Professional Documents
Culture Documents
July 2016
Bahir Dar
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary..........................................................................................1
2. Product Description and Application..............................................................1
3. Market Study, Plant Capacity and Production Program..............................1
3.1 Market Study...................................................................................................................1
3.1.1 Present Demand and Supply....................................................................................1
3.1.2 Projected Demand....................................................................................................2
3.1.3 Pricing and Distribution...........................................................................................3
3.2 Plant Capacity..................................................................................................................3
3.3 Service Program...............................................................................................................3
4. Raw Materials and Utilities..............................................................................3
4.1 Availability and Source of Raw Materials.......................................................................3
4.2 Annual Requirement and Cost of Raw Materials and Utilities.......................................3
5. Location and Site...............................................................................................4
6. Technology and Engineering............................................................................4
6.1 Production Process...........................................................................................................4
6.2 Machinery and Equipment...............................................................................................4
6.3 Civil Engineering Cost....................................................................................................4
7. Human Resource and Training Requirement................................................5
7.1 Human Resource..............................................................................................................5
7.2 Training Requirement......................................................................................................5
8. Financial Analysis.............................................................................................5
8.1 Underlying Assumption...................................................................................................5
8.2 Investment........................................................................................................................7
8.3 Production Costs..............................................................................................................7
8.4 Financial Evaluation........................................................................................................8
9. Economic and Social Benefit and Justification...............................................9
ANNEXES..............................................................................................................11
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1. Executive Summary
This project envisages the provision of agricultural mechanization services. The total investment
requirement of the project including the working capital is estimated at about Birr 10.8 million;
of which Birr 8.9 million is for machinery and equipments and Birr 898 thousand is the cost of
civil works. Based on the cash flow statement, the calculated internal rate of return (IRR) and
simple rate of return (SRR) of the project are 29 % and 28.4 %, respectively. The net present
value (NPV) at 18 % discounting rate is about Birr 753,788. The plant is expected to create
employment opportunities for about 21 persons.
Services that are provided through agricultural mechanization are substitutes for mechanization
of farms and other agricultural activities by owning the machinery and equipment. These types
of services enable farmers to use modern farm machinery and equipment without burdening each
farmer or group of farmers in owning expensive farm machinery and equipment. Agricultural
mechanization services reduce farming time and enable farmers to plow, harvest and store their
farm produce in optimal periods of each season thereby increasing productivity and production
volume. These agricultural machinery rental centers could also have middle level technical
advisors who will consult farmers on the different activities of farming and livestock rising. The
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consultation will be done with payment of reasonable fees. The main advantage of these rental
centers to farmers is, they enable group of farmers with adjacent farms to rent (in group)
agricultural machinery such as a tractor for plowing all the farm lands in group. This will reduce
the rental cost for each farmer and will also minimize the operation expenses of the farm
mechanization service center.
More than 3 million hectares of land in the Amhara Region is under cultivation. Under normal
conditions, one tractor plows about 10 hectares per day. For one cycle of plowing, 300,000
tractor-days are needed to plow the 3 million hectares of farm lands of the Region. This is the
highest potential demand for tractor services in the Region. But many farms in the Region are
too steep and/or too rugged for using tractors for plowing. In addition many other farms are also
filled with small and big boulders which make them unsuitable for tractor plowing. Given these
unfavorable conditions, we can assume that about 40 percent of farms in the Region are suitable
for tractor plowing. This means about 120,000 tractor-days are required to perform one cycle of
plowing in the Region. This is the highest realistic potential demand for tractor rental services.
Let us get closer to the ground and see the potential zones of the Region which will use tractor
services with the highest economic and financial benefits. The first candidates are most parts of
East and West Gojjam and Awe zones, areas around Lake Tana in North and South Gondar
Zones and West Gojjam, some valley plains in North and South Wollo zones, and the highland
plateau of North Shewa. These areas of the Amhara Region can have sufficient demand for
agricultural machinery rental services which will make the center financially viable.
With in agricultural mechanization services the major one is plowing by tractor. In this regard, it
is already said that 120 thousand tractor-days are the highest realistic potential demand for
tractor rental services. However, this can increase in the future as the size of arable land expands.
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3.1.3 Pricing and Distribution
Based on the market research result and the cost of the envisaged mechanization service center,
the fee of one tractor-hour is set to be Birr 513. Developing and implementing an effective and
appropriate marketing strategy is important to make known the services.
Thus, given the expected potential demand for agricultural mechanization services as presented
earlier, the envisaged center plans to sell 12,000 tractor-days (10 % of the total potential
demand) per annum. Assuming a tractor plow only 120 days a year and taking the fact that a
tractor plows 10 hectares of land per day, the mechanization center needs 10 tractors to plow
12,000 hectares of land in a year.
The service provision program follows gradual capacity utilization due to marketing reasons.
Since strong marketing activity is a must to introduce the services, the new agricultural
mechanization service needs some time to penetrate the market. Accordingly, 75 % and 85 %
capacity utilization are assumed for the first and the second years of the operation, respectively.
The third year onwards, 100 % capacity utilization is assumed.
This project idea deals with the provision of services and as such it does not require the use of
"raw materials". However, the main inputs for the provision of the services will be the diesel oil
required to make operational the agricultural machinery and equipments.
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TABLE 4.1
RAW MATERIALS REQUIREMENT
Total Cost
Material and Input Quantity L.C. F.C.
Utility
Electricity 10,000kwh 5,500
Diesel Oil 36,000 lit 1,422,221
Water 1000m3 2,650
Total Utility Cost 1,430,371
According to the above table the annual cost of input and utility is estimated to be Birr 224, 150.
The main process or activities for providing agricultural machinery rental services are
establishing the center, constructing machinery shades and a small repair and maintenance
workshop, purchasing the most important pieces of machinery and equipment (such as tractors,
harvesters...), developing and implementing an effective and appropriate marketing strategy and
finally providing dependable machinery rental services.
The agricultural mechanization center will have about 10 tractors, one harvester and other
assorted type of agricultural implements and tools. The total cost of these machineries is
estimated to reach at Birr 8.9 million. Of which Birr 7.6 million is in foreign currency.
The shade area required by the center is estimated to be 300 m 2, and it costs Birr 898,100. This
would include cost of land preparation and associated civil works. The total land area of the
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plant, including the open space, is 1000 m2 , and its lease cost equals Birr 18,400. The cost of the
land lease is as per ANRS land lease rate for Dejen which is equal to Birr 18.40 per square meter
for service purpose. Of the total cost of the lease, 5 % is paid in the beginning while the rest will
be paid in 40 years.
The total annual wages and salary, including 20 % benefits, amount to Birr 753,788.2.
8. Financial Analysis
8.1 Underlying Assumption
The financial analysis of Agricultural Mechanization Services is based on the data provided in
the preceding chapters and the following assumptions.
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A. Construction and Finance
B. Depreciation
Building 5%
Machinery And Equipment 10%
Office Furniture 10%
Vehicles 20%
Pre-Production (Amortization) 20%
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8.2 Investment
The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at Birr 4.2 million
as shown in Table 8.1 below. The owner shall contribute 40 % of the finance in the form of
equity while the remaining 60 % is to be financed by bank loan.
TABLE 8.1
TOTAL INITIAL INVESTMENT
The foreign component of the project accounts for Birr 8.1 million or 74.6 % of the total
investment cost.
The total production cost at full capacity operation is estimated at Birr 2.9 million (See Table
8.2). Utilities account for 17.3 % , and wages and salaries accounts 22.7 % .
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TABLE 8.2
PRODUCTION COST AT FULL CAPACITY
I. Profitability
According to the projected income statement (See Annex 4) the project will generate profit
beginning from the first year of operation and increases on wards. The income statement and
other profitability indicators also show that the project is viable.
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III. Payback Period
Investment cost and income statement projection are used in estimating the project payback
period. The project will payback fully the initial investment less working capital in five years.
SRR= (Net Profit + Interest)/ (Total Investment Outlay) at full capacity utilization.
Based on the foregoing presentation and analysis, we can learn that the proposed project
possesses wide range of benefits that complement the financial feasibility obtained earlier. In
general, the envisaged project promotes the socio-economic goals and objectives stated in the
strategic plan of the Amhara National Regional State. These benefits are listed as follows:
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A. Profit Generation
The project is found to be financially viable and earns on average a profit of Birr 2.2 milion per
year and Birr 22.2 million within the project life. Such result induces the project promoters to
reinvest the profit which, therefore, increases the investment magnitude in the region.
B. Tax Revenue
In the project life under consideration, the region will collect about Birr 8.2 million from
corporate tax payment alone (i.e. excluding income tax, sales tax and VAT). Such result create
additional fund for the regional government that will be used in expanding social and other basic
services in the region.
The proposed project is expected to create employment opportunity to several citizens of the
country. That is, it will provide permanent employment to 21 professionals as well as support
stuffs. Consequently the project creates income of Birr 753 thousands per year. This would be
one of the commendable accomplishments of the project.
D. Pro Environment Project
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Annex 1: Total Net Working Capital Requirements (in Birr)
CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION
Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4
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Annex 1: Total Net Working Capital Requirements (in Birr) (continued)
PRODUCTION
5 6 7 8 9 10
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Annex 2: Cash Flow Statement (in Birr)
CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION
Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4
TOTAL CASH INFLOW 5214710 5613927 5122669 5301823 6259174 6158400
1. Inflow Funds 5214710 5613927 503869.1 67182.55 100773.8 0
Total Equity 2085884 2245571 0 0 0 0
Total Long Term Loan 3128826 3368356 0 0 0 0
Total Short Term Finances 0 0 503869.1 67182.55 100773.8 0
2. Inflow Operation 0 0 4618800 5234640 6158400 6158400
Sales Revenue 0 0 4618800 5234640 6158400 6158400
Interest on Securities 0 0 0 0 0 0
3. Other Income 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW 5214710 5214710 3677027 3222425 4250909 3999292
4. Increase In Fixed Assets 5214710 5214710 0 0 0 0
Fixed Investments 4966390 4966390 0 0 0 0
Pre-production Expenditures 248319.5 248319.5 0 0 0 0
5. Increase in Current Assets 0 0 803281.8 107104.2 160656.4 0
6. Operating Costs 0 0 1117225 1252795 1456150 1456150
7. Corporate Tax Paid 0 0 0 0 901520 940503.1
8. Interest Paid 0 0 1756520 779661.8 649718.2 519774.6
9. Loan Repayments 0 0 0 1082864 1082864 1082864
10. Dividends Paid 0 0 0 0 0 0
Surplus(Deficit) 0 399216.9 1445643 2079398 2008265 2159108
Cumulative Cash Balance 0 399216.9 1844859 3924257 5932522 8091631
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PRODUCTION
5 6 7 8 9 10
TOTAL CASH INFLOW 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400
1. Inflow Funds 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Equity 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Long Term Loan 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Short Term Finances 0 0 0 0 0 0
2. Inflow Operation 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400
Sales Revenue 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400
Interest on Securities 0 0 0 0 0 0
3. Other Income 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW 3908331 3847169 3756208 2582384 2582384 2582384
4. Increase In Fixed Assets 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fixed Investments 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pre-production Expenditures 0 0 0 0 0 0
5. Increase in Current Assets 0 0 0 0 0 0
6. Operating Costs 1456150 1456150 1456150 1456150 1456150 1456150
7. Corporate Tax Paid 979486.2 1048268 1087251 1126234 1126234 1126234
8. Interest Paid 389830.9 259887.3 129943.7 0 0 0
9. Loan Repayments 1082864 1082864 1082864 0 0 0
10. Dividends Paid 0 0 0 0 0 0
Surplus(Deficit) 2250069 2311231 2402192 3576016 3576016 3576016
Cumulative Cash Balance 10341700 12652931 15055123 18631139 22207155 25783170
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CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION
Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4
TOTAL CASH INFLOW 0 0 4618800 5234640 6158400 6158400
1. Inflow Operation 0 0 4618800 5234640 6158400 6158400
Sales Revenue 0 0 4618800 5234640 6158400 6158400
Interest on Securities 0 0 0 0 0 0
2. Other Income 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW 5214710 5214709.88 1416638 1292717 1516033 2396653
3. Increase in Fixed Assets 5214710 5214709.88 0 0 0 0
Fixed Investments 4966390 4966390.36 0 0 0 0
Pre-production Expenditures 248319.5 248319.518 0 0 0 0
4. Increase in Net Working Capital 0 0 299412.7 39921.7 59882.54 0
5. Operating Costs 0 0 1117225 1252795 1456150 1456150
6. Corporate Tax Paid 0 0 0 0 0 940503.1
NET CASH FLOW -5214710 -5214709.88 3202162 3941923 4642367 3761747
CUMMULATIVE NET CASH FLOW -5214710 -10429419.8 -7227257 -3285334 1357033 5118780
Net Present Value (at 18%) -5214710 -4419245.67 2299743 2399176 2394481 1644294
Cumulative Net present Value -5214710 -9633955.55 -7334212 -4935036 -2540555 -896261
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PRODUCTION
5 6 7 8 9 10
TOTAL CASH INFLOW 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400
1. Inflow Operation 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400
Sales Revenue 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400 6158400
Interest on Securities 0 0 0 0 0 0
2. Other Income 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW 2435636 2504417.9 2543401 2582384 2582384 2582384
3. Increase in Fixed Assets 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fixed Investments 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pre-production Expenditures 0 0 0 0 0 0
4. Increase in Net Working Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0
5. Operating Costs 1456150 1456150.27 1456150 1456150 1456150 1456150
6. Corporate Tax Paid 979486.2 1048267.63 1087251 1126234 1126234 1126234
NET CASH FLOW 3722764 3653982.1 3614999 3576016 3576016 3576016
CUMMULATIVE NET CASH FLOW 8841543 12495525.2 16110524 19686540 23262556 26838572
Net Present Value (at 18%) 1379029 1147076.44 961727.7 806234.5 683249.6 579025.1
Cumulative Net present Value 482768.2 1629844.71 2591572 3397807 4081056 4660082
Net Present Value (at 18%) 4,660,082
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PRODUCTION
1 2 3 4 5
Capacity Utilization (%) 75% 85% 100% 100% 100%
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PRODUCTION
6 7 8 9 10
Capacity Utilization (%) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
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5 6 7 8 9 10
TOTAL ASSETS 16604837.9 17967932 19421987 22049866 24677745 27305624
1. Total Current Assets 11412742.2 13723973 16126165 19702181 23278197 26854213
Inventory on Materials and Supplies 35424.8104 35424.81 35424.81 35424.81 35424.81 35424.81
Work in Progress 72938.3191 72938.32 72938.32 72938.32 72938.32 72938.32
Finished Products in Stock 145876.664 145876.7 145876.7 145876.7 145876.7 145876.7
Accounts Receivable 671825.45 671825.4 671825.4 671825.4 671825.4 671825.4
Cash in Hand 144977.127 144977.1 144977.1 144977.1 144977.1 144977.1
Cash Surplus, Finance Available 10341699.8 12652931 15055123 18631139 22207155 25783170
Securities 0 0 0 0 0 0
2. Total Fixed Assets, Net of Depreciation 5192095.72 4243959 3295822 2347685 1399548 451410.7
Fixed Investment 9932780.72 9932781 9932781 9932781 9932781 9932781
Construction in Progress 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pre-Production Expenditure 496639.036 496639 496639 496639 496639 496639
Less Accumulated Depreciation 5237324.04 6185461 7133598 8081735 9029872 9978009
3. Accumulated Losses Brought Forward 0 0 0 0 0 0
4. Loss in Current Year 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL LIABILITIES 16604837.9 17967932 19421987 22049866 24677745 27305624
5. Total Current Liabilities 671825.45 671825.4 671825.4 671825.4 671825.4 671825.4
Accounts Payable 671825.45 671825.4 671825.4 671825.4 671825.4 671825.4
Bank Overdraft 0 0 0 0 0 0
6. Total Long-term Debt 2165727.32 1082864 0 0 0 0
Loan A 2165727.32 1082864 0 0 0 0
Loan B 0 0 0 0 0 0
7. Total Equity Capital 4331454.68 4331455 4331455 4331455 4331455 4331455
Ordinary Capital 4331454.68 4331455 4331455 4331455 4331455 4331455
Preference Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0
Subsidies 0 0 0 0 0 0
8. Reserves, Retained Profits Brought Forward 7150362.64 9435830 11881788 14418707 17046586 19674464
9. Net Profit After Tax 2285467.82 2445958 2536918 2627879 2627879 2627879
Dividends Payable 0 0 0 0 0 0
Retained Profits 2285467.82 2445958 2536918 2627879 2627879 2627879
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