Name: COMPETENTE, JOHN ANGELO C.

Course & Section: BSCE- 3A

1. Discuss the following:

a) Travel Demand and Traffic Forecasting
- Travel demand is the amount and kind of travel that people would
choose to make under certain circumstances, taking into
consideration elements like the standard of the available
transportation alternatives and their costs. From the investment
feasibility assessment through the creation of functioning
paperwork, traffic forecasting is a crucial step in the process of
planning road facilities. A number of interrelated elements are taken
into consideration while deciding how to carry and distribute cars
into sections.

b) Traveler Decisions
- Making choices about when and where to travel is a challenging,
multi-step process that is impacted by both internal and external
circumstances. One of their particular qualities, especially when it
comes to destination selections, is the fact that travel decisions
require negotiations between the wants of tourists and the site.

c) Scope of the Travel Demand and Traffic Forecasting Problem

- The breadth of demand forecasting is determined by the firm's
present operating segments and expected future business
segments. Forecasting may be done on a worldwide scale if the
operational area is global. Utilizing predictive analysis of historical
data, demand forecasting is a strategy for evaluating and predicting
future customer demand for a commodity or service. Demand
forecasting helps the business make better informed supply
decisions by projecting future sales and income.

d) Trip Generation, Typical Trip Generation Models, Trip Generation with Count
Data Models
- Trip generation is the number of travels that begin and end in each
zone for a particular jurisdiction. These consist of trip production,
trip distribution, modal split, and traffic assignments. The three basic
techniques used in trip generation analysis are cross-classification,
multiple regression analysis, and experience-based analysis.
e) Mode and Destination Choice, Methodological Approach, Logit Model
Applications
- Trip distribution or spatial interaction models are examples of
destination choice models since they are discrete choice models.
choosing a place for a vacation from a variety of options. The event's
log-odds (the event's logarithm) are made into a linear combination
of one or more independent variables in the (binary) logistic model,
also known as the logit model. This statistical model calculates the
chance that one event (out of two alternatives) will occur
("predictors").

f) Highway Route Choice, Highway Performance Functions, User Equilibrium,

Mathematical Programming Approach to User Equilibrium, System
Optimization
- Route assignment, route choice, or traffic assignment are terms
used to describe the process of picking routes (sometimes referred
to as pathways) between sources and destinations in transportation
networks. The classic transportation forecasting model places it as
the fourth step, following Trip Generation, Destination Selection, and
Mode Selection. The equilibrium technique has been heavily used by
the estimator to represent interactions between the supply and
demand sides of traffic assignment. The User Equilibrium (UE)
approach is the trip assignment method for vehicles that is most
often used.

g) Traffic Forecasting in Practice

- To predict future traffic, data on present traffic are first collected.
This traffic data is combined with other well-known facts, such as
population, employment, trip rates, travel prices, etc., to produce a
traffic demand model for the present situation. Transportation
forecasting is the process of attempting to foretell the number of
vehicles or passengers that will use a specific transportation facility
in the future.

h) Traditional Four-Step Process

- The key to predicting future travel needs and network requirements
is this model, which may be constructed in four different stages: trip
generation, trip distribution, traffic assignment, and model split.
i) The Current State of Travel Demand and Traffic Forecasting
- Numerous variables, such as demographics, facility quality, cost and
quality of alternatives, and land use patterns, might affect the need
for travel. A forecast is a projection of what's most likely to happen
in the future, often in relation to a certain situation or event.