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Keywords: Background: Limited data exists evaluating predictors of long-term outcomes after hospitalization for COVID-19.
Predictors Methods: We conducted a prospective, longitudinal cohort study of patients hospitalized for COVID-19. The
Outcomes following outcomes were collected at 6 and 12-months post-diagnosis: disability using the modified Rankin Scale
Disability
(mRS), activities of daily living assessed with the Barthel Index, cognition assessed with the telephone Montreal
Cognition
Quality of life
Cognitive Assessment (t-MoCA), Neuro-QoL batteries for anxiety, depression, fatigue and sleep, and post-acute
Anxiety symptoms of COVID-19. Predictors of these outcomes, including demographics, pre-COVID-19 comorbidities,
Depression index COVID-19 hospitalization metrics, and life stressors, were evaluated using multivariable logistic
Post-acute sequelae of COVID regression.
Post-COVID syndrome Results: Of 790 COVID-19 patients who survived hospitalization, 451(57%) completed 6-month (N = 383) and/or
Long-hauler 12-month (N = 242) follow-up, and 77/451 (17%) died between discharge and 12-month follow-up. Significant
Long-COVID life stressors were reported in 121/239 (51%) at 12-months. In multivariable analyses, life stressors including
COVID-19
financial insecurity, food insecurity, death of a close contact and new disability were the strongest independent
SARS-CoV-2
predictors of worse mRS, Barthel Index, depression, fatigue, and sleep scores, and prolonged symptoms, with
adjusted odds ratios ranging from 2.5 to 20.8. Other predictors of poor outcome included older age (associated
with worse mRS, Barthel, t-MoCA, depression scores), baseline disability (associated with worse mRS, fatigue,
Barthel scores), female sex (associated with worse Barthel, anxiety scores) and index COVID-19 severity (asso
ciated with worse Barthel index, prolonged symptoms).
Conclusions: Life stressors contribute substantially to worse functional, cognitive and neuropsychiatric outcomes
12-months after COVID-19 hospitalization. Other predictors of poor outcome include older age, female sex,
baseline disability and severity of index COVID-19.
* Correspondence author at: NYU Department of Neurology, 150 55th St., Brooklyn, NY 11220, USA.
E-mail address: jennifer.frontera@nyulangone.org (J.A. Frontera).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jns.2022.120487
Received 20 July 2022; Received in revised form 12 October 2022; Accepted 1 November 2022
Available online 5 November 2022
0022-510X/© 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
J.A. Frontera et al. Journal of the Neurological Sciences 443 (2022) 120487
symptom reporting) were evaluated [10]. Despite a plethora of litera health measures of anxiety, depression, fatigue and sleep were
ture reporting prevalence rates of post-COVID-19 symptoms, there is a collected. NeuroQoL raw scores were converted into T-scores with a
paucity of data reporting predictors of long-term functional, cognitive mean of 50 and standard deviation of 10 in a reference population (U.S.
and quality of life quantitative outcomes. general population or clinical sample) [19]. Higher T-scores indicate
In this prospective study, we evaluated the impact of four categories worse self-reported health for the anxiety, depression, fatigue and sleep
of predictors on 6- and 12-month outcome metrics including: de metrics. NeuroQoL scores were dichotomized at the mean + 1 standard
mographics, pre-COVID-19 comorbidities, index COVID-19 hospitali deviation (T-scores ≥60 versus <60). Patients with fewer than 13 years
zation metrics, and life stressors within the month prior to interview. of education received an additional point when scoring the t-MoCA [20].
Outcome measures included not only long-term COVID-19 symptoms, With the exception of the t- MoCA, all of the above batteries have been
but functional outcomes (modified Ranking Score), activities of daily validated for surrogate completion, and surrogates were asked to com
living (Barthel Index), cognitive outcomes (telephone Montreal Cogni plete these metrics for patients who were unable to do so.
tive Assessment [t-MoCA]) and NIH/PROMIS Neurological Quality Of The outcome of post-acute symptoms of COVID-19 was defined ac
Life (NeuroQoL) self-reported measures of anxiety, depression, fatigue cording to Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) criteria as
and sleep. new or persistent symptoms occurring ≥4 weeks after SARS-CoV-2
infection [21]. Symptoms were categorized following the World
2. Methods Health Organization (WHO) clinical case report form for post-acute
COVID-19 symptoms [22] (Supplemental Table 2). Post-acute symp
2.1. Study design and patient cohort tom data was only collected at the 12-month follow-up interview.
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J.A. Frontera et al. Journal of the Neurological Sciences 443 (2022) 120487
Table 1 and 12-months and higher anxiety scores at 12-months. Lower educa
Demographics of the study population at 6 and 12 months post index SARS-CoV- tion levels were associated with worse cognitive scores at 6- and 12-
2 hospitalization. months [13], as well as worse depression and fatigue NeuroQoL scores
6 months 12 months at 12-months. Pre-COVID disability (as measured by baseline mRS) was
N = 382 N = 242 a strong predictor of worse mRS and Barthel scores at both time points,
Demographics and was associated with worse NeuroQoL fatigue scores at 12-months. A
Age (years), median (IQR) 69 (57–78)* 65 (53–73)* pre-COVID history of dementia/cognitive disorder or psychiatric disease
Sex (male), N (%) 248 (65%) 155 (64%) were associated with worse mRS and Barthel scores. A history of de
Race (white), N (%) 213/309 128/189
mentia/cognitive disorder was also associated with worse t-MoCA scores
(69%) (68%)
Education level > 12 years, N (%) 227/303 164/214 and higher anxiety NeuroQoL scores. The presence of post-acute COVID-
(75%) (77%) 19 symptoms was not associated with any demographic or comorbidity
Comorbidities predictors.
Pre-COVID disability (mRS score), median (IQR) 0 (0–1) 0 (0–1) Tables 4a and 4b delineate index COVID-19 hospitalization metrics
BMI, median (IQR) 27 (24–32)* 28 (25–33)*
Hypertension, N (%) 164 (43%) 98 (41%)
and their association with 6- and 12-month outcomes. Neurological
Diabetes, N (%) 109 (29%) 60 (25%) complications including toxic metabolic encephalopathy and hypoxic
COPD/Asthma, N (%) 38 (10%) 24 (10%) ischemic brain injury were strong predictors of worse mRS and Barthel
Headache Disorder, N (%) 9 (2%) 9 (4%) Index at 6 and 12 months and worse depression and fatigue scores at 12
Dementia, N (%) 40 (10%) 20 (8%)
months, while mechanical ventilation and worse SOFA scores (markers
Psychiatric history, N (%) 47 (12%) 28 (12%)
Index COVID-19 Hospitalization of severe COVID) were only predictive of worse Barthel Index at 6-
Neuro complication, N (%) 193 (50%) 113 (47%) months, and with much lower odds ratios. There was no consistent ef
Mechanically ventilated, N (%) 130 (34%) 81 (34%) fect of COVID-19 related pharmaceuticals on outcome metrics, however,
Worst Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) 4 (3–7) 4 (3–7) nitazoxanide (used in N = 14 patients) was associated with worse fa
score, median (IQR)
tigue, depression and anxiety scores at 6 months. There were signifi
mRS = modified Rankin Score; IQR = interquartile range, * indicates P < 0.05. cantly worse Barthel Index scores in univariate analysis with
corticosteroid use, but this medication was preferentially utilized in the
most severely ill patients, suggesting a bias by indication. Post-acute
Table 2
COVID-19 symptoms at 12-months were more common in those with
Number, mean (standard deviation), and percent of patients with abnormal or
severe COVID-19 illness, as measured by the requirement for mechanical
poor outcome metrics at 6- and 12-months post COVID-19.
ventilation and worse SOFA scores. Worse mRS and Barthel scores were
Metric Mean, SD N (%) abnormal or poor associated with discharge to a nursing home, but cognitive and Neuro
6 months 12 6 months 12 months QoL scores did not vary significantly with discharge disposition. We
months evaluated inflammatory markers collected during hospitalization
Modified Rankin Scale, N = 381 N = 236 189/381 79/236 including blood IL-6 (N = 300), D-dimer (N = 398), C-reactive peptide
(poor = 4–6) 3 (2) 2 (2) (50%) (34%) (N = 420) and ferritin levels (N = 414), but did not find any correlations
Barthel Index, N = 304 N = 236 134/304 86/236 with 6- or 12-month outcome metrics.
(abnormal <100) 85.7 (25) 87.2 (24) (44%) (36%)
T-MoCA, N = 215 N = 170 106/215 69/170
Next, we evaluated the impact of life stressors (Table 5 and Sup
(abnormal ≤18) 17.0 17.5 (3.8) (49%) (41%) plemental Table 1) on 12- month outcomes. Over 50% (121/239) of
(3.5) subjects reported experiencing at least one life stressor within the month
NeuroQoL anxiety, N = 280 N = 225 21/280 (8%) 16/225 prior to the 12-month follow-up interview (median 1 stressor, range 0–7
(abnormal T-score ≥ 48.4 (9) 46.8 (9) (7%)
stressors). The most common stressors were: new personal illness within
60)
NeuroQoL depression, N = 279 N = 225 8/279 (3%) 9/225 (4%) the month prior to the 12-month interview (23%), financial insecurity
(abnormal T-score ≥ 44.6 (8) 44.3 (8) (17%), social isolation (13%) and death or illness of a close contact. The
60) presence and number of stressors were strongly related to worse anxiety,
NeuroQoL fatigue, N = 272 N = 223 14/272 (5%) 20/223 depression, fatigue and sleep NeuroQoL scores and PASC. Social isola
(abnormal T-score ≥ 45.7 (10) 45.6 (11) (9%)
60)
tion, financial insecurity, unemployment, food insecurity, personal
NeuroQoL sleep, N = 278 N = 221 27/278 22/221 illness (within the month prior to 12-month interview), new disability
(abnormal T-score ≥ 46.3 (10) 46.1 (11) (10%) (10%) and death of a close contact were all significantly associated with worse
60) NeuroQoL measures, while personal illness, new disability and increased
t-MOCA = telephone Montreal Cognitive Assessment; NeuroQoL = neurological caregiver responsibilities were the only life stressors associated with
quality of life. mRS and Barthel scores. We did not identify associations with any of the
measured stressors and cognitive scores.
least one of the metrics assessed (e.g. mRS > 0, Barthel Index<100, t- Results of multivariable analyses for each outcome at 6 and 12
MoCa ≤18, or a NeuroQoL T score ≥ 60), with abnormalities in t-MoCA months, including variables entered into each model, are shown in
and mRS being most prevalent. There was a small but significant cor Table 6 and Fig. 1. Older age and baseline disability (pre-COVID-19 mRS
relation between abnormal 12-month NeuroQoL anxiety scores≥60 and scores) were significantly predictive of worse mRS and Barthel Index
post-acute symptoms of COVID-19 (Pearson correlation coefficient scores at both 6 and 12 months. Older age was also associated with
0.191, P = 0.005). There were no other significant correlations of post- worse cognitive scores and worse NeuroQoL depression scores at 12-
acute symptoms with other 6- or 12-months outcomes (mRS 4–6, Barthel months. Neurological events during index hospitalization, specifically
Index <100, t-MoCA scores<18, or depression, fatigue or sleep T- hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy, were independently associated with
scores≥60). worse mRS scores at both timepoints. Severity of index COVID-19 illness
Tables 3a and 3b demonstrate univariate demographic and pre- was only associated with 6-month Barthel Index (SOFA scores) and post-
COVID comorbidity predictors of 6- and 12-month outcomes. Older acute COVID-19 symptoms at 12 months (mechanical ventilation).
age was consistently associated with worse mRS, Barthel Index and t- COVID-19 severity was not associated with mRS, t-MoCA or NeuroQoL
MoCA scores at both time points, as well as NeuroQoL depression scores anxiety, depression, fatigue or sleep scores at any time point. The
at 12-months. Female sex was associated with worse Barthel scores at 6- presence of a variety of life stressors were independently associated with
a number of 12-month outcomes including worse mRS, Barthel,
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J.A. Frontera et al. Journal of the Neurological Sciences 443 (2022) 120487
Table 3a
Association of demographic and comorbidity variables and 6- and 12-month mRS, Barthel Index, T-MoCA and post-acute COVID-19 symptoms. Univariate logistic
regression odds ratios, 95% confidence intervals (CI) and P values are shown.
mRS 4–6 mRS 4–6 Barthel <100 Barthel <100 T-MoCA (≤18) 6- T-MoCA (≤18) 12-month Post-acute
6 months 12 months 6 months 12 months months 12-months COVID-19 symptoms N
N = 381 N = 236 N = 304 N = 236 N = 215 N = 170 = 242
Demographics
Age 1.04 (1.02–1.05) 1.04 (1.02–1.06) 1.04 (1.02–1.05) 1.05 (1.03–1.08) 1.03 (1.01–1.05) 1.03 (1.01–1.06) 1.00 (0.98–1.02) P =
P < 0.001 P < 0.001 P < 0.001 P < 0.001 P ¼ 0.009 P ¼ 0.007 0.913
Sex (male) 0.74 (0.49–1.13) 0.59 (0.34–1.03) 0.53 (0.33–0.85) 0.43 (0.25–0.74) 0.88 (0.51–1.55) P 0.95 (0.50–1.81) 0.73 (0.43–1.27) P =
P = 0.162 P = 0.063 P ¼ 0.009 P ¼ 0.003 = 0.662 P = 0.880 0.265
Race (white) 0.94 (0.58–1.53) 0.92 (0.48–1.75) 0.91 (0.53–1.55) 0.87 (0.47–1.63) 0.44 (0.23–0.84) 0.63 (0.30–1.31) 0.54 (0.28–1.04) P =
P = 0.812 P = 0.790 P = 0.718 P = 0.671 P ¼ 0.013 P = 0.217 0.066
Education level > 0.57 (0.33–0.96) 0.68 (0.35–1.32) 0.76 (0.45–1.29) 0.72 (0.38–1.39) 0.39 (0.19–0.79) 0.45 (0.21–1.00) 1.80 (0.94–3.46) P =
12 years P ¼ 0.035 P = 0.253 P = 0.315 P = 0.331 P ¼ 0.009 P = 0.050 0.078
Comorbidities
Pre-COVID 2.06 (1.66–2.55) 2.07 (1.63–2.64) 1.95 (1.56–2.45) 2.36 (1.78–3.13) 1.27 (0.99–1.64) P 1.13 (0.84–1.53) 0.84 (0.69–1.03) P =
disability (mRS) P < 0.001 P < 0.001 P < 0.001 P < 0.001 = 0.063 P = 0.427 0.091
BMI 0.97 (0.94–1.00) 1.01 (0.97–1.05) 0.99 (0.96–1.02) 1.02 (0.98–1.07) 1.02 (0.98–1.06) P 1.00 (0.95–1.04) 1.04 (0.99–1.08) P =
P = 0.058 P = 0.770 P = 0.521 P = 0.299 = 0.443 P = 0.855 0.106
Hypertension 1.50 (1.00–2.25) 1.28 (0.74–2.22) 1.51 (0.95–2.41) 1.62 (0.95–2.78) 0.74 (0.43–1.28) P 0.89 (0.48–1.65) 0.73 (0.43–1.24) P =
P = 0.053 P = 0.377 P = 0.079 P = 0.079 = 0.276 P = 0.699 0.244
Diabetes 1.48 (0.95–2.32) 1.15 (0.62–2.14) 1.45 (0.88–2.41) 1.69 (0.93–3.08) 1.20 (0.65–2.22) P 1.24 (0.62–2.47) 1.12 (0.62–2.04) P =
P = 0.086 P = 0.651 P = 0.149 P = 0.087 = 0.556 P = 0.539 0.707
COPD/Asthma 1.23 (0.62–2.42) 1.01 (0.41–2.47) 1.54 (0.70–3.35) 1.55 (0.66–3.62) 1.03 (0.43–2.49) P 0.79 (0.41–3.26) 1.27 (0.54–2.99) P =
P = 0.558 P = 0.988 P = 0.282 P = 0.316 = 0.945 P = 0.787 0.584
Headache Disorder 1.28 (0.34–4.86) – 1.29 (0.32–5.24) 0.21 (0.03–1.70) 0.61 (0.14–2.60) P 0.87 (0.20–3.78) 1.81 (0.44–7.42) P =
P = 0.713 P = 0.725 P = 0.143 = 0.500 P = 0.856 0.410
Dementia 4.02 (1.86–8.69) 3.39 (1.32–8.67) 2.97 (1.24–7.11) 2.69 (0.98–7.34) 4.09 (1.11–15.11) 1.90 (0.49–7.32) 0.78 (0.31–2.00) P =
P < 0.001 P ¼ 0.011 P ¼ 0.015 P = 0.054 P ¼ 0.035 P = 0.354 0.606
Psychiatric history 1.94 (1.03–3.66) 2.22 (1.00–4.93) 2.23 (1.07–4.64) 1.72 (0.77–3.85) 0.91 (0.35–2.34) P 0.96 (0.33–2.84) 0.58 (0.25–1.30) P =
P ¼ 0.040 P = 0.050 P ¼ 0.032 P = 0.189 = 0.843 P = 0.945 0.184
Bold indicates P < 0.05; mRS = modified Rankin Scale, t-MOCA = telephone Montreal Cognitive Assessment; BMI = body mass index; COPD = chronic obstructive
pulmonary disease.
depression, fatigue, and sleep scores, as well as post-acute COVID-19 these may represent areas of potential intervention. In a prior study of
symptoms. The AUCs for each model ranged from 0.664 to 0.903. risk factors for post-acute COVID-19 symptoms among U.S. community
Generally, 12-month models that included life stressors yielded more dwellers with and without mild COVID-19 (not requiring hospitaliza
robust AUCs, however, models predicting cognitive outcomes and post- tion) conducted in February 2021, we identified multiple stressors
acute symptoms performed less well than models for other outcomes. (present within the month prior to interview) that were associated with
the development of post-acute symptoms, most notably financial inse
4. Discussion curity and unemployment [7]. In that study, multivariable models pre
dicting NeuroQoL measures of cognition, anxiety, depression, fatigue
In this prospective, longitudinal cohort study we identified inde and sleep, demonstrated that several stressors were stronger predictors
pendent predictors of 6- and 12-month functional (mRS, Barthel Index), of abnormalities on quality of life testing than was SARS-CoV-2 infection
cognitive (t-MoCA), quality of life (NeuroQoL depression, anxiety, fa itself. These data suggest an interplay of environmental and pandemic-
tigue and sleep) outcomes and post-acute COVID-19 symptoms related factors that may impact functional and neuropsychiatric
following COVID-19 hospitalization. While predictors of disability outcomes.
(mRS, Barthel) were similar and largely consisted of age, baseline We found that older age was a consistent and prominent predictor of
functional status, neurological complications during hospitalization and worse functional status (mRS and Barthel scores), cognitive abnormal
markers of higher severity of COVID-19 illness, life stressors, which were ities and depression. While these findings may appear intuitive, some
present in >50% of subjects, played a larger role in predicting NeuroQoL have identified a paradoxical relationship, wherein older patients hos
measures of depression, fatigue, sleep and post-acute symptoms of pitalized with COVID-19 were more likely to make greater improve
COVID-19. Indeed, the adjusted odds ratios for life stressors (including ments in functional status and return to pre-hospitalization status at 18
financial insecurity, food insecurity, death of a loved one and new weeks compared to patients <45 years old [33]. Female subjects and
disability) for predicting a variety of 12-month outcomes ranged from those who considered themselves “very fit” pre-COVID-19 were also less
2.5 to 20.8. While there are several reports of predictors of short term likely to recover to pre-hospitalization functional status33. These data
outcomes during hospitalization or within the first months following may reflect a ceiling effect in frailty assessments that have limited ability
COVID-19 (e.g. mortality or discharge disposition) [24–26], as well as to detect nuanced differences in functional status. Others have found
reports describing qualitative subjective post-acute COVID symptoms that post-acute COVID-19 symptoms were more prevalent in older in
[2,8,9,27–39], this study is distinct in that it prospectively explores the dividuals [27,34]. However, the types of post-acute COVID-19 symp
impact of life stressors along with demographic, comorbid, and neuro toms may vary by age. For example, one study found that older
logical events as predictors of quantitative long-term cognitive, func individuals were more likely to have “any” post-acute COVID-19 feature
tional, quality of life and post-acute symptoms outcomes in a large (notably cognitive and respiratory symptoms), while younger patients
population. more often reported headaches, anxiety/depression and abdominal
Life stressors were significantly associated with several 12-month symptoms [28]. We also found that poor baseline functional status (pre-
outcomes, including worse mRS scores, activities of daily living, Neu COVID mRS score) was a strong, independent predictor of 6- and 12-
roQoL depression, fatigue and sleep measures, and post-acute COVID-19 month mRS and Barthel Index scores and fatigue. Indeed, some studies
symptoms. The incorporation of pandemic-related stressors and related have found that baseline frailty or disability scores are more closely
social determinants of health into predictive models is critical because associated with poor outcomes than age [40].
4
J.A. Frontera et al. Journal of the Neurological Sciences 443 (2022) 120487
Table 3b
Association of Demographic and Comorbidity variables and 6- and 12-month patient-reported NeuroQoL outcomes. Univariate logistic regression odds ratios, 95%
confidence intervals (CI) and P values shown.
Anxiety T-score Anxiety T-score Depression T- Depression T- Fatigue T- Fatigue T-score Sleep T-score ≥ Sleep T-score
≥ 60 at 6- ≥ 60 at 12- score ≥ 60 at 6- score ≥ 60 at 12- score ≥ 60 at 6- ≥ 60 at 12- 60 at 6-months ≥ 60 at 12-
months months months months months months N = 278 months
N = 280 N = 225 N = 279 N = 225 N = 272 N = 223 N = 221
Demographics
Age 1.03 1.00 1.05 1.10 0.99 1.02 0.99 0.99
(1.00–1.06) P = (0.96–1.03) P = (0.99–1.11) P = (1.03–1.17) P ¼ (0.96–1.03) P (0.99–1.06) P (0.97–1.02) P = (0.96–1.02) P
0.093 0.818 0.112 0.006 = 0.651 = 0.176 0.468 = 0.367
Sex (male) 0.72 0.17 0.31 0.28 0.40 0.54 0.92 0.56
(0.29–1.78) P = (0.05–0.55) P ¼ (0.07–1.34) P = (0.07–1.14) P = (0.14–1.19) P (0.21–1.35) P (0.40–2.09) P = (0.23–1.34) P
0.479 0.003 0.118 0.075 = 0.101 = 0.188 0.838 = 0.192
Race (white) 1.09 0.67 2.78 4.37 1.23 1.38 0.51 0.93
(0.37–3.22) P = (0.22–2.02) P = (0.33–23.53) P (0.53–35.79) P (0.32–4.79) P (0.47–4.07) P (0.21–1.25) P = (0.32–2.64) P
0.875 0.473 = 0.348 = 0.169 = 0.765 = 0.563 0.140 = 0.885
Education level 0.50 0.59 0.96 0.22 0.78 0.36 0.59 0.51
> 12 years (0.20–1.25) P = (0.17–2.05) P = (0.19–4.85) P = (0.06–0.87) P ¼ (0.24–2.58) P (0.13–0.95) P (0.25–1.39) P = (0.19–1.36) P
0.137 0.406 0.957 0.031 = 0.687 ¼ 0.039 0.231 = 0.178
Comorbidities
Pre-COVID 1.31 0.99 1.33 1.01 1.40 1.44 1.23 1.11
disability (0.97–1.76) P = (0.63–1.55) P = (0.84–2.12) P = (0.61–1.67) P = (0.98–1.99) P (1.07–1.93) P (0.93–1.63) P = (0.80–1.53) P
(mRS) 0.078 0.959 0.221 0.983 = 0.064 ¼ 0.017 0.150 = 0.547
BMI 0.97 1.03 0.95 0.94 0.97 0.96 0.97 1.04
(0.90–1.04) P = (0.96–1.11) P = (0.85–1.07) P = (0.81–1.09) P = (0.89–1.06) P (0.88–1.05) P (0.91–1.04) P = (0.98–1.11) P
0.324 0.450 0.419 0.396 = 0.516 = 0.370 0.361 = 0.185
Hypertension 1.39 1.18 1.50 0.74 2.09 1.23 0.50 (0.20 = 1.52
(0.57–3.39) P = (0.42–3.29) P = (0.37–6.13) P = (0.18–3.04) P = (0.71–6.21) P (0.49–3.11) P 1.23) P = 0.129 (0.63–3.67) P
0.469 0.751 0.572 0.678 = 0.183 = 0.658 = 0.353
Diabetes 0.86 0.68 0.92 – 0.71 0.75 0.80 0.90
(0.30–2.43) P = (0.19–2.48) P = (0.18–4.65) P = (0.19–2.64) P (0.24–2.33) P (0.31–2.06) P = (0.32–2.57) P
0.770 0.558 0.916 = 0.614 = 0.613 0.639 = 0.844
COPD/Asthma 1.63 0.57 1.34 2.65 0.68 1.62 0.72 2.24
(0.45–5.92) P = (0.07–4.50) P = (0.16–11.33) P (0.52–13.60) P (0.09–5.44) P (0.44–5.99) P (0.16–3.22) P = (0.68–7.32) P
0.462 0.591 = 0.788 = 0.242 = 0.719 = 0.474 0.667 = 0.184
Headache 1.79 – – – – – 1.34 1.14
Disorder (0.21–15.30) P (0.16–11.28) P (0.14–9.54) P
= 0.594 = 0.791 = 0.906
Dementia 1.32 7.46 1.79 1.56 0.91 2.38 0.97 2.09
(0.29–6.12) P = (2.23–24.95) P (0.21–15.24) P (0.18–13.29) P (0.11–7.33) P (0.62–9.12) P (0.21–4.42) P = (0.55–7.92) P
0.719 ¼ 0.001 = 0.596 = 0.683 = 0.931 = 0.205 0.971 = 0.280
Psychiatric 2.01 2.68 1.14 2.17 0.63 1.31 1.44 1.15
history (0.63–6.42) P = (0.80–9.01) P = (0.14–9.61) P = (0.43–11.04) P (0.08–4.99) P (0.36–4.80) P (0.46–4.47) P = (0.32–4.16) P
0.237 0.111 0.902 = 0.350 = 0.661 = 0.685 0.532 = 0.837
Bold indicates P < 0.05; mRS = modified Rankin Scale; NeuroQoL = neurological quality of life; BMI = body mass index; COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease.
We identified female sex as an independent predictor of both anxiety infection, to a reference population of hospitalized and non-hospitalized
and limitations in activities of daily living. Others have identified that patients without these conditions [51], and found significantly higher
female sex may be a predictor of post-acute COVID-19 symptoms rates of new onset anxiety, depression, bipolar disorder or psychotic
[8,9,27,28,31–39,41]. In a survey of 999 community dwellers across the disorder compared to the reference population. However, rates of
U.S, female sex, along with younger age, racial/ethnic minority status, neuropsychiatric sequelae were similar in COVID-19 and non-COVID-19
baseline disability, fewer years of formal education, and/or a history of acute respiratory infection patients, suggesting that the prime driver of
psychiatric disease were significant predictors of post-acute COVID-19 long-term events is disease severity, and not the specific pathogen.
symptoms [12,32]. Mechanisms of injury more common in women, such Conversely, other cohorts have found higher rates of post-acute
as autoimmune disease, might explain some of these differences. Indeed, symptoms among patients with COVID-19 compared to seasonal influ
women have higher basal levels of immunoglobulins and respond more enza, even after adjusting for severity of illness, suggesting that these
robustly to both infections and vaccines, with increased cytokine pro long-term sequelae may be unique to SARS-CoV-2 [47,48]. We did not
duction and T-cell response, compared to men [42–44]. Additionally, identify index COVID-19 severity as a predictor of NeuroQoL metrics
baseline pre-COVID-19 prevalence rates of anxiety and depression are such as anxiety, depression, fatigue or sleep outcomes. Others have also
nearly two-fold higher in women than men [45,46]. It is possible that failed to find an association of severity of index illness (defined by ox
subclinical or undiagnosed mood disorders may have been unmasked in ygen requirement or intubation status) when evaluating certain out
the context of pandemic- or illness-related stressors. comes of hospitalized patients [34]. Differing relationships of COVID-19
We found that severity of index COVID-19 illness (SOFA scores or severity with sequelae may be explained by differences in comparator
intubation) was a predictor of limited activities of daily living and post- groups, e.g. some studies evaluated hospitalized versus non-hospitalized
acute COVID-19 symptoms. Indeed, many others have identified index COVID-19 patients, whereas we compared mechanically ventilated
COVID-19 severity as a predictor of protracted COVID symptoms hospital patients to non-intubated hospitalized patients. Additionally,
[28,36,37,47–50]. Some studies have suggested that the severity of these incongruities may simply reflect the fact that the sickest patients
acute respiratory failure, rather than the pathogen involved, predicts died or were too impaired to participate in long-term outcome batteries.
neuropsychiatric sequelae. One study compared electronic medical re Because we did not have a non-COVID-19 comparator group, we cannot
cords of patients hospitalized for COVID-19 or a severe acute respiratory make any assertions regarding whether outcomes were driven by
5
J.A. Frontera et al. Journal of the Neurological Sciences 443 (2022) 120487
Table 4a
Association of index COVID-19 hospitalization variables and 6 and 12 month mRS, Barthel, T-MoCA and PASC outcomes. Univariate logistic regression odds ratios,
95% confidence intervals (CI) and P values shown.
mRS 4–6 mRS 4–6 Barthel <100 Barthel <100 T-MoCA (≤18) T-MoCA (≤18) 12-month Post-acute
6 months 12 months 6 months 12 months 6-months 12-months COVID-19 symptoms
N = 381 N = 236 N = 304 N = 236 N = 215 N = 170 N = 242
Index COVID-19
Hospitalization
Neuro complication 1.61 1.31 (0.76–2.25) 1.71 1.21 (0.71–2.05) 1.32 (0.77–2.26) 0.92 0.74 (0.44–1.24) P =
(1.07–2.41) P P = 0.333 (1.08–2.70) P P = 0.490 P = 0.312 (0.50–1.70) P 0.251
¼ 0.021 ¼ 0.021 = 0.790
Hypoxic/ischemic brain 2.70 3.52 3.51 3.00 1.16 (0.45–2.97) 1.51 0.88 (0.34–2.29) P =
injury (1.37–5.34) P (1.31–9.47) P (1.56–7.92) (1.12–8.05) P P = 0.761 (0.47–4.89) P 0.788
¼ 0.004 ¼ 0.013 P ¼ 0.002 ¼ 0.029 = 0.493
Toxic-Metabolic 2.02 2.73 2.03 2.39 1.70 (0.88–3.28) 1.72 1.01 (0.53–1.92) P =
Encephalopathy (1.28–3.19) P (1.41–5.27) P (1.20–3.43) P (1.25–4.56) P P = 0.113 (0.73–4.04) P 0.982
¼ 0.002 ¼ 0.003 ¼ 0.008 ¼ 0.009 = 0.212
Mechanically ventilated 1.24 (0.81–1.89) 1.10 (0.62–1.94) 1.62 1.10 (0.63–1.93) 0.75 (0.43–1.32) 0.90 3.63 (2.01–6.58) P <
P = 0.330 P = 0.745 (1.01–2.61) P P = 0.728 P = 0.318 (0.47–1.72) P 0.001
¼ 0.048 = 0.756
Worst Sequential Organ 1.03 (0.98–1.08) 1.03 (0.96–1.10) 1.07 1.02 (0.96–1.09) 0.98 (0.92–1.05) 1.03 1.10 (1.03–1.18) P ¼
Failure Assessment (SOFA) P = 0.188 P = 0.410 (1.01–1.13) P P = 0.518 P = 0.570 (0.96–1.11) P 0.006
score ¼ 0.030 = 0.373
Lowest % oxygen saturation 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 1.00 (0.98–1.02) 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 1.01 (0.99–1.02) 1.00 (0.98–1.01) 0.99 0.98 (0.96–1.00) P ¼
P = 0.940 P = 0.778 P = 0.983 P = 0.495 P = 0.585 (0.97–1.01) P 0.035
= 0.408
Lowest mean arterial blood 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 1.01 (0.99–1.02) 0.99 (0.97–1.00) 1.00 (0.98–1.02) 1.00 (0.98–1.02) 0.99 0.99 (0.97–1.01) P =
pressure (mmHg) P = 0.694 P = 0.580 P = 0.102 P = 0.976 P = 0.953 (0.97–1.01) P 0.150
= 0.225
Acute renal failure 1.60 (0.93–2.74) 1.50 (0.71–3.16) 1.48 (0.79–2.78) 1.55 (0.74–3.26) 1.11 (0.52–2.39) 1.28 1.83 (0.84–4.00) P =
P = 0.087 P = 0.287 P = 0.221 P = 0.248 P = 0.781 (0.54–3.06) P 0.128
= 0.573
Medications during Index
Hospitalization
Tocilizumab/ clazakizumab 0.70 (0.42–1.17) 0.78 (0.41–1.48) 0.84 (0.48–1.46) 0.68 (0.36–1.29) 0.47 1.42 2.81 (1.46–5.38) P ¼
P = 0.176 P = 0.440 P = 0.531 P = 0.235 (0.25–0.90) P (0.72–2.81) P 0.002
¼ 0.023 = 0.308
Corticosteroids 1.51 (0.95–2.39) 1.44 (0.74–2.84) 2.08 1.78 (0.91–3.47) 0.99 (0.55–1.80) 1.15 2.35 (1.17–4.72) P ¼
P = 0.080 P = 0.286 (1.25–3.48) P P = 0.091 P = 0.982 (0.54–2.44) P 0.016
¼ 0.005 = 0.721
Remdesivir – – – – – – –
Hydroxychloroquine 0.75 (0.48–1.17) 0.82 (0.41–1.67) 1.01 (0.61–1.68) 0.93 (0.46–1.89) 0.62 (0.33–1.15) 0.69 2.59 (1.27–5.28) P ¼
P = 0.207 P = 0.591 P = 0.970 P = 0.847 P = 0.128 (0.30–1.56) P 0.009
= 0.367
Nitazoxanide 1.81 (0.52–6.28) 0.80 (0.15–4.22) 1.28 (0.31–5.20) 0.69 (0.13–3.64) 0.20 (0.02–1.73) 0.98 0.43 (0.08–2.41) P =
P = 0.351 P = 0.793 P = 0.733 P = 0.662 P = 0.143 (0.16–5.99) P 0.340
= 0.978
Zinc 0.69 (0.46–1.05) 0.79 (0.42–1.49) 0.82 (0.52–1.31) 1.18 (0.64–2.20) 0.84 (0.49–1.44) 1.12 1.93 (1.04–3.58) P ¼
P = 0.083 P = 0.461 P = 0.407 P = 0.594 P = 0.523 (0.55–2.29) P 0.037
= 0.748
Ascorbic acid 0.94 (0.60–1.49) 1.10 (0.62–1.97) 1.13 (0.69–1.85) 1.36 (0.77–2.39) 1.30 (0.72–2.35) 1.13 1.03 (0.59–1.82) P =
P = 0.798 P = 0.742 P = 0.634 P = 0.287 P = 0.379 (0.59–2.17) P 0.908
= 0.717
Lopinavir/ritonavir 0.77 (0.37–1.60) 0.70 (0.24–2.02) 0.78 (0.34–1.77) 0.93 (0.36–2.44) 1.42 (0.57–3.52) 2.21 1.09 (0.43–2.74) P =
P = 0.490 P = 0.509 P = 0.547 P = 0.889 P = 0.451 (0.84–5.80) P 0.854
= 0.109
Azithromycin 0.61 0.56 (0.29–1.08) 0.65 (0.41–1.05) 0.73 (0.38–1.41) 0.68 (0.38–1.21) 0.64 2.27 (1.17–4.38) P ¼
(0.40–0.93) P P = 0.085 P = 0.078 P = 0.344 P = 0.188 (0.29–1.39) P 0.015
¼ 0.022 = 0.257
Therapeutic anticoagulation 1.29 (0.85–1.97) 1.26 (0.72–2.22) 1.53 (0.95–2.46) 1.02 (0.58–1.78) 1.00 (0.57–1.76) 0.80 2.78 (1.56–4.95) P ¼
P = 0.236 P = 0.419 P = 0.078 P = 0.952 P = 0.995 (0.42–1.51) P 0.001
= 0.483
Discharge metrics
Length of stay 1.01 (1.00–1.02) 1.01 (1.00–1.03) 1.02 1.01 (1.00–1.03) 1.00 (0.98–1.01) 1.00 1.03 (1.01–1.04)
P = 0.102 P = 0.189 (1.01–1.03) P = 0.203 P = 0.549 (0.98–1.02) P ¼ 0.002
P ¼ 0.004 P = 0.974
Discharge home 0.18 0.23 0.17 0.28 0.86 (0.48–1.57) 0.77 0.89 (0.51–1.55)
(0.12–0.29) P < (0.13–0.42) P < (0.10–0.29) (0.16–0.50) P = 0.629 (0.39–1.50) P = 0.683
0.001 0.001 P < 0.001 P < 0.001 P = 0.438
Discharge SNF 4.92 3.69 5.18 4.67 2.06 (0.93–4.54) 1.80 0.94 (0.50–1.77)
(2.88–8.42) (1.91–7.11) (2.76–9.73) (2.38–9.18) P = 0.074 (0.80–4.04) P = 0.842
P < 0.001 P < 0.001 P < 0.001 P < 0.001 P = 0.154
Discharge rehab 1.71 (0.83–3.56) 1.86 (0.82–4.26) 2.50 1.08 (0.45–2.60) 0.47 (0.19–1.15) 0.36 1.21 (0.51–2.89)
P = 0.148 P = 0.140 (1.14–5.45) P = 0.858 P = 0.097 (0.12–1.15) P P = 0.667
P ¼ 0.022 = 0.084
Bold indicates P < 0.05; mRS = modified Rankin Scale, t-MOCA = telephone Montreal Cognitive Assessment; SNF = skilled nursing facility.
6
J.A. Frontera et al. Journal of the Neurological Sciences 443 (2022) 120487
Table 4b
Association of index COVID-19 hospitalization variables and 6- and 12-month patient-reported NeuroQoL outcomes. Univariate logistic regression odds ratios, 95%
confidence intervals (CI) and P values shown.
Anxiety T- Anxiety T- Depression T- Depression T- Fatigue T-score Fatigue T-score Sleep T-score Sleep T-score
score ≥ 60 at 6- score ≥ 60 at score ≥ 60 at 6- score ≥ 60 at ≥ 60 at 6- ≥ 60 at 12- ≥ 60 at 6- ≥ 60 at 12-
months 12-months months 12-months months months months months
N = 280 N = 225 N = 279 N = 225 N = 272 N = 223 N = 278 N = 221
Index COVID-19
Hospitalization
Neuro complication 0.51 1.51 1.10 4.21 1.06 3.77 1.46 0.77
(0.20–1.31) P (0.54–4.22) P (0.27–4.49) P = (0.86–20.75) P (0.36–3.12) P (1.32–10.76) P (0.66–3.23) P (0.32–1.89) P
= 0.162 = 0.428 0.894 = 0.077 = 0.910 ¼ 0.013 = 0.358 = 0.573
Hypoxic/ischemic 1.03 – 3.43 1.46 0.75 1.30 0.35 1.14
brain injury (0.23–4.70) P (0.66–17.94) P (0.17–12.40) P (0.09–5.99) P (0.28–6.10) P (0.05–2.67) P (0.25–5.34) P
= 0.969 = 0.144 = 0.727 = 0.786 = 0.741 = 0.310 = 0.864
Toxic-Metabolic 0.97 1.81 1.94 5.18 0.23 2.19 0.89 1.13
Encephalopathy (0.34–2.76) P (0.60–5.48) P (0.45–8.34) P = (1.33–20.12) P (0.03–1.78) P (0.82–5.86) P (0.34–2.31) P (0.40–3.25) P
= 0.958 = 0.296 0.373 ¼ 0.018 = 0.159 = 0.117 = 0.810 = 0.816
Mechanically 0.60 0.92 0.65 – 1.11 0.83 0.66 1.43
ventilated (0.21–1.68) P (0.31–2.76) P (0.13–3.28) P = (0.36–3.42) P (0.31–2.26) P (0.27–1.62) P (0.58–3.51) P
= 0.329 = 0.885 0.600 = 0.854 = 0.719 = 0.365 = 0.439
Worst Sequential Organ 0.90 0.98 0.82 0.79 0.90 0.94 0.89 0.97
Failure Assessment (0.78–1.03) P (0.86–1.12) P (0.62–1.08) P = (0.59–1.05) P= (0.76–1.07) P (0.83–1.07) P (0.78–1.01) P (0.87–1.09) P
(SOFA) score = 0.135 = 0.757 0.160 0.107 = 0.229 = 0.354 = 0.064 = 0.624
Lowest % oxygen 1.01 1.01 1.07 1.05 1.07 1.02 1.03 1.01
saturation (0.98–1.05) P (0.97–1.05) P (0.97–1.19) P = (0.97–1.14) P= (0.99–1.16) P (0.98–1.06) P (0.99–1.07) P (0.98–1.05) P
= 0.428 = 0.606 0.184 0.220 = 0.084 = 0.359 = 0.105 = 0.511
Lowest mean arterial 1.03 1.00 1.05 1.02 1.02 1.01 1.04 1.00
blood pressure (1.00–1.07) P (0.96–1.03) P (1.00–1.11) P = (0.97–1.07) P= (0.98–1.07) P (0.98–1.05) P (1.01–1.08) P (0.97–1.03) P
(mmHg) = 0.061 = 0.915 0.068 0.499 = 0.244 = 0.454 ¼ 0.007 = 0.905
Acute renal failure 2.64 2.16 2.04 0.75 2.46 1.56 1.82 1.36
(0.96–7.26) P (0.65–7.15) P (0.40–10.46) P (0.09–6.17) P= (0.73–8.25) P (0.49–5.01) P (0.68–4.82) P (0.43–4.31) P
= 0.061 = 0.210 = 0.395 0.786 = 0.146 = 0.453 = 0.232 = 0.604
Medications during
Index
Hospitalization
Tocilizumab/ 0.89 1.62 0.53 – 0.28 0.33 0.62 1.05
clazakizumab (0.29–2.76) P (0.43–6.09) P (0.06–4.35) P = (0.04–2.22) P (0.04–2.56) P (0.21–1.87) P (0.29–3.80) P
= 0.845 = 0.472 0.550 = 0.230 = 0.288 = 0.395 = 0.940
Corticosteroids 0.64 0.27 0.90 0.74 0.72 0.31 0.44 1.53
(0.21–1.95) P (0.03–2.18) P (0.18–4.58) P = (0.14–3.78) P = (0.20–2.65) P (0.07–1.43) P (0.15–1.32) P (0.51–4.56) P
= 0.429 = 0.217 0.903 0.714 = 0.619 = 0.134 = 0.143 = 0.445
Remdesivir – – – – – – – –
Hydroxychloroquine 0.73 0.40 0.59 0.55 2.28 0.94 0.71 1.42
(0.28–1.88) P (0.10–1.56) P (0.14–2.54) P = (0.13–2.39) P = (0.50–10.43) P (0.28–3.14) P (0.31–1.67) P (0.38–5.31) P
= 0.509 = 0.187 0.480 0.422 = 0.289 = 0.923 = 0.435 = 0.602
Nitazoxanide 5.35 – 14.72 – 7.00 – 3.27 –
(0.97–29.41) P (2.45–88.46) P (1.28–38.39) (0.63–17.05)
= 0.054 ¼ 0.003 P ¼ 0.025 P = 0.160
Zinc 0.68 1.37 0.45 0.63 0.55 0.38 0.37 0.71
(0.27–1.73) P (0.35–5.30) P (0.09–2.28) P = (0.15–2.74) P = (0.17–1.79) P (0.12–1.25) P (0.15–0.95) P (0.24–2.11) P
= 0.417 = 0.648 0.336 0.540 = 0.318 = 0.110 ¼ 0.040 = 0.543
Ascorbic acid 1.23 0.66 0.78 0.57 0.96 0.21 0.50 0.94
(0.48–3.16) P (0.21–2.13) P (0.16–3.96) P = (0.12–2.82) P = (0.29–3.15) P (0.05–0.94) P (0.18–1.38) P (0.37–2.42) P
= 0.672 = 0.488 0.766 0.492 = 0.944 ¼ 0.041 = 0.183 = 0.899
Lopinavir/ritonavir 1.71 – – – 1.70 – 2.01 1.07
(0.47–6.24) P (0.36–8.08) P (0.63–6.38) P (0.23–4.98) P
= 0.417 = 0.503 = 0.237 = 0.931
Azithromycin 0.53 0.33 0.28 0.25 0.48 0.26 0.60 0.48
(0.22–1.29) P (0.09–1.30) P (0.07–1.21) P = (0.06–1.08) P = (0.16–1.42) P (0.09–0.79) P (0.27–1.33) P (0.16–1.41) P
= 0.162 = 0.113 0.089 0.063 = 0.186 ¼ 0.017 = 0.206 = 0.183
Therapeutic 1.22 1.22 1.19 0.56 0.54 0.47 0.53 1.13
anticoagulation (0.49–3.05) P (0.43–3.49) P (0.28–5.08) P = 0.11–2.76) P = (0.15–1.97) P (0.15–1.44) P (0.21–1.36) P (0.45–2.82) P
= 0.675 = 0.714 0.817 0.476 = 0.348 = 0.185 = 0.186 = 0.800
Discharge metrics
Length of stay 0.99 1.01 0.98 0.95 0.99 0.98 0.98 1.01
(0.96–1.02) (0.98–1.04) (0.94–1.03) (0.88–1.02) (0.95–1.02) (0.95–1.01) (0.95–1.01) (0.99–1.03)
P = 0.546 P = 0.531 P = 0.486 P = 0.137 P = 0.469 P = 0.233 P = 0.119 P = 0.449
Discharge home 0.77 1.05 0.80 1.05 0.47 0.62 0.99 0.41
(0.31–1.94) (0.35–3.20) (0.19–3.43) (0.26–4.33) (0.16–1.39) (0.25–1.57) (0.42–2.30) (0.17–0.99)
P = 0.585 P = 0.927 P = 0.764 P = 0.944 P = 0.171 P = 0.315 P = 0.977 P ¼ 0.048
Discharge SNF 1.39 0.28 1.53 0.47 2.59 2.35 1.29 1.13
(0.49–4.00) (0.04–2.22) (0.30–7.79) (0.06–3.89) (0.83–8.10) (0.88–6.31) (0.49–3.37) (0.39–3.26)
P = 0.538 P = 0.230 P = 0.612 P = 0.487 P = 0.102 P = 0.090 P = 0.609 P = 0.819
Discharge rehab 0.87 2.47 1.19 1.05 1.43 0.41 1.04 3.79
(0.19–3.96) (0.64–9.59) (0.14–10.06) (0.13–8.76) (0.30–6.74) (0.05–3.21) (0.29–3.69) (1.31–10.98)
P = 0.860 P = 0.192 P = 0.871 P = 0.967 P = 0.652 P = 0.395 P = 0.953 P ¼ 0.014
Bold indicates P < 0.05; NeuroQoL = neurological quality of life; SNF = skilled nursing facility.
7
J.A. Frontera et al. Journal of the Neurological Sciences 443 (2022) 120487
Table 5
Impact of Life Stressors on 12-month outcomes. Univariate logistic regression odds ratios, 95% confidence intervals (CI) and P values shown.
mRS 4–6 Barthel < 100 t-MoCA Anxiety T- Depression T- Fatigue T- Sleep T-score 12-month Post-
N ¼ 236 N ¼ 236 ≤ 18 score ≥ 60 score ≥ 60 score ≥ 60 ≥ 60 acute COVID-19
N ¼ 170 N ¼ 225 N ¼ 225 N ¼ 223 N ¼ 221 symptoms N ¼
242
Stressors
At least one 1.32 1.55 1.03 7.07 – 5.61 3.43 2.08
stressor (0.76–2.28) P (0.91–2.64) P (0.56–1.90) P (1.57–31.87) (1.60–19.74) (1.22–9.67) P (1.23–3.52) P ¼
= 0.327 = 0.111 = 0.930 P ¼ 0.011 P ¼ 0.007 ¼ 0.019 0.006
Number of 1.10 1.18 1.02 1.37 1.42 1.47 1.43 1.29
stressors (0.92–1.31) P (0.99–1.39) P (0.84–1.23) P (1.06–1.77) P (1.03–1.96) P (1.16–1.87) P (1.14–1.80) P (1.07–1.56) P ¼
= 0.295 = 0.062 = 0.861 ¼ 0.016 ¼ 0.032 ¼ 0.001 ¼ 0.002 0.007
Social Isolation 1.28 1.91 1.09 4.22 3.22 2.17 2.50 1.83
(0.59–2.79) P (0.90–4.06) P (0.47–2.54) P (1.42–12.59) (0.76–13.61) P (0.73–6.46) P (0.90–6.95) P (0.84–4.00) P =
= 0.527 = 0.090 = 0.846 P ¼ 0.010 = 0.111 = 0.163 = 0.080 0.128
Financial 0.90 1.01 1.06 4.15 1.34 2.13 2.98 1.31
Insecurity (0.43–1.90) P (0.50–2.03) P (0.50–2.23) P (1.44–11.92) (0.27–6.70) P (0.76–5.94) P (1.16–7.69) P (0.66–2.60) P =
= 0.787 = 0.983 = 0.882 P ¼ 0.008 = 0.723 = 0.148 ¼ 0.024 0.438
Unemployment 0.96 1.00 0.65 0.60 – 1.02 2.24 3.34
(0.37–2.46) P (0.40–2.48) P (0.23–1.79) P (0.08–4.75) P (0.22–4.71) P (0.68–7.32) P (1.19–9.38) P ¼
= 0.933 = 0.994 = 0.399 = 0.626 = 0.983 = 0.184 0.022
Food Insecurity 0.68 0.43 1.48 9.81 6.63 7.41 – 1.34
(0.07–6.69) P (0.05–3.91) P (0.20–10.75) (1.51–63.60) (0.66–66.23) P (1.16–47.25) (0.22–8.15) P =
= 0.744 = 0.453 P = 0.700 P ¼ 0.017 = 0.107 P ¼ 0.034 0.753
Homelessness – – – – – – – –
Domestic violence – – – – – – – –
Relationship 0.91 0.86 1.24 1.01 4.86 3.08 1.56 1.35
problems in (0.27–3.07) P (0.29–2.62) P (0.36–4.23) P (0.12–8.21) P (0.91–25.95) P (0.78–12.12) P (0.33–7.46) P (0.47–3.94) P =
household = 0.884 = 0.796 = 0.734 = 0.996 = 0.065 = 0.107 = 0.579 0.578
Education – – 0.48 4.58 – 3.51 – –
disruption (0.05–4.72) P (0.45–46.73) P (0.35–35.04) P
= 0.529 = 0.199 = 0.287
Increased 5.15 3.52 1.90 1.85 3.83 1.39 1.23 0.77
caregiver (1.72–15.40) (1.25–9.89) P (0.49–7.32) P (0.38–8.90) P (0.73–20.07) P (0.30–6.58) P (0.26–5.76) P (0.29–2.08) P =
responsibilities P ¼ 0.003 ¼ 0.017 = 0.354 = 0.444 = 0.112 = 0.676 = 0.796 0.608
New Disability 4.42 8.34 0.72 1.72 3.57 8.57 4.21 1.57
(1.69–11.60) (2.69–25.88) (0.21–2.48) P (0.36–8.26) P (0.69–18.63) P (2.89–24.45) (1.34–13.22) (0.60–4.15) P =
P ¼ 0.003 P < 0.001 = 0.597 = 0.496 = 0.131 P < 0.001 P ¼ 0.014 0.360
Death of close 0.71 1.28 1.74 1.21 12.96 2.29 1.99 1.89
contact (0.27–1.87) P (0.54–3.02) P (0.64–4.77) (0.26–5.70) P (3.21–52.38) P (0.70–7.51) P (0.61–6.46) P (0.77–4.60) P =
= 0.483 = 0.575 P = 0.279 = 0.806 < 0.001 = 0.173 = 0.253 0.163
Illness of close 0.58 0.74 1.07 – 1.10 0.43 1.41 1.43
contact (0.21–1.64) P (0.29–1.88) P (0.41–2.82) P (0.13–9.23) P (0.06–3.39) P (0.38–5.20) P (0.59–3.44) P =
= 0.303 = 0.530 = 0.886 = 0.928 = 0.433 = 0.603 0.430
Political conflict – 0.18 0.47 3.59 – 1.14 4.33 3.72
with close (0.02–1.48) P (0.09–2.41) P (0.70–18.53) P (0.14–9.44) P (1.03–18.14) (0.77–17.91) P =
contacts = 0.112 = 0.368 = 0.127 = 0.907 P ¼ 0.045 0.101
Bold indicates P < 0.05; mRS = modified Rankin Scale, t-MOCA = telephone Montreal Cognitive Assessment.
severity of illness or are specific to the SARS-CoV-2 pathogen. effect of azithromycin on symptoms at 14–28 days [59,60] post-
Finally, most COVID-19 specific medications used during index infection, hospitalization rates [60], requirement for invasive mechan
hospitalization did not independently predict 12-month outcomes, with ical ventilation [61], discharge disposition [61], clinical recovery [62],
the exception of azithromycin, which was protective against severe fa or mortality [61,63], further study of azithromycin for the treatment of
tigue scores. Since this cohort represents the first SARS-CoV-2 wave in PASC fatigue may be warranted.
the U.S., many subsequent studies that identified effective acute thera Strengths of this study include the prospective ascertainment of data
pies were not yet published [52–56]. Indeed, many critically ill patients from hospitalization through 12-month follow-up, the robust charac
were treated with anticoagulation based on ferritin and D-Dimer levels terization of neurological events during index hospitalization, account
per hospital protocol, while decadron was sporadically, and inconsis ing of pre-COVID functional status, assessment of life stressors, and the
tently used. There were too few patients who received remdesivir to use of both quantitative and patient-reported long-term outcome met
even perform statistical analyses. Because certain COVID-19 specific rics. There are also several limitations to this study that should be noted.
medications may have variable beneficial or harmful impact depending First, we did not a priori investigate certain factors that may be
on the population treated, it is likely we were unable to detect any effect important outcome predictors. For example, a multi-omic study of 309
due to both underpowering and poor patient selection. The relationship patients (51% were hospitalized for index COVID-19) examined pre
of in-hospital azithromycin use and 12-month fatigue scores is dictors of post-acute symptoms (most commonly fatigue, cough and
intriguing, since azithromycin has been reported to provide symptom anosmia/dysgeusia) at 2–3 months post SARS-CoV-2 infection. In this
atic relief to patients with chronic fatigue syndrome [57]. Azithromycin study, type 2 diabetes, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) viremia, SARS-CoV-2
has been shown to have immune modulating capacity and its utility in RNAemia and several autoantibodies were identified as risk factors for
chronic fatigue syndrome patients is thought to be linked to its effect on post-acute symptoms [64]. Because index hospitalization occurred early
chronically primed immune cells in the brain [57]. Additionally, azi in the pandemic in our study, we did not have measures of SARS-CoV-2
thromycin has anti-inflammatory and anti-viral properties [58], which viral load, nor did we assess autoantibodies or EBV levels. Though we
may play a role in the pathophysiology of post-COVID-19 chronic fa evaluated the impact of diabetes on our outcome measures, we did not
tigue. While acute COVID-19 studies did not demonstrate a beneficial find any significant associations. Differences in study populations
8
J.A. Frontera et al. Journal of the Neurological Sciences 443 (2022) 120487
Table 6 performed due to <2 univariate predictors with P < 0.05 Variables (univariate
Multivariable predictors of 6- and 12-month outcomes calculated using multi predictors with P < 0.05) assessed in each backwards, stepwise logistic regres
variable, backwards, stepwise logistic regression analyses. Adjusted odds ratios sion model by outcome of interest:
(OR), 95% confidence intervals (CI), p values, and area under the curve (AUC) 6-month mRS: age, education>12 years, pre-COVID disability, history of de
for the entire model are shown. mentia, history of psychiatric disorder, any neurological complication during
hospitalization, hypoxic ischemic brain injury, toxic-metabolic encephalopathy,
Variable Adjusted OR P Model AUC
(95% CI) (95% CI)
azithromycin use during hospitalization.
12-month mRS: age, pre-COVID disability, history of dementia, hypoxic
6-month mRS 4–6 0.755 ischemic brain injury, toxic-metabolic encephalopathy, increased caregiver re
(0.697–0.813)
sponsibility, personal illness, new disability stressor.
Age 1.02 (1.00–1.04) 0.021
6-month Barthel Index: age, sex, pre-COVID disability, history of dementia,
Baseline mRS 1.99 (1.60–2.48) <0.001
Neurological event during 1.74 (1.02–2.98) 0.043 history of psychiatric disorder, any neurological complication during hospital
index hospitalization ization, hypoxic ischemic brain injury, toxic-metabolic encephalopathy, me
12-month mRS 4–6 0.830 chanical ventilation, worst SOFA score, use of corticosteroids during
(0.769–0.892) hospitalization.
Age 1.04 (1.01–1.06) 0.002 12-month Barthel Index: age, sex, pre-COVID disability, hypoxic ischemic brain
Baseline mRS 2.05 (1.59–2.65) <0.001 injury, toxic-metabolic encephalopathy, increased caregiver responsibility,
Hypoxic ischemic 3.58 0.037 personal illness, new disability stressor.
encephalopathy during index (1.08–11.92)
6-month t-MoCA: age, race, education>12 years, history of dementia, tocilizu
hospitalization
mab use during hospitalization.
Stressor: new disability 4.88 0.007
(1.53–15.56) 12-month t-MoCA: age.
6-month Barthel < 100 0.789 12-month Anxiety: sex, history of dementia, at least one life stressor, number of
(0.737–0.841) stressors, social isolation, financial insecurity, food insecurity.
Age 1.04 (1.02–1.06) <0.001 12-month Depression: age, education>12 years, toxic-metabolic encephalopa
Baseline mRS 2.02 (1.58–2.59) <0.001 thy, number of stressors, death of a close contact,
Maximum SOFA score during 1.10 (1.01–1.19) 0.024 12-month Fatigue: education>12 years, pre-COVID disability, any neurological
index hospitalization
complication during hospitalization, ascorbic acid use during hospitalization,
12-month Barthel < 100 0.882
azithromycin use during hospitalization, at least one life stressor, number of
(0.837–0.929)
Age 1.06 (1.03–1.09) <0.001
stressors, food insecurity, personal illness, new disability.
Baseline mRS 2.62 (1.90–3.62) <0.001 12-month Sleep: at least one life stressor, number of stressors, financial inse
Male sex 0.33 (0.15–0.72) 0.005 curity, personal illness, new disability, political conflict with close contacts.
Stressor: new disability 11.74 0.001 Post-acute COVID-19 symptoms: mechanical ventilation during index hospital
(2.76–50.05) ization, worst Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score during hos
6-month Telephone MoCA ≤ 18 0.688 pitalization, oxygen saturation during hospitalization, tocilizumab,
(0.608–0.769) corticosteroid, hydroxychloroquine, zinc, azithromycin or therapeutic anti
White race 0.41 (0.21–0.83) 0.012
coagulation during hospitalization, at least one life stressor, number of stressors,
History of dementia 6.82 0.019
unemployment, personal illness.
(1.38–33.67)
Education>12 years 0.30 (0.12–0.77) 0.012
12-month Telephone MoCA ≤ 18 0.664 (hospitalized versus not) and time frame of outcome assessments, may in
(0.573–0.755)
part explain this discrepancy. While most of our models demonstrated
Age 1.04 (1.01–1.07) 0.003
Education>12 years 0.34 (0.15–0.80) 0.014
robust AUCs, models for cognition and post-acute COVID-19 symptoms
12-month NeuroQoL Anxiety T-score ≥ 60 0.731 yielded middling AUC values, suggesting there are important factors
(0.592–0.870) that we did not account for in these models. We did not have baseline
Male sex 0.21 (0.06–0.74) 0.015 pre-COVID cognitive testing to evaluate change over time. It is also
History of dementia 6.42 0.011
likely that sicker patients may not have been able to participate in
(1.54–26.69)
12-month NeuroQoL Depression T-score ≥ 60 0.903 cognitive testing or review of post-acute symptoms. Second, there were
(0.812–0.993) some differences in the number participants between the two time
Age 1.11 (1.02–1.20) 0.011 points, and the same individuals are not represented at each time point.
Education>12 years 0.14 (0.03–0.77) 0.024
However, aside from older age in those lost to follow-up at 12-months,
Stressor: death of a close 20.79 0.001
contact (3.57–121.14)
there were no other significant differences between those who
12-month NeuroQoL Fatigue T-score ≥ 60 0.840 completed only 6-month follow-up and those who completed 12-month
(0.732–0.948) follow-up. Third, we did not collect life stressor data at the 6-month
Stressor: food insecurity 21.32 0.013 visit, so we were unable to account for these variables in 6-month
(1.92–236.80)
outcome models. Fourth, some medications utilized to treat COVID-19
Stressor: new disability 6.5 1 0.015
(1.45–29.33) appeared to be associated with worse outcomes in univariate analyses.
Baseline mRS 1.53 (1.05–2.23) 0.027 This is likely related to bias by indication, since many of these medi
Azithromycin use during index 0.25 (0.08–0.82) 0.022 cations were reserved for the sickest patients, and little data existed to
hospitalization guide standardized management during the first wave of the pandemic.
12-month NeuroQoL Sleep T-score ≥ 60 0.694
(0.574–0.814)
Last, we dichotomized NeuroQoL scores at ≥1 standard deviation above
Number of stressors 1.43 (1.12–1.82) 0.004 the mean. There is some data to suggest that a clinically meaningful
12-month Post-Acute COVID-19 Symptoms 0.685 threshold for dichotomization may be 0.5 standard deviations (SD)
(0.616–0.753) above the mean [65,66]. Utilization of a more liberal 0.5 SD threshold
At least 1 stressor 2.47 (1.39–4.40) 0.002
would increase the prevalence of worse NeuroQoL measures and could
Mechanical ventilation during 6.37 0.001
index hospitalization (2.16–18.78) lead to differences in multivariable models.
9
J.A. Frontera et al. Journal of the Neurological Sciences 443 (2022) 120487
Fig. 1. Independent predictors of outcome 6- and 12-months after COVID-19 hospitalization. Life stressors, age, female sex, baseline disability, and index COVID-19
severity were the most common predictors of functional status (measured by the modified Rankin Scale [mRS]), activities of daily living (ADLs, measured by the
Barthel Index), cognition (measured by the telephone MoCA) and patient-reported anxiety, depression, fatigue and sleep (assessed using NeuroQoL metrics).
10
J.A. Frontera et al. Journal of the Neurological Sciences 443 (2022) 120487
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