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Preventive Medicine
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A R T I C LE I N FO A B S T R A C T
Keywords: The precursors of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are often manifested during childhood and adolescence
Adolescent health with little knowledge about co-occurrence of their related lifestyle risk factors. To address this deficit, we es-
Chronic disease timated the prevalence and clustering of six major NCD-risk factors in adolescents around the world. Data from
Cluster analysis the Global School-based Student Health Survey, collected between 2007 and 2016, were analysed in 304,779
Health promotion
adolescents aged 11–17 years (52.2% females) from 89 countries. We compared the observed (O) to expected (E)
Public health
prevalence ratios of 64 possible combinations of six risk factors to determine their clustering patterns. Overall,
82.4% (95% CI 82.1–82.7) of adolescents had ≥2 risk factors, while 34.9% (34.6–35.3) had ≥3. Adolescents
aged 16–17 years, compared to those aged 11–13 years, had higher odds (OR 1.33; 95% CI 1.31–1.36) of
reporting ≥3 risk factors. Risk factors clustered in multiple combinations and differed by sex. The clustering of
physical inactivity and low fruit and vegetable intake was evident in both males (O/E 1.10; 95% CI 1.07–1.12)
and females (1.08; 1.06–1.10). The co-occurrence of cigarette smoking, alcohol drinking, physical inactivity, and
low fruit and vegetable intake was 165% greater in females (2.65; 2.28–3.07) and 110% greater in males (2.10;
1.90–2.32) than expected. Globally, adolescents exhibit multiple modifiable risk factors for future development
of NCDs. Early gender-specific prevention strategies targeting clusters of lifestyle risk factors should be priori-
tised to help mitigate future burden of NCDs globally. Periodical collection of behavioural risk factor data should
be encouraged to facilitate a sustainable global surveillance.
1. Introduction can help inform strategies to better prevent, manage, and mitigate NCD-
related poor health and premature death (Loef and Walach, 2012;
Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) including cardiovascular dis- Meader et al., 2016).
eases, type 2 diabetes, cancers, and chronic respiratory diseases are the Adolescence is a period vulnerable to adopting unhealthy lifestyle
leading causes of poor health and premature mortality worldwide, behaviours (Aguilar-Farias et al., 2018; Caleyachetty et al., 2015;
collectively accounting for seven out of 10 global deaths annually Darfour-Oduro et al., 2018; Xi et al., 2016). Several key health-related
(Bennett et al., 2018). Most NCDs share predisposing risk factors such behaviours, including insufficient physical activity, prolonged seden-
as obesity and unhealthy lifestyle behaviours including prolonged time tary behaviour, poor diet, obesity, and alcohol and tobacco abuse often
spent in sedentary pursuits, insufficient physical activity, poor dietary emerge or intensify during adolescence, and carry risks for concurrent
habits, cigarette smoking, and alcohol consumption (Arena et al., 2015; and future NCD burden (Patton et al., 2012; Patton et al., 2016). For
Bennett et al., 2018). These risk factors are unlikely to occur in isola- example, globally, approximately 90% of smokers initiate tobacco use
tion, but, instead, can cluster and interact to exponentially elevate the before the age of 18 years, with about 100,000 children and adolescents
risks of NCDs (Arena et al., 2015). While co-occurrence of these risk first starting to smoke every day (Xi et al., 2016). While fruit-vegetable
factors can adversely influence morbidity and mortality, adhering to consumption in developed countries has increased among adolescents
healthy lifestyle behaviours can proportionately decrease the risks (Loef between 2002 and 2010 (Vereecken et al., 2015), the consumption
and Walach, 2012). Understanding the clustering of NCD risk factors remains low in many developing countries (Darfour-Oduro et al.,
⁎
Corresponding author at: School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, The University of Queensland, Therapies Annex, St Lucia, Brisbane, QLD 4072, Australia.
E-mail address: a.khan2@uq.edu.au (A. Khan).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2019.105955
Received 25 July 2019; Received in revised form 4 December 2019; Accepted 16 December 2019
Available online 17 December 2019
0091-7435/ © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
R. Uddin, et al. Preventive Medicine 131 (2020) 105955
2018). These risk behaviours contribute significantly to the global two and three times per day during the past 30 days, respectively
burden of youth morbidity and mortality (Mokdad et al., 2016; Xi et al., (Darfour-Oduro et al., 2018). Insufficient physical activity was defined
2016). Hence, a comprehensive understanding of adolescent-onset risk as not doing at least 60 min of activity on all seven days of the week
behaviours is essential to improve adolescent health and reduce sub- (Aguilar-Farias et al., 2018). Sitting time was measured by asking about
sequent disease burden in adulthood (Patton et al., 2012). total time spent watching television, playing computer games, talking
Available evidence suggests that behavioural risk factors are highly with friends, or doing other sitting activities during a typical day. High
prevalent among adolescents (Aguilar-Farias et al., 2018; Darfour- sedentary behaviour was defined as ≥3 h/day of leisure-time sitting
Oduro et al., 2018; Xi et al., 2016) and exposure to multiple risk factors outside of school (Khan et al., 2019). Trained survey staff measured
increases the likelihood of poor health (Catalano et al., 2012). How- participants' height and weight (Ashdown-Franks et al., 2019). Body
ever, little is known about the prevalence and distribution of co-oc- mass index (BMI) was categorised as underweight (BMI < −2SD),
currence of these factors in this population (Caleyachetty et al., 2015). overweight (BMI > +1SD), and obese (BMI > +2SD), relative to
Given the between- and within-region variability in adolescent health median BMI, by age and sex based on the WHO Child Growth Standards
(Patton et al., 2012), it is important to understand regional differences (World Health Organization, n.d.-a).
in these risk behaviours that can facilitate local context-specific pre-
vention priorities across the region. In this study, we aimed to estimate 2.2.2. Independent variables
the prevalence of six lifestyle risk factors of NCDs (i.e., sedentary pur- The independent variables included age, sex, hunger status, survey
suits, physical inactivity, low fruit and vegetable intake, cigarette year, and WHO region. The participants were asked: “During the past
smoking, alcohol consumption, and overweight/obesity) and their 30 days, how often did you go hungry because there was not enough
clustering patterns among adolescents aged 11–17 years from 89 food in your home?” Hunger status was used as a proxy measure of
countries across the world. The information generated could help socioeconomic status (Ashdown-Franks et al., 2019; Uddin and Khan,
forecast the future burden of NCDs, and identify potential target groups 2019) as the GSHS did not include any direct measure of socioeconomic
for early prevention programs (Alamian and Paradis, 2009), which in status.
turn, can minimise the associated health care costs and loss of future
productivity (United Nations, 2018). 2.3. Statistical analyses
2. Methods Each of the six risk behaviours was coded as 1 (“Yes”) and 0 (“No”)
before summing them to generate a risk factor index, ranging from 0
2.1. Data sources and participants (“none”) to 6 (“all”). The proportions of adolescents in each of the
single and multiple risk factors and their 95% confidence intervals (CI)
We used secondary data from the Global School-based Student were estimated by taking into account the GSHS weighting factor to
Health Survey (GSHS), which is a WHO initiative designed to assess adjust for non-response and the varying probability of selection. The
health behaviours of adolescents through cross-sectional school-based analyses were performed separately for male adolescents (hereafter
surveys. The GSHS used the same standardised methodology in all “males”) and female adolescents (hereafter “females”). Additionally,
participating countries to generate comparable data. In each country, WHO regional estimates were derived by sex and age group. Given the
the GSHS used a standardised two-stage probability sampling design. complexity of GSHS design, a Stata command svyset was used to obtain
First, schools were selected with probability proportional to size sam- the prevalence estimates.
pling and then classrooms were selected randomly from each selected Clustering of lifestyle risk factors was studied by examining ratios of
school. All students in the selected classrooms were eligible to partici- observed (O) and expected (E) prevalence of one or more simulta-
pate [details (World Health Organization, n.d.-b)]. The present study neously occurring risk behaviours for males and females separately. The
used nationally representative data for all countries except Colombia observed proportions of 64 different combinations of the risk factors
and Ecuador. were estimated using the GSHS weighting. The expected proportion was
Of the 320,728 students who participated in the GSHS between calculated by multiplying the individual probabilities of each risk factor
2007 and 2016 from 89 countries, 11,111 students aged 18 years were based on their occurrence in the study sample. A ratio (O/E) greater
excluded to restrict the sample to adolescents aged 11–17 years. An than one suggests the presence of clustering (Galán et al., 2005).
additional 4838 were excluded due to missing information on sex and/ Considering the nested structure of the data, multilevel Poisson
or age. The analytical sample consisted of 304,779 adolescents from 89 regression modeling was conducted to examine the associations, using
countries with 11 from Africa (representing 9.7% of total sample), 29 MLwiN V3.04 software where country was considered as level 3, school
from the Americas (30.7%), 19 from the Eastern Mediterranean as level 2, and student as level 1 factor. Prevalence odds ratios (OR)
(21.5%), 1 from Europe (0.7%), 9 from Southeast Asia (14.8%), and 20 along with their 95% CI were estimated to examine the associations
from the Western Pacific region (22.5%) (Appendix Table e1). Europe, between pairs of risk behaviours, adjusted for age, hunger status, survey
with only one country, was excluded from any regional level analyses. year, and region for males and females separately. If the 95% CI of the
OR does not include one, it suggests a clustering between the two risk
2.2. Measures factors. In addition, multilevel Poisson regression was used to examine
the relationships of age and sex with the presence of ≥3 risk factors
2.2.1. Outcome variables (Caleyachetty et al., 2015; Dumith et al., 2012), adjusted for hunger
Participants were asked the following questions: “During the past 30 status, survey year, and region. Separate regression models were con-
days, on how many days did you smoke cigarettes?” and “During the structed for WHO regions to estimate the associations.
past 30 days, on how many days did you have at least one drink con-
taining alcohol?” Current cigarette smoking was defined as smoking on 3. Results
one or more of the past 30 days (Xi et al., 2016), and current alcohol use
as having at least one drink containing alcohol in the past 30 days The mean age of participants was 14.4 (SD 1.38) years, and 52.2%
(Dumith et al., 2012). Fruit-vegetable consumption was assessed with were females (Appendix Table e1). The most common single lifestyle
the questions: “During the past 30 days, how many times per day did risk factor for NCDs was low fruit-vegetable intake with a prevalence of
you usually eat fruits?” and “During the past 30 days, how many times 85.9% (95% CI 85.6–86.1) with no apparent sex differences (Fig. 1).
per day did you usually eat vegetables?” Low or inadequate fruit and Males were more likely to report alcohol drinking and cigarette
vegetable intake was defined as having fruit and vegetables less than smoking compared to females. There was no obvious trend in physical
2
R. Uddin, et al. Preventive Medicine 131 (2020) 105955
100
90 88 88
86 86 86 86 86
85 85
84 84
81
80
70
60
% of adolescents
50
40 39
30 29 30
30 29
24 24
19
20
17
15 14 15 14
14 13 13 13
12 11
9 9
10 8
6
4
0
Overall Males Females 11–13 years 14–15 years 16–17 years
Low fruit-vegetable Physical inactivity High sedentary behaviour Overweight/obesity Currently drink alcohol Currently smoke
Fig. 1. Prevalence of single lifestyle risk factors in adolescents aged 11–17 years, by sex and age-group, Global School-based Student Health Survey, 2007–2016
(n = 304,779).
Note: Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals.
inactivity across age groups; however, the prevalence of overweight/ drinking, physical inactivity, and low fruit-vegetable intake was 110%
obesity decreased with increasing of age from 19.3% (18.7–19.9) in greater in males (O/E ratio 2.10; 95% CI 1.90–2.32) and 165% greater
adolescents aged 11–13 years to 11.3% (10.8–11.9) in adolescents aged in females (2.65; 2.28–3.07) than expected. The analyses demonstrated
16–17 years. The remaining four risk behaviours demonstrated no- clustering of physical inactivity, high sedentary behaviour, and low
ticeable trends with the prevalence becoming higher monotonically fruit-vegetable intake among females. The combination of physical in-
with increasing age. activity and fruit-vegetable intake was common in both males and fe-
Table 1 presents the distribution of total number of lifestyle risk males.
factors. One in three adolescents (34.9% [33.2–36.7]) reported ≥3 risk Table 3 presents the clustering for pairs of lifestyle risk factors,
factors with males (36.3% [34.3–38.4]) reporting more than females stratified by sex. Cigarette smoking and alcohol intake showed the
(33.5% [31.7–35.3]). The prevalence of having ≥3 risk factors in- strongest association among the pairwise clusters for both males and
creased monotonically with age with 29.4% (27.8–31.0) for females. Of the 15 possible pairs, ten were significantly (six positive and
11–13 years old and 46.4% (43.7–49.2) for 16–17 years old (Fig. 2). four negative) associated with one another in males, and nine were
In regional analyses (Table 1), adolescents of the Americas reported significantly (seven positive and two negative) associated with one
the highest prevalence of ≥3 risk factors (56.2% [54.2–58.2]), fol- another in females. The odds of cigarette smoking and alcohol intake
lowed by adolescents of Western Pacific region (44.5% [42.1–47.1]). were considerably higher among adolescents who reported high se-
Three in 10 adolescents in Eastern Mediterranean and Southeast Asia dentary behaviour. Physical inactivity was positively associated with
reported having had ≥3 risk factors. Males were more likely to report low fruit-vegetable intake in both sexes.
≥3 risk factors in Western Pacific and Southeast Asia regions. With In all regions, cigarette smoking was positively associated with al-
older age, the prevalence of ≥3 risk factors became higher in all re- cohol consumption for males and females (Appendix Table e3).
gions. Cigarette smoking was also positively associated with high sedentary
Multilevel Poisson regression analyses showed no overall gender behaviour in all regions. High sedentary behaviour was positively as-
differences in reporting ≥3 risk factors (Appendix Table e2). However, sociated with alcohol consumption in both sexes in all regions.
males had higher odds of reporting ≥3 risk factors in Southeast Asia Inactivity and low fruit-vegetable intake were positively associated for
region (OR 1.34; 95% CI 1.29–1.39). The odds of having ≥3 risk factors males in all regions.
were higher with older age globally and across all regions.
Clustering patterns of the 64 combinations of the six risk beha-
viours, stratified by sex, are presented in Table 2. Lifestyle risk factors 4. Discussion
clustered in multiple combinations with an evidence of sex differences
in the clustering. The simultaneous occurrence of all six risk factors was This study was the first to investigate clustering patterns of six
significantly higher than expected in both males and females. The major NCD-related lifestyle risk factors among adolescents on a global
clustering of cigarette smoking, alcohol drinking, physical inactivity, scale. To our knowledge, this is the largest study to provide prevalence
low fruit-vegetable intake, and overweight/obese was evident in both estimates of six lifestyle risk factors and their clustering patterns among
males and females. The co-occurrence of cigarette smoking, alcohol adolescents aged 11–17 years, with data from 89 countries around the
globe. The two most prominent lifestyle risk factors for NCDs were low
3
R. Uddin, et al. Preventive Medicine 131 (2020) 105955
Table 1
Prevalence of total number of lifestyle risk factors in adolescents aged 11–17 years, by sex and age-group, Global School-based Student Health Survey, 2007–2016
(n = 304,779).
Risk factors Overall, % (95% CI) Sex, % (95% CI) Age group (years), % (95% CI)
Global
0 1.9 (1.6–2.2) 1.9 (1.7–2.3) 1.7 (1.4–2.2) 2.2 (1.8–2.7) 2.0 (1.7–2.4) 1.0 (0.8–1.3)
1 15.8 (14.9–16.7) 16.4 (15.4–17.6) 15.0 (14.2–15.9) 17.7 (16.8–18.7) 16.5 (15.4–17.6) 11.3 (10.3–12.5)
2 47.4 (46.3–48.5) 45.2 (43.9–46.5) 49.7 (48.5–50.9) 50.6 (49.4–51.8) 48.1 (47.0–49.3) 41.2 (39.3–43.1)
3+ 34.9 (33.2–36.7) 36.3 (34.3–38.4) 33.5 (31.7–35.3) 29.4 (27.8–31.0) 33.4 (31.5–35.2) 46.4 (43.7–49.2)
fruit-vegetable intake and physical inactivity (86% and 85%, respec- The most prominent clustering of pairwise lifestyle risk factors was
tively), similar to what has been reported elsewhere (Caleyachetty cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption for both sexes globally as
et al., 2015). Prevalence of ≥3 lifestyle risk factors was more common well as at the regional level. Similar findings have been reported with
in males than females. The strongest clustering of pairwise risk factors the adult population (Meader et al., 2016). Given that both tobacco
was cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption in both sexes. When smoking (Kelder et al., 1994) and alcohol consumption (Andersen et al.,
multiple risk factors were considered simultaneously, different patterns 2003) during adolescence track into adulthood, prevention and early
of clusters were observed. Globally, physical inactivity and low fruit- intervention for these behaviours may be of importance for healthy
vegetable consumption were clustered together as the most common adulthood in the global population. The danger of early tobacco and
risk factors in both sexes. In addition, clustering of all six risk factors alcohol consumption includes the potential to develop nicotine and
were more than expected in both males and females, indicating the alcohol dependency in these early years of life (Xi et al., 2016). Thus,
need to develop global strategies for primary prevention of multiple risk health-promoting interventions for this age group should specifically
factors. Our findings of clustering patterns of NCD risk factors can in- target discouraging the engagement of these two addictive behaviours
form the development of effective and scalable early preventive stra- simultaneously.
tegies for the improvement of global adolescent health, which in turn Adolescents who smoked cigarettes or consumed alcohol were more
can minimise future burden of NCDs (Catalano et al., 2012; Patton likely to be sedentary than their non-smoking or non-drinking coun-
et al., 2012; Patton et al., 2016). terparts, regardless of sex. This is consistent with a previous study that
Globally, approximately 82% of adolescents had ≥2 risk factors for reported the clustering of television viewing and computer use with
NCDs, and the rates were different across different WHO regions with alcohol consumption and tobacco smoking among German adolescents
lowest in Africa (73%) and highest in the Americas (89%), suggesting (Landsberg et al., 2010). Our study also showed that physical inactivity
that the co-occurrence of lifestyle risk factors is a universal phenom- was associated with low fruit-vegetable consumption in both males and
enon. The prevalence of multiple risk factors increased with the in- females. A recent systematic review reported that clustering of obeso-
crease of age globally and across all regions. Although males had a genic behaviours among adolescents is complex, and sedentary beha-
higher tendency of reporting multiple risk factors than their female viour, diet, and physical inactivity cluster differently according to sex
counterparts in adult population (Meader et al., 2016), this was not (Loef and Walach, 2012). Prolonged sedentary behaviour can be asso-
supported by our study findings with adolescent population. However, ciated with increased snacking while watching television or using a
sex disparities in the clustering of risk factors were observed in some computer, which may disrupt energy balance by displacing time for
WHO regions. Reporting ≥3 risk factors was more common among recreational physical activity that in turn can promote adiposity (Uddin
males than females in Western Pacific and Southeast Asian regions, and and Khan, 2019). Sedentary behaviour has been found to be negatively
these regions, therefore, should have specific focus on reducing sex associated with health and well-being among children and adolescents
disparities. and has been recognised as an important lifestyle risk behaviour
4
R. Uddin, et al. Preventive Medicine 131 (2020) 105955
Females
Males
Overall
Value
60
40
20
Fig. 2. Prevalence of three or more lifestyle risk factors in adolescents aged 11–17 years, by sex, Global School-based Student Health Survey, 2007–2016
(n = 304,779).
Table 2
Clustering patterns of lifestyle risk factors in adolescents aged 11–17 years, by sex, Global School-based Student Health Survey, 2007–2016.
# risks SMK ALC iPA SB iF-V Ov-Ob Males Females
Abbreviations: SMK = cigarette smoking; ALC = alcohol consumption; iPA = physical inactivity; SB = sedentary behaviour; iF-V = insufficient fruit and vege-
tables; Ov-Ob = overweight and obesity; O = observed; E = expected; (+) positive sign = presence of the risk factor; (−) negative sign = absence of the risk factor.
6
R. Uddin, et al. Preventive Medicine 131 (2020) 105955
Table 3
Associationsa between pairs of lifestyle risk factors among adolescents aged 11–17 years, by sex, Global School-based Student Health Survey, 2007–2016.
Risk factor combinations Males Females
7
R. Uddin, et al. Preventive Medicine 131 (2020) 105955
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Funding Khan, A., Uddin, R., Lee, E.-Y., Tremblay, M.S., 2019. Sitting time among adolescents
across 26 Asia–Pacific countries: a population-based study. Int. J. Public Health 64,
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This research did not receive any specific grant from funding Landsberg, B., Plachta-Danielzik, S., Lange, D., Johannsen, M., Seiberl, J., Müller, M.J.,
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Ethical approval tivity and sedentary behavior in children and adolescents: a review. Int. J. Behav.
Nutr. Phys. Act. 11, 4.
Loef, M., Walach, H., 2012. The combined effects of healthy lifestyle behaviors on all
In each of the participating countries, the GSHS received ethics cause mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Prev. Med. 55, 163–170.
approval from the Ministry of Education or a relevant Institutional Manyanga, T., Barnes, J.D., Abdeta, C., Adeniyi, A.F., Bhawra, J., Draper, C.E., Katapally,
T.R., Khan, A., Lambert, E., et al., 2018. Indicators of physical activity among chil-
Ethics Review Committee, or both. Only adolescents who provided dren and youth in 9 countries with low to medium human development indices: a
written or verbal consent, as well as written consent from their parents, Global Matrix 3.0 paper. J. Phys. Act. Health 15, S274–S283.
participated. As the current study used retrospective publicly available Meader, N., King, K., Moe-Byrne, T., Wright, K., Graham, H., Petticrew, M., Power, C.,
White, M., Sowden, A.J., 2016. A systematic review on the clustering and co-oc-
data, we did not seek ethics approval from any Institutional Ethics currence of multiple risk behaviours. BMC Public Health 16, 657.
Review Committee. Mokdad, A.H., Forouzanfar, M.H., Daoud, F., Mokdad, A.A., El Bcheraoui, C., Moradi-
Lakeh, M., Kyu, H.H., Barber, R.M., Wagner, J., et al., 2016. Global burden of dis-
eases, injuries, and risk factors for young people’s health during 1990–2013: a sys-
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2383–2401.
Patton, G.C., Coffey, C., Cappa, C., Currie, D., Riley, L., Gore, F., Degenhardt, L.,
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