You are on page 1of 10

N AT I O N A L AC A D E M I E S O F S C I E N C E S,

E N G I N E E R I N G, A N D M E D I C I N E
T H E U N I V E R S I T Y O F T E XA S AT DA L L A S
A R I ZO N A S TAT E U N I V E R S I T Y
S P R I N G 2016

IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY


Summit on Human
Gene Editing
David Baltimore,
R. Alta Charo,
Daniel J. Kevles,
Ruha Benjamin

The case for rapid


use of gene-editing
technology
The rise of the
platform economy
Rethinking society’s
active orientation
Data-driven science policy
Super-muscly pigs:
Trading ethics for efficiency

USA $12.00 / CAN $13.00


MARTIN KENNEY
J O H N Z YS M A N

The Rise of the


Platform Economy
The application of big data, new algorithms, and cloud computing will
change the nature of work and the structure of the economy.
But the exact nature of that change will be determined by the social,
political, and business choices we make.

A digital platform economy is


emerging. Companies such as Amazon, Etsy,
Facebook, Google, Salesforce, and Uber are creating
online structures that enable a wide range of human
to services and manufacturing. The movement of
these algorithms to the cloud, where they can be
easily accessed, created the infrastructure on which,
and out of which, entire platform-based markets
activities. This opens the way for radical changes in and ecosystems operate. Platforms and the cloud,
how we work, socialize, create value in the economy, an essential part of what has been called the “third
and compete for the resulting profits. Their effects globalization,” reconfigure globalization itself.
are distinct and identifiable, though certainly not These digital platforms are diverse in function and
the only part of the rapidly reorganizing global structure. Google and Facebook are digital platforms
economy. As the work by Michael Cusumano, that offer search and social media, but they also
Annabelle Gawer, and Peter Evans has shown, these provide an infrastructure on which other platforms
digital platforms are multisided digital frameworks are built. Amazon is a marketplace, as are Etsy and
that shape the terms on which participants interact eBay. Amazon Web Services provides infrastructure
with one another. The initial powerful information and tools with which others can build yet more
technology (IT) transformation of services emerged platforms. Airbnb and Uber use these newly available
with the Internet and was, in part, a strategy response cloud tools to force deep changes in a variety of
to intense price-based competition among producers incumbent businesses. Together they are provoking
of relatively similar products. IT-enabled services reorganization of a wide variety of markets, work
transformation, as our colleagues Stuart Feldman, arrangements, and ultimately value creation and
Kenji Kushida, Jonathan Murray, and Niels Christian capture.
Nielsen have argued in other venues, was based on This digitally based new economy has been
the application of an array of computable algorithms given a variety of names derived from some of its
to myriad activities, from consumption and leisure perceived attributes. How we label this transfor-

SPRING 2016 61
We are in the midst of a
reorganization of
our economy in which
mation matters because the labels influence how
the platform owners are
we study, use, and regulate these digital platforms. seemingly developing
Its boosters have called it the Creative Economy or
the Sharing Economy, whereas those less convinced
power that may be
of its beneficence have dubbed it the Gig Economy, even more formidable
the Precariat, or the 1099 Economy, focusing on
its impact on workers and how they are compen-
than was that of the
sated. And there are wide variations within these factory owners in the early
labels. Consider the Shared Economy. Examples
include Uber and Airbnb, which are very distant
industrial revolution.
from the visions of Wikipedia, with its communal
construction of knowledge; from Napster, which
shared music regardless of whether it was legal; already having powerful consequences for society,
or from open source software creations such as markets, and firms, and that we are unclear about
Linux and Apache. Despite the attractive label and their dynamics and directions. Whatever we call the
the entrepreneurial successes, Uber, Airbnb, and transformation, the consequences are dramatic.
Facebook are not based on “sharing”; rather, they
monetize human effort and consumer assets. Indeed, Utopia or dystopia
the advantage of platform-based companies often The debate about the impact of the platform
rests on an arbitrage between the practices adopted economy is an extension of a discussion that began
by platform firms and the rules by which established in the early days of the IT revolution, when figures
companies operate, which are intended to protect such as Robert Noyce, Bill Gates, and Steve Jobs
customers, communities, workers, and markets. claimed that they were creating a future that would
Lyft and Airbnb are entrepreneurial initiatives that open the world to new possibilities and prospects.
facilitate the conversion of consumption goods Optimists still abound, and San Francisco is now
such as automobiles and apartments into goods experiencing what may be its biggest gold rush
that are monetized. This “sharing” has a more than yet, with investors, entrepreneurs, and data scien-
passing resemblance to the putting-out economy that tists working furiously to create “disruptive” new
existed before factories, when companies would ship businesses. For investors, inherently optimists, the
materials to people to assemble items such as shoes, question is how to build platforms, attract users,
clothing, or firearms in their homes. In the current and then capture the value that is generated from
manifestation of putting out, the platform operator the emerging ecosystem. Regardless of the platform,
has unprecedented control over the compensation all of them are based on mobilizing human beings
for and organization of work, while still claiming to contribute. Whether it is Google monetizing our
to be only an intermediary. On the other hand, searches, Facebook monetizing our social networks,
the rapidly growing mobile phone app stores and LinkedIn monetizing our professional networks, or
user-generated content platforms such as YouTube Uber monetizing our cars, they all depend on the
and Instagram are structured as digital consignment digitization of value-creating human activities.
industries, borrowing from the way artists sell their The optimistic version of the emerging tech-
work through galleries. no-economic system suggests that society can be
We prefer the term “platform economy,” or reconstituted with producers becoming proto-en-
“digital platform economy,” a more neutral term that trepreneurs able to work on flexible schedules and
encompasses a growing number of digitally enabled benefit from these platforms. And this certainly will
activities in business, politics, and social interaction. be the case for many. Similarly, the utopians argue
If the industrial revolution was organized around the that platforms, such as the car-sharing services
factory, today’s changes are organized around these Uber and Lyft, can unlock the commercial value in
digital platforms, loosely defined. Indeed, we are underused personal assets; other platforms, such
in the midst of a reorganization of our economy in as Airbnb, promote the notion that vacant rooms
which the platform owners are seemingly developing in one’s house or apartment can become sources
power that may be even more formidable than was of income whether technically hotel rooms or not.
that of the factory owners in the early industrial Advocates believe that all of this can occur for the
revolution. The proliferation of labels is simply greater social good without negative consequences.
a reflection of the recognition that platforms are But can we really foresee all the repercussions of

62 ISSUES IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY


PLATFORM ECONOMY

these new economic arrangements? For example, some kinds of work, but even as this occurs other
platform businesses matching workers and tasks value-creating opportunities are appearing. There
may make labor markets more efficient, but if they will be new products and services as well as new
become pervasive and organize a significant portion production and service processes, which are likely
of the work, they are at the same time likely to to be design and creativity intensive, as well as
generate fragmented work schedules and increasing algorithm-enabled. Some of the early indicators of
levels of part-time work without the employment-re- the new or transformed work can be enumerated, but
lated benefits that previously characterized much certainly not exhaustively counted.
employer-based full-time work. For now, it is not Moreover, existing jobs will be redefined and
clear whether these digital platforms are simply reorganized in the future. The character of some
introducing digital intermediaries or actually existing work—how much or how little, we cannot
increasing the extent of gig or contract work. know—will be reframed but not eliminated by digital
Even as the digital era unfolded in its utopian technology. Uber, Airbnb, TaskRabbit, Handy, and
phase in the 1970s, there were skeptics who feared other platform firms are transforming industries
that the new technologies would result in unantici- by connecting “producers” with customers in new
pated and undesirable consequences. Perhaps most ways. In some cases, this is displacing or threatening
prescient was Kurt Vonnegut’s 1952 novel Player existing, often regulated, service providers, such
Piano, which even gave a bit part to the great math- as taxis and hotels. In other cases, it is formalizing
ematician Norbert Weiner. Vonnegut envisioned a previously less organized or locally organized work.
digital future of material abundance—albeit a digital Still other platforms, such as app stores and YouTube,
future of machines built with tubes, not semicon- are creating entirely new value-creating activities that
ductors—with a radical social division between a are formalizing into what can be seen as precarious
highly credentialed and creatively employed elite and careers, such as a YouTube producer or smartphone
an underclass. His dystopian vision is now finding app developer. Finally, existing organizations are
full expression in the fear that digital machines, creating new digital and social media marketing
artificial intelligence, robots, and the like will departments and jobs. The question in these cases is
displace work for a vast swath of the population. Bill what system of control and value capture will be in
Davidow, once at Intel and then at his own Silicon place. Our sense is not necessarily that there will be
Valley venture capital firm, expressed this in his less work, but that for a growing number of jobs, the
Harvard Business Review article “What Happens to relationship with an employer will be more tenuous
Society When Robots Replace Workers?” The MIT than ever. These changes are not likely to result in
economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee the workerless society. One possibility is a society
explore this trend in more detail in their book The in which the preponderance of the work and value
Second Machine Age. creation is more dispersed than ever before, even as
The impact on employment and the character of the platform owners centralize the transactions and
work is certainly one element in assessing whether capture their value.
we will have a utopia or dystopia. In our view, that Indeed, we may, unless policy rules lock in the
outcome is yet to be determined. As a society we position of the emerging incumbent, see another
will have to make choices about how to deploy new round of innovation and job creation. The use of
technologies, choices that will be critical in shaping digital automation presents a classic dilemma:
the ultimate impact. The questions are really: what anything that can be characterized sufficiently to
balance will there be among jobs created as the become computable can be copied, as our colleague
digital wave flows through our economy and society, Niels Christian Nielsen has argued elsewhere. At
and which workers will be displaced? Certainly it is that point, another round of innovation and imag-
feasible to catalogue existing work, particularly work ination will be required. Can automation innovate
that is routine, as likely to be replaced or recon- itself? More likely, teams of people and digital tools
figured by digital tools, and perhaps, as some have working together will be required to be competitive.
tried, to estimate the numbers of such existing jobs The Turing test might be able to establish that a
that will be digitized away. By contrast, the new kinds digital machine can imitate intelligence, but the test
of work that are now being created and the existing does not establish consciousness or consider whether
jobs that will be redefined and reorganized in the human consciousness in all its diversity differs in
future are more difficult to forecast, so we can only fundamental ways from current algorithmic tools.
speculate. Algorithms and databases are automating The debate over jobs created or destroyed is useful

SPRING 2016 63
and worth continuing, but we should be clear layer, that algorithmic fabric, is being extended to
that it has no end, and there will be no definitive cover manufacturing, giving birth to the Internet of
answer. For now, there are only indicators and Things, the Internet of Everything, or the Industrial
traces to suggest an outcome. And that outcome, Internet, with its implied webs of sensor networks. It
we emphasize and repeat, will be shaped by is no exaggeration to say that software was formerly
choices about technology deployment that turn on embedded in things, but now things—services as well
entrepreneurial initiative, corporate strategies, and as physical objects—are woven into software-based
public policies. As in the discussion of what is being network fabrics. This software layer extends the avail-
called the Internet of Things or the digitally based ability and lowers the cost of access to digital tools and
reorganization of manufacturing, in our research traditional tools accessed by and controlled by digital
with colleagues at the Research Institute for the processes. Moreover, costs drop through the use of
Finnish Economy, we find significant differences open-source software, cloud storage and computing,
among national emphasis and investments. and physical spaces such as those provided by
German policy is directed toward maintaining TechShops that enable individuals to work with
its competitive position in manufacturing built advanced industrial-scale equipment. Among other
on a base of skills and with a fabric of small and consequences, this certainly lowers the cost of entry
mid-sized companies even as the foundations of for newcomers.
production evolve. The U.S. emphasis seems to be Cloud computing rests on the virtualization
on developing and applying high-end sophisticated and abstraction of computing processes. One of us
tooling for aerospace and military applications. On (Zysman) has examined the character, emergence,
the consumer side, some communities have simply and deployment of cloud computing in work with
banned Uber and Lyft, whereas others welcomed it. Jonathan Murray, Kenji Kushida, Patrick Scaglia, and
Which communities, this leads us to ask, are most Rick McGeer. Although the details of how it works do
likely to be the sources and beneficiaries of the not matter for this essay, the consequences do. For the
emerging platform economy? Which are most likely providers of cloud services, scale matters enormously.
to be discomfited? For users—individuals, small- and mid-size enter-
Although technologies may not dictate our prises, startups, and corporations—the consequence is
future, they frame the choices to be made and a radical reduction in the cost of computing resources
the questions to be answered. Will the platform and information and communication technology
economy, and the reorganization it portends, tools, a radical reduction in barriers to usage. Users
catalyze economic growth and a surge in produc- can rent resources as they require them rather than
tivity driven by a new generation of entrepreneurs? having to own or build entire computing systems.
Or will the algorithmically driven reorganization Computing and the applications and platforms it
concentrate substantially all of the gains in the facilitates are now available as an operating expense
hands of those who build the platforms? Will rather than a capital expense.
it spark a wave of entrepreneurial possibilities, Digital platforms are complicated mixtures of
unleash unimagined creativity, free workers from software, hardware, operations, and networks. The
oppressive work schedules, or unleash an avalanche key aspect is that they provide a set of shared tech-
of dispossessed workers who are trying to make a niques, technologies, and interfaces to a broad set
living with gigs and temporary contracts? If we do of users who can build what they want on a stable
not interrogate these technological trajectories, we substrate. Android and IOS are platforms. Although
risk becoming unwitting victims of their outcomes. they somewhat restrict the applications that one can
What questions should we be asking? build or sell, they are, in general, open to app builders.
Android is also a platform for hardware (handset
The key technologies and other device makers) because the code is open,
The algorithmic revolution and cloud computing not just the interfaces. Indeed, platforms can grow
are the foundations of the platform economy. on platforms. Many of the current Internet platform
But computing power is only the beginning of firms use Amazon Web Services. Many of these
the story. That computing power is converted platforms attract a myriad of other contributors that,
into economic tools using algorithms operating when sufficiently rich, can result in the formation of
on the raw material of data. The software layer an ecosystem. For example, in the case of the apps
that stretches across and is interwoven with the stores, complementary businesses are emerging.
economy is a fabric of algorithms. That software AppAnnie is a firm that ranks the revenue generated

64 ISSUES IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY


PLATFORM ECONOMY

by apps; there are advertising agencies that analyze provide infrastructure and tools for the rest. For
YouTube ad buying; TubeMogul classifies YouTube example, Amazon Web Services, Microsoft’s
“stars” and measures their reach; and there has Azure, and Google Cloud Platform facilitate the
been a proliferation of agencies that cultivate new construction of cloud services, the tools with
YouTubers. These “complementors” are powerful which other platforms are built. In a sense, as
allies in building and maintaining the lock-in for Stuart Feldman remarks, “it is platforms all the
the master platform. Of course, building a platform way down.”
is work, but platforms themselves then generate or • Platforms that make digital tools available
organize the work of others by providing the digital online and support the creation of other
locations for the connections that organize work and platforms and market places. GitHub, for
other activities. example, is becoming the repository of open
A looser definition of a platform, as noted source software programs of all kinds. This
previously, is one in which social and economic dramatically reduces the cost of software
interactions are mediated online, often by apps. tools and building blocks. Moreover, tools
For example, Uber, so far as we know, does not yet and software, such as sales support, human
provide a platform upon which others can establish resources, and accounting, which previously
businesses, such as organizing a pizza delivery fleet. were sold or leased by companies such as Oracle
Nevertheless, as an algorithmic structure providing and ADP, are now available in the cloud from
a digital market and potentially an ecosystem, albeit companies such as Zenefits, Job Rooster, and
one it controls, Uber should be considered as a firm Wonolo. Zenefits offers an online marketplace
operating a platform. of human resource tools free to small businesses
Digital platforms facilitated by key technologies and is thus disintermediating the local benefits
such as the cloud, including digital marketplaces insurance broker. Zenefits makes its money from
such as Amazon and Internet firms such as Google commissions from the firms seeking to provide
and Facebook, are restructuring ever more parts of insurance to the small businesses using its service.
the economy. The discussion is complicated because, Were Zenefits to become the dominant platform
as noted, there is not yet a clear definition of digital in the field of providing professional-grade, back-
platforms that allows us to specify precisely what is in office tools to small businesses, the sheer amount
and out of the category. The term “platform” simply of business data it would have to analyze would
points to a set of online digital arrangements whose allow it to create yet other services. As a side
algorithms serve to organize and structure economic effect, Zenefits, as it now acknowledges and is
and social activity. In the IT world, the term means a taking steps to correct, threatened the regulatory
set of shared techniques, technologies, and interfaces role of state insurance commissions. Finally, with
that are open to a broad set of users who can build the lock-in it could achieve, it will be able to alter
what they want on a stable substrate. As used more the terms of service provision through its code,
widely, and by us in this essay, the term also points to thereby providing it with enormous potential
a set of digital frameworks for social and marketplace power.
interactions. • Platforms mediating work. Platforms mediate
Speculations aside, while there is a rich and work in a variety of ways. Some platforms
emerging literature, at the moment there is no real transform the work of previously independent
theory of the effect of these diverse platforms on the professionals. For example, LinkedIn treads on the
overall economy. To sense the scope of the market domain of headhunters and empowers the human
and regulatory impact of the loosely labeled platform resources department by selling access to the
economy, let us consider some of the most salient information freely provided by members. Other
types of digital platforms. platforms such as Amazon Mechanical Turk,
which enables companies to crowdsource the
• Platforms for platforms. In a sense, the Internet performance of specific tasks that require human
itself is the foundational platform, with Google judgment, is a modern form of the putting-out
as its cataloger. As we have shown with Bryan system. Other websites such as UpWork and
Pon and Timo Seppala, Apple’s iOS and Google’s Innocentives have created similar global virtual-
Android are smartphone operating system labor exchanges. Importantly, it is uncertain
platforms on which massive ecosystems have whether these platforms will change the number
been built. In addition, there are businesses that of contract or gig workers; or only change the

SPRING 2016 65
mechanisms of intermediation and the operation by contractors, consigners, or quid pro quo
of the labor market. workers—or create entirely new categories of work.
• Retail platforms. Certainly, the most widely There are also what Gina Neff calls “venture laborers,”
recognized online platforms—ones that have that is, the people who work at the platform firms.
made the notion of a platform economy widely They receive high wages, and if the firm is successful,
discussed—are Amazon, eBay, and Etsy, along the value of the platform is capitalized in the stock
with a host of others. market, resulting in remarkable amounts of wealth
• Service-providing platforms. Airbnb and Lyft for the firm’s direct employees and entrepreneurs. If
are the classic examples. There is also an endless the firm falters or fails, these individuals must find
array of financial platforms, from sites for project new employment.
funding, such as Kickstarter or Indiegogo, to There is also a growing cohort of what some call
platforms that intend to displace traditional “mini-entrepreneurs” and others call “consignment
financial institutions, such as AngelsList for workers,” who provide goods—usually but not
venture capital and Zopa and Rate Setter for peer- necessarily “virtually”—for platforms such as
to-peer lending. Transfergo and Transferwise app stores, YouTube, or Amazon Self-Publishing.
are building platforms to simplify global money Although the vast majority of them are unsuccessful
transfers. or marginally profitable, some can be enormously
successful, and despite the fact that this phenomenon
In all these examples, across all the categories, is as yet unmeasured, it is clearly creating many
the algorithmic underpinnings of the online activity new opportunities for entrepreneurship. In certain
are most evident. For example, Lyft connects drivers cases, particularly in apps, those in the consignment
with customers algorithmically. The algorithms economy sometimes grow so large that venture capi-
integrate mapping software, real-time road condi- talists will invest in the entrepreneur/firm, and the
tions, and the availability of drivers to provide a price employees become venture labor. Some of these apps
estimate. Drivers are vetted through online checks, can become platforms themselves. Put differently, the
which, of course, work only as well as the data they consignment model has significant upside for partici-
have. Payment is made by credit card information pants, but it is accompanied by high risk.
that is on file. Who owns or controls the platform? The answer
varies by platform, and the differences are important.
Economic consequences The distribution of benefits differs considerably, for
What we do know is that these platforms are in example, at these platforms: Wikipedia, where the
many cases disrupting the existing organization network is managed by a consensus set of rules; the
of economic activity by resetting entry barriers, Danish Agricultural Cooperative platform, in which
changing the logic of value creation and value participant owners know one another and there are
capture, playing regulatory arbitrage, repackaging clear boundaries between inside owners and others;
work, or repositioning power in the economic and Uber, in which the platform is owned by a small
system. As a starting place for discussion, we might group of entrepreneurs and their venture capitalists
ask the following questions about each platform or and where the value will eventually be capitalized
type of platform. by the sale of a controlling interest through either
How is value created? The platform economy acquisition or a stock offering.
comprises a distinctly new set of economic relations How is work packaged and value created, and
that depend on the Internet, computation, and data. what percentage of work is now organized in these
The ecosystem created by each platform is a source radically new ways? What happens to the organiza-
of value and sets the terms by which users can tional forms of work? Certainly, some workers, such
participate. as those employed by Microsoft, Google, LinkedIn,
Who captures the value? Indeed, what is the and Facebook, retain traditional employment
distribution of risks and rewards for the platform relationships. Although these firms expect long
users? There are a variety of mechanisms with working hours, they also provide considerable
various implications for gains distribution. Some scheduling flexibility as well as a variety of free
platforms allow the owner to “tax” all transactions, food, drinks, transportation, and other benefits that
whereas others monetize their services through can make them appear to be corporate paradises.
advertising. Platforms can transform work previously By comparison, those who obtain work as gigs,
done by traditional employees into tasks performed consignments, or contracts through digital platforms

66 ISSUES IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY


Are we generating PLATFORM ECONOMY

labor market flexibility,


or a precariat that
resembles a cyberized claimed that code is law; that is, code represents
Downton Abbey replete binding restrictions on behavior. Algorithms and
with a small elite and platforms structure and constrain behavior; the law
in the books is often difficult to apply or enforce
a new and sizable in the digital world where action is possible only if
underclass? it conforms to frameworks expressed in the code
that shapes and directs behavior. Consider the fight
between the Justice Department and Apple; the
warrant has no meaning if it cannot be executed in
code; for the warrant to be implemented, the code
would have to be modified.
Platform entrepreneurs increasingly believe that
have radically different experiences. Although they if they possess a first-mover advantage, they can, in
have control of their work hours, they rarely receive fact, remake existing law by creating new practices
any other employee benefits. Conceptually, if not on their platforms that essentially establish new
literally, Uber converts taxi company employees or norms of behavior. It is often said in Silicon Valley,
former medallion owners into contractors, whose “Don’t ask permission; ask forgiveness,” as, perhaps,
access to income is through the Uber platform, while was the case with Volkswagen’s “fix” for “clean” diesel
removing government from the rate-setting equation. engines. Of course, this forces two sets of questions.
Are these contractors mini-entrepreneurs, employees First, who writes the code, and whose values are
in all but name, or yet something else? Further, what expressed in code? The code writers, taking Uber as
is the proper employment category for individuals an example, have already reshaped social behavior.
who hope to be one of the winners by producing Government rules will influence how the new tech-
apps, YouTube videos, or self-published books on nologies are deployed and their consequences, but in
Amazon? In these activities, there is a power law of a platform economy, government decisions may be
returns by which a few big winners are remunerated constrained by the “facts” in the software.
by advertising, product placement payments, Second, although public policies are obviously
personal appearance fees, and even crowd-funding important, corporate strategies also have far-reaching
campaigns, while a very long tail of producers are effects. Do companies view workers only as costs
creating the vast bulk of consigned content without to be contained or as assets—even in an era of
monetary return. algorithms, data, and robots—to be developed and
Many are now concerned that rather than creating promoted? And equally important, are those assets
a new source of productivity we are legitimating directly tied to the firm? Who should bear the costs
a new form of putting out. Can Uber drivers be of their retention and upgrading?
self-supporting contractors in a 1099 economy rather Acknowledging the constraints of code and the
than stable workers in an employment economy, or centrality of company choice in shaping outcomes,
are they just extremely vulnerable gig workers? And, our platform future, the character of market, and
more broadly, as Ruth Collier asks, what will be the the social logic established will depend on an array
consequences for mass politics and political struc- of policy choices. What market and social rules are
tures? Are we generating labor market flexibility, or a appropriate for a platform economy and society?
precariat that resembles a cyberized Downton Abbey Our old labels and categories, not just old rules,
replete with a small elite composed of the platform are being thrown into disarray. To begin sorting this
owners and a new and sizable underclass? out, let us start with the firm. In the late nineteenth
century, the corporation emerged as a means of
Making choices orchestrating economic activity and organizing
What sort of an economy and society will we create markets. In the twenty-first century, we speculate
in the transition to digital platforms and the accom- that these functions will be taken on by the platform
panying reorganization of significant portions of the in the cloud. Take Google, the platform economy
global economy? And importantly, what choices will giant, which, despite its 2014 revenues of $66 billion,
we have? has only 50,000 employees. Uber has only about
Before we turn to the long list of issues, with each 1,500 employees and is already a global business.
issue opening an array of questions and debates, two What policy and political issues arise when the
points need to be made. First, Larry Lessig famously orchestrators of economic activity are relatively

SPRING 2016 67
small firms, rather than organizations as large as announced they will start blocking advertisements on
Ford Motor Company, General Electric, or General smartphones, thereby directly attacking the Google
Motors—all of whom also require sophisticated and Facebook business models. As we have shown
supplier and distribution networks? with Bryan Pon, the turbulent environment in the
It is evident that platforms open up many entre- smartphone ecosystem is leading to complex compet-
preneurial opportunities. Some entrepreneurs, such itive strategies that have technical, social, and political
as Robin Chase at Zipcar, envisioned an alternative ramifications.
social, not just economic, model because digitally The question of outcomes goes beyond the
enabled car sharing could dramatically reduce the question of whether digital platforms spawn entre-
incentive to own a car. If that model spread widely, preneurs or monopolists. We need to ask whether a
it might result in a drop in overall demand for auto society organized around platform owners servicing
production. This may or may not disrupt Hertz mini-entrepreneurs, contractors, and gig workers
(Zipcar was sold to Avis), but it might dramatically portends an even more unequal society. Does the
affect automakers. Indeed, automakers responded answer depend on the character of platforms or on
by developing partnerships with Uber and Lyft. the policies and politics of the platform economy?
In other words, such “sharing” solutions could The issues of entrepreneurship and those of work
have unforeseen ripple effects on entire market organization that we discussed earlier are tightly
ecosystems, as encyclopedia and book publishers are interwoven. The policies that we adopt now might
discovering to their dismay. determine the balances achieved later. If we want an
But many platforms by their very nature prove entrepreneurial spirit to infuse the platform world,
to be winner-take-all markets, in which only one then we want risk-taking entrepreneurs, whether
or two companies survive, and the platform owner they are forming the platforms or seeking advantage
is able to appropriate a generous portion of the as contractors or consigners within it. But what
entire value created by all the users on the platform. encourages risk? Fear, or a safety-net certainty that if
More important, however, is that as the power is a gamble fails, one can always play again? Similarly,
centralized, the platform owner can become a virtual if we want workers to accept the new arrangements,
monopolist. In that case, the platform owner can how do we assure them that if they accept the
squeeze the platform community—the drivers or flexibility, they will not be the victims but rather
customers on Lyft or Uber, the content providers, the beneficiaries of the ever-greater social value and
the consigners, the customers, essentially any of the wealth that is being created? All studies of technology
participants in the ecosystem who are instrumental adoption have shown that those who believe they will
in creating the value in the first place. Perhaps be victims will resist; if they believe they will be bene-
competition among platforms in a similar domain, ficiaries, they may help facilitate the shift. Of course,
Uber and Lyft for example, might mute the conse- the largest group consists of those in the middle who
quences of the power inside the platform. In any are joining the platform economy because they have
case, a monopoly position or even a strong oligopoly no choice and do not feel empowered to resist.
might inhibit, or sharply constrain, further entrepre- Balancing the need to sustain initiative while cush-
neurial efforts. ioning the consequences of significant socioeconomic
Indeed, the appropriate market rules for transformation leads us to a focus on social policy,
competition/antitrust, labor market, and intel- not just market policy. Social policy, sometimes called
lectual property among many others are becoming welfare, shapes the risks that workers and entrepre-
increasingly difficult to specify and legislate. neurs take and their evaluation of whether to support
Policy and political interests among the players, or resist change. In the United States, benefits such
even among the winners, are far from uniform. as pensions and health-care coverage (the latter, until
Consider such domains as antitrust policy, where the passage of the Affordable Care Act) have been
the European Commission has done battle with tightly tied to employment. Lose your employment,
U.S. tech companies; intellectual property, where lose the protections. The U.S. debate often assumes
the interests among information and communica- that expanded welfare protections dampen initiative,
tions technology firms and platform firms are less pointing to Europe as an example of how investing
consistent than it might seem at first glance; network in social protections limits economic dynamism.
policy, where carriers such as AT&T have radically Aside from whether this was, in fact, ever the case
different interests from Netflix or Google; and labor in Europe, the question is whether social protection
market policies. Indeed, the wireless carriers have will inherently discourage initiative now. In our view,

68 ISSUES IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY


PLATFORM ECONOMY

the real issue is never the fact of protections them- the platform world, is there a Henry Ford who
selves—and indeed we believe that facilitating social recognizes that everyone in the ecosystem requires
and economic adjustment by easing the burdens of a reasonable income in order to buy his products?
those dislocated is both a social obligation and an This will not be a straightforward process. The
economic necessity—but how social policy is paid for reorganization of the economy around platforms
and organized. will inevitably change the very configuration of the
The emerging platform economy, with expanding interest groups that influence how the law tries to
contract work and gig employment, has encouraged shape the code. In sum, these battles, often engaged
many to look at the Nordic social policy model. The in isolation from each other, will interweave to
Danish flexible security model suggests that social reshape our communities and social life, as José van
protections can lubricate the engines of change. Djick has shown, as well as the character of markets
Simply put, many social benefits in that model and market competition.
are associated with citizenship, and the notion of In the era of the platform, the future remains
flexible security gives employers extensive rights open. Answers to crucial questions are for the
to adjust their workforce as needed while still moment unknowable. The answers depend on our
providing workers with social protections in the choices, not just on the technology. For example,
form of training, job placement, and basic income. will cloud technologies and the platform-driven
Certainly, this is no panacea, and indeed the Nordics economic reorganization they cause drive the
are themselves reopening and intensely debating productivity growth on which sustained real income
the character of their social policies. But we must improvement occurs? Will these reorganizations
consider whether addressing the downside risks destroy jobs or reduce the required skill levels?
of entrepreneurial efforts while providing worker The technologies—the cloud, big data, algo-
flexibility with broader social safety nets as social rithms, and platforms—will not dictate our future.
rights can make the platform economy a source of How we deploy and use these technologies will.
sustainable growth. What assurances of social safety When we look at the history of innovations such as
do we want to give to risk takers? electric utility grids, call centers, and the adoption
The debate over policy will not be straightforward of technology standards, we find that the market
or simple. As with all economic transformations, and social outcomes of using new technologies vary
the disruptions will create winners and losers. Who across countries. Once we start on a technology path,
will decide how the results of increased productivity it frames our choices, but the technology does not
are distributed? The reality is that the winners and determine in the first place exactly which trajectory
losers in markets depend on who can participate we will follow.
and on what terms. There are no markets, and no We will be making choices in an inherently fluid
market platforms, without rules, but what happens and ever-changing environment shaped to some
to the politics if important market rules are made degree by unpredictable technical change and social
unchallenged by the platform owners? Many political reactions to these changes. Ultimately, the results will
struggles will be waged over these rules, and those depend on how we believe markets should be struc-
fights will be part of defining the market and society tured—who gains and who can compete; how we
in a platform era. Political fights will break out over innovate; what we value in society; how we protect
protections for communities, clients, and workers our communities, our workers, and the clients and
as markets are disrupted. Some of those fights will users of these technologies; and how we channel the
be about business models that are playing a game of enormous opportunities created by these sociotech-
policy arbitrage, whereas others may be about rules nical changes. It is up to us to sidestep a dystopia
for the consignment platforms. In any case, how and to create, if not a utopia, at least a world of ever
many instances of disruption will there be? Should greater benefit for communities and citizens.
we view these disruptions as creating a flood of
viable entrepreneurial possibilities or as destroying Martin Kenney (mfkenney@ucdavis.edu) is professor
the security of employment relations for many? Can of community and regional development at the Uni-
they create new sources of income and reasonably versity of California, Davis. John Zysman (zysman@
compensated work? Can policy encourage labor berkeley.edu) is co-director of the Berkeley Roundtable
market arrangements that facilitate innovation, on the International Economy and professor emeritus
provide protection for workers, are efficient, and of political science at the University of California,
promote decent, sustainable lives for citizens? In Berkeley.

SPRING 2016 69

You might also like