V. cholerae was confirmed
laboratory personnel to implement the technique in a field clinically and, therefore, we were unable to further character-
setting. Furthermore, the filter paper does not need cold chain ize the cases of non-cholera diarrhea enrolled in the study.
for preservation and is considered non-biohazardous after In conclusion, the first year of this surveillance study dem-
drying, thereby eliminating transportation issues. onstrates the successful use and implementation of low-cost,
This study is the first to investigate a simplified epidemio- simplified epidemiological and laboratory methodologies for
logical and laboratory surveillance methodology for use in surveillance in remote, rural, or vulnerable settings. The use
remote and rural settings and to successfully implement a of an enriched dipstick protocol was successfully applied in a
sustained clinical and environmental surveillance of cholera in field setting with improved specificity. Basic technologies, such
the FNC, particularly during a period of insecurity. Although as the use of gauze filtration rather than more expensive
the surveillance approach was modeled after a similar meth- filtration methods, decrease supply and logistics costs and
odology used in Bangladesh,4 the methodology applied in allow for important environmental surveillance to provide
Cameroon was further simplified by the use of the enriched information about the burden of cholera in previously unde-
dipstick test, the use of a low-cost gauze filtration device scribed areas. Finally, the novel application of dried filter paper
for environmental sampling, and the preservation of dried, methodology to cholera DNA preservation demonstrates a
enriched specimens on filter paper for PCR confirmation of simplified method for assessment for Vibrio presence in stool
initial results. In 2014, after more than 1 year of surveillance, and environment.
the first cholera cases were identified during study surveil-
lance activities in Darak and Blangoua health districts, and Received July 3, 2015. Accepted for publication November 14, 2015.
the cases were rapidly confirmed using the study-specific sim- Published online January 11, 2016.
plified laboratory methodologies. This enabled rapid response
Acknowledgments: We thank the staff of the Kousseri Health District,
and interventions to limit the spread of the disease. Thus, not Mada Health District, Makary Health District, and Goulfey Health
only did these findings contribute to the assessment of a sur- District for their participation in this study. We also thank the Far
veillance strategy appropriate for remote and vulnerable set- North regional delegate for public health, Rebecca Djao, and The
tings, but it also demonstrated the capability of this method Division of Health Operations Research, Cameroon Ministry of
Public Health, for their support in this project.
for early outbreak detection.
The surveillance results for the first year of this study did Financial support: This study was supported by the Delivering Oral
not confirm our initial hypothesis that there is an environmen- Vaccine Effectively (DOVE) project. DOVE is supported by the Bill
& Melinda Gates Foundation and administered through the Johns
tal reservoir for cholera in Lake Chad that leads to occasional Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.
cases. Nor did the regression analysis reveal a significant sea-
Disclaimer: The funder had no role in study design, data collection
sonal trend in Vibrio presence in the environmental sites.
and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
However, this report is based only on the first year of surveil-
lance. Given that outbreaks in the study area were only in Authors’ addresses: Amanda K. Debes, Peter Steinwald, Malathi Ram,
and David A. Sack, Department of International Health, Johns Hop-
the beginning stages at the conclusion of this first report, con- kins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, E-mails:
tinued surveillance over a longer period is needed. adebes1@jhu.edu, psteinw1@jhu.edu, mram1@jhu.edu, and dsack1
There are several limitations to this study, the most impor- @jhu.edu. Jerome Ateudjieu, Department of Biomedical Sciences,
tant being that the study site is situated in an area that con- Faculty of Sciences, University of Dschang, Dschang, Cameroon,
E-mail: jateudj@yahoo.fr. Etienne Guenou, Walter Ebile, Isaac
tinues to struggle with safety and security issues as a result
Tadzong Sonkoua, and Antony Chebe Njimbia, Meilleure Acces aux
of terrorist activities. Safety issues resulted in the loss of data Soins de Santé (M.A. SANTE), Yaounde, Cameroon, E-mails:
in some study areas, particularly in Darak, which is located etienneg83@yahoo.fr, walter.ebile@masante-cm.org, isaacsonkoua@
on an island in Lake Chad. The presence of nontoxigenic yahoo.fr, and chebeanthony@gmail.com.
V. cholerae O1 in the environmental sources during the early This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the
months of 2014 in Darak may have been an early warning Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted
sign for the area. Unfortunately, the team was unable to use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the
original author and source are credited.
maintain regular surveillance, leading to an incomplete anal-
ysis of events before the toxigenic V. cholerae O1 outbreak
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Vaccine 38 (2020) A167–A174

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Vaccine
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vaccine

Non-vaccine strategies for cholera prevention and control: India’s


preparedness for the global roadmap
Madhuchhanda Das a, Harpreet Singh a, C.P. Girish Kumar b, Denny John c, Samiran Panda d,
Sanjay M. Mehendale a,⇑
a
Indian Council of Medical Research, New Delhi, India
b
ICMR-National Institute of Epidemiology, Chennai, India
c
Campbell Collaboration, New Delhi, India
d
ICMR-National AIDS Research Institute, Pune, India

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Background: Recently World Health Organization’s Global Task Force on Cholera Control (GTFCC) has
Available online 20 August 2019 published a global roadmap for prevention and control of cholera. We review preparedness of existing
governmental non-vaccine programs and strategies for cholera prevention and control in India. We also
Keywords: describe strengths and gaps in the context of implementation of the global roadmap.
Cholera Methods: We reviewed published literature on non-vaccine based strategies for prevention and control of
Prevention cholera in India and analyzed strengths and weaknesses of Government of India’s major anti-cholera and
Control
ante-diarrhea initiatives under Integrated Disease Surveillance Program (IDSP), National Rural Health
WASH
Disease model
Mission (NRHM), and other disease surveillance platforms.
Results: The first strategy of the WHO global roadmap, namely, preparedness for early detection and out-
break containment, has been addressed by the IDSP. NRHM complements IDSP activities by focusing on
sanitation, hygiene, nutrition, and safe drinking water. We identified the need to adopt stricter case def-
initions and data validation protocols.
Multi-sectoral approach to prevent cholera occurrences and re-occurrences [the second suggested
strategy in the global roadmap], highlights identification of hotspots and implementing strategies based
on transmission dynamics. We recommend development of comprehensive models by integrating data
sources beyond the national programs to eliminate cholera hotspots in India.
Implementing the third proposed strategy in the global roadmap, coordinated technical support,
resource mobilization, and partnerships at local and global levels, has major challenges in India due to
structural issues related to health systems and health programs.
Conclusion: Even with a robust public health infrastructure, absence of a national cholera program might
have resulted in lack of specific focus and concerted efforts for cholera prevention and control in India. A
National Taskforce for Cholera Control must develop India-specific ‘National Cholera Prevention and
Response Road Map’ with an appropriate administrative and financially viable framework for its
implementation.
Ó 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

1. Introduction been reported from 21 states and Union territories of which 12


states are reported to be endemic for Cholera [2]. A study esti-
Cholera has remained a public health problem in India for sev- mated an annual incidence of 675,188 cholera cases and 20,356
eral decades. However, there is no reliable nationwide data on its deaths (2008–2012) in India [3]. Between 2014 and 2016, 197 cho-
prevalence [1]. Central Bureau of Health Intelligence (CBHI), and lera outbreaks were reported in the country [3]. ‘National Health
Integrated Disease Surveillance Program (IDSP) of Government of Profile’ published by CBHI reported total 718 cholera cases and 3
India publish reports on cholera incidence regularly. Cholera has deaths in 2016 while 913 cholera cases and 04 deaths were
reported in the previous year [4,5]. Provisional data for 2017
reported 494 cholera cases and 3 deaths [4]. In 2016, IDSP reported
⇑ Corresponding author at: Indian Council of Medical Research, Post Box No.
4911, Ansari Nagar, New Delhi 110029, India.
114 cholera outbreaks in the country [6].
E-mail address: sanjaymehendale.hq@icmr.gov.in (S.M. Mehendale).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.08.010
0264-410X/Ó 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
A168 M. Das et al. / Vaccine 38 (2020) A167–A174

Hence, there appears to be considerable discordance between tion, quick response for containment, immediate community
the cholera burden reported in published literature and data avail- engagement, early warning surveillance, readiness for supplies,
able with governmental systems and programs. nation-wide network of laboratories and responsive health
A recent watershed publication, ‘‘Ending Cholera—A Global systems.
Roadmap to 2030”, by the Global Task Force on Cholera Control
(GTFCC) of World Health Organization (WHO) describes a vision 3.1.1. Integrated surveillance system for early warning in India
to reduce cholera-associated mortality by 90 percent by 2030 [7]. An efficient surveillance system is critical in containment of any
It highlights three strategies: (i) Early detection and quick response diseases and for prioritization of areas for intervention. The
to contain outbreaks, (ii) Targeted multi-sectoral approach to pre- ‘National Centre for Disease Control’ and NRHM functioning under
vent cholera recurrence in hotspots, and (iii) Coordinated technical the ‘Ministry of Health and Family Welfare’ have created a mecha-
support, resource mobilization, and partnership at local and global nism for early detection and early response to contain outbreaks in
levels [7]. India. The IDSP system connects villages to state-wide monitoring
Prevention and treatment are the two critical components of systems through surveillance units. The Central Surveillance Unit
cholera control in any setting. Prevention encompasses use of Oral (CSU) is linked to the State Surveillance Units (SSU), and each
Cholera Vaccines (OCVs) as well as non-vaccine interventions SSU is then connected to the District Surveillance Units (DSU). Each
focusing on Water, Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH). Both are com- DSU is linked to Peripheral Reporting Units (PRU) at the village
plementary and essential. However, despite in-country licensure, level. At present, 675 DSUs are operational across the country.
OCVs are not yet adopted as part of the national immunization pro- The IDSP network provides supervision and feedback from the
gram by the Government of India and strategies such as WASH, CSU to PRUs and ensures seamless data flow from PRUs to the
early diagnosis, oral rehydration solution (ORS), and awareness CSU for compilation and analysis.
generation are emphasized. We present situation analysis in terms The country-wide IDSP surveillance network has the potential
of preparedness for prevention and control of cholera in India to detect emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases including
focusing on non-vaccine strategies in the context of the GTFCC cholera in a timely manner. This network can also respond quickly
roadmap. We have specifically examined the prevailing activities, in post-disaster scenarios such as earthquakes, floods, and cyclones
programs and the available infrastructure with a view to identify and can initiate disease and outbreak surveillance immediately.
future needs for cholera prevention and control in India. Information and communication technology has been made an
integral component of IDSP to enable networking, training, data
transfer, analysis and communication at districts, states and cen-
2. Methods
tral levels [8].
Since 2008, the IDSP portal has created a 24X7 call center facil-
The authors extensively deliberated and developed a matrix
ity to receive disease alerts from anywhere in the country on a toll-
defining the primary and secondary domains of prevention and
free number. This facility is for reporting and verification of out-
control of cholera in India. Electronic databases like NCBI-
break alerts, mitigating rumors, and initiating appropriate public
PubMed, Cochrane, and CINAHL were searched using the keywords
health actions.
‘‘cholera” and ‘‘prevention OR control” to identify all the published
The Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) has set up a
literature including qualitative studies in India. We analyzed the
satellite-based interactive network of 367 sites for training using
literature on non-vaccine prevention and control strategies for
Education Satellite (EDUSAT) connectivity and presently covers
cholera in the last 10 years. We also reviewed the strengths and
states like Maharashtra, Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, the North-Eastern
weaknesses of the major Government of India initiatives such as
States, hilly states of Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Jammu
IDSP, diarrhea control measures of the National Rural Health Mis-
& Kashmir, and Islands [8]. Emulating ISRO, the ‘National Informat-
sion (NRHM) and other disease surveillance platforms. A schematic
ics Centre’ has set up broadband-based connectivity at its 378 data
framework was developed to assess the level of preparedness for
centers. These facilities can also be leveraged for efficient data cap-
cholera prevention and control in India within the bounds of
ture and transmission to the IDSP CSU as alternative or additional
GTFCC roadmap.
mechanisms. However, the call centers of IDSP and EDUSAT have
repeatedly experienced administrative and operational challenges
3. Results and discussion associated with the use of high-end technology. Their performance
has to become more dependable and consistent.
We developed a radial diagram showing WHO roadmap strate- On a trial basis, less technology-intensive mechanism of short
gies for control of cholera and then mapped our perceptions on messaging service (SMS) to capture data directly from the field
preparedness for cholera prevention and control in India in case was made operational in 2008. However, it was observed that data
of various strategies, schemes and approaches as well as available from the field was first being reviewed at the PHC level and filtered
infrastructure to implement them. While doing this we have data was being forwarded through the SMS. Although this was
retained alignment with the GTFCC for cholera prevention and con- done primarily to sanitize the content of information transmitted,
trol [Fig. 1a & b]. The colour codes and density reflect our percep- it was defeating the whole purpose of the instant SMS-alert system
tion and assessment of India’s level of preparedness after the to facilitate immediate response. The SMS-based data capture sys-
critical analysis. This schematic framework describes the existing tem can be revitalized for wider, unfiltered data collection, rapid
scenario and identifies future needs for cholera prevention and confirmation and efficient linking with the IDSP system by imple-
control in India. menting validation and data authentication protocols [8].

3.1. Early detection and outbreak containment 3.1.2. Laboratory setup for detection of cholera in the Indian public
health system
A robust outbreak control system could significantly reduce Peripheral laboratories should rapidly confirm the diagnosis of
mortality from cholera, particularly in countries with seasonal cholera and perform culture/ antibiotic susceptibility for confirmed
recurrence of the disease [7]. Hence, the WHO roadmap lays cholera cases. In the limited resource settings deploying trained
emphasis on containing outbreaks as soon as they are notified. Var- personnel for microbiological diagnosis of cholera in peripheral
ious components of an effective response include early case detec- health facilities is difficult. In such scenarios, rapid diagnostic tests
M. Das et al. / Vaccine 38 (2020) A167–A174 A169

Strongly prepared
Moderately prepared
Less prepared
Not discussed

Fig. 1. [A] Pictorial representation of the WHO Global Roadmap for Cholera Prevention and Control Strategies; [B] Pictorial representation of preparedness of India for
implementation of strategies for prevention and control of Cholera.

(RDTs) can be a cheaper and a practical screening option in periph- lation of data from these sources for more effective mapping of
eral laboratories like primary health centers. Although not replace- cholera in India is a major challenge. Initial cases of suspected cho-
ments for stool culture or PCR, RDTs can be employed for initial lera are more likely to first seek medical attention at primary
case detection and early warning of an impending cholera out- health care facilities and hence they should be equipped with cho-
break. Further case confirmation using classical microbiological lera RDTs.
procedures or PCR can be done at secondary/ tertiary health
facilities. 3.1.3. Rapid-response teams
Under IDSP, 117 District Public Health Laboratories (DPHL) Rapid response teams (RRTs) constitute a vital arm of IDSP as
headed by trained microbiologists have been established in 29 part of preparedness for outbreaks and early response. A team of
states of India for providing diagnostic support during epidemic an epidemiologist, microbiologist or laboratory specialist, and a
situations. Additionally, 107 state-level referral laboratories (SRL) clinician is trained and deployed to investigate and respond to an
have been established at select medical colleges/institutions in outbreak and report back to the national authorities immediately.
24 states. Unlike DPHLs, SRLs have the capacity to perform tests The RRTs are expected to initiate swift action to curtail further
for culture, sensitivity and serotyping of cholera and other spread of illness and prevent deaths by initiating emergency
entero-pathogens. response directed at WASH services, investigating risk sources
The CSU receives information on lab-confirmed outbreaks from and working with affected communities to identify the urgent
SSUs through e-mail, via e-portals, or by fax every week [8]. The interventions needed [8]. All diarrheal outbreaks reported to RRTs
data generated by laboratory-network is used for detecting and are responded to. An analysis of acute diarrhoeal outbreaks in an
reporting cholera outbreaks in India. Between 1997 and 2006, a Indian state revealed a median time of 2.5 days to report to district
total of 68 cholera outbreaks occurred in 18 states and union terri- RRT (inter quartile range, 2–5 days) [11]. Delays in investigating
tories [3]. During 2004–2005, cholera was reported in 15 Indian suspected cholera outbreak and delayed outbreak response have
states, which included 7 outbreaks [9]. Between 2003 and 2012, been linked to high levels of morbidity and mortality.
37,037 cholera cases were reported by the CBHI. During 2010– Thus, the infrastructure and system for outbreak detection and
2012, 185 cholera outbreaks were reported to the IDSP. Significant containment are in place in India. Additional work is required on
improvements in the reporting of cases and outbreaks is an impor- creating a critical mass of adequately trained skilled manpower
tant public health achievement in the country [9]. A more recent for RRT and their quick mobilization; improving IEC materials
analysis of IDSP data for the period 2013–2015 documented 179 and resources like drugs, vehicles, reagents etc.; and making the
outbreaks from different parts of India [10]. technology more dependable for quick reporting and seamless
To summarize, a strong laboratory network of public health lab- communication.
oratories has been created in India that sends reports to the CSU.
However, nearly 75% of the Indian districts are yet to be covered 3.1.4. Preparedness and implementation of WASH
under DPHL. There is a gross mismatch in the number of cases For many decades, developed countries in Europe and North
reported by the IDSP network and DPHLs, as well as SRLs. Triangu- America have eliminated cholera by providing safe drinking water
A170 M. Das et al. / Vaccine 38 (2020) A167–A174

and advanced sanitation systems. In 2015, improved sanitation of aquatic resources. It was observed that nearly 63%, 19%, and 18%
facilities were available for 44% of the population in India (65% of water bodies had BODs of less than 3 mg/l, 3–6 mg/l, and above
urban and 34% rural population) [12]. Improved drinking-water 6 mg/l respectively. Drinking water sources need to be protected
sources were available for 88% of the Indian population. Despite from organic matter and fecal contamination through very system-
this the 2017 UN-Water Global Analysis and Assessment of Sanita- atic efforts in India.
tion and Drinking-Water report documented 71.7/100,000 diar-
rheal deaths in under 5 years due to inadequate WASH facilities; 3.1.7. Community engagement for behavioral changes and hygiene
a significant challenge for India to attain sustainable development practices
goals [13]. The allotment of the equivalent of USD 3.554 billion in NRHM of India has implemented ‘Total Sanitation Campaign’ in
the 2017 budget outlay of the Government of India towards WASH 350 districts of the country and has proposed to extend coverage to
may not be adequate. Despite laws and policies on (i) urban/ rural the remaining districts [17]. It attempts to comprehensively deal
sanitation and drinking water supply, (ii) hygiene promotion, and with sanitation and hygiene, nutrition, and safe drinking water
(iii) water resources planning and management at the national through its District Plan for Health. The Village Health and Sanita-
level; India continues to have a significant burden of diarrheal dis- tion Committees (VHSNC), consisting of opinion leaders at the vil-
eases [2,3]. The reasons for this need to be explored and well laid- lage level, have been set up. ‘Accredited social health activists’ from
out schemes and outcome-oriented initiatives should be sup- villages mobilize the community and facilitate people’s access to
ported. Funding for public health emergencies, public health prac- health and health-related services by working closely with
tices, and community-level behavioral change needs to be backed VHSNCs. The activities of VHSNCs with reference to WASH include
by appropriate research evidence. (i) Monitoring and facilitating access to essential public services
such as clean drinking water and clean toilets, and (ii) Organizing
3.1.5. WASH - safe water supply local collective action for health promotion through voluntarism,
The ‘Ministry of Drinking Water and Sanitation’ oversees the community mobilization and sensitization against poor environ-
implementation of the ‘National Rural Drinking Water Program’ mental hygiene practices.
in the country. Rural drinking water has been included by the The Government of India has focused on creating awareness
Government of India in rural infrastructure development plan about sanitation, safe water, and prevention of open defecation
called ‘‘Bharat Nirman”, which aims at providing adequate safe but in order to radically improve environmental hygiene it is
drinking water of good quality to all so far uncovered habitations. important that practices and behavior are adopted at individual,
In 2014, the Prime Minister of India launched the ‘‘Swachh Bharat family, community, and national levels.
Abhiyan”, a program to create awareness about sanitation by erad-
icating open defecation, preventing water contamination, and
3.1.8. Preparedness of health care system and training of health
improving public health. Swachh Bharat Mission portal suggests
workers
that 27 out of India’s 36 states and Union territories are now open
Strengthening of the existing health care facilities, establish-
-defecation- free with 98.6% of Indian households having access to
ment of dedicated facilities such as ‘Cholera Treatment Centers’/
toilets [14]. The National Annual Rural Sanitation Survey of 2018–
‘Cholera Treatment Units’ as also the training of health workers
19 has reported that the number of Indians defecating in the open
are critical elements in prevention and control of cholera. It is also
has reduced to less than 50 million from 550 million in 2014 [15].
important to have trained and dedicated staff for outbreak investi-
However, all these schemes have operational challenges and
gation and containment.
ground-level implementation problems and their benefits will be
Though India has a robust public health infrastructure, training
realized in the years to come. Discussion on the issues of sanitation
of the healthcare staff in urban, rural and tribal areas in case detec-
and open defecation on open platforms is a significant
tion and dehydration management is essential to reduce cholera
development.
associated mortality. Ability to quickly mobilize RRTs and to man-
age uniform year-round availability of the adequate stock of drugs
3.1.6. Monitoring of water quality
and fluids at the most peripheral level are likely to significantly
‘‘Prevention and Control of Water Pollution Act” was enacted to
reduce cholera-related morbidity and mortality.
restore and maintain water bodies in India in 1974. The ‘Central
Pollution Control Board’ has established a network of monitoring
stations on rivers across the country and initiated monitoring of 3.1.9. Prepositioning stocks
water quality in 1977–78 under the Global Environmental Moni- Improvement of efficiency of a rapid response for cholera out-
toring System (GEMS). The present network has 2500 monitoring breaks containment through pre-positioning of resources for diag-
stations in 28 states and 6 Union Territories. It covers 445 rivers, nostics, patient care, and emergency WASH intervention is highly
154 lakes, 12 tanks, 78 ponds, 41 creeks or seawater inlets, 25 recommended. Maintenance of sufficient stocks of WASH supplies,
canals, 45 drains, 10 water treatment plants (raw water), and namely, rapid microbial test kits, chlorine tests, water disinfection
807 wells [13]. Monitoring of Indian National Aquatic Resources technologies including chlorine, water tanks, supplies like hygiene
System (MINARS), and the Yamuna Action Plan (YAP) are addi- kits, ORS, gloves, culture media, soap, rapid diagnostic kits, chlo-
tional complementary networks and GEMS, MINARS and YAP rine tablets, bleaching powder, etc. at healthcare facilities at all
jointly constitute the inland water-quality monitoring network. levels is required for effective control of cholera outbreaks.
The groundwater quality monitoring network has been extended
to 807 locations in the country [16]. 3.2. Multi-sectoral approach to prevent cholera occurrence and re-
Water samples are analyzed for 9 core parameters, 19 general occurrence
parameters, as well as trace metals at selected locations. Appropri-
ate corrective measures are suggested for restoring the water qual- Outbreaks of cholera are often observed in vulnerable popula-
ity of the polluted water bodies. Major water quality concerns tions following disasters, conflicts and famines [18,19]. The Global
include ‘Total Coliform’ and ‘Fecal Coliform’ counts, high Biochem- Roadmap emphasizes identification of hotspots (geographical
ical/ Biological Oxygen Demand (BOD) and salinity resulting from regions or communities heavily affected by cholera), identification
organic matter and chemical pollution. Monitoring in 2011 indi- and mapping of vulnerable populations, and studying transmission
cated that organic pollution was a predominant cause of pollution dynamics [7]. These activities require multi-sectoral coordination
M. Das et al. / Vaccine 38 (2020) A167–A174 A171

and have been employed successfully for the prevention and con- posed as a potential parameter for the impact of interventions on
trol of cholera world-wide [20,21]. the endemic cholera spread [42]. Recently, the weekly incidence
of suspected cases and fatality risk was used to parameterize the
3.2.1. Identification of hotspots family of logistic curves for describing the unbiased incidence in
‘Hotspots’ are the areas of increased transmission potential. the cholera outbreak in Yemen in 2017. Using logistics and gener-
Their identification plays an important role in research, policy for- alized logistics models, the cumulative incidence at the end of the
mation, and public health practice [22]. Appropriate interventions epidemic was estimated to be 790,778 (95% CI: 700,495, 914,442)
and preparedness at the identified hotspots is the responsibility of cases and 767,029 (95% CI: 690,877, 871,671) cases respectively
the government. The latest technological tools like geographic [38]. Mathematical models of cholera transmission have been pro-
information system, global positioning system and Google Earth posed with approaches for developing more detailed cholera out-
application programming interface along with mobile phones break models, including the addition of contaminated water
[23], have been globally employed for efficient identification of supplies, spatial effects, intra-household transmission, and inter-
hotspots. ventions [43,44].
There are very few studies about cholera hotspot identification Models of cholera transmission need to be developed in India
in India. Based on spatial clustering reports of district level cholera and validated. Data from IDSP, state governments, and other data
cases during 2010–2015 obtained from the IDSP, 13 out of 36 sources needs to be integrated to develop a realistic predictive
states in India were classified as endemic for cholera and 78 out model. Considering India’s population heterogeneity and strain
of the 641 districts in 15 states were identified as ‘‘hotspots” diversity, it is possible to develop a comprehensive SIR stochastic
[10]. On the other hand, 111 districts in 9 states were identified framework model parameterized for several factors depicted in
as ‘‘hotspots” from a model-based prediction. The risk for cholera Fig. 2. Though effective, some of the major challenges in developing
in a district was negatively associated with the proportion of liter- integrated models for cholera include limited capacity and inade-
ate people, households using treated water sources and ownership quate trained manpower and non-uniform and non-validated data.
of mobile telephones. Conversely, areas with poor sanitation and
drainage conditions and lower levels of urbanization were associ-
ated with a higher cholera risk [10]. Surveillance data on cholera 3.3. Coordinated technical support, resource mobilization and
outbreaks from 2000 to 2011 from the health department of the partnership at local and global levels
Chennai Corporation and population data (2001) from census were
used to identify cholera hotspots in the metropolis [24]. There are The GTFCC created in 1992, has striven to be an effective and
also many reports of isolated cholera outbreaks beyond the hot- well-coordinated platform for bringing together all multi-sector
spots in India [25–27]. A map depicting cholera hotspots in India technical partners from around the world to support countries in
has been published recently [1]. their fight against cholera. The goal of the GTFCC is to support
national and inter-country capacities by providing a strong plat-
3.2.2. Risk and vulnerability assessment form for advocacy and communications, fund-raising, inter-
Vulnerability for cholera is dependent on environmental, phe- sectoral coordination, and technical assistance towards ending
notypic and genotypic factors [28]. Several studies have identified cholera as a public health issue by 2030. Despite considerable
poor environmental conditions such as unclean water, unhygienic efforts, challenges such as a lack of acceptability of OCVs by policy/
environment, and poor waste management [29,30] to be strongly decision-makers and integration with non-vaccine strategies such
associated with outbreaks and endemicity of cholera. Reported as WASH need to be overcome. The Global Roadmap is an effort
phenotypic factors defining vulnerability include malnutrition, to cover the last mile through support and cooperation from inter-
homelessness, poor housing, and destitution; while nucleotide national and national-level stakeholders towards accelerating
polymorphisms and epigenetic modifications are its genetic deter- action against cholera.
minants [31]. The comprehensive cholera control envisaged in the global
Though there have been reports of cholera outbreaks in various roadmap document requires significant financial investment by
parts of India [9], group-specific risk and individual vulnerabilities the adopting countries. However, there is no mention of financial
have not been adequately studied. Similar to studies of host geno- assurance from the GTCC or WHO. Moreover, it is possible that
types on predicting susceptibility to tuberculosis [32], studies can all countries may not have the technical skills, infrastructural back-
be done in the context of cholera as well. bone, and human/ financial resources to implement all the WHO-
recommended strategies. They are likely to face challenges in
3.2.3. Modelling and transmission dynamics designing appropriate strategies for their countries.
Modelling and transmission dynamics are being used exten- Various countries, including India, need to analyze their public
sively for understanding the pathogenesis and the spread of com- health scenarios to decide upon the most effective strategies that
municable diseases [33] and also for evaluating risk factors and require minimum financial commitment [Fig. 3].
the impact of control measures [34,35]. Models vary from simple It is important to establish an integrated surveillance network
deterministic equations to complex stochastic frameworks with with data from the IDSP, state-level surveillance units, and other
input parameters for immunology, clonality and the population data sources to periodically estimate reliable prevalence estimates
structure of cholera cases. Transmission dynamics models have of cholera in various districts, states, and regions of India. Strength-
been developed for cholera world-wide for understanding the role ening of healthcare facilities with dedicated cholera units at all
of climate on transmissibility of the disease [36–39]. Majority of levels, implementation of WASH, and community engagement to
the studies have used susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) com- encourage safe hygiene practices are the other critical strategies.
partmental models with different parameters. A SIR compartmen- Establishing focused research priorities to foster multi-
tal model with parameters to estimate the impact of clean water, disciplinary research on epidemiological, molecular, and clinical
vaccination and enhanced antibiotic distribution programs has aspects of cholera is essential. Establishing public-private partner-
been reported [40]. A SIR model parameterized with high asymp- ship ventures to stimulate the development of antimicrobials and
tomatic ratio and rapid waning immunity has been used for vaccines against cholera would also need coordinated action. India
explaining 50 years of mortality data from 26 districts in West requires a strong political commitment to eliminate cholera from
Bengal [41]. The hyper-infectivity of bacterial strains has been pro- the country, as has been done for polio.
A172 M. Das et al. / Vaccine 38 (2020) A167–A174

Reinfecon

Genec resistance Resistant /


Herd Immunity Protecon
Vaccinaon

Birth Direct Contact Chemotherapy


Suscepble Infected Recovered
Immigraon Indirect Contact

Comorbidity
Cholera related
Contaminaon
Comorbidity
Bacterial growth/death

Fig. 2. Comprehensive model for Cholera transmission dynamics.

Fig. 3. Organogram of structural framework of the cholera control programme in India.

For achieving the target of cholera control by 2030, what is Health Minister and State Health Ministers. It is only with the
urgently needed is a national taskforce for cholera control with a patronage of both central and state governments and ownership
national cholera prevention and response road map for India. of the program by all stakeholders at various levels within and out-
Given the fact that health is a state-level subject when it comes side the Indian health system that the target of cholera control can
to legislation, a steering committee comprising top-level central be achieved.
and state health ministry officials should be constituted, which It is a limitation of the present analysis that experts outside the
can be overseen by an oversight committee consisting of the Union current group of authors were not involved in the situation analy-
M. Das et al. / Vaccine 38 (2020) A167–A174 A173

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