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FYBAF
ROLL NO-HFBAF275
SUBJECT :- ECONOMICS
This theory states that when companies face increased input cost on raw materials and wages for
manufacturing consumer goods, they will preserve their profitability by passing the increased
production cost to the end consumer in the form of increased prices.
Exchange Rates
An economy with exposure to foreign markets mostly functions on the basis of the dollar value.
In a trading global economy, exchange rates play an important factor in determining the rate of
inflation.
Effects of Inflation
When there is inflation in the country, the purchasing power of the people decreases as the prices
of commodities and services are high. The value of currency unit decreases which impacts the
cost of living in the country. When the rate of inflation is high, the cost of living also increases,
which leads to a deceleration in economic growth. However, a healthy inflation rate (2-3%) is
considered positive because it directly results in increasing wages and corporate profitability and
maintains capital flowing in a growing economy.
Steps to offset Inflation and its effects on Your Retirement
Factoring for inflation is an essential process for financial planning. The question is how much
will you actually need when you retire? Here are a few ways you can retire financially sound
keeping inflation in mind.
Invest in long-term investments.
When it comes to long-term investments, spending money now for investments can allow you to
benefit from inflation in the future.
Save More
Retirement requires more money than one might imagine. The two ways to meet retirement goals
are to save more or invest aggressively.
Make balanced investments
Though investing in bonds alone feel safer, invest in multiple portfolios. Do not put all your eggs
in one basket to outpace inflation.
Deflation
Deflation is generally the decline in the prices for goods and services that occur when the rate of
inflation falls below 0%. Deflation will take place naturally, if and when the money supply of an
economy is limited. Deflation in an economy indicates deteriorating conditions.
Deflation is normally linked with significant unemployment and low productivity levels of goods
and services. The term “Deflation” is often mistaken with “disinflation.” While deflation refers
to a decrease in the prices of goods and services in an economy, disinflation is when inflation
increases at a slower rate.
Causes of Deflation
When revenues begin to drop, businesses need to find means to reduce their expenses to meet
objectives. One way is by reducing wages and cutting jobs. This adversely affects the economy
as consumers would now have less to spend.
There are two ways to measure inflation, i.e. Wholesale Price Index (WPI) and Consumer Price
Index (CPI). The WPI is a measure of the average change in prices of goods in the wholesale
market or wholesale level. The CPI is the measure of change in the retail price of goods and
services consumed by a population of an area in a base year.
How does the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) control inflation and deflation?
One of the RBI’s key responsibilities is to keep inflation in check. The RBI keeps inflation in
check by tweaking the interest rates. The RBI aims to make loans costlier by increasing the
lending rates and thus discouraging borrowing which in turn, discourages spending. As people
spend less money, prices stop rising and inflation moderates. In contrast, deflation gives the RBI
room for cutting interest rates.
Is inflation considered good for the economy of the country?
Inflation is viewed as positive when it helps boost consumption and consumer demand, driving
economic growth. Some believe inflation is meant to keep deflation in check, while others think
inflation is a drag on the economy. When the economy is not running at capacity, i.e., there is
unused labour or resources, inflation theoretically helps increase production. It also makes it
easier for debtors, who can repay their loans with money that is less valuable than the money
they borrowed.
What is the effect of deflation on the economy of the country?
Just like inflation, deflation can be a continuous cycle. When prices continue to fall over time,
consumers can withhold spending money in the long term which means demands continue to
fall, leading to further deflation. A fall in sales is not good for company profits. As a result,
companies too withhold investing in new projects. All this leads to a slowdown in the economy.
Countries often struggle to get out of the deflation cycle.
Who is benefited most by inflation?
Inflation will benefit those people with large debts who can easily pay back their debts when
prices rise up. It will hurt those who keep cash savings and workers with fixed wages.
Who will benefit from deflation?
Consumers will benefit from deflation in the short term as the prices of goods will reduce. When
the prices of goods reduce it increases the purchasing power of the consumers and also helps the
consumers to save more.
How Do Governments Fight Inflation?
PETE RATHBURN
Inflation occurs when spending on goods and services outstrips production. Prices can rise
because of supply constraints that increase the cost of producing goods and offering services, or
because consumers, enjoying the benefits of a booming economy, spend their excess cash faster
than producers can increase production. Inflation is often the result of some combination of
these two scenarios.
Governments generally try to keep inflation within an optimal range that promotes growth
without dramatically reducing the purchasing power of the currency. In the U.S., much of the
responsibility for controlling inflation falls on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), a
Federal Reserve committee that sets monetary policy to achieve the Fed's goals of stable prices
and maximum employment.1
There are many methods used to control inflation and, while none are sure bets, some have been
more effective and inflicted less collateral damage than others.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Price Controls
Price controls are price caps or floors mandated by the government and applied to specific
goods. Wage controls can be implemented in tandem with price controls to suppress wage push
inflation.
In 1971, U.S. President Richard Nixon implemented far-reaching price controls in an attempt to
counter rising inflation. The price controls, though initially popular and considered effective,
could not control prices when in 1973 inflation skyrocketed to its highest levels since World
War II.
Despite a number of intervening factors (e.g., the end of the Bretton Woods System, poor
harvests, the Arab oil embargo, and the complexity of the 1970s price control system), most
economists view the 1970s as evidence enough that price controls are an ineffective tool for
managing inflation.234
Contractionary Monetary Policy
Contractionary monetary policy is now a more popular method of controlling inflation. The goal
of a contractionary policy is to reduce the money supply within an economy by
increasing interest rates.5 This helps slow economic growth by making credit more expensive,
which reduces consumer and business spending.
Higher interest rates on government securities also slow growth by incentivizing banks and
investors to buy Treasuries, which guarantee a set rate of return, instead of the riskier equity
investments that benefit from low rates.
Below are some of the tools through which the U.S. central bank, the Federal Reserve, fights
inflation
Discount Rate
The discount rate is the interest rate charged on loans made by the Federal Reserve to
commercial banks and other financial institutions. The lending facility through which these
short-term loans are made is called the discount window. The discount rate, which is the same
across all Reserve Banks, is set by consensus of each regional bank's board of directors and the
Fed's Board of Governors.13
Though the discount window's primary purpose is to fulfill banks' short-term liquidity needs and
maintain stability in the banking system, the discount rate is yet another interest rate that needs
to be raised to temper inflation.