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Cameron 1985
Cameron 1985
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ECONOMIC HISTORY
REVIEW
I971). See also W. W. Rostow, ed. The Economicsof Take-off into Sustained Growth (New York, i963);
idem, Politics and the Stages of Growth (Cambridge, I971); idem, How It All Began: Originsof the Modern
Economy(New York, I975); idem, The WorldEconomy:History and Prospect(Austin and London, I978).
there is a relationship between the two groups. For an elaboration of this framework for the study of
economic growth and applications to the pre-industrial era see Rondo Cameron, 'Economic History, Pure
and Applied', Journal of EconomicHistory, xxxvI (I976), pp. 3-27; also idem 'Technology, Institutions
and Long-Term Economic Change', in Charles P. Kindleberger and Guido di Tella, eds., Economicsin the
Long View: Essays in Honour of W. W. Rostow (3 vols. i982), I, pp. 27-43.
R. M. Hartwell, one of the most prolific and fervent advocates of the term,
admits that ". . . although the industrial revolution was a great discontinuity,
it was not one which could be identified by a sharply dated turning point or
take-off, as measured by macro-economic indexes".14
Despite efforts both to lengthen and shorten the span of the "revolution",
the conventional dating received the imprimatur of no less an authority than
T. S. Ashton, in his influential little book The Industrial Revolution, I 760-
I830.15 This is doubly ironic, because Ashton, unlike most of his predecessors,
viewed the outcome of the period as an "achievement" rather than a "cata-
strophe", and because he had no special fondness for the term. 16 (The dates
are not unrelated to the fact that the book was one in a chronological series.)
"The changes were not merely 'industrial', but also social and intellectual.
The word 'revolution' implies a suddenness of change that is not, in fact,
characteristic of economic processes. The system of human relationships that
is sometimes called capitalism had its origins long before I760, and attained
its full development long after i830: there is danger of overlooking the
essential fact of continuity. "17
But most proponents of the term emphasize discontinuity. "Whoever says
Industrial Revolution says cotton", according to Eric Hobsbawm.18 Insofar
as the statement is accurate, it also reveals the inadequacy and pretentiousness
of the term. It is true that the majorinventions in cotton spinning-Arkwright's
water frame and carding engine, and Crompton's mule-were made within a
relatively short time and quickly adopted by other manufacturers. By i802
cotton yarn and cloth displaced woollens as Britain's leading export. Even so,
the industry remained relatively small and highly concentrated. As late as
i84I, factory workers in the cotton industry constituted less than 5 per cent
of the non-agricultural labour force, and the industry as a whole produced
only IO per cent of the industrial output of Britain.19 While this is an
impressive achievement for a single industry, it is far from constituting an
industrial revolution in either of the two broad senses stipulated by Coleman.20
Far more important, in the long run, than the mushroom growth of
the cotton industry were developments in the coal, iron, and engineering
industries-and these were, in themselves, long run developments. Although
technical innovation in coal-mining proper-that is, at the coal face-was
limited, almost non-existent, two of the most important innovations of the
14 Richard [sic] M. Hartwell,
'Economic Growth in England Before the Industrial Revolution: Some
Methodological Issues', Jnl. Econ. Hist., XXIX (i969), p. i9. Cf. Simon Kuznets, Economic Growth of
Nations: Total Outputand ProductionStructure,(Cambridge, Mass., I97I), pp. 4I-2: ". . . the data are not
adequate for testing hypotheses concerning the time patterns of the growth rates. But they do not provide
support for W. W. Rostow's 'take-off' theory . .. nor . .. the Gerschenkron hypothesis . .
15 T. S. Ashton, The Industrial
Revolution, I760-i830 (Oxford, I948).
16 The words in quotation marks are
from the dust jacket of the first edition of Ashton, Industrial
Revolution.
17 Ibid. p. 2.
18 E. J. Hobsbawn, Industryand Empire: An EconomicHistory of Britain Since I750 (i968), p. 40.
19 C. Knick Harley, 'British Industrialization Before i84I: Evidence of Slower Growth During the
Industrial Revolution', J3nl. Econ. Hist., XLII (i982), p. 283; B. R. Mitchell and Phyllis Deane, Abstract
of British Historical Statistics (Cambridge, i962), pp. 6o, i87. Donald McCloskey has calculated that "The
ratio of cotton output to national income in i8oo was about o0o7"; Roderick Floud and Donald McCloskey,
eds. The EconomicHistory of Britain Since I700, I (Cambridge, i98i), p. II2.
20
Coleman, 'Industrial Growth and Industrial Revolution', p. 335.
Accuracy of the i870 Factory Return', Econ. Hist. Rev. 2nd ser., XXXII(I979), pp. 360-75. On pp. 374-
5 he "suggests a total of about 170,000 horsepower at that date [i8oo]", of which "perhaps 35,000" came
from I,500 steam engines. (These data come from his unpublished Ph.D. thesis, 'The Diffusion of Power
Technology in British Industry, I760-i870', (University of Exeter, 1979.)
24 Arthur Raistrick, Industrial Archaeology: An Historical Survey (I972), p. 240; see also Terry S.
Reynolds, Strongerthan a HundredMen: A Historyof the VerticalWaterWheel(Baltimore, i983), pp. 266ff.
wooden sailing ships, reached their peak technical efficiency after i850,
whereas hydraulic turbines and column-of-water engines were nineteenth-
century inventions. As late as i870 the industrial utilization of steam engines,
even in GreatBritain, was confined largely to mining, textiles, and metallurgy;
several industries relied as much, or more, on water power. The greatest
absolute increase in steam power, amounting to almost a ten-fold rise, came
between i870 and the end of the nineteenth century.25 Nonetheless, the first
Census of Production of I907 recorded significant amounts of water power
still in use.
The most recent research and analysis support the view, implied by this
evidence, that industrialization in Britain was gradual during the "classic"
industrial revolution period. After a careful and penetrating re-examination
and re-estimation of the indices of industrial production on the basis of
available quantitative evidence, C. Knick Harley reached the "principal
conclusion" that "the growth of industrial production was much slower
betweenI 770 and I 8 I 5 than eithermost narrativeaccounts. . . or [previous]
quantitative research . . . have suggested".26 In similar vein, N. F. R. Crafts,
in an equally detailed "review of the evidence", concluded that "Growth
was substantially slower during the years I780-i83I than is believed by
conventional wisdom. . . . The economy did not experience a 'take-off' in the
last two decades of the eighteenth century. The pace of growth quickened at
that time, but not dramatically so. "27
The census of i85i reveals clearly the extent to which the British economy
had been "revolutionized" by the middle of the nineteenth century. Agricul-
ture was by far the largest occupation, followed by domestic service. Workers
in the building trades outnumbered cotton workers of "every kind". Shoemak-
ers were more numerous than coal miners, blacksmiths than ironworkers.
More than half a century ago, Clapham-who, incidentally, did not employ
the term industrial revolution-deduced from that census that "The course
was set towards the 'industry state', but the voyage was not half over" 28
II
By analogy with Great Britain, the term industrial revolution has also been
applied to the onset of industrialization in other countries, although without
25 A. E. Musson, The Growth of British Industry (I978), pp. i67-8. This ratio may require slight
modification in the light of Kanefsky's findings, but the order of magnitude is the same: Kanefsky, 'Motive
Power', p. 374.
26 Harley, 'British Industrialization Before i84I', p. 285.
27 N. F. R. Crafts, 'British Economic Growth, I700-i83I: A Review of the Evidence', Econ. Hist. Rev.
2nd ser. xxxvi (i983), p. i99. Commenting upon the findings of Harley and Crafts, Peter Lindert has
written, "The latest guesses thus have growth much slower from I700 to i83I than Deane and Cole had
surmised. . . . There may be no acceleration left before i8I5 (Harley) or i83I (Crafts) to deserve such
labels as 'Revolution' or 'take-off'. Perhaps the real acceleration of growth and industrialization was early
Victorian . . ."; 'Remodeling British Economic History: A Review Article', Jnl. Econ. Hist., XLIII (i983),
pp. 989-go. Jeffrey E. Williamson, 'Why was British Growth so Slow during the Industrial Revolution?',
ibid., XLIV (i984), pp. 687-7I2, appeared after this article went to press.
28 J. H. Clapham, An EconomicHistoryof ModernBritain, II, Free Tradeand Steel, i85o-i866 (Cambridge,
1932), p. 22; see also Peter Mathias, The First IndustrialNation (2nd ed. i983), pp. 224-5.
III
The question whether continental industrializationfollowed "the British
model" has receivedcategoricaldenialsfrom two historians.In a perceptive
study of Swedish economic growth, Lennart Jorbergwrote: "Neither in
Sweden nor on the Continent of Europe did the pattern follow that of
England".43Likewise, in a brilliantand stimulatingarticle, Sidney Pollard
averredthat, "Europeanindustrializationshouldnot be seen as the repetition
of a model, but as a single, if complex, process".44
Whatwasthe Britishmodel?The mainoutlinesarequiteclear:the primacy,
among consumergoods, of cotton textiles; among producergoods, of iron,
steel and engineeringproducts;and-above all-among intermediategoods,
of coal. We must also define the meaning of "continentalemulation",the
term used by David Landes.45Apparentlyit can mean one, or both, of two
things:(I) The governmentsof continentalcountrieswantedto catchup with,
or surpass,Britain'sindustrialand commercialpower, and institutedpolicies
to that end, such as industrial spies, protective tariffs, and government
constructionof (or subsidiesto) industrialplantsand railways;(2) continental
entrepreneursrecognizedthe superiorityof British technology,and wanted
to profitby introducingit to theirown limited, and often protected,markets.
Suchresponsesare, of course, perfectlynatural,and not limitedto Europe
43 'StructuralChangeand EconomicGrowth'in Crouzetet al., eds. European Economic History,p. 259.
44 'Industrialization
and the EuropeanEconomy',Econ. Hist. Rev. 2nd ser. XXVI (I973), p. 646. It
wouldappearthat Pollardchangedhis mind betweenthe date of that articleand the publicationof the
bookcitedin n. 4. Perhapshe will changeit again,as he wrotein the latterregardingindustrialization in
the secondhalfof the nineteenthcentury,"thereis now not merelya singlemodelto be followed,thatof
GreatBritain, but a choice of models offeringmore or less apt alternatives"(p. 22I). In personal
correspondence with me afterthe publicationof the book he wrote, "PerhapsI could admitat once that
the Britishoriginis not meantto imply a modelin the sequenceor speed, but in the kind of technology
andsocialinstitutionscreated"(Pollardto Cameron,I2.io.82). I am still dubious;I preferthe formulation
in the articlecited above.
45 Landes, UnboundPrometheus,p. I24.
5- ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ A f
4-J
Q ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ An./~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~ ~ \
=4 -/ /'S~~~~~~~~~~~~
3-
7
2- ~ ~
1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 19100 1920
W4~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~I
04
H3-
2 _ /
0*
1.820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910. 1920
Sources: Belgium-L'Annuaire Statistique de la Belgique, i87i and I9I4; France-Annuaire Statistique
de la France, i965; Germany-Walter G. Hoffman, Das Wachstumder deutschenWirtschaftseit der mittedes
i9. Jahrhunderts(New York, i96i); United Kingdom: B. R. Mitchell and Phyllis Deane, Abstractof British
Historical Statistics (Cambridge, i962).
57 Knut Borchardt, 'The Industrial Revolution in Germany, I700-I914', in Carlo M. Cipolla, ed. The
Fontana EconomicHistory of Europe, iv(i), p. I04.
58 See Rondo Cameron and Charles E. Freedeman, 'French Economic Growth: A Radical Revision',
Social Science History, 7 (i983), pp. 3-30, and sources there cited. Other recent contributions to this
discussion include Roehl, 'French Industrialization'; idem, 'Britain and European Industrialization';
Patrick O'Brien and Caglar Keyder, Economic Growth in Britain and France, I780-i9I4 (I978); and Don
R. Leet and John R. Shaw, 'French Economic Stagnation, I700-i960: Old Economic History Revisited',
Journal of InterdisciplinaryHistory, VIII (Winter I978), pp. 53 I-44. The assessment of O'Brien and Keyder
is most favourable to France, but their quantitative methods and estimates have been severely criticized,
particularlytheir finding that industrial productivity was higher in France than in Britain. See, e.g. Volker
Hentschel, 'Produktion, Wachstum und Productivitat in England, Frankreich, und Deutschland von der
Mitte des i9. Jahrhunderts bis zum Ersten Weltkrieg', Viertelsjahrschrift fur Sozial- und Wirtschaftsgeschi-
chte, 68 (i98i), pp. 457-5i0. A recent article by N. F. R. Crafts seeks to find a middle ground between
the "retardationists"and the revisionists. Crafts concludes that "French economic growth was respectable
but certainlynot outstanding during the nineteenth century. European countries did indeed follow different
paths of economic development, and comparisons of France and Britain that take Britain as a norm are
misleading"; 'Economic Growth in France and Britain, I830-I9I0: A Review of the Evidence', Jnl. Econ.
Hist. XLIV (I984), p. 67.
i899 (Paris, i9oi), cited by Walter Endrei, 'Energie hydraulique et revolution industrielle', unpublished
paper prepared for XV Settimana di Studio, Prato, Italy, I5-20 April i983, p. 8.
61 Nachum T. Gross, 'Economic Growth and the Consumption of Coal in Austria and Hungary, i83I-
1. /
Cc
1820 1830 18B40 1 850 1860 1870 1880 I 890 1900 1910 192
Source:B. R. Mitchell,EuropeanHistoricalStatistics,I7S0-I970.
and Belgium, in the last two decades of the eighteenth century, and possibly
earlier.6 It is indubitable that very respectable growth occurred in the first
half of the nineteenth century; estimates of per capita growth of industrial
productionfor Austriarangefrom I-7 to 3.6 per cent per annum, and those
rates accelerated somewhat in the second half of the century.3 Nevertheless,
although the overall picture is not as bleak as formerly depicted, there is no
doubt that modern industry in the Austro-Hungarian empire lagged behind
that in the more western nations, especially Germany.4
Regional disparity existed within the empire to an even greater extent than
in France and Germany, and that, too, served to create an exaggerated
impression of backwardness. There was a marked difference between the
western or Austrian (Cisleithanian), and eastern or Hungarian (Translei-
thanian) "halves" of the empire. Fig. 3, showing per capita coal production
for each, as well as joint imports and exports of coal, makes this clear: Austria
was well in advance of Hungary. But disparity was also striking within each
constituent part. In Cisleithania, just before World War I, Bohemia and
62 RichardL. Rudolph,'The Patternof AustrianIndustrialGrowthfrom the i8th to the Early20th
0. 6
cez ,~~~~~~~~~~~~/
0. 4 -~~~~~~~~~~~
0. 2 -
188 1856 1864 1872 1880 1888 1896 1904 1912 1920
Source: B. R. Mitchell, European Historical Statistic'15-90
IV
By contrastwith the majorcoal-richand the coal-poorindustrialnations,the
successful late industrializersincluded some small nations almost totally
without domestic supplies of coal: the Netherlands,Switzerland,Denmark,
Norway, and Sweden. The justificationfor describing these countries as
Table I. ManufacturingOutputPer Capita: Europe, I9I3
(Ten leading nations, in rank order)
Lewis Bairoch
I. United Kingdom i. United Kingdom
2. Belgium 2. Belgium
3. Germany 3. Switzerland
4. Switzerland 4. Germany
5. Sweden 5. Sweden
6. France 6. France
7. Denmark 7. Denmark
8. Netherlands 8. Austria-Hungary
9. Norway 9. Norway
I0. Austriaa I1. Netherlands
a Lewis lists Austriaseparatelyfrom (andaheadof) both Czechoslovakia
and Hungary,even for I9I3.
Sources:W. ArthurLewis, Growthand Fluctuations, i870-I9I3 (I978), p. i63, Table7. I; PaulBairoch,
'International Industrialization Levels from I750 to 1980',Journal of EuropeanEconomicHistory, II (i982),
p. 28i, Table 4, and p. 330, Table I5.
com
1. 2-
0. 8.
0. 4 - ...............
1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920
Source: B. R. Mitchell, European Historical Statistics, I750-I970.
* Norwayhas been omittedto ensureclarity;the patternfor thatcountrywas quite similarto thoseof
Denmarkand Sweden.
in the Nineteenth Century', in Kindleberger and Di Tella, eds. Economicsin the Long View, II, pp. I I I -
3'.
73 J. A. Dejonge, De industrialisatiein Nederland tussen i85o en 1914 (Amsterdam, i968), p. 296.
V
The remainingcountries of Europe-the Mediterraneancountries, south-
eastern Europe, and ImperialRussia-can be disposed of more briefly for
presentpurposes. One of their commoncharacteristicsis that they failed to
industrializesignificantlybefore I914, with resultinglow levels of per capita
income and a high incidenceof poverty.
To be sure, if one looked not at national aggregatesbut at individual
regions, regional variationwould emerge, as with Germany,France, the
Habsburgmonarchy,and even GreatBritain.For example,the pronounced
differencesbetween north and south in Italy existed long before the advent
of the twentiethcentury.75Had the Kingdomof Sardinia(withoutthe island
74 Sandberg,'Impoverished Sophisticate';see alsoidem, 'Ignorance,Poverty,andEconomicBackward-
ness in the early Stagesof EuropeanIndustrialization: Variationson AlexanderGerschenkron'sGrand
Theme',Jnl. Eur. Econ. Hist., II (i982), pp. 675-97, for a more wide-rangingtreatmentof the same
subject.Sandberg'sconclusionswith respectto southernand easternEurope,as well as to Scandinavia,
are essentiallythe sameas those presentedhere.
75 ShephardB. Clough and Carlo Livi, 'EconomicGrowthin Italy: An Analysis of the Uneven
Development of North and South', Jnl. Econ. Hist., XVI (I956), pp. 334-49.
VI
One shortarticlecannotdo justiceto all of the determinantsof sucha complex
socialprocessas that of industrialization,which explainsthe focus here upon
what I regardas the prime determinantsof that process, coal and human
capital-with incidentalmentionof agrarianreform.Othershavebeendeliber-
ately omitted, internationalinvestmentand the role of financialinstitutions,
for example, which have been the subjectof my researchelsewhere.80Both
of those were important,but their importanceis neitherso indisputablenor
their role so unidirectionalby comparisonwith coal and humancapital.For
example,Russia'stotalcapitalimportswerethe largestin EuropebeforeI9I4,
yet Russiawas not a majorindustrialpower. The Scandinaviancountries,on
the other hand, with much smaller totals, recordedthe largest per capita
imports of capital, which certainly facilitated their smooth transition to
industrialnation status. Belgium before i850, and Germanyin the i840s,
i850s, and i86os received importantinjections of foreign capital in their
strategicminingandmetallurgicalindustries.Foreign,mainlyFrench,capital
financeda largeproportionof the railwaysof Belgium,Spain,Portugal,Italy,
78 Sandberg,'Ignorance,Povertyand EconomicBackwardness'.
79 For example,insteadof producinga classof peasantproprietorsengagedin market-oriented
agricul-
ture, as had agrarianreformin Swedenand Denmark,the desamortizaci6n of churchand communallands
in Spainfurtherincreasedthe concentrationof landownershipamonga class of absenteelandlordsand
contributedto thegrowthof a landlessagriculturalproletariat-withadverseconsequencesforproductivity.
See JordiNadal, El fracaso de la revoluci6nindustrialen Espana, i8I4-I9I3 (Barcelona,I975), pp. 62-7,
8i-6, and GonzaloAnes Alvares,'La agricultureespafoladesdecomienzosdel siglo XIX hastai968', in
Banco de Espafia, Ensayos sobre la economiaespafiola desde comienzosdel siglo XIX (Madrid, I970), pp.
240-6. SeealsoDavidR. Ringrose,Madrid and theSpanish Economy, iS6o-i88o (Berkeley andLos Angeles,
discussionin the Spanishcontextof thedebilitatingeffectsof a backward
i983), pp. 325-30, fora perceptive
agricultureon the entireeconomy.
80 Rondo Cameron, France and the Economic Developmentof Europe: idem, et al. Banking in the Early
Stages of Industrialization;idem, ed. Banking and EconomicDevelopment(New York, I972); see also idem,
europeennefut-ellesi indgale?'in PierreLeon et al., eds. L'Industrialisation
'Pourquoil'industrialisation
en Europe au XIXe siecle: cartographicet typologie (Paris, I972); and 'The International Diffusion of
TechnologyandEconomicDevelopmentin the ModernEconomicEpoch',in 5 Themes,SixthInternational
Congresson EconomicHistory,Copenhagen,August, I974.
VII
In conclusion:therewas not one modelfor industrialization in the nineteenth
century-the British-but several.Coalandhumancapitalwerethe two basic
ingredients, but in combinationwith one anotherand with other elements
they produceda variety-a spectrum,in fact-of patternsof industrialization.
To takean importantexampleoutsidethe Europeanexperience,industrializa-
tion in the United Statespriorto about I870 dependedupon humancapital
and abundantnaturalresourcesother than coal (but includingwaterpower);
after I870 coal was added to the others, resultingin the spectacularleap by
the United Statesto the forefrontof the industrialpowers.
The customarydepictionof an "industrialrevolution"in GreatBritainand
its repetition in continental Europe and elsewhere distorts the historical
record.It alsoconcealsthe distinctivevarietiesof industrialization,
andignores
the ingenuityand achievementsof the men and women who contributedto
it.
Emory University
81 In additionto the works cited in the previousnote, see RichardTilly, FinancialInstitutions
and
Industrializationin the Rhineland, 18i5-1870 (Madison,i966); GabrielTortella-Casares, Los origenesdel
capitalismoen Espana (2nd ed. Madrid, i982); Richard Rudolph, Banking and Industrializationin Austria-
Hungary(Cambridge,I976); JohnR. LampeandMarvinR. Jackson,Balkan EconomicHistory, i550-i950
(Bloomington,i982), ch. 8; and Udo E. G. Heyn, Private Banking and Industrialization:The Case of
Frankfurtam Main, i825-i875 (New York, i98i).