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Tháng MA

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SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.922341
R Square 0.850712
Adjusted R 0.835784
Standard E 26.69206
Observatio 12

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 40599.72 40599.72 56.98477 1.951E-05
Residual 10 7124.661 712.4661
Total 11 47724.38

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 572.6171 16.42783 34.85653 8.952E-12 536.0136 609.2206 536.0136 609.2206
t 16.84975 2.232102 7.548826 1.951E-05 11.87632 21.82318 11.87632 21.82318
Năm Quý Sản lượng (TCSI) MA(k=4) (TC) SI = TCSI/TC) S SL/S (Y*)
I 1 420 0.75333 557.5248657
2 730 1.10937 658.030726
3 820 633.75 1.2938856 1.30677 627.5015527
4 530 640 0.828125 0.83053 638.1467199
II 1 490 647.5 0.75675676 0.75333 650.4456766
2 710 665 1.06766917 1.10937 640.002487
3 900 680 1.32352941 1.30677 688.7212164
4 590 706.25 0.83539823 0.83053 710.3897448
III 1 550 731.25 0.75213675 0.75333 730.092086
2 860 745 1.15436242 1.10937 775.21428
3 950 1.30677 726.9835062
4 650 0.83053 782.6327697
Tổng 8185.685631
IV 1 596.388467096 0.75333
2 896.948389569 1.10937
3 1078.56848651 1.30677
4 699.48898285 0.83053

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Tổng
I 1.2938856 0.82813
II 0.75675675676 1.067669173 1.32352941 0.8354
III 0.75213675214 1.154362416
Stb 0.75444675445 1.111015795 1.30870751 0.83176 4.005931671
Sđc 0.75332962863 1.109370689 1.30676967 0.83053 4
0.75332962863 1.109370689 1.30676967 0.83053
t Y*t t^2 T=572.62+16.85*t
1 557.5248656614 1 589.47
2 1316.061452061 4 606.32
3 1882.504658154 9 623.17
4 2552.586879534 16 640.02
5 3252.228383025 25 656.87
6 3840.014921768 36 673.72
7 4821.048514784 49 690.57
8 5683.117958207 64 707.42
9 6570.828773867 81 724.27
10 7752.142799814 100 741.12
11 7996.818568174 121 757.97
12 9391.59323602 144 774.82
78 55616.47101107 650
13 791.67
14 808.52
15 825.37
16 842.22

T=572.62+16.85t
b1= 16.8498
b0= 572.617

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