EVIDENCE BASED BUSINESS ANALYTICS For Undergraduates Evidence … 2 What is an Evidence ? 3
◻ Evidence is anything used to determine or
demonstrate the truth of an assertion ◻ Scientific Evidence is evidence which serves to either support or counter a scientific theory or hypothesis.
◻ In scientific research, evidence is accumulated
through observations of phenomena in the natural world, or created as experiments in a laboratory. Consider this hypothetical situation. 4
◻ You pay a visit to a dietician after gaining a bit of weight
after the festival season. The dietician advises you to try diet X. It’s very expensive and demands a radical change in lifestyle, but the prospect of having a slim and healthy body motivates you to stick to the diet. After a few weeks, however, you have gained three KG and suffer serious side effects that require medical treatment. After searching the internet, you learn that most scientic studies nd diet X to be ineffective and fraught with such side effects. When you confront the dietician with these ndings, he replies, ‘Why should I pay attention to scientic studies? I have 20 years of experience. Besides, the diet was developed by a famous American nutritionist, whose book sold more than a million copies.’ Consider this hypothetical situation.. 5
◻ Does that sound like malpractice? It probably does.
Unfortunately, in management, disregarding sound evidence and relying on personal experience or the popular ideas of management gurus is daily practice. Yet managerial decisions affect the working lives and well-being of people around the world. As Henry Mintzberg said: ‘No job is more vital to our society than that of a manager. It is the manager who determines whether our social institutions serve us well or whether they squander our talents and resources. Consider this hypothetical situation… 6
◻ In this course we will explain what evidence-based
management is and how it can help you and your organization make better decisions. Whether we work in a bank, hospital, large consulting rm or small startup, as practitioners affecting the lives of so many, we have a moral obligation to use the best available evidence when making a decision. ◻ We can do this by learning how to distinguish science from folklore, data from assertions, and evidence from beliefs, anecdotes or personal opinions.
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