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What is consciousness?

What is intelligence?
Why do we sleep and dream?
What causes cognitive decline?
Where do our personalities come from?
and many more

MYSTERIES OF
THE HUMAN BR AIN
Explore the intricacies of the most complex object in the known
universe with the latest issue of New Scientist: The Collection

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magazine retailers or digitally.
This week’s issue

On the 6 Go with your gut


Your microbiome can reveal
cover more about you than your DNA

34 When past and 42 Doomsday glacier What is sleep, how much


future flip The Antarctic ice that could do you need and what are
Have we seen the hold the key to all our futures the consequences of not
first evidence of time getting enough rest?
flowing both ways? 38 Fear of holes Join us in London on
Why trypophobia is on the rise 12 February to discover
the science behind sleep
12 World’s biggest flower and rest. Find out more at
16 Helpful grey parrots newscientist.com/events
16 Cuttlefish in 3D glasses
13 Humans are getting cooler
Vol 245 No 3265
Cover image: Matt Chase

News Features
9 It isn’t in your genes 34 When past and future flip
Your genome can’t predict News We are used to cause preceding
your academic success effect. In the quantum world,
things aren’t so simple
10 Making food from air
Can we save the planet by 38 Fear of holes
making food without farms? Are you scared of sponges?
Why trypophobia is real –
13 Starlink threat and seems to be on the rise
SpaceX satellites could
become a major problem 42 Doomsday glacier
for astronomy The Antarctic ice that could
decide the planet’s fate

Views
The back pages
23 Comment
Avoid fads for a healthy 51 Science of cooking
lifestyle, says Graham Lawton The secret to perfectly crispy fries

24 The columnist 52 Puzzles


Stop trying to upload your Quick crossword, an unusual
brain, says Annalee Newitz equation and the quiz
NASA

26 Letters 7 Mystery in Antarctica Strange particles detected that defy explanation 53 Feedback
There is good news for Music for Mars and emoji
science on microplastics errors: the week in weird
34 Features
28 Aperture
Vibrant notes show the
“It would mean that we 54 Almost the last word
Surveillance in lorries and
microbes on your money live in a world where quitting smoking late in life

30 Culture
Why astrology has lessons
events fundamentally 56 The Q&A
Kathryn Sullivan, the first
for today’s data science have no set order at all” US woman to walk in space

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 1


SECOND EDITION OF
BEING HUMAN

BEING
HUMAN
Take a step back from the everyday
chores of being human to tackle the
big – and small – questions about our
nature, behaviour and existence.

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The leader

Fire and ice


The news stories we see repeating are disasters well foretold

IN OUR issue of 31 August last year, we ran are chronicles of disasters foretold. of the Thwaites glacier are vital for
news stories on record-breaking wildfires As we reported last week, we have assessing and preparing for our future.
raging across the globe from the Amazon known about increased wildfire risk, So too is clear-headed assessment of
to the Arctic. Meanwhile, our features as a consequence of climate change, for schemes to reduce our impact on the
section highlighted the uncertain a decade or more. And climate models natural world – for example the recent
long-term future of Arctic sea ice. disagree only on the speed of future claims that food produced from
This week, Australia is burning, ice-sheet melting, not that it will happen. renewable energy and air can replace
and new research highlights the the products of conventional farms
Amazon’s higher future wildfire risk “Although we aren't masters (see page 10).
(see page 16). Meanwhile, one of our of the natural world, we Nothing should be off the table.
features focuses on scientists studying can be masters of our own Grasping the nettle of decreased
the Thwaites glacier, a crucial and destiny within it” fossil-fuel dependence is vital to our
highly vulnerable part of the West future well-being – not a brake on
Antarctic ice sheet (see page 42). As two of this week’s contributions our prosperity, but its guarantor. And
Now, as then, there are concerns to our culture section suggest, we are cutting carbon emissions is a matter
that humanity could be closer than vulnerable components of a complex, of cumulative benefit: the more we take
previously assumed to precipitating interdependent natural world that will out of our carbon budget sooner, the
dangerous climate tipping points. far outlast us (see pages 31 and 32). But greater savings we accrue over the crucial
Our apologies if any of this is although we aren’t masters of it, we can coming decades. For anyone concerned
beginning to sound familiar. be masters of our own destiny within about our future and that of the planet,
The truth is, all of these stories it. More investigations such as those these are facts worth repeating. ❚

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18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 3


Where did we come from?
How did it all begin?

And where does belly-button fluff come from?


Find the answers in our latest book. On sale now.

Introduction by Professor Stephen Hawking


News
CRISPR babies Merging galaxies Dinosaur skin Cooling down Ancient medicine
Concerns raised over We now know when Pigments suggest Body temperature A Roman coeliac used
consent forms used the Milky Way had hadrosaurs were grey has dropped in Chinese traditional
in experiment p8 its last meal p9 like elephants p12 the US p13 medicine p14

Epidemiology

Chinese illness
caused by a virus
THE cause of a mysterious
pneumonia in China has
been identified as a virus by
local authorities, according
to a statement by the World
Health Organization. Tests
run on 15 people who are
unwell suggest that they
are all infected with a new
DOMCAR C LAGTO/PACIFIC PRESS VIA ZUMA WIRE/SHUTTERSTOCK

coronavirus, in the same


family as SARS and MERS.
The genetic sequence
of the virus was shared
with international health
organisations on 12 January,
which should make it easier
to diagnose infections.
As of 13 January, 41 cases
had been linked to the new
virus in Wuhan City, Hubei
province, according to the
local health committee.
Symptoms ranged from

Taal erupts back to life fever to difficulty breathing.


Six people remained
severely ill and one had
died. All received medical
Thousands have been urged to evacuate following the eruption of treatment in isolation, said
one of the Philippines’ most violent volcanoes, reports Alice Klein Chinese authorities. Some
have since been discharged.
TAAL volcano in the Philippines a 14-kilometre radius of the Scientists don’t know why Outside China, a woman
has reawakened, spewing lava, volcano have been asked to Taal is erupting now, after being in South Korea and another
steam and ash into the air and evacuate and flights in and out dormant for more than four person in Thailand, both
sparking violent lightning. of Manila, which is 60 kilometres decades, says Raymond Cas at of whom travelled from
Volcanologists believe it may be north of Taal, have been partially Monash University in Australia.
warming up for bigger eruptions. suspended. Residents have been “Volcanoes can go through phases “The illness is caused
The volcano is located in Taal advised to wear dust masks in where they erupt regularly but by a new coronavirus,
Lake in the province of Batangas. towns where ash has fallen to most tend to be unpredictable.” in the same family
Since March last year, it has been prevent lung irritation. Taal could have bigger eruptions as SARS and MERS”
more frequently leaking gas and So far, the volcano has released soon, according to the Philippine
trembling with thousands of small an estimated 200,000 to 300,000 Institute of Volcanology and Wuhan, appear to have
earthquakes, leading scientists to tonnes of sulphur dioxide since Seismology. These could be the virus. In Hong Kong,
believe it was coming back to life. the eruption began. This may accompanied by fast-moving 67 people have been
On the afternoon of 12 January, lead to a small amount of global blasts of hot steam and ash called admitted to hospitals with
Taal erupted, shooting a column of cooling, because sulphur dioxide pyroclastic surges if lake water similar symptoms, although
steam and ash 15 kilometres into and ash block sunlight, says Fred continuously flows into the 51 of them have since been
the sky that caused lightning. The Prata at Curtin University in volcano and reacts with magma, discharged, and none have
following morning, 500-metre- Australia. The 1991 eruption of and tsunamis in the lake, says Cas. definitively been linked
high fountains of lava were seen another volcano in the country, Taal could remain active for to the new virus, according
spurting from the volcano. Mount Pinatubo, cooled the global years, says Cas. It was last active to media reports. ❚
All 450,000 people living within temperature by 0.5°C. from 1965 to 1977. ❚ Jessica Hamzelou

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 5


News More microbiome online
For the latest news on bacteria and viruses, visit
newscientist.com/article-topic/microbiology
Health

What your gut says about you


Our microbiomes can reveal more about our health than our
genes can, raising privacy concerns. Michael Le Page reports.
THE microbes that live inside The exception was type 1 diabetes and the microbiome into account, each of them are, or which genes
you hint more than your genes (bioRxiv, doi.org/dh92). says Harriet Schellekens at they have. Long-term studies
do about your likelihood This is the first study to University College Cork, Ireland. are also needed to reveal how
of having health conditions demonstrate that the microbiome “You can’t look at one over microbiomes change over time.
ranging from asthma to cancer is a good indicator of conditions the other in isolation.” Microbiome studies typically
and schizophrenia, according that may be shaped by our In most cases, alterations to a involve just hundreds of people.
to a new analysis. environments. This makes sense, person’s microbiome are likely We need to study hundreds
The finding suggests that because the balance of organisms to be caused by changes in of thousands of people to get
monitoring the ecosystems their health or lifestyle. But better results, says the team.
of bacteria, viruses, protozoa “At first, I was very in some cases, an altered Studies may now also need to
and fungi that live inside us surprised. But now it’s microbiome may be directly take participants’ privacy more
could help diagnose or even like duh, of course the involved in causing a condition. seriously. There is a potential
prevent some conditions. microbiome is stronger” Three types of bacteria have exposure of privacy in ways people
“That’s going to change been implicated in causing colon might not expect, says Tierney.
medicine,” says Braden Tierney in our microbiomes is influenced cancer, for example. In cases Currently, in the US, anyone
at Harvard Medical School, by a range of factors, including where microbes are to blame, can sign into the National
who worked on the analysis. our age, diet, exercise regimes treating the microbiome may Center for Biotechnology
However, it also raises privacy and the medications we take. prevent certain conditions Information and download
issues, because information about “At first, I was very surprised,” developing. “That’s really stored microbiome data that
this microbiome is currently less says Kostic. “But now it’s like the dream,” says Tierney. has been collected for research.
tightly regulated than genomic duh, of course it’s stronger. But much more research is There is probably little reason
data. “If our results are true, that The microbiome is constantly needed. We don’t know yet which to be concerned about privacy
microbiome data – which is not changing, the genome isn’t.” features of the microbiome are for now, says Matt Jackson
private – could be telling you a lot The findings show the need for most informative. This could at the University of Oxford.
more about an individual than a holistic approach to predicting include which microbes are “It would be a lot of work to
even their genetic data,” says health that takes both the genome present and how abundant have a vague guess at someone’s
Alex Kostic at the Joslin Diabetes chances of having a disease.”
Center in Boston, who also But it could become a concern
NOBEASTSOFIERCE SCIENCE/ALAMY

worked on the study. “We need as more studies are done and
to rethink data privacy in the the predictive power of the
age of the microbiome.” microbiome grows, says Jackson.
Tierney, Kostic and their What’s more, he points out that
colleagues analysed 70 previous stool samples always contain
studies that had linked complex human cells that are sequenced
conditions to genetic variants along with the microbes. This
or to various aspects of the means that the raw data from
microbiome, such as the microbe microbiome studies contains
species present. They focused human genome sequences that
on conditions that may be could in theory be used to identify
influenced by both genetic and individuals. It is regarded as best
environmental factors, including practice to remove these human
schizophrenia, Parkinson’s sequences from shared data,
disease, high blood pressure, but this isn’t always done.
asthma and obesity. In principle, microbiome data
For 19 out of the 20 conditions that is identifiable should be
that the team looked at, the regarded as personal data under
microbiome was a better indicator the European Union’s data
than genetics of whether a person protection laws and subject to the
was likely to have a condition. same restrictions, says Alison Hall
at the PHG Foundation, a genomics
We all have a slightly think tank. “The test would be
different mix of whether the microbiome data
microbes inside us can uniquely identify a person.” ❚

6 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


Particle physics

Strange particles found in


Antarctica stump physicists
Chris Baraniuk

PARTICLES spotted by a giant The IceCube Neutrino


balloon in Antarctica can’t Observatory in Antarctica
be explained by our current hunts particles
understanding of physics.
In 2006, and then again in 2014, ANITA detections are now even
NASA researchers using the more difficult to explain (arxiv.
Antarctic Impulsive Transient org/abs/2001.01737).
Antenna (ANITA), a balloon “We’re left with the most
equipped with a particle detector, exciting or most boring
picked up a signal that didn’t make possibilities,” says Ibrahim Safa,
MARTIN WOLF, ICECUBE/NSF

sense. They had spotted evidence who also works on IceCube.


of high-energy particles travelling Either ANITA has found a sign
at an angle suggesting they had of exotic physics or there is
just whizzed through the planet. some subtle anomaly with
A new analysis has now ruled the detector’s readings that
out the best possible explanation everyone has so far overlooked.
for these particles. That means matter. But at such high that can detect a wider range of Physicists are waiting for an
they might be signs of physics energies, these neutrinos neutrinos, including lower-energy update from the ANITA team to be
beyond the standard model should have interacted with variants. These would have published later this year, in which
of particles and forces. particles inside Earth. reached Earth around the time any anomalous events during the
The ANITA events registered Still, it is possible that a high- of the ANITA events, if a source balloon’s fourth and most recent
at ridiculously high energies for energy neutrino could have got in space were responsible. flight in 2016 will be described.
a tiny particle, at 0.6 and 0.56 through unscathed, in which case The researchers have just That could yield data about
exaelectronvolts (a billion billion it must have come from a point finished combing through years of additional high-energy detections
electronvolts). “About the same somewhere in space – a distant data, looking for evidence of any and help to solve the mystery.
as a professional tennis serve,” galaxy, perhaps, blasting such signals. They came up short, Pizzuto isn’t making bets on
says Alex Pizzuto at the University neutrinos towards us. Luckily, meaning that the high-energy whether new physics will emerge
of Wisconsin-Madison, who isn’t there is a way to check. from the mystery. “I’ll hold off
involved with ANITA.
One idea was that these
particles were neutrinos, which
Pizzuto and his colleagues
work on the IceCube Neutrino
Observatory, a separate
0.6
The energy, in exaelectronvolts, of
on claiming allegiance to any
one model,” he says. “I think it’s
still too early to tell if that’s what
are known to pass through other experiment in Antarctica a particle that went through Earth ANITA has stumbled upon.” ❚

Abortion

Most women don’t Abortion is a political abortion, and the women were biased by the fact that only 38 per
battleground in the US. In eight interviewed again semi-annually cent of those asked to take part in
regret their decision states, abortion providers must for up to five years. the survey accepted, and women
to have an abortion provide women with materials About half the women said in who felt more negatively about
informing them that the procedure retrospect that the decision to have their decision might have been less
A SURVEY of US women who have will cause lasting emotional harm, an abortion had been a difficult one likely to participate. However, Rocca
had an abortion has found that half and in 27 states, women who to make at the time, but five years says the team’s results are similar
say their decision was difficult, but request an abortion have to wait later 99 per cent said it had been to another study where women
five years later the majority felt for a compulsory cooling off period, the right one. When asked about who had an abortion answered
positive about it. usually of 24 hours, before they their feelings five years on, 84 per questions about their emotions
The finding rebuts the idea that can have the procedure. cent of the women said they either just before their procedure.
mental distress is commonplace, In the latest study, Rocca’s team had mainly positive emotions or Rachael Clarke at the British
which is often the basis of laws conducted telephone surveys with no emotions about their procedure. Pregnancy Advisory Service says the
introduced in many US states that 667 women who had abortions The rest said their feelings were findings chime with what doctors
delay access to the procedure, says across 21 US states that have a negative (Social Science and see. “It might make you sad, but it
Corinne Rocca at the University variety of laws. The first interview Medicine, doi.org/dh69). still might be the right thing to do.” ❚
of California, San Francisco. took place about a week after the The findings could have been Clare Wilson

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 7


News
Gene editing

CRISPR consent criticised


Documents reveal further issues over gene-edited babies experiment
Michael Le Page

THE seven couples involved in He Jiankui has been supplementary version. However,
the CRISPR babies experiment jailed for his gene- the only major omission it
in China were misinformed about editing research addressed was the failure of the
what it involved, were pressured to first form to say that any children
take part and faced severe financial The consent form given to born would be followed up for at
penalties if they withdrew after participants began by saying the least 18 years.
getting IVF, according to a damning project was an AIDS vaccine trial, “The participants in this
analysis of the consent process. and only later described its real study were clearly misinformed
ANTHONY WALLACE/GETTY IMAGES

The project would have been aim, in a misleading, jargon-filled about the study’s purpose,”
unethical even if the aim wasn’t way. For instance, it said the babies concludes Shaw.
to create the first ever gene-edited would be “naturally immunized” According to He, all the
children, says bioethicist David against HIV. participants were fully informed.
Shaw at the University of Basel The offer of free IVF to would-be “These were volunteers. They
in Switzerland, who carried out parents also put considerable all have a good education
the analysis. “It’s just wrong in pressure on them to take part, background. They had a lot of
terms of research ethics,” he says. says Shaw. The form told information about HIV drugs
In November 2018, biophysicist to three years in jail for forging participants that if they withdrew and other approaches,” He said
He Jiankui stunned the world by ethical review materials, violating from the study after an embryo in November 2018. “They already
revealing that two CRISPR-edited research rules and causing harm was implanted, they would be understood quite well about the
children had been born in China to to society. However, the brief liable for costs and fines that could gene-editing technology and the
one woman, with another woman announcement by the Chinese exceed 380,000 yuan (£42,000). potential effects and benefits.”
pregnant with a gene-edited fetus. state news agency Xinhua gave The form also states that Shaw’s conclusions seem
There were numerous ethical few details. the project team wouldn’t be reasonable, says Peters Mills of
concerns about what had been Shaw has analysed the consent responsible if the children had any the Nuffield Council on Bioethics
done. For instance, tests of the forms and related documents, unintended adverse mutations. in the UK. Any experimental
edited embryos revealed several which were available for a time As this is a known risk of CRISPR procedure should be lawful and
problems, but the team implanted in 2018 on the team’s website gene editing, Shaw calls the move follow relevant guidelines. “This
them anyway. He’s justification for complete with English translations. “an appalling abdication of case apparently failed to meet
the trial was to make the children “Ethically, things are even worse responsibility” in his paper. these standards with uncommon
resistant to HIV, but it is unlikely than they initially appeared,” Shaw thinks the team realised extravagance, which is sufficient
to have achieved this. he writes in his paper (Journal of there were problems with the for those responsible to deserve
Last month, He was sentenced Bioethical Inquiry, doi.org/dh7c). consent form, as it produced a grave sanctions,” says Mills. ❚

Green tech

Recaptured carbon to be cost-intensive,” says His team collected CO2 from while another would form a solid.
Julien Leclaire at the University a car exhaust, cooled it, then In a series of experiments, the group
dioxide may help us of Lyon, France. pumped it into a mix of chemicals successfully separated lanthanum,
recycle batteries Carbon dioxide is the main called polyamines. The CO2 cobalt and nickel – all of which are
cause of modern climate change, combined with the polyamines used in batteries, smartphones,
CARBON dioxide captured from the so many people have attempted to make many molecules of computers and magnets.
air could be used to extract useful to develop technologies to capture differing shapes and sizes (Nature If the process can be scaled up,
metals from recycled technology it when it is emitted from power Chemistry, doi.org/dh73). it could be a more environmentally
such as smartphone batteries. This plants and other major sources. Leclaire and his colleagues found friendly way to recycle batteries
could be done instead of just storing The gas can then be stored that this process could sort out and other electrical equipment,
the greenhouse gas underground. underground. The problem is that mixtures of metals, because one says Leclaire. This is normally done
The technique could help make it such carbon capture and storage metal would dissolve in the liquid using highly reactive chemicals
more economical to capture CO2 (CCS) is expensive. “No one wants such as acids, which are potentially
before it enters the atmosphere. to pay the price for it,” says Leclaire. “Now someone has polluting. Replacing them with
“By simultaneously extracting Now Leclaire’s team has found a use for CO2, CO2 should lead to a much lower
metals by injecting CO2, you add found a use for the gas, it could it may make capturing environmental footprint, he says. ❚
value to a process that is known make CCS more appealing. it more appealing” Michael Marshall

8 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


Astronomy Genetics

Star waves point


to date of Milky
Genes don’t predict how
Way’s violent feast kids perform at school
Leah Crane Michael Le Page

WE NOW know when our galaxy GENETIC testing cannot all the variants for a particular To assess the usefulness of
had its last big meal. The Milky Way tell teachers anything useful trait in one person’s genome. polygenic scores in education,
devoured another galaxy, called about an individual pupil’s It has been claimed that Morris and his colleagues
Gaia-Enceladus, in what may have educational attainment. That polygenic scores can be used calculated them for 8000
been the biggest galactic merger is the conclusion of a study that to make useful predictions, people in Bristol who are part
in its history, and astronomers have looked at how well so-called such as a person’s likelihood of a long-term study known
used a single star to get a better polygenic scores for education of developing various diseases. as the Children of the 90s.
idea of when it happened. predict a person’s educational One company is even offering The participants’ genomes
In 2018, astronomers using data achievements, based on a embryo screening based on have been sequenced and
from the European Space Agency’s long-term study of thousands polygenic scores for disease risk. their academic results are
Gaia spacecraft figured out that of people in the UK. Some researchers – notably available to researchers
the Milky Way ate another galaxy, “Some people with a very Robert Plomin of King’s College (bioRxiv, doi.org/dh7b).
after spying some stars moving low genetic score are very high London – think that schools Among other things, the
in strange, sausage-shaped orbits. performers at age 16. Some are team found a correlation of 0.4
Those stars also had slightly even in the top 3 per cent,” says “Some people with a between a person’s polygenic
different chemical compositions Tim Morris at the University very low genetic score score and their GCSE results
from stars that were born in our of Bristol, UK. “You just cannot are very high academic at age 16 (where 1 is a perfect
galaxy, indicating that they must make an accurate prediction performers at age 16” correlation and 0 means no
have come from somewhere else. for any one child.” correlation). But there would
To determine when the merger And while Morris expects should start using polygenic need to be a correlation of
took place, William Chaplin at the accuracy of polygenic scores for educational at least 0.8 to make useful
the University of Birmingham, UK, scores for educational attainment. In most cases, we predictions about individuals,
and his colleagues used NASA’s attainment to improve, he don’t know why particular gene says Morris.
Transiting Exoplanet Survey doesn’t think they will ever be variants are linked to academic Plomin, however, argues
Satellite (TESS) to observe a good enough to predict how achievement, but the scores may that the results support his
bright star called nu Indi. well an individual will do. reflect traits such as persistence stance. “[A correlation of 0.4]
With TESS, they could see waves Even relatively simple traits as well as intelligence. makes it the strongest polygenic
passing through the plasma at the such as height are influenced by “There’s so much we can predictor in the behavioural
surface of nu Indi. “Those waves thousands of genetic variants, do with this,” says Plomin. sciences,” says Plomin, who
traverse the region deep within each of which may only have a For instance, he says children says this matches his own
the star where changes to the tiny effect. Polygenic scores sum could be tested before they start results. “It’s so much stronger
structure of the star as it ages are up all these small effects to try school to identify and help those than a lot of other things we
very noticeable,” says Chaplin. to work out the overall impact of who may struggle academically. base decisions on. So it’s a very
“This gives us an unprecedented, big finding.”
unique opportunity to go to the Morris says schools already
heart of a star to check how old have access to other predictors
it is.” They found that it was that are more accurate, such
about 11 billion years old (Nature as a pupil’s earlier test results.
Astronomy, doi.org/dh93). Looking at parents’ educational
Data from other observatories attainments and their
showed that nu Indi has the same socio-economic status is also
composition as stars born in the a better predictor of a pupil’s
Milky Way, so it is probably also academic results than studying
native to our galaxy. However, their genome, his results show.
it is moving faster than expected, Providing teachers with an extra
perhaps accelerated by the predictor based on genetics
IMAGE SOURCE/ALAMY STOCK PHOTO

winds and turbulence of the would just confuse matters,


merger with Gaia-Enceladus. says Morris, and the cost cannot
If nu Indi was around at the be justified. ❚
peak of the cosmic merger, the
cataclysm probably started at Socio-economic status
most about 11.6 billion years is a better predictor of
ago, the team says. ❚ success than genetics

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 9


News
Solar system Analysis Climate change

A young Venus Could food ‘made from air’ let us ditch farms? Claims that
stripped Mercury food produced using renewable energy will be the death knell
of its outer layers of farming are overblown, says Michael Le Page
Leah Crane

MERCURY may have lost much of its Solar Foods is


mantle to Venus in the early days of creating protein
the solar system in a series of close in the lab
passes between the two planets
when they were young. light energy falling on a field gets
Mercury’s iron core makes up turned into food. By contrast, solar
70 per cent of its mass, a much panels convert around 17 per cent
higher proportion than for any other of the light energy falling on them
rocky planet in the solar system. To into electricity. Solar Foods says it
end up like this, something must can turn electricity into food – via
have happened to Mercury to strip hydrogen – with an efficiency of
away its iron-poor mantle, the thick 20 per cent. That is several times
layer between the crust and core. better than photosynthesis.
The simple answer is that a young But the idea might not scale.
MIKAEL KUITUNEN/SOLAR FOODS

Mercury underwent a collision that There are grand plans to use


melted its outer layers – we think hydrogen for everything from
a similar collision on Earth formed heating homes to powering
the moon. But the Messenger aeroplanes. We don’t produce
spacecraft, which orbited Mercury enough of it for this, and 99 per
between 2011 and 2015, spotted cent of it is made from fossil fuels,
signs of elements such as potassium so using it won’t reduce emissions.
that would have vaporised in the IT IS being claimed we could save Foods, Pasi Vainikka, tells We also don’t have renewable
heat of a collision. If a smash-up the planet by turning renewable me that the efficiency figure electricity to spare, and half
made Mercury so strange, it energy and air directly into food, Monbiot cites applies only to the energy is lost when making
shouldn’t have those elements. allowing us to rewild unneeded the area of land taken up by the hydrogen. So clean hydrogen
farmland. Could it really work? factories. If the energy to split is a limited resource and should

30%
The iron content by mass of the
In a TV documentary called
Apocalypse Cow and a Guardian
column last week, journalist and
water were derived from solar,
says Vainikka, then it would be
only 10 times more land efficient
be used wisely.
Putting huge amounts of
renewable energy into producing
oldest rocks in the solar system environmentalist George Monbiot than farmed soya. hydrogen to make farm-free food
said food grown in vats using But we do need to do could thus undercut other efforts
Now Hongping Deng at the renewable energy could transform something about the impact to limit climate change – the other
University of Cambridge has food production. of our food and even a small great threat to wildlife.
used simulations to show that He highlighted a Finnish reduction in farmland could make However, it would also eliminate
the planet’s odd composition may company called Solar Foods that a big difference. Habitat loss is the greenhouse gas emissions and
be the result of a series of near makes food from air. First, water single biggest killer of wildlife, for other forms of pollution from the
misses instead. “If you pass by is split into hydrogen and oxygen. instance, largely due to farming. farms that are replaced, so it might
without direct contact, there is The hydrogen then provides still be a win overall.
much less heat generated,” he energy for bacteria to turn carbon “Farming and land The bottom line is that it is far
says. “It just peels off the mantle.” dioxide and nitrogen in air into clearance produce a from clear if farm-free foods can
Mercury probably started out protein-rich organic matter, and third of all greenhouse save the planet. But the potential
with about 30 per cent iron by to do so more efficiently than gas emissions” rewards are so immense that
mass, which is the composition plants grow using photosynthesis. we should be pouring vast sums
of the oldest rocks in the solar “The land efficiency, the Farming and land clearance also of money into finding out.
system. Deng found that if the company estimates, is roughly produce a third of all greenhouse In the meantime, we should
young Mercury was spinning in the 20,000 times greater,” Monbiot gas emissions. do all we can to minimise the
right way, its mantle would have writes. “Everyone on Earth could Food production is inefficient, land needed for farming, such
been relatively easy to detach, be handsomely fed, and using too. Almost all the food we eat as by eating less meat, no longer
meaning it would take four close a tiny fraction of its surface.” is derived from photosynthesis. turning foods like palm oil into
encounters with the young Venus to Monbiot is absolutely right This will be true for lab-grown biofuels and making the most
raise the iron fraction of Mercury to about the destructiveness of food meat as well, if made with of supercrops that have been
its present value (The Astrophysical production – but his numbers nutrients obtained from plants. genetically modified to limit the
Journal Letters, doi.org/dh4v). ❚ appear off. The head of Solar Yet less than 0.5 per cent of the impact of agriculture. ❚

10 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


News
Botany

World’s largest flower


Foul-smelling corpse lily discovered in West Sumatra
Leah Crane

INDONESIAN officials may have


found the largest flower ever,
and it smells awful.
The flower belongs to the
Rafflesia genus of corpse lilies
or corpse flowers. These stink
of decaying flesh, an odour that
attracts their insect pollinators.
This flower appears to be the
species Rafflesia tuan-mudae
and it measures about 1.1 metres
across – about 4 centimetres wider
than the previous recorded largest
flower. It was found in the Maninjau
Forest Conservation in West
Sumatra’s Agam region.
The previous record holder
bloomed at the exact same spot,
hinting that both may be flowers of
the same individual plant. Rafflesia
XINHUA/ALAMY STOCK PHOTO

plants are parasitic and hide inside


host plants – in this case a vine –
until they are ready to reproduce.
The plant then produces an
external bud that slowly blooms
over the course of up to a year. ❚

Palaeontology

Duck-billed dinosaurs may have been grey


A PORTION of dinosaur skin about the colour of early birds blue eggs, chemically analysed that of a rhinoceros or an elephant
has been so well preserved that because feathers are more the material. She found that (Palaeontology, doi.org/dh45).
the remains of pigment can be frequently preserved. some original molecules were However, Fabbri says that the
seen, and analysis suggests that Matteo Fabbri and Jasmina preserved, in degraded form. hadrosaur may have had other
the animal had dark grey skin. Wiemann at Yale University “Until now, we saw skin from pigments that were destroyed
However, it is possible that the and their colleagues studied a morphological perspective, during fossilisation, so we can’t
dinosaur’s skin also contained a hadrosaur, or duck-billed but now we know these kinds be sure it was grey. “We can rule
other pigments that didn’t dinosaur, which had preserved of fossils also contain molecular out brown or reddish,” he says,
survive fossilisation. skin on its flank. information,” says Fabbri. because reddish pigments contain
While paintings of dinosaurs When they examined thin Crucially, there were small sulphur, which wasn’t found in
often depict them as having slices of the skin, they discovered granules in the skin that contained the hadrosaur’s granules. But
brightly coloured skin, we globules that look like cells and eumelanin, a pigment that creates other colours like green or blue
actually know very little about fragments of blood vessels. The a dark grey colour. If eumelanin can’t be eliminated.
what their true colours were. skin was unusually thin for such was the hadrosaur’s only pigment, It is unlucky that no skin was
Most dinosaurs are known a large animal and was similar it would have had grey skin like preserved on the head, says Fabbri,
only from their bones and teeth, to that of birds – even though as hadrosaurs had elaborate
and even when their skin has hadrosaurs weren’t that closely “If this was the hadrosaur’s ornamentation there and they
been preserved, it has rarely related to them. only pigment, it would may have been more colourful
been possible to detect pigment Wiemann, who previously have had grey skin like a than the rest of the body.  ❚
molecules. We know more found that some dinosaurs laid rhinoceros or an elephant” Michael Marshall

12 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


Physiology SpaceX

We are getting
cooler as body
Global internet satellites
temperature falls threatening astronomy
Michael Marshall Leah Crane

EVERYONE knows that the average ASTRONOMERS have intensified satellites are,” said Patrick but they haven’t yet figured
human body temperature is 37°C – their calls for a solution to new Seitzer at the University of out a solution. “In the early
but everyone is wrong. It turns out satellites that can interfere with Michigan during a panel stages, we’re really trying to
that the bodies of people in the US observations. On 6 January, discussion on satellite mega- understand to what level is this
have been cooling since the 1860s. SpaceX put 60 of its Starlink constellations at a meeting of a nuisance and to what level it is
Physicians studying body communications satellites into the American Astronomical an existential threat to ground-
temperature have known for orbit, bringing the total circling Society (AAS) in Hawaii on based astronomy,” he said.
decades that 37°C was too high, Earth to 180. They are part of a 8 January. While SpaceX did The problem for astronomers
says Julie Parsonnet at Stanford planned fleet of as many as talk about the issue elsewhere doesn’t end with SpaceX.
University in California. “But 42,000 craft that SpaceX CEO at the meeting, AAS press Several other companies
they’ve always thought that it Elon Musk says will bring officer Rick Fienberg said are also working on mega-
was just measurement error in internet access to underserved representatives declined to constellations. Blue Origin,
the past, not because temperature areas of the world. But it seems participate in the panel session. OneWeb and Amazon are all
had actually dropped.” they also mess with telescopes. involved in plans to launch
To find out what really happened,
Parsonnet and her team combined
three data sets. The first covered
The satellites show up as a
line of bright dots gliding across
the night sky. They are visible to
1500
The number of Starlink satellites
thousands of communications
satellites in the coming years.
The law has yet to catch up
nearly 24,000 Union Army the naked eye in the weeks after due to be launched this year with the concept of mega-
veterans from the American Civil launch, getting dimmer as they constellations, and once the
War, whose temperatures were move to orbits further out. Once In an effort to assuage satellites are in space, there
measured between 1860 and in final orbit, they are mostly astronomers’ fears, SpaceX is is no backtracking. While
1940. The other data sets spanned too faint for our eyes to spot testing one satellite that is a bit companies like SpaceX do
from 1971 to 1975 and from them, but telescopes still can. different to the others. It was need approval from regulatory
2007 to 2017. In total, the team When the satellites pass included in the most recent bodies for each launch, there
analysed more than 677,000 through a telescope’s field of launch and is partially coated is no rule that prevents them
temperature measurements. view, they create bright streaks in a dark material to make it from launching an unlimited
On average, US body temperature that cut through images of the less shiny and so less visible in number of satellites.
has declined by 0.03°C per decade. sky, obscuring anything that telescope images. We don’t have “Regulation of the wild west
Body temperatures of men born in might be behind them and any data yet on whether the up there is necessary,” said Hall.
the early 19th century were 0.59°C pouring so much light into coating is working as intended. “That is going to take a great
higher than those of men today. the telescope that it renders Jeffrey Hall at Lowell deal of time to implement just
Women’s average temperature some observations unusable. Observatory in Arizona said that because of the nature of that
has dropped by 0.32°C compared “What surprised everyone – SpaceX has been talking about beast.” At this point, he said,
with that of women born in the the astronomy community and the issue with astronomers we have to rely on firms such as
1890s. That means average body SpaceX – was how bright the through an AAS committee, SpaceX voluntarily cooperating
temperature today is about 36.6°C, with astronomers to attempt
not 37°C as widely thought (eLife, to keep the impacts of their
doi.org/gghf9r). satellite constellations as low
The change isn’t simply the as possible.
result of older thermometers being With more than 1500 Starlink
unreliable. We know this because satellites scheduled for launch
the cooling trend is visible within in 2020, that cooperation will
the more modern data sets, in which need to be speedy if it is going to
the thermometers were presumably make any difference. “[Starlink
more accurate. is] just the start,” said Seitzer.
“The most likely explanation in “We have a very short time
my view is that, microbiologically, to deal with this issue” before
we’re very different people than the sky is overwhelmed with
we were,” says Parsonnet. People bright satellites. ❚
have fewer infections, thanks to
SSPACEX PHOTOS

vaccines and antibiotics, so our A SpaceX rocket blasts


immune systems are less active and off from Florida loaded
our body’s tissues less inflamed.  ❚ with Starlink satellites

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 13


News
Archaeology

How Romans treated coeliac


Traces of turmeric on teeth suggest Chinese medicine reached ancient Rome
Colin Barras

ALMOST 2000 years ago, a young triggered autoimmune attacks. archaeologically before,” he says.
Roman woman living with coeliac Chemical analysis of the plaque It is certainly possible that
disease was struggling to stay revealed organic molecules that ginseng might also have reached
healthy – so she may have turned the researchers say are typical Rome, says Matt Fitzpatrick at
to traditional Chinese medicine. markers of local herbal remedies, Flinders University, Australia.
Chemical residues found in her including mint and valerian – both Land-based routes including
dental plaque suggest she took recommended by Greek and the famous Silk Road were
ANGELO GISMONDI AND ALESSIA D’AGOSTINO

ginseng and turmeric, possibly Roman medics of the time as operational, and goods could
to relieve intestinal problems. a treatment for stomach ache. travel via Indian Ocean trade
As both plants are native to south More surprisingly, the routes – “although [ginseng] is
and east Asia, the find hints at an researchers also found chemical not mentioned in Roman medical
ancient trade in medicinal plants. traces that they say are typical texts,” he says.
The woman’s skeleton was markers of turmeric and ginseng. While this doesn’t imply it
unearthed in 2008 at a site in Cosa, It is unlikely that either plant grew wasn’t used in ancient Italy, it
Tuscany. She was about 20 years in Italy at the time, but both have does mean that researchers need
old when she died, and was buried been used as medicines in south to present very strong evidence in
with gold jewellery suggesting and east Asia to treat conditions favour of its use there. But Marco
a wealthy background – but she This skull belonged to a including digestive problems. Leonti at the University of Cagliari
had signs of malnutrition and woman who had coeliac This suggests there was trade in Italy says the study doesn’t
bone loss. disease 2000 years ago in medicinal plants and medical provide enough detail about
When researchers examined knowledge between the the chemical analysis for other
her DNA about a decade ago, they Gismondi and Antonella Canini Mediterranean and south and researchers to judge the strength
found that she carried versions of at the Tor Vergata University of east Asia 2000 years ago, say the of the evidence.
immune system genes associated Rome, Italy, have examined the researchers. Gismondi and Canini dispute
with a high risk of developing plaque on her teeth, which can “In a world without modern this, pointing out that their
coeliac disease, an autoimmune trap food particles and chemical medicine, people would use team’s analysis revealed the
disorder in which people residues (Archaeological whatever remedies they thought presence of several chemical
experience symptoms such as and Anthropological Sciences, would work,” says Eivind Heldaas compounds that can be ascribed
abdominal pain when they eat doi.org/dh42). Seland at the University of Bergen to turmeric and several more that
gluten-rich foods. It can result The team identified tiny starch in Norway. There are some ancient indicate ginseng.
in bone loss. This woman is one particles as coming from wheat Greek and Roman literary We do know that ginseng was
of the earliest known cases of or a closely related plant, which references to turmeric as a used medicinally in China 2000
the condition. suggests the woman consumed medicine. “But to my knowledge years ago, says Miranda Brown
Now, a team led by Angelo gluten-rich foods that would have [such use] has not been attested at the University of Michigan. ❚

Technology

Arm heater keeps often reduce dexterity. Take off your areas. Keeping the forearms temperature and ability in tasks
gloves, though, and numbing cold warm counteracts this, he says. requiring manual skill, such as
your hands warm has an equally detrimental effect A previous study showed that putting pegs in a peg board. In tests,
without gloves on your fine motor skills, as well heating the torso also keeps the the device reduced dexterity loss
as being extremely uncomfortable. hands warm, but that approach by 50 per cent and finger strength
GET cold hands, but hate wearing John Castellani and his team requires too much power for a loss by 90 per cent compared with
gloves? There might soon be at the US Army Research Institute portable device. Castellani’s team wearing no gloves at 0.5°C.
a technology that can help you. of Environmental Medicine in has found that warming just the The electric forearm heater
The US Army is developing an Massachusetts are attempting forearm with a battery-powered helps by a combination of delivering
arm heater that allows people to solve the problem with a pair gadget improves both finger warmer blood to the fingers and
to go glove-free in freezing of electrically heated armbands reducing blood vessel constriction.
conditions, helping them to carry worn around the forearms. “The armbands improve Even if the wearer can’t go
out mechanical repairs or first aid. Castellani says that much of the finger temperature and gloveless, it could allow them
Gloves can keep your hands at a problem is due to the body shutting the ability to do tasks to wear thinner gloves. ❚
comfortable temperature, but they down blood flow to peripheral requiring manual skill” David Hambling

14 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


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News In brief
Animal behaviour

Parrot joins tiny club of


species that are helpful
AFRICAN grey parrots aren’t only bird’s hole to the researcher was
really smart, they are helpful too. open but it had no tokens. There
They are the first bird species to was a third hole in the screen
pass a test that requires them both between the two birds, allowing
to understand when another animal them to pass objects through.
needs help and to give assistance. Seven out of eight African grey
Besides humans, only bonobos parrots passed tokens through this
and orangutans have passed this third hole to birds without tokens,
test, says Désirée Brucks at Ludwig so those parrots could swap them
Maximilian University of Munich in for food. They passed more tokens
Germany. To test the parrots, Brucks when the other bird was one they
and her colleague Auguste von spend lots of time with (Current
Bayern first trained them. They were Biology, doi.org/dh4m). Passing
given metal washers as tokens and this test requires both intelligence
taught that they could exchange and helpfulness, says Brucks.
them for food by passing them to It isn’t clear why African greys
a person via a hole in a clear screen. help others – the birds giving tokens
A month later, two birds were to the other parrots didn’t get any
separated from each other and a immediate benefit: only rarely did
researcher by clear screens. One the bird getting food give any to the
GETTY IMAGES

bird was given a pile of tokens token donor. The team also used
but the hole between it and the blue-headed macaws, but they
researcher was blocked. The other failed the test. Michael Le Page

Climate change Perception

hectares – 16 per cent of existing independently, increasing the


Burning of Amazon forests in that part of Brazil 3D specs reveal secret overlap to 70 degrees when
may get a lot worse (Science Advances, doi.org/dh67). of cuttlefish vision looking forwards. However, it
In Brazil, wildfires are almost takes a lot of neural processing
WILDFIRES in the Amazon are always started by people, often as CUTTLEFISH wearing 3D glasses power to compare the images
predicted to worsen, doubling the part of farm practices, says Brando. strike accurately at a virtual from two eyes even when the
affected area of an important part “Unlike Australia, where shrimp moving on a screen. The eyes move together like ours, says
of the forest by 2050. The result bush fires can propagate, in the finding shows that they estimate Trevor Wardill at the University
could be to shift the Amazon from Amazon they only propagate to distances by comparing images of Minnesota. It should be even
a carbon sink into a net source a few hundred metres because from each eye, just like we do. harder when eyes move separately.
of carbon dioxide emissions. the forest is very wet,” says Carlos Unlike us, cuttlefish lack So animals with eyes that move
Paulo Brando at the University Nobre at the University of São forward-facing eyes whose fields independently often use different
of California, Irvine, and his Paulo in Brazil. But it is getting of vision mostly overlap. They mechanisms from humans to
colleagues developed a model hotter and drier due to climate have outward-facing eyes, with work out distance. Despite this,
to predict how climate change change and other factors, which just 8 degrees of visual overlap. Wardill suspected cuttlefish use
and deforestation in the southern means the Amazon is likely to They can move each eye the same method as us, called
Brazilian Amazon, a wildfire become more vulnerable to stereopsis, which involves
hotspot, are likely to influence spreading wildfires, says Nobre. comparing images from each eye
wildfires and their associated The Amazon removes between in the brain. To find out, he and his
greenhouse gas emissions. 1 billion and 2 billion tonnes of CO2 team used 11 European cuttlefish
The model predicts a doubling from the atmosphere each year, (Sepia officinalis) that had 3D
of the area burned by wildfires, equivalent to 2.5 to 5 per cent of glasses stuck to their heads.
from approximately 3.4 million global carbon emissions. If They measured how they
hectares across the 2000s to about wildfires increase, eventually positioned themselves and where
6.8 million hectares in the 2040s, the total emissions resulting they tried to grab a virtual shrimp
in the worst case scenario of from fires in the forest will as its apparent position changed.
deforestation and climate change. exceed 2 billion tonnes, turning The findings show that cuttlefish
R. FEORD

By 2050, the total area burned the Amazon into a net carbon do rely on stereopsis (Science
is predicted to reach 23 million source. Layal Liverpool Advances, doi.org/dh4w). MLP

16 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


New Scientist Daily
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Health
Really brief
Jonathan Cedernaes at Uppsala confirm that sleep deprivation
Alzheimer’s protein University in Sweden and his team increases tau in the brain, since
rises without sleep recruited 15 healthy young men. blood levels aren’t necessarily
They measured tau levels in the indicative of amounts in the brain,
JUST one sleepless night raises men’s blood after a full night’s says Cedernaes. And higher blood
MIKE COLWILL/GHETTY IMAGES

levels of a protein linked to sleep and after a night of no sleep. levels of tau after sleep deprivation
Alzheimer’s disease in the blood of After the sleepless night, tau levels could be a sign that the brain is
young men. This suggests getting in blood rose by 17 per cent. After clearing out the protein rather
into good sleep habits at an early the good night, the rise was 2 per than accumulating it, he says.
age may help ward off the illness. cent (Neurology, doi.org/dh44). The role tau plays in Alzheimer’s
People with Alzheimer’s have While it is a small study that is unclear – it may be a side effect,
clumps of two sticky proteins – looked only at men, the finding not a cause. Similarly, while
Is Welsh language beta-amyloid and tau – in their adds to growing evidence that lack of sleep has been linked to
set to thrive? brains. Previous work has found people with poor sleep are more Alzheimer’s disease, it is possible
that one night of sleep deprivation likely to develop Alzheimer’s that this is an early sign of
The Welsh language, raises beta-amyloid levels in our decades later, says Cedernaes. the condition, rather than a
spoken by around half brains, but less is known about tau. More research is needed to contributing factor. Alice Klein
a million people today,
is expected to “thrive in Mental health Archaeology
the long term”. That is
according to a model that
looked at how proficiency Ancestral journey to
in the language would Java was a long one
change over the next few
centuries (Journal of the ANCIENT humans took hundreds
Royal Society Interface, of thousands of years to get from
doi.org/dh46). mainland Eurasia to Indonesia,
according to a new study, perhaps
Songbird species reaching Java 500,000 years later
than we had thought.
SERGEY RYZHOV/ALAMY STOCK PHOTO

discovered
Homo erectus was one of the
Five new species of first species of human. Its oldest
songbird and five fossils are about 2 million years
subspecies have been old. While it may have evolved
found in mountainous in Africa, it roamed far beyond.
areas of Indonesia. The Fossils show it was in Georgia
birds, including the Taliabu by 1.8 million years ago, China
grasshopper warbler, before 1.6 million years ago and
are all small and produce Rubber hand illusion and fake in Indonesia perhaps 1.7 or
unique and unusual sounds 1.8 million years ago. However,
(Science, DOI: 10.1126/ poo may be way to treat OCD the Indonesia date has been hotly
science.aax2146). debated. To try to settle matters,
AN ILLUSION in which fake faeces variant on people with hygiene- Shuji Matsu’ura of the National
Mount Everest are put on a rubber hand has been related OCD. They are usually Museum of Nature and Science in
is turning green tested on people with obsessive treated with exposure therapy, but Tsukuba, Japan, and his colleagues
compulsive disorder (OCD). It may that would, for example, involve re-examined the site of H. erectus
Images from NASA’s one day become a new treatment. exposure on their actual hands. As a fossil discoveries at Sangiran on
Landsat satellites suggest Therapies based on this illusion, result, a quarter reject such therapy. the Indonesian island of Java.
plants are colonising higher designed to help people get more In the study, 29 people with OCD The team looked at sediment
ground in the Himalayas. comfortable with germ exposure, had fake faeces, made from foods layers in which the fossils were
It isn’t clear why, but could be less upsetting than existing and a fake odour, dabbed on the found. Layers of volcanic ash
warmer temperatures in therapies, says Baland Jalal at the rubber hand, while their real, hidden were present. Using two methods
the region are likely to be University of Cambridge. hand was touched with a damp to date the volcanic material
a factor. One worry is that The original rubber hand illusion towel. While they knew the faeces constrained the ages of the
the plants may absorb involves putting one hand out of were fake, they reported feeling sediments and gave a best
more heat than bare sight and seeing a fake hand in its disgusted and contaminated estimate for the first hominins
ground, accelerating place. If someone else strokes both (Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, there of 1.3 million years ago, with
ice loss (Global Change the fake and real hand, most people doi.org/dh4t). Jalal’s team plan to an upper limit of 1.5 million years
Biology, doi.org/dh47). feel that the fake is their own. test the technique as a way of (Science, DOI: 10.1126/science.
Jalal and his colleagues tried a treating OCD. Clare Wilson aau8556). Michael Marshall

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 17


News Insight
Virtual actors

Live fast, die never


James Dean is set to be the latest actor to star in a film long after his
death. Are we ready for true Hollywood immortality, asks Donna Lu
DIGITAL humans are coming to Framestore used body doubles
a screen near you. As computer- with resemblance to Hepburn’s
generated imagery (CGI) has facial structure and body shape as a
become cheaper and more framework for manual animation.
sophisticated, the film industry The process was arduous and
can now convincingly recreate expensive, says Webber, but the
people on screen – even actors technology has moved on.
EVERETT COLLECTION INC/ALAMY STOCK PHOTO

who have been dead for decades. Now, a person can be animated
The technology’s ability to from scratch. “If they’re alive
effectively keep celebrities today, you can put them in
alive beyond the grave is raising scanning rigs, you can get every
questions about public legacies detail of their body analysed very
and image rights. carefully and that makes it much
Late in 2019, it was announced easier, whereas working from
that US actor James Dean, who available photographs is tricky,”
died in 1955, will star in a Vietnam says Webber, who won an Academy
war film slated for release later Award for his visual effects work
this year. Dean will be recreated on the 2013 film Gravity.
on screen with CGI based on old
footage and photographs, with
another actor voicing him. Digital legacy
The news was met with “I also see a lot of actors today
excitement by those keen to who will have the desire to take
see Dean digitally resurrected advantage of this technology: to
LUCASFILM LTD/WALT DISNEY COMPANY LTD

for only his fourth film, but it have their likeness captured and
also drew sharp criticism. “This is stored for future content,” says
puppeteering the dead for their Cloyd. “They foresee this being
‘clout’ alone,” actor Zelda Williams something that could give their
wrote on Twitter. “It sets such estates and give their families
an awful precedent for the future the ability to monetise their
of performance.” likeness when they’re gone.”
Her father, Robin Williams, who A potential pitfall of digitally
died in 2014, was keen to avoid the recreating a deceased celebrity is
same fate. Before his death, he or augmented reality CGI will resurrect James the risk of damaging their legacy.
filed a deed protecting the use of environments,” he says. Dean (top) this year “We have to respect the security
his likeness until 2039, preventing Other actors have been revived, to star in a new film. and the integrity of rights
others from recreating him using with the permission of their A young Carrie Fisher holders,” says John Canning at
CGI to appear in a film, TV show estates, for advertising purposes. (above) was recreated Digital Domain, a US firm that
or as a hologram. Audrey Hepburn was digitally for the film Rogue One created a hologram of rapper
The James Dean film is a way to recreated for a chocolate Tupac Shakur, which appeared
keep the actor’s image relevant for commercial in 2013. In the same at the Coachella music festival
younger generations, says Mark year, a CGI Bruce Lee appeared in 2012, 15 years after his death.
Roesler of CMG Worldwide, the in a Chinese-language ad for a Legally, a person’s rights to
firm that represents Dean’s estate. whisky brand, which offended control the commercial use
“I think this is the beginning of many fans because Lee was of their name and image beyond
an entire wave,” says Travis Cloyd, widely known to be teetotal. their death differ between and
CEO of Worldwide XR, one of the “In the last five years, it’s even within countries.

2039
companies behind the digital become more affordable In certain US states, for
Dean. “Moving into the future, and more achievable in a example, these rights are treated
we want James Dean to be whole movie,” says Tim similarly to property rights, and
brought into different gaming Webber at UK visual effects firm Actor Robin Williams can’t are transferable to a person’s heirs.
environments, or different Framestore, the company behind be recreated in CGI until In California, under the Celebrities
virtual reality environments, the Hepburn chocolate ad. at least this year Rights Act, the personality rights

18 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


More Insight online Working
Your guide to a rapidly changing world hypothesis
newscientist.com/insight Sorting the week’s
supernovae from
the absolute zeros

for a celebrity last for 70 years As it becomes easier to digitally in 2016. “People didn’t like it,”
after their death. recreate celebrities and to entirely she says. “They discovered the
“We’ve got a societal debate manufacture on-screen identities, uncanny valley.”
going on about access to our could this kind of technology put This refers to the idea that
public commons, as it were, about actors out of jobs? when objects trying to resemble
famous faces,” says Lilian Edwards “I think actors are worried humans aren’t quite perfect, they ▲ Exoplanets
at Newcastle University, UK. about this,” says Edwards. can make viewers feel uneasy In an early contender
Should the public be allowed to “But I think it will take a very because they fall somewhere for overachiever of the
use or replicate famous likenesses, long time.” between obviously non-human year, a 17-year-old NASA
given how iconic they are? And This is partly because of the risk and fully human. intern discovered an
what is in the best interest of a that viewers find virtual humans “That’s always a danger when exoplanet on his third day.
deceased person’s legacy may you’re doing anything human
conflict with the desires of their “We want James Dean or humanoid,” says Webber. ▲ Living robots
family or the public, says Edwards. to be brought into “There are a thousand things that Cells taken from frog
A recreation, however lifelike, gaming environments could go wrong with a computer- embryos have been turned
will never be indistinguishable or virtual reality” generated facial performance, and into “living robots” that
from a real actor, says Webber. any one of those could make it fall can move around, and they
“When we are bringing someone creepy. Edwards cites widespread into the uncanny valley,” he says. are hopping mad about it.
back, representing someone who backlash to the digital recreation “Your brain just knows there’s
is no longer alive on the screen, of Carrie Fisher as a young something wrong.” ▲ Brains
what we are doing is extremely Princess Leia in Rogue One, a trick The problem often arises A chunk of human brain
sophisticated digital make-up,” he later repeated in the recent Star around the eyes or mouth, says tissue found near York,
says. “A performance is a lot more Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, which Webber. “They’re the areas that UK, survived for nearly
than a physical resemblance.” was filmed after Fisher’s death you look at when you’re talking 2600 years. Gross.
to someone.”
An unfamiliar digital human ▼ Lunar dating
Illusory influencers that has been created through Billionaire Yusaku
CGI will also face the same Maezawa, who has
Virtual celebrities are already challenge as an unknown actor: booked a SpaceX flight
a reality. A handful of digitally they don’t have the appeal of an to the moon scheduled
created avatars have been used established name. in 2023, says he is taking
as vehicles for advertising, “You have to spend substantial applications for a “single
with several of them gaining capital in creating awareness woman” to go with him.
significant followings as “virtual around their likeness and making That’s grosser than the
influencers” on social media. sure people are familiar with who brain thing.
Best known is Lil Miquela, they are,” says Cloyd. This is now
a fictional 19-year-old CGI starting to happen (see “Illusory ▼ Dead alligators
personality, who has 1.8 million influencers”, left). Researchers dumped
followers on Instagram. She “The way you pre-sell a movie alligator carcasses
has appeared in advertising in a foreign market is based on 2 kilometres under the
campaigns for luxury brands, relevant talent,” he says. “I think sea to see what would
been pictured with real celebrities we’re a long way away from having happen. Better than being
TOP: DOTTEDHIPPO/GETTY; BOTTOM: REPTILES4ALL/GETTY

and released several music virtual beings that have the ability turned into handbags?
singles, one of which was have included fabricated drama. to pre-sell content.”
promoted on a billboard in New British photographer Webber expects that we
York’s Times Square. Lil Miquela Cameron-James Wilson has also will see more digital humans
was created by Brud, a start-up created digital supermodels for on screen. “It’s happening
@BLAWKO22 VIA INSTAGRAM

based in Los Angeles that is also fashion brand Balmain, including because it can happen,” he says.
behind the Bermuda and Blawko Shudu, who also has her own Paraphrasing a line from Jurassic
personas. As in the image here, Instagram account, and Xhi, a Park, he adds: “People are too busy
the trio are sometimes seen Chinese woman reportedly partly thinking about what they can do
together, and their interactions modelled on David Bowie. to think about whether they
should do it.” ❚

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 19


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Know more. Live better last. Only in specific countries
Views
The columnist Letters Aperture Culture Culture columnist
Stop trying to upload There is good news Vibrant notes show Why astrology has Simon Ings on a
your brain, says for science on the microbes on your lessons for today’s poetic film about
Annalee Newitz p24 microplastics p26 money p28 data science p30 water p32

Comment

Beware gurus with gifts


There is a terrible secret to sound lifestyle advice, says
Graham Lawton – most of it is predictable and dull

Graham Lawton is a
columnist and feature writer for
New Scientist @GrahamLawton

at the link between artificial


sweeteners and obesity. One finds
that sweeteners cause obesity, the
other that they prevent it. Those
studies may have very different
designs or sample sizes, run
for different lengths of time or
even be done in rats rather than
humans. But it is only the first
one that will ever make headlines.
The thing is, science tells us
to a first approximation how to
live a healthy life. It is just that
most of the advice is quite obvious
and unsurprising: eat a varied,
balanced diet, try to get enough
sleep, exercise as often as you can,

O
N 3 JANUARY, I broke a to be devotees of the decidedly and overwhelmed by the health don’t drink too much alcohol and
New Year’s resolution. non-mainstream nutritional messages we read, watch and hear don’t fixate on a single lifestyle
I tried to stay strong but advice that saturated fat is good every day, some of which appear factor. I make no apology for
I cracked. I responded to the for you. They didn’t like the fact flatly contradictory. As the saying trotting out mainstream advice
Twitter trolls. that I said it almost certainly isn’t. goes, is red wine good or bad for because that is, in the main,
An extract of my new book Don’t get me wrong. If people you this week? what science tells us works.
This Book Could Save Your Life – want to eat lots of saturated fat, Most health coverage is based That doesn’t mean that
a round-up of the science of that is their choice. I wrote a book on wishful thinking or is little designing and sticking to an
personal health, based largely on about an evidence-based approach more than advertising. Promises evidence-based health regime
articles in New Scientist – had just to personal health, but I’m not in of quick fixes and the claims of that you can maintain for years
appeared in The Times and had the business of telling people what cynical marketeers and self- rather than weeks or months is
been picked up by Apple News. I they should do with it. My goal appointed gurus quickly drown trivial. That is why I wrote a whole
was about to do a BBC interview, was simply to say: “this is what the out solid, dependable and – let’s book on it. I am often asked what
and I was feeling pretty pleased science says – use it how you will”. face it – dull mainstream views. I consider to be the most useful
with myself. Devotees of alternative diets News values trump science piece of advice in it. My answer:
The tweets burst my bubble. aside, it turns out that there is values every time, even when we get to know the science. All of it.
One sneered at me for “just a huge appetite for such an are talking about actual science. It may be nuanced, it may be
trotting out mainstream nutrition approach. Many of us are confused Say there are two studies looking imperfect, it may be incomplete
advice”. Another described the in places, but if you want to live
book as “crap”. It hadn’t even been Want to know more about how to live better a long and healthy life it is a far
published at that point. Hey-ho. for longer? Join Graham Lawton for his tips on better guide than any flashy fad.
JOSIE FORD

Foolishly, I took the bait. events 26 February in London. To find out more, visit: Oh, and don’t make resolutions
My Twitter antagonists seemed newscientist.com/science-events that you probably won’t keep. ❚

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 23


Views Columnist
This changes everything

Stop trying to upload your brain Think a digital version of your


mind will allow you to live forever? It will just leave you subject to
manipulation and software problems, writes Annalee Newitz

B
ACK in the 20th century, has said in multiple places, he is Borisesque piece of software that
“the future” meant looking for upload tech that will might “live” for a long time, but is
flying cars and food make him immortal. it really a continuation of Boris
pills. Now, the future is all Let’s take Kurzweil seriously the person or a completely
about brain uploads. and assume that eventually a different entity that has some of
The idea is that, one day, person – let’s call him Boris – will Boris’s ideas and memories? And
we will be able to convert all scan his own brain and convert what kind of rights does Boris’s
our memories and thoughts it to the format suitable for uploaded brain have? He might
into hyper-advanced software running in approved devices. become the property of whoever
Annalee Newitz is a science programs. Once the human brain Now Boris’s brain can live owns the server that runs him.
journalist and author. Their can run on a computer – or forever inside some kind of Becoming an upload won’t
latest novel is The Future maybe even on a giant robot – we virtual world like Minecraft, allow Boris to live forever. Instead,
of Another Timeline and will evade death forever. Sounds which looks and feels to him Boris will die with his body, and a
they are the co-host of the cooler than a flying car, right? like reality. That means his copy of Boris’s brain will be stored
Hugo-nominated podcast Wrong. If they ever exist, entire universe is dependent on a piece of technology. That
Our Opinions Are Correct. uploads will be hell. on people or companies who technology will subject virtual
You can follow them @ Fantasies about uploaded brains run or manage servers, such as Boris to all the same problems that
annaleen and their website is are nothing new. William Gibson Amazon Web Services, to survive. befall our mobile devices – except
techsploitation.com wrote about them some 35 years instead of awkward autocorrect
ago in his cyberpunk classic “Uploading your incidents happening in text
Neuromancer, in which people brain sounds messages, the equivalent will
could upload themselves into happen inside Boris’s mind.
cooler than a flying
cyberspace; and almost a century Oh and, of course, technology
Annalee’s week ago, back in 1923, E.V. Odle car, right? Wrong. decays and dies, so immortality
What I’m reading published a novel called If they ever exist, isn’t guaranteed. So why would
David C. Catling’s The Clockwork Man, about uploads will be hell” anyone want to be uploaded?
Astrobiology: A very how the people of tomorrow I think it is because uploading
short introduction would live inside a virtual world Boris is going to be subjected still offers hope that we might
is helping me figure of clockwork technology. to software updates that could end the worst forms of human
out how to build an In recent decades, however, alter his perceptions, and he suffering. In his 2017 novel
atmosphere. scientists and philosophers have might not be able to remember Walkaway, Cory Doctorow
also started to take a serious his favourite movie unless he describes a future in which a
What I’m watching interest in the idea of digital pays a licensing fee. vicious war rages between the
The Witcher, which has versions of brains. Massive That isn’t the only possible haves and have-nots. But when
an inexplicable plot that research undertakings like the pitfall. Somebody could duplicate a group of underground
revolves around demons Human Brain Project aim to Boris and make two armies scientists creates the first brain
and shirtless men. “simulate” the human brain in of Borises fight each other for upload, there is a chance that
software. And Anders Sandberg supremacy. Or, as Iain M. Banks the war will finally end because
What I’m working on at the University of Oxford’s suggested in his 2010 novel death is no longer a threat.
Inventing a planet for Future of Humanity Institute Surface Detail, a nasty political Uploads are also a solution to
my next novel. and his colleagues explore how regime might create a virtual war in The Clockwork Man. In that
future societies should deal hell full of devils who torture story, men have been uploaded
ethically with uploaded minds. Boris’s brain for his sins. to the clockwork reality because
There are plenty of medical Many other things could also they kept trying to destroy the
applications for a brain simulation. happen if Boris’s brain got stuck real world with endless combat.
Doctors could use it to model inside a robot. He could be Uploads may offer a dream of
diseases or to test therapies. reprogrammed as a street cleaner, peace, but they also threaten us
Neurologists could probe it to forced to mop Liverpool’s gutters with a future in which our minds
understand how thought emerges for weeks without respite, or can be manipulated as easily as
from cellular activity. turned into assembly line arms a Facebook algorithm. Like the
This column appears This isn’t what people like for a factory that builds Tesla cars. flying car, the brain upload is
monthly. Up next week: Google’s director of engineering After all that, is Boris really a nifty idea that will cause far
James Wong Ray Kurzweil want, though. As he himself anymore? There is a more problems than it solves. ❚

24 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


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Views Your letters

Editor’s pick
There is good news for
science on microplastics
7 December 2019, p 38
From Rolf-Dieter Heuer, chair of the
European Commission’s Group of
Chief Scientific Advisors, and Reinhard
Hüttl, chair of Science Advice for Policy
by European Academies,
Brussels, Belgium
As Graham Lawton reports, the
evidence on whether microplastics
are harmful to health is uncertain,
complex and full of gaps. But there
are also some things that we know
for certain, such as that the risk
of harm is increasing and will
peak within a century if current
pollution rates continue.
Policy decisions must often be
made before all the evidence is
in. So our advice to the European
Commission included concrete
recommendations for how to
manage and reduce plastic will scrutinise any mass-market, sport and live the life of the cats. The comfort, affection and
pollution, and for targeting future low-cost, internet-connected mind. Even if we achieve 100 per fun they give is immeasurable,
research to plug the knowledge device and will almost certainly cent renewable energy, that will but wildlife must be protected.
gaps (newscienti.st/NS-plastics). find a security flaw. If they do, such simply remove one obstacle
These recommendations are devices offer them a gateway past to an even larger population.
By its dissatisfaction shall
already being taken up by political the security in your router and Another crunch point – perhaps
actors in Europe and elsewhere in into your local network, the water – will surely show up. you know machine art
the world. Others aren’t shy about computers on it and thus I have no children. I believe 14 December 2019, p 30
using the evidence in its current everything on them, including I have done more for the planet From Alec Cawley,
state. When we published our passwords and bank details. by that one non-action than I ever Penwood, Berkshire, UK
advice, some environmental will by giving up meat or my pet Douglas Heaven reviews The
organisations took it as a battle cat. Yes, I am quite prepared to Artist in the Machine: The world
Putting pets’ ecological
cry for stronger regulation, while work until I drop, rather than of AI-powered creativity and notes
the plastics industry cited it as a footprint in proportion retire in my 60s and thus instantly the argument that works created
reason to be cautious. Such is life. 7 December 2019, p 24 become a drain on those still by a machine aren’t art, while
Whichever side you take, there is From Rachael Padman, working. Of course, we need to those created by a human aren’t
good news for science: high-quality Dalham, Suffolk, UK look for immediate solutions to machine art.
evidence that is independently Graham Lawton suggests cats and solve the immediate problems, All the creative artists I know
collected still plays a vital role in dogs in the US consume the same but if we all just use 20 per cent or are constantly dissatisfied with
good governance. We prefer to think amount of energy as 60 million even 50 per cent less of everything, their work. They always feel
of this as a glass-half-full scenario, people, and notes their other that just puts off the evil day. that they could do better, and
even if the water in the glass is adverse environmental impacts. sometimes want to destroy
indeed peppered with microplastics. We can also, of course, observe From Fred Myers, works that they have made.
that humans contribute several Northampton, UK When a computer can express
times more than their pets. Describing the damage done to the same dissatisfaction with its
Whoever owns your face
The real problem for the wildlife by cats roaming outside, art, I will believe both that it is
may raid your bank planet isn’t the number of pets: Lawton suggests that keeping creative and that it may have
14 December 2019, p 24 it is the number of humans. A them indoors wouldn’t suit them. become conscious.
From Perry Bebbington, minimum amount of space is As a cat lover and owner, it seems
Kimberley, Nottinghamshire, UK required to support each of us, to me that a cat raised indoors From Brian Reffin Smith,
Annalee Newitz gives plenty of as is a minimum intake of natural from kittenhood is perfectly Berlin, Germany
reasons not to have an internet- resources to keep us warm, fed and well-adjusted and healthy. Heaven’s incisive review might
connected smart doorbell with a clothed – plus quite a lot more if We should convince new cat have mentioned something that
camera. I suggest another. Hackers we want to be entertained, play owners to consider only house is common to bad art that is made

26 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


Views From the archives

by AI: the non-artist creators motion sickness. When I sit at


of the AI think art is merely the steering wheel, I can anticipate
about what it looks like. For the curves perfectly since I am the 25 years ago, New Scientist
many decades at least, art one taking them. I actually enjoy was pondering an accidental
has also been about context. driving in the mountains. cold-war ecological experiment
An artificial intelligence that When I am in the passenger seat,
did things that sort-of looked I often get sick. A friend and I fight IT WASN’T anyone’s intention,
like science wouldn’t get very far. over who takes the wheel in the but it happened all the same.
Artists laugh at most attempts to mountainous parts of excursions. “Trees growing close to a giant
portray science as art, just as most This would surely be an issue with communications antenna in
scientists would if artists posed autonomous vehicles too. Michigan have put on an unusual
in a lab coat with a test tube and spurt of growth since the Navy
claimed they were doing science. moved into the forest eight
Abandoned mental health years ago,” we reported in
apps are no surprise our 14 January 1995 issue.
Concerns about golden rice 16 November 2019 , p 14 The culprit, forestry researchers
aren’t entirely baseless From Mike Frederick, Leeds, UK thought, was the electromagnetic field around a
23 November 2019, p 23 You report that most people give military communications antenna buried there.
From Simon Garrett, up on using mental health apps Quite the antenna it was too, at 90 kilometres long.
Ashfield-cum-Thorpe, Suffolk, UK within a few weeks. I have tried Yet incredibly, Project ELF – named by the US Navy after
I read Michael Le Page’s article on three mental health and well- the extremely low-frequency radio waves it was to
“golden rice” with interest. Many being apps for mobile phones use – was a masterpiece of miniaturisation. The original
consider it to have enormous that have high user ratings. proposal from which Project ELF emerged, Project
benefits and opposition to it All of them restrict what Sanguine, would have needed a grid of live cables to be
may be wrong, but it isn’t entirely you can do without purchasing buried beneath 40 per cent of the state of Wisconsin.
baseless. Le Page risks convincing a subscription for the service, and The idea was to communicate with submerged
no one except those already offer a free trial of their premium nuclear submarines. Radio waves spread out as they
convinced, and provides little features lasting for up to a few travel, ultimately rendering the information they carry
for those who want to understand weeks, after which you have to pay. unreadable. The lower a wave’s frequency, the less this
the scientific nature of the debate. So the high level of abandonment dispersion occurs, allowing information to be carried
He also fails to mention issues at this interval is hardly surprising. further. Penetrating as far as distant oceans, however,
about intellectual property rights required waves tens of thousands of kilometres in
in genetically modified crops and wavelength – and appropriately scaled-up antennas.
How much would you pay
other commercial and economic Project ELF became fully operational in 1989
issues. Such concerns are often to strip ads from films? and began subtly influencing the surrounding forest.
wished away when there is a 23 November 2019, p 9 While northern red oaks and paper birches seemed
strong public benefit, which From David Aldred, Elloughton, unaffected, “red pines near the antenna grew taller
there clearly is with golden rice. East Riding of Yorkshire, UK than red pines at the distant site, while aspen and
The account by Donna Lu of red maple grew thicker than their counterparts
products being pasted into TV further off,” we wrote.
We fight to reduce stress
shows was fascinating. But if It is one example pointing to the effectiveness
by taking the tight turns a company can insert product of “electroculture”, the use of electrical fields to
Letters, 30 November 2019 placement into existing movies, promote growth. Others have come to light over
From Frank Siegrist, then surely it can also remove the decades. Between 1915 and 1920, for example,
Gland, Switzerland or disguise such things. plant physiologist Vernon Blackman charged wires
Roger Morgan suggests that Apps for your phone often have to between 40 and 80 kilovolts for 6 hours each day
humans may get more stressed the option of an ad-free version, above test plots of oats, barley, winter-sown wheat and
in a self-driving car than when for which you pay an additional clover-hay mixtures in three different areas of Britain.
driving themselves, as it seems fee. Perhaps in the future we will Of his 18 field trials, 14 showed increased yields.
rats that have been taught to drive be able to choose between movies Such achievements have proved inconsistent
a tiny car do. Living in Switzerland, that are free but crammed to the and hard to reproduce – although last August we
with its many sinuous mountain sprocket holes with product reported the first concerted commercial roll-out of
roads, I can think of one example placements and those that charge the technology, in China. The forests of Michigan,
where this is clearly the case: a premium to avoid such ads. ❚ meanwhile, have long since ceased to be an
unintentional test bed. Declaring it obsolete, the US
Navy called time on Project ELF in 2004. Simon Ings
Want to get in touch?
Send letters to New Scientist, 25 Bedford Street, London To find more from the archives, visit
WC2E 9ES or letters@newscientist.com; see terms at newscientist.com/old-scientist
newscientist.com/letters

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 27


Views Aperture

28 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


Colonial culture

Photographer Ken Rinaldo

HOW many lives does a banknote


touch? Factor in bacteria and
the answer is a mind-boggling
number. The vibrant notes
opposite are part of a touring
exhibition by artist Ken Rinaldo
that exposes the microbes on your
money. In this art, the symbolic
exchange of organisms from one
nation to another is realised in
beautiful, blooming colour.
To create it, Rinaldo used
international banknotes,
including Chinese yuan and US
dollars (far left), euros and British
pounds (top) and Colombian
pesos and more US dollars
(bottom). The paired notes
were mounted on agar plates to
encourage the myriad bacteria
and other microbes they carry
to grow and spread.
Currencies have long been a
means of colonisation. So, too,
have microbes. When Europeans
began to settle in the Americas, for
example, their diseases killed up
to 90 per cent of the indigenous
population. Influenced by
endosymbiotic theory – the
idea that larger, more complex
eukaryotic cells evolved through
the symbiosis of simpler
prokaryotic cells, including
bacteria – Rinaldo calls these
microbes “the original colonisers”.
But he also shows how their
transfer can represent the fight for
a more open world. Unlike many
human travellers, microbes don’t
need visas: immune to our borders,
they pass freely from note to note.
Already featured in galleries
worldwide, Borderless Bacteria/
Colonialist Cash will next stop
at the Art Laboratory Berlin,
Germany, from 26 January. ❚

Bethan Ackerley

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 29


Views Culture

Written in the stars


Astrology is bunk, but a new book argues that it has important lessons for
today’s data science and seemingly opaque algorithms, says Jonathon Keats

Book
A Scheme of Heaven:
The history of astrology
and the search for our
destiny in data
Alexander Boxer
W. W. Norton

AT THE beginning of the


15th century, Cardinal Pierre
d’Ailly predicted the arrival of
the Antichrist through, among
other astrological signs, the
future orbital alignments of
SHEILA TERRY/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY

Saturn and Jupiter. He foretold


that the Antichrist would appear
in 1789, which turned out to be the
first year of the French Revolution,
touted as a triumph of rationalism
over religious superstition.
Astrology has spawned such
stories for millennia, surviving
revolutionary France and the Practical implementation of funded the translation of ancient Scholars in Baghdad, a
assault of modern science through these concepts was by no means astronomical texts, and the centre of astrology during
a combination of celestial intrigue trivial. “Astrology was the ancient astrologer Mashallah ibn Athari the Islamic Golden Age
and good luck. In A Scheme of world’s most ambitious applied used the timing and location of
Heaven, data scientist Alexander mathematics problem,” writes alignments between Jupiter and enough data… enterprise and
Boxer tells the fascinating tale Boxer. The task occupied some Saturn to account for the Great ingenuity, the ‘mathematician’
of astrology’s ascent in ancient of the greatest minds, including Flood and the birth of Christ, as can generally make whatever
Egypt and Babylon, its influence mathematician Claudius Ptolemy well as to predict future conflict connections he or she wants”.
over the Roman Empire and and astronomer Johannes Kepler. between Persians and Arabs. This problem remains, as
Elizabethan England and its This system was later used by does the data-mining proclivity
resurgence in contemporary “Astrology survived d’Ailly to anticipate the Antichrist of astrologers, who search for
popular culture. and by Kepler to account for the patterns unconstrained by theory.
the assault of modern
His entertaining book explains death of Queen Elizabeth I. “Astrology has been the butt of
fallacies that have given astrology
science through As Boxer observes, Mashallah’s scientific ridicule because it
unmerited credibility, such as the celestrial intrigue orbital calculations were uses algorithms which seem
“validation” of predictions so and good luck” impressively accurate and completely arbitrary,” writes
vague almost any event would Ptolemy’s underlying formulas Boxer, adding the same can be
fit them. Importantly, he also In 2nd-century Alexandria, remarkably astute. Astrology, argued against “increasingly
reveals how equivalent sloppiness Ptolemy wrote the Almagest about then, both benefited from and opaque machine learning
may distort data science today, astronomy and the Tetrabiblos contributed to astronomy – and to models”. It is easy to imagine
especially when researchers about astrology, two of the most instruments such as the astrolabe. Mashallah at Google.
mine data sets so vast they influential texts of the time and The work of astrologers, argues Scientists shudder at the revival
find meaning in coincidence. still considered authoritative and Boxer, “led directly to Copernicus’s of astrology via apps and social
Astrology is broadly based on complementary when Nicolaus revolution, and, from there, media. The irony is they may yet
a belief in the interconnectedness Copernicus studied astronomy to modern science”. have things to learn from it.  ❚
of the heavens and Earth, and the in the late 1400s. Boxer doesn’t apologise
idea that occurrences in the world The influence of astrology for astrology’s flaws, such as the Jonathon Keats’s new exhibition, The
can be understood or foretold by grew. In 8th-century Baghdad, French Revolution standing in for Primordial Cities Initiative, is at STATE
the positioning of other planets. the Abbasid caliphate eagerly the Antichrist, but observes “with Studio in Berlin until 29 February

30 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


Don’t miss

Can art heal eco blues?


Learning more about the species we share the planet with offers
hope for the future, urges a new exhibition. Simon Ings explores
folklore. As ancestors, companions, and creature) only becomes more Visit
competitors, protectors, destroyers dizzying when you discover that The Arts & Crafts of
Exhibition and gods, tigers were central to the Huyghe recruited his “star” from Politics revels in lo-fi
Animalesque: Art across indigenous culture. Western settlers a Tokyo restaurant where the tech, including the work
species and beings couldn't find any there, however, macaque spent many apparently of William Morris and
Baltic Centre for Contemporary until one sprang out of the forest in happy hours working as a waiter. Walter Crane, from
Art, Gateshead, UK 1835 and attacked a hapless It is a film of great pathos, more 24 January at Blackwell,
Until 19 April 2020 surveyor’s theodolite. moving and less disturbing than this The Arts & Crafts
Our most stable cross-species bald description suggests. It speaks House in Bowness-on-
EXHIBITIONS about our relationship relationships are with domesticated to our difficulty understanding Windermere, UK.
with the environment tend to be animals, even if they are sometimes other animals, steeped as we are
bombastic. Either they preach doom discomforting or guilt-ridden affairs. in human concerns.
and destruction, or they reckon our In French artist Pierre Huyghe’s The difficulty is real, can research
children will soon be living lives of Untitled (Human Mask) (2014), help us? Degreecoordinates, Shared
plenty on artificial atolls. a macaque explores an abandoned traits of the Hominini (humans,
Animalesque at the Baltic Centre bonobos and chimpanzees) (2015)
for Contemporary Art in Gateshead, “Can you use a bottle attempts it. For this, UK artist
UK, knows better than this. In Marcus Coates worked with
opener? Do you kiss?
an international selection of art, primatologist Volker Sommer to
sculpture and film, curator Filipa Are you preoccupied list questions relevant to all three: Read
Ramos points out how little we with hierarchy do you resolve conflicts using sex? The Angel and the
know about other species, and how and status?” Can you use a bottle opener? Assassin by Donna
much we might still learn. With this Do you kiss? Are you preoccupied Jackson Nakazawa
humility comes hope that we can restaurant in Fukushima, Japan, an with hierarchy and status? (Ballantine) tells how
reform our relations with Earth. area gutted by the 2011 tsunami. Human answers vary, but so microglia cells in the
Research has a major role to Identifying the species of our do those gleaned from studying brain can affect memory,
play, but it can only go so far. One protagonist takes a while. You would individual chimps and bonobos. anxiety and depression.
unassuming TV monitor is screening be forgiven for thinking you were The differences between
a video from Tupilakosaurus, watching a girl, because the macaque individuals of each of the three
a long-running project by Danish- is wearing a wig and an eerily species far exceed those across
Greenlandic artist Pia Arke. It is beautiful mask (pictured below). species. Animalesque celebrates
a telling but not unsympathetic The uncanny collision of what we share – and what we
satirical film, in which examinations categories (girl and pet, puppet can learn. ❚
of a fossil dinosaur throw up folk
tales, mangled histories and surreal
mountains of paperwork as
HAUSER & WIRTH, LONDON, & ANNA LENA FILMS, PARIS. © PIERRE HUYGHE, VEGAP, 2017

researchers try to represent and


classify the Arctic’s life and history. Watch TOP: COURTESY OF WILLIAM MORRIS GALLERY, LONDON; BOTTOM: RICHARD TERMINE

Often, we find out about other Chimpanzee has its UK


species only as we are evicting premiere at the Barbican
and replacing them. This happened Centre, London. In this
to the Malayan tiger, which now puppet play from Nick
numbers just some 300 wild cats Lehane, an ageing
in the Malay Peninsula. 2 or 3 Tigers chimp pieces together
(2015) by Singaporean artist Ho memories of early life
Tzu Nyen is a 19-minute, two- in a human family. It
screen video, made using CGI and is based on real US
some very dodgy operatic singing, experiments, where
about the were-tigers of Malayan chimps were raised
in human homes.
Is this a little girl, The play runs from
a puppet or a macaque 21 to 25 January.
wearing a mask?

18 January 2020| New Scientist | 31


Views Culture
The film column

The cruel seas There are no cliched glimpses of calving icebergs in Aquarela,
a poetic, narrative-less documentary about the indifference of water – just the
patience and innovation that guarantee it a place in history, says Simon Ings

Greenland’s icebergs
are captured in superb
detail in Aquarela

swells of a storm-tossed mid-


Atlantic. If ever a present-day
sequence could recreate the urban
myth surrounding L’Arrivée d’un
train en gare de La Ciotat, in which
Simon Ings is a novelist and early audiences were convinced an
science writer and a culture on-screen train was going to drive
editor at New Scientist. into them and fled to the back of
COURTESY OF SONY PICTURES CLASSICS

Follow him on Instagram the cinema, it is a ride over one


@simon_ings of Aquarela’s impending waves.
Why recommend a film that
no cinema chain can yet screen
properly? Buying the Blu-Ray disc
or watching it on a streaming
service (we will tell you when it
arrives in our Don’t Miss column)
is likely to convey only a fraction
WINTER in southern Siberia. By a industry obsessed with narratives of its magic. But that fragment
long-winded, painstaking method and sound bites. Bravo, then, to is jaw-dropping. After so many
Film involving levers, ropes and a fair Participant Media and the film’s eco-docs, with their predictable
Aquarela amount of cursing, vehicles that many other backers, large and 5-second glimpses of calving
Directed by have fallen through the thawing small, for Aquarela: the strangest, icebergs, here, finally, is a film
Victor Kossakovsky ice of Lake Baikal can be hauled most powerful eco-documentary that lingers on the berg as it sinks
back onto the surface. you are ever likely to see. and rises, turns and crumbles,
Simon also The crew working on Aquarela Captured at a staggering until an ice fragment floats by
were filming one such operation 96 frames per second, Aquarela’s that looks for all the world like
recommends…
when an SUV shot past in a shower tracking shots, even in extreme a pontiff set upon by angels.
Film of ice, then plunged nose-first into This is a film that makes
Regen (1929) the freezing water, killing one of “Here, finally, is a even a placid ocean surface
Directed by Joris Ivens its occupants. strange, as oblique light catches
film that lingers
Available online, this There is nothing exploitative the ripples within each little wave.
short documentary about a about the footage that, after
on the iceberg as Those ripples, in such a harsh,
rain shower in Amsterdam much soul-searching, Russian it sinks and rises, angled, almost monochrome
set a high bar for the kind film-maker Victor Kossakovsky turns and crumbles” light, resemble the stress fractures
of poetic film-making used to front his poetic, narrative- you find in flint or bottle glass.
Victor Kossakovsky has less documentary about the power close-up, are completely flicker- As such, the water, for all its
since made his own. and weirdness of water. Locals and free. This makes them surreally movement, looks like a weirdly
police slip and topple, hacking present, in a way that demolishes animated mineral, and those
Book frantically at the ice, while the scale and has you gripping the ocean swells really do look like
The Kraken accident’s sole survivor stumbles arms of your chair. Virtually no mountains – the cliche made
Wakes (1953) about, frenzied with terror and cinemas are equipped to screen vivid at last.
John Wyndham getting in everyone’s way. such footage: this is a film made This isn’t a film about
Penguin Kossakovsky is one of those with an eye to posterity, and the our relationship with water.
Floods are a key element in rare documentary makers who plaudits that come with being a From continent to continent,
British fantasy. This classic still believes that the camera alone cinematic first. glacier to ocean, burst dam to
tale of alien invasion gives can capture truth. His expensive Just as much study – and, no waterfall, Aquarela is about water’s
the fantastical deluge a and time-consuming method of doubt, expense – has gone into indifference to any relationship
science-fictional twist. waiting, watching and witnessing the super-stabilisation of the we might try to strike up with it.
the world is rarely supported by an camera used to capture the It is a most disconcerting film.  ❚

32 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


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Features Cover story

When
causality
We’re used to cause preceding effect.
breaks
In the weird quantum world, things
get a lot more complicated,
finds Kelly Oakes

B
REAKFAST in my house is a causal affair. single framework of quantum gravity, a goal unbreak the egg you just fried, for example,
The kettle boils because I have switched that has eluded us for over a century. The end and also suggests why we can’t reverse the big
it on. The toast acquires its golden crust of causality as we know it could be a cause for bang – getting back to that highly ordered early
because I put it in the toaster. The butter makes celebration. Or vice versa. universe would be impossible from where we
its way to the table because I removed it from Until now, we have largely bumbled along are now. The arrow of time has been fired, and
the fridge. For all the weirdness that the in just one direction: forwards. “The arrow there seems to be no stopping it.
universe throws at us, these are simple truths of time has a huge impact on our lives,” says That doesn’t mean its path is always smooth.
that we can take for granted. The past is the physicist Julian Barbour. For that, according In the early years of the 20th century, Albert
past. The present precedes the future. Cause to prevailing wisdom, we have the second law Einstein’s theories of relativity added a
comes before effect. Except when it doesn’t. of thermodynamics to thank. It states that complication to our picture of time. It turns
Physicists have started to realise that the universe has been getting more and out that time runs slower for observers
causality might not be as straightforward as more disorderly over time, providing a clear travelling at higher speeds, as well as for those
we thought. Instead of cause always preceding direction for everything that happens in it. in the presence of enormous gravitational
effect, effects can sometimes precipitate their The second law explains why you can’t fields. For example, if one of a pair of twins
causes. And, even more mindbogglingly, both spent five years – by their watch – in a
can be true at once. In this version of events, spaceship travelling at near light speed, upon
you would be opening the fridge because the
butter was already on the table, and your toast
“Playing fast and return to Earth they would have aged a lot
less than their sibling. And events that appear
would be perfectly golden both before and loose with causality simultaneous to one observer can appear
after you put it in the toaster. You wouldn’t sequential to another. There is one important
just be making breakfast – your breakfast could shake physics condition, however. Even if two events appear
would also be making you.
Playing fast and loose with causality does
to its foundations” to take place simultaneously, they can only be
causally connected if there is time for one to
more than make for confusing mornings. It influence the other. As information can’t travel
could shake physics to its very foundations. No faster than the speed of light, that produces a
longer having a definite order of events goes hard limit on which events might cause each
against the picture of the universe painted by other. Because it takes 8 minutes for light to
general relativity, and even hints at a reality travel between the Earth and sun, for example,
beyond quantum mechanics, the best model the sudden explosion of the sun would take
we have of the subatomic world. Allowing 8 minutes to have any consequences on Earth.
causality to operate in both directions could That seemed to be about as complicated
allow us to combine these two theories into a as time could get. But then, a few years later, >

34 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


EIKO OJALA

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 35


Child’s play! Cause and
effect could both take
place at the same time

quantum mechanics got involved. Among its


weirdest predictions is the notion of quantum
superposition: the idea that an object can be in
two different states at the same time.
This is often taken to mean that an event can
be said to have happened and not happened,
or that a cat – to borrow the most famous
example – can be both alive and dead until
observed. But as weird as these are, some
things were thought to be off limits. The order
in which events take place, for example, was
thought to be exempt from this quantum
weirdness. “Thus far we assumed that
temporal order was well defined,” says Caslav
Brukner at the University of Vienna, Austria.
In a paper published in 2012, Brukner
SALLY ANSCOMBE/GETTY IMAGES

shattered this assumption. He proposed that


the temporal sequence of two events, just like
the positions of a particle or the path it took,
could also exist in superposition. That would
mean that the arrow of time could have abrupt
kinks in its trajectory.
This radical revision of time turned out to
be more than a wild imagining: it appears to
be backed up by real experiments. In 2015, full complexity of the world, merging the such as this with strong gravitational fields
Philip Walther at the University of Vienna notions of temporal superposition from would cause nearby clocks to slow. So, time
and his colleagues saw a photon pass through quantum mechanics with general relativity’s should run slower for Bob, and he would get
two gates, A and B, in an indefinite order, prediction that time seems to pass more slowly Alice’s photon before his clock shows 1200.
meaning that it was impossible to tell in stronger gravitational fields. His thought So far, so classical. But, Brukner asks, what
whether it went through gate A and then experiment imagines a scenario in which two if you could put that massive planet into a
B, or through gate B and then A – its path spaceships – operated by sworn enemies we quantum superposition state, so that it is close
was a superposition of both. shall call Alice and Bob – synchronise clocks to both Alice and Bob, and affects both of their
There are tantalising hints that a similar before readying their photon cannons to fire. clocks? In that scenario, the impossible seems
picture might hold for causality. Walther and Then, at precisely 1200, each of them fires a to happen: a superposition state is created
his team followed up the work in 2017 with a photon at the other’s ship. But there is a plot where Alice’s photon arrives at Bob’s spaceship
more complex version of the 2015 experiment twist: Bob’s spacecraft is docked near a dense before he sends his, but Bob’s photon also
that incorporated a measurement designed to planet. According to general relativity, objects reaches Alice before she sends hers.
test the causal order (see “Which came first?”, Giving an object the size of a planet the full
37). This is where it got tricky to implement. quantum treatment may seem impossible, but
“You have to build the device in such a way that “This radical revision physicists are working diligently to put ever-
until the very end of the entire process you’re bigger objects into superpositions. In 2019, for
not allowed to know or to extract which result of time appears to example, molecules made up of 2000 atoms
you got,” says Walther. If you learned the result
of the measurement during the experiment,
be backed up by real each were put into two simultaneous states.
Several labs are also working on putting small
the superposition would collapse and causal experiments” spheres, a few nanometres across, into a
relationships would resume as normal. “It superposition, says Walther, although he
was the next level of experiment to say, look says he doubts whether these will be massive
community, we really had this,” says Walther. enough to bring about the effects seen in
But the fiddliness of the design meant that Brukner’s thought experiment.
the experiment hasn’t proved totally Further weirdness awaits. In its present form
convincing. “This is really cool stuff,” says neither Alice nor Bob have the power to make a
Ciarán Gilligan-Lee at University College choice about their actions. But if they did have
London, but he sounds a note of caution. that power, then the causal orders of their
“It’s not at the stage where we’ve had choices would also be intertwined, says
conclusive or even good experimental Brukner. “If Alice would change something
evidence that it’s really out there,” he says. it would influence Bob,” he says.
In 2019, Brukner published a paper that Even as a thought experiment, adding in
took this idea a step further. He wanted to this element of choice will be tricky because
build a picture of causality that reflected the it requires one or both parties to perform a

36 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


measurement – and measurements cause them to be manipulated in a more complex a theory of quantum gravity, the mathematical
superpositions to collapse. But Brukner’s co- way. Brukner and his colleagues have shown framework they have developed could provide
author Magdalena Zych at the University of that putting circuit designs with different a useful testing ground for features that such
Queensland in Australia hopes to find a way causal orders into a superposition can make a theory might possess. “If we can understand
to extend the experiment to causal order in a specific computational task more efficient. those features really well, then maybe that
the future. After all, she says, if temporal order There are also hopes that such superpositions will guide us towards how to actually build a
can be entangled, then causal order shouldn’t could make for clearer communication quantum theory of gravity,” says Gilligan-Lee.
be far behind. channels by reducing sensitivity to noise. In fact, the idea that the causal structure of
If that thought experiment can be replicated But the real benefits could come from a new events can be in a superposition is something
in a lab, it means that Brukner’s picture of picture of the universe. For decades, quantum that physicists looking into theories of
causal order in superposition can be reconciled mechanics and general relativity have been quantum gravity already use routinely in
with general relativity. Assuming that it is irreconcilable frameworks: one describes the their work, says Francesca Vidotto at Western
possible to put a sufficiently large mass into a enormously small, the other the very big. University in Ontario, Canada. “This is really
quantum superposition, Brukner and his team And there is as yet no satisfying quantum at the core of a quantum gravity theory.”
have shown that the causal wibbly wobblyness treatment of the workings of gravity, which Those physicists expect causality to break
extends outwards from the points in space- remains the purview of general relativity. down under extreme conditions where physics
time where the object might be. “In a sense, the Combining the two into a single theory of as we currently understand it falls apart, like
time order between some events in one region quantum gravity is therefore one of the in the early moments of the big bang or inside
of space can be entangled with the time order outstanding challenges in theoretical physics. black holes, which are thought to have infinite
of events in another region of space-time,” says While the bare bones mash-up of quantum density. Recent work on quantum causality
Zych. That means that everything that Alice mechanics and general relativity used in Zych means we could reproduce such quantum
and Bob do, as well as anything else that and Brukner’s thought experiment isn’t itself gravitational effects in experiments on Earth,
happens on their ships, happens both before making them far easier to follow. “With the
and after anything done by the other. It would development of new techniques, we can think
mean that we live in a world where not only Which came first? about probing quantum gravity not only with
can we not know what order the events astrophysics, but also in our labs,” says Vidotto.
When two photons, 1 and 2 , are entangled, their
happened in, but that they fundamentally Although she says she doesn’t think we will
states are linked. In a 2017 experiment, the state of
have no set order at all. one photon was entangled with the order in which be seeing a tabletop version of the quantum
“It is simply astounding,” says Gilligan-Lee. the other passed through gates and . Placing planet thought experiment in the next few
He isn’t the only one who thinks this is big photon 1 in a superposition of both its states years, we shouldn’t rule out physicists being
news. “This is something astonishing even for effectively superposed the causal order of photon 2 . able to manage something approaching it.
those well acquainted with the bizarre features This means it passed through both gates in both “I think it’s something that will be doable at
orders at the same time
of quantum theory,” says Ana Belén Sainz at a certain point in laboratories,” she says.
the University of Gdansk, Poland. Even more exciting for some, work on
1 quantum causality is pushing the boundaries
State 1
of quantum mechanics itself. For theorists like
Rerouting time’s arrow Gilligan-Lee, quantum theory isn’t necessarily
Physicists have messed with causality before. 2 the last word in the physics of the very small.
Earlier theories have suggested that causality In order to move beyond it, however, to some
can be reversed, or that the arrow of time newer, shinier school of thought, we would
flows in the opposite direction. But quantum need to find ways of relaxing the requirements
causality goes a step further than just flipping of causality. Brukner’s work represents exactly
or shifting the order of events, allowing the kind of relaxation that would be needed.
multiple orders to essentially exist at once. “That could be one way to go beyond quantum
State 2
“We can think about A influencing B, and B theory and get a deeper theory of nature,”
influencing A, but there is also something else says Gilligan-Lee. “It’s the type of research
that cannot be understood with only these two that makes me most excited, currently, about
terms,” says Brukner. This coexistence of causal the foundations of physics.”
orders is a new quality that makes the causal Letting go of our intuitive idea of
structure in quantum theory richer, he adds. causality may seem like a radical step, but
If this new quantum property does hold it could lead to a clearer picture of how the
up, there is a chance we could use it to our universe really works. That is something to
advantage. Quantum computers can Superposition of ponder over breakfast. ❚
State 1
theoretically tackle more complicated State 2
calculations than classical ones, and work
faster. Whereas ordinary computers store Superposition of Kelly Oakes is a freelance
memory in binary bits – 0 or 1, say – which can writer based in London.
exist only in classical states, quantum bits or She tweets @kahoakes
qubits can exist in a superposition, allowing

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 37


Are you scared of sponges or seed pods?
Trypophobia – a fear of holes – seems to
be on the rise, but isn’t based on fear at
all, finds David Adam
Features

W
HEN Amanda was 12, her mother his will, which also established the prizes
took her to the doctor because she that bear his name, ends with the words:
was scared by the sight of Swiss “It is my express wish that following my
cheese. Seeded bread made her sweaty and death, my arteries be severed, and when this
anxious. And Amanda would cry out when she has been done and competent doctors have
saw pictures of empty honeycomb. One day, confirmed clear signs of death, my remains
she fled in terror from the family bathroom be incinerated in a crematorium.”
while it was being repaired after spotting its But the suffix phobia can also simply
exposed and perforated concrete walls. mean a strong dislike of something. The
The only previous clue to her discomfort term trypophobia, for instance, isn’t official.
had come from her fussy eating. Ever since It doesn’t come from the medical community
Amanda was a toddler, she had refused to or feature in the American Psychiatric
eat certain types of bread or drink raspberry Association’s Diagnostic and Statistical Manual
juice because she hated the feel of the textures of Mental Disorders, which lists mental health
in her mouth. But by the time she saw the conditions. In fact, according to one account,
doctor, Amanda couldn’t even look at the the word was coined in 2005 when a woman
seeds in a strawberry without anguish. with this phobia asked someone at the
A psychiatrist said that Amanda (not her real Oxford English Dictionary to comment on her
name) had trypophobia. There isn’t much in suggested term for it, and it spread from there.
the medical textbooks about this condition, One puzzle with trypophobia, says Lourenco,
but you can find lots of information online is that the patterned objects and pictures that
about how it is a fear of holes. You can follow so disturb people carry no obvious threat.
links to pictures of sponges and the perforated Phobias are often explained as a learned
heads of flowers that claim to test and diagnose behaviour: being bitten as a child can induce
you. But like much information on the web, a lifelong fear of dogs for instance. “But
descriptions of the condition are misleading. trypophobes are anxious about honeycomb
Trypophobia isn’t really down to holes. Or fear. and aerated chocolate and they’re not likely
It might not even be a phobia, because new to have had a bad experience with those,” she
research suggests it is triggered by disgust. says. It is true that not all phobias are learned,
Less fear and more loathing. Reliable figures and some, such as haemophobia, seem more
are hard to come by, but some researchers innate. But harmless scenarios and objects
believe we will see an uptick in cases. are still much less likely to form the basis for
“It’s something that will become more such an exaggerated fear.
pervasive and we could be forced to treat
it in a more serious way given the changes
in our environment,” says Stella Lourenco, Evolution of fear
a psychologist at Emory University in This is demonstrated by classic experiments
Atlanta, Georgia. with rhesus monkeys carried out by Michael
The urban environment is dominated by Cook and his colleagues at the University of
repetition: patterns made from tiles, bricks and Wisconsin-Madison in the 1980s. Psychologists
other materials. “Over the last century, things found that hand-reared animals had no
have got more and more stripy,” says Arnold instinctive fear of snakes – having never seen
Wilkins, a psychologist at the University one – so pictures of snakes had no effect. That
of Essex, UK. “Just a lot more unnatural in changed after they were shown video of the
terms of what we’re looking at.” Looking at anxious and fearful way that wild monkeys
some patterns, it turns out, can be bad for reacted to a snake. After they saw these images,
our brains. For people with trypophobia like the lab monkeys learned the same response
Amanda, it can be very bad indeed. and showed the same fretful behaviour when
As any pub quiz regular knows, there are they were shown the pictures again.
YVONNE RÖDER/PLAINPICTURES

dozens of phobias out there. Arachnophobia is When the psychologists tried to use the
an extreme or irrational fear of spiders, while same mechanism to make the lab monkeys
coulrophobia (clowns), cynophobia (dogs) and afraid of flowers, however, they failed. No
haemophobia (blood) also affect significant matter how many times the animals were
numbers of people. Alfred Nobel had such a shown footage faked to show wild monkeys
fear of being buried alive (taphophobia), that react with lip-smacking panic to a flower, >

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 39


the hand-reared monkeys wouldn’t buy it. trypophobia to her lab for tests. She agrees that But holes? Bread? Where does that come
Unlike with snakes, evolution had left the disgust seems to be a strong driver. “We asked from? If rhesus monkeys can’t be made
monkeys with no reason to learn to fear them what is the main emotion when you look to react badly to flowers then why do some
harmless flowers. at these holes and the majority said it was people? It comes back to patterns.
Given that, why would a 12-year-old girl from disgust and not fear,” she says. “One interesting Wilkins did some of the earliest research
Chile find strawberry seeds so threatening? thing they said is that they had the urge to on trypophobia. In 2013, he and his colleague
And why do people, say, from Europe and the destroy these patterns because they look Geoff Cole did the first academic survey of
US take such a dislike to the appearance of the so ugly. That’s atypical for phobia patients.” its prevalence and suggested that about one
seed pods of the lotus flower – a well-known Psychologists already know that some in seven people were affected – a statistic
trigger thanks to its big, black eye-like seeds – phobias can be driven by disgust rather than now routinely quoted.
which grows thousands of miles away? fear. Haemophobia is one. “A blood phobic As an expert in the kinds of visual stimuli
To learn more, Lourenco and her never says, ‘I’m afraid to look at those red that can trigger epileptic fits and migraines,
colleagues showed volunteers various fluids’,” says Schienle. Instead, the sight of Wilkins thought something similar might
images. Some were known to trigger blood seems to trigger some deep-seated be happening with trypophobia. Close
people with trypophobia – sponges and revulsion, which could have evolved as a way examination of the images that brought
honeycombs – and some were of snakes and to protect against the transmission of disease. on the disgust suggested he was correct.
spiders, known to produce a fear reaction in Some people with arachnophobia react in a Mathematical analysis of the contrast
many people. Pictures of butterflies and coffee similar way. “They say, ‘I’m not afraid that the between light and shade in a picture of lotus
beans were chosen as neutral control images. spider will do something to me’,” says Schienle. seed pods, for example, showed a particular
The scientists asked the volunteers how they “But look at the disgusting body, the disgusting visual signature. Specifically, the triggering
felt when they saw each picture. But they were eyes, look how weirdly it crawls.” That is based images had high levels of contrast repeated
more interested in studying involuntary on another subtype of disgust, of creepy- at regular, but not too frequent, intervals.
changes in the viewers’ eyes, so they used an crawlies, which also probably evolved, in this The researchers were able to accurately
eye-tracker to measure the size of their pupils. case to save us from being stung and bitten. predict which repetitive patterns would
When the volunteers saw the spiders and So, disgust at both blood and spiders could be uncomfortable to look at. They even
snakes, their pupils expanded. That is expected: have a rational, possibly evolutionary, basis. designed some of their own. “It’s usually
wide-eyed terror is well named because the holes, but you can get bumps to be horrid
sympathetic nervous system activates eye if you work at it,” says Wilkins. “The reaction
muscles that stretch the pupil open as part depends strongly on the pattern contrast.
of the so-called fight-or-flight response. “The latest viral Holes have shadows even under diffuse
In contrast, the trypophobic images didn’t illumination, enhancing their contrast.”
instil fear. Instead, they caused the pupils trypophobic Wilkins and Cole suggested why this visual
of the volunteers, who hadn’t complained signature might make someone react to an
of trypophobia before, to shrink. This is
image is the new everyday object or a non-threatening picture.
a hallmark of a different response, known
as rest-and-digest, that is driven by the
Apple iPhone, It has the same properties, they said, as patterns
and markings on the skin, scales and shells of
separate parasympathetic nervous system with a cluster of some of the world’s most poisonous and
and that makes muscles around the pupil venomous animals, including the blue-ringed
contract. The parasympathetic nervous camera lenses octopus, Brazilian wandering spider and poison
system is stimulated not by external threats,
but by the feeling of disgust.
on the back” dart frog (pictured, above). Perhaps trypophobia
was caused by the brain seeing soap bubbles
That explanation makes sense to Dylan and reacting like it was seeing a deadly marbled
Sessa, a psychology student at Florida Gulf cone snail or a deathstalker scorpion. Non-
Coast University, who experiences venomous species of the same animal type
trypophobia when he sees irregular holes. didn’t display the same patterns, they said.
“I often react as feeling uncomfortable, There are two objections to this explanation.
turning away and experiencing a skin-crawling The first is that plenty of venomous creatures
ALEX HYDE/NATURE PICTURE LIBRARY/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY

sensation. Specifically, my face feels strange, lack such patterns. The other is that, like all
experiencing pins and needles all over my ideas for modern behaviour rooted in the
cheeks, causing me to sometimes want to distant evolutionary past, it is impossible to
scratch at my own skin in response to the check. Would early humans really have
images,” he says. “I believe that the idea benefited from developing instinctive
of the root cause being disgust rather than protection against an octopus?
fear would fit the particular feeling I’ve More recently, Tom Kupfer, now at Vrije
experienced. The sensation I get is closer University in Amsterdam, the Netherlands,
to discomfort rather than fear.” and An Le, then at the University of Essex,
Last year, Anne Schienle, a clinical have refined the idea. The disgust response
psychologist at the University of Graz, in trypophobia isn’t directed at dangerous
APPLE

Austria, invited 40 people with self-diagnosed animals, they said, but nasty diseases and

40 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


Lotus seed pods
can trigger a strong
response in people
with fear of holes

“It’s usually holes,


but you can get
bumps to be
horrid if you
work at it”
EKKALUCK/GETTY IMAGES

parasites, which are known to have exerted types of holes and clusters because they could with general anxiety disorder, which makes
strong selection pressure during human pose a disease risk. In trypophobia, however, her situation more complicated.
evolution. Many of the most unpleasant this mechanism becomes exaggerated and True phobia or not, an overactive disgust
diseases – leprosy, smallpox and typhus spills over into an unnecessary overreaction response to certain patterns is a problem
among them – produce circular shapes on the to harmless patterns. for many people, says Wilkins. And that is
skin or irregular clusters of pustules. It makes Wilkins says this could make sense, something architects and designers need
sense that early humans would have benefited although he points out that patterns on to take on board. A survey in China this year
if they avoided people with those marks. human skin often show relatively low visual suggested that trypophobia is more common
contrast. Many of the trypophobic images among young city dwellers. Wilkins isn’t
that circulate on the internet are unrealistic surprised: “Most of our visual environment
How disgusting! patterns photoshopped onto skin, he says. is much more stressful now than in the past.”
To test this, Kupfer and Le showed images Schienle also questions how useful such Proving his point, on the day New Scientist
to people with self-diagnosed trypophobia deliberately provocative online images are spoke with Wilkins, the internet exploded
and to a control group of non-affected people. to gauging the true nature and scale of with the latest viral trypophobic image to
The images were divided into two batches: trypophobia. None of the 40 people with drive disgust around the world – nothing
disease-relevant, such as body parts with a self-diagnosed trypophobia she tested and more threatening than the new Apple iPhone,
rash, and disease-irrelevant, which showed spoke with in 2018 met the full clinical criteria which features a cluster of three circular
similar patterns on objects, such as drilled for phobia. They didn’t go out of their way camera lenses on the back. Adverts showed
holes in a brick wall. A third group of images to avoid such patterns and there was no the devices stacked, so exaggerating the
showed the same background object but impairment to their daily life. She now uses effect. “The devices themselves aren’t as bad
without patterns – a man’s chest with no the term trypophobia-prone to describe as the adverts,” says Wilkins.
rash, say, or a smooth wall with no holes. such individuals. “I don’t exclude that A simple solution, he says, would be for
Nobody was bothered by the pattern-free there are some people out there who have a Apple to make the surround of the lenses black,
images, while both groups found the disease- clinically relevant phobia of clusters of holes. to reduce the contrast. But then artists and
relevant pictures disturbing. As would be But it’s not really prevalent,” she says. designers deliberately use contrast to provoke.
expected, most said the problem there was Unfortunately for people with trypophobia, “They like to catch the eye,” says Wilkins.
feelings of disgust rather than fear. When there seems to be no easy fix. Fears and “And when they do, they hit the head.” ❚
it came to the disease-irrelevant patterned anxieties can be treated with drugs or
pictures, those with trypophobia found cognitive behaviour therapy; disgust
them disgusting. But so too – albeit to a responses are harder to shift. In Amanda’s David Adam is a New
lesser extent – did the others. Kupfer and case, nine weeks of medication and Scientist consultant and
Le said that the results indicate that humans therapy relieved some of her anxiety and writer based in Hertford,
have developed a rational aversion to some sleeplessness. But she was also diagnosed near London

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 41


Features

The world’s most


dangerous glacier
The secrets of a fast-melting Antarctic glacier may hold the key to
the fate of large swathes of the world. Adam Vaughan investigates

Y
“ OU are very aware that if something Thwaites is a potential climate time bomb that This is why it deserves its reputation as
goes wrong, it goes very wrong very we need to learn much more about. the world’s most dangerous glacier, says
quickly,” says Joanne Johnson, speaking This vast glacier is about the size of Great Sridhar Anandakrishnan at Pennsylvania
from her tent near Thwaites glacier in one of Britain. While it has been shrinking since the State University. “What happens at Thwaites
the remotest parts of Antarctica. At the time, early 1990s, ice loss has almost doubled over affects the whole ice sheet.”
she and three colleagues were alone, more the past 20 years. It is shedding a dizzying This glacier was an enigma for a long time.
than 1600 kilometres from the nearest 35 billion tonnes a year. On its own, its collapse It was the last part of Antarctica’s coastline to
research station. Strong winds had pounded would raise seas by around 65 centimetres. be mapped in detail, in 1940. Scientists first set
them and it had snowed heavily, making the That is worrying enough in the context of the foot there in the late 1950s, followed by a hiatus
terrain even more perilous. On the bright side, 19-cm rise in the whole of the 20th century. But until research ships visited in the 1980s and
it was mercifully mild, at -5°C. the bigger worry is that this glacier buttresses 1990s. And it wasn’t until 2004 that planes
Until now, fewer than 50 people have been the entire West Antarctic ice sheet. If Thwaites with ice-penetrating radar gave us our first
to this part of West Antarctica, less than have goes, the fear is it will trigger a wider collapse real idea of how thick it is, vital for knowing
been to space. By the end of this month, 100 of ice – enough to raise seas by a calamitous how it could respond to a changing climate.
will have visited. The reason why is simple: 3.3 metres within a few hundred years. Fortunately, our understanding of the glacier

42 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


Thwaites The latest update from the UN climate
glacier acts as science panel said sea levels could rise
a buttress for between 26 centimetres and 1.1 metres by 2100,
10 per cent depending on the carbon emissions we put
of the ice into the atmosphere. That is still a huge range,
that covers and the race is on to get a better idea of what
Antarctica will happen. We don’t even know whether
the collapse of Thwaites will take decades or
centuries. A clearer time frame for sea level rise
is crucial for governments to plan how and
when to protect low-lying coasts, such as the
UK deciding when to build a new tidal barrier
across the river Thames to protect London.
David Vaughan at BAS says the Thwaites
project must provide the real world data to
reduce the uncertainty in modelling the
future. “We know the big uncertainty resides
in the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets.
If we really want to predict sea level rise with
some sense of clarity and usefulness, we have
to nail those two things.”
To date, the difficulty of getting humans and
equipment to Thwaites has meant most of our
insight comes from remote monitoring. “We
learned everything we know about this glacier
mostly from satellite data, and some airborne
data,” says Eric Rignot at the University of
California, Irvine. That can reveal quite a lot.
He recently used planes with ice-penetrating
radar to detect a hole at the bottom of Thwaites
that would once have contained around
THE INTERNATIONAL THWAITES GLACIER COLLABORATION

14 billion tonnes of ice. New work he is due


to publish shows similar cavities appearing
under neighbouring glaciers. The findings
suggest such cavities are a common feature
of Antarctica’s retreating glaciers, he says,
and seem to be linked to the recent ice loss.
But to really understand the dramatic
changes to Thwaites glacier, we need to get
our feet wet. That’s because the end of the
glacier – where its ice leaves the land and
becomes a floating ice shelf – appears to be
melting from below due to an influx of warmer
sea water linked to climate change. At 3°C to

“It’s a climate is set to dramatically improve. The first results


are starting to trickle in from the five-year
4°C, this water would make for a chilly swim,
but such temperatures are enough to rapidly

time bomb. International Thwaites Glacier Collaboration,


a $50 million UK-US initiative that started in
melt ice as the water sloshes in underneath the
glacier. “That has a big impact, like pulling a leg

The fear is it 2018. Johnson, of the British Antarctic Survey


(BAS), is at the vanguard of this season’s
out from under a stool,” says Ted Scambos of
the US National Snow and Ice Data Center.

will trigger a research, which hopes to harvest data from


above, below and around the glacier.
This kind of “submarine” melting seems to
be exacerbated by changing ocean circulation,

wider collapse So far, most of what we know about Thwaites


has been gleaned from satellites, which raised
driven by the influx of fresh water as the glacier
melts. Karen Heywood at the University of East

of ice” the alarm over its accelerating decline. But new


observations from the field are vital if we are
Anglia in the UK is on a mission to shed more
light on this, using animals and machines.
to more accurately answer some key questions: “The hypothesis is that the warm water is
is the glacier’s retreat irreversible, how much causing or enhancing the melt rate,” she says.
will it contribute to sea level rise, and by when? “One of the questions is: how does that rate >

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 43


Stop the flow?
Given the disastrous impact if
Thwaites glacier on Antarctica
“The stakes makes a huge difference to how you model.”
We also need to know much more about
vanishes, it is no wonder people are for getting a the properties of the bedrock that the glacier
investigating ways to slow its retreat is sliding across – whether it is smooth
through geoengineering. In a 2018 clearer picture or rough, wet or dry. “They make a huge
article, researchers outlined three difference in how effectively the glacier
possibilities. One idea is to extract of the future slides,” says Anandakrishnan. Right now,
or freeze water at the glacier’s base,
to slow the sliding of ice. Others are
of Thwaites researchers modelling the glacier’s retreat
estimate the friction of the bedrock. To
to build a 300-metre-high island to couldn’t be replace those educated guesses with real data,
buttress the glacier or a 100-metre-tall Anandakrishnan and his colleagues will set
ridge called a berm to block the warmer higher” off explosives and use the resulting seismic
water causing most of the melt. waves to map the bedrock and get a better
“I don’t think it’s at all wise to vary from year to year? And why?” To find idea of the friction it is exerting on the ice.
begin doing any engineering on out, she will be attaching tags measuring Because it would be too much work to
Thwaites yet,” says John Moore at temperature and salinity to around map the entire glacier that way, the team will
Beijing Normal University, lead author 10 elephant and Weddell seals in coming survey a line down its centre. That information
of the article. The best use of resources months. Seals are handy for measuring at should improve models enough for us to
is to investigate the glacier further, different water depths around the glacier know whether the glacier’s retreat will unfold
he says, which is exactly what is being because they travel from the surface to in this century, or over the next 1000 years.
done (see main article). Nevertheless, the sea bed to feed. “How Thwaites responds is radically different
it sparked fruitful discussions in The other tools in her arsenal are ocean depending on whether we think the bed is wet
the past year with engineering gliders. These underwater vessels, piloted and sloppy or hard and dry along its length,”
groups at universities. remotely from the UK, were used earlier says Anandakrishnan.
Anders Levermann at the Potsdam last year to unearth what Heywood says are Many of the big answers about the glacier’s
Institute for Climate Impact Research in “surprising directions of the flow beneath future will come from looking closer at a zone
Germany recently proposed pumping the glacier”, with the results due out soon. known as the grounding line. This is where its
huge amounts of seawater onto the The plan is to deploy up to seven gliders in ice leaves the land to form the floating ice shelf
West Antarctic ice sheet, where it 2021 with more instruments, including devices that juts into the Amundsen Sea. The line is
would freeze and stop the sheet to measure water turbulence. Microphones retreating about 1 to 2 kilometres a year. In
from collapsing. He says we are still may also be used on them to see if anything one attempt to learn more, Johnson is seeking
at the stage of deciding whether can be learned from the noise of ice cracking. sites in this zone to drill through the ice to the
any geoengineering is a good idea. Even some initial readings, including more bedrock. But that will be just part of a concerted
“We should not get into a struggle of accurate measurements of sea-bed depth, are effort to unravel this facet of the glacier.
which idea is best before society has proving sufficient to help build better models “If we are going to really understand what
answered the question of whether of Thwaites’s future, says Heywood. “There drives the retreat and collapse of an ice sheet,
we should do something like this were areas which you think are going to be it’s all about the grounding line,” says Vaughan.
at all,“ he says. “Everything we do 500 metres deep and they’re 200 metres That is because the glacier sits in a bowl-shaped
down there is a major disturbance deep or the other way around. And that basin of rock, getting deeper inland, with the
of the local ecosystem and will cost
a tonne of money.”
While it is right that people discuss Much of the
and evaluate potential fixes – especially bedrock of the
given the dire consequences and huge West Antarctic
costs of sea level rise – David Vaughan ice sheet is below
at the British Antarctic Survey says sea level (shown
he has yet to see a proposal that isn’t in brown on this
“ruinously expensive to the global map), leaving it
economy and wouldn’t produce even vulnerable to
more carbon dioxide”. seawater intrusion
Sridhar Anandakrishnan at
Pennsylvania State University
condemns talk of geoengineering
NASA/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY

fixes, too, because Antarctica is


so remote and inhospitable. “It’s a
non-starter.” Much easier, he says,
would be action on climate change to
keep the ocean from warming more.

44 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


Southern ice
Antarctica is covered by ice with an average thickness of 2.2 kilometres. The West Antarctic ice sheet
contains around 10 per cent of the continent’s frozen water

Transantarctic SOUTH POLE


Ice shelves mountains
B
4000

Height/depth (metres)
WEST ANTARCTIC EAST ANTARCTIC
SOUTH 2000 ICE SHEET ICE SHEET
POLE
THWAITES EAST ANTARCTIC
GLACIER ICE SHEET
SEA LEVEL
A B
AMUNDSEN
SEA A Transantarctic
mountains
WEST ANTARCTIC -2000 BEDROCK
ICE SHEET
0 1000 2000 3000 4000
SOURCE: ANTARCTICGLACIERS.ORG, BEDMAP2 DATASET Distance (kilometres)

front of the ice stabilised by sitting on the time, to see what proxies for past climates, The goal of all this work is to help people
basin’s rim. If the grounding line moves back things such as sediment that hold a record of like Helene Seroussi. Based at NASA’s Jet
much further, certain scientists think that conditions at the time, tell us about the role Propulsion Laboratory in California, she
its position on a downward slope will prove warmer water has played in the glacier’s builds computer models that attempt to
unstable, rapidly speeding up ice loss and history. In October 2019, a team of scientists recreate the past changes we have seen at
the line’s retreat. Some researchers say this met in Oregon to share out cores of sediment Thwaites in order to better project what
irreversible trend has begun. Others think it taken earlier that year from the sea floor close might happen. These simulations have been
is too early to say. to where the glacier ice meets the ocean. The improving but there is still a way to go, says
aim is to find out what chemical clues are held Seroussi. For her, the key will be getting more
by the fossils it contains. Previous cores taken observations on what is happening in the
Doomsday scenarios from the Amundsen Sea suggest that warmer ocean, and the interaction between the ocean
To find out more, scientists will soon be water getting under the ice shelf at the glacier’s and the ice. Having more readings also opens
dodging crevasses on Thwaites to deploy drills end led to its retreat around 10,000 years ago. up the possibility of using artificial intelligence
that use hot water to tunnel down through Between then and last century, however, little to help predict the fate of Thwaites. But we
the ice and then place sensors either side of the changed – until the rapid shift began in the late need more data to go down that road, she says.
grounding line. The aim is to watch ice crossing 20th century. The new cores are specifically The stakes for getting a clearer picture
the line over the next two years to see how fast focused on Thwaites and should date back a of the future of Thwaites couldn’t be higher.
the glacier’s underside is moving. few thousand years, helping us understand The scientists there now should return with
Another factor in the glacier’s fate could how the glacier may change in the future, a treasure trove of information that will be
be the tall coastal ice cliffs that will form if the hopes BAS geophysicist Rob Larter. “From critical for getting a better handle on sea
ice shelf is lost sometime in the future. Ice the sediment cores, we’re trying to determine level rise. “If we fail, and our sea level rise
can only support a cliff of around 100 metres, the history of the warm water influx onto the projections [for 2100] remain between
so ice could slump off taller faces, exposing shelf, which everybody recognises is the main 30 cm and a little over a metre, then that’s
an even taller and less stable cliff behind. driver of the retreat.” not a good job,” says Vaughan.
“You could get into a runaway situation,” says Realistically, the researchers won’t make the
Scambos. Researchers trying to model this uncertainty disappear overnight – but it is still
effect – known as marine ice cliff instability – useful to reduce it, he says. For those managing
found it would lead to doomsday scenarios defences on the coastlines on which a growing
where the West Antarctic ice sheet collapses Drowning cities number of the world’s people live, it could be
next century an order of magnitude faster than the early warning alarm that means cities such
previous estimates. But the runaway impact If the West Antarctic ice as New York, Shanghai and London adapt
of ice cliffs is still just an idea – we have never sheet collapses, it will cause quickly enough to have a future. ❚
seen it happen. It is by no means certain to take sea levels to rise by 3.3 metres,
place either. Research led by Tamsin Edwards threatening many major cities
of King’s College London last year suggests it including Hong Kong, Miami, Adam Vaughan is chief
may be less likely than we thought. New York, Shanghai, Osaka, reporter at New Scientist
Another key avenue to better understand Kolkata, Dhaka, Rio de Janeiro,
what will happen to Thwaites is to go back in The Hague, and London.

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 45


Recruitment Intelligence Community Postdoctoral
Research Program Fellowship Program
The Intelligence Community (IC) Postdoctoral Research Fellowship
Program offers scientists and engineers from a wide variety of
disciplines unique opportunities to conduct research in a wide range of
topics relevant to the Intelligence Community. The research is conducted
by the Postdocs, while working in partnership with a Research Advisor
and collaborating with an advisor from the Intelligence Community.

newscientistjobs.com In partnership with the Research Advisor, the Postdoc composes and
submits a technical proposal that responds to a research opportunity
Recruitment advertising identified at:
https://orise.orau.gov/icpostdoc/current-opportunities.html
Tel +1 617-283-3213
Email nssales@newscientist.com Award Details:
• Annual stipends range from $75,000 to
$79,000, depending on research location
• Annual travel budget of up to $6,000
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to extend for a third year
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laboratory budget of up to $5,000
• Research Advisors receive a $10,000 stipend
and an annual travel budget of up to $2,000

Postdoc Eligibility:
U. S. citizenship required
Ph.D. received within 5 years of the application deadline
To learn more and to apply, please visit
https://orise.orau.gov/icpostdoc/
Applications Accepted January 6 - February 28, 2020

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Sign up, create your own job alerts
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46 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020 newscientistjobs.com


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Postdoctoral Fellows – Translational
Cancer Research The Clinical Research Medical Director will be responsible
Postdoctoral positions are available immediately to for leading and expanding the Clinical Research Institute
investigate mechanisms of target organ metastatic at St. Elizabeth Healthcare.
VSHFL¿FLW\QRWDEO\WREUDLQ6SHFL¿FDOO\XQLTXHVFLHQWL¿F Requirements:
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home to a Family Medicine Residency Program and, in
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newscientistjobs.com 18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 47


10th Anniversary

Great minds come together at Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany


What’s in it for me? How it works:
If you are a post graduate student with an interest in During a one-week Summer Camp, 50 selected
the pharmaceutical and chemical industry, the students will attend in-depth presentations about
Innovation Cup is your chance to gain in-depth the pharmaceutical and chemical industry given by
knowledge about research and development, to net- researchers and managers at Merck KGaA, Darmstadt,
work with top students from around the world and Germany. The participants will be divided into teams,
-
to build a business case together with experienced work together to develop a business plan and present
professionals. it to a grand jury, who will award the Innovation Cup
for the best plan along with a cash prize of EUR 20,000
Who can apply: plus EUR 5,000 for the runner-up.
Advanced students and post docs in the fields of life
science, material science, data science and business A conference with alumni of previous Innovation Cup
administration from all over the world can apply: editions will be held on the first day of the Summer
• Sciences: Post graduate students on their way Camp.
towards a PhD in biology, medicine, biotech,
bioinformatics, data sciences, biochemistry, Further information about the program and how to
chemistry, pharmacy, physics or engineering. apply online from November 1, 2019, until January
• Business: Advanced MBA students and re- 31, 2020:
cent MBA graduates with an interest in the http://innovationcup.emdgroup.com
pharmaceutical and chemical business and a
science background. Location:
The Innovation Cup will comprise the following team Near Frankfurt, Germany, June 20–26, 2020.
topics: oncology, immuno-oncology, autoimmunity, Travel, accommodation and food expenses will be
drug discovery technologies, digitalization, paid by Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany.
electroceuticals, lithography.

Merck KGaA
Darmstadt, Germany
Freelance Editors –
Medicine, Life Sciences, and Physical Sciences
Cactus Communications is a leading provider of scientific communication services to more than 198,000 clients across
116 countries.

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· Excellent editing skills and attention to detail (prior editing experience would be great).

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· Edit manuscripts such that the final text is in standard scientific English and is free of unclear or unidiomatic
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Please access this link: http://bit.ly/2P9Bpf7


Do mention ‘New Scientist’.
The back pages
Puzzles Feedback Twisteddoodles Almost the last word The Q&A
Quick crossword, Music for Mars and for New Scientist Surveillance in lorries Kathryn Sullivan,
an unusual equation emoji errors: the A cartoonist’s take and quitting smoking the first US woman
and the quiz p52 week in weird p53 on the world p53 late in life p54 to walk in space p56

Science of cooking Week 3

Fried potato perfection


Wonderfully crispy fries will be yours if you follow some
simple steps, says Sam Wong

CRISPINESS is one of food’s most


prized properties, but why do we
find it so appealing? It might be
because it often arises when raw
ingredients become delicious and
nutritious cooked food. Charles
Spence at the University of Oxford
also speculates that we have
learned to associate crispiness
Sam Wong is a digital reporter with high-fat foods, which we
at New Scientist. Follow him find particularly rewarding.
@samwong1 The ultimate crispy and
rewarding food has to be the chip.
To be clear, I mean the hot, fried
What you need

JAMES WINSPEAR
sticks of potato, not the thin discs,
Cooking oil which are called crisps in the UK.
Potatoes When raw chips go into hot
Wok or large pan oil, water inside them evaporates.
Thermometer Some water vapour escapes,
forming bubbles in the oil. Below Science of cooking online
the surface, the rest of the water All projects are posted at
For next week vapour is trapped, steaming the newscientist.com/cooking Email: cooking@newscientist.com
Soya beans inside of the chip to cook it.
Cheesecloth Meanwhile, starch starts
Magnesium salts to create the chip’s crispy crust. reaches 150°C for the first fry. Up to This method works a treat
Container with holes Potato cells are packed with 200°C is good for the second fry to for thick-cut chips, but thin ones
for drainage starch granules, which swell get maximum crispiness. disintegrate with 20 minutes of
and burst during cooking. The The double fry gives pleasingly boiling. For perfect skinny fries,
starch molecules then dissolve crisp results, but some go further Kenji Lopez-Alt boils them for
and form a gel, which hardens in search of perfection. I put two 10 minutes in water acidified with
to make the crust. But there is chefs’ methods to the test. For vinegar (about 20 millilitres per
Next in the series a limit to how thick this will get his famous triple-cooked chips, litre of water) before double-frying.
1 Caramelising onions during one spell in the fryer. Heston Blumenthal boils the chips This strengthens their pectin, a
2 Making cheese This is why chips tend to be for 20 to 30 minutes before frying, sugar that glues the potato cells
3 Science of crispiness fried twice. Some of the gelatinised so they are almost falling apart. together, giving a firmer structure.
4 Tofu and Sichuan starch recrystallises after the first This creates fluffy edges and I found Blumenthal’s chips, with
pepper fry, making the crust more robust. plenty of gelatinised starch for the their spectacularly hard edges, the
Make bean curd for On the second fry, more starch crust. Before and after the first fry, most satisfying, and well worth
Chinese New Year granules burst, creating more the chips are put into a dehydrator the effort. If you are short of time,
5 Gravlax and curing gel and a thicker crust. to dry out. To get similar results at consider an alternative approach.
6 Tempering chocolate For frying at home, a wok is the home, Blumenthal recommends In a now famous experiment,
7 Umami and flavour ideal vessel: its flared edge makes an hour or so in the freezer. Ice Spence played crunchy sounds
8 Perfect pancakes it less messy, easier to reach into crystals damage the potato cells to crisp-eating volunteers through
9 Kimchi and fermentation and less likely to boil over. Use a and make it easier for steam to headphones – making the crisps
10 Sourdough bread thermometer to make sure the oil escape during frying. seem 15 per cent crunchier.  ❚

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 51


The back pages Puzzles

Quick crossword #49 Set by Richard Smyth Quick quiz #35 Puzzle set by Rob Eastaway
1 Twilight is divided into three
        phases: civil twilight, where #42 The card conundrum
 there is enough light to see
what you are doing; nautical Carl scribbled down an equation that
twilight, where brighter stars contained only numbers and the letter x
   are visible for navigation; and on a scrap of paper and left it on a table.
a third phase, known as what?
X (1—X)
  2 Adding roads to a congested = 1 —
traffic network can raise overall
journey times. Whose paradox,
6 8
      first expressed in 1968, is this? Bob found the card and realised that
this was just a straightforward algebra
3 Oddly sturdy bone structures
   
problem. “I’ve found the solution,” he
in 375-million-year-old
announced a minute later, dropping the
Tiktaalik fossils found in Arctic
card back on the table and leaving the
Canada seem to show what
    room. Amy overheard him, walked over
giant evolutionary leap?
and picked up the card. After a while she
4 In what situation would you announced: “That’s strange, I’ve found

be grateful for the enzyme TWO solutions.”
thrombin polymerising
fibrinogen to form fibrin? Even stranger, Amy’s solutions were
both different to Bob’s. What were the
ACROSS 5 What happened to 67P/ solutions that Bob and Amy found?
9 Motion of particles in a fluid 21 Edzard ___ , a former Churyumov–Gerasimenko
under the influence of an professor of on 12 November 2014? Answer next week
electric field (15) complementary
10 PSR B1257+12 and PSR medicine (5) Answers below
B1919+21, say (7) 23 Branch of mathematical
#41 Hen party dorm
12 Automobile logic (3,6) Cryptic Solution
inspection (3,4) 25 Toxic plant also called
Crossword #22
13 Curvature of the spine (9) monkshood (7) There was a 50 per cent chance that Janice
14 1,2,3-trinitroxypropane (5) 26 Fine-grained volcanic
Answers would end up in her own bed. Anyone who
15 Join metal to metal using rock (7) ACROSS 7 Greasy, 8 Laical, got back and found their bed was occupied,
electricity (3,4) 29 Specialist in glands, 9 Beta, 10 Hygienic, 11 Equinox, picked another bed at random. Two of the
18 Boris ___ , Russian hormones, etc (15) 13 Ideal, 15 Mange, 17 Catfish, unoccupied beds were Amy’s and Janice’s,
chess grandmaster (7) 20 Prenatal, 21 SETI, and there was an equal chance of picking
23 Enamel, 24 Poison
DOWN 1/6 Free radicals, either one. If Amy’s bed was taken at any
DOWN 2 Wasabi, 3 Typhoon, 4 Sligo, point, then Janice would get her own bed,
1 Electronic alert (4) 16 Supersonic airliner (8) 5 Gilead, 12 Quadrant, otherwise Janice would end up missing out.
2 Pinniped (4) 17 Reading disorder (8) 14 Gallops, 16 Genome,
18 Fascia, 19 Stalk, 22 Troy
3 Soapstone (8) 19 Point in a planet’s orbit at So the answer to what sounds like a difficult
4 Data software; intellect (6) which it is furthest from probability problem is simply a half. The
5 Dorothy Hodgkin and the sun (8) Quick quiz #35 ninth friend, Iona, would get her bed if
Marie Curie, say (8) 20 Topography formed somebody picked either Amy’s or Janice’s
Answers
6 p+ (6) by the dissolution of bed before Iona got back. Since there were
mission touched down
7 Fibrous mineral (8) soluble rocks (5) European Space Agency’s Rosetta more ways in which Iona could end up with
8 Uniformity in all 22 Muscle contraction; tic (6) when the Philae lander from the her own bed, she was more likely to get her
orientations (8) 24 Polytetrafluoroethylene (6) be landed on by a human probe, bed than Janice.
11 Break in the skin or 27 Eye component; 5 It became the first comet to
of a blood clot forming
other membrane (5) mantis genus (4) skin; this describes the process
15 Means, medians, 28 Prefix meaning 4 In the event of a cut to your
modes (8) “outside” (4) preparing to walk on land
3 Fish growing four legs and
Dietrich Braess
the German mathematician
2 Braess’s paradox, named after
may still impede observations Our crosswords are
below the horizon and residual light now solvable online
Answers and the next cryptic crossword next week. sun is between 12 and 18 degrees
Available at
1 Astronomical twilight, where the
newscientist.com/crosswords

52 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


The back pages Feedback

Mars bars Jill Tarter dubs an inhabitant of


this planet an “Earthling”. Reader
Twisteddoodles for New Scientist
Plans to establish human habitation Alan Wells of Brighton, UK, Earth,
on Mars have gained momentum in objects. “I believe ‘Earthling’ is
recent years, thanks to the likes of unsuitable, not only as it is a
Elon Musk. But what might inspire diminutive, but also because of
an unenthusiastic public to move its connotations in pulp sci-fi,”
to an airless desert hundreds of he writes. Terran is a possible
millions of kilometres away? alternative, but hardly attractive,
Perhaps some stirring music. he says, and Gaian already refers
That seems to be the hope to adherents of the Gaianist
of the Mars Society, a “space movement. So what should we
advocacy organization dedicated call ourselves when we make
to the human exploration and contact with alien life?
settlement of the planet Mars”,
which commissioned opera singer
Doesn’t cut it
Oscar Castellino to write an anthem
for the world next door. “What Pending answers to such weighty
successful movement has ever questions, we turn to the almost
not had an anthem?” asked Robert equally important topic of emoji
Zubrin, the society’s president, in pedantry. We noted aberrations
a BBC News report – presumably in the design of certain symbols
rhetorically. Feedback agrees. representing animals back in 2018:
This is why we break into song a lobster two legs shy of a full set
when we want to void our bowels. here, an ant with a double-jointed
“Rise to Mars, men and women / thorax there. We are glad to report
Dare to dream, dare to strive,” sings that these have since been
Castellino, to stirring strains that corrected, but meticulous analysis
bear more than a passing published on the website Github
resemblance to La Marseillaise. has brought new anomalies to light. connected to the internet, that Grieve at the organisation
“Build a home for our children / This time, it’s scissors. The showerheads don’t have to act Compassion in Dying. John was
Make this desert come alive.” relevant emoji usually depicts an as Alexa smart speakers as well also one of three correspondents
Here we remain unconvinced. The open pair viewed from an angle as dispensing water. But that to tell us that Keith Weed has been
style brings to mind imperialistic parallel to the axis of the hinge. time hasn’t come yet. If anyone nominated as the next president of
European dirges of centuries past, Rotating part of the image allows needs us, we will be attaching the UK Royal Horticultural Society.
and may struggle to resonate with us to see if the tips of the scissors voice-controlled wheels to all What is the opposite of
audiences in 2020. But what other will close when the handles collide our furniture, in case we need nominative determinism, though –
Red Planet-themed anthems might with each other. Shockingly, it to tell our wardrobe to move. nominative free will? A chance for
be out there? Mars from The Planets seems tech giants such as Google us to turn things around in 2020
by Gustav Holst has no words. and Apple have managed to design might be to collect more examples
Old name game
The songs of Jeff Wayne’s Musical scissors that are almost incapable of people who have jumped over
Version of The War of the Worlds of cutting anything. Ah, for some What a supportive bunch you are. the shadow of their name. We have
have too many. We are currently old-school tech expertise… We pledged that 2020 would be the previously noted Sarah Dry, author
inclined towards Life on Mars? year we finally broke our addiction of Waters of the World, police chief
by the incomparable David Bowie. to nominative determinism. Many, Danielle Outlaw and the calm,
The tune is soaring and the lyrics Internet of many things many of you responded to our self-controlled barrister David
hypoxic-environment-grade Mind you, Big Tech has had pledge by informing us of yet more Pannick (12 October 2019).
impenetrable. Plus, with his bigger things on its mind, cases of exceptionally aptly named Our new favourite, sent to us by
powder-blue suit and orange judging by some of the gadgets people. Ah well, ‘tis mid-January: Larry Stoter, is the microscopist
mullet, Bowie provides the on display at CES, the world’s the season for breaking resolutions. at McMaster University in Canada
perfect template of alien chic for largest technology fair that was Our mumbled thanks, therefore, who used a beam of charged
the wannabe Martian. Further held in Las Vegas, Nevada, last to John Jones and Robert Anker, gallium ions to etch what is perhaps
left-field suggestions are welcome. week. These included smart who both spotted a letter in our the world’s smallest gingerbread
toothbrushes, smart rubbish 14 December issue from Usha house: Travis Casagrande.  ❚
New name game bins and smart litter trays.
Because who doesn’t need to
We may wish to escape to Martian stream their cat defecating live Got a story for Feedback?
climes to avoid a looming spat on to their smartphone? Send it to New Scientist, 25 Bedford Street,
Earth. In a New Scientist interview At some point, we may decide London WC2E 9ES or you can email us at
on 4 January (p 56), SETI researcher that not every object needs to be feedback@newscientist.com

18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 53


The back pages Almost the last word

Why do cold temperatures


Camera precaution
stop our fingers from
In light of the recent tragic deaths working effectively?
of 39 people whose bodies were
found in a refrigerated lorry in few months, easier breathing,
Essex, UK, is there any technology reduced risk of lung inflammation
that could help stop this and fewer, milder colds.
happening? Could truck companies Maybe just as importantly, her
install cameras to make sure there sense of smell will improve after
is no one inside, for instance? a few months. This will lead to

LIBBY WELCH/ALAMY STOCK PHOTO


better nutrition, as a weakened
Mike Clarke sense of smell and taste makes it
Castle Hedingham, Essex, UK less appealing to eat a healthy diet.
The easiest way to detect people
in a confined space is to monitor Prabhat Jha
carbon dioxide. Any concentration Centre for Global Health Research,
above the normal atmospheric St Michael’s Hospital,
level of about 400 parts per Toronto, Canada
million would indicate that This week’s new questions In our 2013 study, among a
someone or something is representative group of US adults,
respiring inside. A person typically Fumbling fingers Given that the muscles that work our those who quit smoking by age 40
breathes out about 24 litres an fingers are in our forearms, why do we fumble when we have avoided 90 per cent of the risks of
hour of CO2, so even one person cold, bare hands, but warm, clothed arms? Adrian Bowyer, continuing to smoke, gaining back
in a standard empty shipping Foxham, Wiltshire, UK about nine years of life. Quitting by
container would increase the 50 gained back six years, and doing
CO2 concentration by around Room for improvement When giving negative feedback, is it so by 60 reclaimed four years. We
500 ppm within an hour. better to start with the admonition and end with a compliment, didn’t study those of older ages,
In a part-filled container, this or vice versa? Trudy Rancessa, Evelith, Shropshire, UK but it is logical to assume that the
would happen sooner. Even with benefits continue, albeit at modest
a slight draught, it should be levels. It is never too late to quit.
possible to detect a person after to scan for body heat inside trucks. Kicking the habit
a couple of hours. The problem This can scan around 250 vehicles Tim Lewis
is that anyone smuggling people per hour while they are moving. My 72-year-old mother gave up Consultant chest physician
would just disable any detectors, Determined migrants will smoking at the beginning of the Narberth, Pembrokeshire, UK
unless a sealed data logger was always look to outwit any system, year. Are there any health benefits There is a small but definite
required to provide a history. and smuggling or trafficking is of quitting so late in life? reduction in the risk of stroke
hard to detect unless all vehicles or cardiac event within weeks
Chris Daniel are routinely scanned. But, used Steve Gisselbrecht of giving up smoking, but it is
Glan Conwy, Clywd, UK well, such systems can save lives. Boston, Massachusetts, US 10 years before lung cancer risk
Several technologies are already Absolutely. She will notice starts to fall. Improvement in
available, such as cameras and CO2 Hillary J. Shaw increased coughing in the first few symptoms of asthma and chronic
sensors. Acoustic sensors placed Newport, Shropshire, UK months, adding to the difficulty bronchitis may also begin in days
against a metal wall, say of a The Victorians had an answer. of quitting (I speak from personal or weeks. Financial and odour
shipping container, can detect a They feared being wrongly experience). Smoking suppresses benefits are immediate.
movement on the other side as declared dead and waking up the activity of the cilia, tiny hairs
small as a few millimetres, such as buried alive, so had “safety on the cells that line your airway Daelyn Nicholls
a person breathing. X-ray scanners coffins” with an alarm – usually a and help move the mucus that Finley, New South Wales, Australia
have been used on the US-Mexico bell, maybe electric – for someone coats it, together with any The best health benefit is that if
border and at English Channel to sound in this event. Since particles it traps, towards your she quits now and lives 10 more
ports, although their use to detect nobody might be watching a gut for disposal. The initial uptick years, she will save a considerable
people on the French side has camera, or hear an alarm in a noisy in mucosal activity causes more legacy for any grandchildren she
been banned by the authorities as lorry, how about a red flashing coughing, but also increased may have. That has to be a lovely
the law requires written consent alarm light fitted outside the lorry, removal of foreign particles feeling and we all know good
from anyone before they are with a switch inside. It would all from the lungs, and, within a health needs happiness! ❚
subjected to radiation. be powered by the electricity that
But many of these methods are cools the freezer, with a back-up
time-consuming and impractical battery. This technology, which Want to send us a question or answer?
for use at busy ports. More should be cheap, could also save Email us at lastword@newscientist.com
recently, a thermal imaging lives when children get shut in Questions should be about everyday science phenomena
technique has been designed discarded domestic fridges. Full terms and conditions at newscientist.com/lw-terms

54 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


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18 January 2020 | New Scientist | 55


The back pages Q&A
Your book is called Handprints on
Hubble. Why?
The astronauts who used the tools we developed
for Hubble left visible handprints on the telescope’s
outer skin as they moved during their spacewalks.
Our work was so indispensable to those spacewalks
that you could say we left metaphorical handprints.

If you could send a message back to


yourself as a kid, what would you say?
Passion and purpose are better compass needles
for life than job titles. Know yourself, build on your
strengths and work to shore up your weaknesses.
Repairing the Hubble Space Telescope People will throw their opinions at you, but nobody
was a great achievement – but nothing gets to tell you what your interests are.
is more exciting than flying in space,
If you could have a long conversation with any
says astronaut and oceanographer scientist, living or dead, who would it be?
Kathryn Sullivan Leonardo da Vinci. He painted the Mona Lisa
and The Last Supper, made substantial scientific
discoveries and conceived of many things –
helicopters, parachutes, adding machines –
As a child, what did you want to do long before they were feasible. I’d love to get
when you grew up? even a glimpse of how his mind worked.
I wanted to explore, like the scientists, aquanauts
and astronauts I read about in books and magazines What scientific development do you hope
and saw on television. I was fascinated by how to see in your lifetime?
things worked, starting with my earliest toys. Astronaut bootprints on Mars and positive
confirmation of earlier life there.
Explain your career in one easy paragraph.
I’ve worked in several fields, from oceanography to
meteorology and science to engineering, and in Do you have an unexpected hobby, and
universities, civilian and military government if so, please will you tell us about it?
agencies, non-profits and corporations. I’ve I love to roam around the skies in a two-seater
explored from the deep sea to outer space, worked Super Decathlon airplane.
with amazing machinery to help improve our
understanding of this beautiful planet and learned
how to bring people together to solve big challenges. What’s the best thing you’ve read or seen in
the past 12 months?
Did you have to overcome any particular Handprints on Hubble, of course! I also loved James
challenges to get where you are today? Donovan’s Shoot for the Moon about the Apollo
When I started out, women in geology field camps missions and The Perfectionists, a history of
or aboard research ships were still considered precision engineering by Simon Winchester.
unwelcome oddities, though this was breaking
down. I was lucky to have a couple of professors How useful will your skills be after
early on who saw my potential and buoyed my the apocalypse?
confidence. I had to develop my own way of Dealing with the unexpected, figuring out how “Passion and
handling scepticism and sometimes outright
opposition: with professionalism, technical
things work and coming up with solutions that
don’t yet exist is exactly what scientists and
purpose are
performance, humour and a stubborn refusal to engineers do for a living. Sure, they will be useful. better compass
accept someone else’s worry as my problem to solve.
OK, one last thing: tell us something that will needles for life
What’s the most exciting thing you’ve blow our minds…
done in your career? I often dream in zero G.
than job titles”
Flying in space. Nothing else comes close.
Kathryn Sullivan flew on three space shuttle missions
What achievement are you most proud of? and in 1984 became the first US woman to walk in
The work I did with a small band of engineers to space. She later headed the US National Oceanic
devise tools and methods to repair and upgrade the and Atmospheric Administration. Her new book
Hubble Space Telescope. Hubble is now nearing is Handprints on Hubble: An astronaut’s story of
its 30th anniversary in orbit and is a vastly better invention (MIT Press)
instrument than when we deployed it back in 1990. NASA; PHILIP BIRD / ALAMY STOCK PHOTO

56 | New Scientist | 18 January 2020


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