CHAPTER 4: INCOME-BASED VALUATION - In income-based valuation, a key driver id the cost
of capital or the required return for a venture.
- Many investors and analysts find that the best - COST OF CAPITAL can be computed through: estimate for the value of the company or an asset is A.) Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) the value of the returns that it will yield or the o Can be used in determining the income that it will generate. minimum required return. - Income – is based in the amount of money that the o It can be used to determine the company or the assets will generate over the period appropriate cost of capital by of time. weighing the portion of the asset o These amounts will be reduced by the funded through equity and debt. costs that they need to incur in order to o FORMULA: realize the cash inflows and operate the assets. WACC = (Ke x We) + (Kd x Wd)
- In income-based valuation, investors consider two Ke = Cost of Equity
opposing theories: We = Weight of the equity financing Kd = Cost of debt after tax 1.) Dividend Irrelevance Theory Wd = Weight of the debt financing o Introduced by Modigliani and Miller B.) Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) o Believes that the stock prices are not o FORMULA: affected by dividends or the returns on the stock but more on the ability and Re = Rf + β × (Rm − Rf) sustainability of then asset or company. 2.) Bird-in-the-hand Theory Rf = Risk free rate o Also known as dividend relevance β = beta theory. Rm = Market return o Developed by Myron Gordon o Believes that dividends or capital Kd = Rf + DM gains has an impact on the price of the stock. Rf = Risk free rate - Once the value of the asset has been established, DM = Debt margin investors and analysts are also particular about certain factors that can be considered to properly ECONOMIC VALUED ADDED value the asset. - the most conventional way to determine the value of the asset is through its EVA. 1.) Earning accretion – the additional value inputted in the calculation that would - In Economics and Financial Management, EVA is account for the increase in the value of a convenient metric in evaluating investment as it the firm due to other quantifiable quickly measures the ability of the firm to support attributes like: its cost of capital using its earnings. Potential growth - EVA – is the excess of the company earnings after Increase in prices and even deducting the cost of capital. Operating efficiencies – The excess earnings shall be 2.) Earnings dilution – will reduce value if accumulated for the firm. there are future circumstances that will NOTE: Higher excess earnings is affect the firm negatively. better for the firm. 3.) Equity control premium – the amount - Elements that must be considered in using EVA that is added to the value of the firm in are: order to gain control of it. Reasonableness of earnings or returns 4.) Precedent Transaction – are previous Appropriate cost of capital deals or experiences that can be similar - FORMULA: with the investment being evaluated. NOTE: these transactions are EVA = Earnings - Cost of Capital considered risks that may affect further the ability to realize the Cost of Capital = Investment Value X Rate of projected earnings. ` Cost of Capital
CAPITALIZATION OF EARNINGS METHOD
- The value of the company can also be associated with the anticipated returns or income earnings on the historical earnings and expected earnings.
- For greenfield investment which do not normally
have historical reference, it will only rely on its projected earnings.
- Earnings – are typically interpreted as resulting
cash flows from operations but net income may also be used if cash flow information is not available.
- In capitalized earnings method, the value of the
asset or the investment is determined using the anticipated earnings of the company divided by the capitalization rate (cost of capital)
- This method provides for the relationship of the:
1.) Estimated Earnings of the company 2.) Expected yield or the required rate of the return 3.) Estimated equity value - EQUITY VALUE FORMULA:
Equity Value = Equity Value
Required Return
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOWS METHOD
o Is the most popular method of determining the value. o The most sophisticated approach in determining the corporate value. o More verifiable since this allows for a more detailed approach in valuation.