FAKULTAS TEKNOLOGI INDUSTRI

PROGRAM STUDI TEKNIK MESIN

STATISTIK INDUSTRI (TM 4525) UJIAN TENGAH SEMESTER
Hari/Tgl: Kamis/14 Oktober 2021 Sifat Ujian: Terbuka
Pukul: 13.30-15.30 Dosen: Dr. Didik Wahjudi, M.Sc., M.Eng.

1. The following data are the number of cars passing a point on a highway per minute:

10, 12, 11, 19, 22, 21, 23, 22, 24, 25, 23, 21, 28, 26, 27, 27, 29, 26, 22, 28, 30, 32, 25, 37, 34, 35, 62.
Find the (a) 80th percentile, (b) mean, (c) standard deviation, and (d) variance.

2. An investment analyst collects data on stocks and notes whether or not dividends were paid and whether
or not the stocks increased in price over a given period. Data are presented in the following table.
Price Increase No Price Increase Total
Dividends paid 34 78 112
No dividends paid 85 49 134
Total 119 127 246
a. If a stock is selected at random out of the analyst’s list of 246 stocks, what is the probability that it
increased in price?
b. If a stock is selected at random, what is the probability that it paid dividends?
c. If a stock is randomly selected, what is the probability that it both increased in price and paid
dividends?
d. What is the probability that a randomly selected stock neither paid dividends nor increased in price?
e. Given that a stock increased in price, what is the probability that it also paid dividends?

3. An oil explorer orders seismic tests to determine whether oil is likely to be found in a certain drilling
area. The seismic tests have a known reliability: When oil does exist in the testing area, the test will
indicate so 85% of the time; when oil does not exist in the test area, 10% of the time the test will
erroneously indicate that it does exist. The explorer believes that the probability of existence of an oil
deposit in the test area is 0.4. If a test is conducted and indicates the presence of oil, what is the
probability that an oil deposit really exists?

4. An MBA graduate is applying for nine jobs. She believes that she has in each of the nine cases a constant
and independent 0.45 probability of getting an offer.
a. What is the probability that she will have at least three offers?
b. If she wants to be 95% confident of having at least three offers, how many more jobs should she apply
for? (Assume each of these additional applications will also have the same probability of success.)
c. If there are no more than the original nine jobs that she can apply for, what value of probability of
success would give her 95% confidence of at least three offers?

5. The demand for high-grade gasoline at a service station is normally distributed with mean 27,009 gallons
per day and standard deviation 4,530. Find two values that will give a symmetric 0.98 probability
interval for the amount of high-grade gasoline demanded daily.

“Karena Tuhanlah yang memberikan hikmat, dari mulut-Nya datang pengetahuan dan kepandaian.”(Amsal 2:6)

--------GOOD LUCK, GOD BLESS YOU--------

Capain Pembelajaran:
1. [CPMK-1.1] 2. [CPMK-1.1, CPMK-3.1]
3. [CPMK-1.1, CPMK-3.1] 4. [CPMK-1.1, CPMK-3.1]
5. [CPMK-1.1, CPMK-3.1]