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Boris
Boris
0.2
ACTIVIDAD 1 Y 2 0.3
0.5 a= 0.8 a= 0.5 a= 0.3
NAIVE Prom_Moviles Prom_Moviles Prom_Moviles Suavizamiento exponencial Suavizamiento exponencial Suavizamiento exponencial
Simples 3 Simples 5 Ponderado
Tiempo Clientes (Dt) F* (1) |Dt - F*| (Dt - F*)2 |Dt - F*|/ Dt (Dt - F*)/ Dt D* |Dt - F*| D* |Dt - F*| D* |Dt - F*| D* |Dt - F*| D* |Dt - F*| D* |Dt - F*|
1 58 58.00 58 58
2 54 58 4 16 0.074 -0.074 58.00 4.00 58.00 4.00 58.00 4.00
3 60 54 6 36 0.100 0.100 54.80 5.20 56.00 4.00 56.80 3.20
4 55 60 5 25 0.091 -0.091 57.33 57.8 2.8 58.96 3.96 58.00 3.00 57.76 2.76
5 62 55 7 49 0.113 0.113 56.33 56.3 5.7 55.79 6.21 56.50 5.50 56.93 5.07
6 62 62 0 0 0.000 0.000 59.00 3.00 57.8 4.2 59.5 2.5 60.76 1.24 59.25 2.75 58.45 3.55
7 65 62 3 9 0.046 0.046 59.67 5.33 58.6 6.4 60.6 4.4 61.75 3.25 60.63 4.38 59.52 5.48
8 63 65 2 4 0.032 -0.032 63.00 0.00 60.8 2.2 63.5 0.5 64.35 1.35 62.81 0.19 61.16 1.84
9 70 63 7 49 0.100 0.100 63.33 6.67 61.4 8.6 63.4 6.6 63.27 6.73 62.91 7.09 61.71 8.29
10 70 66.9 68.65 66.45 64.20
S S S S S
n n n n n
MAD MAD MAD MAD MAD
EMC
MAPE
MPE