dos variables

datos iniciales

años INGRESOS costos

2015 2,416.00 1,691.00
2016 2,624.00 1,836.00
2017 2,591.00 1,813.00
2018 2,715.00 1,900.00
2019 2,912.00 2,038.00

ecuacion

y=a+b x

b=𝑁 ∗∑▒𝑥∗−∑
▒𝑥 ∗∑▒𝑌/
𝑁∗∑▒𝑥^2−
(∑▒𝑥)^2
▒𝑥^2−∑▒𝑥∗∑▒𝑥∗𝑌/𝑁∗∑▒𝑥^2−(∑

identificacon de las variables

x = COSTO
y = INGRESOS

HALLE COEFICIENTES

a=∑▒𝑌∗∑▒
N X Y X^2 Y^2
1 1,691.00 2,416.00 2,859,481.00 5,837,056.00
2 1,836.00 2,624.00 3,370,896.00 6,885,376.00
3 1,813.00 2,591.00 3,286,969.00 6,713,281.00
 4 1,900.00 2,715.00 3,610,000.00 7,371,225.00
5 2,038.00 2,912.00 4,153,444.00 8,479,744.00
TOTAL 9,278.00 13,258.00 17,280,790.00 35,286,682.00

b=𝑁 ∗∑▒𝑥∗𝑌−∑▒𝑥
 ∗∑▒𝑌/𝑁∗∑▒𝑥^2−
(∑▒𝑥)^2
b = 123,468,795.00 - 123,007,724.00
86,403,950.00 - 86,081,284.00

b = 461,071.00
322,666.00

b = 1.4289420019463
▒𝑥^2−(∑▒𝑥)^2

∑▒𝑌∗∑▒𝑥^2−∑▒𝑥∗∑▒𝑥∗𝑌/𝑁∗∑▒
X*Y
4,085,456.00
4,817,664.00
4,697,483.00
 5,158,500.00
5,934,656.00
24,693,759.00

a = 229,108,713,820.00
86,403,950.00

a = 17818
322,666.00

a = 0.0552

halla el modelo

y=a+b x

y = 0.0552 +

pronostico ingresos
relacion co
años INGRESOS costos
3,200.00
2015 2,416.00 1,691.00
2016 2,624.00 1,836.00
3,000.00
2017 2,591.00 1,813.00
2018 2,715.00 1,900.00 2,800.00
2019 2,912.00 2,038.00
2020 pry 3,000.8334 2,100.00 2,600.00

2,400.00
proyecion ingresos
2,200.00

2,000.00
1,500.00 1,600.00 1,700.00 1,80
∗𝑌/𝑁∗∑▒𝑥^2−(∑▒𝑥)^2
 - 229,108,696,002.00
- 86,081,284.00

1.428942001946 x

relacion costos ingresos

200.00

000.00

800.00

600.00

400.00

200.00

000.00
1,500.00 1,600.00 1,700.00 1,800.00 1,900.00 2,000.00 2,100.00 2,200.00
 dos variables
datos iniciales

años INGRESOS costos

2013 841,570.00 419,722.00
2014 951,191.00 458,513.00
2015 1,123,308.00 579,705.00
2016 1,393,801.00 794,138.00
2017 1,484,163.00 837,926.00

ecuacion

y=a+b x

b=𝑁 ∗∑▒𝑥∗−∑
▒𝑥 ∗∑▒𝑌/
𝑁∗∑▒𝑥^2−
(∑▒𝑥)^2
▒𝑥^2−∑▒𝑥∗∑▒𝑥∗𝑌/𝑁∗∑▒𝑥^2−(∑

identificacon de las variables

x = COSTO
y = INGRESOS

HALLE COEFICIENTES

N X Y
1 419,722.00 841,570.00
2 458,513.00 951,191.00
3 579,705.00 1,123,308.00
 4 794,138.00 1,393,801.00
5 837,926.00 1,484,163.00
TOTAL 3,090,004.00 5,794,033.00

b=𝑁 ∗∑▒𝑥∗𝑌−∑▒𝑥
 ∗∑▒𝑌/𝑁∗∑▒𝑥^2−
(∑▒𝑥)^2
b = 18,955,176,255,695.00
10,276,168,799,990.00

b = 1,051,591,109,563.00
728,044,079,974.00

b = 1.4444058244393
 modelo postobon

∑▒𝑥^2−(∑▒𝑥)^2

a=∑▒𝑌∗∑▒𝑥^2−∑▒𝑥
X^2 Y^2 X*Y
176,166,557,284.00 708,240,064,900.00
210,234,171,169.00 904,764,318,481.00
336,057,887,025.00 1,261,820,862,864.00
353,225,443,540.00
436,133,438,983.00
651,187,264,140.00
 630,655,163,044.00 1,942,681,227,601.00 1,106,870,338,538.00
702,119,981,476.00 2,202,739,810,569.00 1,243,618,765,938.00
2,055,233,759,998.00 7,020,246,284,415.00 3,791,035,251,139.00

- 17,903,585,146,132.00
- 9,548,124,720,016.00

pronostico ingresos

años
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018 pry

proyecion ingresos
2−∑▒𝑥∗∑▒𝑥∗𝑌/𝑁∗∑▒𝑥^2−(∑▒𝑥)
 a = 11,908,092,228,142,500,000.00 -
10,276,168,799,990.00 -

a = 1.93778137981977E+017
728,044,079,974.00

a = 266,162.6450

halla el modelo

y=a+b x

= 266,162.6450 + 1.444405824

onostico ingresos

INGRESOS costos pronostico ingresos

841,570.00 419,722.00 1,800,000.00
951,191.00 458,513.00
1,600,000.00
1,123,308.00 579,705.00
1,400,000.00
1,393,801.00 794,138.00
1,200,000.00
1,484,163.00 837,926.00
1,566,127.8870 900,000.00 1,000,000.00
800,000.00
oyecion ingresos 600,000.00
400,000.00
200,000.00
-
300,000.00 400,000.00 500,000.00 600,000.00 700,000.00
2−(∑▒𝑥)^2
 11,714,314,090,160,500,000.00
9,548,124,720,016.00

pronostico ingresos

500,000.00 600,000.00 700,000.00 800,000.00 900,000.00 1,000,000.00