Professional Documents
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The Principles of
Intermediation
Summary
104
C. A. E. Goodhart, Money, Information and Uncertainty
© C. A. E. Goodhart 1989
THE PRINCIPLES OF INTERMEDIATION 105
methods and the use of information gathering and disseminating agencies, e.g.,
auditors, credit rating agencies, etc., but there are limits to their usefulness. Given the
absence of well-functioning markets in primary securities issuable by smaller com-
panies and persons, the bank acts as a substitute for such incomplete markets by
specialising in assessing credit risk and monitoring loan projects. Such asymmetries
of information imply that the optimal loan contract will be of a fixed interest form,
supported by collateral and/or bankruptcy penalties and, analogously, the optimal
bank liability will also be a fixed interest deposit supported by a buffer of bank
capital.
Having discussed the various functions undertaken by financial intermediaries, we
then turn in Section 3 to the question of whether there is anything special about
banks, as compared with other financial intermediaries (OFis), in the determination
of their respective equilibria, or in the adjustment process to that equilibrium. In both
cases the equilibrium conditions have to be assessed within a portfolio adjustment
framework in which there is no fundamental, or significant, difference between the
economic context facing banks as compared with OFis. On the other hand, the
impact and dynamic adjustment path resulting from a supply-side shock within the
banking system may differ from that arising from a supply-side shock elsewhere, in so
far as the counterpart to bank asset expansion is more commonly absorbed in buffer-
stock monetary adjustment.
Because of risk aversion, reinforced by the wish to avoid bankruptcy, there will be a
tendency for private-sector borrowers to issue financial liabilities with a life till
maturity related to the expected life of the investment to be financed, and in a form
(e.g., equity or debt) which reflects to some extent the degree of uncertainty of the
proposed investment project. The preferences of such borrowers may not match
closely the 'preferred habitats' of personal-sector lenders. Because of their need to
keep a sizeable proportion of their assets in liquid form for transaction and
precautionary purposes, personal-sector lenders may exhibit a greater preference for
shorter-dated assets in capital-certain form than private-sector borrowers would wish
to provide, ceteris paribus. An excess supply of long-dated, relatively risky, private
securities and an excess demand for short-dated, capital-certain, private-sector
securities could, therefore, develop. This would lead, naturally, to a rise in yields on
long-dated securities and a fall in yields on short-dated securities in order to tempt
both lenders and borrowers out of their preferred habitats, 1 in order to restore
1 It is for some reason more common to think of variations in yield tempting lenders to depart
from their preferred habitat, to take up a riskier portfolio, than it is to consider the possibility
of borrowers also shifting from their preferred habitat. For example, Leijonhufvud, On
Keynesian Economics and The Economics of Keynes, passim, (1986) e.g., pp. 202-3, 282-314,
354--85, 401-16) argues that Keynes believes that speculators with regressive expectations
might prevent falls in short-term interest rates being translated to the long end of the bond
market. But this (if true at all) would be a serious barrier to the successful contra-cyclical use of
monetary policy only if borrowers for investment projects were also deterred by risk aversion,
or by the same speculative (expectational) considerations, from financing their projects with
shorter-dated liabilities.