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Forex (ENG)
Forex (ENG)
Forex A-Z Study GUIDE
By Jessica G
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Setting Yourself Up
The Basics
Candlesticks
Chart Patterns
Moving Averages
Elliot Wave
Harmonics
Using Indicators
Trading NEWS
Psychology
Risk Management
Time Frames
Confirmations
Strategy
Stacking Trades
Scaling In
Measuring Pips
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The Basics
● In this section I will give a very brief overview of the basics. If you have
any experience trading, this section may be repetitive for you so feel free
to skip :)
● A “real account”
○ This is an account funded with your own capital
○ Funding a real account is done through your broker
○ Most brokers will require you to submit documentation before
funding with real money. This consists of showing identification
and proof of address
○ Please refer to your broker on the funding process
● A “demo account”
○ This is a simulation account
○ The money used is not real, however it mimics a real account
○ When your begin your trading career, you should use a demo
account until you feel comfortable with the platform and your
strategy (this time period is different for each trader)
○ You do not need to submit identification to trade on demo
● How do we enter a trade?
○ First things first you’ll need to set up your MT4. This is an app
available on itunes and the google play store
○ Using the login details your broker will supply, login to your MT4
account
○ I recommend you take some time to explore you MT4 account.
Again, there are many detailed videos on Youtube that will give you
a tour of MT4 (I won’t waste time discussing every detail here)
○ There are four types of “order” entries..
○ A Buy limit order is an order placed in anticipation of a bullish
(upwards) move, that will activate at a certain point below current
price b
efore reversing/moving up
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○ A buy stop order is an order placed in anticipation of a bullish
move, that will activate at a certain point a
bove current price
before c ontinuing upward
○ A sell stop o
rder is an order placed in anticipation of a bearish
(downward) move, that will activate at a certain point above
current price before reversing/moving down
○ A sell limit o
rder is an order placed in anticipation of a bearing
(downward) move, that will activate at a certain point below
current price before continuing down
● What is a “spread”?
○ When you begin trading with a broker, most will not charge you
any fees
○ How does the broker make money? They profit by charging you a
small amount every time you enter a trade. This is referred to as
“spread”
○ This amount is usually extremely small (some as low as .1 pips)
○ You can find a brokers spread by searching for reviews online or
reaching out to their support team
● What are the main components that make up a successful trading
strategy?
○ A solid understanding of price action
○ The ability to spot trends and reversals
○ It utilizes proper risk management
○ It works!
● Make sure you choose a trading strategy that suits your personality. For
example, if you are someone who is generally impatient… you won’t
want to trade long term. On the other hand, if you are someone who
hates spending hours in front of a screen you likely won’t enjoy scalping.
Do some self introspection before deciding on a strategy
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● How do you find a trading strategy in the first place?
○ Start here. First, you are going to want to determine the time
frame in which you want to trade. Short term? Scalp or swing. Long
term? You might like position trading. Here are the different types
○ SCALPERS- Hold trades for minutes at a time. Look at the 1M, 5M
and 15M time frames
○ DAY TRADERS- Hold trades for hours at a time. Look at the 15M,
1H and 4H time frames
○ SWING TRADERS- Hold trades for days or weeks at a time. Look at
the 1H, 4H and daily time frames
○ POSITION TRADERS- Hold trades for months or years at a time.
Look at the D, W and monthly time frames
● NEXT… You’ll need to figure out the different types of trading strategies
○ Because this is a beginners section we will not get into too many
technicals here. However… I am going to list a brief summary of
strategies below. You can then decide for yourself which one you
will like to trade with going forward
○ I will attach a short video explaining each style briefly below
● I am including this in the beginning so that you can apply all other
concepts to this particular strategy.
○ The Breakout Trading Strategy: This strategy usually involves
waiting for price to break out of a particular area and riding the
trade in that direction. This is a great strategy for those who don’t
mind volatility (lots of movement and higher risk). See video.
○ The Break and Retest: This strategy involves waiting for price to
break out of one particular area and then r etesting it. You would
look to enter at the retest of the broken area. S
ee video.
○ Fundamental Strategy: this type of strategy involves a vast
understanding of news and economical influences. Please note
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that this guide is going to be focused on technical analysis and not
fundamental. See video.
○ Major Reversal Strategy: t his strategy is best used on the daily
time frame or higher. It involves waiting for price to test a key
level and then reversing. S
ee video.
○ Scalping Strategies: scalping involves a very short term trade,
usually just aiming to take a few pips from the market. See video.
○ Trend Strategies: involve the use of trend lines, and entering
trades based on when these areas are broken or tested. See video.
○ Buy & Hold Strategies: are pretty self explanatory. These strategies
involve entering a currency pair you believe will remain bullish
long term and holding for an extended period of time. See video.
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○ I am going to create and attach a quick video on the most
important tradingview tools that you should know. You can find it
here :)
● I am going to keep this guide technically based. Meaning I won’t be
getting into the specifics on the background of forex trading, w
hy we
trade, etc etc. Those just aren’t things you need to know to get started
and I’m not into wasting your time or mine. I w
ill however recommend a
few books and articles for those who do want to know those particulars
○ History of trading
○ History & Economics
● Types of charts. There are different types of charts you can use to
analyze currency pairs. For the purpose of this study guide we will be
looking at the candlesticks using tradingview. You can also use MT4 if
you prefer
● BUYERS AND SELLERS
○ When we are on an uptrend, we say BUYERS are in control. This is
because traders who are BUYING are causing price to move UP by
increasing the value of the pair
○ When price is moving up it is considered to be bullish
○ The opposite is true for SELLERS being in control
○ When sellers are in control and price is moving down, it is
considered bearish
Candlesticks
● FIRST! What is technical analysis??
○ Technical analysis is the way in which we study price movement
○ It involves understanding the movements and patterns made by a
currency pair, and utilizing that to anticipate future movement
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○ DOJI CANDLE (long legged, dragonfly, gravestone)
○ PIN
○ HAMMER
○ STAR (morning, evening, shooting)
○ ENGULFING
○ TWEEZERS
○ SPINNING TOPS
○ BLACK CROWS
○ 3 INSIDE
○ 3 WHITE SOLDIERS
● Now that you know the patterns you would be wise to go back on
tradingview and find examples of each type of pattern. Look at them on
each time frame. Circle and label them
● A general rule of thumb when it comes to candlestick analysis?
○ The longer the wick, the more indecision
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○ When you see indecision forming it is a sign of a reversal
○ Reversals must be C
ONFIRMED (will touch more on this later)
○ The higher the time frame the more accurate this statement. A
long wick on the daily is much more telling than a long wick on the
15M time frame
● Armed with this new information- go through your charts and circle all
of the long wicks you see on the four hour time frame. What do you
notice? Write notes in your tradingview
● NEVER RELY ON CANDLES ALONE!
○ Although important, there are many other factors we must
consider before entering a trade
Chart Patterns
● Chart patterns are another crucial piece of technical analysis. Chart
patterns show us the journey of price over time. They also give us
indications on what price may do next
● IMPORTANT!! As with candlesticks, we never rely on chart patterns to
trade. We simply take the information they give us and use it to eye
setups
● Please also note that chart patterns are subjective. You may see a pattern
that another trader does not see. This is okay, because we never trade
based on these patterns alone. Do not overthink your analysis. Go with
what YOU see
● Here are the chart patterns you need to know
○ Double Top. Live example from me h
ere.
○ Head and Shoulders.
○ Rising Wedge
○ Double Bottom
○ Inverse Head and Shoulders
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○ Falling Wedge
○ Bullish Rectangle
○ Bullish Pennant
○ Rising Wedge
○ Bearish Rectangle
○ Bearish Pennant
○ Ascending/Descending Triangle
○ Symmetrical Triangle
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● Again, you should now look up these different patterns on your chart.
Find them, circle them, analyze them
● TIP: If you are having difficulty with any particular pattern or patterns…
try searching for them on Youtube. You will often find live examples and
it will give you a better idea. Pinterest is another excellent resource for
finding chart patterns. If you don’t have Pinterest and you’re a technical
trader, you aren’t doing it right. Go download now and thank me later
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○ The top of your channel often acts as a level of resistance, while
the bottom can act as an area if support
○ You could use these support and resistance lines as areas to enter a
trade
○
○ Credit to: forexfunction.com for above image :)
● Trend Reversals
○ Eventually, price will stop moving in one particular direction and
we will get what’s called a trend reversal. We can use our
candlesticks, chart patterns and knowledge of market movement
to help us predict a trend reversal.
○ No one ever really knows when a trend reversal is coming! This is
why waiting for continuation after a reversal is so important. This
will make more sense to you later when we discuss in more detail.
○ TIP: the trend will usually slow down before a reversal occurs. So a
really strong trend that abruptly starts slowing could indicate an
upcoming reversal. See photo below
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● Impulse/Corrections
○ Alright so, we won’t get into any elliott wave stuff just yet. BUT I
would like to point out the importance of impulses and
corrections. BASICALLY, impulses are just large price movements
(trends). Corrective waves are smaller waves that occur within a
trend (pullbacks)
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○ At this point… y
ou should go find 3 examples like the ones above
and save them. You can post them to our group if you have any
questions about them
○ The speed a
t which a trend forms is also something to note. A
trend that forms extremely fast (over several minutes) is usually
not sustainable. This type of trend is usually caused by news
release. We also don’t want to trade a trend that is losing
momentum (super slow). Slowing trends indicate that a reversal
may be looming around the corner. We really need to find a happy
medium and look at healthy trend
● So what makes up a healthy trend?
○ UPTREND: Creates higher highs and higher lows
○ DOWNTREND: Creates lower highs and lower lows
○ Forms over s everal days to weeks
○ Creates an angle of around 2
0-50 degrees. Any less would be
considered weak, any higher we would start to consider it to be
moving too fast. You do not need to measure this. We can eyeball
this
○ Has areas of consolidation
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● ORDER ABSORPTION
○ Remember: we will go over more support and resistance in the
next section
○ Support and resistance levels do not get stronger over time! It’s
actually the opposite
○ Every time price reaches a support or resistance level, the number
of buys and sellers in the market changes
○ EXAMPLE: We are on an uptrend heading towards an area of
resistance. When we reach the area, price turns and quickly heads
back down because t here are a bunch of sellers waiting at that area
○ At the second touch, there are LESS sellers waiting. What do we see
at the second touch? A less strong reversal
○ Third touch, even less. And so on. Finally, there becomes a point
where there are less sellers waiting than the amount of BUYERS
and price pushes on through that area giving us a breakout
○ EXERCISE: Go find an example of this happening on any chart. It
will work on any time frame.
○ We call this ORDER ABSORPTION. Here is a video on that
● Story telling
○ Pay attention to the story the market is telling you
○ What does it mean when we see a sudden spike up? We see it and
we know it’s there. But do you think about why it occurred?
○ There are some important points I would like to make in terms of
storytelling in the market. They are as follows:
○ Bearish candles tell us that sellers are in control
○ Bullish candles indicate that buyers are in control
○ Areas of c
onsolidation relay that neither buyers or sellers are
actively taking control
○ Rejection displayed at an area of support: sellers are unable to
remain in control or are having difficulty
○ Rejection displayed at an area of resistance: buyers are unable to
remain in control or are having difficulty
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○ Try and shift your mindset to making sense of the market in the
simplest of terms
● What time frame should I use to analyze market structure?
○ I always like to begin my analysis on the higher time frames (for
me, that is daily)
○ You can analyze on whatever time frame you want as long as it is
relevant to your trading style. A scalper doesn’t necessarily need to
look at the weekly time frame as it wouldn’t be relevant
○ I am a swing/day trader and I use the DAILY, 4HOUR and 15M
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● The reason? These areas have over time been areas that price reversed.
Traders (both retail and large corps) are aware of this and thus set up
trades at these levels. In essence, It’s a self fulfilling prophecy
● Just because an area was respected as support or resistance in the past
does not mean it will be respected again
○ What does “respecting” a zone/area mean? It means that price has
attempted to break that area and failed in the past
● We simply monitor these areas, we do not trade based solely on them
● How do we draw support and resistance on a chart?
○ We start by drawing lines through the areas price turned around
○ Your lines should include as many wicks as possible
○ If you are not comfortable with this skill, there are numerous
Youtube videos on drawing S&R lines
○ You can find my method h
ere
● So what are ZONES?
○ Zones are areas of support and resistance
○ These areas allow us more wiggle room, which in the currency
markets is needed due to the high volatility
○ Zones are generally more accurate than simple line placement in
terms of entry
○ I have a free course on zones, that you can find here
● How do we draw zones?
○ There are a few different methods for drawing zones
○ You can find my whole course on zones here
○ The simplest method on drawing zones: draw a
support/resistance line and then use the rectangle tool to
encompass the line
○ Click here for a quick tutorial on that
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● What is a “key level” and how is it different from a support/resistance
area?
○ A key level is basically a support/resistance area that has been
tested NUMEROUS times in the past
○ A tip on finding key levels: if the level is respected on the four hour
chart and the daily chart (and or in addition to other time frames),
it is considered to be an important area
○ Remember, many traders are looking to enter at these areas which
is what makes them so significant
MOVING AVERAGES
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● What is an exponential moving average?
○ It considers price action more closely than the simple moving
average
○ It is g
enerally more accurate because it uses more current price to
calculate the average
○ It looks exactly like a moving average when placed on the chart
● Find and setup the moving average on tradingview:
○ You can find both moving average indicators by searching them up
in the tradingview “indicator” section
○ Once plotted on the chart, click the settings button to change the
colour and length (measured in days)
○ Here is my video on moving averages
● How do we use the simple moving average (SMA)?
○ Use the SMA to help you analyze trends
○ The closer the lines are together, the weaker the trend
○ When the lines cross completely, it indicates a reversal (likely)
○ I like to use the 9 and 21 or 50 and 200 day SMA. These SMA’s are
closely followed by other traders which again… self fulfilling
prophecy. You can use whatever day you want to use, but
technically speaking these tend to be the most accurate
○ When price is above the line, we are in an U
PTREND
○ When price is below the line, we are in a DOWNTREND
● Plotting two lines
○ Moving averages lag behind current price action because they are
based on past data
○ The longer the time period, the greater the lag
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Momentum Indicators
● A type of oscillator
○ What the heck is an oscillator?
○ It’s basically just an instrument used for measurement
● Momentum indicators h
ow rapidly price is moving in a particular
direction
○ In other words, it tells us if momentum is increasing or decreasing
Remember, momentum indicates trend strength. When a trend
begins “slowing down” it is a good sign that a reversal could occur
soon
○ Always use momentum indicators along with other confirmation
● What is divergence?
○ Momentum indicators (MI) will move in one direction or another.
IE they are either informing us that price is going up or down
overall
○ When we plot our indicator and price action (what price is
currently doing on the chart) does not line up with the MI’s
movements, we consider this to be divergence
○ EXAMPLE BECAUSE I KNOW YOU’RE CONFUSED ...
○ The MACD is a momentum indicator. We will get into specifics
later on. For now, just know that it uses a histogram on the bottom
to indicate a currencies momentum
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○ Let’s say we plot our MACD on tradingview. Our little histogram on
the bottom (see below) is t rending down. P
RICE however is
actually going u
p. THIS IS D
IVERGENCE
● Types of divergence
○ Regular divergence. If price is going down (ie making lower lows)
and your oscillator begins making higher lows (ie it shows
UPWARD momentum)… this would be considered regular bullish
divergence. They signify a trend reversal
○ Don’t make this more complicated than it is. Think of it this way.
Price is going down. Your momentum indicator is showing an
UPTREND. We have REGULAR DIVERGENCE
○ Bearish regular divergence is just the opposite of bullish
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○ Note that with regular divergence, it is the indicator that begins
moving in the opposite direction
○ What is hidden divergence?
○ Hidden divergence is very similar to regular divergence. The
difference is that instead of the oscillator beginning to move in the
opposite direction, it is price action that does so!
○ Example. Your oscillator and price are moving in the same
direction DOWN indicating a downtrend. All of a sudden PRICE
shoots up! This does NOT indicate a reversal like regular
divergence
○ HIDDEN DIVERGENCE indicates a continuation of trend.
○ Here is an awesome video on divergence to help you understand :)
● Stochastic oscillator
○ Used to determine momentum
○ It does not always track price movement. Ie if the price goes up or
down, the indicator might not display this right away
○ It compares the currencies price, to the RANGE of the price over a
period of time. (You don’t need to know this - just adding this
detail for those curious on HOW it works)
○ For more of the dry stuff I will attach an article here you can read
on when the indicator was developed, the math behind it, etc.
Those things aren’t important for our purposes here.
○ Here is what the stochastic looks like when plotted on your chart
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○ At this time, you should go to your indicators and plot this yourself
to get a feel for it
○ Do you see the two moving averages on the bottom? Well when
those are above 80, it is commonly assumed to be overbought
Meaning a reversal is possibly coming. When it is under 20, some
traders believe this means it is o
versold and a spike up is coming.
○ You do not need to change the settings. Leave as is
○ My two cents? Don’t rely on this. There are many times when the
EMA’s are above 80 and do NOT reverse. Think about it… the
momentum is HIGH when above 80. Meaning the pair is trending
STRONGLY. THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND
○ So how the heck do I use it? Well young grasshopper, this is where
price action will be your saviour
○ ALWAYS use stochastics in conjunction with your main trading
strategy
● Example: I trade zone to zone. Let’s say using my method (to be
discussed later) I see a SELL setup. I check off all of the things I need to
see to take the trade. But, I want more confirmation. I plot the stochastic.
When I see that the EMA’s on the indicator are above 80, I’m aware this
could mean price is overbought
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○ This CONFIRMS t hat I have a good sell opportunity. NOTE: I
ALREADY HAD THIS SETUP DETERMINED USING MY STRATEGY
WHICH REVOLVES AROUND PRICE ACTION!
● MACD
○ The MACD indicator is an excellent way to measure momentum on
the charts
○ Here is where you find the MACD indicator and what it looks like
○ As you can see, we have three lines and a histogram on the bottom
of our chart. The histogram is just a fancy graph that measures
momentum
○ The LINES are basically just EMA’s. The following three lines are
for your information only. You do not need to study this.
○ The signal line is a 9 day EMA (A)
○ The MACD line is a 12 day EMA (B)- a 26 day EMA
○ The histogram is calculated by subtracting the signal line (A) from
the MACD line (B).
○ There is no need to change your settings on this indicator
○ On the histogram you will notice two different tones of red and
green. The lighter tone means descending the darker tone means
ascending
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○ EXAMPLE: I draw my support and resistance lines as I normally
would. Price is heading U
P towards my RESISTANCE line. When it
gets to that resistance area, the histogram is showing L
ONG bars
(see photo below for visual). This is confirmation to SELL. Why?
Because the more momentum we get up to that point, the bigger
the possibility of a reversal. Price will always need a break as
buyers cannot hold control forever.
○ Notice I said use as CONFIRMATION. Would I enter a sell just
because the histogram showed high momentum? HELL NO. Wait
for your rejection candle and follow your strategy. Remember: we
will get into specific strategies later so if you don’t have one don’t
fret
○ See video h
ere
● RSI
○ The relative strength indicator looks very similar to the stochastic
previously discussed
○ The difference here is that the stochastic indicator is concerned
more with the TREND and closing prices
○ Remember, we are still looking at momentum
○ This indicator is really calculated based on price movements. It’s
an average of the markets recent GAINS and LOSSES over a period
of 14 days. You don’t need to know this, I’m just including it for
your information
○ When we plot the RSI, we want to look at areas ABOVE the 70 line
and BELOW the 30
○ Above the 70 indicates a reversal down COULD happen
○ Below the 30 means reversal up COULD happen
○ What do we do? Simply watch these areas and use this indicator as
confirmation
○ See video h
ere
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● Stochastic RSI
○ I won’t make this any longer than it needs to be. This indicator is
really just a combination of the stochastic and the RSI,
○ In essence, the stochastic formula is applied to a set of RSI values
to create a new indicator
○ It really comes down to this: instead of using BASIC data to
measure the momentum of price… the RSI data is used to include
more specific information and thus (here's what you really need to
know) it is more accurate
○ If you’re going to use oscillators to confirm and you’re wondering
which one to choose... use this one
○ You might see the scale for this indicator numbered from 0-1 or
0-100 (you’ll normally see 0-100 on tradingview).
○ Just like the stochastic, a reading above 80 is overbought and
under 20 is undersold (above .8 and below .2 for the 0-1 scale).
○ A reading of zero on either scale would mean that the RSI is at its
lowest level in 14 periods. In english you ask? It just means that
price has not been this low in a while and thus the likelihood of
reversal is strong
● First, don’t let this section overwhelm you. I’m going to try my best and
simplify the Elliott Wave for you as much as possible. We will use many
graphics in this section to help guide us
● Disclaimer: I am going to explain and break down everything you need to
know about this theory to apply it to your charts and make money. Some
analysts have over complicated and extended this theory way beyond
what is needed. I will not be including sub rules, background, or any
extensions on this theory. It is my belief that in order to trade
successfully we need to pay attention to ONE thing: P
RICE ACTION. I will
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show you how to do that using this theory and a variety of others, but I
won’t be adding information that will confuse you and that is not
relevant
● What is the Elliott Wave anyway?
○ It’s a theory based on market movement
○ It implies that the market moves in specific WAVES. These waves
are really just small movements up and down
○ It applied to all time frames. You can find an elliot wave on the
daily, 4 hour or 15 minute. These will obviously all be very different
and you might even find waves W
ITHIN waves. You’ll see what I
mean soon
○ Basically the purpose of the theory is to help us predict when
reversals are going to happen. Because price commonly moves in
these wave patterns, it can be a bit easier to spot when a trend is
completing
○ Keep in mind this theory takes a lot of practice to get good at
applying. Use it for confirmation to your other trading methods
and practice practice practice!
○ Post your Elliot waves in our group chat :)
● The Elliot Wave is made up of two main waves. A corrective wave and a
motive wave
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○
● SEQUENCE ONE
○ We call this sequence the MOTIVE WAVE
○ The MOTIVE WAVE always moves in the direction of the overall
trend
○ Within this motive wave, there are 3 smaller motive waves and 2
small CORRECTIONAL waves. Correctional waves go in the
opposite direction of the overall trend
○ We label the 3 small motive waves 1, 3, and 5. We label the
correctional wave 2 and 4
○ See video explanation here
● SEQUENCE TWO
○ CORRECTIVE WAVE
○ Consists of three waves
○ Remember, within the CORRECTIVE WAVE you can have smaller
corrective waves. A corrective wave simply means that the wave is
going in the opposite direction of the trend!
○ As you can see here we have a small corrective wave, followed by a
motive wave, and then another small corrective wave.
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● Now I really want to further simplify this, for those who might be getting
caught up with the terminology. If the above terms confuse you… just
look at it this way. You have W
AVE A and W
AVE B. W
AVE A moves W
ITH
the trend. W
AVE B moves a
gainst t he trend. WAVE A = contains five
waves. WAVE B = contains three waves. Easy as PIE
○
● Before we move on at all, I would like you to go to your chart and practice
spotting these movements. ON ANY TIME FRAME! It doesn’t matter.
Print off a chart and draw them in if you need to
● Your Elliot Wave will NEVER be perfect. Don’t get hung up on where to
place your waves. We will never enter a trade based solely off of this, so
precision is not needed here. The more you practice the better your
placement will become
● You can post your Elliot Waves in the group and a team member will
correct your waves if needed
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● ELLIOT WAVE RULES
○ Rule number 1: Wave number 3 can never be the shortest impulse
wave
○ Rule number 2: Wave number 2 can NEVER go beyond the start of
wave 1
○ Rule number 3: Wave number 4 can NEVER cross in the same area
as wave one
○ See t his quick video explaining the rules
● How to use the Elliott Wave
○ I use the Elliott Wave to simply look for trends in the market
○ As I trade using zones and key levels, I do not depict entry points
using the Elliot Theory
FIBONACCI
● The Fibonacci retracement tool is my absolute favorite trading
instrument of all time
● It is considered a predictive indicator
○ Please note that I do not use fibs to predict a trade, only to confirm
an entry I could find using price action
● It is basically an indicator that shows us key levels in a trending market
○ In order to use the fib retracement tool, you will want to first
ensure price is in fact t rending
● How to use it
○ You can find the Fibonacci retracement tool on your side bar in
tradingview (in the section that looks like a pitchfork)
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○
● Plot the tool using the swing high and swing lows of your trend
○ During an uptrend: you want to plot your fib retracement starting
with the bottom of the swing up and ending at the top
○ During a downtrend: plot it by starting with the top of the swing
down and ending at the bottom
○ It is easiest to watch this quick video below to understand how to
plot your fib
○ Here is a video on how I use the Fibonacci tool
● Once you’ve plotted your fib retracement tool, you’ll want to change the
settings to look like this:
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○
○ When price retraces to the 50 or 61.8 fib level, you can begin
looking for rejection (long wick) and entry (use multiple
confirmations)
ABCD
● I will not be including all harmonic patterns in this study guide as they
are not something I use, or condone using
● I have included the most common harmonic pattern (the ABCD) as it
applies to other areas of the guide. This is the only harmonic I have ever
utilized in my trading career
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● Below I have made a bullet, including the types of harmonic patterns.
Should this be something you wish to seek out, you can look them up on
your own terms and incorporate them
● Harmonic patterns are Based off of f ib levels. They are patterns that help
us find continuation or reversals
● Wait for the e
ntire pattern to complete before looking for entry
● Types: ABCD, Three Drive, Gartley, CRAB, BAT, BUTTERFLY
● ABCD Pattern
○ Looks like this. See photo below.
○
○ Essentially what the ABCD pattern entails is a move upward or
downward in four waves. We label them ABCD
○ Example of how to use: on an uptrend... We plot our fib tool on AB
(the first move up), from the lowest point to the highest
○ Remember, a fib tool tells us where our R
ETRACEMENT is going to
happen
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○ LINE BC should reach at MINIMUM the .50 on the fib. .68 is best. If
it does you can move on with the next part
○ Once the BC move down is f inished, use your fib again to mark the
BC move (plot your dots on the highest then the lowest point)
○ Your next move should reach the 1.272 on the fib created from BC.
○ If it does, (and the move if finished) you can look for a sell
○ Rules: The length of line AB should be equal to the length of the
line CD
○ The time it takes for the price to go from A to B should be equal to
the time it takes for the price to move from C to D
○ Here is a great video on the ABCD pattern and how you can
incorporate it
USING INDICATORS
● The main indicators I use day to day are the fib retracement, MACD, and
EMA’s
● We have already gone over most specific indicators that I use. In this
section I want to discuss the best way to use any indicator
● Indicators DO have a purpose in trading. That purpose is never to plot
trades FOR you though. Indicators should only ever be used to help you
find trends, spot reversals, and mainly to CONFIRM what price action is
already telling you
● How to use indicators day to day
○ First, use price action and determine your overall trend
○ Next, you can plot your indicators to help you determine
momentum, trend and or entry points
○ IF your indicator and price action are both confirming the same
entry point, you can take the trade
○ IF your indicator alone confirms entry but price action does not…
NO TRADE
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○ Please note. This CAN work on the higher time frames with MAJOR
news release if used alongside other methods. IE. Let’s say you are
trending up on the higher time frame and NFP news is being
released soon. IF you have a consolidation period before NFP
release, you can use that news release to give you a good start on
your entry
○ USD news release tends to have the biggest impact on pairs
● What time are news release made (usually) all are in EST?
○ The USD: 0830 to 10 am
○ JPY: 6:50 to 1130 pm
○ CAD: 7-0830 am
○ GBP 2-430 pm
○ EUR 2-6 am
○ CHF 1:35 tp 530 am
○ NZD 445 to 9 pm
○ AUD 530 to 730 pm
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● Pairs to trade during news
○ You want to trade pairs that are liquid
○ Because spreads widen during news release, we want to trade the
pairs with the lowest spreads
○ Most USD pairs are great to trade during news release
● How long do news effects last?
○ Generally speaking, I advise waiting an hour after news release to
begin looking at new opportunities
● How to understand fundamentals:
○ Again, I am not a fundamental trader. However, I will give you a
general rundown on fundamentals that you can use going forward
○ Basically we are looking at each country’s economic situation
○ To trade using fundamentals, you will need to understand why
each event affects a country’s economy and currency
○ The idea here being that if the economy is good the currency
should then go up and vice versa
○ Here is a great video on fundamental trading
● Things to note about trading news
○ Spreads widen. This is due to the high volatility that occurs during
news release
○ Slippage. Slippage is more prevalent during news release, again
due to high volatility. Slippage is when your order is filled at a
different place than you actually entered
○ The markets often don’t move steadily in one direction for long.
We’ll usually see a strong push followed by a significant pullback
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Psychology
● Did you know that over 80% of traders are not profitable?
○ The reason isn’t because trading is unachievable. Retail traders
make money consistently all the time. The issue is that many
traders fail to master the emotional aspect of trading
● LEARN TO LOSE
○ This is the absolute most important concept you will master. You
need to learn to view your losing trades as absolutely normal. You
are G
OING to lose trades. There is not one professional trader in
this entire world who does not lose
○ How can you reroute your brain to begin viewing losses as normal?
○ First of all, stop “aiming” for pips. There is no way for you to know
which way the market will move from day to day, so how would
you then be able to predict how many pips you will make? It’s
impossible. Stop doing this.
○ Start looking at m
onthly returns
○ Stop looking at your losses as “money lost”. This is not the case.
You will not know whether or not you are at a loss or gain until the
end of each month. This is just the nature of currency trading.
Some weeks will be profitable and others will not. Over time (if you
follow you training plan) this will even out and you will be
profitable
○ You only need to be accurate 50% of the time to be profitable
● Revenge Trading
○ Many of us have at some point been guilty of revenge trading
○ This is when we lose a trade and then immediately enter another to
“make profits back”
○ It is imperative that you avoid doing this. Make it a rule to never
trade if you are feeling any emotion towards that trade or any
previous trades
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○ It will help to ask yourself a list of questions (see below) before
entering any position. At least as a beginner
● Questions to Ask Yourself Before Trading
○ Does this trade fit my trading plan?
○ Am I feeling emotional today towards the markets?
○ Am I entering this trade because I want to make “fast money”?
○ Am I using risk management?
● When NOT to Trade
○ When you’re emotional (in relation to anything)
○ When you’re tired
○ When you aren’t able to effectively analyze the markets
● How to Overcome FEAR
○ Fear of losing: This is a common and understandable fear. Once
you realize that it’s okay to lose (see section 1), you will no longer
need to linger over each trade monitoring the markets
○ Start small. ALWAYS trade with money you can afford to lose. This
way, your fear is naturally diminished
○ Start using real money as soon as possible. In order for you to stop
fearing real loss, you’ll need to experience it. Once you’ve studied
and practiced on a demo account, start trading with real money as
soon as possible. Many traders will get stuck on demo and get
comfortable. The issue here is that when you know the money is
not real, you have no attachment to it. It’s important to practice
mastering emotions early on
Risk Management
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○ Your trading plan can be a PDF doc, handwritten, whatever!
Doesn’t matter
○ Some people just keep it on the “notes” section of their phone
○ Here is a template below that you can use going forward :)
● Risk %
○ Before taking one single trade… you should have a defined risk that
you are willing to take
○ This risk will be different for every trader, but it’s essential that
you have one
○ Most traders use a 3-5% rule. This means they are willing to risk
3-5% of their account balance
○ Some traders risk % per trade, some will risk a % overall. Example:
I am only willing to risk 3% of my account at any one time. If I
enter 3 trades, I will only risk 1% per trade
○ Note: If you risk more than 5% at any one time this is considered
high risk. The higher the risk, the less likely you are to remain
profitable. I do not recommend risking more than 5%
○
● How to calculate risk:
○ You’ll need to first determine the risk you want to take. Let’s say
you choose 3%
○ Next, determine what 3% of your account balance is. Reminder: we
want to look at what is in your account RIGHT now, not what you
initially invested. If you invested $100 but have grown the account
to $130, use the 130
○ Let’s use the $100 example. 3% of $100 is $3. You are thus willing
to risk $3
○ Now, are you willing to risk $3 per trade or overall? Figure out
what you are willing to potentially lose (because that’s the name of
the game) and then move on to the next step...
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● How to choose a lot size
○ Once you have the dollar amount you are willing to lose we can
determine your lot size
○ First, you’ll want to determine how many pips your stop loss is
from your entry point. If you don’t know how to do this, please see
the section on counting pips
○ Here’s the easy part. Enter the pip amount into a calculator like the
one below. You can find it on forextime.com OR the app STINU (put
picture below) which can be downloaded via the app store
● Risk/Reward Ratio
○ What is a risk reward? A risk reward ratio is essentially the amount
you are willing to lose relative to what you could gain from any one
trade. See photo
○ What risk/reward ratio should you use?
○ You should never under any circumstances use a risk reward ratio
lower than 1:1
○ I aim to always have a 1:5 RR ratio, as a rule of thumb
○ If you are a scalper, you may use a lower ratio as you want to be in
and out of the markets quickly
● Risk Management While Scalping
○ When scalping, you will not always be able to set a stop loss
○ This is because many brokers will not allow a stop loss to be
extremely close to the entry point
○ You will need to monitor you trade actively while scalping if this is
the case
○ Know where your stop loss will be and do not under any
circumstances fail to exit at your determined stop
○ You will need to be extremely well disciplined to do this
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Time Frames
● When analyzing any currency, you will need to monitor multiple time
frames
● The specific time frames you work with daily will largely depend on the
type of trader you are
● In general, the higher the time frame the more accurate your analysis
will be
○ The higher time frames have less price action displayed (less
candles) and thus we do not see as much “noise”. Big corporations
also monitor the higher time frames actively, making the support
and resistance levels very important
● Day trading
○ Most day traders will use the daily and four hour time frames to
analyze overall trend. For marking up and spotting entries, the
four hour and fifteen minute charts will work well
○ Before entering a trade it is always a smart idea to switch to a
lower time frame (ie the 15m) to analyze current price action and
momentum
● Swing trading
○ Similar to the above, we will usually use the daily and four hour
charts Sometimes it may be necessary to view the higher time
frames (monthly, weekly) to spot key levels
○ Again, we’ll want to switch to the lower time frame to analyze our
entry
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● Long Term
○ Long term traders do not normally analyze the lower time frames
(anything smaller than the daily)
○ They may switch to the hourly time frames when spotting entry
○ Generally, they will look at the daily, weekly and monthly time
frames
● Scalping
○ Scalpers are concerned with the most up to date price action. They
want to look at the minute, 3 min, and 5 minute charts
○ Scalpers might view the 15minute or 4 hour charts to determine
direction
Confirmations
● So what the heck is a confirmation anyway? We hear the term all the
time but what the heck are we looking for?
● Confirmation is actually viewed differently by different traders
● I define confirmation as any indicator, movement or source that
confirms the entry determined by your strategy
● I need at least 3 confirmations in order to take a trade
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● Here are some possible confirmations
○ Price action: This is the most important confirmation and one that
I need to see before taking a trade. All this entails for me
personally is my rejection candle and to see price moving (with
strong momentum) in the direction you want it to go after hitting
your reversal or breakout area
○ Indicators: If you plot any of the indicators we have discussed and
they align with your entry, you can use this as a confirmation.
○ Fundamentals: Yes, I will use NEWS to confirm my entries! If news
release sways price in the direction I anticipated I will use this as
confirmation
○ Divergence: You can also use divergence to confirm entry
○ Remember to see the above section for examples on divergence
● The more confirmation you have before taking a trade, the higher the
probability
● Remember we want to be taking high probability trades, but we also
don’t want to wait for EVERY confirmation as you can miss some great
opportunities doing this
● Stick to a three confirmation rule and you’ll be all set!
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● You can apply this strategy to any time frame, meaning you can scalp or
trade long term with the same methods. I generally swing trade
● The first thing I do when looking for an entry is to analyze the o
verall
trend
○ I start by using the daily time frame. I will then move to the 4 hour
time frame to ensure we are still trending in the same direction, or
if a recent reversal has occurred
○ At this point in time I am also taking note of overall market
structure and momentum
● Next, I will mark my zones. Remember how to draw zones from above? If
not you will need to brush up on those sections.
○ I mark my zones on the 4 hour chart. I will then switch to the daily
and look at the closest daily zone (I make sure these are coloured
differently so I can spot them).
○ Once we’ve plotted our zones, we have to wait for price to either
break a zone or RETEST a zone. Here is the difference:
○ On some currency pairs we want to take a trade once price breaks
above or below a zone (in the direction of our trend). The best pairs
to trade using this method are pairs like UJ, GJ, US30
○ Other currency pairs will break and then R
ETEST a zone more
often. These are my favorite pairs to trade. These include EURUSD,
USDCAD, GOLD, EURJPY, NZDJPY, AUDJPY, USDCHF and more
○ Make sure you look at your pairs and see how they have reacted to
zones in the past to determine if the breakout or retest will work
best
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● If price B
REAKS above a zone
○ Using the lower time frame (15m or lower)...
○ If price has a s trong momentum and is moving FAST, I ensure that I
use the 5m or 3m time frame as we will miss our move if we use the
15m
○ I will watch for a complete breakout. I need the candle to C
LOSE
ABOVE the zone. The BODY needs to close above NOT the wick
○ I want to enter the trade at the NEXT candles OPEN
○ I will then ride to next zone
○ Remember this has to be in the same direction we determined
from step 1
● If price R
ETESTS my zone
○ What we are looking for here is a PULLBACK
○ When price pulls B
ACK and retests our zone, we need to wait and
see REJECTION
○ Remember those rejection candles? We are essentially looking for
aL
ONG wick
○ We will ENTER when we see price start to move in our intended
direction (confirmation)
● Momentum
○ When utilizing my strategy, I usually use the stochastic RSI to look
at momentum
○ I plot this indicator while looking at my overall trend
○ Once I see if it is looking overbought or oversold I can use this to
confirm entry later on
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Stacking Trades
● What does it mean to stack trades?
○ Stacking trades mean we are entering multiple SMALL positions vs
one large position
○ Remember to A
LWAYS use risk management. Your lot size will be
predetermined by that
○ For example, if we have determined we can use a 1.0 lot size… we
can use 2 .5 lot sizes instead of just the one large position. We do
not take any more risk, yet we have more entries
○ You can split your lot size whichever way you prefer
○ Example: Let’s say I have determined I can use a lot size of 2.0. I
can choose to enter one 2.0 position, two 1.0 positions, or four 0.5
positions
● Why do we stack trades?
○ The main reason is so we can c
ontrol our risk
○ Instead of leaving your one position running until your target is
reached, you can exit one or more of your positions once your risk
reward is at 1:1
○ This way, if the trade should turn around due to news or other
random events… you will have secured PARTIAL profits and will
not walk away empty handed
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○
● Trailing your stop loss
○ To reduce risk and secure profits, it can often be wise decision to
“trail” your stop loss
○ This means that once your trade has become profitable, you move
your stop loss in the direction of your trade
○ There are some guidelines to doing this. You don’t want to trail
your stop loss too early (your trade does need room to breathe)
○ I generally wait until I have moved to a new zone on the lower time
frame (even fifteen minute) and am showing considerable
momentum (I see long bodied candles forming)
○ If you don’t like zones, wait until price has reached a new support
or resistance level before moving your stop loss
○ As the trade continues to move into profit, you can keep moving
your stop loss up. I start by moving my stop loss to break even (my
entry) and then securing profits along the way
○ Keep moving your stop loss to a zone (or support/resistance)
below price. Always give price some room to breathe
○ Here is a quick video on trailing stop loss
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Scaling In
● To “scale” into a trade simply means you have a broad overview of the
market and you wish to enter multiple positions
● I believe this process is overcomplicated, so I am going to break it down
in the simplest form for you guys
● Scaling in really is best performed by starting on the HIGH time frames.
I’m talking weekly and daily, if not higher
● You want to have an extremely clear picture of the market, it’s key levels,
trends, etc
● Here is the process I use to “scale into” a trade
○ I first determine my overall structure on the daily/weekly
timeframe. Let’s say for example on the chart below I see an
overall downtrend and several support and resistance levels
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● Now, in the example above, let’s say I enter a sell early on in the
downtrend
○ Using an overview of the market structure and previous levels, I’ve
determined that I believe it will be trending down for a significant
amount of time
○ I can ride out one really BIG long trade, OR I can hold a small trade
and enter separate trades at different levels
○ Here’s an example of what I mean
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Measuring Pips
● There are two easy methods I use to measure pips!
● The first is by using the crosshair tool on MT4
○ You can drag the crosshair tool on MT4 (sorry, it’s only in web)
from your entry to your stop or target and it will display a set of
values
○ The middle number is your pip count
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● You can also use the date price and range tool on tradingview
○ Simply draw a rectangle to encompass the area you want to count
○ the number displayed at the end is your pip count
THE END!
Thank you for reading my study guide! I hope you take what I’ve given you and flourish
on your trading journey.
I would LOVE to hear what you think of this guide, so please let me know how you found
it :)