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Post: Manila
Report Highlights:
The easing of pandemic mobility restrictions and the recent national elections boosted food and
beverage retail sales. Though the sector failed to sustain growth last year, key retail companies remain
confident about growing the market in 2022. Post estimates the retail food sector will achieve six
percent growth this year. Despite shipping challenges, the United States remains the largest exporter of
food and beverages. Post forecasts U.S. food and beverage exports to grow eight percent in 2022 with
strong opportunities for milk, cheese, meat, poultry, baked products, fruits, vegetables, wine, and pet
food.
THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY
STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT POLICY
MARKET FACT SHEET: PHILIPPINES
MARKET OUTLOOK
The Philippines is on track to re-emerge as an upper-middle-income country in 2022, as the economy is
poised to reach pre-pandemic levels. Post forecasts a six percent GDP growth this year driven by
improving economic conditions and reduced government COVID-related restrictions.
AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS TO THE Philippines: Quick Facts CY 2022
PHILIPPINES
The Philippines 2021 AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS Demographics
TO THE PHILIPPINES 113 million population (Jan 2022 est.)
ranked as the 1.63% population annual growth (Dec 2021 est.)
China
seventh-largest United
52% under 24 years old & median age of 24 years old
17%
States 48% urbanization rate
U.S. agricultural 21% EU 12% resides in Metro Manila - capital city
export market in 11% 76% speaks English & 98% literacy rate
Others New
2021, reaching a 12% Zealand
3% Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Australia ASEAN GDP: $428 billion (est.) GDP per capita: $3,859 (est.)
record $3.55 7% 29%
GDP growth rate: 6% (est.) GDP PPP: $1,110 billion (est)
billion. Post
Source: Trade Data Monitor
estimates an Agricultural & Related Trade (2020)
Exports to PH: $12.9 billion PH Exports: $7.8 billion
additional eight percent growth in 2022, with the
United States remaining the largest Consumer-Oriented Agricultural Products:
single-country exporter to the Philippines. - Pork, beef, poultry - Sauces and condiments
- Dairy products - Fruits and vegetables
FOOD PROCESSING SECTOR - Food preparations - Biscuits and baked products
With boosted capacity and production of food
Key Fast Food Chains
and beverage manufacturers, FAS Philippines Jollibee, Mc Donald’s, Chowking, Shakey’s, and KFC
forecasts growth for the food processing sector
Key Supermarkets
in 2022. Continued household spending and SM Supermarket, Robinson’s Supermarket, Puregold Price Club,
purchasing by manufacturers will further propel Metro, Gaisano, and Landmark
the industry this year.
Key Convenience Stores
RETAIL FOOD SECTOR 7-Eleven, Alfamart, Ministop, Familymart, All Day, and Lawson
Post estimates retail sales to improve in
Key Warehouse Clubs
convenience stores, grocery stores, S&R and Landers
hypermarkets, and warehouse clubs in 2022
Sources: Euromonitor, Global Agricultural Trade System,
through increased consumer mobility, spending,
International Monetary Fund, The World Factbook, Trade Data
and higher employment rates. Easing of mobility Monitor, The Economist, World Bank, Philippine Statistics
restrictions, enhanced online services and Office, Department of Trade and Industry, National Economic
continued pantry-loading will also boost retail and Development Authority, and FAS Manila research
sales. Strengths Weaknesses
FOOD SERVICE SECTOR Strong preference for U.S. High cost of shipping
ingredients and perceived higher freight and higher tariffs
After drastic declines in food service sales due to standard and quality compared to Asian
COVID-related policies, Post expects the sector countries
Opportunities Challenges
to partially rebound in 2022, together with the A newly industrialized country Inflation and escalation
easing of restrictions. Challenges remain from with a young, tech-savvy, of logistical costs
working-age population, and
hiring employees, operational and supply chain robust domestic demand
disruptions, and other issues. D
Contact: USDA-FAS Manila, U.S. Embassy, Philippines 2
Email: AgManila@usda.gov
SECTION I. MARKET SU MMARY
With loosened quarantine protocols and the Sales of Food and Beverage
economy boosted by the recent national Retailers vis-a-vis Total
elections, FAS Philippines estimates a six Retailers (in billion dollars)
percent sales growth in the food and beverage 75
industry for 2022. Despite global supply and 64.68
60 60.38 57.02
52.45 56.15 54.87
logistical challenges, demand for U.S. food and 45
beverages remains strong. With improved 30
21.72 23.27 24.23 24.75 24.36
market access, Post forecasts eight percent 20.44
15
growth for U.S. food and beverage exports this -
year. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3
According to the National Economic and To ta l Sa les o f Ta x - Pa y ing
Development Authority, food and Tra ditio na l Fo o d a nd B ev era g e
Reta ilers ( i n m i l l i o n d o l l a r s )
non-alcoholic beverages registered 4.9 percent
inflation in May, a 22 percent increase from 5,251 5,159
April, and a 2.8 percent year to date increase. 4,984 5,066 5,139
4,729
To counter the rising cost of food products, the
Department of Trade and Industry releases
suggested retail prices to help consumers check 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
prices.
To ta l Sa les o f Co nv enience Sto res
(in million dollars)
Despite tougher competition among retail
chains, key players exhibit growth through
providing good service, cleanliness, and
1,539 1,322
product variety to address new buying 914 1,069 1,274 1,256
behaviors. Conversely, small-scale businesses
struggle with low foot traffic, skeletal 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
workforce, shorter operating hours, leasing fee
contracts, inadequate cash flow, and supply
Total Sales of Supermarkets
issues. Several small-scale online resellers and ( i n mi l l i o n d o l l a r s )
entrepreneurs have closed their businesses.
11,016 11,566 10,534
10,499
Community stores, such as convenience stores 9,466 9,962
and deli shops, continue gaining sales and
customers by providing safety and
convenience. AllDay offers significant 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
discounts and 24/7 deliveries to nearby
villages, while Santi’s Delicatessen provides Total Sales of Hypermarkets
dedicated mobile numbers per store for ( i n mi l l i o n d o l l a r s )
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IMPORT REGULATIONS
Please access the Philippines: FAIRS Annual Country Report for information on importation
procedures.
ADVANTAGES CHALLENGES
- The recent national elections boosted the - Global shipping issues such as congested ports
economy, improving consumer confidence and and limited availability of containers contribute to
household spending. rising retail prices and supply chain delays.
- Food and beverage retailers continue to expand - The Russia-Ukraine war disrupted the supply of
in residential areas and provinces. wheat and oil products, with near record-high
prices, affecting grocery items, e.g., bread,
noodles, pasta, biscuits, pastries, and snack foods.
- Premiumization trends continue. Imported food - With Russia as a significant supplier of coal, oil,
brands offering more product value and healthier and gas, global shipping and other transportation
options remain in demand for the upper-class and costs escalate. Heightened inflation and increased
the growing middle-class consumers. transportation costs contribute to higher retail
prices of food and beverages.
- Government efforts to boost e-commerce, - Low foot traffic continues to limit growth for
coupled with 75 percent of households having food and beverage retailers near schools and
access to mobile internet make the Philippines a offices.
fast-growing retail e-commerce market.
5
SECTION II. ROAD MAP FOR MARKET ENTRY
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WAREHOUSE CLUBS HYPERMARKETS
Warehouse clubs sell mostly imported brands While pantry-loading declined, the recovery of
representing 70 percent of the stores’ total sales. sari-sari stores (traditional small neighborhood
Some consumers prefer warehouse clubs stores) contributed to hypermarket chains
gaining sales. The company’s head offices
offering American brands, various imported
directly arrange purchases of import products.
selections, bulk purchases, and discounts. Stores Puregold aggressively expanded operations
can directly import products, requiring sampling opening 24 new stores. Food and beverages
and exclusivity from exporters. S&R opened represent 50 percent of total sales, reaching more
new stores along with recently providing an than three billion dollars in 2021.
in-house online platform. Warehouse club sales
Hypermarket
totaled an estimated one billion dollars in 2021,
by Percentage Retail Value
with half attributed to food and beverages sales. SM Hypermarket Super8
23% Grocery
Warhouse
Warehouse Clubs Puregold 8%
by Percentage Retail Value 54% Super Metro
Hypermarket
S&R 6%
82%
Prince
Hypermart
Shopwise 5%
4%
Landers
18%
Key Hypermarkets Sales Number
(by Sales) in Million of Stores
Dollars*
Key Sales in Number of
1 Puregold 1,746 268
Warehouses Million Stores
2 SM Hypermarket 755 52
(by Sales) Dollars*
3 Super8 Grocery 256 75
1 S&R 779 22
Warehouse
2 Landers 169 5
4 Super Metro 191 13
Source: Euromonitor International Supermarket
*Note: Sales are derived from the percentage of 5 Prince Hypermart 165 52
brand share. Forex rate $1=P50 6 Shopwise 123 16
Source: Euromonitor International
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SECTION III. COMPETITION
As the seventh-largest market for U.S. agricultural Global Consumer-oriented
exports, there is a high growth potential for the Agricultural Exports to the
Philippines, especially for consumer-oriented Philippines
United
products. States
Others
New 18% 16%
U.S. agricultural exports to the Philippines ranked the Zealand
highest in Southeast Asia for consumer-oriented 5% EU
Australia 18%
products (1.4 billion dollars) despite preferential
4%
market access and trade agreements from
neighboring countries. China
16%
Given the global shipping problem, ASEAN, China, ASEAN
Australia, and New Zealand further benefit from 23%
proximity to the Philippines. The European Union Source: TDM
and the United States compete for premium products
but experience logistics, pricing, and market access challenges.
Food retailers continuously import U.S. food products to provide variety, quality, and healthier options
despite local food production totaling more than 70 percent of the market.
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SECTION V. KEY CONTA CTS AND FURTHER INFO RMATION
PHILIPPINE EVENTS
National Food Fair Manila Food and Beverage World Food Expo
Megatrade Hall Expo SMX Convention Center, Manila
Mandaluyong City World Trade Center, Manila World Trade Center, Manila
June 1-5, 2022 June 15-19, 2022 August 3-6, 2022
National Retail Conference International Food Exhibition Cold Chain Philippines 2022
and Stores Asia Expo (IFEX) Philippines Next Food SMX Convention Center, Manila
Hybrid Exhibition Asia November 30-December 2, 2022
August 11-12, 2022 World Trade Center, Manila
September 22-24, 2022
REGIONAL EVENTS
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