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NXTHINKING

THE BIG PICTURE CONNECTIONS PERSPECTIVES THE FUTURE CHANGE

▪ NXthinking is a new way to explore


real-world problems and generate
potential solutions.

NXTHINKING

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© 2022 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
To better understand how things work
we can use

The Big Picture Connections Perspectives

To solve problems and make positive change happen


we can use

3 The Future Change


© 2020
2022 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
NXplorers

Stages

EXPLORE C R E AT E CHANGE

Think about the future- the future if nothing


Identify the issue and understand Create plans and action that will lead to the
Tasks changes, how changes can be brought about about
what’s causing it . and what the preferred future may look like
preferred future and bring about positive change

Tools

NXthinking

4 THE BIG PICTURE CONNE CTIO N S PE RSPE CTIVE S THE FUTURE CHANGE
© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International
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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
GROUP #:
GROUP ORGANIZATION
GROUP NAME:

Team Agreement :

1.

2.

3.

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2. Log into the iVersity link and enroll in the Online
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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V. NXplorers
EXPLORE

What is the issue?

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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
LOCAL FOOD WATER AND Activity 1: Identifying Local Food , Water, and
ENERGY CHALLENGES Energy
Challenges

• Think of challenges on the food, water, and energy-related issues in


◼ What are the food-water- your community that you can think of.
• Write down these issues in the form of a chart.
energy challenges in our FOOD WATER ENERGY

location? 1. 1. 1.

2. 2. 2.

3. 3. 3.

4. 4. 4.

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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
LOCAL NEXUS Activity 2: Choosing and Framing Your Own
CHALLENGE Food Water and Energy challenge
• From the list of local challenges on food, water, and energy that you made,
◼ Framing a Problem discuss and agree with your groupmates one issue that you would like work
on
Statement
• Develop a problem statement for the issues that you would like to work on

What is the challenge What do you want Who do you want to solve
or problem that you to achieve ? it for?
would like to focus on ?

• Problem Statement:

Problem Statement: How can we


ensure______________________________
________________________________________________________________
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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International _________________________________________________________________
B.V.
© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
LOCAL NEXUS Activity 2: Choosing and Framing Your Own
CHALLENGE Food Water and Energy challenge

• From the list of local challenges on food, water, and energy that you
◼ Framing a Problem made, discuss and agree with your groupmates one issue that you
would like to
Statement work on

• Develop a problem statement for the issues that you would like to
work
What on
is the What do you Who do you want to
challenge or want to solve it for?
problem that you achieve ?
would like to focus
on ?
Insufficient supply Ensure that Our community
of water there is
sufficient
supply of water

• Problem Statement:
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How can we ensure that there is sufficient supply of water
B.V.
© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V. in our community?
CONNECTIONS CIRCLE
FACTOR 1

1) Write the issue in the middle


2) Identify factors that cause / influence the
issue and write them on post-its and lay
them out around the circle.
a) Try to find between 5 – 8 factors
b) Factors should be noun / noun phrases
c) Factors should be specific
Type Your
d) Factors should be able to increase / Issue /
decrease Problem
Statement
3) Draw relationships between the factors here
a) Ensure you can write the relationship as a
sentence.
b) In the shown example: “An increase in
FACTOR 1 results in a decrease in FACTOR FACTOR 2
2”
c) If there is a two-way connection between
factors, draw two separate lines.
d) Identify as many relationships as you can.
4) Identify two points of leverage and
indicate them using the “check”

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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International FACTOR 3 FACTOR 4 FACTOR 5 FACTOR 6 FACTOR 7 FACTOR 8
B.V.
CONNECTIONS CIRCLE

1. Draw a Circle and write the issue


in the middle
2. Identify factors that cause /
influence the issue and write How can we
them on post-its and lay them manage our
increased use of
out around the circle as shown. energy without
increasing CO2
a) Try to find between 5 – 8 emissions?

factors
b) Factors should be noun / noun
phrases
c) Factors should be specific
d) Factors should be able to
increase / decrease

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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
CONNECTIONS CIRCLE
Direct Causal Relationships

3. Identify factors with a direct cause


and effect relationship

a. State the relationship in a sentence


HOME
b. Draw an arrow between the factors to TOTAL COST OF
ENERGY ENERGY
indicate the relationship EFFICIENCY

c. Put in the + or – sign to denote


increase iot decerase of factors
“As energy efficiency increases, cost of energy decreases”

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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
USING THE CONNECTIONS
CIRCLE

Identify as many relationships as you


can btween facrtors

How can we
manage our
increased use of
energy without
increasing CO2
emissions?

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B.V.
© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
USING THE CONNECTIONS
CIRCLE

After competing the connections,


find the POINT OF LEVERAGE

◼ POINT OF LEVERAGE is the


factor in the system where a
small change has the biggest
impact

◼ To find the POINT OF LEVERAGE,


look for the factor with the most
number of tails connected to it

◼ Identify two points of


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leverage B.V.
© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
Stakeholder Views
▪ Etc
▪ Etc

PERSPECTIVES CIRCLE ▪ Etc


▪ Etc

Stakeholder Views
Stakeholder Views
▪ Etc
Stakeholder ▪ Etc
▪ Etc
▪ Etc
▪ Etc
Write down: ▪ Etc
▪ Etc
▪ Etc

1. Who are the key stakeholders?


Stakeholder Stakeholder
2. Gather their viewpoints
a) Main concerns

b) Priorities Stakeholder Views


Stakeholder Views ▪ Etc
c) Influences ▪ Etc ▪ Etc
▪ Etc ▪ Etc
▪ Etc ▪ Etc
d) Motivations
▪ Etc

3. Who is likely to present the Stakeholder


Stakeholder
biggest challenges when you’re
communicating your ideas?
Stakeholder Views
▪ Etc
▪ Etc
▪ Etc
▪ Etc

Stakeholder
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CREATE

Futures

NXthinking:

NXplorer tools:
Change over time
Scenario planning quadrant

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B.V.
SCENARIO PLANNING
Leverage
QUADRANT Point 2
◼ This is Future 1 ◼ This is Future 2

◼ Write Down what this future might look like ◼ Write Down what this future might look lik
1. Type in the leverage points at either end of
◼ Etc ◼ Better Health?
each axis. Refer to the points of leverage
◼ Etc ◼ Happier people
in the connections circle tool
◼ Etc ◼ More jobs
2. Ask yourselves “what if we take action to ◼ Less crowded cities
◼ Etc
increase or decrease these (or we make ◼ Higher costs
◼ w
them more positive or negative as shown ◼ Etc.. Etc..
by the plus & minus signs). Leverage
Leverage
Point 1
3. Look at all combinations, you get four Point 1

distinct, possible futures that arise,


◼ This is Future 4
represented in the quadrant as shown.
◼ This is Future 3 ◼ Etc
4. Write down all the positive and negative ◼ Etc ◼ Etc
outcomes would arise in each quadrant, ◼ Etc ◼ Etc
these describe your possible futures. ◼ Etc ◼ Etc
◼ Etc ◼ w
5. After completing the descriptions, indicate
◼ w
which is your preferred future with the
Leverage
check graphic. Point 2

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SCENARIO PLANNING Factor 1 (+)

QUADRANT

What will
happen
Factor 2 (+)
(-) if ?

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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
(-)
SCENARIO PLANNING
QUADRANT

How can we manage our


increased use of energy without
increasing CO2 emissions ?

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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International
B.V.
© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
(+)
HOME
SCENARIO PLANNING ENERGY
EFFICIENCY
QUADRANT

Quadrant # 4 What will happen Quadrant # I What will happen


if we improve or icrese HOME if we increase /improve HOME
ENERGY EFFICIENCY but not ENERGY EFFICIENY and
imprve or increase PERSONAL PERSONAL ATTITUDE towards use
ATTITUDE towards use if energy of energy?

What will
happen (+)
(-) if ? PERSONAL
ATTITUDE

Quadrant # I What will if


we do not increase or Quadrant # I What will if we
improve PERSONAL increas or improve PERSONAL
ATTUITUDE towards use of ATTITUDE towards use of
energy and HOME energy but not HOME ENERGY
ENERGY EFFICIENCY? EFFICIENY? ?

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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International
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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
(-)
HOME ENERGY EFFICIENCY

SCENARIO PLANNING
QUADRANT

PERSONAL
ATTITUDE

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B.V.
© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
SCENARIO PLANNING
QUADRANT Preferred Future

How do we Create our


preferred future?

Ideas & Solutions to get you to your preferred future.


Tips in generating ideas:

1. Be specific (no vague ideas)


e.g. Introduce bike sharing instead of get many people to rride bikes

2. Be playful & creative – don’t be bound by current norms

3. Don’t exercise judgment – assume anything is possible!3.

4. Avoid Idea Killers…..

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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
Creating our Preferred
Future

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B.V.
© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
TOWARDS CHANGE

NXthinking:

NXplorer tools:
Feasibility funnel, Ripple effect

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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International
B.V.
© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
IDEA 1 IDEA 3 IDEA 5 IDEA 7
FEASIBILITY FUNNEL (4) IDEA 2 IDEA 4 IDEA 6 IDEA 8

Instructions

1. Type in your four filters in the form of


questions.
Do you have the
time for it?
Basic Criteria:

a. Time

b. Cost Can you afford it?

c. Expertise

d. Scalability
Do you have the
expertise for it?
1. Type in your 8 – 10 ideas (copy the
template post-it to add more ideas)
Is your project
2. Take each idea / solution and see if scalable?

they pass through the filters

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1) Draw one ripple effect diagram for each idea
that made it through the feasibility funnel

2) Write the idea in the middle (this is the stone in


the pond to create the “ripples”)

3) Look and add DIRECT ‘knock-on’ effects (see


the example)

4) Some knock-on effects might have multiple


subsequent knock-on effects – as shown in the
example – show these

5) Clearly indicate what are positive and


negative outcomes used the + / - signs

6) Copy the template post-its to add as many


knock-on effects as you can see

7) Copy/Paste the arrows to show the connected


knock-on effects

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EXPLORING CONSEQUENCES

❑ Draw one ripple effect


diagram for each idea that
made it through the
feasibility funnel

❑ Look for DIRECT


consequences, or ‘knock-on’
effects

❑ Clearly indicate what are


positive and negative
outcomes

❑ Don’t throw away the idea if


there are negative
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consequences – examine
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© 2020 Shell Global Solutions International B.V.
if
The Idea is….

PERSUASION PYRAMID

1) Soundbite “Whatever”

Essence of your message

2) Elevator Pitch “ This idea…..”


30 seconds to say what you want to achieve,
why it’s important & what you want people to do

3) Human Interest Story ◼ Write down


◼ Your story
Emotional, memorable story showing why
change matters

4) Hard Facts ◼ Write down


Evidence & data to support your case for change ◼ All the facts
◼ And figures
◼ To back up
◼ Your story

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B.V.

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