Professional Documents
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Leakages and injections can occur in the financial sector, government sector and overseas
sector. In the overseas sector, the main leakage from this sector are imports (M), which
represent spending by residents into the rest of the world. The main injection provided by this
sector is the exports of goods and services which generate income for the exporters from
overseas residents. An example of the use of the overseas sector is Australia exporting wool to
China, China pays the exporter of the wool (the farmer) therefore more money enters the
economy thus making it an injection. Another example is China processing the wool into items
such as coats and Australia importing the product by paying the Chinese exporter; since the
money paying for the coat leaves the economy it is a leakage.
One of the most common ways to measure the size of an economy (the aggregate output of a
country) is by compiling the gross domestic product (GDP). It is defined differently by
international organizations.
1. As defined by the World Bank, GDP represents the market value of all final goods and
services produced within a country’s borders, during the course of one year.
2. OECD defines GDP as "an aggregate measure of production equal to the sum of the
gross values added of all resident and institutional units engaged in production and
services (plus any taxes, and minus any subsidies, on products not included in the value
of their outputs)"
There are three methods of calculating GDP.
1. The Production (output) approach
Also known as the Value Added Approach, it calculates how much value is contributed at each
stage of production. This approach mirrors the OECD definition given above.
Steps:
1. Estimate the gross value of domestic output out of the many various economic
activities;
2. Determine the intermediate consumption, i.e., the cost of material, supplies and services
used to produce final goods or services.
3. Deduct intermediate consumption from gross value to obtain the gross value added.
One major drawback of this method is the difficulty to differentiate between intermediate and
final goods. This is why some countries such as the United States and Japan prefer other
methods, like the income or the expenditure approach.
2. The Income approach
The second way of estimating GDP is to use "the sum of primary incomes distributed by
resident producer units" This method measures GDP by adding incomes that firms pay
households for factors of production they hire - wages for labour, interest for capital, rent for
land and profits for entrepreneurship.
GDP = Compensation of employees + gross operating surplus + gross mixed income +
taxes less subsidies on production and imports
Compensation of employees measures the total remuneration to employees for work done. It
includes wages and salaries, as well as employer contributions to social security and other such
programs.
Gross operating surplus is the surplus due to owners of incorporated businesses. Often called
profits, although only a subset of total costs are subtracted from gross output to calculate GOS.
Gross mixed income is the same measure as GOS, but for unincorporated businesses. This
often includes most small businesses.
The third way to estimate GDP is to calculate the sum of the final uses of goods and services
(all uses except intermediate consumption) measured in purchasers' prices.
The formula for calculating GDP, using the expenditure approach is the following:
GDP = C + I + G + (X- M)
• C = Private consumption expenditure
• I = Investment Expenditure
• G= Government Consumption Expenditure
• X = Value of Exports
• M = Value of Imports
3. GDP Nominal versus Real. Price indexes: GDP deflator, Consumer Price Index and
Producer Price Index
GDP refers to the economic value of goods and services produced within the nation’s
boundaries, in a particular financial year plus income earned by foreign residents locally less
income earned abroad by country’s residents.
When the GDP is estimated at current prices, it exhibits Nominal GDP, whereas Real GDP is
when the estimation is made at constant prices.
BASIS FOR
NOMINAL GDP REAL GDP
COMPARISON
Meaning The aggregate market value of Real GDP refers to the value of
the economic output produced in economic output produced in a
a year within the boundaries of given period, adjusted according
the country is known as Nominal to the changes in the general price
GDP. level.
A price index is a weighted average of price relatives for a given class of goods or services in
a given region, during a given interval of time. It is a statistic designed to help to compare how
these price relatives, taken as a whole, differ between time periods or geographical locations.
The GDP deflator is a measure of the level of prices of all new, domestically produced, final
goods and services in an economy in a year.
Like the consumer price index (CPI), the GDP deflator is a measure of price inflation/deflation
with respect to a specific base year; the GDP deflator of the base year itself is equal to 100.
Unlike the CPI, the GDP deflator is not based on a fixed basket of goods and services; the
"basket" for the GDP deflator is allowed to change from year to year with people's consumption
and investment patterns.
The nominal GDP of a given year is computed using that year's prices, while the real GDP of
that year is computed using the base year's prices.
The formula implies that dividing the nominal GDP by the real GDP and multiplying it by 100
will give the GDP Deflator, hence "deflating" the nominal GDP into a real measure.
A consumer price index (CPI) is a price index, the price of a weighted average market basket
of consumer goods and services purchased by households. Changes in measured CPI track
changes in prices over time.
The index is usually computed monthly, or quarterly in some countries, as a weighted average
of sub-indices for different components of consumer expenditure, such as food, housing, shoes,
clothing, each of which is, in turn, a weighted average of sub-sub-indices.
A producer price index (PPI) is a price index that measures the average changes in prices
received by domestic producers for their output.Its importance is being undermined by the
steady decline in manufactured goods as a share of spending.
The PPI is a measure of wholesale inflation, while the Consumer Price Index measures the
prices paid by consumers.
PPI indexes are calculated based on products and services, industries, and the buyer's economic
identity, which are used to calculate the overall monthly change in final demand PPI.
4. Aggregate Demand: definition and its elements. Aggregate Demand curve. Factors
affecting Aggregate Demand
Aggregate demand (AD) is the total demand for final goods and services in an economy at a
given time. It is often called effective demand, though at other times this term is distinguished.
This is the demand for the GDP of a country. It specifies the amount of goods and services that
will be purchased at all possible price levels. Consumer spending, investment, corporate and
government expenditure, and net exports make up the aggregate demand.
Elements
Aggregate Demand = C + I + G + Nx
C=Consumer spending on goods and services
I=Private investment and corporate spending on non-final capital goods (factories, equipment,
etc.)
G=Government spending on public goods and social services (infrastructure, Medicare, etc.)
Nx=Net exports (exports minus imports)
Aggregate Demand Graphically
Aggregate supply, also known as total output, is the total supply of goods and services produced
within an economy at a given overall price in a given period. It is represented by the aggregate supply
curve, which describes the relationship between price levels and the quantity of output that firms are
willing to provide. Typically, there is a positive relationship between aggregate supply and the price
level.
The price level shown on the vertical axis represents prices for final goods or outputs bought in the
economy, not the price level for intermediate goods and services that are inputs to production. The AS
curve describes how suppliers will react to a higher price level for final outputs of goods and
services while the prices of inputs like labor and energy remain constant.
If firms across the economy face a situation where the price level of what they produce and sell is rising
but their costs of production are not rising, then the lure of higher profits will induce them to expand
production.
Factor Prices: Factor prices represent the cost of resources used to produce goods. This includes raw
materials such as lumber or steel, as well as energy or wages. This determinant effects Aggregate
because if factor prices rise, then firms will be able to supply fewer goods at a given price, and vice
versa if the fall.
Technology: Technology is a determinant of aggregate supply because it impacts productivity. If
productivity rises from the introduction of new technology, then firms will be able to produce more
good at the same aggregate price level. It's hard to envision a decrease or loss in technology which leads
to lower productivity, but a software virus could disable computers and automated production.
Labor Productivity: An increase in labor productivity can determine a firm's level of output. For
example, if the workforce becomes better educated, allowing them to work more efficiently, then goods
can be produced at higher rate at the same given price level.
Availability of Factors of Production: If the availability of factors of production increases, then firms
can produce more goods at a given price, and vice versa.
Capital Productivity: Capital productivity measure how efficiently capital is being used to produce
goods and services. If firms began to mismanage their capital, causing them to use it inefficiently, then
their level output or supply would drop at the same given price.
Government Rules, Taxes, and Subsidies:
o If there is a change in government rules such as new regulations on the treatment of livestock,
that would lower the output of meat factories.
o if the government increased subsidies for farmers that raised livestock, that would increase the
level of output.
o If income taxes rise, then the labor force will demand higher wages causing a decrease in output
at the same aggregate price level. Taxes can also affect firms more directly in the form of
corporate taxes.
o Two axes: a vertical axis labeled “Price level” or “PL” and a horizontal axis labeled “real
GDP.”
o A downward sloping aggregate demand curve labeled “AD.” An upward sloping short-run
aggregate supply curve labeled “SRAS.”
o An equilibrium price level and real GDP. These should be labeled as indicated in the question.
o A vertical long-run aggregate supply curve labeled “LRAS.” The LRAS should be vertical at
the full employment output. The placement of the LRAS curve will depend on whether the
economy has an output gap or is in long-run equilibrium. For example, the economy in the
graph shown here is in a recession
Most common uses of the AD-AS model
Showing a recession, with Y1 representing current output and Yf full employment output. Note that
Y1 is less than Yf during a recession.
Showing an economy in long-run equilibrium, with Y1 representing current and Yf representing full
employment output. Note that Y1 equals Yf in long-run equilibrium.
Showing an economy producing beyond full employment output, with Y1 representing current output
and Yf representing full employment output. Note that Y1 is greater than Yf when an economy is
producing more than full employment output.
7. Consumption, Saving, Investment in closed and open economies.
Consumption:
The main hypothesis of Keynes suggested that our disposable income which can be arrived at by
deducing tax liabilities from gross income influences our level of real consumption. Further
explanation on this is
C = f (Y) where C stands for consumption and Y stands for disposable income.
Keynes also held the view that people tend to enhance their consumption level along with a rise in
their disposable income.
However, the increase in disposable income is greater than the increase in consumption. This
hypothesis can be termed as our marginal propensity to consume and indicates a positive correlation
between these two variables.
This, if our income increases by one unit, our marginal propensity to consume increases by 0.8 units.
Hence the remaining 0.2 units are used for savings.
Y = C + S where Y stands for disposable income, C stands for consumption and S stands for savings.
It is also imperative to note here that propensity to consume and desire to consume are not similar in
nature as the former means effective consumption.
Both objective and subjective factors influence our consumption function. Tax policy, interest rate,
windfall profit or loss and holding of assets are some objective functions whereas subjective ones
relate to motives of foresight, precaution, avarice, and improvement amongst individuals.
Savings:
In plain words, savings refer to the excess of disposable income over consumption expenditure.
From a national level, the unconsumed part of the entire nation’s income comprising of all its
members can be termed as National Savings.
Total domestic savings, on the other hand, can be defined as the summation of savings of the
government, the business sector, and households.
Some of the biggest determinants of savings are
Income, as saving income ratio holds a proportionate relation with the rise in income. People also
have a tendency of saving the excess part of their income but not the entire bulk.
Distribution of income as the savings process is helped to a great extent by inequality of income
distribution. Our desire to showcase a superior standard of living in comparison to our neighbors often
steers us towards purchasing expensive goods which in turn declines the level of savings.
Psychological or subjective factors such as savings to safeguard ourselves from future insecurity and
uncertainty. The ultimate attitude of people is driven towards savings by their farsightedness. This, in
turn, boosts them up to enjoy a better standard of living both for themselves and their loved ones.
Prevalent financial instruments and rate of interest as a higher rate motivates greater savings.
Investment
Is change in capital stocks or inventories pertaining to a business venture between two different
periods or production of fresh capital goods such as plants and equipment.
Relation Between Savings and Investment In Classical System
According to this theory, Savings (S) gets equated with Investment (I) automatically which otherwise
alters the interest rate. If savings exceeds investment, the excess supply of funds brings down the rate
of interest.
This, in turn, reduces savings and increases investment for maintaining equilibrium.
However, this law of the market holds good when the entire amount of savings is invested.
Improvements in Technology
Improvements in technology have a high impact on economic growth. As the scientific community
makes more discoveries, managers find ways to apply these innovations as more sophisticated
production techniques.The application of better technology means the same amount of labor will be
more productive, and economic growth will advance at a lower cost.
Production function
Production function is the equation that expresses the relationship between the quantities of
productive factors (such as labour and capital) used and the amount of product obtained.
They do not include a time indicator, i.e. they do not contain time as a factor that changes the main
production characteristics of the studied dependence.
Among static production functions, linear functions (y = a0 + a1 x1 + a2 x2) and the Cobb-Douglas
function are the most common.
The graph of the two-factor function Q = f (L,K) is an isoquant, which is a line of constant output
level. I.e., an isoquant is a curve of equal product or a set of possible combinations of labor and
capital factors, at which the same output is achieved.
The further from the origin the curve is located, the greater the output.
The isoquant map is a set of isoquants, each of which shows the maximum volume of output when
using a certain combination of factors of production.
The properties of isoquants include:
1) negative slope; 2) concavity to the origin; 3) never intersect; 4) show different levels of production.
The further from the origin the isoquant is located, the greater the volume of output it shows.
· Investment fund.
The final product is determined by the goods that are used for final
consumption, accumulation and export. The final product does not include
intermediate goods consumed in the production process in the form of raw
materials, materials, fuel, electricity, etc. The use of the term "gross" means that
when calculating GDP, consumption of fixed capital is not excluded from its
value.
• net domestic product (PMT) determines the cost of products in the prices
of the final buyer, produced by economic units forming sectors of the domestic
economy, without considering the consumption of fixed capital.
This is how that works: Most modern economists recognize the need for state influence on
the economy in times of crisis and the use of Keynesian methods, but insist on the need for
self-regulation of the money market after overcoming crisis situations and switching to the use
of modern monetarism methods.
So, use combine 2 methods and, as a result, become a system, which is appropriate for current
economic conditions.
The Central Bank is the main Bank of the country: in the United States, its counterpart is the
Federal Reserve System, in the UK is the Bank of England, German Federal Bank
(Bundesbank), in Sweden, the Riksbank, in Russia - the Bank of Russia, etc.
The multiplier works both ways. The money supply increases if money enters the banking
system (the amount of deposits increases), which leads to deposit expansion, and decreases if
money leaves the banking system (they are withdrawn from accounts), which leads to deposit
compression. However, as a rule, in the economy, money is simultaneously invested in bank
accounts and withdrawn from accounts, so the money supply cannot change significantly. A
change in the value of the deposit multiplier can occur only if the central bank changes the rate
of mandatory reserves, which will affect the credit capabilities of banks. It is no coincidence
that the change in the rate of mandatory reserves is one of the instruments of the monetary
policy of the central bank - the policy of regulating the money supply.
Since the change in the money supply occurs due to the issuance of loans by commercial
banks, this change can be calculated as the sum of loans issued by all banks in the economy:
The credit multiplier shows a change in the money supply as a result of change in deposits
per monetary unit.
The analysis of the deposit expansion process was based on the assumption that, firstly, money
does not leave the banking sector and does not settle in the form of cash, and therefore the
supply of money is determined only by the behavior of the banking sector, and secondly, that
commercial banks do not keep excess reserves and fully use their credit capabilities
In reality, the amount of money supply is influenced by the behavior of households and firms
(non-hanking sector), which decide in what ratio to divide money between cash and funds in
bank accounts. In addition, as a rule, commercial banks keep excess reserves to ensure
solvency, in order to always be able to issue the amounts required by depositors without
borrowing funds from the central bank or other commercial banks. Under such conditions, the
change in the amount of deposits also has a multiplicative effect, but not a deposit multiplier,
but a money multiplier will act.
16. Reserves of commercial banks.
There are the following types of reserves of commercial banks: required, excess and actual.
Required reserves (Rrec) of a commercial bank represent the amount of funds that the bank
has no right to lend and the amount of which can be calculated by multiplying the amount of
deposits by the rate of mandatory reserves:
If the bank issues all these funds on credit, then it uses its credit capabilities fully. However,
the bank may keep part of the funds that it could lend out in the form of reserves. Banks can
keep excess reserves so that if they suddenly need funds, they do not resort to loans from the
central bank or other commercial banks.
The actual reserves are the sum of the mandatory and part of the excess reserves, for some
reason not issued on credit:
Actual reserves = Required reserves + Excess reserves + Loans issued by the bank + Deposits
The main part of the income of a commercial bank is the difference between interest on loans
and interest on deposits. Additional sources of income of the bank may be commissions for
the provision of various types of services (trust, transfer, etc.) and income from securities. Part
of the income goes to pay the bank's expenses: salaries of bank employees, costs of banking
equipment and its use, rent of premises, etc. The amount remaining after these payments is the
profit of the bank, tax is paid from it to the state, dividends are accrued to the holders of the
bank's shares and part of it can go to expand the bank's activities.
Like the balance sheet of the central bank, the balance sheet of a commercial bank has two
sides: liabilities (sources of funds), including liabilities (primarily deposits) and the bank's
equity, and assets (areas of use of depositors' funds).
The process of money creation by commercial banks is called deposit expansion. It occurs if
money enters the banking sector and deposits of a commercial bank increase, some of which
the bank issues on credit and which, in turn, are credited to another bank account in the form
of a deposit, etc. If deposits decrease (the client withdraws money from his account), then the
opposite process occurs deposit compression. Commercial banks can create money only with
a partial reserve system.
The deposit multiplier shows the total amount of deposits that the banking system can create
from each monetary unit invested in a commercial bank account (the amount of money supply
created by 1 rub of deposits)
18. Equilibrium in money market. Interest rate and its role in economy.
Macroeconomic equilibrium means the optimal choice in the economy, assuming a
balanced use of limited production resources and their distribution among members of
society, i.e. a balance of production and consumption, resources and their use, supply and
demand, factors of production and its results, material and financial flows. Any economic
system strives to achieve an equilibrium state and preserve it. Economic equilibrium acts as a
correspondence between resources and needs, as a way of using limited resources to create
market goods and services and redistribute them among members of society.
In the money market, equilibrium means that the demand for money from economic
entities, i.e. their desire to keep money in the form of cash or bank deposits, is equal to the
supply, i.e. the amount of money issued by the banking system - the balance between them is
ensured by a flexible interest rate.
Equilibrium in the money market is established when the demand for money is equal to
its supply, which can be achieved at a certain bank interest rate. The equilibrium in the
money market will be maintained when the interest rate changes in the same direction as
income. For example, if incomes in the economy increase, this will lead to an increase in
demand for money, and consequently, to an increase in the interest rate, in this case, the
opportunity cost of storing money will increase and the securities exchange rate will
decrease, which will reduce speculative demand for money, increase the purchase of financial
assets by firms and households and make it possible to maintain monetary the market is in an
equilibrium state.
The interest rate is one of key variables, which in the view of the classics is flexible
quantities, provide equilibrium in the capital market, labor market and money market. The
interest rate balances the supply and demand of investment funds. In equilibrium the interest-
rate will be such that the supply of bonds is equal to the demand for bonds and this according
to Walras’ law means that the supply of money is equal to the demand for money. If the
interest rate rises above the equilibrium level, there will be an increase in the alternative cost
of storing money. The demand for money will fall. If the interest rate falls below the
equilibrium level, then the opportunity cost of storing money will decrease, the demand for
money that will be lacking will increase.
Money market is in equilibrium at a rate of interest when demand for money is equal to
the fixed money supply. Thus money market is in equilibrium when MS = MD. Money
demand (MD) is determined by the level of income and rate of interest.
Graphically, equilibrium of the money market is established at the intersection of the
vertical curve of the real money supply with a negative slope of the demand curve for real
money balances. The coordinates of the intersection point of the course of real management
and the real minus supply corresponds to the level of the equilibrium interest-rate and the
equilibrium value of the real money supply.Comparing the demand for money and the
supply, we find the equilibrium of the money market. Point E is located at the intersection of
the supply and demand curves of money and determines the equilibrium interest rate, i.e. the
alternative cost of storing non-interest bearing money.
Measuring inflation:
· The main indicator of inflation is the rate of inflation (rate of inflation), which is
calculated as a percentage of the difference between the price levels of the current
year Pt and the previous year Pt-1 to the price level of the previous year:
Thus, it characterizes the increasing rate of the general price level. If the indicator of
the inflation rate n is negative, then this means deflation.
· The GDP deflator or consumer price index (CPI) is used as an indicator of the overall
price level P.
· the GDP deflator. It measures the cost of a basket of goods and services, including the
prices of all final goods and services produced in the country's economy, weighted by
their quantity. When calculating it, the basket of goods includes the prices of goods
that consumers do not buy, but excludes the prices of goods purchased by consumers.
Causes of inflation:
the Phillips curve was considered as a «menu of alternative government policies. For
example, if the unemployment rate was assessed by the government as very low, a
stimulating policy was carried out: public procurement or money supply increased,
which led to an expansion of aggregate demand. The growth of aggregate demand led
to an increase in output, i.e. aggregate supply and, consequently, employment The
price of employment growth is an increase in demand inflation.
in the 70s of the twentieth century, processes took place in all counries and
almost at the same time, which became a convincing refutation of the Phillips curve.
This period of time is characterized by the simultaneous existence of unemployment
and inflation. In economics, this phenomenon is designated by the temis stagflation (a
combination of stagnation and inflation) and slampflation (the coexistence of rising
unemployment (decline in production) and rising inflation rates).
A new look at the Phillips curve was based on its differentiation in short and long
term periods.
To describe the Phillips curve in a short term period, firstly, the Oaken law is used
and, secondly, the equation of the short-term curve of the aggregate supply.
If the short-term aggregate supply curve is represented as:
Tools:
23. Fiscal policy of the government. Its goals and instruments. Automatic stabilizers and
discretionary policy. Efficiency problems.
The fiscal policy of the state - is understood as the system of regulating the economy
through government spending and taxes, i.e., it is reduced to the manipulation of taxes and
government spending.
The following objectives of fiscal policy are distinguished:
• smoothing out fluctuations in the economic cycle
• ensuring sustainable economic growth
• achieving a high level of employment at a moderate rate of inflation.
General fiscal policy is divided into two types:
• discretionary
• non-discretionary (automatic) fiscal policy.
Discretionary fiscal policy is caused by conscious decisions of the government in the field
of public spending and taxes in order to affect the real volume of national income,
employment and inflation. In this case, new laws are usually adopted.
The main instruments of discretionary policy are:
1. changes in tax rates
2. public works projects
3. employment of the population.
This is an active fiscal policy of the state.
Discretionary fiscal policy, implemented in order to smooth the economic cycle, is of two
types:
1. Expansionary (stimulating)
• is associated with an increase in government spending and tax cuts, or combines these
measures (since the multiplier effect of government spending is greater than from tax
cuts). In the short term, such a policy reduces the decline in production due to deficit
financing.
2. Restrictive (contractionary), or restraining
• is associated with an increase in taxes and a reduction in government spending, or
combines measures to limit the inflationary growth of the economy.
Non-discretionary (automatic) fiscal policy does not require special decisions of the
government, as it is based on the action of built-in stabilizers that lead to automatic changes
in tax revenues to the state budget and public expenditures. This is passive fiscal policy.
Automatic stabilizers
The built in (automatic) stabilizer - is an economic mechanism that automatically reacts to
changes in the economic environment.
Automatic stabilizers maintain economic stability based on self- regulation. The built-in
stabilizers are: progressive income tax, unemployment benefits, poverty benefits, subsidies to
farmers, as well as a profit sharing system. With the help of built-in stabilizers, depending on
the economic situation, tax revenues and government transfers change, so they smooth out
cyclical fluctuations, not eliminate them.
During recession, built-in stabilizers lead to a decrease in tax revenues to the state budget, an
increase in social payments and a state budget deficit. During the ascent, the reverse process
occurs.
Efficiency problems. (The effectiveness of fiscal policy in the IS-LM)
The efficiency influenced by 2 factors:
1- the degree of sensitivity of the investment function to the dynamics of the market interest
rate (d)
2 - the degree of sensitivity of the demand for money to the dynamics of the market interest
rate (h)
Graphically, the same 2 factors determine, respectively: 1- the slope of the IS curve (d) 2-
the slope of the LM curve (h)
Rule for efficiency: If the effect of displacement is less than the effect of output growth,
then all other things being equal, fiscal policy is effective, and vice versa.
Left pic. - IS has a steeper slope (d is rather small) - the policy is effective
Right pic. - IS has a more gentle slope (d increases) - the policy is ineffective
Moreover, fiscal policy is most effective if:
• autonomous expenditures (investments) are weakly sensitive to the interest rate
• the demand for money is highly sensitive to the interest rate and weakly sensitive to
changes in output
24. Public sector of economy: production of public goods and so called “market failures”.
The public sector of the economy represents all State institutions and agencies. This sector:
• organizes the production of public goods
• carries out social payments
• redistributes the national income of the country between individual sectors of the
economy
• ensures the supply of funds in the national economy
• conducts another set of measures to regulate the country's foreign economic relations.
The public sector is used as a tool for regulating a wide range of socio-economic goals and
objectives. It acquires the greatest importance in the conditions of deteriorating market
conditions, depression or crisis.
Indicators for quantifying the impact of the public sector on the economy are:
a. the share of GNP, GDP created in the public sector
b. the number of workers and employees employed in it
c. the number of public sector enterprises in general and by individual sectors
C. Fischer emphasizes that "the state should not produce public goods; it should only
determine how much each of these goods should be produced. To ensure real production, it
can rely on private contractors".
Regarding the mechanism of distribution of public goods, the laws of the national economy
are powerless – they are not able to work effectively in this area of the market. Therefore,
objectively, this task is assumed by the state – the state apparatus.
The problems of identifying the real demand for public goods create serious difficulties in
determining the optimal supply volumes and financing. The theoretical solution was proposed
back in the 50s of the 20th century and was called the Samuelson general equilibrium
model. Optimum condition for an economy with a public good:
25. Exchange rate regimes: fixed, free float and managed float.
The exchange rate - is the ratio by which the currency of one country is exchanged for the
currency of another country. This is the price of a foreign currency expressed in the national
monetary unit.
The exchange rate regime - is the way in which the monetary authority of a country or
monetary union manages a currency in relation to other currencies and the foreign exchange
market.
Fixed exchange regime:
A fixed exchange rate - is an officially established ratio between national currencies based
on mutual parity. Under the fixed exchange rate regime, the central bank sets the exchange
rate of the national currency at a certain level in relation to the currency of any country to
which the currency of this country is "tied", to the currency basket or to the international
monetary unit.
• A change in the fixed exchange rate occurs as a result of its official revision
(devaluation – decrease or revaluation – increase). The fixed exchange rate regime is
usually established in countries with strict currency restrictions and non-convertible
currency.
Free float:
Free floating - is a system in which the exchange rate is determined solely by supply and
demand in the foreign exchange market. The regime is based on the ideology of laissez-faire
– perfect competition, non-interference of the state, market self-regulation.
The most illustrative example is the United States, where the exchange rate is not regulated
and is not targeted even at the level of statements and comments of the monetary authorities.
The free-floating system is effective in conditions of economic and political stability, and a
low inflationary background.
The disadvantages of a floating exchange rate are that: this course is unpredictable and it has
a large range of fluctuations negatively affects the inflow of foreign capital into the country
Managed float:
The managed or "dirty" floating system - means that the Central Bank does not fix the
exchange rate, but allows currency interventions to prevent sharp fluctuations in the
exchange rate.
**In addition, in some countries, the managed floating system implies the mandatory sale of
part of the foreign exchange earnings of exporters of the Central Bank.
Advantages: Regulated changes in the exchange rate make it possible to eliminate persistent
deficits or active balance of payments balances.
The balance of payments is based on a double entry: each transaction is reflected twice - on the credit
of one item and the debit of another. The credit refers to those transactions, as a result of which there
is an influx of currency into the country. Debit refers to those transactions as a result of which the
country spends currency.
The balance of payments consists of three main parts:
1. current account
reflects the sum of all transactions of a given country with other countries related to trade in goods,
services and transfers and therefore includes:
• export and import of goods (visible)
• export and import of services (invisibles), for example, international tourism.
• net income from investments (otherwise called net factor income or net income from credit
services)
• net transfers, which include foreign aid, pensions, gifts, grants
The current account balance in macroeconomic models is reflected as net exports: Ex – Im = Xn = Y
– (C + I + G)
where Ex is exports, Im is imports, Xn is net exports, Y is the country's GDP,
All in all, Balance of payments equilibrium is achieved by: Xn+ (I- Sn)=0
where Xn - current account balance
(I - Sn) - balance of the account of operations with capital and financial instruments (without
changes in official reserves - Sn)
If, on the contrary, the currency becomes cheaper. The goods of the country have become
more competitive, which may lead to an increase in sales markets. In the event of an increase
in exports and a reduction in imports by the country, the trade balance will be positive.
However, this situation cannot continue permanently, since the export-import operations of
countries are interconnected. Other countries, in order to keep the trade balance positive, may
raise customs duties or introduce licenses for the import of goods, limiting imports.
27. IS-LM model: equilibrium in goods and money markets.
IS–LM model, or Hicks–Hansen model, is a two-dimensional macroeconomic tool that
shows the relationship between interest rates and assets market (also known as real output in
goods and services market plus money market). The intersection of the "investment–saving"
(IS) and "liquidity preference–money supply" (LM) curves models "general equilibrium"
where supposed simultaneous equilibria occur in both the goods and the asset markets. Yet
two equivalent interpretations are possible: first, the IS–LM model explains changes in
national income when the price level is fixed in the short-run; second, the IS–LM model
shows why an aggregate demand curve can shift. Hence, this tool is sometimes used not only
to analyse economic fluctuations but also to suggest potential levels for appropriate
stabilisation policies.
The model was created, developed and taught by Keynes.However, it is often believed that
John Hicks invented it in 1937,and was later extended by Alvin Hansen,as a mathematical
representation of Keynesian macroeconomic theory.(дополнительная информация)
The basis of the IS-LM model is an analysis of the money market(LM) and an analysis of
the goods market(IS), which together determine the equilibrium levels of interest rates and
output in the economy, given prices. The model finds combinations of interest rates and
output (GDP) such that the money market is in equilibrium. This creates the LM curve. The
model also finds combinations of interest rates and output such that the goods market is in
equilibrium. This creates the IS curve. The equilibrium is the interest rate and output
combination that is on both the IS and the LM curves.
LM (liquidity-money) curve
The LM curve shows the combinations of interest rates and levels of real income for which
the money market is in equilibrium. It shows where money demand equals money supply. For
the LM curve, the independent variable is income and the dependent variable is the interest
rate.
In the money market equilibrium diagram, the liquidity preference function is the willingness
to hold cash. The liquidity preference function is downward sloping (i.e. the willingness to
hold cash increases as the interest rate decreases). Two basic elements determine the quantity
of cash balances demanded:
1.Transactions demand for money: this includes both (a) the willingness to hold cash for
everyday transactions and (b) a precautionary measure (money demand in case of
emergencies). Transactions demand is positively related to real GDP. As GDP is considered
exogenous to the liquidity preference function, changes in GDP shift the curve.
2.Speculative demand for money: this is the willingness to hold cash instead of securities as
an asset for investment purposes. Speculative demand is inversely related to the interest rate.
As the interest rate rises, the opportunity cost of holding money rather than investing in
securities increases. So, as interest rates rise, speculative demand for money falls.
Money supply is determined by central bank decisions and willingness of commercial banks
to loan money. Money supply in effect is perfectly inelastic with respect to nominal interest
rates. Thus the money supply function is represented as a vertical line – money supply is a
constant, independent of the interest rate, GDP, and other factors. Mathematically, the LM
curve is defined by the equation
M/P=L(i,Y), where the supply of money is represented as the real amount M/P (as opposed to
the nominal amount M), with P representing the price level, and L being the real demand for
money, which is some function of the interest rate and the level of real income.
An increase in GDP shifts the liquidity preference function rightward and hence increases the
interest rate. Thus the LM function is positively sloped.
This just combines the LM curve and the IS curve. The crossing of these two curves is the
combination of the interest rate and real GDP, denoted (r*,Y*), such that both the money
market and the goods market are in equilibrium.
It follows from the identity of the national accounts that the growth of national production,
and consequently, employment, income and foreign exchange reserves contributes to the
growth of exports. At the same time, imports are considered as a function of the national
income of the importing country. Consequently, an increase in imports leads to a reduction in
domestic spending, which means a decrease in national production and foreign currency
reserves. As a result, the equilibrium output of national production will be influenced by the
indicator of net exports NX = Y – (C + I + G).
The impact of net exports on the equilibrium output volume can be estimated using the
"Keynesian cross" model
The pioneer theory of international trade is traditionally considered mercantilist theory, the
foundations of which were laid in the works of A.Moncretien, T.Mana, J.D.-Stewart. Drawing
attention to the fact that the export of industrial and handicrafts is the source of the country's wealth,
and foreign goods are the reason for its outflow, the founders of mercantilism declared trade a source
of enrichment of the state, recommending that states strive to promote exports and restrict imports to
ensure the inflow and accumulation of income. The main factors of economic prosperity were
recognized as the state's stimulation of the production and export of finished products, protectionism
against importers, ensuring the inflow of funds into the country through a ban on their export.
The key assumptions of mercantilism became a reflection of the pre-industrial period of development,
the main sign of wealth of which was the accumulation of gold. Mercantilism did not envisage that an
active trade balance provides not only an increase in the amount of money in the country, but also
leads to an increase in domestic prices. As a result, goods produced in the country become more
expensive and lose competitiveness in the foreign market. A decline in exports, in turn, can lead to a
negative trade balance and an outflow of money from the country. Criticism of mercantilism became
the starting point for new economic theories.
The first such theory was the theory of absolute advantages (D.North, D.Hume and A.Smith),
according to which it is advantageous for each state to export those goods whose production costs in
the country are lower than in other countries (the absolute advantage of the exporting country), and
import those goods whose production costs are relatively higher (the absolute advantage of countries-
importers). In other words, trade between states can be mutually beneficial. The main prerequisite for
mutually beneficial trade is differences in production costs in different countries. And the prerequisite
for economic development is non–interference in the economy by the state and the development of
production through the division of labor and competition.
The answer to the question of why countries trade without having an absolute advantage in the
production of certain goods was the theory of relative or comparative advantages formulated in
1817 by D. Ricardo. Its main difference was the postulate that exports and imports can be profitable
even in the absence of absolute advantages. Namely: in situations where the production costs of
imported goods are higher than the production costs of exported goods. As a result, imports are
favorable for the country even in cases when imported goods can be produced domestically at lower
costs than abroad. And participation in world trade is advantageous for all its subjects
According to the theory, it is advantageous for participants in trade relations to specialize in the
production and export of those goods whose opportunity cost (the cost of producing a unit of one
product, expressed in terms of the cost of producing a unit of another product) is less than the
opportunity cost of production in the country importing this product. This principle also applies to
situations in which one country has an absolute advantage in the production of all goods.
D. Ricardo's theory requires certain conditions for its application: the same cost of labor in trading
countries, the absence of restrictions in trade relations, zero transport costs, full employment,
immobility of factors of production between countries, labor costs are the only production costs,
production costs are constant, etc.
The foundations of the theory of market equilibrium were laid in the works of J.S.Mill and Luvalras,
and she found her classic look thanks to A. Marshall. This theory proceeds from the idea that the
markets of goods and services tend to an equilibrium state between the volumes of supply and
demand for these goods and services. The magnitude of supply and demand is directly determined by
prices: the lower the price, the higher the demand and lower the supply, and vice versa. The final price
for a product or service is set when the volumes and prices of supply and demand coincide.
Deviations from equilibrium states in the market - exceeding either demand or supply - are possible,
but temporary. The economy always strives for a state of equilibrium in all markets – goods and
factors of production, internal and external. This equilibrium is not stationary and changes following
changes in the structure and volume of supply and demand.