Professional Documents
Culture Documents
One Word
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-21/how-an-energy-expert-triggered-vladimir-putin-with-one-word
1/4
it’s so interesting, the role of obsessed individuals in economic
change -- named George P. Mitchell, who was convinced if you just
worked somehow, even though the textbooks said it was impossible,
you could make it work. And for 20 years, 25 years people scoffed,
but then it did work. And even his own company, people were telling
him not to spend money on it. But if he hadn’t spent that money, I’m
not sure that we would’ve been where we were.
2/4
that’s what we’re seeing today. And secondly, this would really
augment America’s position in the world and give it a kind of
flexibility it didn’t have when it was importing 60% of its oil.
That’s the question that’s really weighing now because in terms of oil,
there’s enough crude oil in the world. You have to move it around,
but between strategic stocks, between demand being down in China,
you can manage that. When you get into products like diesel, it gets
3/4
harder. And then you’re going to the hardest thing with natural gas,
and that is exactly as you go into the winter. So the big question now
is can they fill storage so that they can get through the winter, and,
by the way, not only stay warm, but keep industry operating. And I
think we can say that Putin made a series of decisions which kind of
were irrational -- that his army was really good, that Ukraine
wouldn’t be able to resist, that the US had just gone through getting
out of Afghanistan and was deeply divided, that Europe was so
dependent on his energy that they would say, ‘OK, this is terrible, but
life goes on.’ And none of that happened. But I think he’s still
calculating. And he said that ultimately this energy disruption -- and
we are in a huge disruption of energy markets -- would be such a big
threat to the European economy that the coalition that now exists
would fall apart. I think that’s his wager right now. And the Achilles
heel is what you pointed to: what happens as Europe goes into the
fall and winter. And we’ve had at least one German, very prominent
industrialist, who said, ‘This is too dangerous for the European
economy. We should negotiate something with Putin.’
4/4