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The total availability of DAP during Rabi 2021-22 would be around 1,086 thousand tonnes, which
comprises of 356 thousand tonnes of imported supply, 377 thousand tonnes of domestic production
and 353 thousand tonnes of opening stock. The offtake of DAP is estimated around 1,003 thousand
tonnes. Situation regarding DAP looks satisfactory as other phosphate fertilizers like NP, MAP,
SSP and NPKs will also be available in the market to meet phosphate demand.
4. PRICE TREND
Domestic: Increase in the prices of all fertilizer products was observed during October,
2021compared with previous month. The prices of urea (sona), urea (other) and CAN increased by
2.5, 1.3 and 0.2 per cent, respectively over September 2021. The prices of DAP, NP, SSP (G), SOP
and NPKs also increased by 6.6, 6.4, 5.4, 10.8 and 5.2 per cent, respectively.
International: Fob bulk China urea price was quoted at US $ 615-635/t against 395-500/t of
previous month. Middle East bulk urea was set at US $ 660-749/t. DAP price during October 2021
was referred at US $ 626-670/t fob bulk in Australia, and US $ 635-638/t in China market. MAP
and TSP prices remained at the level of US $ 689-760 and 595-690/t, respectively. Ex-Karachi
price of urea was in the range of Rs. 7029-8467 per 50 kg bag while that of DAP was in the range
of Rs. 6349-6846 per 50 kg bag during October, 2021.
1. INTRODUCTION
The report presents the product and nutrient-wise fertilizer supply/demand situation in respect of
urea and DAP during October 2021, and brief outlook for Rabi season 2021-22. It also provides
average domestic retail prices and international fertilizer prices of the major products; namely
urea, DAP, NP, SSP, CAN and SOP.
Urea offtake during October, 2021 was 514 thousand tonnes which recorded an increase of 24.4
per cent over October, 2020. DAP offtake was 342 thousand tonnes which increased by 49.2 per
cent over October, 2020 (Table 1). This increase in Urea and DAP offtake is due to uncertainty in
the supply and upward trend of prices. Total nutrient offtake during October 2021 was about 563
thousand nutrient tonnes which increased by 45.4 per cent over same timeframe of 2020. Nitrogen
offtake increased by 39.3 per cent while phosphate offtake increased by 59.5 per cent. Potash
offtake increased by 23.7 per cent over October 2020.
Table 1. Fertilizer offtake during October 2021 compared with previous years
(‘000 tonnes)
Nutrient/ October October October October October Per cent change in
Product 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2021 over 2020
Nitrogen 272 330 123 256 356 39.3
Phosphate 203 258 141 123 197 59.5
Potash 7.8 6.4 5.0 8.1 10.1 23.7
Total 483 594 269 387 563 45.4
Urea 375 465 121 413 514 24.4
DAP 387 521 271 229 342 49.2
Note: Details are given in Annex 1, 2, 3 and 4.
About 802 thousand tonnes of different fertilizer products were manufactured in Pakistan during
the month of October 2021 (Table 2). The major share was of urea (67.2 per cent) with 539
thousand tonnes. Other products were DAP 75, NP 85, CAN 77, SSP 14.4, SOP 0.9 and different
grades of NPK 11 thousand tonnes. About 296 thousand tonnes of fertilizer products have been
supplied through imports which comprised of 274 thousand tonnes of DAP, 2.2 thousand tonnes of
SOP, 7.3 thousand tonnes of MOP, 7.0 thousand tonnes of MAP and 5.2 thousand tonne of AS.
Offtake of urea increased by 25 per cent in each of Punjab and Balochistan, while it increased by 30 per cent
in Sindh. Offtake of urea decreased by 14 per cent in KP. Offtake of DAP increased by 61, 21, 70 and 7 per
cent in Punjab, Sindh, KP and Balochistan, respectively over previous year (Table 3).
Table 3. Province-wise Urea and DAP offtake during October 2021 compared previous
years.
(‘000 tonnes)
Province October October October October October Per cent change
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 in 2021 over 2020
Urea
Punjab 225 318 74 284 356 25
Sindh 124 114 29 99 129 30
KP 14 21 7 22 19 -14
Balochistan 13 12 11 7.6 9 25
AJK - - - - 0.04 0
Total 375 465 121 413 514 24.4
Per cent change 24 -74 240.4 24.4
over previous year
DAP
Punjab 286 371 197 152 245 61
Sindh 74 122 48 58 71 21
KP 15.7 18.7 12.5 9.1 15.5 70
Balochistan 10.5 9.3 13.8 10.0 10.6 7
Total 387 521 271 229 342 49.2
Per cent change 35 -48 -15.3 49.2
Details are presented in Annex-7, & 8.
Total urea availability during October 2021 was about 655 thousand tonnes, which comprised of 116
thousand tonnes left over of previous month and 539 thousand tonnes of domestic production (Table 4).
The offtake of urea was 514 thousand tonnes, leaving a balance of 140 thousand tonnes of urea for
November, 2021.
Table 4. Urea and Dap Supply / Demand Situation for Rabi 2021-22
('000 tonnes)
Description Oct* Nov** Dec** Jan** Feb** Mar** TOTAL
UREA
Opening inventory 116 140 226 46 44 37 116
Imported supplies 0 0 100 0 0 0 100
Domestic production*** 539 580 583 514 432 439 3088
Total availability 655 720 909 560 476 476 3304
Offtake 514 494 863 516 439 369 3195
Write off/on -2 - - - - - -2
Estimated inventory 140 226 46 44 37 107 107
DAP
Opening inventory 353 360 172 134 100 96 353
Imported supplies 274 32 50 0 0 0 356
Domestic production 75 70 70 26 63 73 377
Total availability 702 462 292 160 163 169 1,086
Offtake 342 290 158 60 67 86 1,003
Write off/on 0.0 - - - - - 0.0
Estimated inventory 360 172 134 100 96 83 83
*Actual **Estimated *** It is assumed that LNG based plants will run till end January 2022 and additional gas will be
provided to FFBL. Closure of FFBL plant will result in loss in production by 2 thousand tonnes per day.
The Rabi 2021-22 season started with opening inventory of 116 thousand tonnes of urea. Total
availability of urea would be around 3,304 thousand tonnes with the estimated domestic
production of 3,088 thousand tonnes. Urea offtake during Rabi 2021-22 is estimated around 3,195
thousand tonnes leaving behind closing inventory of 107 thousand tonnes at the end of Rabi
season. Closing inventory from December 2021 onward is below 200 thousand tonnes which
reflects a very tight situation. Government should ensure the provision of additional gas to FFBL
plant and import of 100 thousand tonnes on fast track basis to combat shortage.
The total availability of DAP during Rabi 2021-22 would be around 1,086 thousand tonnes, which
comprises 356 thousand tonnes of imported supply, 377 thousand tonnes of domestic production
and 353 thousand tonnes of opening stock. The offtake of DAP is estimated around 1,003 thousand
tonnes. Situation regarding DAP looks satisfactory as other phosphate fertilizers like NP, MAP,
SSP and NPKs will also be available in the market to meet phosphate demand.
7. FERTILIZER PRICES
During October, 2021 increase in the prices of all fertilizer products was observed compared with
previous month. The prices of urea (sona), urea (other) and CAN increased by 2.5, 1.3 and 0.2 per
cent, respectively over September 2021. The prices of DAP, NP, SSP (G), SOP and NPKs also
increased by 6.6, 6.4, 5.4, 10.8 and 5.2 per cent, respectively.
Table 5 . Average fertilizer retail prices in October 2021 compared with September 2021
(Rs. Per 50 kg bag)
Product September October Percent
2021 2021 change
Fob bulk China urea price was quoted at US $ 615-635/t against 395-500/t of previous month.
Middle East bulk urea was set at US $ 660-749/t. DAP price during October 2021 was referred at
US $ 626-670/t fob bulk in Australia, and US $ 635-638/t in China market. MAP and TSP prices
Urea
China 615-620 620-635 630-635 630-635 7029-7244
(Prilled Bulk) (395-420) (415-422) (425-430) (430-500) (4630-6280)
DAP
Australia 626-670 626-670 626-670 626-670 6448-6846
(Bulk) (583-640) (583-640) (583-640) (626-670) (6013-6792)
MAP
Baltic 689-740 721-741 741-743 750-760 7018-7659
(Bulk) (668) (659-669) (647-657) (655-665) (6586-7411)
TSP
Tunisia 595-645 595-645 595-645 650-690 6168-7027
(Bulk) (630-635) (585-590) (575-590) (575-590) (5941-6479)
Source: Argus. Figures in parenthesis are for September, 2021.
1. Month-wise nutrient offtake during Rabi 2021-22 compared with previous seasons.
2. Month-wise Urea and DAP offtake during Rabi 2021-22 compared with previous seasons.
3. Month-wise nutrient offtake during year 2021-22 compared with previous years
4. Month-wise Urea and DAP offtake during year 2021-22 compared with previous years
5. Plant-wise production, sales and stock position (October 2021).
6. Company-wise imports, sales and stock position (October 2021).
7. Total sales and stock position (October 2021).
8. Province-wise and product-wise offtake of domestically produced fertilizers (October 2021).
9. Province-wise and product-wise offtake of imported fertilizers (October 2021).
10. Total province-wise and product-wise offtake of fertilizers (October 2021).
11. Fertilizer production by product and manufacturer (2021-22).
12. Product wise fertilizer offtake (2021-22).
NITROGEN
October 271,645 329,996 123,424 255,555 355,984 39.3
November 396,759 291,069 269,619 343,930 325,344 -5.4
December 394,976 380,953 684,828 481,659 485,604 0.8
January 297,184 308,059 147,394 367,012 279,912 -23.7
February 220,437 205,012 258,959 242,797 231,801 -4.5
March 200,265 211,841 174,101 206,724 198,233 -4.1
Total 1,781,266 1,726,930 1,658,325 1,897,677 1,876,878 -1.10
Percent change -3 -4.0 14.4 -1.10
PHOSPHATE
October 203,153 257,695 140,724 123,474 196,907 59.5
November 248,453 133,972 201,869 186,716 192,752 3.2
December 81,825 95,224 107,721 112,071 99,210 -11.5
January 55,243 50,489 28,455 62,583 49,192 -21.4
February 67,357 29,231 54,853 60,990 53,108 -12.9
March 78,565 37,681 48,885 79,298 61,107 -22.9
Total 734,596 604,292 582,507 625,131 652,277 4.3
Percent change -18 -3.6 7.3 4.3
POTASH
October 7,762 6,444 4,971 8,146 10,079 23.7
November 5,875 3,686 3,936 4,878 4,594 -5.8
December 2,870 4,279 4,711 3,822 3,921 2.6
January 3,884 3,059 1,252 5,267 3,365 -36.1
February 3,860 3,780 6,263 5,906 4,952 -16.2
March 4,699 4,601 3,666 6,855 4,955 -27.7
Total 28,950 25,849 24,799 34,874 31,866 -8.6
Percent change -11 -4 40.6 -8.6
(Tonnes)
Month/ Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Percent
Season 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22* Change
UREA
October 375,386 465,071 121,359 413,135 513,890 24.4
DAP
(Tonnes)
YEAR 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22* Percent change
UREA
July 339,002 496,634 465,496 574,885 621,731 8.1
August 884,858 430,696 625,424 573,290 648,513 13.1
September 179,813 482,417 405,306 392,815 487,149 24.0
October 375,386 465,071 121,359 413,135 513,890 24.4
November 601,671 496,923 380,729 533,084 493,758 -7.4
December 715,685 710,890 1,345,359 880,624 863,441 -2.0
January 539,216 563,652 261,747 648,539 515,878 -20.5
February 370,014 388,197 460,447 406,203 439,196 8.1
March 342,093 408,461 302,500 343,046 368,902 7.5
April 375,459 292,425 242,348 309,245 304,869 -1.4
May 493,808 592,525 239,634 501,488 456,864 -8.9
June 608,109 642,577 1,164,925 690,238 776,462 12.5
Total 5,825,114 5,970,468 6,015,274 6,266,590 6,490,653 3.6
Percent change 2.5 0.8 4.2 3.6
DAP
July 283,116 301,790 202,033 250,972 193,418 -22.9
August 77,767 79,067 105,295 295,012 186,532 -36.8
September 353,626 198,945 209,871 228,479 221,132 -3.2
October 387,095 521,251 270,917 229,374 342,287 49.2
November 501,796 264,586 404,219 356,800 290,246 -18.7
December 150,476 189,045 193,312 205,783 157,818 -23.3
January 92,209 74,621 43,724 83,521 59,887 -28.3
February 122,431 48,533 87,562 89,140 66,820 -25.0
March 150,156 65,475 79,220 143,760 85,575 -40.5
April 68,800 86,170 150,721 46,169 87,965 90.5
May 62,513 213,024 60,857 173,233 127,407 -26.5
June 189,898 157,743 175,949 68,180 147,942 117.0
Total 2,439,883 2,200,250 1,983,680 2,170,423 1,967,029 -9.4
Percent change -9.8 -9.8 9.4 -9.4
GRAND TOTAL ALL 576,350 801,844 1,378,194 612,079 232,589 34,997 19,941 136 899,742 45,568 47,307 476,713
10
ANNEX-6
COMPANY WISE IMPORTS, SALES/STOCK POSITION (OCTOBER 2021)
(Tonnes)
Company Product Opening Import Total Offtake Adjustment Adjustment Closing
balance availability Punjab Sindh KP Baluchistan AJK/FATA Pakistan (+) (-) balance
FFC Urea - - - - - - - - - - - -
DAP 58,994 31,476 90,470 36,230 10,385 1,372 1,304 - 49,291 1 - 41,180
TSP - - - - - - - - - - - -
SOP 358 1,221 1,579 743 305 24 114 - 1,186 - 1 392
MOP 304 - 304 - 73 89 - - 162 - - 142
EFERT Urea - - - - - - - - - - - -
DAP 40,109 75,800 115,909 41,704 24,434 11 501 - 66,649 - - 49,260
MAP 2,847 6,700 9,547 5,807 1,904 - - - 7,711 - - 1,836
MOP 2,484 5,357 7,841 1,754 - - 1 - 1,755 1 - 6,087
SOP 5,502 300 5,802 1,120 548 40 - 1,708 - - 4,094
SSP 10 - 10 - - - - - - - - 10
AS 118 5,158 5,276 - 97 - - - 97 - - 5,179
Fatima Fertilizer Urea - - - - - - - - - - - -
DAP 16,953 100,103 117,056 3,496 - - - - 3,496 - 19,392 94,167
NFML Urea - - - - - - - - - - - -
SUNCROP DAP 10,610 - 10,610 4,307 120 120 - - 4,547 121 - 6,184
PAK ARAB Urea - - - - - - - - - - -
DAP 0 - 0 13,222 2,332 154 353 - 16,061 16,061 - 0
MAP - - - - - - - - - - - -
JBL DAP 2,290 13,490 15,780 2,528 723 65 - - 3,316 2 - 12,466
TSP - - - - - - - - - - - -
MOP - - - - - - - - - - - -
MAP - - - - - - - - - - - -
SOP 3 - 3 - 3 - - - 3 - - -
UNI. AGRO Fert DAP 33,191 - 33,191 3,990 843 104 43 - 4,979 1 - 28,213
NP - - - - - - - - - - - -
MOP 3,319 991 4,310 837 2,081 - - - 2,918 - - 1,392
SOP 779 100 879 385 75 - - - 460 - - 419
AS 8,447 - 8,447 769 272 25 - - 1,067 - - 7,380
UNI. AGRO CHEMICALS DAP 21,315 44,000 65,315 14,243 1,892 578 150 - 16,863 - - 48,452
TSP - - - - - - - - - - - -
SOP 2,957 - 2,957 143 65 - - - 208 - - 2,750
MOP 3,400 991 4,390 118 1,000 - - - 1,118 - - 3273
MAP - 300 300 - - - - - - - - 300
AS 172 - 172 80 40 - 15 - 135 - - 37
NP - - - - - - - - - - - -
11
PAGE 2 OF ANNEX-6
12
ANNEX-7
UREA 116,122 539,226 - 655,348 355,845 129,262 19,262 9,483 38 513,890 45,445 47,304 139,599
DAP 352,693 74,759 274,276 701,728 245,155 71,013 15,507 10,613 - 342,287 19,519 19,475 359,484
NP 334,451 84,547 - 418,998 69,203 41,689 3,147 5,533 98 119,670 123 1 299,450
TSP - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SOP 13,596 910 2,248 16,753 5,333 1,002 79 114 - 6,528 - 3 10,223
NPK 6,151 10,840 - 16,991 8,659 3,951 355 982 - 13,946 - 1 3,044
TOTAL 925,685 801,844 296,021 2,023,551 790,784 290,489 38,988 26,755 136 1,147,153 65,088 66,791 874,695
13
ANNEX-8
PROVINCE-WISE AND PRODUCT WISE OFFTAKE OF DOMESTICALLY PRODUCED FERTILIZER DURING OCTOBER 2021
(Tonnes)
PROVINCES UREA CAN NP 22:20 SSP J SSP H DAP SOP NPK NPK NPK NPK NPK NPK TOTAL
17:17:17 10:23:10 10:23:18 12:15:20 8:18:15 10:28:10
Punjab 355,845 69,491 69,203 10,055 15,731 82,018 1,078 - - 8,363 296 - - 612,079
Sindh 129,262 36,865 41,689 170 782 19,870 - - - 2,437 1,514 - - 232,589
KP 19,262 - 3,147 - 470 11,763 - - - 208 147 - - 34,997
Balochistan 9,483 - 5,533 - - 3,943 - - - 541 441 - - 19,941
AJK/FATA 38 - 98 - - - - - - - - - - 136
Total Pakistan 513,890 106,356 119,670 10,225 16,983 117,594 1,078 - - 11,549 2,397 - - 899,742
(Tonnes)
PROVINCES NITROGEN PHOSPHATE POTASH TOTAL
PUNJAB 213,308 60,254 2,103 275,666
SINDH 82,636 19,688 741 103,065
KP 11,740 6,289 67 18,096
BALOCHISTAN 6,452 3,277 185 9,914
AJK 40 23 - 62
14
ANNEX-9
PROVINCE-WISE AND PRODUCT-WISE OFFTAKE OF IMPORTED FERTILIZER PRODUCTS DURING OCTOBER 2021
(Tonnes)
PROVINCES UREA AS NP SSP DAP TSP SOP NPK MOP MAP TOTAL
10:15:20
(Tonnes)
Provinces Nitrogen Phosphate Potash Total
15
ANNEX-10
Punjab 355,845 69,491 1,675 69,203 25,786 245,155 - 5,333 8,659 3,815 5,821 790,784
Sindh 129,262 36,865 692 41,689 952 71,013 - 1,002 3,951 3,159 1,904 290,489
KP 19,262 - 65 3,147 470 15,507 - 79 355 104 - 38,988
Balochistan 9,483 - 15 5,533 - 10,613 - 114 982 16 - 26,755
AJK/FATA 38 - - 98 - - - - - - - 136
Total Pakistan 513,890 106,356 2,447 119,670 27,208 342,287 - 6,528 13,946 7,095 7,725 1,147,153
(Tonnes)
Provinces Nitrogen Phosphate Potash Total
16
ANNEX-11
FERTILIZER PRODUCTION BY PRODUCT AND MANUFACTURER (2021-22)
(Tonnes)
PRODUCT MANUFAC. JULY AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN TOTAL
17
ANNEX-12
PRODUCT WISE FERTILIZER OFFTAKE (2021-22)
(Tonnes)
PRODUCTS JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN TOTAL
TSP - - - - -
18