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TITLE:
STOCK SELECTION THROUGH FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
SUBMITTED BY:
SUBMITTED TO:
4. COMPANY ANALYSIS
Apollo Tyres 12
JK Tyres 15
Adani Enterprises 19
Reliance Industries 22
Tata Motors 26
5. BUY/SELL RECOMMENDATION 30
6. REFERENCES 32
2
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Economic analysis is the study of economic systems. It may also be a study of a production
process or an industry. The analysis aims to determine how effectively the economy or
something within it is operating. For example, an economic analysis of a company focuses
mainly on how much profit is making.
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Current Macro-economy:
One of the most important factors to look at while investing in the stock market is to look the
instruments traded related to equity indices, government bonds, interest rates, currencies,
commodities, and yields.
Stock Indices:
Commodities:
Bond Yields:
The bond yields are a leading indicator of the sentiment of
the market, over here we have taken one of the most
popular bonds yields are US 10Y Bond yield which has
declined from 3.364% to 2.887, this shows there are a lot
of buyers for the bonds and can indicate that people are investing in safe havens as they think
the current situation is riskier.
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Yield Spread:
The difference in yield between two bonds,
or two classes of bonds, is referred to as the
bond spread or yield spread. The spread is
a measure of a bond's relative pricing or
valuation used by investors. The above
graph is the US 10Y 2Y Yield spread, The 10-year minus 2-year Treasury bond spread is
generally considered to be a warning of severe weakness in the stock market; credit spreads
often widen during times of financial stress wherein the flight-to-safety occurs toward safe-
haven assets such as U.S. treasuries and other sovereign instruments.
Currency:
The above two charts are of the dollar index and USD/INR. When USD/INR depreciates the
FII and FDI inflow reduces and the market corrects, now the currency is trading at its all-time
high.
5
INDUSTRIES CHOSEN FOR REVIEW
The following companies across different Industries are chosen for review on the basis of its market
capitalization as part of this project: -
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
6
The Indian Auto Sector is an integral part of the Indian economy contributing to about
7.5 percent to the GDP The Indian Tyre Industry which provide services to the Auto
Sector in India also contributes to around 3% of the manufacturing GDP of India and
0.5% of the total GDP directly.
Indian tyre industry has almost doubled from Rs 30,000 crores in 2010-11 to Rs 59,500
crores in 2017-18 of which 90-95% came from the domestic markets. The topthree
companies – MRF, Apollo Tyres and JK Tyres have 60% of the market share interms
of revenue.
3) Automobile sales
The demand from the OEM segments a derived one directly correlated to the level of
automotive production. The recent Slowdown in automotive industry and global economies
general negatively impacted the Indian Tyre industry.
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S.W.O.T. Analysis
Strengths Weakness
Highly Capital Intensive
Revival in economic activity
Fluctuation in Exchange Rate
Limited competition
Pricing Pressures
R&D initiative by Top players
Opportunity Threats
Improvement in Auto-Mobile Industry Introduction of other transport facilities
Access to global sources for raw Cheaper Import of tyres
material Expectation of rise in natural rubber
Exploration of new markets price
But that's not the case now. Due to their excessive debt loads and ongoing demands for large
amounts of stock to expand, conglomerates have turned into lumbering, slow-moving
leviathans. Conglomerates must now simplify their operations. being concentrated on five, six,
or seven large enterprises rather than acting as a conglomerate.
S.W.O.T. Analysis
Strengths Weakness
Presence from diversified sectors. Highly Capital Intensive
Inbuilt expertise in different arenas. Fluctuation in Exchange Rate
Customer credibility. Pricing Pressures
Opportunity Threats
5G Spectrum Highly competitive market
Rise in healthcare High Attrition rate
Exploration of new markets High probability of impact of
governmental implications impact
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India will overtake Germany as the world's fifth-largest auto market in 2020 in terms of sales.
The auto sector in India is currently valued more than $100 billion, produces 8% of the total
exports, and accounts for 2.3% of the country's GDP. Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland, and
Mahindra & Mahindra are just a few of India's leading automakers.
There are new launches and inexpensive cars coming in every other day; all of these vehicles
have been modified to ensure that the average person is not left behind. Between FY 2009
and FY 2020, the sales of the Indian automobile industry will grow at a CAGR of about 8%.
The automobile industry is highly capital intensive since it involves huge amount of
infrastructure which comprises of production plants, machines and other components included
in a particular car. It also involves a considerable amount of Information Technology in the
entire value chain of the production.
Besides this, Human Resource Management plays a vital role for all vehicle brands since
motivated and well managed human capital is the key to success in the automotive industry.
Considering the amount of capital expenditure required, management of financial
procurement is an imperative step that any company in the automobile industry needs to carry
out in the best possible manner.
1. Economic Conditions
The state of the economy is the primary motivator. People are more likely to buy new
cars when the economy is doing well, which helps the industry grow. The economy’s
output is slowing down, which lowers consumer and company confidence and
decreases vehicle use.
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2. Consumer Demand and Interests
Consumer demand, preferences, and interest constitute the second important driver.
More options are being sought after increasingly. With more vehicles being built to
order based on a multi-option selection, volume production may resemble that of
premium cars. The demand for more variety in body type and appearance among
consumers is driving up the market for niche automobiles. As a result, various body
shapes have been built on common bases.
3. Globalisation
Global industry influences and globalisation are the third major force. The modern,
international automotive sector competes on a worldwide scale today. Due to the
building of significant overseas facilities and mergers between massive multinational
automakers, the globalisation of the automotive industry has significantly increased
throughout the latter half of the 1990s. In order to lower production costs, the biggest
automakers in the world invest in factories in developing nations. To develop in
foreign markets, automakers have merged with, and in some cases formed commercial
strategic agreements with, other automakers.
S.W.O.T. Analysis
Strengths Weakness
Domestic market is large Infrastructural setbacks
Reduced labour cost. Low productivity
Evolving industry. Too many taxes levied by the
Growth shifting to Asian markets. government
Government monetary assistance Low investments in R&D
Opportunity Threats
Reduction in excise duty Increasing rates of interest
Rising rural demand Too much competition
Constant increase in income level Rising cost of raw materials
Introduction of Fuel-efficient vehicles Slow economy
Changing lifestyle and customer demand Economic recession
High fixed cost and investments
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APOLLO TYRES
Company Summary
Apollo Tyres Ltd is the leading tyre manufacturing company in India. They are engaged in
manufacturing automobile tyres and tubes. They are the first Indian tyre company to launch
exclusive branded outlets for truck tyres and also the first Indian company to introduce radial
tyres for the farm category. Apollo Tyres currently has four manufacturing facilities in India -
- two (including a leased facility) in the rubber-producing state of Kerala and one each in
Gujarat and Tamil Nadu. Outside India the company has a manufacturing facility each in The
Netherlands and Hungary. These products are available in countries across the globe through a
vast network of branded, exclusive and multi-product outlets. Apollo Tyres has multiple
manufacturing units in India, the Netherlands and Hungary.
With its corporate headquarters in Gurgaon, India, we cater to over 100 countries across the
globe. At the end of the financial year 2019, the company clocked a turnover of US$ 2.48
billion, backed by a global workforce of approximately 17,200 employees.
As of March 31, 2019, the company traded in India on the Bombay Stock Exchange and
National Stock Exchange, with 59.10% of shares held by the public, government entities, banks
and financial institutions.
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Price-Earnings Ratio
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the P/E ratio of Apollo Tyres for last 5 years. This helps us to
understand that the company had an unstable P/E ratio wherein it was best valued in 2020,
however it rose very high in 2021 and then again came back to considerable rate in 2022. The
lower, the more viable option.
12
10
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows Earning per Share of Apollo Tyres for last 5 years. Through this we
can infer that the earning capacity of each share has been steady from 2018-2021. However, it
has declined in the year 2022, this proves to be a setback for the investors investing in the share.
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Return on Equity
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the ROE of Apollo Tyres for last 5 years. Thus, helps us to make
conclusion that the company had overall increasing/stable ROE for the last 5 years. However,
in the current year a dip can be seen which indicates the company’s low efficiency in that year.
Debt-Equity Ratio
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the Debt-Equity ratio of Apollo tyres for last 5 years. This helps us to
infer that the company had fluctuations terms of long-term interest-bearing debt that it had over
the last years and remained stable from 0.48 in 2018 to 0.49 in 2019 which is good for the
performance of the company. The company’s current D/E ratio stands at 0.6 which is lower
than industry standards of 1 and it means that the company has high dependence on equity
which leads to loss on tax.
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Price-to-Book Value
2.5
1.5
0.5
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the Price to Book ratio of Apollo Tyres for the last 5 years which helps
us to make conclusion that the company’s market valuation to its book value decreased until
2020. However, it again rose in 2021 and 2022. This signifies that the book value of the
company is slightly overvalues since it is over 1. The investors can be apprehensive on buying
this stock.
JK TYRES
Company Summary
The J. K. Organization is an Indian industrial conglomerate, with headquarters in Delhi, Kanpur
and Mumbai. It is run by the Singhania family, which rose to prominence in Kanpur, India,
under Lala Kamlapat Singhania. JK Tyre is the pioneer of Radial Technology in India.It was the
first company to launch radials in the passenger car segment way back in 1977. With a vast
experience and understanding of operating conditions in India, JK Tyre brings one of the best
technologies for all the cars & SUVs. JK Tyre & Industries Ltd is one of India’s foremost tyre
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manufacturers and is also amongst the top 25 manufacturers in the world. It is the only Indian
tyre manufacturer to be included in the list of Super-brands India in 2019 for the seventh
consecutive year. JK Tyre recently was awarded the most coveted Safety award in the world -
the Sword of Honor for Safety across its plants by the British Safety Council, UK. JK Tyre
launched India's first ever „Smart Tyre‟ technology-and introduced Tyre Pressure Monitoring
Systems (TPMS) by offering TREEL Sensors, which monitors the tyre’s vital statistics,
including pressure and temperature.
10
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above chart shows that JK Tyres EPS has risen over the years consistently which points
towards efficient financial performance of the company. The current EPS stands at 7.43 which
tells that the company has the potential to earn Rs. 7.43 on equity share. This parameter helps
the investors to make a firm decision regarding the profitability of the business.
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Price-Earnings Ratio
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the P/E ratio of JK Tyres for the ladt 5 years which shows that it has
seen a sharp decline in the year 2019. It is more viable to invest when it is lower, however it
risen up back to more than 10 in the year 2022.
Return on Equity
12
10
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the ROE for JK Tyres for the last 5 years. It clearly helps us to make a
conclusion since the company’s EPS has been performing well over the last few years however
it has declined in the year 2022 since it came down to an approximate of 7.8. This is one metric
to identify how well the company is working.
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Debt-Equity Ratio
2
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the Debt-Equity ratio of JK Tyres for the last 5 years which helps us to
conclude that the company has had fluctuating in terms of long-term interest-bearing debt that
it had over last years and remained stable around 2019-2020. The current debt equity ratio
stands closer to 1 which is appropriate to industry standards and it can be a safe and efficient
plan for the company.
1.5
0.5
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the Price to Book Ratio of JK Tyres for the last 5 years which helps us
to make a conclusion that company’s market evaluation relative to its book value decreased
until 2020 however it again raised to 1.1 in 2022. This helps the investors to identify the
potential investments.
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ADANI ENTERPRISES
Adani Enterprises Limited, the flagship company of the Adani Group has been driven by the
philosophy of incubating stellar infrastructural asset catering to underserved sectors of India.
Since the Company’s listing in 1994, it has maximised value for stakeholders, while
contributing to nation building. Adani Enterprises Limited is presently focused on businesses
related to airports, roads, water management, data centres, solar manufacturing, defence and
aerospace, edible oils and foods, mining, integrated resource solutions and integrated
agricultural products.
In April 2021, Adani Group became the third Indian conglomerate to cross US$100 billion in
market capitalization. It crossed the market capitalization of US$200 billion in April 2022
becoming the third Indian conglomerate after Tata Group and Reliance Industries to do so.
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Earnings Per Share (EPS)
7
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The EPS for Adani Enterprises has been variable, however in the last year it has risen up to Rs.
6.55 which points towards a strong financial position of the company as it refers to the Earning
power of each share.
250
200
150
100
50
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the P/E ratio for Adani Enterprises for the last 5 years wherein it was
coming at a very good valuation however the shares are now highly overvalued and has risen
closer to around 300 per share, which points towards its riskiness.
20
Return on Equity
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the Return on Equity for Adani Enterprises limited for the last 5 years.
It can be clearly interpreted that the ROE has been variable but this also risen up to Rs. 15.23
which points towards good shareholder returns and dividend for the shareholders.
Debt/Equity Ratio
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the Debt-Equity ratio for Adani Enterprises for last 5 years wherein the
cpmpany has seen highest D/E ratio in 2018, however it has now become closer to 1 which
implies that the company has reduced debt financing and is maintaining optimal debt-equity mix
for optimal returns.
21
Price/BV Ratio
6
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph points towards the Price to B/V ratio for Adani Enterprises wherein the
valuation in the years 2018 and 2019 was very high, but due to the fundamental improvements
in the company’s financials, the ratio came down to a considerable amount and it is safer for
investors to invest.
Company Summary
Reliance Industries, the largest private company in India, has grown from being a manufacturer
of textiles and polyester to an integrated player in the energy, petrochemicals, material, natural
resources, retail, and telecommunications industries. It also runs top-notch manufacturing
facilities all over the nation. The range of goods and services offered by Reliance touches nearly
all the daily needs of people from all socioeconomic backgrounds.
Following the division of the family firm among the two brothers, Reliance Industries Limited,
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with its headquarters in Mumbai, is expanding under the direction of Mukesh Ambani, the late
Dhirubhai Ambani's son and the company's elder brother.
Reliance Group is the largest taxpayer in the Indian private sector and is a conglomerate holding
corporation with a diverse range of businesses. It contributes more than 5% of the government
of India's income and roughly 8% of all goods exported from India. In 2007, RIL became the
first Indian company to surpass a market capitalization of $100 billion, and in 2019, it became
the first to reach a market worth of Rs. 9 lakh crores. As of 2019, the company was listed as the
106th largest corporation in the world by Fortune Global 500.
P/E Ratio
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
P/E Ratio
The above graph shows the P/E ratio of Reliance for last 5 years. This helps us to understand
that the company had an steadily rising P/E ratio. Since 2018 we can see a positive trend
however it rose very high in 2021 and then again came back to considerable CAGR rate in
2022. A high P/E ratio could mean that a company's stock is overvalued, or that investors are
expecting high growth rates in the future.
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EPS
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2019 2020 2021 2022 June, 2022
The above graph shows Earning per Share of Reliance Industries for last 5 years. Through this
we can infer that the earning capacity of each share has been steady from 2019-2022. In the
first quarter of June it has continued to grow which is a positive for the investors.
Return on Equity
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the ROE of Apollo Tyres for last 5 years. Thus, helps us to make
conclusion that the company had overall increasing/stable ROE for the last 5 years. However,
in the current year a dip can be seen which indicates the company’s low efficiency in that year.
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Debt/Equity Ratio
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the Debt-Equity ratio of Reliance for last 5 years. This helps us to infer
that the company had minimum fluctuations in terms of long-term interest-bearing debt that it
had over the last years and remained stable from 0.4 in 2018 to 0.31 in 20 which is good for the
performance of the company. The company’s current D/E ratio stands at 0.31 which is lower
than industry standards of 1 and it means that the company has high dependence on equity
which leads to loss on tax.
P/B Ratio
4
3.5
2.5
1.5
0.5
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The above graph shows the Price to Book ratio of Reliance for the last 5 years which helps us
to make conclusion that the company’s market valuation to its has been decreasing on an
average However, it again rose in 2021. This signifies that the book value of the company is
slightly overvalued since it is over 1. The investors can be apprehensive on buying this stock.
25
TATA MOTORS
Price-Equity Ratio
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The price to earning of tata motors is constant and is increasing at a good rate, the company has
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had a good top-line and bottom-line growth in the past few years. The Price to earning ratio has
increased from 22.78 to 30.84. The P/E of tata motors is comparatively lesser compared to its
peers, which shows that it’s fairly valued.
-20
-30
-40
-50
-60
-70
-80
-90
Tata motors price to earnings ratio of tata motors has improved from -84.89 to -36.12, which
has improved drastically for the past 5 years. The main reason for negative P/E for the company
is due to high debt which was incurred by big acquisitions, led by covid 19 and now due to the
semiconductor chips shortage.
2.5
1.5
0.5
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The debt to equity ratio of tata motors was at 3.21 in 2018 due to very big leverage buyouts
made by the company in the attempt to revive the company, the company has reduced major
debts over the period of years. It has reduced debt by almost 50%, which allows the profit to
grow and also the company to higher risks.
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Return on Equity
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25
-30
-35
-40
The company has consistently provided a negative return on equity, this number can turn
profitable as the company owns the majority of the share in the EV Segment and the 4 by 4
segment in the Indian and the European market.
The above graph shows the Price to Book ratio of Tata Motors for the last 5 years which helps
us to make conclusion that the company’s market valuation to its has been variable over the
years. After declining in 2020, it again came back to pre-covid valuation in 2021. In 2022 it
was more than 8 which signifies that the book value of the company is slightly overvalued since
it is over 1. The investors can be apprehensive on buying this stock.
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COMPANY STOCK RECOMMENDATION
JK Tyres Sell
1. Apollo Tyres:
The following are the reasons for a strong buy rating: -
Company's annual revenue growth of 20.22% outperformed its 3 year CAGR of 5.98%.
It is expected that Apollo tyres will benefit from higher CV sales and stable replacement
demand.
It expects revenue growth of 11%YoY but lower margins of 12.5%, which is down 485bps
YoY on very high base and higher input costs.
Company has spent 2.12% of its operating revenues towards interest expenses and 12.29%
towards employee cost in the year ending 31 Mar, 2022.
2. JK Tyre
The following are the reasons for a sell rating:-
Return on Equity has declined versus last 3 years average to 6.50%
Sales growth has been subdued in last 3 years 1.81%
Net Profit has been subdued in last 3 years 2.14%
Debt to equity has increased versus last 3 years average to 1.12
3. Reliance Industries
The following are the reasons for a buy rating: -
Company's annual revenue growth of 52.42% outperformed its 3 year CAGR of 8.35%.
Reliance Industries Ltd. emerged as the highest bidder in the 5G Spectrum auction which
is expected to generate revenues upon the 5G rollout.
Windfall tax on Oil&Petroleum business will be revised by the government.
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4. Adani Enterprises
The following are the reasons for a sell rating: -
Company's annual revenue growth of 74.81% outperformed its 3 year CAGR of 19.6%.
Stock gave a 3 year return of 2040.52% as compared to Nifty 100 which gave a return of
58.48%.
Stock is also touching 52 week high on a regular basis and pointing towards overvaluation.
5. Tata Motors
The following are the reasons for a buy rating: -
The focus remains on E-PVs, with medium-term investments of US$2bn toward new
products, capacity expansion, localization, and charging infrastructure.
Chip supplies are expected to improve in a staggered manner going ahead.
Despite an 11% YoY dip in sales through JLR, it is expected to have a CAGR of 20%.
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REFERENCES:
[1] Apollo Tyres Ltd. Share Price: Live BSE/NSE. (n.d.). Retrieved August 12, 2022, from
https:// www.valueresearchonline.com/stocks/241/apollo-tyres-ltd?utm_source=direct-click
[2] JK Tyre & Industries Ltd. Share Price: Live BSE/NSE. (n.d.). Retrieved August 10, 2022,
from https://www.valueresearchonline.com/stocks/1834/jk-tyre-and-industries-ltd
[3] Adani Enterprises Ltd. Share Price: Live BSE/NSE. (n.d.). Retrieved August 10, 2022,
from https://www.valueresearchonline.com/stocks/40886/adani-enterprises-ltd/#snapshot
[4] Reliance Industries Ltd. Share Price: Live BSE/NSE. (n.d.). Retrieved August 10, 2022,
from https://www.valueresearchonline.com/stocks/44052/reliance-industries-ltd/#snapshot
[5] Tata Motors Ltd. Share Price: Live BSE/NSE. (n.d.). Retrieved August 10, 2022, from
https://www.valueresearchonline.com/stocks/44818/tata-motors-ltd/#snapshot
[6] Satija, A. (2020, February 20). The Indian Tyre Industry, Key Players & The Road Ahead.
Retrieved August 10, 2022, from https://www.alphainvesco.com/blog/understanding- the-
indian-tyre- industry/
[7] Top Companies in India by Market Capitalization - BSE. (n.d.). Retrieved August 10, 2022,
from https://www.moneycontrol.com/stocks/marketinfo/marketcap/bse/tyres.html
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